← The Zach Lowe Show
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- [00:00]
A
This episode is brought to you by ServiceNow AI is only as powerful as the platform it's built into. That's why it's no surprise that more than 85% of the Fortune 500 use the ServiceNow AI platform, while other platforms duct tape tools together. ServiceNow seamlessly unifies people, data workflows, and AI connecting every corner of your business. And with AI agents working together autonomously, anyone in any department can focus on the work that matters Most. Learn how ServiceNow puts AI to work for people. It's ServiceNow.com all right, coming up, It's Monday. Big weekend of NBA action in the Rear View. NBA cup, the Emirates Cup, Day two or day three, I can't even remember. Got a big week coming up. Fred Katz from the Athletic we're going to go over everything. We power ranked the entire Eastern Conference from 15 to 1. How similar were our lists? A little different here and there. Middle is very muddled. Who's much higher than you expect? Who's flat? Fallen to depths you couldn't possibly have imagined? Orlando Looking at you. Orlando Magic? Who's number one? Do we both have the same team at number one? Is it the Detroit Pistons, who are actually number one in the NBA standings in the East? We'll see. And then rapid fire. 5 topics Stressful topics du jour in the Western Conference, some negative ones, and one really positive one that should be stressing out everybody in the Western Conference. It involves the San Antonio spurs. De' Aaron Fox is back. Steph Castle is blowing up. What does all that mean for the Spurs? What does it mean for a team like the Clippers? Who is topic number one? And struggling Dallas Memphis? We hit a lot of teams. We hit almost the entire league, honestly. Fred Katz from the Athletic and the Cats and Shoe podcast coming up after this. You're listening to the Zach Low show presented by FanDuel. FanDuel now displays your bets directly on your phone's lock screen and with the latest updates to the live events and player pages, it's never been easier to be part of the game. And Missouri get excited because FanDuel is coming your way as of December 1st. Download the FanDuel Sportsbook app now and play your game 20 or over present in select states or 18 and over President in DC, Kentucky or Wyoming. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit rg-help.com Call 1-888-78-9777 or is it ccpg.org chatinc welcome to the Zach Low Show. It's Monday. There's a lot of stuff happening in the NBA. Fred Katz from the Athletic and the Katz and Shoot podcast is here to help sort through it. How are you doing, Freddie?
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B
I'm doing great. I'm always thrilled to pot with you. I'm ready to go.
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A
So last week I did early impressions of random Western Conference teams. We were going to do the same thing for a couple of Eastern Conference teams. I said, you know what? Let's just have a little fun. Power Rank did entire Eastern Conference from 15 to 1. You did one list. I did one list. I coalesced our list into one mega list. Our lists were actually pretty close. Little trivia for the listeners. The biggest gap in any team ranking between Fred's list and my list was a measly two spots that applied to two teams, both of which are in the Southeast Division, the Orlando Magic and the Miami Heat. And really, Fred, the idea of this was simple. Let's just take just a snapshot. Let's not think too hard about it. And the idea is not just power rankings, like based on the standings right now, like the the Bull, the Pistons are not going to be number one. It's a combination of where we thought teams would be before the season, how they've played through 10 games. Combine that into like, how serious of a playoff threat do we think this team can be based on what we know now, based on their trade assets, based on their trajectory, all of that, and then at the end, we're going to do five big stories emerging in the Western Conference. Are you ready to go reverse order power rankings in the East?
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B
I have never been more ready for anything in my life. Let's do this.
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A
Number 15. We both agreed on the Brooklyn Nets, 24th in offense, 30th in defense by four points per 100 possessions, worse than the 29th team. That is hard to do. I don't really have a lot to say here. They're just not very good. And Cam Thomas, their best offensive engine, is injured with a hamstring thing that's going to keep him out for a while. They can't get any rebounds. Joe man has shown some signs the last couple games he's been moved into the starting lineup. He's shooting threes willingly. That's interesting. Drake Powell got in against the Knicks last night after some injuries. He looks interesting. I just don't have a lot to say. The Nets are very bad. They're designed to be very bad. They're going to pick very high in the draft. Do you have any interesting Nets observations?
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B
I'M not sure there's a worse paint team in the league right now. If you consider both sides of the floor, there's just so little resistance for them defensively. Anybody who puts the ball on the floor ends up getting into the paint and either scoring or creating from there. And on the other side, they just don't have creators to get to the paint. And especially with Cam Thomas out and it just shows in, in every way. I did not think they were going to be the worst offensive team in the league. That, that, that I did not think was going to happen. And they have looked really, really dreadful defensively and it's a problem.
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Yeah, only doubles. D Bulls. D Bulls. D Bulls. Dub Bulls have allowed more shots at the rim than the Brooklyn Nets so far. They're getting a little unlucky with opponent jump shooting. They have the worst opponent 3 point shoot shooting percentage in the league. 42%. Opponents are on fire. The Nets stink. We knew they would stink. At least the uniforms are cool. Number 14 we agreed on was the Washington Wizards. 28th in offense, 29th in defense, 30th in net rating. So they have a claim to the last spot. We both put them above the Brooklyn Nets.
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B
Really.
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A
I just did it because I enjoy watching them play basketball more than I enjoy watching the Nets play basketball. Despite Bilal Koulibaly has missed almost the entire season, Khris Middleton looks very old and has missed some games. CJ McCollum was dead on arrival until the last couple of games when he got hot. Keyshawn George really like him. He missed a couple recent games. Alex Sar this is everything the Wizards could have hoped for on both ends of the floor. Shooting threes well, finishing better around the basket. Opponents shooting only 56% at the rim against him. Has to get tougher on the boards. It'll come. But the all court skills, bringing the ball up in transition, the passing, there's just a lot of. I would like Bob Carrington to make some baskets because I like a lot of other things about his game but if he doesn't make baskets, all those other things kind of fall away. I don't know. Just like watching this team, they're going to pick high in the draft too. Go whiz.
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B
Yeah, I went Wizards over Nets just because honestly like basically for what you said for the vibes, I mean defensively they have just been getting annihilated. Offensively they have struggled to create but I watched them and I'm like Keyshawn George got way better and has been good and his pacing in the pick and roll is way better. His handle is way improved. His ability to keep defenders on his back when he kind of comes around ball screens now and, and create from there or get a, get a step back off from there has been really impressive. Alex Sar, I mean, adding to Alexar, his hands are so much better. Like, did he catch a pass last year below his waist? I don't know if he did. He just everything hit his hands and bounced off. And, and this year I think he's been so much better. He's, he's added a couple post moves too. He's doing that move where he's kind of going one dribble right in the, from the mid post and then he's doing a little turnaround over his left shoulder and that's, it's, it's like, it looks good. It works well. It's going in like he's, he's added things and looks a lot better. I, I, I, I like their young guys. They, I enjoy watching their young guys play and you kind of see the making of something that's very far off, but at least the making of something there. Whereas Brooklyn, I just don't see the makings of anything well. So that's my difference.
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A
The Nets people are all mad at me and Howard Beck because we talked about the dissonance of tanking while also concluding that all five rookies you drafted are, are not good enough to be on the court for significant minutes and, or any minutes. And you know, I understand why they're mad. That's just objectively true. Other than Joman now is playing significant minutes, guys are in the G League, and I, I don't really think that's a big deal. This is 10 games into a season. These guys are teenagers, 20 years old. They're wildly inexperienced. They don't have a lot of veteran help on either end of the floor to sort of lift them up. Although I think Claxton is playing kind of hard. I, I'm not panicked about that. I just think the Wizards young talent is both more experienced and just pops better. Like Trey Johnson pops better than anyone on the Nets so far. And that's just, just more fun. And Keyshawn George just stopped fouling so much. Okay, 13. Our lists now start to differ. You had the Indiana Pacers at 1 and 9 and at 13th, I grandfathered them into 12th above Charlotte. Just because if you make the finals and your entire team is injured, I'm just putting you above Charlotte on principle. Even though Charlotte is three and six. You had Charlotte 12th. I had. I'm sorry. Yeah. You had Charlotte 12th, Indiana 13th. I had the reverse. We'll call it a tie at 12. I have nothing to say about the Pacers. It's just their 30th in offense. Pascal Siakam had a DNP rest yesterday, and I was like, yeah, deserves it. Deserves. Deserve. I hope he didn't even get out of bed. I hope he. Or it was just in, like, an ice bath the whole day or a sauna or something. Ben Shepard can't make a shot. They're playing two centers at the same time. Jeremiah Robinson. Earl is, like, wildly important to the team. I just. It's a lost season, and it's a damn good thing they got their pick back from the New Orleans Pelicans in that strange draft trade where the Pelicans acquired the Pacers pick in last year's draft in order to bundle it and move up for Derrick Queen. Because despite all protestations about gap year. What gap year? The injuries have made it a gap year. The Pacers are going to potentially add a very high draft pick to Tyrese Halliburton coming back. And all these guys getting healthy again. That's a little scary for the Eastern Conference.
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B
Yeah, it's. It's not really the Pacers fault. Why I have them at 13. I just get very sad when I watched them. I absolutely loved watching that team last year so much. It was truly one of my favorite teams I can ever remember watching play basketball. They just played such gorgeous basketball together. And the injuries and it's just been a very, very depressing watch for me. And I do feel like the difference between Charlotte and Indiana and why I had Charlotte hired. Well, two differences. Number one, the Pacers now know. They're like, this is okay. This is a gap year, and they are going to treat it like a gap year. And I was kind of considering the rest of the season. The Pacers are going to treat this like a gap year. And while I think the short. The Hornets will get to a point where, okay, they're gonna fall out of playing contention and they'll kind of turn their priorities elsewhere, I don't think that's going to happen for longer. And. And you know what? I like watching the Hornets. The Hornets are fun. They did really well in the draft this year, and every guy they picked looks like an awesome value grab. Knipple is already good. K. Brenner in the second round. You know what's unbelievable, Zach? All year, what was the talk or all summer? I Should say what was the talk of the Charlotte Hornets? I came on your podcast and we talked about how strange the Colin Sexton for Yusuf Nurkic trade was. And part of that was because, like, what are they going to do at center? What is this center rotation? Who's number one in the NBA in defensive rebounding rate right now?
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A
Charlotte. They're doing, you know, it's interesting. They're doing a lot of things. There's a lot of evidence that Charles Lee and his staff are building an infrastructure that's going to be interesting when the talent catches up with the infrastructure. Like that is one of them number one in defensive rebounding. They don't foul. They get to the line a lot on offense. Their shot selection is pretty like optimal on offense, not so much on defense. And with Lamelo Ball on the floor, they would have the number one offense in the NBA equivalent on the team level. Now that's a little misleading because A, that's selecting your best lineups and B, stop me if you heard this before. LaMelo Ball is already missing games with an injury. Brandon Miller is missed almost the entire season with an injury. I'm getting tired of this, Fred. I just want to see these guys play. It's not their fault. I don't think it's their fault. Certainly not Brandon Miller's fault with the fluky injuries, the shoulder injury this year, I'm getting tired of it. Want to see the team. But the kaulk man is rock solid in the middle for a rookie center. Probably should be a backup, but fine, you can start on this team. Sion James playing well as a sort of three and D guy sometimes. Starter Trey Mann certainly getting all the shots he wants to take. And I thought that trade nerc for Sexton was more strange from Utah's perspective. But now Nurkic is their starting center because Walker Kessler is hurt. Charlotte, you're fun. Hum diddly D Eric Collins the best.
