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Shin Takamiya
Younger generation is becoming entrepreneurs and you know, startups are becoming cool. So the traditional kind of stereotype image of Japanese wearing suits being what we call Saturday men.
Sponsor Voice
Yes.
Shin Takamiya
You know, lifetime employment, that's totally gone right now.
Jason Calacanis
Totally gone. For young people.
Shin Takamiya
For young people, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
They still have it as an option.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
But they're now. It's number two on the list. Number three on the list of possibilities.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah, maybe so. Another kind of a showcase. It's like a joke, but I always tell number one job sought after. McKinsey is now startups.
Jason Calacanis
McKinsey used to be number one.
Shin Takamiya
You know, it's one of the prestige jobs you can get. And you know, typically people might join a big Japanese blue chip company to become one of the, you know, top management or something like that.
Jason Calacanis
That was high status.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
And now high status has shifted for young people to being a founder or.
Shin Takamiya
Even joining with startups. Yes, exactly.
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Jason Calacanis
All right everybody, welcome back to this week in Startups. I'm your host Jason Calacanis. As you know, we have a program called Founder University. Founder University is a 12 week course for people in year zero of startups. People who apply for funding from our venture firm but are too soon for funding. So we said, wow, all this incredible energy, everybody emailing us, applying for funding. Literally over 10,000 people a year. How do we capture that energy and help founders solve the world's biggest problems or solve the problems that are important to them, Maybe you as consumers. So we created this 12 week course where we go over all the basics. How to set up a cap table, how to get product market fit, how to do go to market strategies, how to find a co founder, how to present your product, how to, how to understand your total addressable market, maybe find your ideal customer profile, just design ux, all of it.
Mike Savina
The founders typically understand about half of what we teach them. For different founders, that 50% is different. Some of them are awesome at operations but their design is terrible.
Jason Calacanis
But they're really good at go to.
Mike Savina
Market or they're absolutely extraordinary at recruiting talent but they don't even know what the term ICP or customer acquisition costs. They don't. They're not familiar with those. And that's okay because everybody becomes familiar with these techniques and these strategies over time. So we meet the founders where they are, and my team spends time with them. It's incredibly rewarding. It's incredibly hard. Most of the startups fail, but they come back a second or third time, and then sometimes even on the first shot, they make it. And it's one of the great joys in my life to take Founder University from the United States to my favorite country in the world, after the United States. And maybe don't tell anybody, but maybe I like it a little more than the United States. And that's Japan. And it's been the thrill of my life to have the Japanese government. Jetro asked me to bring Founder University here and we're doing our first cohort. We've had so many of my friends over the years of coming here for 30 years since. Yes to coming and mentoring the founders here. 30 founders joined the first cohort. Very competitive process to get in. If you want to learn more about it, just go to Founder University.
Jason Calacanis
You can apply to do it in the United States. You can apply to do it in Riyadh in Saudi Arabia, in the Kingdom. We do it there with Sonabel. You can apply to do it here in Japan. But please, no more countries. I'm saying this with peace and love. I'm doing a lot of traveling. Okay, maybe one more country, but that's it. After that, I'm going to say no, maybe we'll do one more. I don't know. So here we are at Founder University. It's the end of the program of the first week of the program. It's the third day and we had an intensive couple days. But I'm really excited because Shin Takamiya, I met you 20 years ago.
Shin Takamiya
20. 15 years ago.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, 25 years ago.
Shin Takamiya
I don't know, maybe not that bad.
Sponsor Voice
20.
Shin Takamiya
20. Yeah, something.
Jason Calacanis
We're very old now. You know, Shin, you and I are old.
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
And we learned some things. So today we'll talk about what we've learned and how things have changed. I was talking earlier in the program, I got invited to come speak. And back then I would maybe get invited once in a while. Maybe they pay for my flight. Big deal for me back then because I was broke, had no money. So to get a free coach flight and fly here, to me was like the dream. And you and I met at a Conference had sold weblogs. Inc. Was doing a gadget. And I would always go to Akihabara, the electronics here, and. And I had seen VR and really augmented reality for the first time. We remember years back, 20 years ago.
Shin Takamiya
And already Japan was coming up with a VR figure. And Jason was so excited about it, and he was just hanging around this otaku anime kind of figure.
Jason Calacanis
What happened was I was walking through Akihabara, and I would go there with my writers from Engadget, and they would take me to all the different buildings. And the buildings there would be 10 stories, so we go to the 10th floor. It'd be robots, like little miniature robots. Then the next floor would be robot cars. The next floor would be robots that went in water, each of the different floors. And then I saw this big line with a bunch of salarymen in line after work in their suits that looked pretty tired, and they were online to buy something. So I went to the front of the line, and they were buying action figure in a box of software. And you would take the web camera off the computer. Web cameras were pretty new. They didn't work very well. And then they had a paddle, like a stick with a QR code and a little box. You put the box down, you have your PC, and you take the image and you put it on the box and pop out of the box would be a little character, and then you would interact with the character. And I said, whoa, that could be the future. It was a little too early. Little bit, yeah. But they were buying it. And this is one of the great things about Japanese culture. You're always 5, 10, 20 years ahead of everybody else. What do you attribute it to? The creativity and everything. Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
Yep. I mean, the VR figure back then was already quite advanced in Japan. But, you know, if you look back, you know, you could say we were pretty advanced. And even from a Japanese standpoint, it was. It wasn't a mainstream. It was like a, you know, kind of otaku culture. But now otaku culture is everywhere in the world. Like, you see anime.
Mike Savina
What is otaku culture?
