← The Tony Kinnett Cast
The Tony Kinnett Cast
Ep. 536 - Iran Ceasefire Reached Minutes Before Trump’s Deadline
01:14:18
Minutes before we go live with updates on the situation in Iran, everything changes.
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You're listening to the Tony Kenned cast on 93WibcyTV here on the Daily Signal. Good evening and welcome to the Tony Kenned cast here on the Daily Signal, nationally syndicated, first on 93 WIBC. Whether you're joining us from the radio or the TV side this evening, whether you're home or like we are on the road, the news doesn't wait. The President of the United States Donald Trump put this out over on Truth Social. And if you are watching via the live stream, I believe we actually have this ready to go from the President, quote, based on conversations with Prime Minister Shahaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir of Pakistan, Again, the United States and the Iranian regime, or at least a representative of remaining from the Iranian Islamic regime were negotiating in Islamabad, Pakistan said, quote, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran. And subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the complete, immediate and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. He says this will be a double sided ceasefire. Now you might have a couple of questions, maybe a couple of question marks about why a double sided ceasefire. Aren't all ceasefires a ceasing of the firing? Well, not always. We're going to dig into that why that's stated by the President. A double sided ceasefire. The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all military objectives and are very far along with a definitive agreement concerning long term peace with Iran and peace in the Middle east. We received a 10 point proposal from Iran and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and the Islamic regime of Iran. But a two week period will allow the agreement to be finalized and consummated. On behalf of the United States of America as President and also representing the countries of the Middle east, these would be the Gulf Muslim states as well as Israel. And it is an honor to have this long term problem close to a, close to a resolution.
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Thank you for your attention to this matter. President Donald J. Trump.
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So obviously with the 8pm deadline from the President of the United States. Oh, excellent motion lights in the room. I'm recording in. That's just stellar. The President of The United States had made it clear over the last couple of weeks that if the Iranian Islamic reg did not stop its, its striking of other Islamic countries, if they did not stop massacring the protesters, if they did not stop their nuclear program, and if they did not stop their ballistic missile program, then eventually the president was going to allow the United States military to eat the infrastructure of Iran. And so what we saw today was kind of a, a little antipasta, an appetizer if you will, to what was coming tonight at 8:00pm Eastern Time that included a series of strikes, of course, along the Strait of Hormuz, along the coastline of Kharg Island, a series of bunker machine gun emplacements, suspected mortar emplacements, and what was believed to be a military stockpile. That is according to the Fox News foreign and Middle Eastern correspondent. So the President of the United States had decided that after previously threatening to destroy all of the power plant infrastructure for the regiment, therefore leaving them in the Stone Ages. His words exactly. The President of the United States set this deadline for today, Tuesday, April 7, at 8pm Eastern. And this morning he posted something that had everyone from your weird aunt over on Facebook to every single member of the Associated Press and the, well, the Free Turk crew, whatever, Cenk Iger's group, they were suggesting that nuclear destruction was upon us and we were all going to extra super duper die. This is the tweet from the president or the, the truth from the president. That's that kind of started this train rolling. He said, a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don't want that to happen, but it probably will. However, now that we have complete and total regime change where different, smarter and less radicalized minds prevail, maybe something revolutionary wonderful can happen. Who knows? We'll find out tonight. One of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world for 47 years of extortion, corruption and death will finally end. God bless the great people of Iran. Now, a lot of individuals who have an IQ of about three and a half decided this meant that Trump was
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gonna drop nukes, all of the nuclear bombs, big kaboom on Iran.
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A whole civilization like Doc Brown would say, erased from existence. And yeah, those people are retarded because that's not what the president was communicating. Most people who say I'm going to destroy do not follow at the end by saying, oh yeah, and God bless the people of Iran. And by the way, the President of the United States, I'm just going to level with you when he does these kinds of negotiation, as we have seen all the way from Venezuela all the way over to Cuba, to Panama to Colombia, whether we're talking about universities here in the United States or we are talking about the State Department abroad, the President of the United States has made it explicitly clear that he is willing to do the thing if you do not play along to the fiddle. That if you do not go forward and do the things that the President of the United States has outlined, then he is going to slash, well, you know, like a hammer, sorry, I can't say the actual term there here on FCC air. So that brings us over to the Iranian infrastructure because it appears based on the President's statements and this is corroborated by other information that is flowing in almost as fast as we can take this in that cnn, the New York Times, Al Jazeera, other outlets are confirming that the Iranian regime, that would be President Pazakistan has accepted Pakistan's two week cease fire proposal because the President of the United States said, all right, you know what, how about no carg island at all? How about no power plants at all? And one of the reasons that they likely believed the president was going to do this is because first of all, you had half of the American media today, he's gonna nuke him. He's gonna nuke him for about 12 hours essentially from 5am this morning through about 5pm this evening. And then you also had the Israeli and tactical US Saudi, Qatari and Bahrainian intel directed strikes that were hitting Iranian railways in the country. Now while Greta Thunberg and other people who have about two brain cells to rub together to generate a small amount of friction were suggesting that this was a serious war crime. These would be the brand new Geneva Convention and war crime experts who just got done being combat search and rescue experts and 25th Amendment experts, while they were suggesting this was a super duper war crime, Iran was essentially getting a prepayment, an ante if you will, for the United States, a guarantor of future action from the United States military. And this came in a couple of ways, of course. The President of the United States directing the military to do another targeted strike on Kharg island this morning as well as Iranian rail infrastructure that was reported on Fox News in the AM official
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confirming to Fox News that the Israelis have started strikes against Iranian rail infrastructure. Remember earlier today the Israelis warned civilians to stay off the trains in Iran. They have started to target the bridges of the rail system in Iran as we speak. Additionally you have these strikes overnight against Kharg island, the largest export facility in Iranian territory, accounting for around 90% of Iran's oil exports. And you have ongoing US and Israeli strikes against Iranian military infrastructure.
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Now, we do have a couple of new news updates that are bring, that are being kind of brought forward here. So first and foremost, moments after the ceasefire has been reportedly agreed to in Islamabad, a series of missiles have been launched from the Iranians over to Israel. I believe we have this coverage of the launches that are taking off. Cease fire. This has not gotten word to the people firing missiles, Mike.
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Well, it seems that way. Just about five minutes from the time we got the announcement that we had that truth social post and you read it on the air there. Then the phone started lighting up indicating that more missiles were inbound. From looking at what we get over the rather sophisticated phone alert system that they have here in Israel, looks like these missiles will fall probably somewhere between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem or possibly now,
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some might be asking, wait, so is Iran already rejecting the ceasefire? No. If you have ever sung of the great Battle of New Orleans, that was after The War of 1812 was supposed to be over. News does unfortunately travel a little bit more slowly than one would prefer in a country where the Internet is out and it's not like they've ever heard of Microsoft Teams or Zoom, you know what I mean? So in this particular instance, I think that might be a part of it. However, the President also made a statement, at least this is according to Axios. So take that with a grain of salt. I'll explain why I'm putting a pause on kind of taking Axios at some of their breaking news word for just a little bit here. Axios is reporting that the ceasefire will start as soon as Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz. Now, there are some out there that are saying, ah, see, this is evidence of the President of the United States chickening out. This is Taco. Here it is. Oh, man. The President. I'm, I'm sorry, I'm going to drop in real quick here and ask you very clearly. So you were going to complain if the President of the United States punched when he said, make the deal or
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you get punched in the face. Open the Strait of Hormuz.