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B
I love Eric Collins the best.
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A
He's.
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B
And and the other thing to add, Zach, is like we talked about. I talked about the Nets being one of the worst attacking teams. The Hornets are one of the best attacking teams in the league. Like they just can't guard. They cannot guard. They are a si defensively, but they have all of these dudes who will just fly at the rim. I think last time I checked they were number one in the NBA and drives per 100 possess like they are an onslaught at the rim. They play really fast. They get into their offense quick. They're. They're well coached. And there's. There's something there. They've got real young guys. They've got real talent. There's. There's something there. I'm. And they're very fun to watch. I really enjoy watching them. They're really fun.
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A
You know what I really like about Eric Collins, underrated Eric Collins line. Is when the Hornets are trying to make like a frantic comeback to just. To just dispel another inevitable loss, and they get within like six and somebody on the other team makes a contested three at the end of the shot clock. The pain. Oh, that's a sharp stick to the eye. Okay, I.
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B
He's the best man.
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A
Look, the Hornets are. The Hornets. The Hornets are 15th in offense, 24th in defense. If they had Lamelo healthy and Miller healthy, they'd probably be like 12th in offense and 26 in defense, which is about what we expected. Now it gets tough. Three to 11 is a morass in the Eastern Conference. You could order it in lots of different ways, depending on how seriously you want to take the eight and two Pistons, and we both ended up taking them quite seriously. And then there's just a bunch of teams in like this 6, 4 to 5, 6 range where, you know, take it or leave it with them. We were remarkably similar across the board. And now it starts in, I guess we're going to call it the 10th spot. Tied for 10th. You had Toronto 10th and Boston 11th. I had Boston 10th and Toronto 11th. And I can hear the Raptors fans say, wait a second, wait a second, wait a second. We're 16th in offense, which is just. Which is better than anyone could have reasonably be expected based on just how weird our pieces seem to fit. Quickly's wildly uneven start to the season, where his decision making goes haywire for half of every game. Purdle in and out of the lineup, and they just, you know, look, they do have a great backup center. Mamu, the bench. The plus minus on the bench. Mamu, Grady, Dick. Although it feels like all of Toronto's young shooting guards are kind of disappointing right now, I. I guess they're just here because for me, you can have 10th, 11th, 9th, 8th, I don't really care. I just need to see it for a little bit longer. And I'm a little bit worried that they're. They're four core perimeter players. Barnes, Barrett, Quickley, Ingram, who's been fine for them, are minus 32 and 160 minutes together. And it doesn't get much better when you throw Purdl in at the five. Just a Strange team. I, I, I want to see it for a little longer before I elevate them higher than this. They played a tough schedule. They're, they've been, they're solid. Don't, don't particularly love watching them, but they're solid.
- [15:48]
B
It's a very strange makeup, and I thought they were strange coming into this year. I think they have done, I think, like, darker. Yakovic has done a really good job in terms of figuring out all of those guys who have these overlapping, overlapping skill sets. In terms of the four that you just mentioned playing really fast, getting into the offense really fast.
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A
So you can see pace, pace, pace. We don't have. We got a weird team. We are shooting's up and down.
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B
Is it run, man, Run and run constantly. Like, you know who looks? God, I, I covered him for, for years, and I did not see RJ Barrett being able to play in a system like this. Making intuitive passes, creating corner threes, like, shooting really well right now. I, I did not see RJ Barrett becoming this, Forget about this level of player. I thought it was totally on the table. He became this level of player, but just becoming this style of player where he is reading the game really, really well. And they have guys who I think have, have stood out in that system. I, I kind of like the way that they've played for, like, a playing contention sort of like. And the reason I have the Celtics below them, look, it was really close. It was really tough. The reason I have the Celtics below them is I'm a little concerned about the Celtics offense. I'm just like, I'm a little concerned about the Celtics offense. I know they're somewhere in the middle of the league right now in terms of net rating, and I'm a little concerned.
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A
11Th. They're 11th in offense. Fred Cats, which is 11th. Crazy number for them.
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B
That is a crazy number for them. I'm, I'm concerned about the fact that they just, like, aren't getting corner threes at all anymore. And I, I think that's telling of the way that they play. I'm, I feel like a broken record. I'm talking so much about rim attacking right now. It's just so important in the league. And what's holding them off on offense is they've been better than I expected them to be. On the offensive boards, they're still, like, just not getting defensive rebounds. On the offensive side, they just have not really gotten into the paint as much. They are not creating corner threes. Their shot profile hasn't quite been Where I would want it to be a lot of above the break threes and they're shooting really, really well on above the break threes and they have like a lot of really good shooters. It makes sense. Sam Houser doesn't miss and Jaylen Brown has been really good and Derrick White is really good. And you look at all these guys they have in the rest. Peyton Pritchard doesn't miss and they've got these, these dudes who can, who can really shoot. I'm just, I'm a little concerned about their process right now. Joe Missoula is incredibly smart. He very well might find a way to kind of change that stuff around. But that was kind of my, my difference between those two teams.
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A
Boston is actually shooting a horrible on threes for the season. They are 27th and three point percentage. And I think if there's a reason to hope that they can sustain a league average offense, it's that almost all their guys have been ice cold. Peyton Pritchard had like two good shooting games and a bunch of bad ones. White's a little bit off. Jalen Brown's up and down. On the other hand, all of them are playing one rung on the ladder above where they should be playing without Jason Tatum and with all the talent that went out the door, the talent atrophy of Jew Holiday and Porzingis and Horford and on and on front court depth. We all knew it would be shaky. Like when they get anybody but Kada to play decent minutes, like Garza last night in Orlando, who we will get to, they become a kind of dangerous team. I just, they're just competitive and feisty. They play good defense. Toronto.
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B
And the reason, the reason, by the way, that they're like down in three point percentage is because of that ratio I was talking about. Like, they're taking way. They're shooting really well from the corners and they're not taking very many. They're shooting like 40% from the corners and they're just not taking very many corner threes. Because, look, taking corner threes is not a product of how many threes you can take. It's a product of how many threes you can create, which are two different things. And I think they're taking a good amount of threes. They're taking a good amount of threes from above the break. I'm not sure their creation is all that high right now. And it's, it's okay. Like, I didn't expect it to be incredible or anything, but know I want to I needed a little tiebreaker between then and Toronto and that's where I've got it.
- [19:56]
A
I called Boston team extreme coming into the season, and I hoped that the coaching staff would use the season in part to make them. To try to make them a little less extreme in ways that might benefit them once they got whole again. That hasn't happened in the ways that I expected. I. I did. I certainly did not expect them to be 28th in opponent free throw rate. They're fouling the hell out of everybody and they have a lot of rangy like, do you throw in Minot? He's just got arms and he's young and he's going to hit people. And they're last in free throw rate on offense. So they're probably. They're like starting every game down by seven points. Toronto, very good turnover team, forcing a lot, taking care of the ball. Awful rebounding team. We'll see if that turns, eh? Take it or leave it. I just. Again, you could order any of these teams any way you want. Number nine on our combined list. I had them ninth, you had them eighth. So they average out to eight and a half and in my little system here, that is ninth. Are you ready to face the disrespect from the Chicago Bulls fans? Because they're six and three tied with the Knicks for third in the East. We both have them ninth now. That's probably a couple spots above where I would have had them before the season before. Indiana just lost everybody to injury. Although I took the under on Indiana and the over on the Bulls, their line was very low. So, you know, when you factor in prior expectations, they've lost a couple games in a row. They are down to 14th on offense and 17th on defense. And opponent jump shooting is starting to catch up with them a little bit. After everybody missed every shot I had, I don't remember who I had on. I can't remember who it was last week. And I said, you know, do we need to revise our expectations? Is this now like a 46 to 48 win team? I still think it can be that which would probably place them above. Definitely place them above ninth in the East. I guess this is just me saying, okay, want to see it a little bit more. Is Kobe. When does Kobe White come back? Does. Does he. How much does he help their offense? How much does he hurt their defense? They've played a tough schedule. They've had to sum new missed a few games recently. He's a big part of their team. In addition to Kobe White. I just, I. I'm surprised that I ended up here because I like the experience of watching them. They play super hard. They have a pretty set identity on both ends of the floor. I guess if you're asking me am I ready to put them above teams that have a worse record than them, but I had higher expectations for coming in Atlanta, Orlando, Miami, even. No, I guess. I guess I'm not. And I don't really have a great reason for that. I don't really trust their defense, and it started to regress a little bit.
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B
They're the new team of extremes. You said Boston was the team of extremes. They're the new team of extremes. Right. They are going to play crazy, crazy, crazy fast. They're going to run on everything. They are giving up the highest ratio of shots at the rim of any team in the league according to Cleaning the Glass. They are giving up the fewest wide open threes per game of any team according to Second Spectrum. And that's, that's because of their defensive style. They just hug shooters on the perimeter. Like, they're just not really going to help. They're going to leave guys.
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A
People have mentioned this as, like a novel thing, and it's like, somewhat novel, but Indiana did this two years ago under Rick Carlisle, where they were just like, you know what? Go to the rim. Like, we have Miles Turner, we're going to try to do our best, and we're just not going to give up any threes. And it like, just sort of all came out in the wash as an okay defense. Doubles don't have Miles Turner. They have Nikola Vucevic. So we'll see how this works out.
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B
Yeah, 100%. That's the difference where, like, Miles Turner is a. Is a quality rim protector and they're just going to hug guys and they're going to funnel into Miles Turner, whereas Chicago has more questionable defensive personnel. And like, we saw here's. Here's kind of why. Maybe I'm taking too much away from one game, but on Friday, Chicago plays Milwaukee. And I thought that was a great little test of, okay, how is this defensive strategy going to work against teams that really can attack? And there's obviously nobody better at getting to the rim than giannis. Giannis made 14 shots in the restricted area in that game. That's obscene. That is. That is insane. 28 points just off of buckets in the paint for one dude. That there are games where teams don't get to 28, maybe, like, that is absolutely insane. And obviously Giannis is The most extreme version of all of this. But I'm watching and I'm like against teams that can really get into the paint, I don't see enough resistance there from them. And that is kind of something that, that turns me off a little bit from them. But I've loved watching them play. They play crazy hard. I am very amenable on this. And for what it's worth, I had them. I had them above a team that I picked to finish third in the Eastern Conference last year or coming into the year.
- [24:57]
A
Yeah, you had them eighth and I had them ninth. So I guess Bulls fans should really be angry at me. Look, they're a good story, they're a good team. The most important thing that's happened for them is that Bouzelis looks like Buzz Ellis looks very, very good, like a guy who's going to make All Star team slash teams, maybe plural in his future.