Shin Takamiya
Otaku culture is like a Japanese pop culture kind of rooted around anime and manga and things like that. Initially, maybe 30, 40 years back, it was regarded as a kind of geeky hobby.
Jason Calacanis
It was a geeky hobby. Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
And otaku was kind of. Sometimes it was like some kind of, you know, bad word to say if you told.
Sponsor Voice
Like a nerd.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
Or a geek.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. But nowadays dweeb. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
But nowadays you know, I'm not calling you that.
Shin Takamiya
I'm otaku, so it's okay.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, but now you're cool. Otaku became cool.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah, Very cool. Yeah, exactly, exactly. And you know, otaku is highly related to IP business. So, you know, it's definitely something we can export out of Japan.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, IP intellectual property became, I think, a very, very powerful concept here. And I remember in 1990, I was working for Sony, and they became the Sony Corporation said, hey, if we can do convergence, we can bring together consumer electronics, music. So they bought Columbia Records and movies. We buy Paramount, and then we would do convergence, even doing radio. And that was when I first got exposed to the concept of, hey, all of these things are going to come together. And here we are. It's come together.
Shin Takamiya
Back then, Ide San came up with the CEO. Ide san came up with the concept digital media kits, which is.
Jason Calacanis
Yes, mk.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, Digital media kits. That was so cool.
Jason Calacanis
On a floppy disk. And they would say, here is everything you need to understand the topic. A text file, some pictures, short video clips. All of that then became deliverable on the Internet, online services.
Mike Savina
It's fascinating.
Jason Calacanis
So Shin, you work for Globus Capital Partners. This is one of the largest venture firms here.
Mike Savina
And so today we're going to talk about your investing here, and then just some observations about the global market. Maybe tell us a little bit about what you do, how long you've been a venture capitalist.
Shin Takamiya
So we, Globus Capital Partners, are one of the biggest VC firms here, and we are actually one of the oldest VC firms here. So we started out in 96 back then.
Jason Calacanis
1996.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. Back then there was no IPO market for tech companies. So NASDAQ Japan and Mother's Market of Tokyo Stock Exchange only came in in the early 2000s. You know, we kind of grew together with the Japanese startup ecosystem. So we're kind of like brothers to the Japanese startups. We were a startup, incidentally, doing VC business back then. And as for myself, I spent like six years of my childhood in Europe and went to US to get my mba.
Jason Calacanis
Where'd you go?
Shin Takamiya
Mba?
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
Harvard.
Mike Savina
Oh, okay.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. It's okay, right?
Jason Calacanis
I've never heard of it. Where is it from?
Shin Takamiya
It's somewhere cold.
Jason Calacanis
It's somewhere cold. Boston, I think.
Shin Takamiya
Somewhere in Cambridge.
Jason Calacanis
You can always know if somebody went to Harvard because they never mention it. They say, I got an mba. And then I say, where? And they say, oh, Massachusetts. And then I say, oh, where are Massachusetts? Say Boston. I say, oh, where In Boston, they say Cambridge. It's because if you say you went to Harvard, everybody says, oh, too smart, whatever. But you went to HBS.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
And you did that in the 90s, late 90s.
Shin Takamiya
No, no, I was class of 08 of 2008. 2008, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
Oh, 2008, okay. You went later. And when did you start in venture capital and why did you decide venture capital?
Shin Takamiya
So I joined Globus right after my MBA. So that was 2008. That was like right after the subprime bubble burst.
Jason Calacanis
Yes. We had the Great Recession in America. Everybody lost their jobs. The nasdaq went from 5000 to 1500 and everybody thought it was the end of the technology business. But it was actually good timing for you.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly. Enter low and exit high.
Jason Calacanis
You know, it is paradoxically the best time to get in venture capital is at the Dow market.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah, exactly. Foreign.
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Jason Calacanis
What stage do you invest in typically?
Shin Takamiya
So currently we typically start from Pre A or a kind of stage.
Jason Calacanis
Okay, so seed and series A, Pre A kind of.
Shin Takamiya
So we would like to see a team and a product. You don't have to have a massive traction, but enough traction so that we can get a glimpse of pmf. That's like the initial stages we would invest but we would follow on anything into the late stage. So we say we are the first and first to last. So we are the first institutional VC to back a founder and the Last, we would back it to the last round before ipo.
Jason Calacanis
Okay.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah.
Mike Savina
So full life cycle, basically. And that means the company's here a little bit too early.
Jason Calacanis
So when he finishes, don't rush the stage, you can't meet him. But the likelihood of investing in year zero startup or pre product market fit is too early for you?
Shin Takamiya
A little bit. But probably I should know you guys now because you know, you know, it's a very kind of relation business. You don't want to invest into somebody you don't know, you don't trust. You know, typically when I invest, I like it invest into my friends who I know for like over two years or something like that.
Mike Savina
Right.
Shin Takamiya
So I can trust the person and I, I know that person from like everyday life rather than knowing him under cosmetics when he's fundraising.
Mike Savina
And this is an important lesson for founders is to play the long game.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Mike Savina
You're going to meet people, you want them to understand what you're building and why you're building it. And then they can put little check mark.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Mike Savina
In their journal, in their database. Okay, I met this founder, they're doing something interesting.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
So even in series A, you know, I, and maybe we believe that the founder is the single most important factor in investing and especially their motivation. You know, we don't want to invest into people whose interest into money or power. You know, we look for some, you know, truly rooted down motivation why they want to do this, because business, they would have like a passion for it or they would have like a, almost like a karma to do that business or something like that. So we want to know why the founder is doing that business. And if that why is solid, you know, you can, you know, you would have the glit to continue the business when you're even in the hard things. And in the end if the founder doesn't give up, the business is still alive. So you know, you always need that strong motivation or driver why the founder is doing the business.
