Transcript
A (0:00)
Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Brian Nowak, Morgan Stanley's head of US Internet Research. I'm joined today by Keith Weiss, Head of US Software Research and Matt Bombasi from my team. Today we're going to talk about private companies and technology and how they're showing us the direction of travel for disruptive technologies and emerging investment opportunities. It's Wednesday, October 22nd at 10am in New York. Keith and Matt, we just returned from Morgan Stanley's Spark private company conference last week in Los Angeles. It had over 85 private tech companies, 150 plus investor firms. There were a lot of themes that were discussed across the entire tech space impacting a lot of different sectors including energy, healthcare, financial services and cybersecurity. Keith, what were some of the biggest takeaways you took away from Spark this year?
B (0:50)
I'd say just to start off with the Spark conference is one of my favorite conferences of the year. It's a more intimate conference where you really get to spend time with both the private company executives and founders as well as investors from the VC community and public company investors. The conversations are more broad ranging. They're more about the thematics in the industry. They're more long term in nature. It's not just a conversation about what's next quarter going to look like or what data points are you drumming up. You're having these thoughtful conversations about what's going on in the industry and how that's going to impact business models, how it's going to impact innovation cycles, how it's going to impact pricing models within these companies. It tends to be a very interesting conference for me to attend. For me, some of the key takeaways. Typically when we're in these innovation cycles, it feels like everybody's rowing in the same direction. We all understand where the technology is heading, we're all understanding how it's going to be delivered and it's a race to get there. You're having a conversation about who's doing best in that race, who's best positioned, who's got a better motor in their race car, if you will. To me, one of the big takeaways was we don't have that agreement today. There's different players that are looking at this market evolution differently. On one side of the equation, the application vendors. And a lot of this debate is in SAS based applications. They see SAS based applications having a very big role in taking these models that are inherently indeterminative and making them to be more determinative and useful within an Enterprise context, bringing them the data that they need to get the job done and the right data, bringing them the context of the business process being solved, bringing the governance that's necessary to use in an enterprise environment, but most importantly to make it effective and efficient for the large enterprise. On the other side of the equation, you have venture capital investors and more early stage investors who are looking at this as a huge phase shift. This is going to fundamentally change how we build software, how we utilize software. And they worry about a deprecation of that SaaS application layer. They think the model itself is going to start to encompass, is going to start to subsume a lot more of that application functionality, a lot more of that analytics, and they see a lot more disruption going forward. So that debate within the marketplace, that's something that's interesting to me. It's something that we don't typically see in these innovation cycles. So that's takeaway number one. Takeaway number two, we're still really early days and that's a little bit implied in the first statement. I definitely hear a lot of it when I talk to the end customer, when I talk to CIOs. This wasn't necessarily at Spark, but earlier in the week I was at a CIO conference. There was 150 CIOs in the room. One of the gentlemen on stage asked a question. Who in the room has a good understanding of what we're talking about? When we mean agentic AI, when we mean agentic computing within your Enterprise? Of the 150 CIOs, four raised their hands. Still very early days in understanding how this is going to evolve, how we're going to actually deliver these capabilities into the enterprise. The last takeaway, I would say, is more excitement about the federal government becoming a better customer for software companies. Overall, people are more interested in new avenues into that federal government. There's been some very successful companies that have opened the door to getting into these federal government contracts without going through the primes, without doing the typical federal government procurement cycles. And that's very interesting to the startup community, which tends to move faster, which tends to drive on innovation versus relationship building versus being in an existing incumbent prime. I thought that opening was pretty interesting as well.