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Which by the way, the United States, through the delegation team sent to negotiate, had said repeatedly, make the deal, open the Strait of Hormuz and we'll talk, we'll talk a little bit. You know, you want a little bit of a break, we'll do some talking. You open the Strait of Hormuz. And we'll, we'll, we'll chat about things for a moment here. And the Iranian regime had previously with the President again, I know I'm pronouncing his name wrong. I don't care. Pazakistan had suggested that they were not going to do so instead, they were doing what all strong regimes do, calling on their children to stand outside of military targets, because that's what you do when you're winning. The President of the United States along with Israel then struck a bunch of key infrastructure points in the country today, saying, we're not joking. And the Iranians appear to have finally allowed Pazakistan to say, you know what, you're right. I really don't want to be dust in the wind to be sung about by Kansas at a later date. So the President of the United States again saying that as soon as Iran is going to, as soon as they open the Strait of Hormuz and let the boats flow on, sail on through unmolested, then the official double sided ceasefire will begin. And again, the reason the president stipulates here, a double sided ceasefire, if you don't like that this statement is a bit uncouth, maybe doesn't have the diplomatic vocabulary that you're used to when you hear the Secretary of State talking, you know, in fine language in front of the United Nations. The President here in a double sided ceasefire references that with a lot of Islamic terror regimes, as has been shown again and again and again, it turns out that Muslim religious fanatics really don't like the whole making peace to not blow up thing. In fact, blowing up is kind of one of the things that they're good at doing. And so the President's making it clear if you can't even get your own people under control, then this is meaningless. Now, I'm going to risk getting in a little bit of trouble and say here on the air in the open that I have a bit more on kind of the insider track as to why the popular uprising in Iran from the peoples of Persia, the other ethnic minorities, of which there are quite a few, all the way over from the regions next to Pakistan and Afghanistan, over to of course, the Kurds and then another smaller ethnic group closer to Bahrain in the west of Iran. Why aren't they flaring up and kind of taking to the streets and storming the Bastille? We'll talk about that here in a couple of minutes. However, I do want to make it clear when I tell you that the series of strikes were not just forthcoming, but were constant, consistent. Earlier today, not joking, reported all day, you see individuals that were doing this, this Kumbaya style, definitely not at gunpoint as kind of one camera angle showed people surrounding infrastructure and saying, oh, we're cheering on the regime. It's so extra serious and wonderful. Well off in the distance, what you saw were different. What's, what's the term I'm going to go here. Train tracks and rail bridges as well as roadway bridges that were getting unmade, you know, not exactly getting a visit from Bob the Builder. So the Iranian regime trotted out a huge herd of individuals and again according to a couple of camera angles at gunpoint and said, you are going to stand outside of these particular infrastructures. You're going to wave these flags that we're handing out to you, many of which have never been flown before. You can see the, the actual creases still in the fabric. You know, when they were last dropped off in that container chip from China, that container ship from China. And they're suggesting, see this is the Iranian people standing together and telling the United States, please don't strike us. That doesn't quite work though for a couple of reasons. First of all, if the United States was actually going about targeting women and children and, and, and babies and old men playing chess in the park, as many were suggesting on social media, then why would they trot out a bunch of their civilians next to the infrastructure targets that they thought Trump was going to strike? Doesn't quite gel together. And again, the President of the United States made it clear today he's in the this full swing of negotiating. He wanted a deal to be made because he's talked about the Strait of Hormuz. This was the president far before the deal was announced that Iran announced that
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it accepted phone call with President Trump. He declined to say how he's feeling about the talks with Iran, but he said that, you know, I can't tell you right now. We're in heated negotiations. So that at least shows us that the president, as he always has been, is open to discussion on all of this. He wants that straight open. He says the regime has already changed to a certain extent. Extent. With that, we bring in Will Kane.
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Now, aside from Will Kane's excellent broadcasting, I did want to take a second here to thank zeden9493 who gave a hundred dollar super chat said glad the back seater was saved. God bless. Very, very, very kind of you. You guys don't have to give super chats to the show at all that's very kind of those of you who do. Back to some of the news updates here. So the Pakistani Prime Minister had been requesting as early as 9:00am this morning that the President extend the deadline for two weeks. He said, Please, Mr. President, please extend deadline by two weeks. Why? Because the situation already on the border again. Pakistan and Afghanistan are currently at war. We've forgotten this. In the midst of all of the chaos, the ethnic regions on the Pakistani and Afghani orders on those borders, excuse me on their western borders, on the Iran's eastern border. They're not exactly known to be the most calm and rational, friendly, folksy, good type think Eastern Europe, but with more that's kind of what you've got going on in the border regions between Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan. So it was understandable that the Pakistani Prime Minister would say can we just have two more weeks here in Islamabad. Can we have a little bit more time as a goodwill gesture. That would be the direct quote, as a goodwill gesture to quote, allow diplomacy to achieve conclusive termination of the war. End quote. And the President of the United States probably arguing that the continual strikes of on light infrastructure targets in certain hard points in Iran, several drone targets hitting IRGC police besieged stations as well as two rumors regarding first of all a lot of Middle Eastern traffic monitors, open source intelligence accounts. Sometimes they don't really bring a lot of intelligence to the table, but sometimes their cameras pointed at the sky are useful. Noticed a lot of B2 and B1 bombers taking off from various bases in the region. So they thought man, this really does look like it is the real McCoy. And it appears again that President Pazakash Ban Whatever made the decision that as Muhtaba Khomeini is still in a coma. And again since they are now from the Iranian state media account releasing AI videos while their new supreme leader is in Qom receiving medical attention, they're. They're throwing out AI videos of him walking into and not even good AI. They couldn't even you know, grab Sora before it shut down for this one. Walking into the, the situation room to look at an Israeli nuclear power plant and the music's banging and it's like wow, are they, is this, is this impressive? No. So got like the, like the, like you know, the we will rock you sort of but like the discount Arabic version. So again the AI is, is really, really bad. It's kind of awkward when you have ceiling lights that are hanging but aren't suspended. And the AI also blurs soldiers voices, you know, the wrong way don't kids, boys and girls, keep an eye out for the AI shenanigans in the midst of that, it appears that if the President was actually going to move forward and issue a series of directed strikes against infrastructure, what's the UN gonna do something? Well, absolutely not. The United Nations Security Council, home to Russia and China, A, the country that can't even conquer the most corrupt Eastern European country, and B, the guy whose country can't even pour concrete with rebar, made a veto motion to stop the UN from issuing a strongly worded letter to open the Strait of Hormuz. If the UN can't even get involved and say stop effectively again. I know the UN has such a track record of totally not being a big waste of time and money. Then for the Iranian United States operation, you know, impartial war action, whatever it is that you want to call it, well, boys, Girls and squirrels, I mean, there really isn't a lot of argument to be made that the Iranian regime was going to be able to effectuate anything beyond this that would turn the power back on, that would allow them to sell oil to China. That was the very last straw. That is the very last straw that would break the camel's back. And no pun intended, the Chinese were still sending container ships to get oil from Carg island and then sail that back to China where things are so bad that China has no jet fuel. Several Far East Asian economic watchers were reporting China didn't even have the oil and the gasoline, the petroleum products necessary to invade Taiwan had they wanted to. Vietnam had a complete freeze on all sale of petroleum products in the country. And that's just with China sending as many ships as they could to the Strait of Hormuz because of the chaos. So they're not even able to effectuate anything here. So if the Iranian regime no longer has anything left even from China in this instance, and again, Saudi Arabia and Qatar and Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, who the French betrayed are of course justifiably, well, where does that leave us? The reporting this afternoon was that there was a deal expected to be closed between the United States and Iran. This 10 point plan from the Iranians right now has a million different shapes flooding across social media. So as one comment said, what are the actual quote, 10 point peace plan? You know, Planaruni here from the Iranians, I'm not seeing anything specifically that is confirmed. I will say, however, according to the New York Times as well as Al Jazeera and according to a US official talking to Al Jazeera, all military operations against Iran have been halted. The United States has entered the ceasefire. So it appears that the President of the United States has accepted an Iranian plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Now another piece of news coming in, of course, this via reporting secondhand over at Fox suggesting that the Israeli government is not particularly pleased with the ceasefire. Which is funny because you know, I was told the Israeli government was leading Trump around on a string and so of course this completely tosses that on its head.
