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Zach Lowe
This episode is brought to you by State Farm. One minute the crowd's cheering, the next the scoreboard flips. Sports are full of surprises and life isn't much different. That's where State Farm comes in with their easy to use digital tools and over 19,000 local agents who can help you call the right play. Because when you know someone's ready to assist, you have the confidence to take on the unpredictable. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there with the assist. Coverage options are selected by the customer. Price and eligibility vary by state.
Fred Katz
Foreign.
Zach Lowe
Up from Chicago, we have a loaded Zach Low show. We're going to go inside the lottery room. What was it like in there? What was the reaction? And Jonathan Gavoni is here to break down all the scenarios. What are the Wizards going to do at number one? What are the Jazz going to do at number two? Is OKC actually going to try to make a push into the top four? If so, will anyone bite? Memphis moves up to number three. What does that mean for John Morant? Chicago off to a running start on its next phase of rebuild. All the lottery implications. Pacers, Clippers. Wow. That was the big outcome of the night for me. We'll talk about Kevin Pritchard's tweet and the ramifications for both the Pacers and the Clippers going forward. John Krasinski joins to talk about what is now a wild Wolves spurs series, whether Wemby will or should be suspended for Game five after elbowing Naz Reed and all the nitty gritty of that series. Then we wrap it up with Fred Cass from the Athletic talking the New York Knicks obliterate the Sixers, get to the conference finals for the second straight year waiting on Detroit, Cleveland. We talk about how what have the Knicks found in the last two weeks since going down 2:1 against Atlanta? What's changed? Can they sustain it? Are they riding the sort of magic that happens to teams that get on championship runs? Can they actually win the championship? Will they be favored next round? And where does Philly go from here? Tons of stuff. NBA is going crazy. Lots of stuff going on. We're going to cover all of it. Coming up on the Zach Low Show. The Zach Lowe show is brought to you by fanduel. It's been a wild playoff run, but it's not over yet and FanDuel wants to bring you closer to the court to make more of all the action to come. FanDuel is the best place to bet the teams, the players and plays during the NBA postseason build the same game parlay for a shot at a bigger payout. Or try live betting and jump into the action after tip off. Download the FanDuel Sportsbook app now and play your game 21 over in select states, 18 or over in D.C. kentucky or Wyoming. Gambling problem call 1-800- gambler call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org chat in Conn.
Jonathan Gavoni
Foreign.
Zach Lowe
Coverage of the lottery. That's coming up next to talk about what is suddenly an absolutely wild Wolves spurs series. Victor Wembanyama throws an elbow We've had A Tony Brothers vs. Chris Finch Royal Rumble. We had the NBA's version of the helmet catch by Iota Sunu last night when it looked like the Wolves might impress, probably collapse amid a hail of Turnovers. Nope, it's 2:2. Victor Wembanyama was ejected early in the second quarter for smashing Nas Reed's throat with an elbow. A nasty elbow at that. And it didn't look like we would be here, Mr. Krasinski. Game one, the wolves steal it. Game two blowout. Game three felt like the moment where the spurs asserted their supremacy and the Wolves like they do, just whatever you think is going to happen, the other thing is going to happen. Anthony Edwards looked more like Anthony Edwards. Sensational fourth quarter on his way to 36 points. We have a series in the conference semifinals. It must have been a wild, bloodthirsty atmosphere last night at the Target Center.
John Krasinski
It was Zach Lowe. I mean, when you look at this whole series, there hasn't been a normal game. It feels like in any of them. And that was anything but normal at Target center on Sunday night. I mean, you have the elbow, you have Anthony Edwards with ground beef for knees just like willing his team back into the fight. You have the spurs young guys like really taking it to the Wolves. I mean, there was just great theater all around. It was super tense. I you know, I think we're getting to a point where both of these teams don't really like each other, similar to Wolves Nuggets. And so that kind of animosity breeds entertainment as well. And I can't wait to see what we still have in store for us in this thing.
Zach Lowe
We are recording this at 10:30 in the morning. We do not know Victor Wembanyama's status for Game five. He was justifiably ejected. It was an absolute no brainer. The moment I saw it, I was like, well, that's flagrant too. I don't care who he is, he's out of the game. It was early in the second quarter, which I think actually is going to matter for the league's decision here. I am going to predict he does not get suspended for Game 5, that he gets fined. But I will say this. I, I went down a rabbit hole last night of elbow related fines and suspensions. Have you done any elbow related research?
John Krasinski
A little bit of it, yeah. I mean, you know, the Hassan Whiteside one kind of came to mind. You know I had a, I said the same thing. Zach was like after the game last night just, I would be surprised if they, they suspended Wemb because he does not have a history of violence. And I had a bunch of people in my reply saying, well, meta world peace. And I said like what are we talking about here? Like we can't do that.
Zach Lowe
Throw the meta world peace, near decapitation of Oklahoma City era James Harden out the window. It, it, it's irrelevant as a precedent. I will say this. You could find whatever precedent you want in these elbow stuff in terms of fine versus suspension. I'll just go through. Can I go through a few please?
John Krasinski
Yes.
Zach Lowe
You mentioned Whiteside. I can't remember who he shoved. That was like an. After the play, like it was a Celtic, I think nasty, like forearm into the back. He was suspended a game for that non basketball play. I believe after the whistle. Vince Carter was suspended one game for kind of a retaliatory elbow to the head of Steven Adams, who is the victim in several of these incidents, which is broadly similar to what Wembanyama did. And I believe it was, it was a regular season game. He was suspended one game. Junior Smith was suspended for one playoff game for a swing through elbow. He was playing for the Knicks on Jason Terry. Jason Terry was all up in his jersey. He was annoyed. The Knicks were up by 20 midway through the fourth quarter, which again is relevant. And he swung through and he smashed Jason Terry's head. He got suspended one game. Those are all. And by the way, I don't think the Wolves are going to lobby at all. I think the Wolves are just going to be like, whatever happens, happens. This guy's an amazing player. He has no track record of anything. We're not going to do the thing where we're badgering the league office like, look at this clip, look at this clip. Suspend him. And they don't want to. If, if he's suspended, fine. If he, if he's not like, yeah, we're not going to, we don't want to win cheaply, then you can go the other way here. Are some other ones I found. Andre Drummond was fined, I think $15,000 for elbowing Roy Hibbert in the back of the head. Kind of a softer elbow, but the back of the head, you just never know. It didn't look as violent as Wemby's. David west was fined either 15 or 25 for elbowing Blake Griffin kind of in the throat, but again, not with the same force that Wemby had. The closest one I could find of a fine was, this is a deep cut. Samuel Dalembert, when he was playing for the Knicks, pretty viciously elbowed Jonas Valentunas, who was on the Raptors, hit him flush in the face in the third quarter regular season and was just fined. So again, like, you can go. You can do the thing. If you're a fan of this team, you find this precedent. If you're a fan of this team, you find this other precedent. I will say this. Of the. Of the ones that were just fined and not suspended, and I'm sure there's a longer list, Victor's was definitely the most violent and the most targeted. Like, if they actually suspended him, I really don't think the spurs have that much of a gripe because it was a very violent, very targeted hit. And they're lucky he hit him in the throat and not in the face, because you can't. Head injuries are different than, you know, like kicking a guy in the groin, whatever. It's just. It's a different level of risk just based on the violence of it. It's a suspendable offense, but it's also. You can find precedent for just fining that are pretty similar. And I think the reason he won't get suspended and I'm okay with this if a little squeamish, is, number one, he has no track record of anything that I can remember anyway. Number two, it was early in the game and he essentially was suspended for that game for the most part. And number three, and I'm not sure how you feel about this, but it's not just that it's the playoffs and it's a huge game, and nobody wants to see a huge game decided by this, by people leaving the bench, by whatever letter of the law thing happens, the NBA has clearly decided that the playoffs are going to be a completely different game than the regular season with way amped up physicality, and that people are going to be elbowing him and fouling him and everybody just across the board, it's going to be wildly more physical. And I think they need to take Ownership, a little bit of something like this where it's like, yeah, if you let that stuff happen, if your standard in the playoffs is this, things like this are going to happen. And I'm not excusing it. It was an awful play. It was super dangerous. It was super violent. But I do think the argument that we have to treat it a little bit differently because of the context of the playoffs, not just the ser. Not just the importance of the game, but the environment of the games is. Is pretty legit. So I'm gonna say they find him. I'm gonna be okay with that. And I also think Wolves fans, which would be fair to say if this were a different player with the same track record, even a lesser player with the same tracker, he might get suspended because it was a very violent, very targeted. Like, he looked at him, he wound up and he smashed Nazrid in the throat.
John Krasinski
Yeah, I think that. To start, I would say. I'm with you, Zach. I don't think he should be suspended in terms of. I. I don't want to see that as the swing factor in a series that has been competitive against two, with two really good teams and something that was, you know, violent and. And. But I don't think malicious in that way, because the one thing that did bother me about the play, Zach, was that you can tell in real time, he looks over his shoulder, he thinks for a second, and then he acts. And so there was premeditation involved there,
Zach Lowe
and he didn't fight about it. When he was ejected, he was like, okay, that seems right. I'm leaving. Like, I don't know. I'm ejected. I'm okay, Bye.
Jonathan Gavoni
Bye.
John Krasinski
And I will say to this, to your other point, I understand him being frustrated. Like, the Wolves have gotten very physical with him. They have bumped and banged and chipped and. And. And done things to try to frustrate him and get under his skin. There are Wolves fans who will pull a million clips of Anthony Edwards getting fouled going to the basket, and Rudy Gobert getting hit in the head as well. This is just a really physical series. And so there. That does not justify the elbow at all. But given he is not Draymond Green, he is not Metta World Peace, he is not even like a Dylan Brooks or Lou Dortmund. I just don't think that there's enough to look at and say, this guy has a history of these issues, and this goes above and beyond, and so we are going to suspend you for a game. But it was absolutely violent, it was reckless, it was Premeditated. He lost his cool in that moment and it was pretty frightening. You're right. If he's an inch higher, who knows where Nasrid is right now?
Zach Lowe
I think both outcomes would be fair. Like, I think you could make a legit argument for finding him and letting him play and suspect and. Or suspending him for one game. I'm going to be fine. When they don't suspend him. All circumstances, I'm not going to feel great about it. I'm not going to feel like, oh, that's. It's a no brainer. It's the right outcome. Like Stephen A's tweet last night about, like, I hope they don't suspend. It would be abysmal. Blah, blah, blah. I don't think that, but I think it's acceptable to not suspend him. So let's assume that he indeed is playing game five. He did not play the last 2.75 quarters of game four. And the wolves tried hard to not win the game and ended up winning the game behind a brilliant Anthony Edwards game. And I don't want to sleep on the two threes that Terence Shannon Jr. Made late in the third quarter when the spurs were up like 8, 9. All of a sudden it's like kind of trouble time. And he hit those corner threes. Those were huge shots. And, you know, down the stretch they made enough plays to win it. It got a little ugly at the end. Could. Did you have an angle of the. The helmet catch or the Justin Jefferson catch or whatever it was?
John Krasinski
So I. Not in real time because where we're sitting, we're on the opposite baseline. And so Jade McDaniels. I had the great view of the pass. He made a great quarterback Peyton Manning throw, but I couldn't see IO on the other side of it because there was defenders in the, in the middle. But then you watch the replay and I thought initially he caught it cleanly and then I saw, no, he did not. He used his foot. He, you know, one of my editors at the Athletic, Zach Pierce, tweeted, like, the foot of God. Like, you know, Maradona's hand of God. And. And that's what it felt like. And not only did he hit it with his foot, but then he gathered himself and was able to grab the ball before it went out of bounds like that. That was the most incredible part of the whole.
Zach Lowe
They're up three. They're up three at that point, right?
Jonathan Gavoni
Yeah.
John Krasinski
Hanging on by thread.
Zach Lowe
It definitely looked in midair like, oh, my God, this is just disaster. Unfolding. Justin Champagne is going to come in and hit a three. This is going to be the most Wolves playoff loss possible. And then IO made an incredible play, sealed the game, and it was over from there. And by the way, you take out game two, which I realized you could not do, the scoring margin of games 1, 3 and 4 combined is zero. It's dead even in those other games, which is interesting. I don't know. Like, let's assume he plays, Wemby plays game five. Just what. What's left on the table for Minnesota in terms of adjustments on either end of the floor that you are interested to see?
