Transcript
Scott Melker (0:00)
The continued yesterday with Donald Trump pausing tariffs on most countries for 90 days. Those who did not retaliate, but upping the ante against China, leaving many to wonder whether this was the plan all along. Or maybe his friends on Wall street who called and said enough is enough for the reason the bond market seemingly almost broke with interest rates flying even as stocks dumped a very confusing macro environment. But bitcoin rose alongside other markets yesterday when Donald Trump said the pause was happening. We also have Charles Hoskinson of Cardano saying bitcoin's still going to $250,000 today as the Mag 7 will all adopt stablecoins. We have a lot to talk about. I've got the amazing Peter Cheer here joining in a few minutes early and of course, chart guys on the back half. Ready for a good show? I am. Let's do what is up, everybody. I'm Scott Melker, also known as the Wolf of all streets. Before we get started, please subscribe to the channel and hit that like button. As you can see, I'm obviously not sitting in my normal studio. I spent the day yesterday, as you probably saw on X, cleaning up the ocean, a small island in Biscayne Bay in Miami beach, right off of Miami, completely uninhabited. We went out there with four ocean and cleaned up trash and picked up all the garbage and threw things away. But the amazing part was that I did it with Dana White, the CEO of ufc. There's an angle to that that's still under news embargo for the moment. That will hopefully be coming out next week. But it was pretty awesome. I got to interview him along with a few other amazing legends. I got a little bit of a sunburn because didn't know that I was going to be interviewing him on a deserted island in Miami. When we made the plan, I literally showed up at the airport yesterday morning. I took like the 4am flight. I was in pants and like a shirt, looking all presentable. And they were like, you need to be in water shoes and a bathing suit. So got out there. No food, no water, no sunscreen. The things we do to save the world. Guys, I see that Peter's here, so I'm going to go ahead, bring him on, and we can start discussing tariff Palooza. Tariff Palooza, that's my new name for it. As we know. Obviously yesterday we had a pretty significant move by Trump basically saying we're going to pause tariffs for 90 days and China's still getting the full brunt of everything that Trump has to offer. But everybody else were willing to negotiate a lot of people on both sides of this issue as to why it happened. There was also that moment where Donald Trump went on Truth Social said, that's a great time to buy stocks. Right. The news was announced, which is just insane. What do you make of this before I jump in with my opinion?
Peter Cheer (3:14)
So one, if Trump says to buy stocks next time, I might not be so dismissive. And there might be some ramifications I'm thinking about for Bitcoin, because I think they go ahead with some of that. But on the terrace. This has just been an epic disaster as I look at it. And you know, he came out of the Rose Garden. Everyone was expecting reciprocal. I think the world was kind of fine with reciprocal. And to me, reciprocal kind of means, okay, you put 10% on me, I put 10% on you, et cetera. And we came up with these just bastardized numbers, like things that made no sense and targeted everyone. And it was very irrational. All of a sudden, I think it was the treasury market. It wasn't so much treasury market, treasury was a part of it. What you were seeing is corporate bonds blow up a little bit as well. High yield spreads were blowing out. You had several investment grade companies couldn't. And I would say for your entire audience, I would watch one ticker whenever you get times of stress. It's vcsh, it's a Vanguard short term Fund. It's one to three year corporate bonds. That's something I know the Fed watches I've spoken to the Fed about. So they watch that both for price level and to see if it trades at a discount to Nav. That was starting to crack a little bit. Nothing like obvious beating Covid, but I think that was causing screams, going to Besant, telling him to do something. So now we're here, I think it's very unclear what deals are going to be like. I think he's going to be tough negotiating. I do think he somehow believes Vietnam should buy as much from us as we buy from them, which is just, I think, ludicrous when you look at the GDP per capita and things like that. The one thing that I can't tell, I think that's going to be the most important for world markets is China played him very different this time around. Right from day one, Xi was here at Mar a Lago, Trump 1.0. Every time Trump mentioned tariffs, Xi was on the negotiating table. This time he's played very tough. I can't tell whether he would have played as tough had Trump not attacked everyone. Now China's out there on their own island. But I do think Xi is playing him very different this time because Xi thinks this deck is stacked, different than Trump's thinks it's stacked.