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But regardless, well, the Israelis for what they know so far with the details in this two week delay in the war, they're not too happy with the details. But they say it's President Trump's decision to make. The Iranian response was to fire another missile at Israel. It wasn't five minutes from the time that Truth social post went up. Our photons lit up with another incoming missile. This missile was intercepted over Jerusalem. The shrapnel came down. We've got no word of any injuries. It should be noted that word had gone out through the IDF that we should anticipate a lot of missile fire tonight. And they have not taken that down yet. So that's the situation right now. Sometimes we see here in the Middle east that they will fire one just to be deflected find at the end. But it's also possible that word hadn't gotten out to the rocket crew.
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There you go. That's kind of the second half in the update there on what we had seen from that earlier announcement of the missile strike. That's from Nick Sordor sending that clip over our way. Huge thanks to Nick. So this forward here, what does this actually mean? What can we expect out of this? Well, a, a couple of reports are suggesting some of the terms on the 10 point plan according to an announcement from the Supreme National Security Council. Meaning like last week's janitor and this week's supreme super duper general, sergeant, captain, major shooter person, if it was any more falsely decorated, he'd be Tim Walls. But you know, both run fraudulent governments. So in, in this case the 10 point plan, according to Fars plus, which is an Iranian state media source that they are again saying the US totally accepted all of these points. I'd say patience, I would say very unlikely. But I will give you the points here just because some of the comments are asking and I think, you know, why not quote the United States is committed in principle to non aggression, continued Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz. I would, I would doubt it. Iran wasn't Even able to effectively claim in the entirety of the control over the Strait of Hormuz to begin with. Acceptance of enrichment. Absolutely not a thing that has been accepted. Lifting of all primary and secondary sanctions. Again, no. Termination of all Security Council and Board of Governors resolutions. Again, very, very, very, very, very unlikely. Termination of all Security Council and Board of Governors. That's more likely anyway. Payment of damages by Iran. I'm guessing that they're suggesting they might pay for some of the damages against Gulf states. They're also suggesting the United States is going to pay for damages caused to Iran. Again, I doubt it. And then the withdrawal of US Combat forces from the region. That ain't happening, Captain. That ain't. I'm sorry. The idea that what we're going to abandon in Cerclic in Turkey. Yeah, we're not abandoning in Cirlic. That's not happening. The cessation of war on all fronts, including against the heroic Islamic resistance in Lebanon. No, not happening. I. Again, I don't think so. I very much doubt that the President of the United States has brought this forward and brought this through. And the core reason behind this, believe it or not, does move through to the polling and the price of Brent crude. Now, we're going to dive into some of the crazy market, you know, dated Brent crude oil price per barrel here in a couple of seconds. But before we get into that, I do want to cover one last piece here from the Trump administration. What does he get, what does the President get if he makes the deal here to open the Strait of Hormuz and go back into talks? What the President gets out of this is a massive, a massive reduction of the scope of the Iranian regime and more time for gun running. That's it. That's what I've been holding in my pocket. I found out about this a little bit this morning, so I might as well be very, very clear. God knows I've hinted about it quite a bit. I have a fair amount of contact with those who are in private military companies, PMCs, private military contracting agencies in that region of the world. And one of the things relayed to me was that the United States, and this has also been seconded by US Officials as well as the President of the United States, that the key point of delivering arms to the Iranian people, to rise up against the government has to come through the Kurdistan people. And there was an initial concern that the Kurdish people were going to take the arms and they were just going to hold on to them. They were just going to bolster their own Support for when they had to fight in Syria, Iraq and Iran simultaneously was the idea. That is not what took place. However, it has been a very grueling and difficult process to get the firearms. You know, you're assorted Kalashnikovs, and I actually don't know exactly what, what types of rifles have been smuggled specifically I would assume Kalashnikovs, given the, the ease of access to ammunition in the region already. And you know, Kalashnikovs you can stick in wet mud, pull it out two months later, give it a light cleaning, and it fires perfectly. But in this case, it was difficult to get the firearms from the Kurds over to the Iranian people at a rate that was consistent with the Obama administration running guns to the cartels. Because in, in the current situation with the Iranian government trying to suppress Internet connection, it was more difficult to get in touch with people to coordinate drop points, to pass out firearms. And the Iranian government tried very, very hard, knowing this was going on, to throw out false signals. This is one of the things that was a concern during the rescue of the weapons systems officer of the downed F15 Eagle in Kuzestan. Now, we do have a couple of updates on the President of the United States outlining some of the technology, the methods and the means that were used in that particular rescue. But at least right now, regarding a lot of the social media crew who's very, very upset going from the President's going to nuke everyone in the Middle east to oh, Trump was chickening out and he was never going to home. You got to pick one. You got to pick one. Either the President is using negotiation and using, I mean, the all in strategy and, and it might be the end for you and then getting what he wants, or simultaneously, or, excuse me, I should say juxtaposed, you got to say that he has no idea what he's doing and we're all going to die in its nuclear war. Well, I know we only have 26 minutes left to go and there has been a deal that has been agreed to by the Iranians, but very unlikely that we're actually going to see some kind of a big, super duper, huge, huge nuke strike in the region. So that, that, that aside, I am aware, by the way, over on the live chat, you know, people are a little aggravated kind of with, you know, some of the grumpiest of comments to kind of clarify things in a way I don't normally do. So our standard is that you're more than welcome to disagree with me. You don't have to think I'm fantastic or in agreement. You can't violate the the YouTube community standards on the live stream though. That will have to give you the boot throw. So from Quellen, a very kind ten dollar super chat again. You guys don't have to do that. I mean a very, very kind compliment said. You know, hey, how do you know Tony's influence is growing? Vast trolls, you know, and bots showing up. I don't know about that. I don't know about any of that. We're just here to kind of give you a quick update on the news. I know on the road the show doesn't have as much polish as the in home studio environment, but the news is something that we have to dive into regardless. This statement just delivered on behalf of the Supreme National Security Council of the Islamic Republic of Iran. This is from the Twitter account of Sayed Abbas Arakshi who is one of the foreign ministers in the Iranian Islamic regime. On behalf of the Islamic Republic of Iran, I express gratitude and appreciation for my dear brothers the Prime Minister Pakistan Sharif and Field Marshal Manour of Pakistan for their tireless efforts to end the war in the region. It's going to take a lot more sucking up to the regional Muslim countries to kind of get things moving again. But