B (39:28)
Okay, again, first of all, the idea. And he goes on to. To complain that, well, I mean, you know, actually mocking Islam is mocking the very idea of faith itself. Yeah, that's about. So bringing it back to the deal, a couple of updates. Right now, Brent crude futures are plummeting according to some of the information we're getting. Crude oil and then like the Brent actual is falling to 91 $90 a barrel already in the future, like the aftermarket trading. So again, this deal is being taken very, very, very well by kind of the international market and community. So what do we know at this point? Because there are new updates that are still surging forward. I'm not trying to cut away to other news stories to tease you. I want a little bit of clarification on a couple of these bits of information and confirmation before we deliver them to you. The first is a confirmed report that there has been a major explosion in the Baghdad, Iraq airport vicinity. Victoria Base has been targeted. Again, we don't have a lot of information on whether that came from some kind of a drone or missile strike, possibly one of the ones on its way over to Israel. Again, if it's accurate enough to hit the airport, probably not. Or if that was someone, you know, strapping on a backpack and getting a little excited. A White House official has now issued a statement that it may take a little bit of time for the orders to reach the lower ranks of the Iranian or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Again, this really shouldn't be surprising to any of you because at the onset of this particular operation, one of the first orders that was issued from one of the Iranian regimes, you know, that individuals who's not even here anymore had issued a essentially a yo yo order, a you're on your own order to the various provinces, the IRGC individuals over in the rest of the country saying, hey, you need to do things on your own because we're likely not going to be able to communicate with you for quite a while. So yes, it would make sense that it would take them a little bit of, a little bit of a while to get over those orders to trickle down. Additionally alerts in Dubai and that would be of course in the United Arab Emirates. A missile launch detected in Iran. So again, it's just very unclear at this point whether Iran is going to keep firing missiles towards everyone else. And if you say it's just towards, well, I mean, of course, you know, Iran would continue firing missiles towards Israel. They're also now firing missiles towards Dubai and the uae. This was, by the way, their planned retaliation. So we have in a different section of the show, notes because again, the news has changed that. The Iranian retaliation, the Iranian response that was suggested that they were threatening was that they were going to strike the key oil pipeline in the eastern portion of Saudi Arabia as well as with the United Arab Emirates. So this would have been the Aramco oil facilities, Saudis Yanbu and the United Arab Emirates Fujairah pipeline if the United States were to strike Iran's power plants. Now, Iran has tried to fire a series of missiles and drones before at Iranian or excuse me, at Saudi Arabian and UAE oil infrastructure. But it's again, it's going to be interesting to see if members of the IRGC reject this ceasefire. And then here's the interesting thing because right now the IRGC is, is completely opposed to President Pazakistan who again has been seen as kind of a weakling. You know, some over on the mainstream media side would say he's a moderate. You know, doesn't really want to have his nuts blown off by a pager. You know, that kind of a guy. Their IRGC who again appointed or forced the Council of Experts to appoint Muhtaba Khomeini, the gay son of Al Khamenei who is currently in a coma. Al Khamenei is currently extra dead. The irgclass style marched in with their rifles and pointed them at the Council of Experts while they were voting on the new supreme Leader of Iran. But it is the Trump administration who's been trying to communicate with Iranian President Pajakian to try to get these particular negotiations through. So the, if the IRGC just up and says no, this might be an off ramp for President Baja to try to appeal to the civilian population of Iran and you might have a civil war that starts a little bit soon. I don't know what that would look like because again, the IRGC is so heavily woven into the entire Iranian military complex that it's unlikely you would see a Soviets in 91 style winter couple where the army faced off against the Air Force and the tankers faced off against a couple of naval officers. I very much doubt that it would be that significant. But it is worth pointing out that there could be a significant rift between, you know, President Pizekian. You know, I again, it really, really, really is bizarre. Bizarre that the President of the United States who has negotiated the exact same way the entire time he has been in office, continues to