- [25:12]
B
And I think giddy's real. Like I, I, I, I watched Josh Giddey's performances over and over again and I don't see any reason why he can't just continue to play at this level. He is awesome at playing this incredibly fast, incredibly frantic speed. He, because he's such a big point guard, he is so good at just being able to get into the teeth of the defense and just being able to kick out. They've created this offense which is, which so accentuates all of his best traits. And I think the giddy stuff is, is real too. And I feel much better about the Bulls than I did coming into the year. And they could rise. Sure.
- [25:47]
A
The two things that have cemented for Giddy as real, that portend well for him in this role and I think even in a secondary role, when whether it's Bouzelis or likely somebody else supersedes him in the ball handling hierarchy. The catch and shoot three is real. He's making 40 plus percent again. He's open because people leave him open. I think he's a little less open this year than he was last year. And I think even more importantly than that, he's finally driving with the physicality of somebody to match his size. If you put, if you put even a guy who's a little bit smaller than him, go ahead and go under the screen, he'll meet you at the other end, he'll deck you with his shoulder and he's a good floater shooter. He'll just lay the ball in. He's. Now that has not translated to his defense, but the physicality on offense, his Ability to get one step deeper toward the rim and what that opens up for Chicago and the pace which would they play is a real thing. Okay.
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B
Absolutely. The free Zach, the free throws.
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A
Yeah.
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B
Way up through the roof is. His free throw rate is double his career average right now. It's like by far career high. It's double his career average. He is. That's all about that physicality.
- [26:53]
A
Okay. That is number nine. Number eight. You had them ninth. I had them seventh. They average out as eight. Both of those numbers are very problematic spots for the Orlando Magic to find themselves in. 8th in our aggregate power rankings. The Magic are 20th in offense. I believe the city has started planning a parade for the potential top 20 finish in offense this year. And more disturbingly, for all the flak on the offensive end and how uncreative it is, how mucky it is, how it's kind of tougher than people might have realized to have two power forwards as your two best players and how easy it is to switch their actions when they cooperate with each other. There are ways around that. Ban integration hasn't been as seamless as I certainly expected it to be. Suggs on a minutes restriction. He's played great and he's starting to play a little longer. That's great. Center position, TBD bench. Other than Tristan Da Silva, Anthony Black still not shooting threes. This team can't be 14th in defense and an average to below average defensive rebounding team and do anything in the Eastern Conference. They need to be a top five defense. They have not been a top five defense. They're not playing with the same passion, physicality. And it's not just the rebounding. Like their transition defense has really lapsed, particularly after live ball turnovers. And they've committed a whole pile of those because their offense stinks. Something is a miss. Something is a miss, Fred. And I was a little, I mean I wasn't, I, I was not lower on this team. I picked over 50 and a half wins, so I was high on them. I never thought of them as like a potential finals team. I remember saying I think Atlanta may have a higher playoff ceiling than Orlando. I might live to regret that statement. But this start has been almost a worst case scenario for the Magic across the board. And they just, every time you think they're getting right, they lose a game. Like last night at home against Boston, you're like, I don't know what's going on here.
- [28:50]
B
So I'm gonna make a statement. That kind of sounds crazy. I, I wish they fouled more they're, they're like 19th. They're like 19th in free throw rate, defensive free throw rate.
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A
The.
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B
They're allowing. And that sounds like it's a low ranking. You generally don't want to foul a lot when you're playing defense. I felt like the reason why this defense was so good the last few years was tied completely in with its incessant fouling. And them in Oklahoma City have really picked up this style over the last few years that has been either beautiful or horrific to watch, depending on what kind of basketball you like to watch and what your rooting interest is. But where they just come out on the first play and they just annihilates everybody on the first possession and they just set a baseline of. All right, well that's a personal foul. So way harder than that has got to be a flagrant and maybe a slap on the wrist. That would be a foul for somebody else. That's not going to be a foul now because you can't just foul everybody out every possession and we're not seeing that right now. I don't know why. Part of the reason why I have them this low and like there could be a team that I thought was going to be really good. I thought they were going to win 50 games. Like there could be a team that I thought was going to be really good that starts four and six that I wouldn't have this low. I had them ninth. I wouldn't have them this low.
- [30:15]
A
Yeah, I had them seven, Fred. So put some respect on stuff. The Magic Dragon, all right, the way.
- [30:20]
B
They have fallen to ninth in terms of that lack of defensive physicality sometimes, that lack of communication, they don't look like a team with very much continuity. You see them kind of, you see them kind of blow coverages that they didn't blow last year. It is, it is very, very odd not seeing Jonathan Isaac be just like the best per minute perimeter defender in the conference.
- [30:43]
A
How about you're just not seeing Jonathan Isaac play in basketball games for more than three minutes, if that.
- [30:49]
B
Yeah, I was really holding out hope for so many years that maybe we could get to a point where we saw Jonathan Isaac play 20 plus minutes. It's some point after these injuries and they were using him for 15 and like they, they started him in that Cleveland series a couple of years ago in the first round and it was like a good decision to start him. And they, they have him when he's at his best. He's. He's starting on, he could start on a point guard. And he could start on a five. Like, there are very few guys in the league. We talk about guys who can guard all five positions all the time, but usually it's a guy who can switch onto all five positions. Like, Bam can switch onto all five positions, but you're not going to start him on Jalen Brunson. But you will start Prime Jonathan Isaac on Jalen Brunson. Not having that is just a weapon that's been difficult. I just. I wish they got their verve back. Like, they just aren't smacking guys and they've confused me. I. I don't really know why it's happening, but you're right. There's like. It's like a something in the water situation. I. I don't know what it is, and I don't quite know how to what to make of it. And if you told me that 9 was crazy low, ended up being crazy low, I'd be like, okay, that's fine. There's so much more talented than this. And if you told me they were just going to stay here all year, I'd be like, okay, maybe. I don't really understand the root of their struggles right now. It's like they've. They've lost their personality.
- [32:13]
A
They deserve to be where they are in these rankings, 8th. This is where they deserve. They maybe even deserve to be lower considering that we have them above teams with better records than they. They have. Interestingly, they are first in free throw rate on offense by a mile. So their physicality, rim attacking, all that stuff is translated on offense in terms of the. The bully style they play. And, and look, everyone's going to nitpick the offense, and it's fair. They're 20th in offense. Honestly, like, that's about where I thought they would be at this point in the season, considering they started out bricking everything that they threw up at the rim. The middling defense is the problem, but offensively, look, they just have too many possessions where one thing happens, and that's the whole thing. So I was watching the fourth quarter of their game this morning. I think it was Suggs and Banchero ran a split action and the Magic run, like a lot of that stuff, like off ball, cool stuff to get mismatches or force teams to decide are we switching or are we not? And if we don't switch, someone's going to cut open all that. And then. So they get Derek White switched onto Banchero. Great. Step one, great. Derek White's a great defender. Banchero's too big for him. For him. Banchero is above the three point arc at the very top of the arc. Franz Wagner's in one corner, has not moved at all. Bain is in another corner, has not moved at all. There's 14 on the shot clock. Banchero just jacks the three off. It almost breaks the backboard. It hits the backboard with such a thunk. Now a couple other possessions similar to that. He took Derek White down to the nail and made mid range jumpers over him. I like that better. There was another possession in the fourth quarter where Bain ran like an Iverson cut, got the ball, dribbled around a little bit, isoed on a switch against Garza maybe, and just threw up a hopeless layup. Banchero and Wagner stood next to each other on the right wing. Could have been me and you did not move. Literally did not move. Feet in cement. Just they just need more dynamism. And I'm, I was hopeful and remain hopeful that that is a matter of time, chemistry, bane integration, everyone sort of coming to the realization that I think we'll get to the Knicks, that they've come to that. Just like we need to play a little bit of a different style for this to work. And we shall see. The Zach Lowe show is brought to you by FanDuel. Get in on the NBA action at any time with live betting on FanDuel from the first whistle until the final buzzer. FanDuel is your home for live betting because FanDuel is giving new customers $150 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. So just visit FanDuel.com Low@Lowe to sign up today. Play your game with FanDuel, official sports betting partner of the NBA 21 and over in President select states or 18 and over President DC, Kentucky or Wyoming. First online real money wager only $5 deposit required bonus issued as the non withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after a seat restrictions. Apply seat terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com gambling problem, call 1-800- gambler or visit rg-help.com call 1-887-897777 or visit ccpg.org chatincut okay, number seven in our power rankings. I had them at eighth. You had them at sixth. I can't believe I had them at eighth behind I had them behind Orlando. And again that's I'm basing in my optimism on the Magic in this ranking, but they come out seventh in the wash and I was optimistic about this team all Summer, Fred. Cats. I kept saying they're going to be better than people think. They're revamping the offense a little. Birdies are telling me they're revamping their offense. I'm taking the over. Took the over despite Tyler Herro being injured to start the season. I took the over. Bam's got an injury he's dealing with. Norman Powell's had some injuries. The Miami Heat comes seventh in our rankings, eighth in mine, six in yours. They are 6 and 4, 13th in offense, number one in pace, fifth in defense. Might be getting a little lucky. Opponents are shooting 32% on threes and they allow a lot of them. But look, I mean, I just have a ton of respect for the infrastructure of the Heat. I'm not even going to say this. The, the HC abbreviation. I just. The way they play, how hard they play and, and I just, I just remember thinking I've always liked Fontechio, I like Jovic. I still have hope for Hawkes, Apello, Larson's. They just have a lot of good, good solid, kind of big wing ish players. Wiggins has been fantastic for them. They're just rock solid. And if you told me that seventh ends up too low for them and they end up in the top six, I was saying all summer they're closer to this Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee group than they are to the bottom. I just think this is a really good team and I love the, the way they play. I love that Eric Spra, after a gazillion years there as head coach, after playing a similar offensive system for a long time post LeBron was like, you know what? Throw it all in the trash. Let's try this new thing. And so far it's working.
- [37:06]
B
I love that after last year when we talked for an entire season about is the style the Memphis Grizzlies are playing, is that going to work in the playoffs? And then we never actually got to see it. I love that we're going to get to, to see it now. Assuming Miami ends up making it into the playoffs, which I think they will. People talk about how they're not running pick and rolls anymore, but it goes so much deeper than that. They're not setting screens anymore. They just. And, and Memphis was the same way last year. It wasn't just not running pick and roll, it was also not setting screens. It is at so much more of an extreme level than Memphis was at last year. The numbers are, are crazy. Like they're running 18 pick and rolls per 100 possessions. That's not just the lowest number in the NBA by a mile right now. Second Spectrum started tracking these stats in 2013. Since Second Spectrum started tracking this.
- [38:02]
A
Can I, can I guess what the lowest previous figure is for any team?
- [38:06]
B
Yes.
- [38:06]
A
So you said they're 18 per 100 possessions.
- [38:08]
B
They're 18.
- [38:09]
A
And second spectrum goes back how long? 2013.
- [38:11]
B
2013.
- [38:13]
A
I'm gonna guess the previous season. Low pick and rolls per 100 possessions for any offense. Team offense is 37.
