The Wolf Of All Streets — Crypto Town Hall
Episode: BITCOIN BREAKING OUT. Crypto Ready To Fly? (#CryptoTownHall)
Host: Scott Melker
Date: January 14, 2026
Overview
This episode dives into the current Bitcoin rally, examining whether this is the anticipated breakout moment for the crypto markets, with an eye on Bitcoin pushing $97,000. Scott Melker is joined by multiple prominent guests from trading and asset management to discuss investor behavior, institutional flows, ETF impacts, the evolving regulatory climate, and the deeper meaning (and risks) of mainstream Bitcoin adoption. The panel explores both bullish catalysts and the ideological divides within crypto, focusing not only on price action but also on the future direction of digital assets.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
1. Is This the Breakout Moment?
- Current Situation: Bitcoin trading just under $97k, taps $97,000 for the first time in a while.
- Host Sentiment: Scott expresses growing optimism, citing bullish conversations with other thought leaders and strong price action.
- "This show is a hell of a lot more fun when Bitcoin is $97,000 than it is when it's $87,000." (00:22)
- Panel Consensus: The move feels different—less like a one-off ‘God candle’ and more of a sustainable ‘grinding rally’ supported by steady institutional buying and exhaustion of sellers. (01:45–05:43)
2. The Mechanics of a Rally: Why Slow, Sustained Buying Wins
- Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Real, lasting rallies are typically gradual.
- "What gets people excited is fear of missing out. And how do you get fear of missing out? Grinding rallies. How do you get grinding rallies? Buying… from the institutional world, people allocating small percentage of their portfolio into bitcoin at the same time as sellers getting exhausted." — Dave (02:00)
- Significance of Psychological Resistance Levels: $100,000 is a “well-supplied” level; breaking through could trigger larger gains, especially as lingering shorts add fuel. (05:19–06:02)
3. Institutional Flows and Long-Term Investors
- Matt (Bitwise): 2025 saw wirehouses (Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Merrill Lynch, UBS) open up crypto access to clients for the first time, unlocking vast pools of "old money" and bringing in new, longer-term investors.
- "We saw what, three quarters of a billion dollars of flows into Bitcoin ETFs yesterday. That’s a very big number. And I don’t see that slowing down." — Matt (07:02)
- Holding Patterns: Financial advisors and their clients make multi-year commitments, in stark contrast to the short-term mindset of many retail traders.
- "99% of these advisors said they were going to increase or maintain their exposure. 99% in the worst year in the last like three or four years." — Matt (09:10)
- Impact: These sticky flows build a stronger price floor and help shift the market’s base from ‘whale’ traders to institutional asset managers. (09:57–11:33)
4. Correlation with Equities, Altcoin Rotation, and Technicals
- Market Rotation: Bitcoin’s recent strength stands out given some equity market weakness; altcoins are showing constructive outperformance—a departure from previous cycles.
- "If you want to make the argument that your asset is uncorrelated and that's a good thing, that also means you don't benefit from the up moves in the rest of the market." — Scott (12:37)
- Technical Signals: Ethereum, notably, is trading above its 50-week moving average—a bullish sign not seen in Bitcoin yet, sparking hope among technicians that the bottom may be in for ETH and, by extension, the broader market. (38:10–39:19)
5. MicroStrategy & STRC Structure
- Fundamentals: MicroStrategy continues to serve as a leveraged Bitcoin play, with new instruments like STRC (preferred shares) fueling additional accumulation.
- "STRC as a rocket on the launch pad, but not having the ignition. And as they were raising the interest rate, it was getting closer, and now we have ignition, we have takeoff." — Tomer (20:56)
- Risk/Reward: While offering high yield (11%), the strategy represents a levered bet on Bitcoin’s performance. Outperformance could make it a winning trade, but it amplifies both upside and downside moves. (24:23–27:09)
6. Passive & Index-Based Crypto Investing
- Growth in Index Solutions: Index-based and model portfolio approaches for crypto are just beginning, paralleling traditional equities. AUM in these products is set to grow massively, with institutional investors preferring set-and-forget index funds for the long run.
- "We run the largest index fund in the world. It's about a billion dollars in most markets...I think it will get there and what it will mean that money is money that comes in and stays for 10 years." — Matt (30:25)
- Demand for Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs): Asset managers and banks are increasingly seeking white-label and custom crypto allocations for clients, a clear sign of maturity and mainstreaming. (32:07–32:48)
7. Morgan Stanley & Major Institutions ‘Jumping into the Pool’
- Strategic Commitment: Morgan Stanley is moving from merely approving outside crypto ETFs to launching its own branded ETFs—a move that signals a deep strategic commitment and irreversibility.