get results in the exact same way that he has before. Now we have other news to cover. There's, of course, information on this, this Dignity act or the Dignidad act written by Representative Maria Elvira Salazar. Again, I'm up here in Fort Wayne, Indiana. I talked to one of the co sponsors of the bill, a Republican. Interesting perspectives on the inside of it. We might have to push a little bit of that coverage to tomorrow because there is, is quite a lot of, a lot of tried a lot, quite a lot of information on the Middle Eastern situation flowing through. A lot of clips that we haven't even gotten to share to you just yet. Clarifying a few things with one of my intelligence sources that's currently in Bahrain. Yeah, I mean, just a whole list of those suggesting the president needed to be impeached because he opened the strait back up because he was. Again, his statement in which he used the term a civilization might end tonight, or he said a whole civilization will die tonight. They took that to mean that he's going to kill all of the people of Persia and Kurdistan and the other ethnic minorities from Nancy Pelosi saying Donald Trump's instability is more clear and dangerous than ever. If the cabinet is not willing to invoke the 25th Amendment. Do you not know Marco Rubio anyway, and restore sanity, Republicans must reconvene the Congress to end the war. Best of luck to you. Very, very fine. Best of luck to you. Some of the other information trickling in. Just, just a bizarre, bizarre, bizarre. Sorry, checking a few things here. Some of the updates that are coming in are a bit interesting. They're kind of juxtaposed with themselves. They're not quite in agreement. Okay. All right. Oh, we have to send the radio broadcast and TV crew out in a second. We'll continue on the live stream with this for a little bit longer. Sorry for some of the vocal pauses. I did want to make it as accurate as I could this evening. So according to Barack Ravid over at Axios, he says a US Defense official has told Axios that the ceasefire is in force and the US has suspended strikes in Iran. And that the White House official to Axios has said the US expects it's going to take some of those orders time to trickle down to the lower ranks of the irgc. But a different US Official is again, this is just leakers upon leakers sharing little things from inside the administration saying that if the Iranians are attempting to fire at US Bases in the UAE then it will retaliate on sites from which those missiles flew. Now there are still drones that are active over the skies in Iran as well as some of our surveillance equipment that are probably keeping track of again probably thermal flares, other information like this. Again, of course the, the Israeli government has suggested it's very much not a fan of this current ceasefire, but it has agreed to the temporary ceasefire according to Elena Treen over at cnn. That's one of the things I wanted to clarify. It wasn't clear yet whether Israel had agreed to the ceasefire while still receiving ballistic missile launches from some of the southern and western regions in Iran. The White House has that being the President of the United States. And then the White House has also shared the statement from Syed Abbas Arashi, the minister of foreign affairs for the Iranian regime. The price of crude in the futures is just falling. It's already fallen below 90 and it's still sinking. It would be rather bizarre to see the price sink below 80 because at the start of the conflict that's it was at about 80. Iran has inserted a caveat about quote technical limitations and heavy handed coordination requirements. So we'll see if Iran is making some kind of a, making some kind of a plan. Yes, we'll see if Iran is, is making some kind of a plan to limit the amount of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz perhaps to keep the, to keep certain prices high. Again, that's in speculation territory. We normally don't report that to y' all as news. Over here on the Tony Kinnit cast, I will take a second to answer a few mail time questions. Those that have thrown in, you know, comments that you know, we've, we've seen here those also over in the show's discord of course a link to that discord in the description from Marcus Holiday with a really kind, really kind 20 super chat. Again you guys do not have to give money to the show saying hey great show tonight, Tony, thank you Very much. Just a question for you. How does this conflict affect the psyche of the American people? For example, how the war in Vietnam negatively impacted the American psyche during and after the war. I mean, if the President of the United States effectively killing Al Khamenei, going in, doing an incredible rescue operation, destroying a ton of the Iranian ability to do all kinds of things, if this ends with the Iranian government, the Islamic regime falling and the Kurds becoming Kurdistan, which is a huge problem that has needed to be rectified for a very long time, if