anywho, in response to the brotherly request of Sharif in his tweet and considering the request for the US negotiations based on its 15 point proposal. Again, the 15 point proposal from Trump is no enrichment, screw you. And the Iranian 10 point proposal is yes enrichment, screw you. So interest I'm I'm interested to see how this is going to play out in the next two weeks but an announcement of accepting hey we're going to talk about it. I hereby declare on behalf of the Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Zoran Mamdani's office in New York City and Ilhan Omar's brother husband. Quote from For a period of two weeks safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran's armed forces and with due consideration of technical limitations. Now I am going to level with you here. It would be wildly funny if that the ever true or the evercrew whatever that that ship that got stuck in the canal just a few miles to the west all of there was a big you know a massive container ship wedged in the straight over because there is that small area where there's that 30 mile stretch where there's really not a whole lot of room and there you know things are perhaps sitting commercial Ducks. So that stuff aside, I, I really am, I really am enjoying the multiplicity of takes right now because the data is saying something completely different. The data is saying something completely different. So first of all, while today at the announcement that Trump was striking Carg island and its military targets and might strike the Iranian infrastructure, and by the way, the thought that the United States could be the sole nation if taking Carg island be the sole nation in charge of selling oil to China from the Middle east, which would not be a very exciting day for Winnie the Pooh, President Xi of China. The Brent crude, it got a little spicy. So this would be the physical cargo pricing, not futures spiked to a high of $144 a barrel. Now back in 2021, into 2022, it spiked up to like 138. Brent futures are still 110. So there were a lot of accounts running and saying, oh, wow, Brent crude, it spiked up from, from $110 a barrel to $140 a barrel. Now Brent futures are still at $110 a barrel. It's kind of been sitting there throughout the day. I actually had a long discussion about this with producer Daniel, who's not only our executive producer, but kind of a macroeconomics mastermind about refiners paying upfront right now and kind of trying to get in on the actual barrel purchases. But financial markets aren't really pricing in sustained disruption. So what you're getting are kind of like a higher upfront cost at some ports, but you're not actually seeing this over a broad scope because while the market is global, different prices for different, different ports, that does change some of the calculus here. Now, Reuters is reporting that the New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said that the Middle east energy shock could push up headline inflation this year and that the New York Fed's March survey showed one year inflation expectations rose from. Rose to 3.4% from 3%. However, there have been other kind of Federal Reserve economists who have stumbled forward to say that's also not true because the rate of inflation increase is trending downward. And so essentially they're kind of hunting in the dark. And when I say hunting in the dark, I mean the labor numbers were also expected to be something totally different in Q1 than what they actually ended up being. That's also the same with energy production and sales globally, as well as kind of the global shipping data that comes in across a whole different series of categories for groceries, for construction and labor goods, for military accentuated and commercial labor goods. Things like steel, certain industrial chemicals that you're not painting your house with at Home Depot when you, you know, have a new build. So these kinds of products scaled around the globe, a lot of people are hunting in the dark. So when you have a lot of people hunting in the dark, you get some a lot of crazy, insane, goofy nonsense that come to the table. Because when a lot of economists are hunting in the dark, they're not releasing speculation. So the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal and the New York Post all the way over to some of the local outlets around the country don't have economists that are strutting forward with their I predict everything will be great or I predict we're all going to die. The Jim Cramer on CNBC style of takes. Well, then you've got to have something that fills that vacuum. And unfortunately for the country, everyone was on this today and it was a wild super Smash brothers brawl of a fist fight style day and this particular fist fight style day. I am sorry, I shouldn't check texts from our our Daily Signal correspondent in Ohio during the show. Some of you guys in the comments section are absolutely hilarious. The Iranian craziness came to the forefront. And so what we saw today when the president got up this morning and said we could see a civilization ending this evening, now there are a lot of people suggesting different things on what the president meant again with the God bless the Iranian people at the end, one would assume he's talking about this civilization that was built through the Muslim caliphates that raped Europe and Africa, that consistently brutally proselytized to the blade and the bullet any individuals and civilizations that they came across that that could be what he's talking about. We don't know based on the president's comments though, that he meant like we're
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going to take every Persian rug and we're going to set it on fire. Also, you know what, that Iranian tea brand, the Persians, we're going to, we're going to toss it in the harbor.
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No, that's not what the President of the United States was suggesting. That didn't stop, of course, former Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene from announcing 25th Amendment in all caps with an unnecessary amount of explanation of points. Not a single bomb has dropped on America. We cannot kill an entire civilization. This is evil and madness. The gaslighting. No, the gaslighting. Very, very unlikely. There's a lot of people from Alex Jones to Candace Owens to Tucker Carlson, you know, the who were saying that, oh man, how could you mock Muslims and be so mean? Tucker Carlson making the bizarre argument today that just like the Democrat senators were suggesting, the President of the United States had officials under him who needed to start disobeying orders. Bizarre.
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A
If you work in the White House or in the US Military. Now it's time to say, no, absolutely not, and say it directly to the President. No. In case you're thinking about using some weapon of mass destruction against the population of Iran.
- [36:47]
B
I love how we went to nukes. So we went straight, he's going to nuke. We hadn't dropped the mother of all bombs. We hadn't dropped daisy cutters. There's just an entire selection Neo in the Matrix, the gun rack spinning by, a whole menu of options that the United States could have used that had not touched yet. In discussing destruction to Iranian physical targets that does not involve a nuke. You guys do realize that there's this thing called wind and weather, and a nuclear strike carries that fallout, that radioactive dust. I don't know if you know this. The Middle east is freaking dusty. Ask any man who served in Operation Enduring Freedom about the dust that would seep into the room temperature. Rip it. You were trying to drink. All right. Dust is a way of life. Radioactive dust in the Middle East. Yeah, that weather doesn't stay there. That sweeps over a huge landmass. The United States was not about to nuke a country. Stop it. But here we have a guy saying, oh, he's weapons of mass destruction, in
- [37:46]
A
whose name we liberated Iran. We killed their religious leader for their benefit. Do you remember that? This was last month. Those people who are in direct contact with the President need to say, no, I'll resign. I'll do whatever I can do legally to stop this, because this is insane. And if given the order, I'm not carrying it out. Figure out the codes on the football yourself.
