Transcript
A (0:01)
Bitcoin is facing yet another major test as global markets react and generally dump in reaction to everything happening in Iran. And Trump's comments that the United States can basically go on fighting forever. Obviously, the price of oil is spiking, which is putting pressure on markets across the world. We're going to unpack that, what it means for bitcoin, but more importantly, get some actual important updates on what's happening with the legislative process in the United States around the Clarity act, because we have the legend Ellie Terry here to discuss that, all with myself, Tillman and Andrew. Let's go.
B (0:37)
Let's do. Let's go.
A (0:51)
Good morning, everybody. Happy Tuesday. I hope you're all having a good one so far and that this show will make it ever so slightly better. I'm gonna bring everybody on right now. We have a lot going on. As I said to you. I saw the title and I was like, biggest macro test yet. I didn't really know what we were referring to because I hadn't checked the title. But clearly when I take a look at markets around the world at the moment, that is the war, we have some pretty compelling evidence that markets are reacting generally negatively. I don't have it on the screen, but South Korea down 8%. Japan, 6%. South Africa, 6%. Germany, 5%. These are markets around the world, not ideal, but we're going to talk about all that later. I want to actually first start with Ellie, because you have a lot of updates, I think, on what's happening with Clarity. It seems to have been somewhat forgotten for a little while here, but there's actually a lot going on and some renewed tailwinds I think that it could get past.
C (1:50)
Yeah, I wouldn't say forgotten. I think it's just one issue has been the focus for the last month. And I think when you're focusing on one issue and everything else gets kind of pushed by the wayside, everybody's kind of like, all right, this is getting a little bit boring. So I'll give you the update as far as I know to the minute, which is this debate over stablecoin yield or rewards. Right. I'm pretty sure that we all know now that yield is off the table. So we cannot earn yield. People cannot earn yield on their idle balances anymore. It's just rewards. Right. So you, you could earn an incentive for signing up to use Coinbase. That's basically what the banks are semi okay with at the moment. But we're not even sure if they're okay with it because they're still in talks, there's still text being shared back and forth between the banks and the crypto industry. There was a meeting at the White House, I believe it was two weeks ago now. That was the last of the three meetings that took place. Now it's just text being shared back and forth. There's some tension. There was a report on Friday that someone on the banking side said, you know, we see these talks breaking down behind the scenes. We, we really need Brian Armstrong to come in and really kind of like, show some muscle here or we just don't think this is going to happen. And then there was a lot of pushback on Friday from the crypto industry. You saw lots of players, including Patrick Witt, the White House Crypto Council Executive Director. You saw David Sachs weighing in saying, you know, this is just not the case. You saw some of those players in the room, like Ripple, Stuart Alderoty, Paul Graywall from Coinbase, miles Jennings from A16Z. Basically just saying, you know, these things take time. These negotiations are really, you know, finicky. There's a lot of sort of nuance here. What I'm hearing from the banking side is that, you know, people want to get to a deal. I think both sides want to get to a deal. I think there's just lots of. When you're writing legislative text, you know, I think the. The goal is to kind of write it as broadly as you can. So when you, you know, when you're, you know, 10 years down the line, you know, when this technology evolves, when there's new things that are coming in, you know, you're not completely, you know, strangled by the language that was written 10 years ago. I think, you know, writing as broad as possible is sort of, maybe sort of the goal here. Right, But I think the banks are freaked out by that, actually. In fact, I know the banks are freaked out by that because they've told me that themselves. They think that crypto will be able to slip some kind of like, APY workaround into this maybe vague language. So that's what they're worried about. The White House is aware of their concerns. There is no compromise, no deal yet. But that's sort of the state of play when it comes to the stablecoin yield talks. And that, that is the key hurdle that we need to clear in order for the Clarity act talks to continue. Defi ethics, they've kind of fallen by the wayside. So when we get this, this stablecoin yield deal, maybe we won't get a deal. Maybe we get Something just that both sides can live with. Then we'll be able to see perhaps a markup in the coming weeks, but we'll see.
