WAR HAS BEGUN w/ Seth Holehouse

Summary

Timcast IRL – “WAR HAS BEGUN” w/ Seth Holehouse

Date: March 3, 2026
Episode Theme:
A high-stakes, uncensored roundtable dissecting the outbreak of U.S.-Israeli military operations against Iran—Operation Epic Fury—examining the implications for American politics, global power dynamics, potential for escalation, and the lasting impact on U.S. society and reputation. Featured guest: Seth Holehouse, host of the Man in America podcast.

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Main Theme & Purpose

The episode takes a deep dive into the sudden eruption of war between the U.S.-Israel alliance and Iran, launched as Operation Epic Fury, following a surprise strike that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader. The hosts and guest critically examine the justifications, military and political strategies, casualty figures, public sentiment, broader geopolitical implications—particularly regarding China and Russia—and the future of American hegemony. Throughout, the focus is both on immediate news and the wider cultural, political, and psychological aftershocks.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Outbreak of Operation Epic Fury

• Timeline Breakdown ([08:40]):

  • Operation initiated with a U.S.-Israeli strike that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader; over 100 aircraft launched (01:27, 08:44).
  • Trump authorized the attack, labeled “Operation Epic Fury,” emphasizing “no aborts.” Emphasis on air power, minimal ground commitment thus far.
  • First-order cyber and space command actions blinded Iranian defenses before the kinetic strike.

• U.S. Casualties ([11:49], [17:36]):

  • 6 U.S. service members killed; additional wounded in Iranian counterstrikes.
  • Discussion on American intolerance for high casualties, referencing past interventions and the criticality for public support.

"We’re in a conflict now that, by the President’s own admission, will be something longer...the President has already alluded to an expectation of casualties."
– Phil [11:28]

2. Public & Political Response to Casualties

• U.S. popular support shown to be highly casualty-sensitive—airstrikes with no U.S. deaths often tolerated; ground wars much less so ([11:49], [20:22]).
• Panel discusses how casualties, especially high-profile ones (like an aircraft carrier hit), could swing public opinion against Trump and the war ([23:03], [45:52]).

"If there's a high death toll of Americans...the United States is going to really be upset...No more wars, which you’ve already seen to a certain segment."
– Phil [23:03]

3. Boots on the Ground? Administration Messaging

• Will there be U.S. ground troops?
  • Trump & Pentagon remain publicly non-committal; Secretary of War Pete Hexseth gives evasive answers ([25:35]).
  • Speculation that “no boots on the ground” may mean just not tens of thousands; SOF or covert presence likely.

"That was one of the least convincing nos I’ve heard in a long time."
– A lot Eliyahu on the Pentagon's response [27:01]

4. Domestic Security Concerns

• Guest Seth Holehouse raises worries about fifth-column activities: Iranian and Chinese sleeper cells in the U.S., vulnerable infrastructure, risk of domestic terror ([28:36], [32:22]).
• The Austin shooter: debate over lone-wolf terror vs. possible organized or false-flag angle; skepticism about threat timing.

"My biggest concern is not deaths of American troops in Iran, it’s American soil...Iran has a very heavy fifth column on American soil."
– Seth Holehouse [28:36]

5. Immigration & National Security Backlash

• Calls for extreme legal immigration restriction, mass deportations of those not in alignment with “American values”—debate on necessity and effectiveness ([34:09], [37:41], [41:18]).
• Critique of demographic change, “magical American soil” rhetoric, failure of assimilation.

"Clearly this guy, this citizenship didn’t do anything for him. The pocketbook Constitution didn’t do anything for him."
– Tate Brown [37:41]

6. Iran, Proxies & Paper Tiger Debate

• Iran’s conventional and proxy retaliation seen as “underwhelming”; Hezbollah, Houthis, and others are being systematically dismantled ([38:58], [42:00]).
• Killing the Ayatollah as a significant but surprisingly low-retaliation event—confidence that Iran is weaker than presumed.

"It’s fascinating again how much of a paper tiger that they were and that their proxies were as well..."
– A lot Eliyahu [38:58]

7. Regime Change, Quagmire Anxiety & PYRRHIC Victory

• Debate over “victory conditions”: regime collapse, moderation, or just degraded capacity? Comparisons to Libya, Iraq, Venezuela ([19:27], [21:27], [43:21], [78:35]).
• Fears about leaving a vacuum, endless conflict, or Iran falling into civil war instead of clean regime change ([21:27], [79:13]).

"I think the only way that he comes out of this with a positive rating is if it doesn’t go much further than what’s already happened..."
– Seth Holehouse [49:06]

8. Trump’s Legacy at Stake

• The war as existential for Trump’s presidency: success equals “vindication,” failure means enduring national disgrace ([45:52], [47:09], [48:21]).
• Young people’s growing cynicism, disillusionment; “Epstein war” meme and collapse of trust in institutions ([49:06], [51:43]).

"If the United States initiates a war and then runs...that will be the end of Donald Trump’s presidency. He will not be effective and he will be looked at in history as a failure."
– Phil [45:52]

9. Geopolitics: China, Russia, Petrodollar & Global Hegemony

• The panel repeatedly returns to the argument that the U.S.-Iran conflict is much about containing China and maintaining American power as it is about the Middle East or Israel ([66:49], [70:42]).
• Accelerating “unipolar” world: U.S. knocking off China’s allies one by one (Cuba, Venezuela, Iran); Russia described as bogged down and ineffective ([70:42], [73:07]).
• BRICS derided as a paper alliance ([72:48]).

"What we should be understanding from this is that the Americans, and President Trump in particular, is just knocking off China’s allies one by one."
– A lot Eliyahu [70:42]

10. Israel: Motivations, “Horseshoe Theory,” & Divisive Discourse

• Discussion of how Israel’s interests are intersecting with, but not entirely driving, U.S. actions; frustration at messaging, Rubio’s gaffe ([59:12], [62:43], [66:49]).
• Notable tension between pro-Israel, nationalist, and isolationist segments in American and online discourse ([61:00], [106:08]).
• CCP “amplifying” anti-Israel and anti-Western sentiment online for their own gain ([61:00], [62:43]).

"It’s neither here nor there in Israel, but it sends a huge wake up call ...look, you know, I’m not...It’s neither here nor there in Israel, but it sends a huge wake up call to our EU..."
– Tate Brown [42:00]

11. Fifth Generation Warfare & Information Operations

• Emphasis on warfare being as much informational, psychological, and economic as kinetic; arsenal includes propaganda, conspiracy, “flooding the zone” ([28:36], [51:43], [61:00]).
• CCP and adversaries seen as working to destabilize U.S. internally.

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Casualties and Public Opinion:

  "Nobody thinks that Iran can beat the United States. ... If [casualties are high] and he runs, that will be his legacy... his legacy will be forever tarnished."
  – Phil [45:52]

• On Immigration & Domestic Threats:

  "We need to start taking a look at these people’s paperwork...You need to start asking questions. What can someone from Senegal offer the United States?"
  – Tate Brown [37:41]

• On U.S. Hegemony/Multipolarity:

  "American values are good, and Chinese values are bad. I think it’s that simple."
  – A lot Eliyahu [72:55]

• Dark Humor:

  "There's more Chinese military than Canadian military in Canada."
  – Seth Holehouse [89:12]

• On Trust, Propaganda, and Young Voters:

  "A lot of them are calling this the Epstein War, right? ...they’re looking at life in America, yet we’re being told this is the golden age... but the overall sentiment here is on really shaky ground."
  – Seth Holehouse [49:06], [54:24]

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Timestamps for Important Segments

| Topic | Speaker(s) | Timestamp | |----------------------------------------|---------------------|------------------| | Operation Epic Fury timeline | Phil | 08:40 | | Casualty discussion & public response | Panel | 11:49, 17:36 | | “No boots on the ground” policy? | Secretary Hexseth, A lot Eliyahu | 25:35–27:01 | | Fifth column & sleeper cell concerns | Seth Holehouse | 28:36–32:22 | | Immigration policy debate | Tate Brown, panel | 34:09–38:58 | | Iran paper tiger vs. real threat | A lot Eliyahu, Tate Brown | 38:58, 42:00 | | What if the operation drags on? | Phil, Seth Holehouse| 49:06, 54:24 | | "Epstein war" & generational mistrust | Phil, Seth Holehouse| 49:06–51:43 | | Israel, Rubio’s statement, propaganda | Panel | 59:12–66:49 | | Geopolitics: China, Russia, BRICS | A lot Eliyahu, Tate Brown | 66:49–74:26| | Directed energy/space lasers/tech | Seth Holehouse, Panel| 85:35–89:12 | | Nuclear testing earthquakes in Nevada | Phil, Seth Holehouse| 90:56–94:15 | | What’s the U.S. goal, what is victory? | Phil, panel | 76:28–78:54 | | Regime change vs. civil war in Iran | A lot Eliyahu, panel| 79:13–80:54 |

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Notable Moments & In-Jokes

• Jokes about the “goy beam” and Israeli space lasers, with playful references to classified tech ([84:13–87:38]).
• Running jokes about Tim Pool’s absence (“killed in an airstrike in Tel Aviv”) and in-jokes about “finding a date in the Discord” ([97:12]).
• Repeated references to “Epstein War” and Gen Z’s online narrative-shaping ([49:06]).
• Guest plug: Seth’s “Man in America” podcast and Readyscore.com preparedness tool ([101:03]).

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Tone & Style Notes

• Candid, irreverent, and direct: The roundtable leans in to unsparing criticism of policy, sharp humor, and the show’s trademark “uncensored” back-and-forth.
• Ideologically heterodox: Heated but nuanced debate between populists, nationalists, and more establishment perspectives—topics ranging from military logistics to culture war memes.
• Strong patriotism, skepticism, and realism: Respect for service members, a sense of American exceptionalism, but deep doubts about D.C. messaging and establishment wisdom.

