Timcast IRL – "Shots Fired At Timcast Studio, Man Arrested For Stalking Benny, Loomer, Matt Walsh"

Date: December 9, 2025
Guests: Gary the Numbers Guy, Shane (Inverted World Live), Ian, Elad Eliyahu, Phil Labonte (All That Remains)

Episode Overview

In an intense and urgent episode, Tim Pool and the Timcast IRL crew recount a recent drive-by shooting targeting their studio, discuss ongoing threats against prominent conservative commentators, and reflect on the dangerous climate facing independent media. The conversation also explores numerology and astrology with guest Gary the Numbers Guy, followed by heated debate on political fragmentation, right-wing infighting, and the personal costs of maintaining a high-profile, controversial platform in modern America. The episode mixes personal anecdotes with broader commentary on cultural and political instability heading into a contentious election year.

Main Discussion Points & Insights

1. Drive-By Shooting at Timcast Studio

[01:09] – [12:18]

• Incident Description:

  • A car approached the Timcast property, firing one shot, sped up, then fired two more shots at the studio.
  • Tim stresses they must stay vague about security details.
  • The incident follows credible threats to the studio, including threats to kill Tim Pool and shoot up the property.
  • Tim notes people regularly idle outside their gates or show up to their properties in the middle of the night.
  • “We had received threats months ago, some of the more credible threats to come and shoot up the studio.” — Tim ([01:51])
  • Security response: armed guards, perimeter, surveillance; the staff discusses the footage.

• Emotional and Strategic Impact:

  • Tim voices uncertainty about how to proceed—shut down, isolate, or relocate.
  • “After three shots are fired at our studio, it doesn't feel premature anymore.” — Tim ([02:41])
  • Drive-by intimidation is “the kind of attack you can't fully guard against.”

2. Wider Climate of Political Violence and Threats

[12:18] – [35:10]

• Attacks and Threats Against Conservatives:

  • The panel references other targets: Benny Johnson’s stalker, threats to Matt Walsh’s family, attacks on Laura Loomer, and the assassination of Charlie Kirk.
  • “Over the past year, I've watched my president get shot in the head and my friend get assassinated. Things are spiraling wildly out of control. There are real world consequences for psychotic rhetoric and lies amplified online. Enough.” — Benny Johnson, as read by Tim ([33:10])
  • Panel discusses how left-leaning public figures face threats but the most severe acts—assassinations, shootings—have hit the right.
  • "The attacks that lately have actually resulted in maimings and loss of life, they've all been attacks against Republicans, against conservatives." — Phil Labonte ([13:36])

• Psychological Impact and Personal Safety:

  • The danger extends to family and personal lives. Tim recounts not being able to attend events without security, canceling public gatherings like Boonie Skate Night for fear of escalation.

3. Assassination of Charlie Kirk & Right-Wing Infighting

[16:12] – [28:28]

• Aftermath of Charlie Kirk’s Death:

  • Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA, was assassinated, devastating the organization and fracturing the conservative youth movement.
  • Tim is furious with right-leaning personalities (especially Candace Owens) who, rather than supporting the victim organization, accuse Turning Point of orchestrating the crime.
  • "Candace Owens is a fucking evil scumbag. She is a degenerate cunt. She is burning everything down and she's gloating and smiling while she does it." — Tim ([19:19])
  • Tim blames conservative media cowardice for failing to call out destructive actors on their own side: "A bunch of cowards in conservative media refusing to stand up to her." ([21:41])

• Cultural Consequences:

  • "The assassination of Charlie Kirk has destroyed the right coalition. And the actions of Candace Owens, Ian Carroll, and others is now destroying what's left of what Charlie built." — Tim ([64:00])
  • The left, Tim argues, faces little serious infighting or repercussions, while the right destroys itself in the aftermath of tragedy.
  • Tim criticizes the loss of unity and strategic vision, suggesting Republicans' midterm chances were ruined by infighting post-Kirk.

4. Security Solutions and Moving Forward

[31:00] – [38:47]

• Relocation and Security:
  • Guests debate the merits of moving operations to a penthouse or highly secured office building (e.g., in Miami, Fox News skyscraper in NYC).
  • Gary advocates for fortifying security and not quitting: “You work too damn hard to get in the position to just quit, my friend.” ([36:54])
  • Tim reflects on the economics of independent media: their influence far outpaces their budget because content is endlessly clipped and remonetized by others.

5. Independent Media’s Role, Integrity, and Challenges

[46:05] – [69:46]

• Rise of Conspiracy and Rumor:
  • The panel laments the slide from unbiased independent journalism toward clickbait, rumor, and accusation, especially in the wake of high-profile violence.
  • Tim and guests criticize those who seek to destroy their own movements, ridicule the amplification of conspiracy (“Candace Owens maybe is that fascinating thing… she's playing the villain” — [69:05]), and recall the early, more light-hearted, less divisive days of Timcast IRL.

