Transcript
Scott Melker (0:00)
Good morning everybody and welcome to Crypto Town Hall. Every single weekday here on exit 10:15am Eastern Standard Time. I hope that you're all having an amazing day. Bitcoin obviously hit a low around 88,600 depending on the exchange that you have been watching, bounced up a bit and now continuing to sort of languish in this zone. I would say we're, I would say at a major crossroads for a lot of people where we have equal conviction that this is a bull market correction of 30% that's standard on one side and the other side that it's all over and price is going way, way lower for many years into the depths of a bear market. And, and there are valid arguments I guess on both sides depending whether you're looking at it technically or fundamentally and how you choose to trade this market. I've had a lot of you for bears. In my comments I pointed out that I bought 88,000. I've made a lot of wrong predictions so that's not the point here. But when we went to 109, Dave, you'll remember that you and I we're talking about the dip to 74 and that we would buy 74 and we were talking about that when it was over 100 it happened to go to 74 because that was back to the old all time high. If you are a chartist and I have been pointing out since April that I had bids at 88 area.
Dave (1:42)
For.
Scott Melker (1:42)
The same reason I'm dollar cost average with most of my money but kept bids there that that filled it and when I've posted that I'm getting a lot of bear euphoria telling me how dumb I am to the point where I've actually been offering one of the more gratuitous engagement farmers in my com comments a bet because you know you don't get to go in my comments repeatedly and tell me I'm dumb and that price is going to $35,000 and I should be buying there without getting a response. So Dave, I'd love to hear your thoughts on this. I said I will buy as much bitcoin as you will sell me or we can put it on a schedule week to week for $75,000. We can put a time base on it or a certain price where it expires. But right now he has to sell me Bitcoin $75,000 but if it goes below that to 35 as he has such high conviction in repeatedly then I will buy all the bitcoin he has to sell me at 75.
Dave (2:46)
It's an interesting option structure. I'd have to think through the math. The bottom line, yes, I can just buy, put right, obviously that you can. You know, it's, it's really easy to go out on. Well actually it's not so hard. You have to do translation. I mean if you were outside of the United States on Deribit, it'd be very easy. Just sell, sell a boatload of puts at 75, even call it a day. And if he's really believe it, he should buy a boatload of puts at 75 and pay that premium and, and call it a day and whatever and the. Dude, you don't have to have stupid bets going back and forth. But you know, look, when you look at markets, the context matters. When we were down at 74, all of the stock market, everything else was getting crushed and it's basically just a liquidity momentum trade. Unless you're blind, deaf and dumb, you can understand that bitcoin is crypto work than the rest of bitcoin. That bitcoin is going through a period of time where it is delinked in the wrong way. I. E. People say well you know, why am I at 50 times earnings? And you know, and I'm actually more bullish on a video than a lot of the commentators were about yesterday's stuff. I even posted it this morning. But you know, it's just, it really is a question of what, what the hell you're buying. You know, if you look, look at the hash rate and the other stuff about the networks fundamentals that hasn't changed. That's just, you know, TikTok another block and moving higher. But you know, you have this whole four year cycle narrative. You have the, the overwhelming, overwhelming sentiment in the crypto community is bearish and we have greed and fear at levels that are, you know, oh, kind of damn close to if, if not already bottoms. I mean, you know, just, you know, it's, it's over, it's over, it's over and we're sitting here at 90,000. So all I have to say is, you know, I, you can't predict because markets can remain in that irrational longer than anyone can remain insolvent unless you're James Wynn and you're willing to bet your entire fortune on something that you have no control all over. I would never do that. But you know, I, I'm very, I'm not picking a level like 75 or any other level for that matter. I just think that bitcoin will Be higher in the future. It is move. It is at a historic.