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Summary for Listeners

If you missed this incendiary and information-packed episode, here’s what you should know: Timcast IRL dug into the first days of the U.S.-Israel assault on Iran, laying bare the fog of war, anxiety over rising U.S. casualties, deep skepticism about official narratives, and profound questions of American identity and purpose. Seth Holehouse of Man in America brought a conspiratorial lens to questions of domestic security and global gamesmanship.

The team grilled the government’s ambiguous messaging on ground troops, hammered the risks of mission creep and political backfire for Trump, and exposed just how fragile global alliances and American public support could be. Cold, hard questions were asked about immigration, national security, and the dangers of both underestimating and overestimating the enemy.

Stepping back, they recognized that while Israel benefits and may have driven some U.S. action, the war fits a broader pattern—the U.S. is systematically eliminating China’s and Russia’s allies, and not just in the Middle East, all to defend its vaunted unipolar status. But at home, generations raised on broken promises and COVID-era government duplicity may be “allergic” to another forever war.

From space lasers and clandestine tech to seismic “tests” at Area 52, the panel kept the discussion punchy, entertaining, and brimming with both skepticism and hard-earned wisdom—reminding us that, regardless of the battlefield, the real contest may be for the hearts and minds of the American people themselves.

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Transcript

[Phil]

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[MacKenzie]

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[Phil]

On February 28th at 1:15am Eastern Time, more than 100 aircraft launched an initiated Operation Epic Fury, the United States attack on Iran. Now, this is in conjunction with the Israeli military and there's a lot of news that's coming out right now. So we're going to be talking about it most of the night. First of all, the death toll in the United, the United States service members. There's been six people that have died already. The. Let's see, where is it already? Senior officials are saying that there's attacks on Saudi. The Saudi Arabian Embassy Secretary Marco Rubio had some remarks that have got a lot of people worked up. We're going to get into all of that tonight. Three fighter jets have been shot down over Kuwait. Now, that's a friendly fire episode. No lives were lost in that one. So we're going to be talking about that there was actually a terrorist attack or what is likely a terrorist attack already in Austin. The gunman wore Property of Allah hoodie. So people are obviously up in arms about that. The, the Strait of Hormuz is closed. There's so much stuff to talk about tonight. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. And this is affecting, going to affect all of global trade. Obviously there's a bunch of talk about China's involvement in this or what kind of effect it's going to have on China. The the Israelis have space lasers. Well they're not actually space based, but they are using directed energy weapons against incoming missiles. There's a big old earthquake swarm in Nevada's nuclear top secret base. That's where they were testing weapons. So there's a bunch of allegations that the US has initiated nuclear tests again. And then we're going to talk about USAA CEOs talking about Gen Z saying they're not going to be as well off as boomers. So we're going to get into all that. But first, here's a message from sponsors

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[Seth Holehouse]

all

[Phil]

right, so smash the like button, share the show with all your friends, head on over to rumble.com and become a member so you can watch our after show. And also head on over to timcast.com so you can join our Discord. The Discord is where you can jump into the after show and ask our guest questions, talk to the panel. You can probably find someone to date because that's happened a lot, too. Maybe even have a couple kids. That'd be awesome. So joining us to talk about the stories that we have discussed a little bit. We've got a lot of stuff that's developing and but joining us to talk about these and all this stuff tonight is Seth Hull House.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, thank you for having me. This is quite an honor to be on the show. I've watched it a lot and here we are. So there's definitely a lot to cover tonight.

[Phil]

So who are you and what do you do?

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, so my name is Seth Holehouse, as you said. I've my main thing is I've got a podcast called man in America, which Rumble is my main place. I'm very censored on YouTube still on there. So I cover a lot of same things you guys are covering here. I tend to look kind of like, okay, what's behind the veil, where the puppet strings at, trying to figure out what's really going on, how are the secret societies playing into things? And that's just where I tend to go with my kind of investigative coverage. But I do a lot of interviews, a lot of commentary. But yeah, that's my main thing is the man in America podcast.

[Phil]

Awesome. Well, thank you for joining us. A lot is here.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Good evening, everybody. I am a lot Eliyahu, the White House correspondent here at Tim Cast. And I am proud to be an American where at least I know I'm free. And I won't forget the men who died who gave that right to me. And I'll gladly stand up next to

[Seth Holehouse]

you and defend her still today?

[A lot Eliyahu]

Cause there ain't no doubt I love this land.

[Seth Holehouse]

God bless Israel.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yes. Hey, it's an honor to be on tonight. Obviously, we have a lot of exciting news and it's a good day to be an American. True. How's it going, Tate?

[Tate Brown]

This is why I love Tim Caster. We're agile, like. Like cats. Meow. Anyway, I'm Tate Brown. You're holding it down, Patriot. Real patriots out there. One of the biggest Trump shills working today. And I do actually, I have some concerns with the Iran strike for the record. So we'll probably get into that. Phil, what's going on? Oh, Carter.

[Carter Banks]

Yeah, I mean, I can't follow up that at all, but lovely voices, everyone. I'm Carter Banks here, pressing the buttons tonight, delivering you guys a good podcast. So, Phil, let's get into it.

[Phil]

All right, we're going to start with a little bit of the timeline from Reuters.

[Tate Brown]

Top U.

[Phil]

S General outlines initial timeline of U. S Military operation in Iran Top U. S. General Dan Kane. Dan Raisin Kane, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff on Monday gave an initial timeline and some details on the start of the U. S Military operation in Iran. So far, four well, at the time of the writing it was for but they've actually upped the the casualties to Six US Service members have been killed and four others remain seriously wounded, the military has said. As of February 27th at 3:38pm Eastern Time, the U.S. central Command received the final go order from President Donald Trump. Operation epic fury is approved. No aborts. Good luck. U.S. forces made final preparations. Air defense batteries check systems to respond to Iranian attacks. Pilots and crews rehearsed strike packages for the final time. Air crews began loading final weapons. Two carrier strike groups began to move towards launching points. The first moves were made by US Cyber command and US Space command which worked to disrupt, degrade and blind Iran's ability to see, communicate and respond. Before the attack began February 28th at 1:15am Eastern Time, which is 9:45am Iran Time, more than 100 aircraft from land and sea launch forming a single synchronized wave. The daylight strike was based on a trigger event conducted by the Israeli Defense Forces enabled by the US Intelligence community. This was an apparent reference to Keynes to Israeli's strike surprise strike on Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei that was aided by US Intelligence. All right, so we're going to get into a lot of the things going on and first off, we're going to talk about the death toll because one thing the United States, the American people don't really take kindly to is Americans coming home in, in body bags. This is, this is the biggest fear that America has. We're extremely concerned with losing lives. That's, I said last, the US Is generally accepting of air strikes if there are no casualties. And you can see that kind of the evidence for that in the Venezuela operation. The fact that the US Went in, did what it wanted to do, no Americans lost their lives. So the approval rating on that was something like 80% or something, 75% of Americans were like, well, that's okay, you know, but we're in a, a conflict now that is, by the President's own admission, going to be something longer. It's not going to be like just the strikes on Venezuela. The President has already alluded to a, a expectation of casualties. And within the first couple days, we had an Iranian missile strike, I believe it was the US Navy installation in Saudi Arabia, I think, and that's where six US Service members died. So I'm wondering what you guys think about that. You know, the fact that this is already off to a start where there are Americans that have died.

[Seth Holehouse]

Well, I mean, I think Trump said he's, he's now saying it's gonna be four weeks, roughly. It just, whenever I hear these things coming from anybody in the government goes straight back to that, okay, it's two weeks to slow the spread. All right, it's four weeks to save your grandma. Right? It's, it's the same thing. And so I, I agree with what you're saying though is that when you've got potentially boots on the ground, which means.

[Phil]

Well, I don't know, I don't know about that. And the reason, and I'm going to push back on that just because if you look back at the way that we staged before the invasion of Iraq, if you look back at the way that we staged before the first Desert Storm, it was obvious that there were going to be boots on the grounds. The United States doesn't send in ground forces unless there's a Burger King in a trailer right behind them. The logistics are just not there. To say that the boots, that there's going to be boots on the ground. Now that's not saying that there won't be. That's saying that as of right now, talking about boots on the ground is too early. You would see massive build up, a massive buildup of logistics before you could realistically predict. Actually, you would see some logistics starting to move before you could realistically predict boots on the ground. Now, again, I'm not saying that it, it won't happen. I'm just saying that I think that it's early to talk about that kind of stuff.

[Tate Brown]

Well, and off your initial point, I mean, with the story the six service members were killed in Kuwait at a base there. And that actually kind of steel mans a little bit what Marco Rubio was saying today about how this strike was actually kind of more preemptive in the sense that they were going to attack us anyway, so we might as well strike first. And this is why I say this kind of steel mans it to a degree is because the casualties would have been far higher if we didn't anticipate an attack occurring coming from Iran. Again, this is not to sort of say one way or the other if this is a good idea. I don't think so. But people are saying this is like the servicemen were killed during the operation was actually killed by Iranians striking in Kuwait.

[Phil]

Just for, just for clarity, are you saying that the Iranian, you think the Iranians were going to attack regardless of the US Attacking? You think that you think the Israeli strikes would have made the Iranians attacked US Installations?

[Tate Brown]

Well, I mean, look at what's happening now is the Iranians are striking Gulf states that have zero involvement whatsoever. They struck a French naval base and.

[Phil]

Oh, really?

[Tate Brown]

Yeah. And the uae. So, so like, yeah, UAE or either UAE or Qatar. The uae, I believe. So it's like, clearly Iran has zero geopolitical instincts. Very reminiscent. I hate, I know people always compare stuff to World War II, but this actually is very salient. It would be kind of reminiscent of when Japan attacked the Americans at Pearl Harbor. It's like you're just kind of roping in countries that probably otherwise would be slightly aligned, but they wouldn't be all in and out forces their hand to go all in. So Iran is rallying the entire Sunni Muslim world against them because while they certainly are empathetic with the Palestinians, they do not like Iran. So, you know, it's forcing them to pick a side and when you strike them, they're going to side against you a lot.