the American people see oil prices sink lower and lower, if we see oil price, maybe if the United States does in fact run Carg island at some point or a new deal is reached of some sort and oil then sinks below $80 and becomes 70 or 60 and gas prices in the United States plummet, then the Americans are going to be really bullish on this. They're going to see this is incredibly successful. That's the real mark here. That's, that's the real secret. Americans like results. Now, again, it's been a month. It's been a month. And if the president comes out of this, taking out again the president of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, and then moves forward with pseudo collapsing Cuba, getting a bunch of prisoners released so far at the very least, and moves forward with collapsing the Iranian Islamic regime, so that Pizekian is calling the shots instead of the irgc, that's a pretty significant shift. But it's too early to tell. If Americans see victory, then they'll take it as victory. They like results. It's like the Artemis 2 project, seeing it in front of them. That's a kind of thing that resonates now. Again, the Vietnam era of, oh, we can't do anything was ended with the Gulf War, the Gulf War in 91, when the United States absolutely blasted the living crap out of Saddam Hussein and we destroyed them. And then again, a month, month and a half later, we were, you know, moving out. We didn't finish the job, which again, there's obviously some concerns to be listed here about finishing the job that cured the Americans kind of Iraq, or, excuse me, Americans, Vietnam syndrome, well, then we had the Iraq and Afghanistan War and that syndrome. So if that is cured by a series of quick and decisive military interventions that are even more successful than our intervention in Panama, well, then that's going to carry over. Now, how is that going to carry over electorally? Well, that's a totally different question. And this is something that we'll have to talk about with. Of course, Rob Bluey, president of the Daily Signal here in a couple of minutes. So that moved forward. I want to get a couple more mailtime style questions and then we'll, we'll dive over to Rob Louie and then I'm sure there will be news to break. On the other side of that from Kevin Stankowitz, a very kind $2 super chat said. Well, it's actually more the Iranian taco. Tehran always chickens out. We'll see. We will see. Another question. Were the Chinese vaulted vast strategic oil reserves empty because corrupt Chinese officials secretly sold off all of the fuel years ago? No, it's likely that they had just used it to buffer their own economy because this is kind of what communist countries do. I will remind you that the reason the Chinese screwed themselves over so early on with Mao is that they went through a famine and Mao said, no, we need to look like there's no famine and we're not doing slave labor and, you know, communism sucking. So we're going to export food in the middle of a famine. Which how the Chinese didn't learn from one of the greatest British mistakes and most cruel mistakes of the British government against the Irish of all time. You know, your guess is as good as mine. But in this particular instance, the Chinese have always been telling the world, oh, we have all of the oil, we have all of the AI, we have all of the military weapons, we have the fastest planes that can do loop de loops and can kill 800 F22s at once. No, always. The Chinese communist government will build a massive city for no one to live into and that it'll fall apart due to weather in a couple of years because again, the concrete doesn't have rebar. So again, I think that the Chinese bragging about their oil reserves, of course they're in a major oil shortage because communist countries lie. That's just kind of the thing that they do. All right, we're going to cut over to our interview that we were able to do a little bit before I headed up here north to Fort Wayne. Regarding the updates from Capitol Hill and what Congress is actually going to do, does this change some of the calculus on the President's decision and also the 60 day timer before the President has to go to Congress. If Iran cuts the ceasefire at the end of two weeks, does this count as a new military operation? Those are some important questions. So we're going to cut over to Rob Bluey. Don't go anywhere. A lot more to cover tonight. It's the Tony Kinnid cast here on The Daily Signal. Here on the Tony Kennett cast. You know the music. Which means it's time for our dear friend Rob Bluey, president of the Daily Signal and the guy who most likely has the answer for one of the weirdest corkscrew roller coasters in polling that a lot of people weren't expecting. That is the generic congressional ballot lead is sing is like getting closer together, Democrats and Republicans, a lot of weird stuff going on right now. Rob, what do voters actually want out of Congress? Because that's who's being elected here in a couple of months.