- [38:12]
B
Yeah, okay. That's stunning. This is from the same guy who lost it, that the President of the United States would mock Islam. Now, again, I saw a lot of Facebook posts saying that when President Trump, at the end of a tweet telling Iran to open the effing strait. Oh, wait a minute. Hey, check it out. Iran's open to the effing straight. How about that? Anyway, when the president was making that argument on Easter, and then at the end, clearly and sarcastically said, praise be to Allah, and a lot of people were losing their mind saying, oh, how could he say that? So terrible. A quick reminder that even those like Tucker Carlson knew that the President of the United States was mocking radical Islam, and he got really upset. About this because there's an entire crew on the left, the Senate Democrats, the House Democrats, and those who aren't in office, some of whom, like Marjorie Taylor Greene, used to be in office but are on kind of the pseudo podcast sphere. Right. Suggesting that that. Oh, man, mocking Islam is. Oh, it's so wrong. It's terrible. Here was that explanation the message in
- [39:07]
A
our Bible, which is, you are not God, and only if you think you are, do you talk this way. But it's not just mockery of Islam, and no president should mock Islam. That's not your job. This is not a theocracy. We don't go to war with other theocracies to find out which theocracy is more effective.
- [39:29]
B
Okay, again, first of all, the idea. And he goes on to. To complain that, well, I mean, you know, actually mocking Islam is mocking the very idea of faith itself. Yeah, that's about. So bringing it back to the deal, a couple of updates. Right now, Brent crude futures are plummeting according to some of the information we're getting. Crude oil and then like the Brent actual is falling to 91 $90 a barrel already in the future, like the aftermarket trading. So again, this deal is being taken very, very, very well by kind of the international market and community. So what do we know at this point? Because there are new updates that are still surging forward. I'm not trying to cut away to other news stories to tease you. I want a little bit of clarification on a couple of these bits of information and confirmation before we deliver them to you. The first is a confirmed report that there has been a major explosion in the Baghdad, Iraq airport vicinity. Victoria Base has been targeted. Again, we don't have a lot of information on whether that came from some kind of a drone or missile strike, possibly one of the ones on its way over to Israel. Again, if it's accurate enough to hit the airport, probably not. Or if that was someone, you know, strapping on a backpack and getting a little excited. A White House official has now issued a statement that it may take a little bit of time for the orders to reach the lower ranks of the Iranian or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Again, this really shouldn't be surprising to any of you because at the onset of this particular operation, one of the first orders that was issued from one of the Iranian regimes, you know, that individuals who's not even here anymore had issued a essentially a yo yo order, a you're on your own order to the various provinces, the IRGC individuals over in the rest of the country saying, hey, you need to do things on your own because we're likely not going to be able to communicate with you for quite a while. So yes, it would make sense that it would take them a little bit of, a little bit of a while to get over those orders to trickle down. Additionally alerts in Dubai and that would be of course in the United Arab Emirates. A missile launch detected in Iran. So again, it's just very unclear at this point whether Iran is going to keep firing missiles towards everyone else. And if you say it's just towards, well, I mean, of course, you know, Iran would continue firing missiles towards Israel. They're also now firing missiles towards Dubai and the uae. This was, by the way, their planned retaliation. So we have in a different section of the show, notes because again, the news has changed that. The Iranian retaliation, the Iranian response that was suggested that they were threatening was that they were going to strike the key oil pipeline in the eastern portion of Saudi Arabia as well as with the United Arab Emirates. So this would have been the Aramco oil facilities, Saudis Yanbu and the United Arab Emirates Fujairah pipeline if the United States were to strike Iran's power plants. Now, Iran has tried to fire a series of missiles and drones before at Iranian or excuse me, at Saudi Arabian and UAE oil infrastructure. But it's again, it's going to be interesting to see if members of the IRGC reject this ceasefire. And then here's the interesting thing because right now the IRGC is, is completely opposed to President Pazakistan who again has been seen as kind of a weakling. You know, some over on the mainstream media side would say he's a moderate. You know, doesn't really want to have his nuts blown off by a pager. You know, that kind of a guy. Their IRGC who again appointed or forced the Council of Experts to appoint Muhtaba Khomeini, the gay son of Al Khamenei who is currently in a coma. Al Khamenei is currently extra dead. The irgclass style marched in with their rifles and pointed them at the Council of Experts while they were voting on the new supreme Leader of Iran. But it is the Trump administration who's been trying to communicate with Iranian President Pajakian to try to get these particular negotiations through. So the, if the IRGC just up and says no, this might be an off ramp for President Baja to try to appeal to the civilian population of Iran and you might have a civil war that starts a little bit soon. I don't know what that would look like because again, the IRGC is so heavily woven into the entire Iranian military complex that it's unlikely you would see a Soviets in 91 style winter couple where the army faced off against the Air Force and the tankers faced off against a couple of naval officers. I very much doubt that it would be that significant. But it is worth pointing out that there could be a significant rift between, you know, President Pizekian. You know, I again, it really, really, really is bizarre. Bizarre that the President of the United States who has negotiated the exact same way the entire time he has been in office, continues to get results in the exact same way that he has before. Now we have other news to cover. There's, of course, information on this, this Dignity act or the Dignidad act written by Representative Maria Elvira Salazar. Again, I'm up here in Fort Wayne, Indiana. I talked to one of the co sponsors of the bill, a Republican. Interesting perspectives on the inside of it. We might have to push a little bit of that coverage to tomorrow because there is, is quite a lot of, a lot of tried a lot, quite a lot of information on the Middle Eastern situation flowing through. A lot of clips that we haven't even gotten to share to you just yet. Clarifying a few things with one of my intelligence sources that's currently in Bahrain. Yeah, I mean, just a whole list of those suggesting the president needed to be impeached because he opened the strait back up because he was. Again, his statement in which he used the term a civilization might end tonight, or he said a whole civilization will die tonight. They took that to mean that he's going to kill all of the people of Persia and Kurdistan and the other ethnic minorities from Nancy Pelosi saying Donald Trump's instability is more clear and dangerous than ever. If the cabinet is not willing to invoke the 25th Amendment. Do you not know Marco Rubio anyway, and restore sanity, Republicans must reconvene the Congress to end the war. Best of luck to you. Very, very fine. Best of luck to you. Some of the other information trickling in. Just, just a bizarre, bizarre, bizarre. Sorry, checking a few things here. Some of the updates that are coming in are a bit interesting. They're kind of juxtaposed with themselves. They're not quite in agreement. Okay. All right. Oh, we have to send the radio broadcast and TV crew out in a second. We'll continue on the live stream with this for a little bit longer. Sorry for some of the vocal pauses. I did want to make it as accurate as I could this evening. So according to Barack Ravid over at Axios, he says a US Defense official has told Axios that the ceasefire is in force and the US has suspended strikes in Iran. And that the White House official to Axios has said the US expects it's going to take some of those orders time to trickle down to the lower ranks of the irgc. But a different US Official is again, this is just leakers upon leakers sharing little things from inside the administration saying that if the Iranians are attempting to fire at US Bases in the UAE then it will retaliate on sites from which those missiles flew. Now