[Phil]

Is this for Israel?

[A lot Eliyahu]

No, it's not for Israel, but I will say this was because of Israel. And let me explain, let me flesh that out a little bit more. There has been a total and complete reshaping of Middle Eastern.

[MacKenzie]

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[A lot Eliyahu]

O D O O.com geopolitics since October 7th. Who was the original commander? Yaya Sinwar was the original commander who really led thirds. Yeah, astray, because this really again allowed the reinvigoration of American hegemony, I think worldwide in the Middle east and you know, we're seeing third world is in shambles right now. But ever since the October 7th war, failing to achieve their goals of, I don't know, destroying Israel, Israel has managed to take out Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and then Lebanon's.

[Phil]

Actually the government of Lebanon has distanced themselves from Hezbollah, which is worth mentioning. They said to the Israelis, look, take out Hezbollah, but don' infrastructure.

[A lot Eliyahu]

And I mean, if I could flesh this out a little bit further, they attacked the Houthis also in Yemen. They also helped assist in. We don't know completely how involved Israel and the Americans were in regime change in Syria, but that happening over the course of the couple of years preceding this greatly influenced the Americans and Israelis ability to strike in Iran. So there are no air defenses. There used to be air defenses in Syria and Lebanon that helped prevent Israelis and Americans from flying over and striking the the Iranians. But since the Israelis largely defeated our enemies in Syria and Lebanon, it helped facilitate the opportunity to strike straight at the Iranian regime without having to worry too much about blowback from their proxies in different countries.

[Phil]

Okay, so from the post Millennial, we're going to talk about this a bit. The death toll rises to six US Service members following Iranian attacks on fortified operations center in Kuwait. U. S Central command has confirmed that an additional two U. S. Service members were killed in the attack on a fortified Operations center in Kuwait over the weekend. This raises the death toll of American Service members from 4 to 6 thus far under Operation EPIC FURY. As of 4pm Eastern Time, March 2, 6 u. S. Service members have been killed in action. U. S Forces recently recovered the remains of two previously unaccounted for service members from a facility that was struck during Iran's initial attacks in the region. Major combat operations continue. The identities of the fallen are being withheld until 24 hours after next of kin notification, CENTCOM reported. Operation Epic Fury was launched by the Trump administration on Saturday, March 1. Israel and the US teamed up to attack Iran and dismantle their regime. In addition to killing the nation's supreme leader, the entire command structure was wiped out. It's worth noting the US has struck over a thousand or struck a thousand targets in the first hours, and I believe at this point they've struck 2,000 targets. So, I mean, it, it is something like, I don't want to, you know, to, to sugarcoat the situation and not talk about the lives lost, but if I understand correctly, the US has largely taken out their significant air defense and they're starting to do things like load JDAMs, which. JDAMs are not good if you have serious air defense, but if you have, if you have the ability to fly high and just drop bombs, JDAMs are great. So if that's the case, you know, does this, does this look like a second phase is coming now, or do you think that this is still something where the US Looks like they're going to lose significant numbers of people, and by significant, I mean numbers that the American people are going to find unacceptable?

[Tate Brown]

Well, I don't even think we should be looking at this as judging if there's like a certain threshold of casualties that would make this except. And I'm not saying you're saying this, but a lot of people are saying, well, if there's zero casualties like Venezuela, and this is a good thing, but it literally reminds me of the Libya stuff back in the day where Libya was toppled. Zero casualties from Americans or the Europeans that were involved. And at the time, everyone celebrated this as a great victory, saying, well, this was a worthwhile operation, there was zero casualties, and then the result ended up being a massive problem, quite frankly, for the west, specifically Europe. And so this kind of reminds me of the same thing with Iran. It's like, if they're seriously trying to say, well, as long as we can get this across the finish line with zero casualties and this is a success, I'm like, the casualties isn't really, I mean, not to downplay what's happening, but it's like even if it was zero, this is still, it's probably going to result and something, it's gonna be unknown what the result is. So I don't know if casualties should be how we define victory or sort of like success.

[A lot Eliyahu]

What's fascinating because I think the President's been most concerned about that issue in particular. And I think as far as the American public goes, that's what they do care about. I think that the American public would support regime change in Iran so long as it didn't count, didn't cause many American casualties or require boots on the ground. But when you do move to a position of boots on the ground and then hundreds of casualties, I think polls show that that sways dramatically the other way. So I think that's why the President has been doing this mostly as an air campaign. Same with Venezuela. He was trying to do these quick attacks with our military force and not draw inspiration from prior commanders in chief who would like to stage a nation build. And that wasn't conducive to success for the American military. The American military wasn't built to build nations, it was built to destroy nations. So we shouldn't try to put a square peg in a round hole. So I think that's been the President's M.O. which is why I also believe him when he says he only wants to do this for four or five weeks has been the loose term. I don't think if he is able to achieve his objectives in that amount of time, then I think he will pull out if he still, if he doesn't achieve them.

[Tate Brown]

But I think that's the worst case scenario because I'm not even, I mean, I don't think it's a, not, I don't think it's a zero percent chance of happening, but I don't think it's likely that we get boots on the ground. But a worst case scenario is again, there is like a serious level of intervention. We lose, I don't know, 100, 200 boys and then we leave and then there's no result. Like we're just back at square one. And then like what? I guess the Middle east broadly is just a bit more destabilized. That's the worst case scenario. And then to your initial point with Libya again, Gaddafi was deposed because there was a huge local upswell, right? Like there was a huge upswell as the Arab Spring. And then they again formed like a militia group to go and depose Gaddafi and we didn't really have to get involved. The problem is you have to look at, there's two groups in Iran. You have the pro regime groups and then you have the protesters who have we seen on the streets over the last three days. It's been the pro regime people. These strikes have animated them and these protesters again, are a bit demoralized but apprehensive. They're nowhere to be seen. The streets right now of Tehran, if you look at all the video, it's all pro regime. Those are the people that are sort of fired up right now. And so I don't think we can bank on the Iranians having like a wholesome chungus, let's overthrow the dictator, like, you know, the Ewoks or whatever. We're not going to get that. Like it's, the situation is, I think in Iran it looks like things are starting to consolidate back around the regime. And so if we are serious about deposing, again, deposing the, the entire regime in Iran, then it's going to have the result in boots in the ground and that's just unacceptable. So it's like the victory condition needs to be outlined by the Trump administration. What we want needs to be outlined and we can't have a situation like we outlined where again, we just keep battering them and we keep losing, losing men and then in the end we have nothing to show for it. That's a worst case scenario.

[Phil]

Yeah, I think that, I think, I think that if, if there's a high, if there is a high. And by, and when I say high, I mean by American standards, a high death toll of Americans. I think that the US Is going to broadly really be upset. Right. Like there are people like right now. I think that it's probably unpopular overall. I think that the Americans will, the American people will accept it if there aren't significant losses, but a lot. And I were talking earlier, and if a cruise missile manages to make it through and hit an aircraft carrier and takes it out of commission for a little while, which, I mean, regardless of the, the likelihood of that happening, if that happens, then the President's in a really tough spot because you don't want to initiate a war and then turn tail and run because that ruins your credibility. That ruins, that definitely ru. Ruins any chances of Republicans getting anything done. Like they're not, like they're going to be, you know, pariahs for ages and ages and it'll look like the same kind of thing that happened in Iraq. But at the same time The American people don't have this. We have never seen a U or not. At least not since, Since World War II have we seen an American ship significantly hit. And the meme is don't f with our boats. So if there's a, there's an attack on a, a Navy ship like, like the Lincoln or something like that that's successful, I don't think that you're going to see that kind of the, the American people coalesce and say, yes, let's get them back. I think there's going to be a lot of people that are going to be real pod at the Trump administration. They're going to be what happened. No more wars, which you've already seen that to in a certain segment. But I think those people are going to be really upset, and it's going to cause real problems for accomplishing any goals, and that's going to hurt America significantly.

[A lot Eliyahu]

You know, there's, I feel like a major quagmire, I mean, and a contradiction in many of the things that the President says. But one thing in particular that he constantly said throughout his time campaigning and while president, it's that Iran, the regime in Iran will not be allowed to have nuclear weapons. And then at the same time, he says no new wars and no Middle Eastern quagmires, and these can't both be true at the same time. If the regime chooses to pursue nuclear weapons and he chooses to prevent them, I think that's kind of where we're at the fork in the road on this conversation, too. There's two other things that I also wanted to expand on, because I asked earlier today, Secretary of War Pete Hexseth had a press briefing where I was able to ask him about whether or not we currently have boots on the ground.

[Phil]

Actually, hold on. We've got that. We've got that video. We're gonna, we'll play that right now.

[A lot Eliyahu]

What does it mean to have no boots on the ground? When people hear boots on the ground,

[Phil]

hey, let us play the video. And then you go ahead and move it because your. It's your video.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I had two questions for you. First, are there currently any the of American boots on the ground in Iran?

[Secretary of War Pete Hexseth]

No, but we're not going to go into the exercise of what we will or will not do. I think it's one of those fallacies for a long time that this department or presidents or others should tell the American people and our enemies. By the way, here's exactly what we'll do. Here's exactly how long we'll go. Here's exactly how far we'll go. Here's what we're willing to do and not do. It's foolishness. And so President Trump ensures that our enemies understand we'll go as far as we need to go to advanced American interests. But we're not dumb about it. You don't have to roll 200,000 people in there and stay for 20 years. We've proven that you can achieve objectives that advance American interests without being foolish about it. Now, will we be bold about it? Are we willing to be decisive about it? Do we put months and months of planning into what kind of effects we want to achieve?

[Phil]

Absolutely.

[Secretary of War Pete Hexseth]

But going forward, why in the world would we tell you, you, the enemy, anybody, what we will or will not do in pursuit of an objective? We fight to win. We fight to achieve the objectives the president of the United States has laid out. And we will do so unapologetically. Thank you.