Jason Calacanis
This is really important for founders to understand that our number one fear, our nightmare as investors is not that the company runs out of money or they have to pivot, it's that the founder gives up.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly. We don't want founders just fleeing irresponsibility irresponsibly. So you know, and of course, you know, sometimes it's important for the founders to rightly give up because after all, if you look at it from the macro perspective, it's a kind of utility business as I look at it. So the founder is the most precious resource in the startup community and you want to maximize the utility of the founders.
Jason Calacanis
So if the founder picks an idea, they have the karma, they're passionate for it and they get two, three years into this adventure and they realize the market isn't ready, the market doesn't want it, they can't force consumers, they can't force a business to want their vision of the world. So yeah, sometimes it's the right thing to shut it down.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. So it's okay that your hypothesis is wrong. What is not okay is you just kind of be irresponsible or you do some kind of immoral things or things like that. But you know, if your hypothesis does make sense but it doesn't turn out to be right, I think it's a nice try. And even from our investor kind of perspective, we'd like to invest into those kind of founders, you know, it's not the result that which matters. So if founders had a very logical and hypothesis or investment theme that made sense, but if he fails, it's okay, we want to invest again into that. Serial entrepreneur.
Jason Calacanis
This is also very important. If failure in the United States, we champion it, we are excited to see it's not what we want to happen, but when we see a founder fail, it's almost universally if they don't give up, the precursor to later success. In Japan, the culture though of failure comes with shame.
Shin Takamiya
It used to.
Jason Calacanis
It used to, yeah. When did it change and why?
Shin Takamiya
I think it changed in the last 10 years just to throw out a showcase number. When I joined Globis as a venture capitalist, there was only like 300 million investment per year in all of Japan. But nowadays we have like 10 billion USD. So you know, it's growing so fast. And one of my portfolio companies, Mercari, was the very first unicorn, Japanese unicorn to go public, which went public in 2018. And only after seven years we had Mercari. Mercari, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
Yes. M E R C A R I Sub Marketplace.
Shin Takamiya
Yes, exactly.
Jason Calacanis
Like Craigslist or ebay. How would Americans think of it?
Shin Takamiya
It's the equivalent is Poshmark. Oh, Poshmark.
Jason Calacanis
So designer clothes or designed products initially.
Shin Takamiya
Started out from kind of design clothes for ladies and for kids because it's the same kind of seller and there was a synergy between different categories. But as they grew they are dominant kind of second hand app in Japan. So they kind of went into multi categories and they basically all category right now. But the point I wanted to make was only after seven years of the first unicorn going public, we had 77 startups that was valued over 1 billion.
Jason Calacanis
Wow.
Shin Takamiya
The caveat is that includes not only unicorns, but also includes those companies that touch down to the $1 billion market cap line after one year of going public. So one point I wanted to make is this is how vibrant Japanese startup community is and how much younger generation is becoming entrepreneurs and, you know, startups are becoming cool. So the traditional kind of stereotype image of Japanese wearing suits being what we call Saturday men.
Jason Calacanis
Yes.
Shin Takamiya
You know, lifetime employment, that's totally gone right now.
Jason Calacanis
Totally gone. For young people.
Shin Takamiya
For young people.
Jason Calacanis
They still have it as an option.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
But they're now it's number two on the list. Number three on the list of possibilities.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, maybe so Another kind of a showcase. It's like a joke, but I always tell number one, job sought after. McKinsey is now startups.
Jason Calacanis
McKinsey used to be number one.
Shin Takamiya
You know, it's one of the prestige, you know, jobs you can get and you know, typically people might go join a big Japanese blue chip company to become one of the, you know, top management or something like that.
Jason Calacanis
That was high status.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
And now high status has shifted for young people to being a founder or.
Shin Takamiya
Even joining with startups. Yes, exactly.
Jason Calacanis
This is very interesting for people to understand coming here, it's less transactional, it's more character based.
Shin Takamiya
Yes, yes.
Jason Calacanis
Honor karma.
Shin Takamiya
It's cool to be with startup. Yeah.
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Jason Calacanis
So Shin, you're at Globus Capital Partners, $500 million fund, new fund coming. You invest Series A sometimes a little before and in the last round before.
Mike Savina
They go public, we'll talk about going public.
Jason Calacanis
But for the founders here, what should this ideal meeting and what is the.
Mike Savina
Protocol here in Japan for getting that meeting and what is expected to occur in that meeting?
Shin Takamiya
I don't think there's much difference between, you know, having an investor meeting in the US So to answer your first question about what the founder should do with the first meeting, to be very tactical or like a hacker mind, I think the whole objective of the first meeting is to get the investors interested. You don't have to tell all of the story. You just want to focus on one single value proposition you have and get that investor interested. And then once you get that investor interested, you would naturally have a follow up meeting or follow up questions. So single important thing is to get his interest. That's the only thing you need.
Mike Savina
Right.
Jason Calacanis
You want them to understand what you're doing, understand why you're doing it, understand why you're the right person to do it. And then you want to get them to ask questions. And so what is the best way? Sometimes founders get a little nervous. Venture capitalists, oh, they have the money, they anoint me. But you and I know, especially my time as an entrepreneur, I'm not sure. Did you spend time as an entrepreneur as well or not really.
Shin Takamiya
Not really.
Jason Calacanis
As an entrepreneur, when you're first starting out, it's very intimidating. And then later on you look at venture capitalists, okay, they support my company, but I still have to run it. So I could use their capital, I could use their advice on the margins. So maybe you're not as enamored with it. What's the way to answer the questions when you ask, you know, a very basic question, how should the founder respond to it, especially if they're a little nervous?