John Krasinski
Yeah, I do think that one thing that they went away from that worked somewhat in, in game one. I mean, Wemby had 12 blocks. He was amazing in game one. It was incredible. But one thing that Terence Shannon Jr. Said afterward is like, he's gonna have to block everyone. We're gonna keep coming at him. And they didn't really do that in games two, three and the start of four. They looked a little bit more scared of Wemby, understandably, swatting everything like it's. It's understandable what they were settling for floaters. They were not making a lot of their bunnies and they were not shooting enough threes, I think. So if you look for a counter with Wemby on the floor, this is a very good shooting team. Even with Dante DiVincenzo out that I would expect that they would try to shoot over the top of him a little bit more and then get that to spread the defense and then maybe open up a few more driving lanes for them. But they haven't really shot at volume threes in this series, and I understand why, and especially with DiVincenzo out. But, you know, you have the Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley's hitting a couple of threes. Shannon is. Is hitting some timely threes. Like you, you can do a few more things to breathe some more space into this offense. I think that's going to have to be big part of their diet going into game five.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, their three point volume is way down. And I think there are a lot of reasons for that. One is Wembanyama and his ability to guard the paint by himself so no one else has to help. Another is they have just not let the Wolves get in much of a rhythm in their pick and roll game. Like, the Wolves get threes when Ant and Gobert on screen roll and they draw two and the ball starts flying around. They haven't blitzed Ant or put either Been up to the level of the screen. They're doing one of two things on a. If it's a regular pick and roll, they're dropping back. And I think the most encouraging sign from game four and game three, but particularly game four, was Ant started to poke a hole in that a little bit. He made a couple pull up threes, he made some mid rangers, he attacked Fox on switches now and then, which is I think something he could do more. He had a couple explosive drives to the rim. He started to poke holes in that. Or we're just trapping you at half court before you can even run a pick and roll. And we're confident that we can rotate out of that, especially when Wemby's on the floor. So the rhythm threes just haven't been there. But I wonder, given his success in game four, kind of poking at their pick and roll scheme, if they can get a little bit more of that. The other guy that I'm watching is, is Randall who's averaging only 14 a game. And I just, I expected a lot more. The spurs are giving him whatever matchup he wants on switches. Like it takes one screening action. And if you don't want Castle because he's tenacious, he, you can get Viscell, you can get Champagne, you might even be able to get Fox. And I expected a lot more just deliberate get Randall a matchup and let him attack and let him attack in space, particularly when Gobert is off the floor and they're trying to play Wemby in like a one man zone on the back line, put shooters in the corners, let Randall go against a favorable matchup. And I thought in game three they just kind of lost their plot on offense a little bit. Like Ant would get doubled and give it up and then just take himself out of the play completely. He'd stand half court being face guarded, which fine, he's spacing the floor, but it's Anthony Edwards, man, go get the ball back. And Randall was just like a statue on. No matter who was guarding him, it could have been a favorable matchup. He wasn't coming to the ball, he wasn't demanding the ball. When his guy would throw the shade toward Ant, he wouldn't do anything, he wouldn't cut, he wouldn't screen. And I'm like, man, it just feels like there's so much low hanging fruit for Julius Randall and the Wolves to grab. I, I don't really understand why they're not trying harder to grab it.
John Krasinski
Yeah, and that was one of the big issues in game three or no game two. Zach, when they, when. When the spurs really started to blitz and at the. At half court and. And. And double him there and trap him, Randall and really the rest of the team was not moving to make themselves available for the pass to then trigger the 4 on 3. And. And so it's been inactivity on Randall's part, but then also the other part about Julius Randle that has really struggled the series is like, even when he does get the ball and tries to make a move, he's turning it over all the time.
Zach Lowe
That's true.
John Krasinski
He had four turnovers in the first.
Zach Lowe
They're handsy, man. They're handsy.
John Krasinski
And, and both Oklahoma City and San Antonio are very handsy defensively, very quick. And those types of approaches have given Randall fits in the past. And he has to find a way to be stronger with the ball and make better decisions, but mostly just do not give it up in traffic the way that he has, because when they do, that's a turnover.
Jonathan Gavoni
They're going.
John Krasinski
San Antonio is going the other way. They're really good in transition, and they're scoring points that way. And so they need a more composed, more poised Julius Randle in two of these last three games if they're going to pull what would be a huge upset.
Zach Lowe
Huge upset if Wemby's not suspended. The spurs having two of the last three at home. No DiVincenzo Ant Limited. He must be starting to feel a little bit better, because it's not just the production. It's that some of the trademark ant baskets have started to reemerge in the last couple games, including he's got a couple of, like, backdoor cuts where he's cut pretty explosively and then finished. That's just trademark ant stuff. The other guy is like, dear. And Fox is averaging 16 a game, 16.8 on 38 shooting and 22% on threes. And there's just been multiple moments in this series and in this playoffs where it's like, man, I would really like, with Wemby either out or ejected or whatever, man, I really would like to see de' Aaron Fox kind of step up. I mean, he's been fine. He got off to that quick start in game two. Didn't put up big numbers because they didn't need him to. And everyone was like, oh, yeah, great, Dear. And Fox showed up. He had 16 points. Great. I don't. I. I mean, I just think they're going to need more from him. And that, that, that contract is Going to be interesting to monitor going forward.
John Krasinski
I'll tell you, Zach, like watching this series in real time, it feels like every time a Spurs possession ends with Fox taking somewhat of a contested jumper or a jumper at all, that's a win for the Wolves. Like, he just does not look reliable right now in getting to his spots and knocking down shots that I've seen him make in his sleep, in his pet in the past.
Zach Lowe
But I almost wonder if they're going to go under screens a little bit more against him because this the spurs smartly in game two three and less so last night obviously amped up the pick and roll usage with Wemby, which I think is really smart, particularly when Randall's on him, just uses gravity and a lot of that depends on Fox making enough shots and he's just not making enough shots.
John Krasinski
Yeah. And I'll tell you, like right now, I would venture to guess an honest Wolves insider in that locker room and on that coaching staff would say they're much more scared of Dylan Harper than they are of of Fox. He's been unbelievable. Like the way that he just is relentless in attacking. Castle has been great as well. They are both weapons that are hard to deal with, with their physicality, with everything else. And, and Fox just is not on that level right now. And, and so unless that turns around, if Mitch Johnson keeps putting the ball in Fox's hands, I think that the Wolves will live with that.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, there was the one baseline drive where I think Shannon was on him and he like really drove hard baseline and hit the brakes and Shannon was. Fell out of the play and it was like, well, that looks like Darren Fox. Like, that's the fast, twitchy guy. He's just not getting by guys and getting. Getting open shots as easily as he was in his prime. And yeah, we'll see. It's 2 2. The spurs, assuming Wemby plays, should, should still win. I mean, that game three was a pretty majestic performance, but when the Wolves having 1.6 minutes into the game was just like, I don't even know what you're supposed to do, but hey, man, the Wolves, you, you got to give it to Tim Connolly. I, we. We get into the Gobert thing a little later in this episode, but like that trade has worked out and this team is just tough as they, they show up and they're down a guy injured, IO's been injured and here they are at 2 2. And you could chalk it up to Wemby getting himself thrown out of a game, but they were they were winning the game when that happened, and they, they hung on to win the game without him. And like, you can only play the guys that are in front of you. And here they are like, after a weird up and down season and, oh, my God, his fans are wondering if Chris Finch is the right coach and this mix of players and like, here they are two. Two in the conference semifinals again.
John Krasinski
It's amazing, Zach. Like, it's a maddening thing because they're really individually talented, but it just seems like unless their shoulder blades are scraping against the brick wall behind them, they don't really bring everything possible. And even last game, like, they, you know, they. I do think they relaxed just a little bit or breathe a sigh relief when Wemby left, and then they were still in a fight. And I just can't say enough about Anthony Edwards. He, his knees are at maybe 60%. He can pick like four or five times a game where he really goes usually. I, I agree with you in that. I do think he is getting stronger as this, as the series goes along. He's getting his win back. He's. He's getting a little bit more energy, but he is operating at a level where he has to be crafty in a way that he never was before. Like, it was all power, it was all athleticism, it was all overwhelming. Now he is thinking the game, he is getting to his spots. He is just willing this team forward. And it's. It's just great theater to watch. You have Wemby on one side, you know, killing the Wolves in game three. And then you have the Wolves season on the line, down 8 in the fourth quarter, and Ant just erupts. And he cannot dunk on anyone right now. He cannot, like, just blow past everyone, but he can still find a way. And that's. That's pretty amazing stuff to watch.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, he had. It was in game three, he had a post move where he spun baseline on Julian Champagne, I think, and he, he roasted him like he spun real fast and he went up to finish. Maybe it wasn't Champagne. Maybe Champagne. He met him at the rim. It was another wing that met him at the rim. And it was a below the rim finish. And healthy Anthony Edwards is either dunking that or drawing a foul trying to dunk it. And he just doesn't have that kind of explosiveness right now. But he gutted it out last night. 13 of 22. How many did he have in the fourth quarter?
John Krasinski
Like 16 in the fourth. Yep, 16 in the fourth.
Zach Lowe
All every kind of shot. Imaginable, Just the guy is a gamer. And by the way, do we know for this, off the top of my head, I can't remember. Was there like a. An event where the. Is this just wear and tear on his knees? Was there an event that, like, there was the thing that looked like a hyperextension then. Was that the last round?
John Krasinski
Yeah, that was game four against Denver. Yeah. So he was already playing with like, inflammation in his. In his right knee. Similar.
Zach Lowe
That was the fat.
John Krasinski
And.
Fred Katz
And.
John Krasinski
And some of what Steph Curry was dealing with.
Zach Lowe
And then that was the left knee
John Krasinski
against Denver and then the left knee against Denver where he landed on it. And it looked like there were people who told me, like, I thought it was Sean Livingston all over again. Like. And so they just dodged a major, major bullet. And he is Wolverine. Like, he's. He heals faster than anyone you've ever seen before. And. But like, even, like last night, talking to a couple of players in the locker room after the game, even, you know, kind of off the record, and they're just like, I can't believe what he's doing right now. Like, did you just, like, we. You see what he's putting his body through? You see, like, how he's feeling on the off days? And that dude is just going out there. And that's why Nasrid is getting up after taking the elbow from hell. That's why IO is playing through a calf even though he's a. A free agent at the end of this, this season. Like, the Ant is setting that example and walking the walk and talking the talk. It's pretty incredible.
Zach Lowe
Any parting thoughts on this series and Game five coming up? Before we let you go, here's what I'll say.
John Krasinski
Like, one thing that if you want to be a Wolves optimist in this, it's. I do think that I. What I see in Wembanyama is definitely what I saw in Anthony Edwards at 21, 22 years old, in that he gets a sense of. He has a taste for the jugular, but sometimes he goes a little too far with it. He wants it too badly. And you'll see Wemby take a contested three, like in a moment or a heat checked kind of turnaround, and that opens the door going the other way a little bit. And Ant did the same thing, like, all the time. You could always tell up, this one's going up for three. A step back three is coming because he senses that moment. And I think in game one, Wemby sort of punched himself out early because he wanted to just absolutely dominate the game and they didn't have quite enough gas in the fourth quarter. I wonder if coming into game five, he is going to be so motivated to atone for what happened in Game 4 that maybe he's almost too amped up. That's really the only hope that the Wolves have because if he's locked in and just ready to play, I mean, he's an absolute monster that I don't know that anyone can do anything with. And so if he's under control, it's hard to see the Wolves figuring a
Jonathan Gavoni
way out of this.
John Krasinski
If he is just sort of caught up in the emotion of it and wanting to deliver a statement and is a little too wild, then maybe that, that. That kind of opens the door for the Wolves to. To make a move and steal this thing.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, he was much more calculated in games two and three. And part of that is just like I mentioned this on the last episode, I think he, he had a. He had a pick and roll where the Wolves switched in Game 3 and put Jada McDaniels on him. And he just rolled Jada McDaniels into the post, sealed him, got the ball, and I can't remember if he scored or drew a foul or both, but that was just sheer like, I want to do this. I'm doing this. I'm not going to do the other things that you want me to do and shoot threes and he caught a bunch of lobs and all that, so we shall see if he plays how he plays. But the Wolves in the playoffs, it's always a good time and John Krasinski is always there to document it for us. Thanks for your time, bud. I know you're busy and now it's time to talk lottery with Jonathan Gaboni.
John Krasinski
Thanks, Zach.
Zach Lowe
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Jonathan Gavoni
I'm Doing great, man. How are you?
Zach Lowe
I'm hanging in there. I'm hanging in there. You were not in the secret room with us last night, right?