[Phil]

So go ahead with what you're saying.

[A lot Eliyahu]

A few things. First, I think that was one of the least convincing nos I've heard in a long time. I think a few things on top of that, I think the American people deserve the right to know that if the military that they support and their sons and daughters are fighting in, if they are on the ground fighting a war somewhere, which is what the president said, that we are engaged in a war, then we deserve to know if there are boots on the ground. Having said that, though, boots on the ground could mean so many different things if we just have some special operations people on the ground. Boots on the ground, I feel like implies more military troops than just some special operations forces there. I assume there are though special operations forces there. And when people hear boots on the ground, they're thinking large scale military actions with tens of thousands or tens of thousands of Marines there, which I think is what he was trying to avoid saying. He, however, did not rule it out, which I understand why he wouldn't want to because he still wants to intimidate the regime or I don't know if he's genuinely leaving the option open. The president also said that he is down to send troops over there if need be. But the president also likes to leave his options open. I asked that question in particular. A lot of people were saying it's a dumb question because how is he supposed to answer that if there hasn't been public information about it, though I just think it's probably the most important issue at hand with how it comes to public sentiment about the war. A lot more People will support the war against Iran if we don't have boots on the ground versus if we do. I think that's the central question moving forward because that'll also be heavily linked to the casualty count that Americans suffer.

[Phil]

Sure. Seth, what's your take on what the, what the Secretary of War is?

[Seth Holehouse]

Well, where my mind's going is my biggest concern is not deaths of American troops in Iran, it's American soil. Right. Because this is the theater of war that we're fighting now is not what it was in World War II.

[Tate Brown]

Right.

[Seth Holehouse]

Where you have these big ships showing up and dropping troops off and your planes flying overhead. This is fifth generation warfare. Right. It's information war. It's a lot of stuff that is new. And so my concern is, okay, we know that Iran has very heavy ties with the ccp, right? With the brics nations. They've got an entire fifth column on American soil.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Right.

[Seth Holehouse]

We don't, a lot of people don't think about that. You go to Walmart, you're passing an Iranian sleeper cell, you're passing a Chinese quote, unquote student who's actually trained Chinese special forces. It's here. Our, that's where my concern is, is, is domestic, is Iran gonna fire a missile in the United States? No. It's stupid, right? But like what we saw with the, the Texas gunman, which I've got some ideas that, you know, that's kind of suspicious for a few reasons. But our, our infrastructure is so vulnerable. And we know this, right. Our government knows it. If you look at our grid especially, it would be so easy to have a couple of Iranian terror cells in the United States absolutely cripple this country, whether it's attacking a key power station, attacking a key transportation hub. So that's where my concern goes, is what's happening with these troops that we know, especially under the Biden administration, we're just walking over the border setting up shop here.

[Phil]

So we're going to jump to this story. I'm not, I'm going to talk about. But there's also one question that I want to ask you about that from CBS News. Texas gunman wore Property of Allah hoodie, an Iranian flag T shirt during the attack. Had photos of Iranian leaders at home. Sources say CBS News has obtained a new photo of the gunman who Police say killed two people and wounded 14 at a bar in Austin, Texas. The photo shows the gunman, Nidaga Diagni after he was killed by police. It shows the clothing he was wearing during the attack, including a shirt With a design similar to the Iranian flag. Asked about the shirt at a news conference Monday, Alex Doran, the acting special agent in charge of the FBI's field office in San Antonio, told reporters that investigators were looking into what connections the shooter may have had. Any declarations on what led to that motive would be premature, Duran said. The shooter was also wearing a sweatshirt that said property of Allah during the attack, According to two sources familiar with the investigation. That description matches a photo obtained by fox news that appears to show the gunman carrying a long gun. Now, I don't. I don't think you're wrong in your, your concerns, but I would say if that is going to happen or that if that were the case, if there, if there is so many, you know, sleeper agents here, then why would they not have attacked, right, right after we, you know, basically took out the ayatollah? I imagine that would be kind of the catalyst. It's like, if you're here in the US and you're hiding among the U. S. Population, if the U. S. Attacks, and if, or if they kill the ayatollah, not just the attack, but actually take out basically all of the command structure in, in the first hours, wouldn't that be the catalyst to say, okay, now's the time to retaliate, let's go and, and, and attack now? Because this gunman seems like he was a lone wolf. That's what it kind of points out right now, at least. Obviously, it's one. GU Wasn't a cell. It was a dude that probably was upset that the US Was attacking, and he took it upon himself to go to a soft target, a bar in Austin. What, what would you say to someone that says, well, well, where are these attacks? How come they're waiting?

[Seth Holehouse]

It's such a hard thing to answer, right? I mean, it's art of war, right? It's all deception, right? When you're, when you're strong, you act weak. When you're weak, you act strong. I mean, it's this. So that would be the obvious thing, right, is to do that. But is that necessarily what. What would happen? Like, I don't know, Even when I see this guy, right? This guy wasn't Iranian. I'm not going to try to pronounce his name right, but it's like, you know, I mean, call me the, the conspiracy theorist here, but I'm thinking, okay, who is this guy? Does he have CIA background? Right? It was it. Because it's like, it's. It's happened before, right? You even look at you know, the getting into whether it was looking at Pearl harbor or a lot of these things. A lot of the times you have these kind of government sponsored false flag events that help build public sentiment towards a war.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Can't he just be Third world is terrorist scum? Why does it have to come to

[Phil]

he was a naturalized American citizen born in Sengal, still be a third World?

[Seth Holehouse]

This just because you're Senegal. Absolutely could be right.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Third World, just Americans unfortunately.

[Seth Holehouse]

But, but I think it's worth just asking these questions is because what's behind this.

[Tate Brown]

It's tough, it's tough to say if he would be specifically like tied to Iran because if he's from Senegal that would mean he's Sunni. Obviously Iran is a Shia country. So like I kind of lean towards the lads that this is probably a schizophrenic Third Worldist who would be upset with any third world country or non American or sorry, non Western aligned country being bombed. He was probably equally as frustrated with Venezuela. There's a huge contingent of these people all across the third world who just again hate white people specifically and get really upset when white people do white people things which is get people online sometimes. So these types of guys just get completely fired up. And that's why I think a little bit of schizophrenia, a little bit of third Worldism. It's like you take your pick what's going on.

[Phil]

I mean this guy was a citizen, so I think that he might get passed over with, with my prescription. But I think that this only kind of adds. Adds strength of the argument it's time to continue or to ramp up deportations of people from countries that don't align with our value values. Right. Like I know that there's a lot of people that, that think that the idea of ending immigration for a decade or two think that's a little too extreme. They think that, that deporting people is too extreme. But I really do think that, that it's, it's probably necessary to start really focusing on getting people that are not American citizens that have, that come from cultures that don't align with the United States and sending them home. The United States does not have magic soil. Just because you come here and land on the US doesn't make you into a demo. You know, someone that loves democracy, that loves a representative republic. And there is. And the United States has no obligation to allow people that, that hate our way of life and don't understand or, or can't relate to our, our governmental structure and the way that we live. We have no obligation to allow them to stay.

[Seth Holehouse]

One more put to your question on. On timing, right. You'd asked the timing of. Would it make sense if right after attack like this, that's when you see these cells activated? And I think that if you're looking at, say, Iran acting in isolation, perhaps, but if you're looking at Iran as being part of a much bigger proxy war and a much bigger war that ties in the ccp, Russia. You know, I think the ccp, as much as we've been focused on, okay, people coming across the border, it's a lot of these kind of dangerous people from terrorist countries, right? What they call the special interest aliens, right? These people coming in here that they're getting flagged, okay, hey, this guy's from Somalia, terrorist background. I think that the. The big concern I have is the Chinese. A lot of Chinese students that are trained, that they're operatives, Right. And so in terms of timing, is it. If there's gonna be some sort of domestic attack, say, a series of coordinated terrorist attacks in America, is it the Iranian leadership that's coordinating that, or is it the ccp? Right, because the CCP might be saying, hey, look, all these Iranian cells hold off because we've got this event that's going to happen that's going to tie into something with Taiwan, et cetera. So the timing could be something much bigger than just the Iranians retaliating for the death of their own.

[Phil]

Yeah. Your estimation about China. I'm 100% in agreement. I think I say it over and over. China is an adversary. Every single person in the United States that's of. That has Chinese family, that's a Chinese national that has family. All of their family is a pressure point they have. The Chinese has no compunction with throwing people in jail, torturing people in order to apply pressure to people that are here. Every Chinese person that's here, that. That has family back home that's not a citizen, if they're a Chinese national, they are absolutely a security issue. And I think that. I think that they should all be sent home, because as long as China is a threat to the United States, I think that they're a vector for attack in some way, whether it be industrial espionage or something like. Like you were saying, like some kind of sleeper cell. I don't know how many Chinese nationals came over the open border when Biden was the president, but I'm sure that it's in the tens of thousands. And that kind of threat is. Is something that the. The government cannot Ignore. And it's not taking nearly enough action to. To mitigate that.

[Tate Brown]

This is why, like, okay, we're already at net negative migration. This is why the Trump administration needs to go further and pursue re migration, where you need to start taking a look at these people that have come here in the last 40 to 50 years under this, effectively since the 1960s. They've blown the barn doors wide open on immigration. You need to start taking a look at these people's paperwork. This is what we call paperwork Americans, because clearly this guy, this citizenship didn't do anything for him. The pocketbook Constitution didn't do anything for him. We need to start asking questions. What can someone from Senegal offer the United States? Okay, there's exceptions, but exceptions don't disprove the norm. We don't design our public policy off of exceptions. So we need to start taking a look at these countries and saying there's probably not much they can add by having them on a list. We need to start sort of consolidating who's gonna most easily assimilate into the United States and then go from there. And then, yeah, start pursuing re migration for a lot of these people. The fact that we've brought in people in the last 60 years who have very, very, very strong opinions on conflicts that have nothing to do with us already shows that our immigration policies failed. The fact that whenever India and Pakistan went at it, you had fights in strip malls in Dallas, that tells you all you need to know that this immigration policy over the last. This post 1960s consensus of our immigration, of the way that we conceptualize ourselves as Americans, where we're just an idea and we're not actually a real nation with a real history and a real shared lineage. Just absolutely ridiculous. And it's failed us. And we should just see. I don't know how many more people need to die before we give up on this retarded experiment.