Shin Takamiya
Probably the very basic is, I think you should try, you're not the person being judged. You should also judge the investor. After all, especially for the lead investor, you're going to be stuck with that person for like 7 years or 10 years or even longer. Right. So you want to select the investor who you can get along with, who you have the right chemistry with. So you should take off your mind that you're being judged. You're also judging your opponent. Yes. And the game of getting the lead investor is not like the popularity kind of, you know, voting. You have to, the game is to find only one lead investor, the right investor. So, you know, even 99 lead investor, potential lead investor says no, that's okay if you get one. Yes.
Mike Savina
Right.
Jason Calacanis
It is a numbers game.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
And that I think is very hard for a founder to handle early on rejection. And a no is the default.
Shin Takamiya
Right. And you know, when you get the rejection, you shouldn't feel that you or your baby is, you know, ugly. Ugly.
Jason Calacanis
Or, you know, I said it, not you.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, I know. But like, you know, it's very objective. So some person might think it's ugly, but it's a hypothesis that you think it's beautiful and you have to find a person who agree with you. Reckoning that is beautiful. Yes, yes.
Jason Calacanis
This is in a way investor product or investor problem or investor market fit. The investor has to also be excited about it. And when I was early in my career, I had an investor say to me when I was pitching early on, I'm just not so excited about what you're building. I'm not the right investor. And I was incredibly hurt. And I talked to my wife who was then I think just my girlfriend. And, and I said, oh, man, it's terrible. She says, oh, that was like very kind of them.
Mike Savina
You don't want that person to be your investor if they're not excited about it.
Jason Calacanis
Go find one who is excited about it.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Mike Savina
This is critical.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. And you only need one. So it's okay. You know, if you're first time, maybe you're nervous. You may think that investors have the right answers, but we don't. Nobody has.
Mike Savina
This is very important. It's the humility. And sometimes people project into a successful investor. Oh, you did. You know this incredible company that went.
Jason Calacanis
Public and the biggest ipo billion dollar company.
Mike Savina
Oh, you invested in Uber. Robinhood. You know what's going to work? The answer is we don't.
Shin Takamiya
Yes, exactly. So you have to find somebody who believes in your same hypothesis.
Mike Savina
Funny story. I was training a new vc.
Shin Takamiya
Oh, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
And.
Mike Savina
I like to have the orchard, not go to the market and get apples. So I go to the orchard and I find talent out of school to train to be venture capitalist in the United States.
Jason Calacanis
Right out of school.
Mike Savina
And I have this very smart young man working for me. Very analytical, but also very candid, which I like about him. So he wrote an email and he wrote back, this founder has ugly baby syndrome. They don't know that their product is terrible, their execution is horrible, and they don't even understand the market they're going after. And they sent this email to the team, but they forgot and they didn't take the founder off the email. The founder said, I'm sorry that you think my baby's ugly. I wasn't involved, but Then my partner, who was my first boss, who works for me now, Mike Savina, called me and he said, I've got an interesting situation. And he calls me boss now, even though he was my boss. He's my big brother and taught me a lot of what I know in business. I said, tell me. I love a good situation. And he said, well, you may not like it. And he explained to me what happened, and I laughed. And he said, sounds like a mistake you would make when you were young. I said, yeah, it does. So should we fire him? Promote him? What do we do? And he said, let's talk to him. So we got the researcher. They started as a researcher, then they become an analyst, then they become associate. Very hard training program. We make them work 60 hours a week like a Goldman Sachs program, very.
Jason Calacanis
Hard, try to break them.
Mike Savina
We want them to quit because we want them to work as hard as I do and the rest of my team members. So I called the founder and I said, well, you know, obviously I'm very embarrassed.
Jason Calacanis
I said to the founder, would you like me to fire them for this terrible mistake, or would you be willing for me to have them apologize to you and make it a learning lesson for them? And the person said, well, I don't want them fired.
Mike Savina
They.
Jason Calacanis
They made a mistake. Yeah, I'm sorry that this happened. And I said, no, it's not your fault. So then I went to the person and I said, would you like me to fire you? Would you like to apologize to the founder? And he said, if you have to fire me, I understand. But I already apologized to the founder, and he had already apologized, took it to himself in between time. So I said, now he's been working for me for two years. I think if I were to rank all of these trainees, and I think there's 10 of them now, I rank him as in the top two. Top two. Bianca, who's here, and Lucas, who wrote the Ugly Baby. I can only say his name now because he's so good. And I always make the joke with him. And now when he trains the new people coming in, he's an. I think he's an associate now or analyst.
Mike Savina
I don't know.
Jason Calacanis
He's doing so well and his performance is so good. We always have that as a nice joke, nice thing, but mistakes can happen. And do you act honorably? And he did.
Shin Takamiya
And probably one lesson to the investor side, I always tell myself, and also maybe like the younger VCs is that one. I think it's good to be candid. But being candid and being judgmental or almost rude, emotional is a different thing. Being objective is very. So you know, you don't want to say it's ugly. You want to say why you don't think it looks functional or it doesn't look good. So you have to have like a communication program protocol where you can actually debate about it with your opponent, the founder.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
So if you think it's ugly, dysfunctional, you should say why you think this is dysfunctional because it's not delivering the right function to fulfill the value proposition or something like that. It's okay.
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Jason Calacanis
What I tell my team is never underestimate anyone. You and I have experienced this. Somebody is very awkward. Maybe they show up at a meeting, there's a stain on their shirt or they're nervous or sweating, or there's some product or they have a misspelling and then that person eventually becomes Mark Zuckerberg. You know, because by the way, we all start out awkward.