- [38:22]
B
It's a hell of a guess. It's 39.
- [38:25]
A
Okay.
- [38:25]
B
From the 2018 to 19 Philadelphia 76ers. So they're less than half of the previous record. They're 23rd in the NBA and off ball screens they are 30th in the NBA and handoffs per 100 possessions. Remember when you couldn't tune into a Heat game for more than two minutes without seeing a bam out of Bio Dribble handoff? I mean they have, they have completely changed their style again, zach. Not only 30th in handoffs per 100 possessions since 2013, they are averaging the fewest handoffs per 100 possessions of any team since 2013. Like they have completely changed how they play. And I honestly have people like to. I, I know the common thought on people is playoff basketball is about advantage creation and it's really hard to create advantages on offense when you are not setting screens. That's how you create advantages. That's how you create mismatches. And if you're not going to set screens, you might struggle during the playoffs. And you know what I'm going to say to that? I'm going to say I don't know because I've never seen a team set this few screens and I'm not going to pretend like Eric Spolstro is going to sit here and set up an offense that he thinks would just crap out in the playoffs. I am really curious to see what happens and I'm really curious to see what happens with their offense because part of the reason I'm sure these numbers are so low is because they haven't had Tyler Hero, who's a very good pick and roll ball handler and is such a good creator for them. I'm really curious to see what happens when Hero comes back. Do they mix in more Hero type stuff specifically for him or is Hero going to come back and is Hero going to try to fit into the way that they're playing right now? Is it going to be some sort of middle ground? Which would be my guess. But I, I am really curious to See how Hero does with all this. It's a lot of. It's a lot. For people who haven't watched them, it's really beautiful basketball to watch where it's a lot of cutting and then you fill in for the cutter. A lot of simultaneous cutting. It almost looks like they're. They're telepathic in terms of the way they play when they take off. It's not a ton of set play plays. It's a lot of just like, concepts and read and react. You need smart players to do it because you need the players to actually react to how they're being defended. It is. And you need all five guys to be on the same page. It is. It is. It's just a blast to watch. I'm intrigued by them. I think they're catching teams by surprise. They also play crazy fast. They're getting like. They just get into their action so fast. Like, Orlando runs one action and that's it. It runs one. One thing and that's it. Like, Miami has the opportunity to run in action. Okay, that didn't work. Swing to the second side. Like, they. They are so good. And if you look at the numbers, like teams that after a swing to the second side, offensive efficiency just goes up so much. If you're able to go side to side, Miami is really good at that. Just, I'm just into. I'm just. And they're really good defensively. I'm just into them.
- [41:18]
A
A couple of things on what you said, the playoff test. The thing about the playoffs is you have to make the playoffs. And Miami had no right to expect that just sticking with the status quo was going to guarantee them a playoff spot even in the shitty Eastern Conference. Hero. I do expect it to be a little bit of both. And I wonder how that actually works in practice. He is not an awesome fit. Well, I shouldn't say that. I was going to say, like, this is a. This is a style that favors quick first steps, physical drivers who can create the advantages that you're talking about just without a pick. And that's the whole point of the offense is I suck in the defense. A gap opens up, I kick to someone, they drive through the gap. The gaps get wider and wider and wider. Hero has, I think, a little bit of an underrated first step, but he's not like, I'm going to knock you backwards with my shoulder and continue plowing into the paint. And then somebody comes. And it's also tempting to say, yes, their pick and roll numbers will go up from 18 towards wherever. With Hero back. I wonder what form that takes. It's tempting to say, well he and Bam. I mean that's all the reps that they have a million reps together that they should lean into with that I wonder if it actually should be Hero and where because Ware has been up and down this year and I feel like if there's anyone who needs to catch some lobs on a pick and roll, it's him. And he's not an awesome fit for just drive into people. He's more of a spacer sometimes in this offense. I could see it balancing out that way. Look, I, I just, I like, I like the heat number six. I had them at six, you had them at seven. The Hawks five and five. I don't know man. Like Trey's hurt. We'll see how they do without Trey. It's been up and down so far against a couple of bum teams and then they, they had a couple bad losses or at least one. They are 22nd in offense. Weird. Better with Trey but not that much better. 12th in defense. Okay, it was fine. Weird part of that is that they're getting very lucky on opponent three point shooting or somewhat lucky at least. But the defensive personnel is big. It's rangy, it's switchable between Daniels, Johnson, Risache, the two centers who they can sometimes play together. Nikhil, Alexander, Walker. I, I, you know they're here for me at, at, in this range at 6, 7. I had them at 6 as just. I still think the ceiling is pretty high but the ifs are starting to. The if pile is starting to get a little big for my taste and the Trae Young question remaining unanswered and now we have this month of data of it's. It's not going to be answered but we're going to learn a lot. I'm. I'm not sure I'm going to like what we're going to learn. I don't know yet. And you know Porzingis has been in and out of the lineup as expected. Dyson Daniels has been up and down trending up late. I just the questions are outweighing the answers for me but the talent and Reese Sachet has had a very uneven start. Their outside shooting around the Trey pick and roll game is just so so really needs Porzingis in there. I just. But I have to put them here because I really thought they had maybe the third highest ceiling in the Eastern Conference coming into the season. Season. But I've been. I think I'm kind Of like, put a pin in the Hawks for a little bit and hope they can stay afloat. I think they will. I think I said I bet there'll be something like 500 without Trey.
- [44:45]
B
Yeah, I mean, I think. I think they might be able to stay afloat without Trey. The thing is, they just need to have everybody else if they're going to. And you don't know about Jalen Johnson, who tends to miss time for injuries. You don't know about Porzingis, who will miss time either because he rests or because of injuries or whatever else. And they're not crazy deep. You know, I wonder about, like, nine down with them. Like, Newell's been. Been solid in moments. I, I think he, I think they've been pleased with him, but that's a rookie coming in and playing minutes. Moge is, you know, kind of an edge of the rotation guy, but if he's going to play a decent amount.
- [45:22]
A
He's made some threes lately. And again, it's one of those things where, like, I'll put a pin in it, I'll monitor it. I'm just like, it's a little soon for me to, like, really care that he's making some threes, but it's better than not.
- [45:33]
B
Yeah, 100%. The thing that concerns me about them, because for me, they're almost an incomplete, but the thing that concerns me about them right now is the rebounding. They're. They're losing the possession game by so much that they're putting themselves at a disadvantage. They're like 24th in offensive rebounding, 28th in defensive rebounding. And that is a problem, especially, by the way, in an age when teams are now just obsessing over winning the possession game. Specifically on the offensive boards. Like, you. You look at how much teams are prioritizing the offensive boards now. Like, 18 teams right now have an offensive rebound rate over 30%, which used to be used to get close to leading the league. Yeah, like, only a few years ago, like, this didn't happen over 10 years. This happened over, like, two or three. Where teams are now crashing in this specific way they feel like will help them on, on transition defense, where they crash from, like, the high side of a player and try to pin him, and they try to pin that guy in so he can't get back in transition. And it used to be thought of as offensive rebounding and transition defense. You got to choose between one or the other. And it's kind of being thought of now in a totally different way where it's where it's actually the opposite where if you crash in a specific way, in the right way, you can actually help your transition defense.
- [46:52]
A
The Hawks right now, I mean, look at the Rockets. We're not talking west much today, but teams have a very hard time running against the Rockets because if you leak out at all, they're going to get an offensive rebound and you need three people to box out. Steven Adams alone and it is. They are dovetailing together. And I, I find the Rockets like weirdly hypnotic to watch because it's almost like they've, they've kind of given up on first shot offense. Like, yeah, we don't really run much stuff. A lot of people stand around. We have Kevin do some things or Sengun will drive. We're really playing for the offensive rebound as much as we are to make the shot. It's very hypnotic to watch.
- [47:29]
B
Yeah, 100%. You look at it like San Antonio doesn't give up a lot of transition because of that. Boston, I think, is really good at preventing transition in that way. Missoula is like huge on the analytics of crashing. He is huge on that. New York is another team, I think that we could talk about, which has been extremely successful in doing this anyway in a league where rebounding, I think is kind of being looked at it in the different ways the Hawks are just really not good at it. And the other stuff, you know, I'm not really concerned about them being 22nd in offense because Trey has either been hurt or wasn't shooting well to begin the season in five games.
- [48:09]
A
Not really good. Not good.
- [48:11]
B
Right. And so it's like, you know what? I, I think if they're healthy, like, I think that'll come up. My, my, my concern for Atlanta is like, man, they gotta get some. Damn. They gotta get some rebounds. They gotta find a way to make that better.
- [48:22]
A
I'm just very curious how the next month goes and whether they and Trey are both willing to be like on good terms and say, let's just ride it out, ride it out till the summer. We'll figure out free agency when we get there. Or if they ever feel like we're not actually good enough, even with you. And this team called with this offer that we think is pretty good and we have the Pelicans pick potentially. Well, not. They have the Pelicans pick and we have some other recent number one pick, good young players, like, we'll actually pivot and maybe not take as big a step back. I just, I'm interested in it. Top five. Fred Katz. Top five. We've made it to the top five. We both had this team as fifth. I can't believe that we have reached this point that this team is fifth this early in the season. The Philadelphia 76ers 6 and 4. Embiid, just scratching the surface. Looks a little better to me every game. The speed in particular with which he's moving laterally is trending the right way. The height of his jumps on defense, I don't see it quite trending the right way as much. But free throws are up. Rim defense has been a little better. This team is fifth in offense, 22nd in defense. Although a bunch of teams are bunched up, obviously, the guards have all been a revelation. Maxi is like a borderline MVP candidate. Edgecomb is a rookie of the year favorite. Slash candidate. Grimes has been solid. Kelly Oubre does Kelly Oubre. Things trending. Watford's back at a freaking triple double a couple days ago. And Embiid 20 a game, 46% up to 53% on twos. That's trending the right way. Look, fifth is as high as I'm prepared to go. I still, like, just find it hard to believe that Joel can ever be healthy for an entire playoff run. Paul George exists and is on the team. How is he going to fit in? I think that's a fine. I'm not worried about that because I look around, I'm like, I don't think I want Paul George taking shots away from anybody who's taking a ton of shots, but he is going to make Maxi's life easier if he becomes a really good role player. You can average 16 a game doing that, and that's about, like, where Paul George might be at. I don't know, man. I can't. I can't believe how well this has gone for them. I just. I can't believe.