[A lot Eliyahu]

You see, I think one of the most fascinating parts of this story, and if we zoom out a little bit more to the whole Iran situation, is again, it's really fascinating how much of a paper tiger Iran's turning out to be. In the past, we would have feared the terrorist attacks we would have feared was like the Beirut barracks bombing, or in 1992, there was an Israeli embassy bombing by Hezbollah and Buenos Aires, and they were these major terrorist attacks. If all that Iran is able to muster up is, you know, a dozen casualties through like a half dozen countries throughout the Middle east, it's. It's kind of underwhelming it's actually very underwhelming. I'm considering what the conventional wisdom was surrounding Iran for the longest time. I remember being reliably told that if anything were to happen to the Ayatollah that, you know, Israel would be wiped off the map. Yeah, unfortunately, nine Israelis died in a ballistic missile strike in Beit Shemesh next to outside of Jerusalem. But all things considered, that's not a ton of casualties. Every single life that is lost is obviously, you know, dastardly and horrible. And we thank every service member for their service. But again, all things considered of how all these strikes are playing out and the costs that are coming to the regime, it's astonishing how little the pushback has been. So if this is worst terrorist attacks that they could kind of muster, it's very unimpressive. It's fascinating again how much of a paper tiger that they were and that their proxies were as well because Hezbollah was supposed to be the person who kind of have fended off anybody from attacking Iran. Because if you were to attack Iran, then Hezbollah had a ton of weapons and it was going to cause a ton of trouble in the Middle East. But we really dismantled all that. We and our allies. One last tidbit on this because I don't think we focused on this enough. The killing of Ayatollah Khomeini and the significance of that I do not think can be overstated. This was a regime founded on anti Americanism. They contributed to the killings of many Americans in the Marine barracks bombing. They also contribute a ton of IEDs to, to my soldiers in Iraq. I think it's just so fascinating how quickly things have changed. One last tidbit on this. I know I love to glaze Israel on the, on the show. So this won't be coming as any news to anybody. But one of the most amazing things here that I think Israel did was their how effective they were at assassinating different high ranking leaders. They started with Hamas, with Yahya Sinwar Ismail Haniyeh who was killed in Tehran rather, and Mohammed df. Then they made their way up and to kill the leader of the General Secretary of Hezbollah in Hassan Nasrallah. There was almost no response and now they were able to also kill the Ayatollah. So just the amount of good intelligence that the Israelis have, I feel like can't be overstated. And in the press briefing earlier today, Secretary of War Hexuth mentioned how happy he was to have a capable ally that we're not always as American dragging all the military weight in all the battles around the world. It's amazing to have capable allies who actually can do some of the dirty work for us. I think that was a wink and nod to the Europeans who aren't doing shit in Ukraine and maybe some of our Asian allies in Japan and Korea who maybe could be doing more in the Pacific.

[Tate Brown]

I do believe the strike that killed Kamani, that was using U.S. intelligence. I think that's what Kaine said. I think a lot of these are being conducted with US intelligence. I mean to your point though, I mean look, you know, I'm not. It's neither here nor there in Israel, but it sends a huge wake up call to our EU that you really think what France would be providing this level of support if we were engaged.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Do you think they have the capabilities to really go down the list of military leaders that not only there, the undersecretary, the under undersecretary, the assistant, the secretary.

[Tate Brown]

So just really, I mean because Israel's been in fight mode for so long that obviously they're going to be like a well oiled machine when to it comes of these sorts of things.

[Phil]

At least since October 7th.

[Tate Brown]

I'm just so skeptical that, I'm just so skeptical. Like you have to think about all these nation rebuilding projects that have occurred and that the Americans have participated in. These take very, very long times. Iran is a massive country again. I know there is this, we've seen these protests and these sorts of things and there is like a liberalizing sort of force, especially among the youth that's going on in Iran. But I'm just so skeptical that this is just gonna be an easy we because look at Venezuela, I mean Venezuela, it's the same regime in charge. For the record, I don't know if anybody's been keeping tabs on Venezuela. The operation was really cool and everything but all that we're really looking for. I don't think we're actually gonna get a regime change in Iran. I think a best case scenario is the current regime just moderates because that's just. We don't even engage in regime change in Venezuela and that's in our backyard.

[A lot Eliyahu]

So we're not past the point of no return in Iran. You think we could mog their ayatollah and then the regime will just be like, you know what? Actually you killed our highest Shia Islamic cleric. But you know, we might get over it. We won't issue fatwas against him.

[Tate Brown]

I agree. Cause you've made that point twice. As you've said initially, the Reason this happened in the first place is because Trump's ultimatum was, you can't have a nuclear program. And then as we found out in Switzerland and Oman, the one thing that they really want is a nuclear program. So then war has to happen. That's what happens. You know, that's just the natural conclusion. When those Bismarcks said, like, when politics. It's a natural conclusion of politics is war.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Politics is war by other means.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah, exactly. So, so, so we have that. So it's like. So that was just inevitable. And then in addition to that, I mean, you just see. You just see that with Iran, they're just a paper tiger. They really are. They don't have. They don't have the fight.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Maybe Israel just really has that model.

[Tate Brown]

Israel might have that dog in them. The United States certainly does. So I'm just like, I don't see a situation. I think Iran will just roll over and just say, fine, because that's what Venezuela is doing right now. And Venezuela is the same thing. Venezuela and Iran, they're both saber waggers. I think Iran's a lot more capable than Venezuela, but Iran, at the same. They're a saber wagger. The Ayatollah is just firing tweets off left and right.

[A lot Eliyahu]

It's so refreshing to have a decent, capable ally, especially at a time where Qatar says we can't use our military bases in their own country. I don't know what the fuck we're paying them for when we can't use the military base that we're paying for in their country. Same with the uk, actually. You know, one of our closest and oldest allies said we weren't allowed to use our air bases in that country. However, we will use our air defense missiles to defend those countries. So when we have allies like those, I don't know, do we even need enemies? It's really concerning, I think, in the Europeans. So when we do see Israel, I think making such. Doing so well, frankly, compared to our other allies, it is refreshing. And I think they appreciate that, particularly in the Pentagon as well.

[Tate Brown]

Well, I think Israel had to step up here because I do agree with Rubio's consensus that this is what it appears to be, is that they did start the conflict and sort of issued an ultimatum to the Americans, which is like. Like, hey, do you wanna get hit now or do you wanna get hit later and be ready for it? And then we took. Okay, well, if you guys are gonna do this. So they had to bring their A game. They couldn't half bake this If I

[A lot Eliyahu]

could open this up to the whole panel, if anybody had thoughts on this, do you think we're heading towards a fork in the road where if a large amount of casualties are had, the President would decide to double down or would decide to wash his hands of this completely because the American public wouldn't be able to stomach maybe hundreds of American service members dying in their line of duty.

[Phil]

My opinion is the only way out is through. If they, if they don't complete the mission, then the whole presidency is going to be looked at as failure. He's got bad. His approval ratings are lukewarm as it is. If the United States initiates a war and then runs, gets, you know, tucks tail and runs, that will be the end of Donald Trump's presidency. He will not be effective and he will be looked at in history as a failure. And all of the bad things about Donald Trump that people have said, they'll all stick. He was not, you know, wasn't ready for the prime time. All of that stuff, nothing else that he has done will matter. Every negative comment they've said about him will stick to him like glue and that will be his legacy. So I don't think that he has the option and I, I think that he knows it. That doesn't mean he's going to be successful. That's not me saying that, that he's going to definitely win and blah, blah, blah. But I think that, that the public perception and the way that history will look at him, if he turns tail and runs, then he's going to be looked at as a failure because everyone, even if there is a lot of casualties, nobody thinks that Iran can beat the United States.

[Tate Brown]

Right?

[Phil]

Right. Like they, nobody looked at this and says, oh yeah, Iran can beat the United States. If they hit us hard and he runs, then that will, his legacy will be forever tarnished. It will be a national embarrassment forever. I don't think he has that, the option of running, honestly.

[Tate Brown]

Well, and Phil, I think you're exactly right. And that's what makes this whole situation just so frustrating. Cuz it's like the Trump administration just sort of walked into this situation where that is the reality of what the outcome could be if they fail here and it is not necessary. Like again, the thing that drove Trump, I actually disagree a little bit. The people specifically on Twitter that are like, Trump got elected for no new wars and he's the peace president and that sort of thing, it's like, like I think actually the reason Trump got elected was for delivery on domestic policy. So, again, if there was a situation in which we needed to engage internationally to like, sort of bring up, bring forth something domestically, I think the voters would have accepted that, like Venezuela, by and large, ended up being fairly popular because people could see how it linked back to the domestic policy. Iran, completely unclear. That's what's so frustrating is Trump has walked himself into a situation where now his legacy is on the line over a conflict that it's not even clear how this actually benefits his domestic policy.

[Phil]

Yeah, his, the, the messaging about this has been bad because he did all over the place. He didn't sell it to the American people first. And I think that part of the reason why he didn't is because the idea of another war in the Middle east, talking about the possibility of troops on the ground or anything, that is something that millennials are definitely allergic to. Gen X is not interested. After 20 years of war in Afghanistan and Iraq, the US is, is. Was largely over that kind of stuff. And, and, and the U.S. the American people just were not interested. And I think that this, this operation, if they do drag, if it does drag out, I think that, again, it's going to. Going to hurt his legacy. And I don't think that he. I don't think he could sell it to the American people. What do you do? What do you think?