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
Unsure.
Shin Takamiya
And quite typically well rounded person is well rounded sus, you know, you don't have that spike in one certain attribute. Sometimes the great founders have the huge spike and the rest of it, he doesn't have anything.
Jason Calacanis
They have a zone of excellence. They have something that makes them very unique in the world. And there's a way to say it. Some venture capitalists maybe don't have a good bedside manner like a doctor. And so the way to say it would be or the way I say it in the program, since you're here and I'm an investor, you may hear me say to you, I predict when you go to see venture capitalists, these are the things that they're going to be thinking. Would you like to hear those? And can I have your permission to speak candidly? Yes, tell me candidly, Jason. And I say I think they're going to look at the design and they're going to judge a book by its cover. Your design right now in their mind will be a four of 10. And we have some resources to help.
Mike Savina
You get it from a four very quickly to a seven and then getting from seven to eight, eight to nine.
Jason Calacanis
It'S going to be very hard. But I think with, you know, just.
Mike Savina
Maybe we introduce you to a couple of designers, you read this book and you read these websites and you could really improve it. Kim, would you like us to introduce you to something?
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, yeah, yeah, please.
Mike Savina
The right founder wants to, you know, have that candidness. So how you say it, super important. And I'll also say these three things I think are great. You love this problem. You've done great research on the customer and then maybe some VCs, when you say you're going to pursue four different business models that will counter their experience, their lived experience, they're signaling will say, I don't know of another startup that had four revenue streams in years one. And they'll look at Amazon and say Amazon added a second revenue stream in year seven and Microsoft added a third one in year 20. And there's a way to communicate in.
Shin Takamiya
A healthy way, but I think it's how the founders view the world and how you tie the context into the results of the business model. So if you think the external environment is very, very volatile, or if you think you're still in a POC phase, you want to try out different business models and if you can kind of explain why it's volatile, why you think there is different scenarios of potentially having different business model and if you can just logically explain that you are in a testing phase to find the right one, but eventually you might, you know, converge into one business model, then it makes sense. But just kind of like adding different revenue stream just for the sake of making good looking P L. It doesn't make sense. So it really depends on how you see your business context.
Jason Calacanis
This is why VCs want to talk a lot. They want to understand how you're thinking.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah, yeah. So like every other vc, we have a management presentation which is the most important, kind of like investment decision gate, what we look at as a partner, if I'm not in charge of the deal, is the threat of thinking of the entrepreneur. He doesn't have to be right. It's okay if he has kind of the right process of logical way of thinking. And the precondition is in this kind of external environment the logical business model is this. But once you start that business model, you may find out that the recognition of the external environment was different then you would change your business model. But again, the founder is able to come up with the same kind of logical business model. So if the founder has that kind of logical thinking and if he is have that capacity to replicate the same kind of, you know, way of thinking, that's a very good sign. And that's probably what like the IC looks for.
Jason Calacanis
If they. The investment committee.
Shin Takamiya
Yes, I see, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
So this investment committee is going to say, hey, what's the business model they're pursuing? And if you are the partner champion, you say, well, they're considering three different business models. They're leaning towards A, they're testing B, and they've pretty much ruled out C, but they're unsure so they need to do some more thinking on it. I want to talk to you about which business models you think get the best venture capital results.
Mike Savina
You don't want to be the sole source of funding. No. You want other investors to help too.
Shin Takamiya
Yes. So it's the nature of VC business, but you want to get kind of like a additional return compared to your competitor VCs but at the same time you're supporting a very kind of high risk business. So sometimes, well, most of the time the fellow VCs are your kind of collaborators who would support that business together with you. So in a time of hardship, you don't want to. It's quite risky to support let's say a startup in a down round. But if you have co investors and it's the role of the lead investors to syndicate that kind of hard round too.
Jason Calacanis
So yeah, this is the value that a great investor can provide. They're going to introduce you and explain to other investors when we have lunch or we're talking going skiing or whatever we're doing, VCs do spend time with each other and they say, hey, what are you investing in? What's interesting? And you say, well this is very interesting and here's where it's at. We talk very candidly about it. And you wouldn't want me to invest in something without knowing the complete story. Yes, because we have a relationship based on trust.
Shin Takamiya
You know, relationship based on trust are kind of social equity is on the stake. So we don't, I don't want to sell you, you know, crappy. Yeah. Companies.
Jason Calacanis
I want a broken car.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, exactly, exactly, exactly.
Jason Calacanis
Because then I have a problem and then the next time when you have something great, I just say, oh, maybe there's some serious hidden problem with this car, is the transmission's no good.
Shin Takamiya
And then you would never converse with me. So it's a very long time business. One cycle is long. It takes like, you know, five, 10 years for a result to come out from one company and One fund takes 10 to 15 years and that's like how long the cycle is and we are continuing in that cycle. So it's all about long term relationship with your founders, your startup community, your co investors, your LP investors. So we live in a very kind of long term kind of time horizon.
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
And we have many bets, we place many investments. So we have a built in diversification.
Mike Savina
The founder is all in on one thing.
Jason Calacanis
So that's also an interesting part of the dynamic. Yeah, yeah.
Mike Savina
The founder could be very high anxiety.
Jason Calacanis
An investor might be, oh, it's in this fund. We have Uber in this fund.
Mike Savina
You know, so many great companies you've.
Jason Calacanis
Done, you have kayak in this one, you that fund, you've already returned 3x4x. You feel calm. But sometimes an investor has a fund, it's underwater, their second fund is underwater. First fund is great, third fund they're raising. There are things that we have to deal with on a psychological basis. We'll get into that, I promise the audience. We talk about business models. Take me through what business models really work in 2026 and going forward, which ones are the most investable from a venture capitalist and why?