- "Morgan Stanley could Green Light Bitcoin ETFs...but if it is putting its name on a Bitcoin ETF...it can’t really walk that back. It shows having crypto is a fundamental part of their long-term view." — Matt (34:34)
- Competitive Landscape: This signals an "all the way in" move and is a step-change from the caution seen post-FTX collapse. (34:34–36:48)
8. Regulatory Overhang & Political Uncertainties
- Clarity Act Delay: Numerous amendments (especially from bank lobbyists) are stalling key crypto legislation. The panel is pessimistic about quick resolution, but emphasizes that Bitcoin's progress seems increasingly independent from D.C. gridlock. (46:30–47:01)
- Bitcoin’s Resilience: "Bitcoin doesn't care whether Washington sorts out its stablecoin legislation or not. And it's just, it's doing its own thing." — Tomer (48:15)
9. Philosophical Debate: Adoption vs. Core Values
- Bruce’s Critique: Skepticism toward institutional adoption and the ETF boom; warns against ‘fake’ adoption that strips Bitcoin of its original properties and permissionless utility.
- "Scarcity alone doesn’t make something valuable. What makes bitcoin valuable is honestly the opposite of what this is. It’s the decentralization, permissionless asset that's unstoppable..." — Bruce (50:03)
- "They're not talking about the...stuff that people who onboarded bitcoin were talking about in 2012. They're not saying here's a way to disrupt the Fed." — Bruce (57:10)
- Pushback: Others argue broader access (even if imperfect) expands awareness and adoption, setting the stage for greater understanding and regulatory clarity in the future. Still, deep ideological fault lines persist regarding the tradeoffs of mainstream financialization. (52:23–54:44, 58:38–62:02)
Notable Quotes & Moments
-
Dave on Rally Dynamics:
"V bottoms are incredibly unique. They don't happen very often and they always have some massive fundamental reason for them when they occur. What is far more likely is a bottoming process where the...smart money says it's going to keep going down and it doesn't." (02:47) -
Matt on Institutional Stickiness:
"99% of these advisors said they were going to increase or maintain their exposure. 99% in the worst year in the last like three or four years. That's why this money is so sticky." (09:10) -
Tomer on STRC Liftoff:
"We now have ignition. We have takeoff. And that is...can. How high can this rocket go? Will it continue to accelerate? Will it maintain altitude? That’s what remains to be seen." (20:56) -
Matt on the Importance of Index Funds in Crypto:
"Index-based strategies are a vanishing fraction of the crypto market...I think it will get there and what it will mean is money that comes in and stays for 10 years. That is extraordinarily sticky money." (30:25) -
Scott on ETF-Driven Adoption:
"It seems like it’s a big signal to create their own products rather than just do what most have done, which is open the door." (34:12) -
Bruce on the Risks of 'Phony Paper Bitcoin':
"BlackRock is not something that's going to further the technology or further the use. It actually in many ways sets us back because you have millions of people being onboarded to this fake phony paper Bitcoin backed by banks that have histories of being grifty..." (50:09) -
Tomer on the Value of Doing over Talking:
"It requires doers... We have less doers who are holding conferences and accepting only Bitcoin and paying people in Bitcoin...spreading the word is important, but doing stuff is even more important." (65:43)
Timestamps for Key Segments
- 00:22–05:43 — Opening banter, current Bitcoin price and what it means for sentiment
- 07:02–11:33 — Matt on institutional flows, sticky money, and demographic shift of buyers
- 12:31–15:08 — Bitcoin’s correlation with equities and rotation to altcoins
- 20:56 — Tomer on STRC, MicroStrategy, and new accumulation mechanics
- 34:34–36:48 — Morgan Stanley ETF decision signals deep institutional commitment
- 46:30–47:01 — Legislative gridlock and the resilience of Bitcoin
- 50:09–54:44 — Bruce’s impassioned critique of institutional financialization; panel pushback
- 65:43–66:03 — The need for doers in the Bitcoin community, not just holders
Conclusion
This episode provides a thorough, nuanced look at the current Bitcoin breakout, the mechanics driving price action, and the deepening debate over crypto’s future path—between institutionalization and core values. The conversation is lively, often contentious, moving seamlessly from technical market commentary to philosophical disputes about Bitcoin’s soul. It’s an essential listen (or read) for anyone interested in where crypto stands—and where it might be headed next.