- [50:52]
B
Starts with the guards. It really just starts with the guards. It starts with the fact that Tyrese Maxey has just been on another. I mean, another freaking level. Holy crap. The constant aggression that he comes out playing with, and he's always been a guy who plays crazy hard and. And wants the big shot and whatever else, but the constant aggression that he plays with now. He has become so much of a better passer because of how hard he looks for his shot. There's some guys who are constantly looking for their own shot, and it's like, okay, that's a little bit too much. You're not really playing within the team's principles. He is one of those guys who has become so much better of a passer because he is constantly looking for his own shot. He attracts so much attention now and has just been spraying. And there's a world where the guard stuff doesn't work. Amazing. You didn't Even mention Jared McCain, who I guess is healthy, but. Yeah, right. Healthy, but not even really finding time yet and. And can really score. There's a world where the guard stuff didn't really work, especially together, where Grimes is on a qualifying offer and just average like 20 some odd a game for a tanking team and is like, I want to get my numbers and I want to get my payday. And Edgecomb's a rookie and it's not really reading NBA defenses yet and is, you know, kind of reverting to his comfort zones. And Maxi is just kind of there doing his Maxi stuff, but doesn't necessarily take this kind of leap. And it does really seem like a leap, like, has me thinking, like, man, can you win MIP twice? Like, can. Can. Can we argue that Tyrus Maxi might be more deserving of MVP now, of MIP now than the year that he actually won mip? Like, meanwhile, these three guards are playing together and it's. It's too early for lineup data. It's too early to look into lineup data and be like, okay, this is a definitive thing now. Got to do this. However, I don't think it's too early to look at something and if the numbers are super extreme in either direction to. I'm keeping my eye on certain things, and one of the things that I'm keeping my eye on is Maxi Edgecomb Grimes. Together, The Sixers are plus 18.1 per 100 possessions. Maxi Edgecomb Grimes U. The Sixers are like plus 28 pro 100 possessions. And it's too early. That number can come down, but even if that doubles in sample and they play to an even, they're still crushing opponents with those lineups. Those guys are playing really well together. The Sixers are succeeding. Uber. Uber's been awesome, by the way. He's. He's really become a hell of a player. He's become so much better of a defender than I ever thought. He used to foul so much on the perimeter, and he is just so aggressive and so handsy on the perimeter now. Super physical and really good at guarding smaller guys, especially. I love when they use him on point guards and he fights through screens and just kind of contests guys from behind. He can really bother guys that way, and he is so good at it. They just have A lot of good players. I, I didn't think they would be this good, but they just have a lot of good players and they seem to be playing super well together. I, I, I think they're, I didn't even talk about Joel Embiid.
- [53:56]
A
Well, I, I think dmb, I mean he's obviously not playing back to backs. He's been on a minutes restriction. Everyone agrees he doesn't look like the same guy who won mvp. Duh. He's been through quite a lot. And, and I think I've said this before, I think part of that is probably him testing out his body. How much physicality am I really comfortable with? You know, people who have injury histories. It's scary. It's scary to come back and just crash full bore into people. Just run sprint, jump as high as you can. Try to touch the top of the square. All that. It's, it seems to be going the right direction. But more importantly, when he's on the floor, it doesn't feel like the team is bending over backwards to fit him into how they're playing. It seems like every, it's, it just seems to be a pretty clean, like he'll trail behind when the guards are pushing. They'll get him the ball. Everyone's moving around. It doesn't feel like they are one team with Embiid and one team with. Without Embiid. It feels kind of like a nice mix. And you mentioned McCain. A couple other, you mentioned lineup data. A couple other things I forgot to mention on previous teams. I just want to mention here. As long as we're just flagging lineup data, I mentioned Khaleel, where they've moved away from the bam where combination is starting, which I think is smart for Miami. We're going back to Miami wear and Bam. Minus 30 and 48 minutes together so far this year. Orlando, weirdly, for a team that we have eighth and is struggling, their starters are plus 20 per 100 possessions and plus 43 for the season. Every other lineup is, is not been good for them basically. So just flag it. Yeah. Philly, great story. TBD on the rest. Top four. Top four. Hallowed territory. We had different teams in third and fourth. We just flipped the order and this was like third was sort of like, I guess I gotta pick somebody for third. You had Detroit, currently number one in the east at eight and two. I had Milwaukee, so you had Milwaukee fourth. I had Detroit fourth. I don't really care either way. Detroit has been the better team. They've had an easy schedule. They have had major injuries that have, I think, hurt their offensive creativity a little bit. Between Ivey, l missed a bunch of games. Sasser has been out. Tobias Harris, who's rock solid for them, has been out recently. They just keep winning, keep winning. Close games again, easy schedule. They even caught Philly without Embiid last night. Another Crunchtown win for them. I, I, you know, Milwaukee is 6 and 4, I think with, so they're two games behind Detroit. Their defense has been weirdly like not that good. 22nd in defense, 8th in offense. This is just about deference to Giannis for me. Detroit has a ton going for it. They're young. Jalen Duran is in the midst of a mega leap on both sides of the ball. They have all the trade assets you could possibly want. They are the tailor made Lowry marketing team, whether they want to be or not. And maybe they actually decide. What we have going here is so good and we're not that scared of the two teams above us in these power rankings in, in your power rankings anyway. One of whom we played very tough in the playoffs last year. Maybe we're not ready to actually cash in. Maybe, maybe we're, if we're even a little bit unsure that marketing at $50 million a year, $45 million a year for several more years is like not quite the right guy for us. We're fine keeping our powder dry and let the chips fall where they may in the playoffs. I love both of these. I love the Pistons. It's fine. You have the Pistons third. I just, I'm like the team that has Giannis. I'm going to put third, but I just, I don't look at any of these teams. I certainly don't look at the Bucs as like third with a bullet in the Eastern Conference. I don't know really what to do. Which one of these teams you want to start with.
- [57:50]
B
Let's start with the Pistons. That's fair. I, I was really torn on this too. I didn't really know which way to go and I kind of just deferred to feel like the Pistons have played a little better to start the season. They have the best record in the Eastern Conference right now. And I was like, you know what, that, that's a good enough tiebreaker as there is. I, I, I'm concerned for sure if we're talking about like long term playoff outlook and that kind of stuff. I'm concerned about how a lot of their lineups that have their best players out there are really problematic from a shooting and a space Perspective.
- [58:25]
A
They play lineups with four pretty much total zeros as shooters. It's rare like that they dip that far. And again, they've been missing guys lately and that's part of the reason why. But certainly like just the Durin, Asar Thompson, you throw Ron Holland out there, it gets real tight. They make up for it with good interior passing, a plus physicality and rebounding. Smart cutting, particularly from Asar Thompson and Jalen Duran catching the ball in space. Like if you blitz Cade. Some teams do, some teams don't. He is so much more polished. One dribble help, defenders coming at me. But he's smaller than me. Let me just calm myself. Spin, move, hook over him. It's not just the lob dunks from Cade which are coming fast and furious. It's not just the face up and blow by slower centers which is a few times a game now and he's pretty polished at that. It's in traffic, game in motion around him, making the dump off, pass, spin, score. They make up for it. But I agree with you, in the playoffs it just gets harder to play with so little shooting. And that's where the Ivy question kind of like, how much does he have to give this team? Is the catch and shoot three point genetic percentage from last year real? That could really up the dynamic of this team a lot.
- [59:46]
B
Yeah, and they're playing, they're playing lineups now too. Like they're playing Duran and Isaiah Stewart together at times.
- [59:53]
A
You want to, you want to mess with those dudes. Good, good freaking luck, man. They will knock you on your. Jalen Duran, I mean, we all know Beef Stew. We've seen him, blood pouring out of his mouth, running down the court, getting thrown out of games, all that stuff. Jalen Duran is like some sort of fictional. If you see him up close, you're like, this guy is like a Marvel superhero level build. It's almost scary what he can do physically and how he looks.
- [60:18]
B
And Isaiah Stewart, everybody knows that Isaiah Stewart will beat the crap out of you. And just what a, what a beast he is. I feel like because of the way he started his career and he was on those dysfunctional Pistons, teams that had no idea how to defend, defend as a team. We don't talk of him as like a technically really good defender. We just talk about him as a guy that'll beat you up.
- [60:40]
A
He.
- [60:41]
B
I think we have to talk about him as just one of the best rim protectors in the NBA now. I, I really think he's gotten to that point last Year he gave up 46 shooting on dunks and layups when he was the closest defender. And amongst qualifying guys, that was the lowest number in the NBA since Andrew Bogut in 2015.
- [60:59]
A
And I got to tell you, this year it feels like 0%. It feels like he's blocking everything, even when he's late. And the guy is like the ball is at the rim. He's like swatting it almost upwards to get it out of the way.
- [61:11]
B
Yep, he, he, he leads a league. And that's that again right now. And, and the great thing about Isaiah Stewart is I think for him, the blocks are gravy. Like he never contests to get the block. He's a really good like two hand contester, verticality contester. Like he never contests to get the block. The block is just extra. And those are the really, really great shot blockers. The pistons are allowing 56% shooting at the rim this year, which is number one.
- [61:41]
A
Number one. Yeah.
- [61:42]
B
Yeah. By a mile. Like easily number one. It's because they always have Stewart or Duran who has, I mean, you talk about Duran's improvements offensively, which you know, of course, but two years ago, like teams would go up against the Pistons, they'd be like, okay, put Duran in space. Last year in the playoffs, the Knicks would be like, you know what, let's, let's try to put Duran in space here for a little bit and let's just kind of attack Durin you, you can't do that to him right now. He has just made such a ginormous leap on the defensive end as a pick and roll defender, as a rim protector, he's not really over fouling as much.
- [62:22]
A
Switch in a pinch. Switch in a pinch too. Like as you said. Yeah, they're third in overall defense, 10th in offense. You carry this over from last year where in the last 50 whatever games of the season, they were basically a top 10 net rating team. Seems just good. They're really good. I just worry about their offensive ceiling in the postseason and they don't have Giannis and as far as the Bucks go, they're finding their way a little bit with the front court rotation. Initially, like, Giannis and Turner were attached at the hip and then they played Portis at the five with a bunch of bench guys. Now they've started staggering them a little bit. I think that could be somewhat helpful. Kuzma is having a bit of a bounce back season. I think he's shooting like 68% on twos. Teams are guarding him with centers and being like, you Go ahead and shoot as many threes as you want. He's going to have to adjust to that. They're going to have to adjust to that. Use him as a screener. Take. Take threes confidently made a couple yesterday. The Rollins thing is real. I just, you know, again, I don't look at them as like, oh yeah, that's a top three team in any reasonable conference. But they, I just, I have that much respect for Giannis and look, they bet big that this team as is could make noise, that Lillard for Turner like mega gamble and would be worth it. And so far, 10 games in, it looks like they can make noise. Is it enough to placate Giannis and satisfy him long term? That's. We have 70 games in the playoffs to decide that, but eighth in offense, 22nd in defense. I think the former number is pretty real. I think the latter number will tick in a good way for them. I think they're just a good team.
- [63:55]
B
Yeah, yeah. I think that defense is going to come up too. They, they actually have like a really good defensive shot profile. They don't aren't giving up a ton of shots at the rim. I think they're the only team in the east that is top half of the league in ratio shots they're allowing at the rim and top half of the league in ratio of shots they're allowing from three, which is a really nice combination. Normally, you know, you kind of have to choose one or the other and they're the only team in the east that, that can claim that right now they're getting killed on mid range shots in terms of just the percentage they're giving up. I think that'll probably come down to a degree. I have a question for you about the Bucks shoot. What do you make of the fact their starting lineup is just kind of getting crushed?