there are still drones that are active over the skies in Iran as well as some of our surveillance equipment that are probably keeping track of again probably thermal flares, other information like this. Again, of course the, the Israeli government has suggested it's very much not a fan of this current ceasefire, but it has agreed to the temporary ceasefire according to Elena Treen over at cnn. That's one of the things I wanted to clarify. It wasn't clear yet whether Israel had agreed to the ceasefire while still receiving ballistic missile launches from some of the southern and western regions in Iran. The White House has that being the President of the United States. And then the White House has also shared the statement from Syed Abbas Arashi, the minister of foreign affairs for the Iranian regime. The price of crude in the futures is just falling. It's already fallen below 90 and it's still sinking. It would be rather bizarre to see the price sink below 80 because at the start of the conflict that's it was at about 80. Iran has inserted a caveat about quote technical limitations and heavy handed coordination requirements. So we'll see if Iran is making some kind of a, making some kind of a plan. Yes, we'll see if Iran is, is making some kind of a plan to limit the amount of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz perhaps to keep the, to keep certain prices high. Again, that's in speculation territory. We normally don't report that to y' all as news. Over here on the Tony Kinnit cast, I will take a second to answer a few mail time questions. Those that have thrown in, you know, comments that you know, we've, we've seen here those also over in the show's discord of course a link to that discord in the description from Marcus Holiday with a really kind, really kind 20 super chat. Again you guys do not have to give money to the show saying hey great show tonight, Tony, thank you Very much. Just a question for you. How does this conflict affect the psyche of the American people? For example, how the war in Vietnam negatively impacted the American psyche during and after the war. I mean, if the President of the United States effectively killing Al Khamenei, going in, doing an incredible rescue operation, destroying a ton of the Iranian ability to do all kinds of things, if this ends with the Iranian government, the Islamic regime falling and the Kurds becoming Kurdistan, which is a huge problem that has needed to be rectified for a very long time, if the American people see oil prices sink lower and lower, if we see oil price, maybe if the United States does in fact run Carg island at some point or a new deal is reached of some sort and oil then sinks below $80 and becomes 70 or 60 and gas prices in the United States plummet, then the Americans are going to be really bullish on this. They're going to see this is incredibly successful. That's the real mark here. That's, that's the real secret. Americans like results. Now, again, it's been a month. It's been a month. And if the president comes out of this, taking out again the president of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, and then moves forward with pseudo collapsing Cuba, getting a bunch of prisoners released so far at the very least, and moves forward with collapsing the Iranian Islamic regime, so that Pizekian is calling the shots instead of the irgc, that's a pretty significant shift. But it's too early to tell. If Americans see victory, then they'll take it as victory. They like results. It's like the Artemis 2 project, seeing it in front of them. That's a kind of thing that resonates now. Again, the Vietnam era of, oh, we can't do anything was ended with the Gulf War, the Gulf War in 91, when the United States absolutely blasted the living crap out of Saddam Hussein and we destroyed them. And then again, a month, month and a half later, we were, you know, moving out. We didn't finish the job, which again, there's obviously some concerns to be listed here about finishing the job that cured the Americans kind of Iraq, or, excuse me, Americans, Vietnam syndrome, well, then we had the Iraq and Afghanistan War and that syndrome. So if that is cured by a series of quick and decisive military interventions that are even more successful than our intervention in Panama, well, then that's going to carry over. Now, how is that going to carry over electorally? Well, that's a totally different question. And this is something that we'll have to talk about with. Of course, Rob Bluey, president of the Daily Signal here in a couple of minutes. So that moved forward. I want to get a couple more mailtime style questions and then we'll, we'll dive over to Rob Louie and then I'm sure there will be news to break. On the other side of that from Kevin Stankowitz, a very kind $2 super chat said. Well, it's actually more the Iranian taco. Tehran always chickens out. We'll see. We will see. Another question. Were the Chinese vaulted vast strategic oil reserves empty because corrupt Chinese officials secretly sold off all of the fuel years ago? No, it's likely that they had just used it to buffer their own economy because this is kind of what communist countries do. I will remind you that the reason the Chinese screwed themselves over so early on with Mao is that they went through a famine and Mao said, no, we need to look like there's no famine and we're not doing slave labor and, you know, communism sucking. So we're going to export food in the middle of a famine. Which how the Chinese didn't learn from one of the greatest British mistakes and most cruel mistakes of the British government against the Irish of all time. You know, your guess is as good as mine. But in this particular instance, the Chinese have always been telling the world, oh, we have all of the oil, we have all of the AI, we have all of the military weapons, we have the fastest planes that can do loop de loops and can kill 800 F22s at once. No, always. The Chinese communist government will build a massive city for no one to live into and that it'll fall apart due to weather in a couple of years because again, the concrete doesn't have rebar. So again, I think that the Chinese bragging about their oil reserves, of course they're in a major oil shortage because communist countries lie. That's just kind of the thing that they do. All right, we're going to cut over to our interview that we were able to do a little bit before I headed up here north to Fort Wayne. Regarding the updates from Capitol Hill and what Congress is actually going to do, does this change some of the calculus on the President's decision and also the 60 day timer before the President has to go to Congress. If Iran cuts the ceasefire at the end of two weeks, does this count as a new military operation? Those are some important questions. So we're going to cut over to Rob Bluey. Don't go anywhere. A lot more to cover tonight. It's the Tony Kinnid cast here on The Daily Signal. Here on the Tony Kennett cast. You know the music. Which means it's time for our dear friend Rob Bluey, president of the Daily Signal and the guy who most likely has the answer for one of the weirdest corkscrew roller coasters in polling that a lot of people weren't expecting. That is the generic congressional ballot lead is sing is like getting closer together, Democrats and Republicans, a lot of weird stuff going on right now. Rob, what do voters actually want out of Congress? Because that's who's being elected here in a couple of months.
- [55:59]
G
That's right. We are counting down the days. I mean, there are some big elections between now and then, a lot of primary contests that will determine whether or not the Democrats go to a far left approach to the candidates they're putting on the ballot. I mean, we're already seeing Graham Planter, the far left candidate in Maine who has a double digit lead over the governor, Janet Mills, pivoting to a general election posture against Susan Collins. And so I think that Republicans are salivating at the chance to, to maybe take on some of these socialist Bernie Sanders style candidates in general election contests. And maybe that's an indication, Tony, as to why the generic ballot is, is the way it is. Because there's a, you know, obviously a contingent on the left and the Democrat Party that would like to nominate hardcore progressives for the Senate races or these House races. In some cases they haven't been successful. In some states the moderates and more independent minded individuals have pushed back on that. But as we saw with the most recent release of the Heritage Action scorecard, you know, covered exclusively by the Daily Signal, there are, I think only three Democrats in the House who scored anything above a zero on that scorecard. And so the party is. Yeah, exactly. The party is already on the far left. I can't get much more extreme. But that just goes to show, you know, where things stand right now.