Jonathan Gavoni
I've never done the secret room once. And this is actually the first time I skipped the lottery altogether. They moved it to Navy Pier. And I said, man, I need to get my fix of the G League combine scrimmages. I'm worried I'm not going to get back in time. So I just, you know, I watched it on TV and I. Then I watched the G League combine.
Zach Lowe
So that's sad, first of all. Second of all, we had the.
Jonathan Gavoni
But it's on brand, you have to admit.
Zach Lowe
It is on brand. We had a sort of last hurrah for the tankers last night for. For, in some cases, Sacramento and Brooklyn. I just want to send my condolences to all of your fans. It's just. It's a rough go for, for you guys in the lottery. But Washington egregiously tanks. They get the number one pick. Utah egregiously tanks. They get the number two pick. And then two sort of middle ground tankers. A different species of tanker. The Grizzlies and the Bulls move up to 3 and 4. And the irony of this is I think we're like in year eight of the revised semi flattened lottery odds. And every time there would be a wild jump in this new system. Like the hawks had a 3% chance of getting reishochet and they'd moved all the way up. Cooper flag. Obviously Dallas had like a 1 point something percent chance. They move all the way up. We've seen teams with the very worst records picked up fifth. You know, multiple times there was this immediate outcry of like, what have we wrought? We have benefited. It's so hard now for the worst teams are getting punished and these mediocre teams are getting moved up and just like, what have we done? It was so dumb and it was so reactive because what happened was a, exactly the system that you had legislated in working as expected, and B, this lottery last night was a reminder that if you were just a little bit less reactive and let this system play out for 20, 30, 40 years, like an actual sample size, more often than not we would get results like last night, where the worst teams would do best in the lottery, like Washington, Utah, with some, you know, random movement here and there. It was like last night was a representative kind of lottery of this system that everybody wanted because of the process and the egregious tanking, right? And they vote for it. And then some wild stuff happens and everyone's like, oh my God, what have we done? And now all these years later, we're getting a system that's probably going to even be more random than this with like wildly flatter odds. 3, 2, 1. A relegation zone and all that. So I just find it ironic that in the last year of this system, it works to reward the worst teams just to just, to just. It's just crazy how reactive everybody is. And by the way, if the NBA passes this new system, this three, two, one system and wild outcomes happen in the first year, there's going to be the same like, oh my God, what have we done? You did exactly this. This is what you. But who, who was your biggest winner of the night other than 29 teams? Because Oklahoma City did not move up,
Jonathan Gavoni
it has to be the Clippers. I mean, that the trade was insane when it happened and it's even more insane now, even though it was a coin flip, whether it was going to go Indiana's way or the Clippers way. 5248 and you know, it's such a ballsy move on both sides and you know, you can't help but feel for the Pacers, especially their fans, you know, going through the season that they did and. But I mean, I understand like the strategy behind it because you know what, probably get into this more. There is absolutely a drop off after four. And so the Pacers probably said to themselves, you know, if we drop to five, six, whatever, you know, we'd rather have a starting center locked in for $20 million a year in Ivy Zubots. That's our pre difference. But just to see it play out the way that it did, the, the drama, I mean, that's like you said, I mean, the lottery is, is the best day of the calendar and you bring all these, you know, NBA executives, they're all millionaires. They're, you know, they've done accomplished so much in their career. They're so powerful. They've, you know, they reached the top of the mountain to, to get to this point and they're sitting in that room and they're so vulnerable and they're literally. Their entire career in many ways hinges on which way this will go. I mean, the San Antonio spurs will, they'll be the first ones, I'm sure to tell you. I mean, like, they don't get Victor. You know, what, what is, what is their. What does it look like now all of a sudden? You know, they're all geniuses and they're you know, they're so smart and just one player changes the trajectory of your franchise in the NBA. And so that's why, I mean, the lottery is insane. Every year it just blows my mind. And I'm just really curious to see how it plays out next year because it's going to be even crazier. All trying to understand all the ramifications of what they're trying to pass. And you know, the NBA is, it's, it's absolutely insane from top to bottom, but the lottery is the top.
Zach Lowe
So you just nailed why it's my favorite thing. The absurdist nature of it. Watching these genius, highly accomplished people top of their fields just sit there and sweat and fret over a. Literally like an 80s newscast. Like, here, let's bring on the meteorologists to pull out the tonight's lottery balls. So, and next year, by the way, we don't exactly know how it's going to be, but the proposal is this 3, 2, 1 system where instead of these, like, you know, now you get these four ping pong. There's 14 ping pong balls numbered 1 to 14. And teams are assigned four number combinations of those ping pong balls. There's a thousand combinations and so like 2, 3, 4, 1, 8, whatever. That belongs to the Wizards. And the Wizards come up next year, there's only going to be like, there's going to be, I think, 37 balls and they're just going to be like team balls. Like, just going to have logos. Like, the teams at the top of the lottery get three balls. The relegation zone teams and some other teams get to the best. The best teams, quote, unquote, get one. And they don't exactly know how they're going to do it next year. A couple of rumblings I heard yesterday was they have definitely taken note of the NHL making like a really good television show out of the lottery drawing, like with the odds in real time on a big screen Sphere. Yeah, I guess it was at the sphere. I don't know. They've definitely made note of that. And there's. There's a world in which, you know, the plan is the proposal is to draw all 16 spots and there's a world in which they actually draw from 16 to 1 in reverse order. And the way that would work is process of elimination. One way it could work is process of elimination. So if you're one of the teams that has three balls and your ball comes up for the 16th pick, that doesn't mean you get the 16th pick. That means you have two balls left in the kitty. They draw again for the 16th pick. And the first team that has, like, one. That's their last ball, they get the 16th pick, and you go from there. So it'd be this kind of thrilling, like, oh, my God, we have one ball left. That ball stay in there, ball. We don't want you to come out. But anyway, we'll see what happens next year. You are correct that the Clippers are indisputably, I think, the biggest. Other than the Wizards, I guess, the Clippers to come out with the highest possible pick that they could have gotten. 5. And you can tell me about, you know, how big the cliff is after four and the double win of not being embarrassed by having Oklahoma City move up with their pick. I was sitting behind Rasab Desai, who was the Clippers representative, in the drawing room. Right. Literally right behind him. His back. His back was right in front of me. And the sigh of relief, like, it was. It was so visible, like, his shoulders when they. When the Chicago pick came up. And then the lottery's over, and so he stands up and he turns around and he has this look on his face like he looked like someone who had. Had been, like, acquitted at trial, facing life in prison. Just like he had a new lease on life. And then he went over and he had a nice handshake bro hug with Ted Wu, the Pacers guy. And I was like, oh, that's such a nice moment of NBA harmony. You guys aren't fighting. You guys aren't mad at each other, but an unbelievable win for them and. And a new lease on life, I guess, for the Clippers, assuming they get to keep that pick. Did you see the Clippers tweet updating the terms of the trade with the Pacers?
Jonathan Gavoni
I did. Yeah. No, it's. It's just a reason. 5 billion. Why the NBA is the craziest league in the. In the world.
Zach Lowe
It's like, I'm just gonna just say this. Every time I see the Clippers tweet, I just think back to when everyone was digging up the old aspiration tweets nine months ago. Like, if there's a year to maybe just not take the victory lap at the Pacers expense and, like, highlight in red that you're getting the number five pick. Maybe, just maybe just take the win and don't. And don't rub it in. But we also have to discuss Kevin Pritchard's tweet apologizing to Pacers fans. I thought that was, like, insane. I could not believe that he tweeted that, saying that he thought that he didn't think it would come up 5. Like, dude, you made the trade.
Jonathan Gavoni
He was surprised.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, you made the trade. And it's like a justifiable trade of each of Zubots was a borderline all NBA player two seasons ago. He's on a great contract. The Bucks splurged on Miles Turner at a number that you frankly couldn't justify. And so you had to pivot somehow. And yeah, you. You did. So hoping to tank this season and have your cake. You needed to and you didn't get the cake. But to sit there and tweet like, man, I'm just surprised. I thought it would go the other way. You knew exactly what it was. It was 52, 48. You would get the pick. And 48 came up. You can't be like, the lottery just makes people insane. Like, it just makes people absolutely insane. Like last year, I remember people telling me, like, Ryan Smith was. I mean, I don't want to say distraught. Like, he wasn't crying. I think he was more, like, angry that the Jazz had not gotten the number one pick and it had moved down. It's like, dude, the most likely outcome just happened and you're like raging at the basketball guys. It just makes people insane. I couldn't believe it was more.
Jonathan Gavoni
It was more Dallas and everybody's saying it's rigged and all and all that I think is what it was maybe.
Zach Lowe
But I couldn't believe that that tweet. And look, the Pacers, like, shit happens. Now they keep their 20, 31 pick, which would have been unprotected to the Clippers had. Had they kept this pick, which makes it easier for them to make trades. Zoo's good. You just got to go build your team. You don't have a ton of flexibility, but you have some. Like, you can get probably one more player with the mini mid level exception or something like that. I just thought that was. That was a crazy moment. Did you see the stuff about the suit that Rasab from the Clippers wore to. To the drawing room?
Jonathan Gavoni
I did not see that. I actually was walking by the peninsula yesterday, and they just happened to drive up the whole Clippers staff and they were like, our guy got it done. How about Rasab? And he's like, yeah, I did it, guys.
Zach Lowe
He executed. That's why I said, you executed in there. You got the job done. So he was wearing a suit that they did. The Clippers, like, revere Jerry West. Everybody that worked there reveres him. So he was wearing a suit that Jerry west had when. When he saw Rasab when Rasab was younger, went up to him. This is what Rasab told me and said, I can't have you looking like shit at NBA games. I'm going to have my tailor make some suits for you. And this was the first one, including the tie that the tailor had made. Took the. The Taylor came, I think the Clippers headquarters took the measurements, made the suit, and then Jerry west had the tailor make Rasab's wedding suit. And when the wedding suit was delivered, there was a surprise second suit. And so this is what he wore as a good luck charm to the thing. So that's just fun. Lottery, lottery stuff. Okay, let's start with the results. Wizards number one pick. They have Anthony Davis and Trey Young are on the team. They have a whole pile of young players who are now going to have incredible competition. This is your world. The consensus seems to be Debancer is the safest choice and the most likely choice at number one, the Wizards. The scuttlebutt was last night was, are legitimately like. Like we haven't decided yet. We're going to take a look at it. What do you think happens here?
Jonathan Gavoni
I have Darren Peterson going one, and I was a little bit surprised. You know, how it's like the consensus has shifted. I mean, I know that Darren Peterson didn't have the season that he wanted, but I've seen those guys on the same floor in person probably eight to ten times playing against each other, you know, in a lot of different settings over the years, dating back to the under 16, you know, USA basketball training camp. And not once did I come away thinking AJ DeBonsa is a better prospect than Darren Peterson, including when they played each other this year, which is, you know, Darren Peterson had an absolutely insane first half. I mean, it was one of his best performances. And. And debunza had, you know, a kind of a debonza game where a lot of dribbles, a lot of tough shots, made some tough shots, you know, incredible intensity and, you know, will and aggressiveness and the scoring instincts and ancient. Debons is a great prospect, and I. I have a pretty good feeling he's going to be an all star. Darren Peterson is on another level, talent wise, and I don't know if, you know, people watched enough. I think once they go back and go through the filming. They played each other three times last year, and Darren Peterson was head and shoulders better than AJ debonza every single time. Now, you know, the creatine stuff and the cramping and you know, Darren Peterson did not have the same gear that we saw in high school. He didn't have the same twitch. He wasn't quite as explosive. Blowing by people, getting to the rim, finishing. They moved him off the ball. Strangely. He was playing next to him. Melvin Council, who is, you know, we've kind of seen him now in the NBA, the G League combine. Portsmouth. Melvin Council is a very average player. I think that we're going to look back in five years and wonder how the hell did Darren Peterson not, you know, have the year? I mean, I get it physically, all that. He wasn't there. Darren Peterson is an all NBA player. He's an incredible talent. And I don't care. You have Trey Young, whatever like you. I think you take the talent in this, in this draft and Darren Peterson is the talent. I think he, he's, he should go number one. I don't know what they're going to do. I haven't spoken with them, whatever. But you know, knowing Will Dawkins and you know, they're gonna, they're gonna, like you said, they're gonna look at this really hard and maybe they do go to Bonza just because he's safer. He had, you know, such a great year. He's an all American, all that. I would absolutely go with Darren Peterson.