- [64:39]
A
I, I don't make much of it yet. I think the Turner thing has been a little uneven. I like the Rollins, Green Trent combination. You'd like a little bit more size? It's somewhere. But, but AJ Green plays a little bigger than his size. I don't, I, I haven't looked at numbers. Is it getting crushed that badly?
- [64:56]
B
It's like, you know, seven points per 100 right now or something like that.
- [65:01]
A
You look, I mean like it's all, it's, it's a lot on Giannis, the shot creation. Although Rollins has stepped up in that regard. I'm not, I haven't thought much about it. Okay. Numbers one and two.
- [65:14]
B
Giannis has been by the way. Can we just.
- [65:16]
A
Oh, it's ridiculous. He just dunks every other possession.
- [65:20]
B
And, and, and A.J. green has been a hidden hero for them. He has been so fantastic. His chemistry with Giannis is amazing. They run such a great pick and roll game. They run these amazing Spain pick and roll. Shout out to Eric Naim, who wrote a. Wrote a great story a couple of weeks ago about, about A.J. green's just screening on Spain, picking roles and his awareness to be able to pick a guy up and then come up to Giannis. Just killing it. AJ Green hits every three two. Those guys have amazing chemistry.
- [65:53]
A
AJ Green, season by season, three point percentage. Just for fun. I just have it up right now, obviously. Limited minutes his first couple seasons. 42%, 41%, 43%, 47%. He's gonna be like one of these. I'm not gonna make a comparison because it's gonna be like to like and I hate that. But he's just gonna be one of these guys who shoots 40% from three every single season like clockwork.
- [66:16]
B
Hey, friends, it's Karamo. Talk show host, life coach and your next best friend. You just don't know it yet.
- [66:21]
A
I'm hosting a new podcast called start it on WhatsApp brotherhoods.
- [66:25]
B
We're going around the world to explore male friendships and all the wins, challenges and bonds that are made in WhatsApp group chats.
- [66:32]
A
And that's exactly where you can listen to it, right in the app. It's streaming on the official WhatsApp channel. Just open the app and go to the updates tab to start listening.
- [66:41]
B
While you're at it, message your best.
- [66:43]
A
Friend and make sure they listen too. I'll see you there. Okay. The top two. They were the top two coming into the season. They are not the top two in the standings, but they are second and third in the standings. We both had Cleveland at number two and the New York Knicks at number one. And I've watched a bunch of the recent Knicks games. I've been at a couple of them. They are up to second in offense. It bothers me a little bit that the broadcast, which I generally love, is like a lot of not subtle anti Tibbs propaganda about the new offense and Mike Brown. Mike Brown's. If you take a drink every time someone on the broadcast says Mike Brown's offense, you will be hammered by the end of the first quarter. But they are second in offense, 10th in defense. And are they better than Cleveland? I don't know. I picked him to go to the finals before the, before the year I just f they got right away they got the cat like three games in the cat. I don't know. We're all figuring out our roles. I'm not sure like what I'm supposed to be doing because he's now starting at the four next to Mitchell Robinson. Not a situation that he's unfamiliar with, having done it for a lot of his career. Starting next to a room running five. That combination has been absolutely lights out. Did you look up the numbers on that?
- [68:07]
B
No, no.
- [68:07]
A
Cat and Mitch plus 30 in 26 minutes together so far this season. Mitchell Robinson has been dream come true when he's been available for the Heat for the Knicks on both ends of the floor. And I like, it's not always crisp, this Mike Brown offense, but it's. Something is happening here where even if it's not like the prettiest 2004 Sacramento Kings 2002 Sacramento Kings kind of ball movement, they are moving more, they are moving a little faster. They have a lot more exchanges on and off the ball and they seem to be attuned to when those exchanges open gaps and they're just putting teams in the blender much more than they were before where it's drive, kick, drive, kick, drive kick, open three, dunk. A lot of that is not just the offensive, you know, whatever, but Josh Hart looking like Josh Hart again. Anunoby, this is the best he has ever played. Anunoby is putting together like if he's not on your early season, could he make a first time all star team list? You're not doing that list, right? He's never going to put up the points to like get on those lists. But has he been as good as Franz Wagner? Yeah, I think so. Like Franz Walker's energy. Way more points. I think Ognobi's been unbelievable and it just has the look. The competition has been great lately. Admittedly they smashed the nets last night by a thousand points. I just like what I'm seeing in terms of they are playing like a team that after the early inevitable, I don't know what my role is here. They look like a team that's kind of bought in like cat. Cat gets to when cats hit the five. He sets way more screens as, as a, as a pick and roll screener. And I always love that, you know, Fred, like the Brunson cat, pick and roll, lean all the way into it. And they're leaning into it. They're getting, you know, blitzes out of it. Quick pass over here, swing, swing, swing. And when he's not the center. When Mitchell Robinson is. He's finding his ways to contribute as a driver, post up guy, cutter, spacer. It just. I don't know, man. I like. I like the look of it. I like. They have the look of a team that's like, okay, we're all in our primes. We're actually ready to try to do this the right way.
- [70:24]
B
Way more dribble handoffs. The offensive rebounding has been insane.
- [70:31]
A
6Th overall. And I'll bet you with Mitch on the floor, it's like off the proverbial charts.
- [70:36]
B
With Mitch on the floor, it's insane. Last I checked, Mitchell Robinson was rebounding 30% of the Knicks misses when he was on the floor. Not. The knicks were rebounding 30% of their misses when Mitchell Robinson was on the floor. Mitchell Robinson was rebounding 30% of misses.
- [70:51]
A
And yet every time you say his name, I just. You. Every time you say his name, and you say it often because he's that good and that important to their team, I begin to get worried because we know what the health issue is. And I was actually. I was watching this. I was watching their game against the Nets. I was at their Minnesota game. Sometimes when they're playing well at Fred, I think to myself, I've been doing this for 15 years now. I legitimately never thought as long as I had this career that I would ever pick the New York Knicks to make the Finals. It still feels funny to me when I think it and say it, that I actually picked the New York Knicks to make the NBA Finals, east being what it is, even. Anyway, yes, I.
- [71:37]
B
Look, I'm from New York, so. And I covered this team for a while, so I. I'm with you on that. I mean, Mitchell, Mitch. I think there's an argument to be made that Mitchell Robinson is up there in the Tier 1, most important role players in the entire league. It's terrifying because when the Knicks have him, like, I really think the reason that I have them at number one is because Mitchell Robinson is healthy right now. And if Mitchell Robinson were hurt, I'd have them below Cleveland. First of all, Mitchell Robinson has the history of annihilating Cleveland in a playoff series, as he did during that first round series in 2023. I shouldn't even say, first of all, that's really down the list. Really, first of all, is what he does for them defensively. He has become so much headier of a defender than he ever was.
- [72:25]
A
I just remember when he also plays incredibly hard on defense, which he did not always do when he was younger.
- [72:32]
B
And he tried to block everything when he was younger and went after things. I mean, look, I'm close to this team, so I can, you know, I, I, I had a conversation with Mitchell Robinson. Must have been last year. It was, yeah, it was last year where I, I referred to him as a shot blocker. Just kind of off the cuff. And he was like, I'm not a shot blocker. And he hadn't had a block in like two or three games. But it's not because he wasn't playing well defensively. He was like, I'm not a shop blocker. I said to, I was like, what are you talking about? Of course you're a shop blocker. He's like, when was the last time I had a block? And I go through the game lock. I'm like, I guess you haven't had a block in like three games. He says, yeah, I don't care about blocks in a anymore. I just want to disrupt the shot. I just want to disrupt the shot. A guy understanding that, Remember when he.
- [73:15]
A
Used to post videos of taking off the dribble threes on Instagram and be like, yeah, I can do this. Like, okay, cool. Like, I don't, I don't, I, I don't follow Mitch Robinson on Instagram. Maybe. Is he doing that? Because he seems completely fine, just all in on what he does.
- [73:28]
B
Well, he's, he's a lot of talk in that, in that sense. He's still posting stuff now he posts on Facebook. He's, he's, he's really. Wow, he's really aged.
- [73:38]
A
What a zag is. Bill would say it's really aged now.
- [73:42]
B
Now he just posts on Facebook now. You have to follow his Facebook.
- [73:45]
A
Friendster. Get back on Friendster.
- [73:47]
B
He's going to, yeah, he's going to end up in like, in like MySpace or Napster after this and he's going to be good to go. He's going to be sharing his, his highlights on Kaza.
- [73:56]
A
I was on Friendster. I liked Friendster.
- [73:59]
B
I was not on Friendster, but I remember Friendster. I was on MySpace.
- [74:02]
A
I had a date once based on a friend. Friendster. Friend interaction didn't go. There was no second date based on. Yeah, we met. I don't know. Like, I, I think we had friends of a friends of a friends. We had something in common. I probably reached out to her. She's. We had a little banter. We went on a date. Date went bad. We went to the Abbey Pub. I don't know if it exists. Anymore. 103rd in Broadway, one of my favorite bars in the city. And it didn't go good. Didn't go friends.
- [74:26]
B
A Friendster date is. I was not expecting that to come up in a conversation.
- [74:29]
A
Now I'm looking at it now you keep talking. I got to look up the Abbey Publisher Pub still exists. Abby Pub to close after 49 years. It closed on April 14, 2008 and it was on 105th and Broadway. So I was almost right. I watched some more. I watched the. You know what game I watched there, Fred? I watched the Steve Barbin game at the Abbey Pub. That's my, that's my landmark Abby Pub memory.
- [74:52]
B
Once, once Friendster went down, all the business from Abby Pub just completely went away. Yeah, nobody was able to go there. The other part with the Knicks that's interesting is the types of shots they're creating is, is very different. I mean they're. They were 27th in catch and shoot threes last year. They're eighth in catch and shoot threes this year. They lead the league by a lot in corner three point attempts. They took 17. I mean I look, we talked about.
- [75:18]
A
Brooklyn defense, Lender, baby.
- [75:19]
B
But they took 17 corner threes against Brooklyn on, on Sunday night in the first three quarters. They took nine in the first quarter. They're, they're prioritizing different kinds of shots. Mikhail Bridges is a completely different guy than he was last year on both sides of the floor. You're right on Anobi. He's been excellent. He is just putting up threes with absolutely no hesitance whatsoever. And on the other side, I actually think the way they're playing defensively has really accentuated his strengths. There's, there's a lot more kind of shifting off the ball defensive, helping into the lane. They're giving up, they're giving up a few too many threes I think because of that.
- [75:56]
A
Like only one team has given up more threes. And, but they're, but, but just like teams are making them pay, teams are on fire from three. So this is not a luck situation, but they do need to clean that up a little bit.