[Seth Holehouse]

I think the only way that he comes out of this with a positive rating is if it doesn't go beyond much further than what's already happened. If it drags out for six months or 12 months, and we're still over there, even with very few casualties, if it becomes anything that smells like another forever war in the Middle east, people are just gonna. They're not gonna have it, right? And you're already seeing that. You're seeing a lot of sentiment. And you talk about the younger generation, too, like, from. From what I'm seeing, because I try to maintain a pulse on really what's happening. And you see there's huge shifts happening in this, in the mentality of, of the younger generations in this country. And what I'm seeing is a lot of them are calling this the Epstein War, right? A lot of them, people that are, you know, they're saying, hey, hold on. Okay, so Marco Rubio's come out, and he's all but acknowledged that, yeah, it was Israel that kind of pulled us into this, right? It wasn't this, hey, this is the best for America. America first. It was like, okay, well, our ally Israel over there, we got, we're getting pulled into this, right. Which even further kind of gives a lot of weight to that argument, right? Of like, hey, is this our war? Is it Israel's war? And I'm seeing that with a lot of the younger people. If you go and look on what's happening on TikTok on Instagram, what you're seeing is reaction videos to the Epstein files still, like, that's a lot of what's driving this sentiment is you have these young people that are saying, oh my gosh, you know, all those kind of the QAnon and Q conspiracy theorists and Pizzagate and all that kind of stuff, they're looking at that and saying, saying, wow, so much of that was true. How do I make sense of this? Because it's like their, their whole world has been shattered. And so I think they're, they're, they're using that emotional state as the lens to look at what's happening here.

[Phil]

One of the things I see a lot is, is people looking, you know, looking back to the COVID stuff and saying, oh, we, we didn't believe, you know, or we were told this about COVID and that was a lie. And we, this, we were told this about COVID and that was a lie. We the, the effect that the government policy on Covid had on the American people, especially the young people who lost, you know, two years of their lives basically, like, and the very formative years, you know, if you, if you're 18 years old and Covid hits, you know, when you're 20, it's finally like calmed down and you're like, wow, that was BS for two years. Or if you're 16, you know, and, and, and you, if you're 16 years old and you have to sit inside for two years, hide, you know, that really has an effect on your ability to trust anything at all that the government says.

[Seth Holehouse]

Well, especially with the Middle east, because if you look at our track record over there, you look at the countries that you kind of piece all together, you see, okay, wait, we've all had all a lot of these, you know, CIA intelligence backed regime changes that have happened. It just so happens all those countries have been outside of this kind of Rothschild European banking system. Is that a coincidence? I don't know. Right. They're potentially, you know, kind of acting in ways that would threaten the dollar, which is a big part of this. Right. Is the petrodollar and the dominance of the dollar globally. And I think that there's a lot of the actions we're taking are just to protect that dollar status Right. And so, but if you look at this, even look at the history, it's like, okay, how many times will someone lie to you? And then how do you know when they're telling the truth? Because like, we've heard the same story over and over again, right? Okay, hey, they've got weapons of mass destruction, they've got. There's bad things. We gotta to deploy our troops over there to protect the American people. And it's like, really? Because, I mean, I'm seeing videos of even going around, of showing Netanyahu for the past 30 years, he's been saying, like, in two weeks, Iran will have nuclear capabilities. In two weeks, Iran's. So it's like we're hearing the same thing over and over again. And if you look at the patterns, which is, I try my best to look at patterns because it's so easy to look at something in a very narrow scope and be manipulated, right? Because everything is propaganda. It's like everything in our entire world that we're seeing right now has an algorithm or AI or something is trying to modify how we perceive something and how we think about it. What's our emotional reaction? And so if I'm looking at this, I think that there are a lot of people that especially, again, these younger generations are saying, this doesn't make sense to me. I can't afford rent, I can't get a job. AI is taking my job. Like, I studied coding in college and now that's worthless because Claude can build a website faster than me in 30 seconds, right? So I think that you're seeing a lot of people that are looking at life in America, yet we're being told this is the golden age. The dow is at $50,000. But if you look at the average American, they're struggling, right? Like, debt is at all time highs, you know, people being delinquent on auto loans, you know, mortgages, all time highs. The. So the overall sentiment here is on really shaky ground. And so it's one thing if America is a place of strength where, where we actually have a booming economy, which translates into a strong middle class, right? Good, you know, good jobs, stability, your average college graduates getting a good job, that's one thing, right? It's easy to justify, hey, you know, we're doing great. We're gonna do a few things over the Middle east that's gonna help maintain this greatness. But when we see that, I mean, at least my own perception of it is our country's in shambles, like, we're insanely divided, right?

[Tate Brown]

Now.

[Seth Holehouse]

And yet here's another Middle Eastern war. I think that, like I said before, like, if this goes past a couple of weeks, anything longer, and you're going to see that Trump's approval rating is just going to. It's going to tank and tank and tank and tank. And even if we win the war in six months or 12 months, if people can't pay rent, it's going to be, who cares?

[Tate Brown]

Well, I do think. I do think it's actually the approval is going to be tied because I see what you're. I agree with what you're saying is that the American perception of Trump is actually tied to their personal economic well being. That has just always been the case. That's how America functions. And so I think if this war goes on and then energy prices start to go up, then everyone's gonna lock in. Cause this is actually kind of funny because we're all here, we have strong opinions on this war. Everyone watching has strong opinions. People on Twitter, we're like a minority of the population where it's wonky. People that are really dialed in, that are really tapped in on what's going on in the general public really doesn't care what's going on. Has no idea. I was talking to someone the other. I was talking to someone today at a restaurant and we were talking about in the Fox News. He's like, yes, we're bombing Iraq. He knew Iran and Iraq were two different places, but he was like, we're bombing Iraq. I was like, well, because the American people. This is almost to Trump's credit here. He's not like, doing George W. Bush trying to sell the war to the American people. He's just doing it. He's not trying to insult us by, like, explaining. He's like, I'm going in. If the energy prices go up, then maybe you should pay attention. But, like, I'm just gonna. He's running the war like a corporation almost. You have to kind of give him credit there. But I agree. I just don't think the American people are tapped in enough to, like, again, judge Trump, to hold a referendum on Trump based off the results of the war. I think it's gonna be what's in it for us. Cause you have to think about Trump. This is Trump's entire philosophy, why he opposed the Iraq war. Yes, he had some critiques of the geopolitical ramifications, but his primary reason he said it over and over again is he said, where is the oil? We went in Iraq. We spent all that time all that money, so many people died. He's like, where's the oil? Because the way he conceptualizes our foreign policy is he's operating as if America is already that preemptive empire, that we are an empire. And so he's saying when we go to war, I need to be bringing riches back to the American people. And that's, he tapped into something. That's how Americans sort of conceptualize these things. So again, if we're going to war with Iran and energy prices go up, then we say, what's the point? Why are we even over there? What's in it for us?

[Phil]

Us?

[Tate Brown]

Because that's what I said earlier, I said before all this, I said if this is going to help advance the domestic agenda, then fair play. Like, like to your point where you're saying, again, things are booming. And then we add this and we said we got, we got to settle this score real quick to keep this train moving. That's one thing. But it's just so unclear right now. And again, I guess to Trump's credit, he's just kind of like letting it fly, not explaining anything well.

[Phil]

Yeah, so speaking of the, the messaging and what's being told, I think that the, the idea that this is not for US interest, that it's for Israel, that's something that's, that's pervasive. Definitely. On the hard right and on the hard left you see the kind of the horseshoe theory going around. We, we, we have this bit from Secretary Rubio who kind of made a remark and then rapid response 47 went and, and put it out. And I don't know why they're so bad at the messaging here, but we're going to listen to the Secretary of

[Secretary of State]

State here, here did this operation with a very clear goal in mind. I haven't got a chance to see a lot of reporting. I don't understand what the confusion is. Let me explain it to you and I'll do it once again as clearly as possible. Perhaps you'll report it that way. The United States is conducting an operation to eliminate the threat of Iran's short range ballistic missiles and the threat posed by their navy, particularly to naval assets. That is what it is focused on doing right now and it's doing, doing quite successfully. I'll leave it to the Pentagon and the Department of War to discuss the tactics behind that and the progress that's being made. That is the clear objective of this mission. The second question that's been asked is why now? Well, there's two reasons why now. The first is it was abundantly clear that if Iran came under attack by anyone, the United States or Israel or anyone, they were going to respond and respond against the United States. The orders had been delegated down to the field commander. It was automatic and in fact it bear to be true because in fact within an hour of the initial attack on the leadership compound, the missile forces in the south and in the north for that matter had already been activated to launch. In fact those had already been pre positioned. The third is the assessment that was made that if we stood and waited for that attack to come first before we hit them, we would suffer much higher casualties. And so the President made the very wise decision. We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces. And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties and perhaps even higher those killed. And then we would all be here answering questions about why we knew that and didn't act.

[Phil]

Now that one, the, the fact that he mentioned Israel and that has basically said get, you know, the entire, you know, right and America first, right and the left set him off and said well okay, obviously Iran is dragging us into this. Now I, I don't think that this is something that Iran has dragged us into. I think that he was fairly clear.

[Seth Holehouse]

Iran or Israel?

[Phil]

I'm sorry, Israel. My bad, I apologize, I misspoke. I don't think that Israel is actually dragged the US into it. I think that he made it pretty clear that no matter what happened there was going to be strikes against the US against their neighbors. Iran is that kind of state. Right. Like they are the destabilizing power in the Middle East. The Sunnis in, in Iran don't like the Shiite or the Sunnis in, in Saudi Arabia don't like the Shia in Iran. And they are, they have not been friendly. They, they look at each other as destabilizing. And so it doesn't matter that, that it was Israel doing the attack. They Iran was going to attack their neighbors and the U.S. but it didn't help that he mentioned Israel because now you've got people saying oh, it's all for Israel. And you can't deny the fact that the US being involved does help Israel. This is something that is going to benefit Israel in the long run. And the American people don't see how it benefits the United States even though that you know, you see all over X right now there are people Making arguments, myself included, that this is more about China for the US Than it is for Iran. But people that are on X and. And don't kind of, you know, look at the big picture. They really don't believe that. They think this is all about doing Israel's bidding.