Zach Lowe
Well, what makes that interesting is that of course Utah eating like the five hundred thousand dollar fines and just what they're like, oh, find us more where we get the number two pick in the draft. Obviously they know the Banta very well. He went to byu. Ryan Smith is a big booster at byu. He was in high school, I think for elite Utah Prep. Yeah. For at least a year. And so there was this immediate like, oh my God, would the Jazz make like a godfather offer to the Wizards to move up one spot in the draft and guarantee that the bance is there? My very early sense from talking to people around the league last night, all over the league was like, I don't think Utah is going to operate like that. I don't think they're going to be reckless just to get that guy in the door. If he falls to them, great. If, if they really want him and they're, and they're getting just held hostage. It's a tough decision. My, my, I mean it's, it's very early. But they, they did not seem to me like, oh, we're desperate to go get this. Not that they're going to seem like that anyway, but I think they're just going to be happy to take who's ever there. The other thing with Utah is Carlos Boozer works for the Jazz in the front office and Cam Boozer is going to be in conversation for you know, a top three, top four pick. That's another fun little variable. But I get the sense that like look, obviously both of these teams will listen to everything that comes to them including you know, there was like I just randomly like Utah obviously made a big win now move last season or win semi later move. I guess by trading For Jaren Jackson Jr. Keante George is like a rising, perhaps all star guard. Markkanen is an all star. They got to figure out Walker Kessler. They want to resign him for sure. You could make the argument that Utah is a strong trade down, trade down a little bit in the lottery, get another veteran player in the door because I do think they want to get one more decent rotation guy. They could just get that with the mid level instead of doing any trade down kind of stuff. My guess is they just stick it to and pick who's ever there and are thrilled with it. But what do you think?
Jonathan Gavoni
Yeah, I can't see anybody trading out of the top three. I can't. I think the trades in the top 10 are going to be unlikely to happen unless it's like jockeying moving down two spots from seven to five, something like, you know. But I, I think we, we'd be doing a disservice by not mentioning the fact that Cam Boozer is every bit a number one pick candidate. And there are a lot of people around the NBA especially, you know, those that build the team's draft models that have Cam Boozer number one. He, I mean, has been the most productive player by far every step of the way. He's been the winningest player every step of the way. What he does is going to translate to the NBA. I think he's going to be an all star. And so there are a lot of teams that there are a lot of not teams, I would say NBA executives that I really respect that have camboozer number one on their draft board. And I would expect the Wizards to give Kambuzer a really hard look as well as now the Jazz, I mean they're so stacked with bigs like you said. But you don't draft for need when you're drafting two. You don't know when an opportunity like that is going to come around. And next year's draft and the year after is not looking good whatsoever. So you, you go for the talent and Darren Peterson and and Asia demands are talents. But Cam Boozer is a heck of an NBA prospect and he's, I mean he's, he'd be my favorite to be rookie of the year next year.
Zach Lowe
Then we get to Memphis, who moves up to number three and sort of the immediate scuttlebutt questions gossip was what does this mean for John Morant? Does this make them more likely, less likely? They get a great prospect in the door, new lottery odds coming that don't really make it profitable to be terrible. In fact make it it unprofitable. It'd be terrible to be one of the three worst teams and get relegated. Would they just sort of keep Moran and try to have some fun and be frisky? I think it actually probably doesn't change their course at all. I think they're still likely to trade John Morant. If anything, I think it may make them more likely to trade John Morant because you look at a team like Sacramento who plummets all the way to seventh, doesn't want to be in that relegation zone next year. Brooklyn, I don't really see the fit, but Brooklyn's an interesting case. We'll talk about. I think they're actually going to are slightly more likely to trade John Morant and I sense like some optimism that it won't be like an awful value trade for them. Chicago moves up to four. Huge win for the Bulls who are, who are bracing for a big, big summer under Bryson Graham as the new GM and just hovering over all of this top four discussion. And you have said to me already like you don't think anyone should trade out of the top four. This will trade out of the top four. It's so good. But there is this, you know, last week on Bill's pod, he sort of posited this like at some point Oklahoma City, who I think is 12th in this draft, is going to have to consolidate players and picks because they just have too many players who are going to get too expensive and too many picks. They can't even roster all their picks. Would this be the year with this kind of top four where Oklahoma City just goes to the Bulls or the grizzlies and says AJ Mitchell plus rotation player X plus number 12 plus three future first round picks to get into the top four? And one GM told me last night talking about this, like, there is a point at which you just can't say no, where they just put so much in the kitty that you have to consider saying yes, I have no idea What Oklahoma City is going to do. I haven't talked to anybody there about their plans. They are notoriously tight lipped about it. But I will say teams toward the top of the draft are expecting those kind of calls whether they come or not. What do you think will and should happen there?
Jonathan Gavoni
Yeah, I mean they, they need to consolidate. I mean, they have so many picks coming down the pipeline. Like I said, the, the next two drafts are not considered to be very strong, especially at the top.
Zach Lowe
That's, that's, that's key, right? The future picks, like the people who are looking at the 2028 draft, 2029 draft, like this is what you have to be looking at when you make
Jonathan Gavoni
a decision like this, 100%. And so, I mean it's, this is a really bad high school class that's, you know, coming to be freshmen now. And a lot of players, you know, it's, there's not a whole lot and then there's five for five rules coming in in the ncaa. So a lot of these players are going to get an extra year of eligibility. So the guys that you thought were going to be seniors next year actually can stay now two more years. And so what is next year's draft even going to look like? It's a major question mark in terms, and there's not a, not a great crop of international players too. So I, I, if you're Oklahoma City, you're probably looking at all that and saying, you know, yeah, let's consolidate. Let's just put a boatload of picks and, and, and move up. And you know, I mean, A.J. mitchell is such a great contract that, you know, maybe you trade one of their bigger deals, you know, like, instead, because you want to think about the, the cap and the tax and all that. And so, and everybody knows that at the same time. And so I just think it's, it's hard to do deals. I mean, it's just the fans, I mean, they get attached to the top five ownership and the front office. You fall in love with the, with the pick and the, and the idea of what this player can become. And nobody wants to hear about, you know, a 2028 first rounder right now. Like if you just went through a season of misery as a fan of, you know, the Utah Jazz or, or whatever. And I mean, you know, they're trying to, they're trying to win. I mean, they, they want to get out of this purgatory at some point. And so, yeah, I think it's just going to be, it's Going to be hard.
Zach Lowe
Yeah, it's, it's interesting. You know, they have other levers to pull, right? Like they have the Dort contract, they have the Hartenstein contract. But like Hartenstein in particular feels pretty essential to their team right now. His offensive rebounding is passing the floater. That feels automatic. Again, Dort, you know, he's the biggest and stoutest of their just army of defensive players. Like the best guy on LeBron that they have. Although Caruso has looked pretty good on him. And he's as you mentioned, like a hometown beloved, sort of homegrown favorite in Oklahoma City. Also, they're 70 in the playoffs and just pantsing everybody left and right in all these games. Like every one of the Lakers games is exactly the same. It's close and then it's a 25 point game. You're like, what the fuck just happened? And by the way, I just. As an aside, I just, I hate this burgeoning thing that's happening where in a couple of playoff games, including game two when SGA was in foul trouble and they win the non SGA minutes and again play pretty well with SGA on the bench in a game three blowout. And Isaiah Joe goes crazy. AJ Mitchell has a star kind of game. Chet looks great. It becomes a referendum on like SGA's MVP case. Like, well, the team was so good around him that. Why did we all get this wrong? First of all, it's like it's two games. I think that's a pretty banal argument. And the 82 game sample size, which is what actually applies here of, you know, all these guys missed lots of games, including Jalen Williams. Missed lots of games. And the numbers just like they just didn't have a good offense with SGA on the floor. And they were a regular team with SGA off the floor and a crazy elite team with SGA on the floor. I just think it's a little crazy that this becomes an AP referendum. But that's neither here, neither here nor there. Chicago. I'm really excited for the Bulls. I, I'm a little worried that their fans are getting too excited and are setting themselves up for disappointment again. Because we've seen the Bulls like roll over the front office once or twice and it hasn't changed anything but just home run outcome for them. Moving up to four. They were ecstatic last night. If I were them, I'm just keeping the pick. Getting another great young player in the door. Do you have Caleb Wilson penciled in there? Is that the guy?
Jonathan Gavoni
I do yeah, 100. Caleb Wilson is a Bryson Graham type of guy. Size, length, athleticism, defensive versatility. I mean, he's, he had a phenomenal season at North Carolina up until getting injured. He's getting better and better and so super high character. I mean, Caleb Wilson is an easy guy to pencil. I mean, he has fans in the top three also.
Zach Lowe
For sure.
Jonathan Gavoni
There are people who, who like Caleb Wilson quite a bit. And so we talk about it, the three player draft, but Caleb Wilson is a hell of a consolation prize at 4 if that's where he ends up. I mean, who knows? I mean, Memphis, I mean, like, there's, there's always a shock that, a shocker that happens on draft night. And like, if Caleb Wilson goes three or one, who, like, I wouldn't, it wouldn't like blow my mind. And so there are people who really, really like Caleb Wilson out there and like, he could be like a watching person and Ted guy. So maybe there is some jockeying that happens at the top and somebody slides down a spot too. You know, I could see maybe that kind of movement happening just to position yourself and, you know, get an extra pick or whatever. And so, yeah, I mean, Killer Wilson is big time.
Zach Lowe
Do you think Peyton Watson is a Bryson Graham type of player? Because that's, you know, Peyton Watson, who I think the Nuggets really want to retain. They'll have to do some financial gymnastics and get off a contract to do it. Unless the Cronkies want to do the unthinkable and pay a big luxury tax bill. Again, he's been linked to the Lakers more than anyone. The Lakers have, like, quietly, kind of a lot of decisions to make with Reeves. Hachimura just hasn't missed a shot, it feels like in a month. He's a free agent. LeBron, obviously, like, it can get pretty expensive there pretty fast. It's not like they have guaranteed $30 million of CAP money to throw at Peyton Watson, but Chicago is another with a ton of cap room. It's another name I've heard for Peyton Watson. I think he'd be a great fit there personally. Like, just like they already have, kind of have a lead ball handler in Giddy who you don't want to hand the entire offense to. So Peyton Watson can do some of the stuff he showed when Jokic and half the Nuggets were hurt and he went crazy. Defense, they need tenacity. Defense, all that. I, I kind of like that idea for them.
Jonathan Gavoni
I like it too. I'm curious to see like, how much of a Matas Busellis guy is Bryson Grant. You know, like, do you go in all in on building around him? I mean there is, you know, there's a wide scope of opinions about Matas. I mean he's. I think he's had a really promising first few years here in the NBA. But you know, is he ready to take that next step? And you know, that's, that's going to be interesting to see. Like, how do they. How do they look at him?
Zach Lowe
We should talk more about the Wizards. What a night for the Wizards. I haven't yet listened to Joe House going bananas on Bill's podcast last night. I saw a clip of it. It was delightful. John Wall just clutch performance on the daisy. Not totally nonchalant reaction to it at the end, but they've got like, you know, obviously Davis and Young, but it's a big year now for like is Bub Carrington going to be anything for them? Is. Is Bilal Kulibali. What kind of player is he going to be? I like Will Riley. I had him off and on my second team all rookie. They have a lot of interesting pieces there.
Jonathan Gavoni
Sar, Zach, they're hot. They're high on Keyshawn.
Zach Lowe
Keyshawn George is really good. He should he. He has ascended paddle like Koulibaly is sort of part of like the rotational core and Sar is. Is good. I hated the way Sar played the tanky part of the season. I thought they just let him do whatever he wanted and I didn't like watching it, but I think he's pretty good. But the whole thing was they have a bunch of young guys and they haven't found the guy yet and now they have a chance to get the guy. I mean this is like the biggest thing that's happened to Washington Wizards basketball. I think this is bigger than the wall lottery win in terms of just based on what they already have there. Like there's actually a roadmap for this team to be interesting. And all it took was a couple of years of unabashed tanking and one big year of lottery luck.
Jonathan Gavoni
Yeah, you love to see a plan work out. You know, if you're their fans and you know they're. They're on their way now. Like there's a clear direction here. They've got some great young pieces. Like you said, they have two, you know, like multi time all stars that I'm not sure what the future holds for them. But you know, it makes sense what they did with, you know, buying low as low as possible as you could get on those two. You know, do you rehab them now and you know, and, and get back on the right path and then move them again for, you know, from, for. They, they got them for so little. I mean, it's unbelievable actually, like how little they had to give up to get those two guys considering the resumes. And so, yeah, I mean, they're pretty stacked and I mean, whether it's debonza or Peterson, I mean, both of those guys are super exciting. And so, yeah, it's a good time to be a Washington Wizards fan.