- [76:08]
B
Yeah, they do. And I think like you see them where like an Anobi will help into the lane, get back on guy. And it's part of their way of kind of trying to create turnovers, play faster and, and muck up drives and that's fine. You let OG Anunoby do that, you let Mikhail Bridges do that, you let Mitchell Robinson do that. Those guys have the length, the athleticism, the defensive skill. But every once in a while you see Jalen Brunson jump into the lane to help on a drive when he's like being hidden on a standstill shooter and he doesn't get back out in time and it's just wide open three. And like that's the kind of stuff where I'm like, okay, you know, they're, they're still, they're clearly still learning the system, but maybe they get to a point where it's like, okay, maybe this is the way they play. But like with, with Brunson, they don't play that way. They can play that way with Anoby, but don't maybe don't play that way with Jalen Brownson.
- [76:57]
A
Yeah, but offensively, even with Brunson, the, just the frequency of exchanges between two players has really helped Bridges and it's helped Bridges, has helped the Knicks because he often is the guy who their small, the opponent's smallest, weakest defender is on. So just having him and Brunson have a handoff or an off ball screen increases the chances that you're going to get someone you want On Brunson, on Brunson, and then you pivot into a pick and roll. That is even more effective because teams can't switch it. If it's Cat, if it's Mitchell Robinson, whoever, and Cat had a play against Minnesota that really made me smile. Fred. It's the kind of thing he used to get in Minnesota a lot. It's the kind of shot that Kevin Love used to get in Minnesota a lot. He caught the ball center of the free throw line, a little bit above the free throw line. Deuce McBride came down from the right wing above the three point line and set a ball like a, basically a ball screen for Cat who dribbled backwards and moonwalked into a wide open three. It's like that's the kind of way for him to hunt shots like that when Mitchell Robinson might be on the floor. I don't know if he was on the floor for that shot. And it's not as simple as just screen, screen, screen, screen. It doesn't have to be a brutalizing post up every time or a face up drive every time. Just something. I just like the way his team's playing in. Brunson had a relocation three in the corner last night. I think it was a four point play where he like cut as hard as you've ever seen Jalen Brunson cut from the kind of top of the wing all the way down to the corner. That's the kind of stuff I just like the signs. Defense. We'll see. Talk to me about Cleveland. Cleveland is sort of like, I'm just on TBD with them because Garland has come back and played only two games and he just unlocks so much for them. I trust the infrastructure of this team implicitly. Lonzo Fit has been pretty good. He's not making enough shots. Sam Merrill's on fire. I think Garland will help the Mobley breakout happen. This team, I think, will be the number one seed in the East. I like they're. They're just awesome. I. There's just something about the Knicks that I trust a tiny bit more in the playoffs than the Cavs. But I. I've watched the Cabs a bunch. I just, I'm not reading a lot into anything I've seen quite, quite so far.
- [79:09]
B
Yeah, same. It's really hard. Like they haven't had some of their creators. Not having Garland is such a big thing for them. Sometimes I feel like people forget about him in the conversation because Donovan Mitchell is their big name guard and Mitchell's obviously a great player, but he seeded so much of the offense last year to Garland to the point where it's like you want to run a pick and roll. Darius Garland is going to be doing it more often. You're going to drive to the hoop. Darius Garland's doing it more often. He is so like, he's one of the best jump passers in the NBA. He's one of the best wraparound passers in the NBA. He'll like spin around guys down low and be able to create to the corners or kick out for threes from there. And on a team that wants to take a ton of threes, that wants to play really fast, he's just so incredibly important. He looked good against Washington on Saturday night. He looked very comfortable. And the Cavs scored like a million points in that game. But that was, you know, Washington and to be expected. I think they're going to be really, really good and they are going to be fine. And Donovan Mitchell is just shooting the freaking hell out of the ball. The thing I wonder about them is, like, who's going to be the. The fifth guy who they trust? Like, I wonder who Kenny Atkinson's fifth guy who we trust is going to be. Because right now DeAndre Hunter is, is. Is the starter at the three. And one of the things they've done, which I think is really interesting, is they've kind of edited the offense from last year to a degree. Where like DeAndre Hunter came mid season last year and it was a lot of just kind of off ball, corner, cut within the style of the offense and that's it. And they're kind of giving the ball to DeAndre Hunter more now, encouraging him to drive at the hoop more. He's getting the line more. He's playing a little more physical than he was after the trade last year. And like he's not really hitting his threes now, but I think he's, he's been pretty good in the games that he's played. But Sam Merrill is, is just freaking insane. I mean he's shooting 55% from three.
- [81:10]
A
He's very, he is, yeah, he is running a little more pick and roll too now and then.
- [81:15]
B
Totally. He has been insane. And one of the things that I have been really curious to see once they get like Garland and Mitchell going, is the Garland Mitchell Lonzo lineups which they're going to play. And that's going to be really interesting from a distribution standpoint. Like Lonzo is so good for their pace. I mean there was, there was a play early in the season, probably had to be preseason where Lonzo threw a pass to Dean Wade on like one of those classic Lonzo kick ahead passes. And Dean Wade was, was streaking down the court and he was on the right wing and Lonzo just threw it ahead to Dean Wade the second that he touched the rebound. And, and Dean Wade caught the ball and then almost stopped after he caught the ball because he was like, wait, I have the ball. And he had to like stop and gather himself for a second because it. Lonzo just gets those kick aheads honestly, quicker than anybody else in the NBA maybe other than Jokic. And they're still kind of getting to know each other in that sense. Those little nuances, they're trying to fit in. I wonder who that, who that fifth guy is going to be. They trust. They've kind of, Guy's kind of been a rotating, well, guy for a little while.
- [82:30]
A
Truce has been out the whole season. He'll come back at some point. Jaylon Tyson has been sneakily very good for them as a spot starter. He started seven games so far. All of that does two things for them. Number one, it gives them some ability, although they're really lacking in picks, to package a couple guys together if they want an upgrade. Number two, you know, you mentioned who's the five that they trust. There might be matchups where Jared Allen isn't one of those five for the last four minutes of a game. Not because Jared Allen's not a great player. He is. He's a very good player. Just because the matchup dictates that maybe they want to play a little smaller, a little faster. Play Mobley at the 5. The more wings you have, particularly the more big wings like Hunter, the more ability you have to do that. Okay, east power rankings are over. We both have Knicks number one. All right. Ready? Five rapid fire. Things that are happening in the Western Conference that we just need to note. Ready?
- [83:24]
B
Yes.
- [83:25]
A
Number one. The Clippers are 26th in defense and three and six overall. 21st in offense and are having the nightmare season so far. Nine games in that everyone feared they would have last year when they let Paul George walk and they didn't have last year. And now Kawhi's hurt again. He's missing a few games with an ankle injury. God only knows what that ends up being. Harden and Beal are total turnstiles on defense in a way that is alarming, even by James. Harden's prior track record has made me wonder. Do they need to bring Beal off the bench and start when Kawhi comes back? Dunn, Harden, Kawhi, John Collins and Evita Zubox. I don't love the Collins Zubots mix, but it's fine. Collins will make enough open threes and it's been very good for them overall. You. You could throw Batum in there. I just think they're pretty cautious with how much they're going to play him. He's been great. Bogdan Bodanovic is a zero. He's hurt all the time. I miss him. I hope he gets healthy. And this team just looks completely broken defensively. Their transition defense is a disaster. Their rim defense has not been as good as it was last year, although I think Zoo is starting to tick up to peak. Zoo form they got. They ran into a Phoenix team that's kind of feisty with Dylan Brooksback, and Phoenix swept him over the weekend. Mark Williams was doing some stuff. Jalen Green's back and then he hurt his hamstring again. I'm just, you know, it's early. The Clippers have a long track record of winning a lot of games with Kawhi Leonard and James Harden or one of Kawhi Leonard and James Harden. We all knew they were old. We all knew they were slow. It's. That is playing out more dramatically than I expected. I just. I haven't liked almost anything that I've seen from the Clippers so far. Just three and six. Awful defense. Jeff Van Gundy is about to murder someone on the bench.
- [85:13]
B
Yeah. And we've seen Chris Dunn move back into the starting lineup now, which is the intuitive move. And it also brings up the question with the Clippers of, like, okay, how can this team actually help reach its best spot? Because right now, they are just playing so slow, too. Everything they do is.
- [85:34]
A
They're gross to watch right now. They're gross.
- [85:36]
B
Every. Everything they do is slow. And to be clear, like, people talk about, like, oh, you got to play with play pace. You want to play fast. And. And. And like, the stat pace has absolutely no correlation whatsoever to how good a team is. There are teams that play at a really slow pace that are really good, and there are teams that play at a really high pace that stink and vice versa. It has no correlation whatsoever. But that being said, just everything the Clippers do is so slow. The way they get into their offense is so slow. I was looking at the numbers this morning, and they take 6.6 seconds to get into their first actions. According to Second Spectrum, 6.6 seconds. It's the second slowest offense in the league getting into their first actions. The slowest is Houston, who doesn't have a point guard. Like, it is just.
- [86:19]
A
And it's Houston. Hypnotic. I can't take my eyes off the Rockets.
- [86:23]
B
Houston. Houston.
- [86:25]
A
I honestly, the way I watch the Rockets sometimes is sometimes I have, you know, I widen my vision so that I. I'm vaguely aware of where the ball is and who might have it, but I'm really looking at Stephen Adams under the rim. Just who's. All he's doing is getting ready to get an offensive rebound, and 14 people are getting ready to box him out. At the same time, the Clippers have not been good to start the season. They play the Bucks tonight. I think Cam Christie's getting involved all of a sudden. I mentioned you mentioned Dunn being in the starting five. Again, Kawhi's hurt. The reason I mentioned Dunn and Collins is they are, I think, wary of starting Dunn and Derrick Jones Jr together for what it does to their shooting. Although Derek Jones Jr. Has been good, they don't control their picks. You know, we know why. And so this is not. It's potentially kind of an ugly situation. And then the nexus of ugliness. That brings us to stat number two, which is that Mark Stein reported over the weekend that patience might be getting thin with Nico Harrison in Dallas. I don't really have a lot to add to that. I talked a lot about the Mads last week. This is why I took the under on them. I'm going to be wrong about a bunch of teams. It looks like I'm going to be right about the Mavericks and it's, it's playing out the way that I feared it would play out with their offense and AD being injured and Lively also being injured, I didn't expect. But AD being injured is just something you have to factor in. I don't envy, I don't envy the life of anyone who works for the Dallas Mavericks or has worked for the Dallas Mavericks for the last year. Because I can tell you, anytime any of those people go to a cocktail party, a dinner event, all they're asked about is the Luca trade all the time. We've talked about it a lot and the vitriol from the fans is just going to get worse and worse and worse if this, if this goes, if this continues to go this way. And it's, none of it is about Cooper Flag who is doing fine for a rookie 18 year old in an unenviable situation.
- [88:25]
B
There was really no winning with Cooper Flag. Like there's no rookie in the league who has maybe no young player in the league who has more pressure on him. Right. Coming into this year than Cooper Flag, who kind of had to be the next Luca in order for people not to absolutely lose their freaking minds. Right. And he's been fine. They are so dreadful offensively. They're, they don't get good shots. They talk about operating really slow. They operate really slow.
- [88:57]
A
Are they not 30th offense? No, the Pacers are 30th.