Shin Takamiya
On the precognition that I think great business and great investment is two different things and I want to invest in the overlap. So you know, the definition of great business is, you know, you have different perspectives, you know, highly scalable. You know, that's kind of like a typical startup kind of great business. But let's say in actually the longest standing company is actually founded in Japan. It goes on for about 1500 years. It does like traditional kind of carpentry for Japanese shrine and you know, it's not scalable, it's not making huge amount.
Jason Calacanis
Of wait, this is a real companies.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
How many years old?
Shin Takamiya
1500. That's the world's oldest company.
Jason Calacanis
The oldest company in America is America. 250 years old. Something to think about.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, exactly. So you know, if I ask if that, you know, carpentry company for you Know, traditional shrine. Is that a great company? Yes.
Jason Calacanis
Incredible.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, yeah.
Jason Calacanis
It's not a venture company.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, exactly. It doesn't have to have a highly scalable or high speed, but it's a great company.
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
So you mentioned two things there. High speed. I think maybe high margin and scalable. Are these the main circles that we need and the overlapping ones? Is a company that people would take public. It needs to have those components. It can't be low margin, it can't be low scale, it can't. You can't grow slow.
Shin Takamiya
To put it in other way, VC investable great companies are very niche component of the great companies. And you know, so to break down your perspective on high, high margin scalability and speed, I think it really comes down to exponential top line growth and how do you say it, I forgot the English word. But the other way around of exponential. So the cost is coming down as the scale ups. Not like linear, but in a curve.
Jason Calacanis
Yes. What's the best way to say it?
Shin Takamiya
The other way around of explanation.
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
In a fixed cost business, the margin can keep increasing. So if you were to make a piece of software, the incremental customer, if it costs $1 million to make the software a year, spend 1 million to make it the first million dollars, you break even. But then at a certain point, the fixed cost business, everything is very profitable after that. Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
The point is you have like the unit economics as a snapshot. As you scale that unit, unit economics on the top line side and on the cost side both kind of improve significantly. So. So in the end, your final business model is super, super beautiful.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah.
Mike Savina
If you were to take the example of Robinhood or Uber, on Robinhood, which we were early investors in, before they even launched the product, they have 11 business units that make $100 million now. And when they started, they had one business unit making no dollars. We could never have predicted that. But when they get a customer for.
Jason Calacanis
One or two of those services, now they've added prediction markets. Now they add margin loans, now they.
Mike Savina
Add options trading, now they add a retirement savings account, they added a credit card. As they add each one of those, they don't have to acquire the customer because they have the customer ready. When Uber launched, Uber eats on both sides. They have the drivers, so the drivers.
Jason Calacanis
Get more work in a marketplace dynamic.
Mike Savina
And they already have the customer. So what they've tried to do is create this Uber one where they get people to use both products. And if you do that, oh wow. Yum, yum, yum, yum. Is A technical term, it means lots.
Jason Calacanis
Of money, yum yum.
Shin Takamiya
So implication of that to the founders, especially when you're in a very early or seed phase, is that you don't have to have that kind of yum yum unit economics right now. You don't have to realize it, but you have to have a hypothesis to have that five years down the road, right? Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
And you can model that very simply on the back of an envelope.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly.
Jason Calacanis
Okay, we're in one city, we have this many drivers and this many customers. But when we get to six cities and we can launch a city for you know, a tenth of the price and they already know Uber because they used it on their vacation. When Uber finally came to Tokyo, many people had heard of it before so it was easier. Each city became easier on the traditional business models. You have E commerce, you have consumer advertising, consumer subscription, you have marketplaces, you have API charging for consumption type businesses. You have enterprise cost per seat and obviously enterprise costs for utilization. Some people sell data or subscriptions. You know, it's more niche. What, which of these do you like most right now?
Shin Takamiya
I may not be answering your question directly, but other than the founders single next important thing is having the right market, the big market size, growing market size. If the TAM is growing, you know, only if you grew together with the tam, even if you don't beat the growth of your market, you're growing. So it's easy. And the next thing you want to do is how you can establish kind of like a exponential top line in that market and improving your margins in the other way curve is you can think about it after you have that exponential top line. So within that growing market, how you can out beat the growth of the huge market and huge market growth, that's next after the market and then after that as you run, you can think about how you can exponentially decrease the cost side. So I think that's the priority order.
Mike Savina
Yeah, it's very interesting when a founder figures this out and first time founders, this is one of the great things.
Jason Calacanis
A venture capitalist, the right partner can.
Mike Savina
Do is they could say hey, we can tell you some stories. This movie has already happened. Take a look at this company. Here's a marketplace similar to yours. Take a look at this E commerce company. But your point is very important. If you pick a market. I remember people were building tools for newspapers, they were building tools for local television stations. In America we have like very regional television stations in. And they would make these incredible tools because those businesses had lots of problems. So Those businesses would embrace it. But because the newspaper business was going like this, you could not solve their problem.
Shin Takamiya
When in the late 90s there was like a joke, like startup saying, hey, there's a new tech Internet, it's going to revolutionize the facts, right? Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
Revolutionize it as in kill it?
Shin Takamiya
No, no, no. It was like a fax over the Internet.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, fax over Internet.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah. So they, they, you know, raised like almost like 100 million, but they went bankrupt.
Jason Calacanis
Yes. They were literally allowing people to have a phone number that you could fax and it would send you a PDF. Yes, of the fax.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly. So, you know, you're going to be.