Zach Lowe
A couple other notes. I don't really see much impact on like the potential Giannis and or less likely Jalen Brown trade landscape from last night. Like, no, no one moved up or moved down. Like, Atlanta stuck at 8, Miami stuck at 13. No golden chip trade piece from a Giannis team really emerged. I do think it's, it's much more likely than not that Giannis gets traded in the off season. Who knows? That's just my opinion. Based on what I've heard. The Jalen Brown thing, I don't know. I think the Celtics will listen. No one. Like, people around the league don't really know what's going to happen there, but I don't know. Did you see anything? It's sort of like impacting the very top of the top of the conversation. I think Atlanta actually think if Atlanta had moved up to. Into the top four with the Pelicans pick, I think it would have actually, if I'm, if I'm on CSLA at their gm, it makes me less likely to trade for Giannis because I just want. Okay, now I'm just building up with this young core. I get a gem in the draft, picking at 8. I just don't think it's going to be enticing enough for Milwaukee. I don't think Atlanta wants to do it anyway. So I think we're just going to be looking at the usual suspects, I guess.
Jonathan Gavoni
I mean, I live in New York City, so right away my, my thoughts went to, to Brooklyn and you know, like, them dropping for a second and you know, what, what is the direction there? Like, is there pressure on the front office to, to, to, to try and win now? But like, do they have the pieces for it? No. What do they do with, you know, Michael Porter Jr. What do they do with, you know, all these point guards that they drafted last year and because when you're sitting at six, I mean, you're looking at a bunch of little guards really. You're looking at acuff you're looking at Kingston Flemings, you're looking at Keaton Wagler, you're looking at Mikel Brown and. Or do you go and take Nate A. Met, you know, who is 6, 10 wing, you know, incredible upside, he's fluid and you know, he can make shots from all over the floor, but it's going to take him some time, you know, strength wise and all that. But do they have time? And so I think a lot of those teams in that 5 to 10 range, that's where it's going to be really interesting to see how it plays out. Does one of them go reach for yg, you know, who is, you know, he's older than some guys that played in their freaking All Star game, but he was also the second best player in college basketball after Cam Boozer. And so how do you view him? You know, and it's, it's. I mean, this is where I kind of disagree with people who say it's a historic draft and like the depth of the draft and all that. And I don't, I'm not seeing that, to be honest with you. I mean, after five, I think is quite a normal draft. And, and after like, you know, 18, I mean it could drop off a cliff if, I mean there were like 10 guys and you know, like in that 18 to 32 range who could pull their name out of the draft and go back to school. And then you're looking at guys who are like in our 40s who might have to get picked in the 20s. And nil has really done a number on the NBA draft year the last two years. And a lot of people are talking about like, how do we compete, you know, like with this. Like he used to be like, like the value was in, in the first round, in the late first, you, you hit on a guy and he's in your rotation and it's a cheap contract. It's a great asset. It's how you dodge the, the tax and, and maneuver yourself. But now it's like, well, if there's not a player there in the 20s and how do you actually even view all these picks? All these teams have been hoarding these picks for years and years and years and you know, people raked, you know, Tim Conley over the coals for, you know, for trading all these picks in the 20s for, for Rudy Gobert now. He looks like a genius.
Zach Lowe
Honestly, I'm glad you brought that up because I've been meaning to mention this. I. The Gobert trade worked. Like, I thought it was an overpay I was astonished at how many picks it took to get him. I think the Jazz were frankly astonished at how many picks they got in return for him. It's indisputably worked. Like, I think everybody owes Tim Connolly and Rudy Gobert an apology. That trade, that trade worked, worked. And it. We'll see what happens in the.
Jonathan Gavoni
This is where you want to be right now is, you know, competing for a spot in the Western Conference finals. They made it, you know, like two years in a row. I mean, it's all. I mean, this is what we should be rewarding, you know, like as the NBA media, NBA fans, like, this guy went for it, you know, like, how about trying to win? You know, how about.
Zach Lowe
To your point, to your point, here's what I don't want to have happen next year. So this lottery unfolds in a way that's pretty friendly to the tank teams, right? Overall, and you mentioned the Nets. I want to get back to the Nets in a second as a team that. A Tank team that did not have a friendly outcome last night. And so tanking was largely rewarded for one final time under a system that again, if you let it play out for 30, 40 years, would more or less reward the worst teams more than the mediocre teams over. Over time. People didn't want to give it years. They reacted viscerally to outcomes that seemed unfair to the worst teams. And you already are seeing this sort of like as we, as the NBA proposes, this new, like, flatter, more random lottery system. The same kind of pushback that happened when they first tried to flatten the lottery odds to this system, which is, well, isn't the draft supposed to help the worst teams? Isn't the draft supposed to represent hope for fan bases of bad teams? It's a rebuilding tool. Is it more helpful for small markets who don't get free agents and free agency doesn't exist anymore. You're already seeing that. And so here's what I'm going to say. Next year, if they pass this, the lottery will be more random and less friendly to the worst teams. When that happens, I don't want to hear any whining from any of the teams that vote for this about how, oh my God, what have we done? Someone with the 12th best record just got the number one pick of the draft and the worst teams are picking here. It's exactly what you're voting on. You can't in the same breath say tanking is this egregious scourge on the league that ruins a Third of the season for a third of the teams, but also, oh my God, we're appalled that amid a 40 win team got the number one pick. You have to accept some cost to eliminate some problem. There's not going to be a perfect solution. And I think the NBA has reached a moment where tanking got so bad. Now maybe you're right that the next drafts are not so great that tanking would ever get like this. But that tanking got so bad that it became a bigger and more dire problem than a more randomized draft order, which by the way, will still in the aggregate favor bad teams over good teams. It's not like you're giving the NBA champion an equal chance at the first pick or anything like that, but there is going to be more randomness and I just don't want to see this sort of reactiveness from the NBA team community of like, oh my God, what happened? Orlando got the number one pick. Like that's going to happen. There's also a lot of frozen balls jokes already going around the lottery room. How next year, because the low, the balls are team by team, they're going to have logos on, they're going to look nice. Is there going to be a frozen ball ball? But that's, that's what's going to happen. And I think, I don't know how you feel it is. The draft is designed to help bad teams get better, to help, to help them get a roadmap out of purgatory. I think the NBA is right at this moment to say, let's see what, let's just see what a league looks like where we chip away at that a little bit and see what the benefits are on the other end in terms of competition. Will some teams have a harder time digging out of holes? Maybe we've already seen teams not able to dig out of holes even in this lottery system and the one that came before it because of mismanagement, bad decisions, bad luck in the lottery, etc. So we'll see what happens. But I, I think it's time to try something different.
Jonathan Gavoni
I think so too. I just think they're, they're thinking about the product and if you look at a third of the, of the league, you know, actively trying to lose, shutting down players, it just, it, it really hurts the product for, you know, half a season, and they're thinking about the next TV deal and they're thinking about all this competition, you know, like from all over, you know, from esports and, you know, the NFL and social media and like, what is, like what is. What are our kids even going to be watching, you know, when the next TV deal is up? And, and so from that standpoint, I understand because, like, I've taken my kids to games in, in, in. In March and April and like, it's a bad product. Like, they fall asleep watching it and the games are too long. There's too many games. And, and I think that like, you look at like college basketball, like, it's honestly like, it's catching up in terms of like, the level of play. So many guys are staying, the games are so competitive and, and you know, and you watch like your only games. Like that's like, that's a great product. And so they have to figure out a way how to make the product. Now the playoffs are unbelievable. Like, I watch every game and I'm just like, I'm mesmerized by the level of talent and skill and physicality and intensity. It's incredible. And so I think that is the concern and I understand it because, like, who wants to watch these games? You know, like watch Washington against Brooklyn in, in, in. In March and April, like, it's awful. Who wants to buy a ticket for that? And so that's what they, they need to, they needed to try something because this year was really well.
Zach Lowe
And also, like, first of all, the Washington, Brooklyn kind of games are now going to be actually competitive because those teams are going to be fighting to get out of the relegation zone. The other bad teams are going to be fighting to keep those bad teams in the relegation zone. So everyone has. There's incentives to win, not just incentives not to lose. I don't think it's going to be a perfect system. People are worried about, oh, our team's going to tank out of the play in to get into the lottery and have a better shot than a bow and pick. I mean, I'll believe that when I see it. Me, to me, that's a, that's a observational cost worth having. Let's see what happens when competency is more rewarded than it is now. And also there are ways, if this does actually chip away at a team's ability to dig out of a hole. There are ways to like, alter other parts of the system. I've mentioned this over and over again, like make cap room more valuable by eliminating restricted free agency, by allowing teams to use it in different ways. So if you're a bad team and you have cap room and the lottery doesn't help you, you can go try to get younger free agents. You can roll over cap space from previous season. There's like a lot of things you can do and this is not going to be a permanent solution. It's going to be tweaked and it's going to be tweaked. It is going to be tweaked. But I'm ready for, I'm ready to see how it operates. Jonathan Gavoni, you're the best. Where should we be following you right now? And we're gonna have to have you back on as the draft approaches in six weeks, I guess.
Jonathan Gavoni
Yeah, I mean, I'm covering the draft pretty much exclusively on, on X and on Instagram and on tick tock@draftexpress. I mean, that's my outlet. I mean, 95 of my time and energy is going to my, my private business, you know, with the clients mba, College International. And I've got, you know, six trips here planned in the next three months to, to Europe and Mexico and all over the place. And so it's, it's been an awesome year. And there, there is life, you know, after espn, as you're, as you're aware and it's, it's, it's a great time to be a basketball fan.
Zach Lowe
You're the best. You know this draft and all drafts better than anybody. Thanks for lending us some expertise. We'll have you on again. And now let's welcome in and Fred Katz to talk about the New York Knickerbockers. Holy smokes.
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Zach Lowe
All right, let's wrap this up. Fred Katz is here. The New York Knickerbockers, the Knicks of New York City of Eddie Curry and Isaiah Thomas and Zach Randolph and Chris Childs. The New York Knicks are in the conference finals again after absolutely obliterating the Philadelphia 76ers in a sweep. The Knicks for the entire playoffs are now plus 20 per 100 possessions, plus 194 total points, aka about 20 a game. And I remember shortly before the playoffs, I think you might have been my guest, I was talking about the Knicks and how they were my favorite NBA mystery because they would get into a state. We've all had experiences like this, whether it's in sports, in writing, in just any part of life where you get into a zone where things just feel right and you can't explain why they feel right. You can't explain how you got there, what changed. And then you lose it. And you can't explain really why you lost it or what happened. And that was the experience of the Knicks for me. I compared it to when you when you have like a trivia answer on the tip of your tongue and you know it and you know it and you know it, but you can't quite get the final answer out there or a word or something like that. You're almost all the way there, but you can't quite get there. That's the Knicks would sometimes get there and then they would slip back and not get there.
John Krasinski
There.
Zach Lowe
They're there now. This is a team that is as whatever Zone. They need to get in. They have found it. They are in it. They are going to be favorites in the next round. I know they, Detroit was 3, 0 against the Knicks and beat the hell out of them. Even with Detroit missing Jalen Duran for two games, Isaiah Stewart for a game, on and on. They're going to be favorites next round. I think anyway, no matter who they play, they, they're going to be favorites to make the finals and, and, and accomplish James Dolan's mandate and Mike Brown's mandate. You know, you just hope that they're going to have a little bit of a layoff now that whatever, whatever they've done, whatever ephemeral thing that they found Fred Katz, they don't lose it because they've, they found it. Now, I have some theories about what's changed, but I want to, first of all, I want to put it ask you this. Was the atmosphere in Philadelphia for Game four as insanely weird as it seemed on television?
Fred Katz
It was like nothing I have ever experienced, to be honest. You know, it's, it's one thing, you know, game, Game three was a lot of Knicks fans, and the Knicks fans might have been louder, but I think it was because the Knicks were winning and it was probably about 50, 50. But I did a lap around the concourse at halftime of game four. I think it was like 80, 20. Like it was just all Knicks fans. And I'm sure there were a lot of Sixers fans who saw them lose Game three and fall down three zero and think, I don't need to see this. I don't need to see this in person. I don't need to be there for whatever the heck is going to happen in Game four. And Game four was like a terrible spot for the Sixers to begin with. Even at the beginning of the series. I was like, look, we don't, we can't tell the future. We don't know what's going to happen in a series. But the one thing I am incredibly confident in, it's that the Sixers are going to lose game four. Because starting a playoff game 42 hours after you just ended the previous one is not a great recipe for success with that team with that shorter rotation and what you all embiid.