[Seth Holehouse]

You know, and that's an important point that obviously you can't have this discussion without bringing in Israel. If you look at, you know, really, like the past six months, especially, Israel has become a major talking point. Right? Especially among. You mentioned the Horseshoe. Right. You have people on the kind of. The more far right and also on the left. And there's a lot of truth to that. Right. There's a lot of concern about aipac. There's a lot of concern about some things that tie into Israel. However, I don't think that we can look at this without looking at what is the role of the ccp, because even a lot of the agitation around Israel, even if it's grounded in absolute truth. Yeah, right. It's still something you had to look at and say, okay, how is this helping China? Because what I've seen with this is. I've seen that because in my own podcast, like, I've. I've covered China extensively, right? Like, it's part of my adult life, has been trying to expose the atrocities specifically of the Chinese Communist Party, right? And so. So I'm seeing a lot of people on the right that are actually becoming pro China amidst this, which is really interesting, but it's really concerning to me because I'm seeing people saying, oh, there's no such thing as a Uyghur genocide. It's like one of the first interviews I did in my own podcast. I interviewed a surgeon that fled China because he was forced to do live organ harvesting on Falun Gong, right? He literally explained the process of how that happened to him when he started cutting this person over open after a kind of a purposely botched execution. And the guy's heart was still beating as he was removing organs.

[Tate Brown]

Right?

[Seth Holehouse]

This is what the CCP is doing. And I mean, it is, but I'm seeing. But even he told me that was back then. He goes, I asked him about the Uyghur concentration camps. He goes, oh, absolutely. He goes, you realize that the CCP sells a lot of their organs to wealthy Middle Easterners. You know what those Middle Easterners want? They want halal organs. So having this massive database of Muslim organs in China is huge. And so I'm seeing, though, that there's, again, there's. There's Kind of. There's propaganda and there are information campaigns happening on so many angles. But I'm seeing that. I absolutely think the CCP has amplified a lot of the Israel stuff to a point. Again, I'm. There's a lot of strong voices on the conservative side that are saying, gosh, wow, look at China. Look how clean China is. Look how. Look at their big, beautiful cities. Look at their infrastructure versus our infrastructure here. Well, China's not in all these wars. China's not doing this. But you have to realize that.

[Phil]

Yeah, it's odd to see people on the right that kind of have taken on anti Western sentiment. And a lot of that, I think, is because of the fact that the US has had such botched adventurism in the past. They have decided to engage in wars that were poorly thought out or at the very least, engage in rebuilding of countries after wars that has not panned out the way that the people in power thought that it was going to. And so it makes perfect sense that people are like, well, you know, maybe, you know, it's like the meme, maybe we're the baddies. And. And while I don't agree with that, I don't think so at all. I think that there have been significant mistakes made, but that doesn't mean that the United States is a net negative for the world. I understand why people would kind of get that inclination. You know, what do you think that, that, that, that the influence of China on. On people here in the US is shaping the opinion that they have of Israel? Or do you think that that's something that is. Is just organic?

[Tate Brown]

I think China, from what I understand China and Israel's relationship isn't like, super frosty. They kind of stay out of each other's way. They don't really have any overlapping interests for the most part. Beyond. China generally wants the Iranian regime obviously to be stable and Israel obviously does have. But I don't see them like, really going to blows. I don't think the CCP would like, expend too many resources to try and like, foment serious anti Israel sentiment. That seems to be more coming from Qatar, Iran itself. That's pretty much it. I would say that's like really trying to foment this in the United States. I do think Rubio is actually saying this. This is a calculated statement. I don't think this is like, people are, oh, a Freudian slip. He admitted that Israel pushed America into the situation.

[Phil]

Yep.

[Tate Brown]

I think he's saying this for a reason. Some people have speculated One thing or another. I think it's kind of a warning shot actually to Israel to say, like, hey, we can back out whenever we want and you should be left. Again, people made this point. Lomaz actually made a great point where he's saying, ultimately we should be looking now to start handing off responsibilities to again, the countries that this directly affects. So mostly to Israel, but also to these Gulf states that again, this is in their interests, not so much ours. I do think it's true. I wish a lot of people, because this whole Israel conversation has gotten so toxic, like it really has, where you can't even like say it without one side accusing you of being a Zionist and then the other side accusing you of being like, you know, Hitler reincarnated or whatever. I think it's like, let's just cut through it. Cernovich just said it. He's like, let's just cut through it. Obviously, the pro Israel lobby, this is their thing again, the lobby, this is the primary driver behind this. Trump in a vacuum would still probably be anti Iran. Like, let's not pretend that, like, it's only because of, like the pro Israel lobby that Trump doesn't want Iran to have a nuke. Like, in a vacuum, Trump would still not want Iran to have a nuke because Iran having a nuke is terrible for us. But if this is true, I mean, if this is the situation the pro Israel lobbying now is to give us, let's get the save act, like, start throwing us some bones. Right? Like we took out the trash. I hate to say it, but you kind of saw it last summer. The big beautiful bill passes a week after we strike Iran the first time. So it's like, throw us a few bones, start whipping these senators in the shape because it's like, let's make it happen.

[Phil]

Yeah. So a lot. Do you have any thoughts on, on what kind of influence China has on the situation with Israel? And obviously, like I said, this is something that's very good for Israel. Of course, if, if, if the mullahs are taken out of Iran, if there's no more, you know, if, if it were to be a situation where, say, hypothetically the Shah were back in power, they had elections, that's clearly very good Israel. And there's going to be people that no matter what happens, they're going to say, yep, that was for Israel, but do you think that the broader picture is something worth trying to focus on? Or do you think that the people that are kind of anti Israel are just going to say that and we can't make any kind of advances in the, I guess the propaganda side.

[A lot Eliyahu]

So for many reasons, many people's top issue is Israel and they will be blinded by that. And that's how they will go one way or another, just depending strictly on what Israel is doing. As far as, as China goes, I thought you made a really good point earlier about the petrodollar because as I understand one of the major underminings of the petrodollar, it's not too major, but like it could potentially grow to something bigger, is how oil is sold from Iran to China in yuan.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Instead of 80% of it too, instead of the dollar. I'm reading that Iran supplies roughly 10 to 13% of China's total crude oil. So this would be a big deal because China imports already something like 80% of its oil. Any B rights out of that is a huge deal to them. We're obviously just finishing up the job in Venezuela. They got a small amount of oil sending over to China. So this is only going to add to that. So I think the China angle is, is big here. But I don't know how much realistically China was ever going to do once they saw that Iran is weak. Nobody wants a weak ally and they're to be, they're essentially to be disposed of. So once they ran out of their usefulness, China just said, okay, f this we're not going to waste any of our time, time on resources on this. 10% of our oil isn't great to, to lose, but I'm sure they'll be willing to import it elsewhere. I thought one of the fascinating things about this too is that people forget how close China and Iran were at one point. A lot of the materials and chemicals, particularly for the ballistic missiles were sent to Iran from China and that's one of their major arms that's, that's threatening us at this point.

[Phil]

I wrote, I wrote a piece on my Patreon and I think that actually China is the, the, the larger piece for the US Obviously Israel was going to do what they're going to do and I think that everything that, that Secretary Rubio said stands true. Like if the, if the, if the, the Israelis attack Iran, Iran is going to look at it as if it was attacked from the United States. They're going to attack us. But if you want to go ahead and read about it, it's on my Patreon. It's, it's patreon.com for the remains. But I do think that China is broadly the Big thing. And, and this goes, this plays into, actually does play into the idea of changing the focus from Europe to the, the Western Hemisphere because China was involved in, in Venezuela, China's involved in Cuba. And there's, there's arguments that Cuba's going to fall of their own volition. There's also people talking about the State Department being in contact with people in Cuba. Raul Castro's grandson, I think, is, is the guy that's in charge. Now, I could be getting that wrong. But, but the point being the US Is already, you know, positioning itself to have some kind of influence on a post communist Cuba. And that's again, something that hurts China. There was the situation with the Panama Canal where China was trying to build, I believe, ports on either side or what have you. And the U.S. is trying to, you know, inter, or the U.S. has successfully stopped that from happening. All of this stuff is trying to take power away from China so that way the United States doesn't have to get into a hot war with China. So you were going to say something then?

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yeah. If we zoom out a little bit and think of this more in the big picture, and especially in the second Trump administration, I think what we should understand here is this is a reinvigoration of US Hegemony around the world. Initially, people only suspected that. No, this is just Don Row doctrine. This is just in the Western hemisphere. No, he's only going to do stuff in Venezuela. He wouldn't dare to expand this around the world. You know, they were talking about spheres of influence. I was hearing this so much in the liberal media. No, he's going to abandon different parts of the world. He's to going, giving Ukraine to Putin and Europe to Putin, and he's giving all of Asia to Xi Jinping. But that couldn't be further from the truth. The President is strengthening his allies and then taking away the allies of our enemies. So we are destroying China's allies. You know, as far as what Russia is doing, they've proven to be ineffective in taking over Ukraine, mostly thanks to our support in arms, no thanks to those bum Europeans who I don't think we give enough shit to. And now what we're seeing going on in Israel, of course, in the Caribbean and South America, with Venezuela, as you also mentioned the Panama Canal. So I think what we should be understanding from this is that the Americans, and President Trump in particular, is just knocking off China's allies one by one. And soon enough it won't make any sense for China to want to make a move because they lack the allies to do so. So next on the list, I think we're likely to see China. Russia's bogged down in Ukraine. China almost has no other allies to help them make or would support them them in making a major move on Taiwan. And they should feel pretty isolated right now. Like, who are China's close allies that are. That are nice and strong? Russia's proven, I think, to be very weak again, Cuba's weak, Venezuela is weak. Iran's the weakest it's ever looked, ever. And they got. They had their ayatollah killed. And you know, the repercussions to that was next to nothing too. We were warned about World War 3 as a result of this shit. Nothing happened happen. So China running out of allies, being put in a ship position. US Hegemony is here to stay. And I'm so tired of hearing this Third world just talks about talking about brics and spheres of influence. And you guys are all morons with no real understanding of how the world works. And I'm glad the President's here to upend your worldview of how things should and can go.