- [57:23]
B
And obviously it's good when you head into an election to have that kind of a buffer. If you're a Republican, you're running in the election, you say, oh well, at least I'm running against Jack the Ripper and also the schizophrenic straight jacket wearing person running in whatever district. But that's not enough to get people out to vote for you. Maybe that's enough to demoralize people not to show up for again the crazy person who takes baths with toasters. But on your side of the aisle, you got to encourage, inspire people to actually think you're worth showing up for. And I'm not quite sure if I look at the self reflection polls on the right side of the aisle that Congress has done. What's the word here? Anything to appeal to voters.
- [58:03]
G
Yeah, I mean we've gone through. Well, let's rewind obviously to last year where the big focus for the first six months of the year was on passing the President's one big beautiful bill. That was a priority for both Speaker Johnson and Majority Leader John th. First they debated should we do one bill, two bills. They eventually came came to decide that they were going to pack everything into one piece of legislation. They got it done. The president triumphantly signed it on July 4th of 2025. And we're seeing the results of that now in our tax returns. I don't know about you, Tony, but I mean I got a refund this year that was larger than most years passed. And I think a lot of Americans are seeing the benefits of Republican governance. The problem is they immediately went from that one big beautiful bill to trying to fund the government. And of course we know they got sidelined by Democrats who threw up everything that they could to have the longest government shut down. We still have a shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, for instance. And now you have a situation where the clock is really ticking on Republicans ability to get another reconciliation bill through that can enact the rest of Donald Trump's agenda. And that is the big question when Congress returns from this recess, number one, they have to solve the DHS funding situation. And it seems that they've reached a resolution at least how they're going to do that without ICE and customs and border protection. But, but yeah, there's a lot more that they can do, particularly as you indicate, with voters expecting them to actually get the job done.
- [59:34]
B
And this doesn't just fall into the category of funding certain aspects of the government or even withholding funding because it seems like that's the only kind of legislation that Congress is putting forward. We talk about the power of the purse and that Article 1 authority and hey, I mean that's all Congress seems to be doing. But there's a lot more that Americans expect from them of cultural policy, environmental policy, all of the regulatory policy, not to mention keeping our judicial system, I mean, forgetting check at this point, just telling them to slow down might be perhaps time better spent. What do you think that based on kind of the coverage that we've been pushing out from the editorial side, what does it appear voters are looking for more? More like regulatory cultural policy or Reining in the judicials or is it, you know, kind of an eat and walk, chew gum at the same time?
- [60:19]
G
Well, I think it's, I think it's probably a little bit of both. I would say the number one issue that we most often hear from our Daily Signal audience is on the issues of election integrity and the cost of living. They are concerned about both of those, those issues, rightfully so. I mean, I think probably, you know, the economy and cost of living has surged a little bit more in the past month given the, the war in Iran and the fact that gas prices are now above $4. I mean, it's, it's certainly top of mind and there's even concerns that grocery prices could go up even more. But remember, before the Easter recess, the Senate was in this debate over the Save America act and the Save America act, as we've talked about before, would impose some pretty common sense provisions, put them in place for, for when it came to registering to vote, showing proof of citizenship, having a voter ID when you go to vote, those things that are supported by 70 to 80% of Americans, even including a majority of Democrats. And poll after poll. And unfortunately, Senate Majority Leader John TH did not decide to go ahead with the talking filibuster. He did a kind of a modified version of that where he opened the debate, but they couldn't get it across the finish line. And so we hope, at least me as a conservative hopes that the Senate will come back and we'll be able to finish that debate and really force the Democrats to defend their pretty extreme position in opposing this measure.
- [61:42]
B
Forgive me for doom and glooming here for a second, and I don't mean to ask hypotheticals that just have gray skies here, but I do like to be prepared. I do like to get kind of the perspective on those who have seen a lot of these events go through and maybe a lot of hopes that, and things that Americans wish that Congress would do, wish the House would accomplish, the Senate would accomplish. Let's say that we sit in the Lazy Boy a little bit longer, we get through June, July into August, and there's a whole lot of nothing being done still. So like quarter one, quarter two starts to end. What happens if we get to Q3, Q4, and we still don't have anything from Congress? What do you see the campaign pitches or that kind of energy looking like?
- [62:21]
G
Well, yeah, exactly. That's when you get to the third quarter of this year, you can pretty much guarantee that the members of Congress are going to be, want to be, want to be back home in their districts campaigning. So they won't even know Capitol Hill
- [62:32]
B
exactly where I'm going.
- [62:35]
G
So, Tony, what they're, what they're going to have to do is they're going to have to fall back on the one big beautiful bill. And there was a lot in that bill to sell, obviously. But I think that what what voters expect, and I think, particularly if you're a Republican or a conservative voter, you have seen from the past what Democrats do when they have power under a Donald Trump presidency, and that is impeach him. And they're going to go through and not only that, but probably trying to take out and, and impeach members of his Cabinet. They're going to launch investigations, do all sorts of subpoenas. They're not going to be interested in governance at all. They're just going to be throwing up roadblock after roadblock. So I think if you're a Republican voter or conservative voter, you're probably asking yourself, why aren't these representatives acting with more urgency to get things done? And I understand in the House in particular, the margins are pretty narrow and you count, you can't count on Thomas Massie, you know, to have his vote. And so the margins even get tighter when not all Republicans are working together on the same team. But it's a big question that I think Republicans are going to have to struggle with and grapple with on the campaign trail this fall.
- [63:39]
B
I think it's pretty on point. I mean, again, sorry to ask you to gaze into the crystal ball, but given that you're in D.C. maybe if you can't give me the whole weather forecast, you know, maybe you talk to a few more weathermen than I do. And it's good to get that perspective because people do think as to, well, what if, you know, Congress doesn't get it together and get some things through? And it's something that I do want to keep an eye out for just so at least we can be prepared, you know, absolutely.
- [64:03]
G
We need to be. And it's one of those things where we'll get, we'll get some, you know, bellwethers along the way. Just in two weeks, Tony, we have a big vote in the Commonwealth of Virginia on redistricting. We'll see how that goes. And based on some poll, recent polling, it seems that the no vote, which would be a vote vote against Spanberger's plan for redistricting, maybe it's a sign that Democrats have overreached a little bit.
- [64:26]
B
You know, I'm actually going to kick you out for a second. We're going to talk to the audience a little bit about Virginia Abigail Spanberger and her mad reign of terror and kind of what that spells for the future. Rob Blowy, president of the Daily Signal, thanks as always.
- [64:38]
G
Thanks, Tony.