Zach Lowe
You mean, you mean game one, game four?
Fred Katz
So game four was a 3:30 start.
Zach Lowe
Oh, I, I game three, yes, in
Fred Katz
game three was a 7:00 clock start two days before. And I'm like, they're starting an afternoon game a day later. I'm like, this is not gonna Go well. And now they're down 3 0. And it's just like. Like, I think. I think people just punted on the tickets. They must have. It was crazy. I've never. I've seen Knicks fans fill up arenas and be loud and all that kind of stuff, but I've never seen it just be, like, all Knicks fans in a road arena for a playoff game. I've never seen that. It was wild.
Zach Lowe
The Josh Hart tweet after the game or. It was not a tweet. It was. I think it was. Was it a comment he made or. It was a comment. It was a comment where he said, I thought Philly was a sports town. Maybe it's not something like that. I mean, that is. That's kicking dirt. That's twisting the knife. Whatever metaphor you want to use. That's Josh Hart being very, very mean. But look, I mean, it was. It was crazy. It felt like a road game for the Sixers. At least that's how it seemed on tv. All right, so I'm gonna. I'm gonna do my best. My best theory is on, like, why do the Knicks feel like they've found the vibe? Okay, theory number one. Mikhail Bridges is back, and it's not just that he's scoring, it's that he's looking to score. So he, like, drove at Kelly Oubre at the beginning of yesterday's game and, like, had a little pivoty up and under kind of layup. He drove at Joel Embiid, and I can't remember if he drew a foul or he kicked out to a corner three. He had Maxi on him in transition, and he sealed deep in the paint and drew a foul, which is something he used to do in Phoenix quite a bit. He's hunting, like, relocation threes and cuts, and he had one transition basket where he actually flexed like skinny. Mikhail Bridges gave you, like, a flex, and I don't know what happened to him. I don't know if he had to hit rock bottom in the Atlanta series to come out the other end. I don't know if the Villanova guys lifted him up and just said, play. I don't know if Mike Brown saying, hey, I'm not going to bring you off the bench. I'm just going to keep starting. You keep guarding Tyrese Maxey. Let your defense for your offense. But step one is there. This is a completely different player than the player who started the playoffs against Atlanta. And thing number two is, foul trouble aside, this is the Karl Anthony Towns that you want to see offensively we know what he can do. It's not a shock that he's passing like this. Like he's. He's always been a good passer, particularly when he stops trying to be too tricky with it. The shooting is the shooting. I thought Mike Brown's game plan in this series was pretty flawless right from the jump. And the centerpiece of it was, if you're gifting us Joel Embiid on Karl Anthony Towns and you're going to be maybe too slow or too reluctant to put him anywhere else, we're just going to milk that for all it's worth. And we're going to make Joel Embiid's life absolutely miserable and wear him down to the point that between that and the, you know, ankle and the adductor and all the stuff that happened at the beginning of the series that crippled him, he was just a shade of himself defensively and on the glass. But it's not just that. It's. And you wrote about this at the end of last season. All I want from Cat defensively is a, try check and B, do the thing that you are supposed to do. So when these two players run a pick and roll, this is your job. You have to understand that it's your job because the other four players on the team are going to behave based on you doing that job. And if you do something else or you don't execute it, we're all going to fuck up because we're expecting you to do the thing. He's never going to be a great defensive player. I think he's actually been quite good in the playoffs, but he's doing that like, whatever his job is, he's doing it and he's doing it well enough. To me, we can boil it down to other things, but those are the two biggest changes is Bridges and Cat.
Fred Katz
I agree completely. Cat defensively has. I would say he's been, like, quite good defensively. Not like good for Cat, not good for his reputation. I just think he's been good defensively.
Zach Lowe
Agree.
Fred Katz
On the offensive end. I don't know. You say you've. Cat has always been a good passer, no question. But since Game three, when they. Game four of the Atlanta series, when Mike Brown kind of went back and was like, you know what? We're gonna change the way we run the offense and go back to a lot of the stuff that they were running in the early parts of the year with.
Zach Lowe
You wrote a great piece on this for the Athletic, by the way, right after that game about all the Flex cuts and the screening and the off ball stuff that was just murdering the Hawks bucks.
Fred Katz
It, it killed him. It killed him. And, and they didn't run like that play with the flex screen. Like, they, they didn't run that play. They ran it one time in early March against San Antonio and maybe like a couple of times in January, but they, other than that, they threw that play in the garbage in November. And to me, I thought that that sort of action was this sort of thing, that it was representative of what they were trying to do early in the season and then got away from with. Not just involving Cat. Everybody talks about Cat's shot attempts, but it's really about Cat's involvement. It's not actually about the shot attempts. And they re involved him in this sort of way starting with game four of Atlanta, where Cat is now all of a sudden in the pinch post. But not just that, like he's facilitating from the low post. He's being involved in picking the low post.
Zach Lowe
You say the low post sounds.
Fred Katz
I mean, that's facilitating from the Zach Lowe Show.
Zach Lowe
That's got, that's got a ring. That's got a ring to it. I wonder where I've heard that before. The low post.
Fred Katz
It could be a podcast. I don't know. Table.
Zach Lowe
It just, it actually can't be right now, Fred. But that's a different story.
Fred Katz
Well, it could be if you get that feed, probably somehow acquire that fee.
Zach Lowe
Let's, let's move, let's move on, Fred.
Fred Katz
So, so Cat, his involvement has been totally different. So since Game 4 against Atlanta, his shots are actually way down. He's only taking double digit shots two times. He took 10 shots in one game.
Zach Lowe
Now, foul trouble, the endless foul trouble is, is, is part of that. But not 100, not maybe not even
Fred Katz
half of it though, as, as are the blowouts. Like, he hasn't played in a bunch of fourth quarters. I mean, he's only playing 26 minutes a game during this stretch, but even so you look, it's like six, seven, eight shots every night, but the touches are through the roof. So he averaged 83 touches per 100 possessions during the regular season. And against Philly, he averaged 103 per 100. Since Game 4 of the Atlanta series, he's averaging 98 touches per 100. That's a significant jump. I mean, that's what you see from like lead ball handling, point guard, who's like a, who's like. That's what you see from like, you know, Kate Cunningham, who's just like Give the ball to Cade and let him go at it. Cat has been on another level, I think, just in terms of getting them into their sets and facilitating from there. He hasn't had fewer than six assists in any game. He's averaging eight assists in those 26 minutes. He made some passes in game four, where I was like, when he had 10 assists in 20 minutes.
Zach Lowe
The touch pass to Josh Hart under the rim was, Was a. Was just a masterpiece.
Fred Katz
It's unbelievable. And he had this other one which didn't turn into assists because I think it was McBride missed the shot. Who would have thought? But Cat. Cat drove left and had this unbelievable sort of spinning behind that.
Zach Lowe
That's right over the head.
Fred Katz
Yeah, to the corner. And I was like. Like it was right on target. Like, people talk so much about the vision that it takes to be able to do that kind of stuff, but his precision, like every pass is into the shooting pocket. It's. He's looked like a quarterback in a lot of ways. He. He had one in the Atlanta series where he just took an. He took an inbounds and it was a side, sideline, out of bounds play. And he ends up taking the ball from the ref. And Josh Hart was in the. The corner, 70ft down the court. And Cat wound up like he was like, you know, throwing off his back foot after making a backhand play at third base and threw this 100 mile an hour bullet to Hart, who got a layup out of it. And it just showed what a zone he was in at that point. Because before that play, he went up to heart and was like, I'm gonna make this pass. And Josh Hart said to him, oh, no, don't do that. Like, dude, do not, do not do that. That's not a good idea. And Cat's like, I'm doing it anyway. And he went out and he did it and it was, it was, I think, the best pass he's made the whole playoff run. It was extraordinary with the. I mean, he just looked like he was throwing to a guy in an in route on like a 7, you know, on this unbelievable tight window where he's threading the needle. He's. He's just been in such a groove in terms of his passing. And it's not just the schemes that Mike Brown shook up. There's something with his mentality, with his approach, where I feel like he's almost caught something from himself where he's like, I'm gonna keep this thing rolling and rolling and rolling.
Zach Lowe
Well, he's every team that makes a deep run and finds a better version of itself is going to have a collection of very good to great players who have all at one point been number one or number two options on their team, including Cat. And every player in that circumstance or lots of them has to have this realization and they almost have to go through the process themselves. Like Aaron Gordon to me is the absolute textbook example of this. And Kat's a completely different player than Aaron Gordon. I realized more accomplished, better offensively, all that where you just have to like, you learn it by having it happen to you. Where like, oh, if we win, I'm going to get all of the credit and all the accolades and all the money that I thought I had to score 30 points a game to get and because that's what my whole life has been. We've seen tons of players go through this. I mean, Chris Bosh is a great example of it too. That's an obvious one. But it's not just the sweet shooting big men. It's different kinds of players. I mean, I go all the way back to on a much lower level. The one year the Hawks went really far in the playoffs. John Collins accessed a completely different style of his game than he had ever had. He was like grinding on defense, getting rebounds, and everyone was giving him love. And Cat has probably realized on some level like if we win, everything takes care of itself and he's become a completely different player in this series. The the consistent guys. I mean, Brunson is like a metronome. He some games he'll miss a little bit more, some games will make a little bit more. He's just Jalen Brunson over and over. Hart has been awesome the entire playoffs and just so handsy on defense, pushing the pace on offense, doing Josh Hart stuff. I think Mitchell Robinson has been fantastic when he's played. I think they could actually play him with Cat more because Kat defensively has been able to guard your Kelly Oubre's, Jalen Johnson's, whatever. But I think Mitchell Robinson when he's been in has been tremendous. Everyone that they've thrown in off the bench has been productive. Alvarado, Shamet gets in the last two games with Anunobi injured and just plays his ass off. Including guarding Maxi Clarkson, another guy who's score, score, score. All of a sudden he's throwing better passes, playing better defense. Like everyone has contributed. But to me it's Bridges and Cat that have kind of changed the vibe of, of the team. And look, whoever comes out of the east is Going to be an underdog in the Finals whether it's Oklahoma City or San Antonio. Maybe not if it's Minnesota, given their injury issues. And we can't count out Minnesota and I think the Knicks are the best team in the East. We'll see how the conference finals goes. But this Knicks team playing like this and obviously the competition is going to skyrocket. From an Atlanta team who laid down and died in a game that I still can't even believe happened in real life. And a Sixers team who a couple of weeks for the Sixers, their fans get to enjoy the version of this team that they dreamed of and imagined. It happens. They eliminate the hated Boston Celtics, the bane of their existence. They get to the next round and Embiid gets hurt again a bunch of different ways on his body and wears down and is a flat footed shell of himself on defense. Was 8 of 8 in the last game. Like you can't hate on that. 20 whatever points on 8 of 8 and they just get rolled out of the gym while Jared McCain shows out in Oklahoma City Lakers again. But I think the Knicks, if they make the Finals, yeah, they'll be underdogs against Thunder spurs. Like they've already played the spurs pretty well. The NBA is funny, man. You get into a series and on paper it looks like this. You have one matchup advantage that you discover in game two. One schematic and like it's like the Thunder almost lost the finals last year. I think the Knicks can win the championship.
Fred Katz
Yeah. And I'm going to add one more name which probably wasn't top of mind for you just because he didn't play in games three or four, but OG Anunoby on this one.
Zach Lowe
Well, my. A lot of people are saying Fred. I. I'm not saying it. There's a lot, there's a lot of buzz that ever since his cameo with me and your friends and neighbors, a lot of things have changed for OGN and Obi. And they just. People are saying. People are saying I'm not. I don't know who they are, but people are saying it's a good point.
Fred Katz
I did. I did really appreciate that in that cameo, OG showed the exact public Persona that he wants out there completely just a. Just a very mild thank you and that's it.