- [88:59]
B
Pacers are 30th. I think they're 29th.
- [89:02]
A
29Th. 29th above the Pacers who have no players left. So congratulations on that.
- [89:07]
B
Right. The Pacers who are playing like you know, three guys on hardship exceptions like the, the, the, the no point guard lineups are not working at all. And they're kind of the only option still unless you're going to play DLO 48 minutes. And even playing DLO is like that's a risky proposition in and of itself. Yeah, I don't have that much on Dallas other, other than the fact that like this team's number one thing is size. Right. And they, and they can't get rebounds. Like I, I, I don't, I don't.
- [89:41]
A
Really get how there is a lot of their sizes injured. Right. We, we already mentioned Lively and Davis and Gafford was injured to start the season. Look, I just don't think they're going to be good and they're Gonna, they're going to try anyone in the crosshairs, if should there be crosshairs, is going to try and say, well, we don't have Kyrie. That's, that's, that's the only. When we said publicly, when Nico Harrison said publicly, people are going to see next year that we're competing for championships that was supposed to involve Kyrie and we don't have him yet. Wait, just wait. Just wait till we get. It's going to be too late. It's going to be too late to do anything this year. By the time you get Kyrie back, whenever that is, the west ain't getting any, you know, easier next season. Kyrie's not getting any younger. Anthony Davis isn't getting any younger. You don't have control of your draft picks for a whole bunch of years because of the team you build around. Luka, you do have it this year, which is another reason I took the under. I don't know who's going to be around to make those decisions. I just, I know this firing Nico Harrison going to do a lot other than make people feel better. If that's, if that's where it ends up going. Storyline number three, John Moran. Another loss for the Grizzlies yesterday. Three of 18 from the field, 19 points a game, 36% overall, 15% on threes, 45% on twos. It's not going great and I don't have a lot to add to that thing. Number four, I just, I, I, I'm gonna bring this up periodically. Fred Jalen Williams hasn't played yet this season for the Oklahoma City Thunder. They have played 11 games. He negotiated and his agent negotiated all this all NBA language into his contract where he gets more money if he makes third team all NBA a little bit more. Third team, second team, first team. He gets 30% max. The most he can play if he came back right now is 69 games. He has to play 65 to be eligible for all NBA. And I just want to say I think it's BS that even as I think having made all NBA in his third season already, he should have been able to bake that money in to the negotiations of the extension that he negotiated this past summer. And this is the only year that matters for this, this one year if he makes all NBA, he gets X more millions of dollars. Look, it's millions of dollars. Top millions. I get it. I get it's just to me it's unfair that he is looking like a lock now to just not ever be eligible for this particular supermax that he's so carefully negotiated because he's just going to miss too many games. I think it's B.S.
- [92:17]
B
It sucks for him. It sucks for him. He'll be fine.
- [92:22]
A
Yeah, it's fine.
- [92:24]
B
He'll be all right. He makes a lot more than us.
- [92:26]
A
I'll be good. But I just don't get what does he have to prove? You already proved it.
- [92:31]
B
No, no, I think that rule exists though because like that rule exists to kind of protect you against a sort of. It wasn't the John Wall situation, but a sort of John Wall type situation where a guy like slides on the third team.
- [92:45]
A
That could easily happen in this particular year too. The same thing can happen in any year.
- [92:50]
B
I know. It's just a precaution and it's to prevent a guy, you know who maybe slides on third team and then falls off fourth year and then you don't want to have to give it to him. Like if he made first team, he would have gotten it. I'm with you though. I'm with you though. Thing number five, Jalen Williams is obviously good enough for that.
- [93:06]
A
Thing number five. And we will wrap with this. Spurs are seven and two and thing number five is really two things. De' Aaron Fox is back and looked pretty damn good in his first game against the Pelicans. Another feisty performance by the pelicans, who are 2, 7 and then last in the west in a loss. Looked good. Good. Unlock a whole bunch of things for Wemby, especially with Dylan Harper hurt. Thing number two, Stefan Castle is blowing the hell up and people need to start watching him now. He's averaging 18, 7 assists, 5 boards, 50% shooting, only 24% on threes, 64% on twos, mid range game on point. He's had a bunch of like double digit assist games recently. He looks like he's jumping off a goddamn trampoline whenever he gets to the basket. And that combination. There's a lot of fretting about the spurs of all how are all these guards going to fit? What's the timetable until Castle and Harper are ready to take over? I think this is a great situation for the Spurs. Would they have liked to have gotten Fox on a little bit less than the max for a little bit more of a tradable contract? Sure. I think Fox showed you right away. Game one. I introduce a lot of different antidotes to all the ways that teams are going to try to guard Wemby. And we know way number one is they're Going to put their centers on Harrison Barnes. Like the Pelicans opened that game whenever two days ago with Looney on Harrison Barnes, Herb Jones on Fox, and Sadiq Bay on Wemby. So we're going to switch every Fox, Wemby pick and roll and hide our centers over here. There's a lot of different antidotes to that. We don't need to go through them all. The spurs are experimenting with more and more and more of them, including having Wembanyama set pin downs on and off the ball, take pin downs, run pick and rolls, anything to get a different, smaller or bigger defender on him. But one of the antidotes is just Fox being an awesome pick and roll player who can push the pace, who's a more reliable jump shooter, particularly in the mid range, than. Well, I mean, Castle is amazing in the mid range so far. I think this is a great problem to have for the spurs to the point that it's not even a problem. And honestly, they're 7:2. This is getting scary. And it's getting scary for teams like the Clippers or the Grizzlies or the Lakers or whoever thinks that they were earmarked for a top six spot. The west you ain't earmarked anymore because this team is coming for one.
- [95:36]
B
Yeah, I thought it looked great in that Pelicans game. And you know what? It looked great. And, you know, you talk about like, I talked about, like, Cleveland still kind of figuring some stuff out with Lonzo and that kind of stuff, like Wemby and. And Fox. This is the seventh game they've played together. And even though it looked great, even though it looked great, there was a play with about four minutes left in that game. And it's still a close game. It's like a four point game or something. And Fox is bringing the ball up the court on the right side, and Wemby comes up to set a screen for him. And just as Wemby goes to slip the screen and doesn't actually set it, Fox picks up his dribble and they clearly weren't thinking the same thing. Wemby thought Fox was going to go. Fox thought Wemby might hold the screen or, or, you know, thought maybe he'd have a jump shot. He ends up swinging it towards the middle. They. They weren't on the same page. That is fine. They have played together seven times. It looked great. And they're still kind of going through those sorts of like, oh, okay, I'm learning your habits still. Once they learn each other's habits. And these are both smart players who play really freaking hard, like, really hard once they learn each other's habits. And I have no doubt that they are going to. That is going to be a devastating pick and roll combination, the two of them. It's going to be absolutely devastating. And when you have Castle on the second side to be able to run another action as well. His floor game has been so much better. Oh, my goodness. That's his biggest improvement. In my mind, he had 14 assists in that Pelicans game.
- [97:09]
A
Defensively, I didn't even mention his defense. He's going to be a monster on defense. I could not be higher on Steph Castle.
- [97:16]
B
Yeah, I mean, he looks. He looks awesome. I mean, this team. This team is. This team is legitimately good. Like they are. They are good.
- [97:24]
A
Well, here's some other things that have happened for them is Harrison Barnes has more left in the tank than I thought. Devin Vassell is solid. I've been a little disappointed by him so far. I'd like him to take one more dribble sometimes on the pick and roll when he's got a guy in his hippie e at a floater like that against the Pelicans. Like Seal more of that. But he's fine. They'd like to see a little more defense from him. Sohan just came back. They're playing him at center because Cornet's been injured. Olenek just came back. See how much he plays. Cornett will come back. Keldon Johnson is delivering everything they need of him off the bench. Ditto for Julian Champagne, who can start in a pinch. And I just think the collective gravity of Fox's speed and Wembanyama rolling to the rim is going to be so hard for defenses. Even when your game plan is to switch and even when you have the personnel to switch, you're so scared of Fox's speed and you're so scared of Wemby rolling to the rim that you're going to find yourself in some compromising situations. And let me tell you, when they get you in a situation where you have your center on Wembanyama, then they're going to go right to that pick and roll combination and you're going to be toast. There was one segment of that game against the Pelicans where they knew, we know what you're trying to do. Putting your wings on Wemby. So we're going to take Barnes out, we're going to take Sochan out, we're going to take Keldon Johnson Out. We're going to play four guards who can shoot threes. Where are you going to put Kavon Looney? They put him on Lindy Waters. It was a disaster. Then they surrendered and put him on Wemby. They immediately ran a Fox Wemby pick and roll. The Pelicans didn't want to switch. They switched because they were so scared of the aforementioned gravity. They posted Wemby on a guard. Double team, Fox kick out three. You can see the roadmap to this team becoming a really good team. They obviously have a bunch of trade assets. You know who played well in that game?
- [99:08]
B
Fred Katz.
- [99:10]
A
Who's that? Derek. Derek Queen. Kind of like Derek Queen.
- [99:14]
B
I mean, I talked about young players with the most pressure on them. Maybe Derek Queen is the young player.
- [99:18]
A
It's not his fault. It's not his fault.
- [99:20]
B
No, it's not his fault at all. And he looks like he's gonna be a good player, but he's got a lot of pressure on him.
- [99:25]
A
To his credit, he seems to be enjoying it. He plays with a lot of spirit and positivity that I like. He's. He's a very good passer. And the issue is he's played a lot of center with as much spacing as the Pelicans can muster around him. What happens when Zion comes back? I don't know. I know the Hawks are scoreboard watching every game. That concludes my five things that are happening in the Western Conference. Fred Katz for the Athletic. What do we got working on this week? Where could we find you? Cats and Shoot Podcast. What else we got going on?
- [99:56]
B
I'll have my weekly notebook out on Friday. I'll have another story Wednesday. I think we're doing it so you can go look out for that. You can subscribe to my podcast, cats and shoot, patreon.com cats and shoot and yeah, that's all. Thank you for having me.
- [100:11]
A
I will see you soon at the world's most famous arena, I'm sure. Fred Katz from the Athletic Katz and Shoot podcast. Thank you, sir.
- [100:18]
B
Find me on Friendster.
- [100:21]
A
All right, that's it for the Zach Lowe show today. Thank you to Fred Katz from the Athletic. Subscribe to his podcast, the Cats Shoot podcast on Patreon. Thanks to Jesse, Jonathan and Mike on production. We'll see you later this week. We're heading to Minnesota. We're taking the Zach Lowe show live to Minnesota on Wednesday. We're gonna have some special guests and then I might pop back on Thursday for sort of a more traditional just quickie podcast. If anything happens, we'll see. Thank you to everyone who listens. Watches the Zach Lowe Show. See you soon. Must be 21 or over in President select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 and over in President D.C. kentucky or Wyoming. Gambling problem call 1-800- gambler or visit rg-help.com, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org chat in Connecticut or visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gambling helplinema.org or call 8003275050 for 247 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8-HOPE NY or text HOPE.