- [64:40]
B
All right, so there are a couple of details here right at the end about Abigail Spanberger that we will touch on. By the way, it is now 8:10pm Iran is not nuke. The Iranian regime appears to be moving towards getting all of the rockets and missiles to stop firing. Again. I'm, you know, right after Trump threatened to erase the Iranian Islamic regime permanently if they didn't open the Strait of Hormuz by 8pm and then showed he was serious by striking smaller infrastructure targets, the dude ended up getting a deal 90 minutes beforehand. Wow. Ah, man. Who, who could have seen that coming? What I also will say that I saw coming was that Abigail Spanberger, the governor of Virginia. Do you like that? Like that segue now has the worst favorability rating for a governor in just 80 days than any Virginia governor of the 21st century. That's as long as we've been monitoring polls. And why is she so wildly, wildly unpopular? Because she again ran as a moderate. And then once getting into office, acts like an absolute nutcase. And we're starting to see some special elections trending in favor of the Republicans after kind of a disastrous beginning of the year because those who get into office, especially on the congressional side, we've talked about with, with quite a cast of characters getting into office and acting like nutcases is now the norm. So now we are able to say via the decision desk is calling the Georgia election for not Democrat Sean Harris, but for the Republican. According to, again, according to decision desk, excuse me, this would be now representative elect Clay Fuller. So he was expected to win. This is Marjorie Taylor Greene's old seat. There was a rumor that, oh, maybe this was going to flip Democrat. No, no. Looks like he won that special election this evening. That would be the Republican candidate, Clay Fuller, who was now going to be the representative elect of that district down in Georgia. Now back to Spanberger. So once you're in office, though, this kind of craziness, it really is getting to the point where you might see this impact the redistricting vote in Virginia because Spanberger didn't come in and govern as a moderate. She's governed as a nutcase. And this governing as a nut case has ended up with her signing a bill into law that would give public school districts the ability to Invoke red flag laws. So red flag laws are the idea where your family or a spouse of a person going through a mental crisis can call the police and say, hey, this person is going through an absolute mental breakdown. I worry for their safety and other safety. You should come take their firearms. Now, I have a lot of issues with red flag laws to begin with because what's to stop your crazy ex from deciding that, you know, they want the cops to come take all your guns away Again, that's a thing that has been seen before. But what Abigail Spanberger just signed into law. This is according to our Virginia news crew over at the Daily Signal. Spanberger just signed into law a provision that would allow schools, public schools in Virginia to decide that a parent, a person is mentally unstable and then ask the police to then go and confiscate their firearms. Homie, that's not a moderate position. That's not something moderates do. And that is one of the reasons why. And we've, we've cited Harry Enten's polling on this before. We, you know, we can definitely go into a number of things on moving into this election cycle. The Democrats losing their lead. And again, the Democrats are still in the lead on the generic ballot, as one would expect, but that lead is shrinking considerably. Here's Harry Entin on this data. We shared kind of some of the earlier points on it. The lines are continuing to get closer and closer and closer.
- [68:35]
H
Well, I would say this, Mr. Berman, and that is that this lead is historically low for Democrats at this point with a Republican president. Because take a look here. I'm taking a look at the average of all the polls. Jim. Die Dem generic congressional ballot lead at this point in the cycle with the Republican president, on average, their lead's actually slightly less. It's five points. That's less than it was back in 2018 when it was eight points and way less than it was during the 2006 cycle when it was 11 points. So, yeah, Democrats are ahead, but they're only ahead by five. With a president whose net approval rating is bordering on minus 20 to minus 30, depending on what polls you look at, you'd make the argument Democrats should be way ahead and they're just only sort of slightly ahead.
- [69:17]
B
Now, to be clear, five points might be enough for them to retake the House, which is really a narrow margin, would not take much at all. Democrats would blow it. And the Senate. Yeah, is a different matter.
- [69:27]
H
Yeah, the Senate is a different matter. I think five points is enough to take back the House. But in the Senate, 5 points is almost certainly not enough if you apply it to the Senate map.
- [69:36]
B
Why do I now, of course, we've already talked about the why with Roblu. We've talked about the fact that no one really cares for Congress. And we'll cover that in some of the news later this week. Some of the updates from Iran. The Pentagon has announced they're holding a press briefing at 8am tomorrow morning. We'll bring you into the updates from that. Pakistan Prime Minister Shabazz Sharif has said, quote, with greatest humility, I'm pleased to announce that the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America, along with their allies, have agreed to an immediate ceasefire everywhere, including, including Lebanon. So that would mean including Hezbollah, which is. That's quite the update. Effective immediately. He puts that in all caps. He said, I warmly welcome the sagacious gesture. Sagacious, Ooh. And extend deepest gratitude to the leadership of both the countries and invite their delegations to Islamabad on Friday 10th April, 2026. That's three days from now to further negotiate for a conclusive agreement to settle all disputes. I'm going to let you in on a little secret. Very unlikely that is in fact settled. But we'll have to see again, we will see some of these things in play again. The Brent crude falling the Strait of Hormuz open, at least for the meantime, changes some of the calculus. And again, as we talked about early in the show, it allows for some gun running to continue. Either way right now, the degradation of the Iranian regime and their effectiveness in any kind of forward capacity, that's, that's pretty significant. That said, last statement here from Shabazz here. Both parties have displayed remarkable wisdom and understanding. I love diplomatic butt kissing, don't you? I love. Everyone is smart and wise and amazing. I'm, you know, anyway, sorry. And have remained constructively engaged in furthering the cause of peace and stability. We earnestly hope that the Islamabad talks. Oh, be still, my beating heart. Succeed in a chaining achieving sustainable peace and a wish to share more good news in the coming days. Now, I know that English ain't this dude's first language and you gotta put a little flowery prose into a statement. That's just what diplomats do. Uh, but again, interesting stuff. I, again, I was told quite consistently, I was told quite consistently that, you know, the President of the United States was gonna nuke Iran and then he didn't. Uh, now I'm told that he's a chicken for not nuking Iran, which is, I love, I love the triple standard. It's absolutely stellar. Again, also worth it pointing out how truly hilarious it is that the Democrat, Senate and House are trying desperately to argue that the president of the United States needs to be impeached via the 25th Amendment when they had an actual corpse in office less than two years ago. So best of luck to him. A real good luck to him, I guess. So that all said, genuinely hope you guys have an excellent evening. Before you go, if you subscribe to the channel, throw a like on the video. We'd really appreciate it. I mean seriously, that would be great. Really helps us out for sure. We'd love to see you back tomorrow evening, 7pm Eastern from home in our actual home studio. So again, thank you so much for joining our coverage on this breaking Iranian news. And we will keep up on some of these additional details and also tomorrow a lot of the stories that we were unable to tackle today. Again, if you'd like to join us over on our show's Discord, chat with us a little bit more. Throw in some questions for mail time. The link to our Discord is in the description that said take care and have an excellent evening. This is the Tony Knittcast here on the Daily Signal, nationally syndicated and first on 93 WIBC. Sam.