Zach Lowe
So let me want to do. So we shot that scene, I'm gonna say 50 times from different angles. Sometimes we weren't even talking. They just had to shoot us mimicking the motion while they shot other things. His delivery was the Same every single time. It was super fun to hang out with him. I'm not going to get into what we talked about, but let's just say like he follows the NBA extremely closely and had a lot of questions and a lot of takes about stuff and it was so funny. All the co stars of the show, all the friends and neighbors, not John Hamm was not there that day. Olivia Munn and Amanda Pete, I was like afraid to talk to and it was like, I don't think I'm allowed to interact with those people. But all the supporting characters were so wonderful and they were like starstruck at Anunobi and to the point where he went, he went to the bathroom at one point. We're all in the green room and I can't remember which supporting character it was. Supporting actress. It was like, I really want to get a photo with him because I'm a huge Knicks fan and so is my daughter. Like I'm kind of nervous to ask him. I'm like, you're an actress. Just go ask O.J. so I went, he came out, I was like, OG, this guy wants to take a photo with you. And he, anyway, he was, he was rock solid. He was a machine, you know, in, and did very well.
Fred Katz
That's what he does. He's incredibly rigorous and that's what he's doing in this playoff run. I mean, he also, I mean you mentioned that. I mean he, it takes him, takes a while to get him to open up. But his, his basketball knowledge is unbelievable. He, he really does follow the league. And part of the reason why he's as good of a defender as he is is because he is so keen to everybody's habits on the floor. And he doesn't like it when that stuff gets out and he doesn't like sharing the stuff about, oh, I know that when this guy goes two dribbles right, he pulls up every time.
Zach Lowe
But how, how is he, by the way? I think the Knicks were like I said it after the injury. I was like, they should absolutely slow play this. They're going to win this series anyway. Worst case is they're going to split in Philly and be up three. One is should we expect him game one of the next round?
Fred Katz
I mean, here's the thing, Zach. You know that if there's one team that is going to be forthcoming with injuries, it's the New York Knicks.
Zach Lowe
You just, you, you are, you can fair.
Fred Katz
You can bet on everything that whatever the Knicks are saying is the absolute 100% truth. The Knicks have never in a million years said that OG Anunoby was day to day for two weeks straight and then had him undergo elbow surgery after those two weeks. That's never happened. It didn't happen. They didn't say that Deuce McBride earlier this year was out with a knee injury only for him to undergo surgery for us.
Zach Lowe
I should amend my the Knicks can win the championship thing to like Anunoby has to be part of it if, particularly if they're facing the Thunder in the finals or less so the spurs, but the Thunder. Less so the Wolves, but definitely the Thunder. Like they need all hands on deck.
Fred Katz
Yes. And to be clear, I'm not saying that OJ Anunoby is more hurt than the Knicks are letting on. Right. I'm just saying that I kind of have to see it before we know. The thing that the Knicks really benefit from is that the conference finals is not going to start until May 17th at the earliest. And if this Detroit series goes long against Cleveland, then it won't start till the 19th, and that'll give an ANOBI almost two weeks off since first sustaining the injury, which is a really big deal for them. Can I just read his playoff numbers really quick?
Zach Lowe
Because, yeah, they might melt your laptop, but go ahead.
Fred Katz
They're insane. He's averaging 21.4 points. He's shooting 62 from the field. He's shooting 54 from three, 81 from the line, seven and a half rebounds from a guy who is not normally like, that's the one part of his game where it's like, you'd like to see that a little bit higher. You'd like to see him a little bit better of a rebounder. And defensively he's been. I mean, look, I see him play all the time. I'm at so many of these games in New York, when you watch a guy who's that good, you end up. You end up becoming incredibly familiar with their nuances and defensive habits and all of that. But I really think that defensively he's been as good as he's ever been during this playoff run, just being able to guard everybody. He's a huge credit for the way. I mean, look, the Knicks offense has been insane. They're hitting shot after shot after shot. But defensively they're playing out of their mind. And a huge part of that is their ability to put Ananobi on on anybody. So they can put an anobi on you. Look at how they defended in the Hawk series. They could put Ananobi on Onyeka Okongwu which allowed them to put Carl Anthony Towns on Dyson Daniels or Mitchell Robinson on Dyson Daniels for a lot of that series. And then the next play they could put OG Anunoby on Nikhil Alexander Walker and he'll just wall off one side of the court and just take away all of Alexander Walker's relocating that he likes to do on the weak side for to create open threes against Philly. Same sort of thing. You could put him on Paul George, you can put him on Embiid. It's, it's. And he is locking guys down. He is taking away entire sides of the floor. He's disruptive as hell. He's been. I actually think there's a good argument that in the eight games that he's played, he's, he's been the best player on the Knicks during this playoff run. And I think he's their most important player. Like I, I agree if he's there, they can accomplish a whole lot. If he's not there, obviously they're still a very good team. Look at what they did to Philly in those two games without him. But it's a different sort of look. Especially by the way with the way Bridges. You mentioned Bridges's offense. Bridges defense has. Was awesome. On Tyrese Maxey, like so good. The whole thing with Bridges that's happened over the last two years is that he, he's very good defending off the ball. He's really good at getting into passing lanes still. He's still an excellent team defender and all of that, but his screen navigation and pick and rolls has taken a hit. He kind of sees a screen and can shrivel up sometimes. And against Maxi he was so good. Maxi is the second efforts on Maxi is so important because most guys, if you're going to trap somebody, most guys, they give up the ball and they will wait a second to take a breath and Maxi will immediately. He just doesn't stop moving. He'll get off the ball and within a millisecond he will relocate to the other side of the floor. And if whoever is defending him takes that one second to catch their breath, which they often do, he's gone. He's. He is gone. I mean anyone is gone, let alone the fastest player in the NBA. And Bridges, his ability to just not let up on any of those plays, his ability when, when the Knicks were, when the Sixers were trying to put Jalen Brunson into these pick and rolls and the Knicks are hedging and recovering,
Zach Lowe
which they Kind of stopped doing, like Philly just kind of gave up on that. To your credit of the Knicks defense, they just kind of the last two games, they just let Brunson exist for the most part.
Fred Katz
Yeah, totally. And, and part of it also is that Brunson's hedging, recovering on these pick and rolls, and Bridges is dropping back and letting Brunson kind of try to stop Maxi for a split second. And he's guarding the area, not just the player, but the area so incredibly well. And there were various times throughout the series where Maxi's like, okay, I've got two guys in front of me, I gotta get off the ball. And Bridges arms are so long and his hand placement and his body placement are so good and so smart that he's just like, he gets a steal off of it. He was like unbelievable defensively. And when you have him playing at that level defensively and in the Nobe playing at just normal Anunoby level and Hart playing at the level that he's been, he's been a tremendous point of attack defender for them throughout this entire playoff run. When you've got those three guys, like, that's kind of the vision the Knicks had for this roster when they put this together, that the three wings were going to be so good defensively, it would insulate them from the weak spots. And if Cat is going to play at the level that you mentioned earlier, where it's like he's going to be in the right places, he's going to be physical, he's going to. He's going to play hard, he's going to be.
Zach Lowe
He's.
Fred Katz
He is running back on defense harder than I've ever seen.
Zach Lowe
Even just things like when he blitzed, which they didn't do very often against Philly, but when he would blitz. When you're the blitz guy, you have a decision to make when you recover. Do I recover to my guy rolling to the basket, or is our scheme that someone else takes him and I peel out and I take a shooter? Regular season, Cat was awful at that. Just like sort of meandering around in open space, not getting to anywhere. When I talk about, like execution of just when this happens, we do this, he is nailing that. I mean, I asked him to do it a lot, and next series might look different in terms of what they asked him to do, but he was nailing it. It Mitchell, Robinson, I just want to go back to him. He's probably got more to give. And they've had the luxury of managing his minutes and he missed a game in the series. Pretty, pretty. Like conservatively. Just one stat I want to mention. I looked it up on the Genius IQ tracking data. Regular season Brunson Mitchell Robinson 32 pick and rolls per 100 possessions against Philly 48 per 100 possessions 1.4 points per possession. Like they are running that so aggressively. Part of it was Embiid, right. But they've found a nice groove there and I think he's been awesome. And an OB defense. Let's just briefly look ahead to the next round. We don't know who they're going to play. Game four of Cavs Pistons is tonight. The Pistons swept the Knicks 30 I think Hart missed one game. Cat and Anunobi together missed one game. Duran missed two. Stuart was suspended for one. Like there's guys in and out of the lineup. But the common theme was Detroit brought a level of physicality and effort that the Knicks just were not ready for and that's how they play and the Knicks better be ready for it. And the Pistons have proven like it might not be pretty, but we're going to win a lot of these games. And I would expect a long series between the Pistons and the Knicks, a long tough series that the Knicks better put the hard hats on and bring their lunch pails or whatever stupid metaphor you want to have for like doing hard work. But I think a, a a couple of things I, I haven't gone back and watched the film yet because I don't want to jinx the Pistons. I don't want to curse the Cavs, whatever. I would assume Anobi is an OBI has guarded Cunningham a fair bit because everyone will take a turn. But to me he's a pretty perfect and a Cade Cunningham defender in that he's got bulk, size and height and will not be bullied. And I, I would expect a lot on him. And I just wonder if, you know, you watch that Orlando series in the way the Magic took Duran totally out of the series by going under screens and switching on Cade. I actually think Kat can do that a little bit and I wonder if the Knicks take a little bit of a page now the Cat the Cavs have not done that at all and that surprised me a little bit in this series. But I think the Knicks have some answers that they were not really able to lock into in the regular season. But yeah, I mean Detroit's going to come in there super confident, ready to kick the crap out of them and that would be a fun series. Cavs I have some Thoughts on. But what are your, what are your thoughts on what I just said about the Pistons?
Fred Katz
I think that makes a lot of sense. We saw an Anobi be the primary guy on Cade Cunningham when those two teams played in the playoffs last year, and he did a really good job. Bridges got reps on him also, and Bridges did a really good job on Cunningham, too. This is a different team. I mean, you mentioned the, the possibility of switching. That kind of stuff. That's, that's what OG Anunobi affords you. Like you can switch him on to Jaylen Duran and, and you can be okay, especially if he's going to be this physical on the boards with Cat. The biggest problem for me with switching Cat is never, oh, he's gonna get cooked by a mismatch. That's never the biggest problem for me. The biggest problem for me is you increase his possibility of getting into foul trouble.
Zach Lowe
Thousand rebounds, thousand defensive rebounding.
Fred Katz
And he's so important for their defensive rebounding too, because he has been great on the boards and really physical on the boards all season, not just in the playoffs, but the fouls are really what gets. Because all of a sudden when you've got Cat on any sort of aggressive pick and roll coverage with Kat, that sends him out to the perimeter. I mean, part of the reason why the Knicks have had him in a drop for the majority of his time with his team is because it just keeps him out of foul trouble. It's, it's, it's, it's the best way to keep him out of foul trouble. Even if you make give up a few more shots that you don't want to give up every once in a while, it keeps Cat on the floor. But with the way that he's defending lately, even though he has been getting into foul trouble trouble, a lot of that I think is just guarding Joel Embiid, who I think just, they'll just get anybody into foul trouble. It's what he does. You talk about Brunson being a metronome and Beat is a metronome in that he could be playing well, he could be playing terribly. He's going to get you into foul trouble every time. And so I think, I think that's part of it. I think also, like with the way Mitchell Robinson looks and the way that he is playing, you can afford to maybe be a little more aggressive with Cats coverages because they don't lose a ton even with the way the Cat is playing. If he has to sit for a little bit because Robinson gives them so much and so many of these other aspects. I mean, he and Stephen Adams are these two unbelievable rebounders who are so much better on the boards than anybody else in the NBA. And I don't think anyone is even close.
Zach Lowe
The wild card is the hack A Mitch. And the combination of hack A Mitch plus Cat being in foul trouble makes these either Huck Porty or anunoby at the 5, I think is probably their better answer. But they've anunobi at the 5 is a totally viable look and they have Port. He's been fine and they've survived those minutes, but that combination is. Is a little bit problematic. And Mitchell, Mitch made his foul shots just enough of them yesterday. And in game three in the first two games, not so much.
Fred Katz
True. That's a good point. I mean, Detroit, it'll be very interesting how much Detroit wants to hack Mitch because Detroit fouls a lot. They could be prone to fouling a lot. And you can end up putting your important players into foul trouble. If Mitch is in those games early enough and you want to try to foul like you can end up. If you start doing it in the first of the second quarter, you can end up racking up one or two fouls on a guy who you do not want to be giving it to if you don't, you know, substitute somebody in just a foul Mitch. So that's something to look out for. But that's a good point. That's 100 a good point.