Jason Calacanis
The transitional technology, not a lasting technology.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly. So I think, you know, what's important is not only looking at the superficial market, but the fundamental needs behind it. And some means like fax or Internet is only the means or the how of delivering that value. So, you know, maybe emails and fax, it provides the same kind of value proposition. Horse and motor cars.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah, to both transportation, both are for sharing documents, but one is just so much faster you would never use it. And sometimes you have to think at a very fundamental basis, well, what are people faxing? And you have to ask a more basic first principle question. What do people fax? A lot of times they fax a contract. And that's DocuSign.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly, exactly.
Mike Savina
You know, and a calendar is calendly, you know, like.
Jason Calacanis
So there were some little ideas that became very large businesses, very simple ideas.
Mike Savina
Like DocuSign or HelloSign.
Shin Takamiya
So I think you have to recognize the market in terms of like, not in terms of like superficial product market. So the failure of the fax Internet company was you recognize the market as the fax market, not like the document kind of sending market. So I think you have to understand the market as in the value proposition opportunity. And then you come up with a solution, solution that provides the best fit solution to realize that value proposition.
Jason Calacanis
I want to talk to you about the greatest technological change of our lifetime.
Mike Savina
And I mentioned earlier, you and I are old, but we knew this one was coming. We knew AI was coming for 40 years. And now it's here. Really great to catch up. And AI, we had machine learning. We were watching Big Blue and IBM with a supercomputer beat chess 20 years ago. Slowly, slowly becoming, and now all at once it's affecting everything. And maybe you could talk a little bit about the pace and the opportunity.
Shin Takamiya
Yes. So in terms of pace, it's highly unpredictable. Definitely it's very fast. And you know, it's much, much faster than we anticipated. Or, you know, when, when us older people go and look back at the Internet, it was much slower in diffusing, but AI is much, much faster. But what we know is the direction of the change, but we can't predict the timing. So the way I look at it is I think I would like to look down in the future trying to find the path that would definitely come. But if you can't predict the time, that's okay. It would come eventually. So all you need is enough money so that you can wait for that time to come. But if you're super certain about that coming, you can bet on it and wait for it to come. Sometimes people say when there is a big wave coming, it's too late to go out and paddle. You have to have already paddled and be in the waters to ride that wave. So, but if you know the big wave is coming, you don't know whether it would come in 1 minute, 5 minutes, 1 hour. But if you see it coming, you should wait in the sea already.
Mike Savina
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
I think the surfers call them sets, wait for the right set. And if you're in the game, if you're in the ocean, you can take advantage of it. But if you're on the shore, this is why it's important to start. But you're also speaking to being frugal, controlling your burn rate and anticipating, hey, this could take time. If you look at AR and VR, you and I were talking 20 years ago, starting to happen here on desktop computers. Now we finally have actual headsets. Apple is getting closer and closer. With Apple Vision, Spectacles are getting better and better. It's close, but AI, my Lord, is changing not just what products we're building and the value proposition, but it's also changing how we build companies. What are you seeing? How are founders using AI to build companies faster, better? Do you have insights into it?
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, definitely. You know, AI has to be integrated into your business model, but again, it's about predicting the time. So what I always like to think when I'm thinking of my investment thesis or even to advise the founders or my portfolio company is that look at the advanced use cases. So AI is a big word, but there are some advanced use cases, like, let's say, for example, autonomous cars. The tech is already ready. Initially, people was in the main driver's seat. AI was just an assisting kind of tool. Then the role of AI became stronger and people just sat on the driver's seat to take, take responsibility. Because of the readiness of the society and the legal framework wasn't there. And finally tech and the society is both ready. So there is full autonomous driving and autonomous driving kind of one of the advanced use cases. You already have Waymo and all that already put into use. But if you look at other applications, even like enterprise solution or something like that, you hardly see any autonomous kind of fully agentic product yet. So the way I see it is in analogy to the autonomous driving is that yes, the tech is there, it's possible to build a product. But let's say if it's an enterprise product, your client might be very old, especially in Japan. The big Japanese traditional companies may be very concerned, conservative and they don't want to kind of implement fully blown like a autonomous AI agent. They would say, like who's going to take the responsibility when it fails and things like that.
Jason Calacanis
Risk is very important here.
Shin Takamiya
So that means your client in the analogy of autonomous driving, the society is not ready yet. So what's happening right now is there is like a human account manager and the quality assurance person who is just being there just, just for the sake.
Jason Calacanis
Of human in the loop monitoring.
Shin Takamiya
Yeah, monitoring so that the client can feel safe and you know, and the AI agentic kind of product is implemented within the workflow of the provider, not the client internally. So from the client perspective it's just to be, you know, cheaper and more efficient bpo, but internal process on the supplier side it's fully AI and that's like the stage where there is like a human safety copilot is there. Maybe down the road there's going to come like fully autonomous product where it would be implemented within the client's workflow. But you can't predict the time of readiness of the client side and regulatory issues like security or information, things like that. So in the short term you have to take what is available on the table with a short term business model. But at the same time it's pretty difficult to have a conflicting business model within your company. But it would dominate five years down the road and you don't know when the switching timing would come. So you have to have both business.
Jason Calacanis
Model embedded and this is where the strategy comes in.
Shin Takamiya
Yes, yes.
Jason Calacanis
As a founder you have to figure out how to survive. So if fully autonomous cars aren't here yet, but you can give it to a driver so they're less fatigued, which was the original idea, this will lower fatigue, maybe lower mistakes.
Sponsor Voice
Okay, great.
Jason Calacanis
Like adaptive cruise control, I'll keep you in the lane and that's Some value, not the full value.
Shin Takamiya
And you know, it kind of helps you develop elemental product, elemental technology to feed into the, you know, fully autonomous driving in the end. So it kind of leads the way into the end goal.