6. Gary the Numbers Guy: Numerology, Astrology, and Predictions

[87:07] – [103:34]

• Numerology in Politics and Culture:

  • Gary expounds his view that numerology and Chinese astrology are “the cheat codes” of the universe.
  • Predicts 2026 (Year of the Horse) will bring deflation, cryptocurrency crashes, and major upheaval.
  • “People born on the 5th, 14th, 23rd are the good-looking ones, the models...28 is the number of wealth...” — Gary ([87:46] / [88:24])
  • Panelists challenge Gary’s reasoning, highlighting ‘pattern recognition’ bias and the problem of vague logic.
  • Gary offers to perform numerological readings and claims elite clients consult him for major decisions.

• Panel Critique:

  • Several on the panel are skeptical, with Tim noting that celebrity “breakthrough” years often don’t align with Gary’s theories.
  • “It sounds like what you’re saying is if it doesn’t fit your explanation, I’m sure you’ll find another way.” — Tim ([98:57])

7. Faith, Culture, and Social Commentary

[78:26] – [82:33]

• Shane and others share and debate Biblical passages, prayer, and personal belief.
• Light-hearted exchanges on Antichrist, the Messiah, and faith-based morality compared to numerology.

8. Podcast Evolution, Format, and Audience

[69:46] – [74:00]

• Reminiscing about early fun/goofy Timcast IRL formats; soundboards, music jams.
• Tim discusses the challenge of balancing broad appeal and serious content: “If you make your show for a third grade reading level, you will get way more viewers.”

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On the shooting and environment:
  • “This is the climate we are in...There's no amount of security that can protect you from drive-by shootings…We have to have a discussion...about how we move forward.” — Tim ([12:18])
• On right-wing fragmentation:
  • “Turn­ing Point has become the perpetrator of the crime in which they were the victim. That is probably one of the most terrifying things out of all of this.” — Tim ([16:59])
• Unfiltered rage at conservative grifters:
  • “I’m fucking done with these people.” — Tim ([20:19])
• Gary on numerology’s influence:
  • “Numerology and astrology are the cheat codes...I believe this is a virtual reality we live in.” — Gary ([07:17])
• On the consequences of Candace Owens’ rhetoric:
  • “She’s trying to rile up her audience. People will be mad at you...Violence towards Tim Pool. That is her goal.” — Elad ([54:02]–[54:10])
• Advice for Independent Conservatives:
  • “If you get a penthouse in some place in Miami...you work too freaking hard to build what you got to give up. Change locations, adapt or die.” — Gary ([32:49])
• On podcasting & audience:
  • “Powerful is how many people are listening to you...If we change the format to just doing fart jokes, the deep state won't want to kill me anymore.” — Tim ([74:00])
• On morality and religion vs. numerology:
  • “I can prove more with numbers based off mathematics than anyone can with religion.” — Gary ([111:46])

Important Segment Timestamps

• [01:09] Incident description: shooting at Timcast studio (see details above)
• [10:39] Tim’s assessment: “It’s three clear gunshots… intimidation makes the most sense.”
• [16:12] Elad: “We live in an era of political assassinations… The right is in complete disarray.”
• [19:19] Tim’s explicit condemnation of Candace Owens and conservative enablers
• [25:13] Reflection on loss of Charlie Kirk, right-wing disunity, and its impact
• [33:10] Benny Johnson’s account of threats and arrest of a stalker, as read by Tim
• [36:35] Gary’s advice about security, Miami penthouses, and adaptation
• [54:02]–[54:10] Elad: “She’s trying to rile up her audience… violence towards Tim Pool.”
• [69:05] Nick Fuentes' analysis of Candace Owens’ impact makes him look moderate by comparison
• [87:07] Numerology/astrology segment: Gary predicts “Year of the Horse,” Bitcoin crash, etc.
• [111:46] Gary: “I can prove more with numbers based off mathematics than anyone can with religion.”

Final Thoughts

• Next Steps for Timcast IRL:

  • The team is considering ending the current format, reducing in-person guest appearances, and reassessing security before returning from Christmas hiatus.
  • Tim is resolute that he won’t quit content altogether – but hints IRL as currently structured may not continue.

• Cultural & Political Takeaway:

  • The crisis at Timcast IRL is a microcosm of larger trends: the dangerous polarization within the US, the new risks faced by independent media, and the ease with which violence becomes normalized and infighting destroys movements from within.

For Further Engagement:

• Follow Tim: X/Instagram @TimCast
• Gary the Numbers Guy: @GG33Academy
• Phil Labonte: @philthatremains
• Shane, Inverted World Live

Related Rumble segment airs after the main show.