Zach Lowe
I'm not. And by the way, Cavs fans, I'm not counting you out. Despite the fact that you can't win on the road and every win feels like it's a disaster. Saved at the very end. James Harden, credit to him, made three huge shots at the end of game three. Looked not great for the majority of the game. Looked not great in the beginning of the series. But they're alive. They played tonight. The Knicks have eaten the Cavs lunch for most of the last two or three seasons, but I will say the last time they played, I believe it was in New York. Cleveland had everybody and they found a little something with the alignment of Dean Wade on Brunson, Mobley on Cat. Cat and Jared Allen on Josh Hart because it put your center on Josh Hart to Rove. It had a quick elite defender on Cat to take away his airspace and a switchable defender on Brunson. Now, Wade has been so bad offensively that I'm not going to be surprised if they start Streuss tonight in game four in his spot. And the Wade too big combo has been very trouble. I mean that the starting. The Cav, starting five has actually been like by the numbers. Okay, in the playoffs, not this series, but they, I felt like they found a defensive formula that at least in that one game gave the Knicks some issues. But I just don't have a lot of faith in the Cavs based on how they have played so far in the playoffs, based on how disorganized they look offensively. The total lack of cohesion between Mitchell and Harden, neither of whom is playing all that well and just Harden. The wear down factor. He's almost 37 years old or maybe already 37 years old and already looks worn down and the playoffs just got it longer and harder every, every round. So I would, I would probably peg Detroit as the tougher opponent for the Knicks. But the Cavs did go, I, I want to go back and watch that game because I felt like they found a little something finally against the team that has bullied them and beaten the crap out of them on the boards over and over again.
Fred Katz
Yeah, that's a, that's a great point. The re. I think it'll come down to the rebounding in that one again, like can the Cavs.
Zach Lowe
Oh, good luck to Cleveland then. If it comes down to the rebounding, may God be with you, Jared Allen and Evan Mobley.
Fred Katz
Well, Cleveland is going to have to find ways to make up for losing that game because the Knicks are a very good offensive rebounding, a very good overall rebounding team with not just Mitchell Robinson, but Cat's been really good and Josh Hart is one of the best, the best rebounding player, at least of his height in the NBA. One of the best rebounding perimeter players in the league. And that team is just a really good team rebounding is really good at just gang rebounding in general and really good at chasing down loose balls and, and Cleveland's gonna have to make up for it in other ways. They're gonna have to get to the line, they're gonna have to hit their threes. And Cleveland is very big. I'm wanting to win the possession game. They have all of these, you know, crashing strategies, try to get offensive boards. That makes them, I think, a better offensive rebounding team than their personnel might suggest. Even though they play a double big. Like they don't have phenomenal rebounding personnel in general, but like they will have to make up for that. That make up for the math in some point because the rebounding would be huge. But Detroit, different story now all of a sudden you're talking about like is the three point line going to change things? Because Detroit is going to have to play these lineups where they're going to have to out tough the Knicks, which they might be able to do, but they're not going to hit a ton of threes in those lineups. And we just saw The Knicks go 11 for 12 from three in a quarter in an NBA playoff game, which was outrageous. The shooting with the Knicks has been absurd and I don't think he'll necessarily keep up at 11 for 12 levels. That was 5 for 44.
Zach Lowe
That's pretty great.
Fred Katz
It was, it was insane. I mean Deuce McBride couldn't miss and shame it was hitting these shots and it was like my good shame.
Zach Lowe
It's good. I'm happy for shame it that he sort of fortune gave him a chance to work his way back in the rotation because if you're going to make a long playoff run, you're going to need all your rotation guys at some point. Guys fall in, they fall out. He played well enough that even when Anunoby comes back, I think they could try to find spots where he fits. Let's just quickly talk about the Sixers. Obviously a super dispiriting end to their season. Tony Jones had a piece for the Athletic, the sort of postmortem where he hinted that Embiid was not psyched about the front office and the coaching staff coming, coming out of the playoffs, coming out of the McCain trade and all of that. I think, you know, there was pressure on Daryl Morey and Nick Nurse winning in the first round the way they did against Boston, the number two seed. I think alleviated some of that. This outcome may bring a little bit of it back. I just don't know like what are your alternatives if you're the Sixers? And it's sort of a boring discussion to me because I just feel like this is kind of who they are. Like no one is trading for Embiid. Maybe someone could talk themselves into Paul George, but it's not going to be a trade that changes your short term, medium term life as a franchise for the Sixers. And you're probably going to have to attach catch something to get off of him and I'm not sure you want to do that because everything needs to be aimed at the maxi Edgecomb timeline. And you have a couple of draft assets coming from the Clippers. You have the Rockets pick this year. I don't they're, they're capped out. They could have the mid level or A piece of the mid level to add another guy, but that doesn't include Ubere. Grimes is an important player for them. I, they're just, I, I, I don't know. We'll see what kind of rabbits they can pull out of a hat, but it feels like this is just kind of what they are.
Fred Katz
Yeah. I mean, the problem with them is that even you include the mid level. Like, they, Nick Nurse had six guys who he trusted when it mattered, and Grimes was not good for them during this run. Uber was really good sometimes, but he's a role player. And the reality is that when you only have six guys who you trust and you get to a point where it's like every other day play, it's just gonna be really, really hard to actually win, especially when a couple of them have off nights or Joel Embiid can't play, which is something that always has to be baked into the formula because there are always going to be moments where he's unable to play and he's not going to play for an entire playoff run and just be good to go for every game.
Zach Lowe
Yeah. You know, it was interesting to hear him after the game yesterday talk about how he feels like they figured out the knee and that all this other stuff, including appendicitis and like, he wasn't quite. His core wasn't quite over that, that in the finals. And so maybe there's a cause for optimism. Like, have we figured out the main thing and if all these other crazy subsequent things don't happen, can we get 60 games in a full playoff run out of him? I'll, I just don't have. It's the least sexy take in the world. I just don't ever see him being healthy for a full playoff run. And as long as that remains the case with this core, I just think they're just not going to get. I mean, they've been dead in the second round every time. I just, it doesn't seem possible to me. And so that's fine. You get, you know, you got to enjoy the moments like you had against Boston where the team was the team you dreamed of for a little bit, and know that it's probably not going to last and it didn't, and that that's still a hell of a fun series for Sixers fans.
Fred Katz
Yeah. I mean, look, even if he's out there, like, it's one thing for him to be out there, it's another thing for him to be out there and, like, be MVP. Joel Embiid, and you mentioned him going 8 for 8 and having 20, 24 points. And that's a great line. But the Knicks also made him the premier target for this whole series. They, they treated him, they treated him as if they would have treated Enes Cantor, you know, like they were wow.
Zach Lowe
And his freedom, first of all, as freedom.
Fred Katz
But that's how, I'm not saying he's become that. I'm saying that's how they treated him. It was the exact same game plan that you would have if you were facing somebody like that. It was just pull him out. They put in Bead and 99 pick and rolls during this series and they scored 124 points on those 99 pick and rolls. I mean it's, that's like half court offense is supposed to yield you maybe a shade over a point of possession if you're really good at it. Like it's not supposed to be 124 points in 99 pick and rolls. And they were just pulling him out. Like you mentioned the efficiency of the Mitchell Robinson pick and roll. It's like they were just looking for embiid and be like, go at that guy over and over. And, and it's not like he doesn't have defensive value anymore. He's still good around the rim. He's really smart. He knows how to use his size, he knows how to position himself. Guys will still drive into the lane, see him there, see how big he is. See these well positioned and they'll turn around and they'll go the other way. And that's totally a thing still. But if you can pull him away from the rim and teams do that, man, the Sixers defense just looked like it couldn't stop anything, anything. And that's a problem. He was also aspirations of actually winning.
Zach Lowe
He was also just physically a different guy than he was in the last two or three games of the Boston series. Like just the power on offense that he showed in that series. And like he, he looked for stretches pretty fast defensively, including the ability to make two and three rotations and rapid fire on the same possession. And he could not do that against the Knicks. Look, we got, we're gonna have time to talk about the Knicks. We're gonna have time to talk about the Sixers. We await now the conference finals. The Knicks are back in it exactly where they were last year when they broke their quarter century, you know, drought or whatever. And now we await to see if they can break the other drought, the finals drought. And then there's another drought after that. Fred Katz from the Athletic will be there chronicling all of it. I'll see you soon at the world's most famous arena.
Fred Katz
Yes, I'll see you there.
Zach Lowe
All right, that's it for today's special Monday edition of the Zach Lowe Show. We'll be back on Thursday as scheduled, reacting to whatever the hell happens in the NBA between now and then. Thanks to John Krasinski, Jonathan Gavoni and Fred Katz for their invaluable analysis and their time. Thanks, as always, to Mike, Billy and Jonathan on production. And thanks to you all for listening to and or watching the Zach Lowe Show. You'll be back later this week, 21 or over and president select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 and over in President, D.C. kentucky or Wyoming. Gambling problem. Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-My Reset, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org chat in Connecticut or is it mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland? Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinema.org or call 800-327-5050 for 24. 7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8-HOPE NY or text Hopeny in New York. For the Louisiana, call 1-877-770-7867. You can't reason with the sun. Trust us, we've tried. This summer, it's time to put that angry ball of fire on mute. Columbia's Omnishade technology is engineered to protect you from the sun's harsh rays that can burn and damage your skin. The sun is relentless, but so is our gear. Level up your summer@columbia.com to spend more time outside and less time slathering on aloe lotion. You're welcome, Columbia. Engineered for whatever.
Date: May 11, 2026
Host: Zach Lowe
Guests: John Krasinski, Jonathan Givony, Fred Katz
In this packed episode, Zach Lowe and his expert guests break down a momentous week across the NBA: the New York Knicks sweep the Sixers to advance to a second straight Conference Finals, the dramatic fallout from Victor Wembanyama’s ejection and possible suspension, and the lottery—where the tanking Wizards and Jazz landed the top picks in a potentially franchise-altering draft. The show features deep-dives into the Wolves-Spurs slugfest, the wild lottery room experience, debate over player discipline, and a detailed look at what’s fueling the Knicks’ unexpected dominance.
Guests: John Krasinski
Timestamps: 02:48–28:57
Victor Wembanyama’s Elbow & Ejection
Atmosphere and Physicality
"It was super tense…I think we're getting to a point where both of these teams don't really like each other…that kind of animosity breeds entertainment." (03:50)
Should Wemby Be Suspended?
"Of the ones that were just fined and not suspended...Victor's was definitely the most violent and the most targeted." (08:59)
"It's a suspendable offense, but…you can find precedent for just fining." (09:35)
Lowe predicts a fine, not a suspension.
The Wolves’ Resiliency & Anthony Edwards’ Brilliance
"His knees are at maybe 60%. He can pick like four or five times a game where he really goes…he is thinking the game, he is getting to his spots. He is just willing this team forward." (23:20)
Strategic Adjustments for Game 5
Key Memorable Moment
“My editor...tweeted, like, the foot of God. Like, you know, Maradona's hand of God.” (13:07)
Guest: Jonathan Givony
Timestamps: 29:00–72:45
Lottery Shakeout
Reflections on the Lottery System
"Last night was a representative kind of lottery...let this system play out for 20, 30, 40 years...more often than not we would get results like last night, where the worst teams would do best..." (33:10)
On-Brand Lottery Stories & Drama
Draft Preview—Top of the Class
"Darren Peterson is on another level, talent-wise...I would absolutely go with Darren Peterson." (45:24)
Potential Big Draft Trades
Philosophy on Tanking & Future of the Draft
Guest: Fred Katz
Timestamps: 74:56–114:22
Knicks Conference Finals Bound—What’s Changed?
“They’re there now. This is a team that is…in whatever zone they need to get in. They have found it. They are going to be favorites in the next round.” (76:24)
Atmosphere in Philly—Knicks Fans Take Over
"It was like nothing I have ever experienced...I think it was like 80-20 [Knicks fans]. I've never seen that, just all Knicks fans in a road arena for a playoff game." (77:22)
Key Factors Behind Knicks’ Surge
Mikal Bridges Returns to Form
"This is a completely different player than the one who started the playoffs." (80:18)
Karl-Anthony Towns—Transformation
"Cat defensively has…been quite good defensively. Not 'good for Cat,' not good for his reputation. I just think he's been good." (82:17)
Supporting Cast Stepping Up
Unselfishness & Identity
Looking Ahead: Pistons or Cavs?
“The Knicks offense has been insane. They're hitting shot after shot after shot. But defensively they're playing out of their mind." —Fred Katz (96:26)
"It's the least sexy take in the world. I just don't ever see [Embiid] being healthy for a full playoff run." (111:05)
Summary Prepared By: [Podcast Summarizer AI | Zach Lowe Show Expert]