Jason Calacanis
Shin, it's been amazing to spend an hour with you and catch up. Thank you so much for coming on this week in startups and I'm going to be here twice a year so I don't know what your favorite restaurant is or food. Tell me now.
Shin Takamiya
Actually, you know this, tons of Japanese great restaurants. You know there's been to lots of them. Some restaurant you can't reserve ahead like two years.
Jason Calacanis
Right.
Shin Takamiya
So let me know.
Jason Calacanis
But you're very important.
Mike Savina
Yes.
Jason Calacanis
And you know everybody and you know.
Shin Takamiya
As we said we, we live in a longer time horizon. So two years is like, you know, two weeks down there.
Jason Calacanis
What's your favorite food right now?
Shin Takamiya
Right now.
Mike Savina
What do you love?
Shin Takamiya
Maybe there's a restaurant. Well, actually there's a good sushi restaurant in Tokyo. Kyocho. Kyocho Mitani.
Jason Calacanis
It's Omokase.
Shin Takamiya
Omokase.
Jason Calacanis
Michelin star or like more underground.
Shin Takamiya
It's not underground but it doesn't have a star. But it's super famous. Some of the best restaurants in Japan, they don't have stars.
Mike Savina
They don't want them.
Shin Takamiya
Exactly. Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
Because they want to be for their.
Mike Savina
Customers in their community.
Jason Calacanis
Yeah.
Shin Takamiya
Loyal customers with long higher LTVs.
Mike Savina
Yeah.
Jason Calacanis
They're actually thinking correctly. I found an interesting concept.
Mike Savina
I had heard that sushi used to be bar food.
Shin Takamiya
It was a fast food in Edo period. Yeah, yeah.
Mike Savina
And so having done this research many years ago on the history of it, there used to be stand up sushi bars. And when I came here, I was talking to one of my founders and they said oh yeah, we were going shopping and he said there's a stand up sushi bar I like a lot in the basement of this department store. You should go to it. And I went and you stand up and it's all these incredible cuts. Incredible Otoro, incredible Hokkaido uni. Just all the best pieces. But the price is like half of the normal restaurant in Japan. You get it faster and you stand there and then there's a little hot spigot and you take a little matcha powder and you make your own green tea. No waitresses just order from the chef. Boom, boom, boom. And that is one fourth of the price in the United States. It was so good. So I've been to two stand up sushi places. Have you know about these?
Shin Takamiya
Yes.
Mike Savina
Are they common or not common.
Shin Takamiya
Pretty common. You actually have one in Haneda Airport.
Jason Calacanis
Hanada Airport has one?
Shin Takamiya
Yeah.
Mike Savina
Really?
Shin Takamiya
Yes. Now you know where to find Jason.
Jason Calacanis
We'll be there. All right, let's give it up one more time for Shin Takemiya. Thank you. All right, everybody, we'll have one more episode or two on this week in Startups from Tokyo. And it has been what a thrill.
Mike Savina
And an honor and a privilege to.
Jason Calacanis
Get to spend time with these founders.
Mike Savina
We'll see you all next time.
Jason Calacanis
Bye Bye.
Host: Jason Calacanis
Guest: Shin Takamiya (Globis Capital Partners)
Episode: E2237
Date: January 20, 2026
This engaging episode examines Japan's remarkable shift in startup culture, the rise of entrepreneurship among young Japanese, and how the image of startups has transformed from quirky and niche to dynamic and prestigious. Jason Calacanis and Shin Takamiya (of Globis Capital, one of Japan’s premier VCs) discuss the evolution of the Japanese venture ecosystem, lessons for founders, differences in cultural attitudes toward failure, and how AI is impacting the pace and style of innovation. The conversation blends practical founder advice, cultural insights, VC best practices, and nerdy sidebars on tech and sushi.
Shift in Career Aspirations
Impact of Unicorns
Lifecycle Investing
Importance of Trust and Founder Motivation
On the changing image of startups:
"It’s like a joke, but I always tell — number one job sought after: McKinsey is now startups."
— Shin Takamiya [00:36] / [18:54]
On motivations for investing:
"We look for some truly rooted down motivation why they want to do this—because business, they would have a passion for it, or they would have almost like a karma to do that business."
— Shin Takamiya [13:39]
On founder resilience:
"Our nightmare as investors isn’t that the company runs out of money … it’s that the founder gives up."
— Jason Calacanis [14:31]
On failure:
"If your hypothesis is wrong, that's OK. What's not OK is … being irresponsible or immoral. If your logic was sound but it didn’t work, that’s a nice try—we’ll back you again."
— Shin Takamiya [15:32]
On finding the right investor:
"You're not the person being judged. You should also judge the investor … You want the right chemistry. It is not a popularity contest; you just need one yes."
— Shin Takamiya [22:44 — 23:37]
On market selection:
"You have to understand the market as the value proposition opportunity … not just as a product market."
— Shin Takamiya [47:33]
On AI and timing:
"AI is much, much faster [than the Internet] … but what we know is the direction of the change, not the timing."
— Shin Takamiya [48:39] "If you see [a big wave] coming, you should wait in the sea already."
— Shin Takamiya [49:52]
On sushi culture:
"Some of the best restaurants in Japan don’t have stars. They want to be for their loyal customers with long higher LTVs."
— Shin Takamiya [55:42–55:50]
The conversation is candid, practical, and laced with humor and humility. Both Jason and Shin offer grounded, experience-rich advice with a sense of generosity towards founders.
For listeners and would-be entrepreneurs, this is arguably one of the most insightful episodes on what makes the Japanese and global startup scene tick in 2026—don’t miss the sushi tips at the end!