[Tate Brown]

Dude, Burkina Faso just signed a trade deal with Guyana to import tomato concentrate. You're saying brics is dead? Dude, what are you talking about?

[A lot Eliyahu]

It was never a thing. We're never going into multipolarity. Unipolarity is actually a good thing. American values are good and Chinese values are bad. But to be fair, I think it's that simple.

[Tate Brown]

The idea that we were trending towards a multipolar world was like the consensus until, like four years ago when.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Until President Trump came back.

[Tate Brown]

Well, President Trump, and I'm a Trump Glazer, but also when Russia just failed so dramatically, that kind of like, I actually think Trump in the first term, in the back of his. Maybe on the back of his. But his political advisors are certainly like making that calculation that maybe, I don't know, maybe we are going towards a multipolar world. And then. And then Russia and then Covid hits and China, like, it gets super tight.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Maybe we should give the military industrial complex some credit. I know we do a lot of railing on them, but why do you think Ukraine was able to fend off Russians even more than one day? It was thanks to American largesse. Our military industrial complex is what fended off the Russians. Even now we're giving arms, we're selling arms to the Europeans who are just giving them to the Ukrainians. So it's all coming back to us. And I think it's a Good thing. American values, again, are good. And if you think American values are good, I think it's a good thing. And trying to maintain that hegemony.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah, well, I mean, but it's. To your point, I mean, like, the idea of a multipolar world, it's like we're not even really pushing that hard to maintain it. Like, it's just these countries, they just cannot get it together. To your point, like, BRICS was just a meme. It's Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa. South Africa. That's laughable on the face. China and India claim each other's land, and also India, by and large is like an ally.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Saudi Arabia is our ally.

[Tate Brown]

Well, the S is South Africa and brics, which is hilarious. And then Russia, when you need them. I know, right? And then Russia and China, like, duke over Central Asia all the time. Like, they're, they're natural adversaries. It's just they both hate the United States, so that's what pushes them together. And then Brazil, the more I think

[A lot Eliyahu]

about, like, all the arms we're sending to Ukraine and we still have more arms to fight a battle in, in Iran, we're able to battle the Houthis, we're able to do. I won't call it multi front, but we are funding all of the arms for a lot of these countries. Again, Israel is getting most of their arms.

[Tate Brown]

I guess the concern comes in is, look, if we're able to make such decisive action in Iran, why can't we just, like, have blanket third world migration ban? Why can't we like, actually have like a remig? I know we are, we are starting. We're getting mass deportations. Why can't we get something dramatic? Because we can get something dramatic. In Venezuela, we can get something dramatic. In Iran, we can get things. We can get dramatic when we need

[A lot Eliyahu]

to get some shock.

[Tate Brown]

And all we need to. How about we get some shocking on Queens, New York, half foreign born. Like, let's go, Come on, let's go, come on.

[Phil]

Like, I think, I think if, if the, if the administration were to really ramp up the deportations and actually put some real numbers up, numbers that were satisfying the people on the Right. I think that that would actually, that would, that would pay a lot of dividends, right?

[Tate Brown]

Because think how much political capital he's spending right now in Iran. Look, I actually agree that mass deportation, I know we like to say, oh, it's really popular. If Trump started, like, rounding people up, like, and throwing them in vans in mass, that would be very Unpopular. I'd much rather spend political capital on that than this dice roll in Iran, which is like. It's a dice roll. I mean, I know the operation initially was successful, but, like, long term.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yeah.

[Tate Brown]

We don't even. We still don't know what the goals are. We still don't know, like, what the victory condition is.

[Phil]

Hold on.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I mean, well, secretary says so many different things.

[Tate Brown]

I know everyone in the cabinet's disagreeing with each other.

[Phil]

Secretary of State was pretty clear when

[A lot Eliyahu]

he, the president said something different.

[Phil]

The president said something with the President.

[A lot Eliyahu]

The president talks about regime change.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Consistently. And Marco didn't.

[Seth Holehouse]

He encouraged it.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yeah.

[Seth Holehouse]

They're both telling people, hey, take over. And then J.D.

[Tate Brown]

vance just told the New York. New York. He just told the New York Times we're not putting any boots on the ground. So it's like, what is going on? Maybe it's flooding the zone. Maybe like, this is a psyop and it's meant be to, to like, cook my brain.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I think many things in life, it comes down. People change how they feel based on the outcome. Americans. Breaking news. We like winners and we don't like losers. So if this goes smoothly and we win the war, then, yeah, the public will widely be supportive. And the President knows this more than anybody else. The president loves winning. He is a winner. And that's what this is about. Obviously, if things go astray, we'll be.

[Phil]

I mean, that's, that's, honestly, that's where I'm at. Like, I mean, I don't, don't. I don't know exactly what the, like you guys said, I don't know exactly what the, the actual goal is, but if the, if the Iranian regime is taken out and we don't have a lot of casualties, I'm going to be all right. Well, I guess that was a good idea. And if there's significant casualties or the president, like I said earlier, like, there. Something happens and the president turns tail and runs, then the president's going to be a pariah. And, you know, it's gonna be like, well, he was terrible. That was a terrible idea and he shouldn't have done it. We shouldn't, we shouldn't have elected him

[A lot Eliyahu]

again, as I understand and the administration has been saying a lot. And my word is not bond. So don't, you know, take it at face value, is to try to change the regime to a regime that doesn't have ambitions of a nuclear weapon or supporting proxies at the cost of as little soldiers as possible. I think that's what the formula is roughly coming down to.

[Tate Brown]

It's such an important. Because if that were the case we would have saw it in Venezuela already. The fact that they were able to

[A lot Eliyahu]

get somebody who is more amendable to still.

[Tate Brown]

It's still the deputy.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yeah.

[Tate Brown]

So but she, because what happens is when you whip those people in the shape, she just comes out and she's like, okay, let's make a deal. Like what do you want from us? I think that's what's going to happen in Iran is again like we're going to get like the, the, maybe it's

[A lot Eliyahu]

the Islamists in Iran that just have given no faith in that. But I don't trust the fifth string Ayatollah Islamist or the sixth string.

[Tate Brown]

I think they're all, it's like on a ten day contract, all Muslims.

[Phil]

What are the chances of having some kind of resolution like in, in Venezuela where you take out the top guys and then the new guys come in and say, well they're just going to take me out if I don't.

[Tate Brown]

That's what I'm saying. So I think what's, I don't think regime change. I don't think that's where the President's head is at. If his words anything to go by. You keep saying, I know that's what I'm like. So he keeps saying it but like I just can't. That would take forever. That would take forever. It would extend it to the midterms where instead you just do what you did in Venezuela is just if you drop enough bombs on them, they'll sign whatever.

[A lot Eliyahu]

That's why it needs to happen quick. If it doesn't happen within the first two months, then it becomes a quagmire.

[Tate Brown]

Also from what I understand, a lot of their dignitaries are still in Switzerland. So like Witkoff could just fly over there, show him a slide of a contract and say, hey, we're going to kill like the eighth guy in line so you better sign this contract. You're never going to build a nuclear weapon again.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I like how they just kill your way through it to, to a nicer regime.

[Phil]

I mean that's what war is.

[A lot Eliyahu]

That's facilitating the protest, having the opportunity.

[Tate Brown]

I walked around D.C. all weekend and didn't feel like threatened at all.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Like I also say I don't have faith in Iran not just falling into a civil war. I don't know how much you guys know about domestic Iranian politics, but there's a ton of secular young people and then there's the old Shah or the Shah son or something. Then there is the Islamists and then there's a bunch of Arabs, there's a bunch of Kurds who all have their different interests. So I don't see how this country, if they aren't able to quickly form a cohesive government, doesn't fall into civil war. If the President washes hands of this, if he's not able to quickly, you know, within the four or five, six weeks, get regime change, he'll just say, fuck it, you guys stay a weak regime and hope somebody else takes over and it'll probably just lead to civil war.

[Phil]

Well, I mean, if that's the case, then, you know, again, Donald Trump is going to be, go down in history as just another American that meddled in the Middle east and added chaos.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Civil war in Iran is a better option than them acquiring nuclear weapons.

[Phil]

It's not for the United States and it's not for his like, legacy.

[A lot Eliyahu]

It's not better for the United States for Iran to be in a civil war instead of, I don't think, I

[Tate Brown]

don't think that gets back to the press here.

[Phil]

Not for the, not for the, not for the presidents.

[Tate Brown]

Like, civil war breaks out in Iran, that's not going to be front page news in America.

[Phil]

No. But, but the people that are pissed that the US Went in, they'll know about it. And those people are, it'll be better than the Islamist Internet.

[Tate Brown]

Two weeks Trump and two weeks Trump's approval rating is not going to change. Four weeks is when his approval rating will change because that's when the oil prices will be in impacted because again, the average Americans are seeing every, this is what's happening right now in every living room across the United States. It's a baby boomer half asleep with like three beers in and he's watching Fox News.

[Phil]

Whoa. What do they do?

[A lot Eliyahu]

What's going on over there?

[Tate Brown]

Like, what do they do? What's wrong with them? Like that's, that's what he's, they don't have a conception of geopolitics. I'm sorry, like, that might have been kind of true. We don't have a geopolitical context.

[Phil]

That might have been the case. That might have been a case 20 years ago. But the point that I'm making is like now the people that are, that are activated on the Internet, that are upset, that are angry that we're going

[Tate Brown]

in 5% of the pop, like the Epstein, they chimped for months and it didn't impact this river rating.

[Phil]

But I think that they, they, they will make enough noise and I think that they, they are a block that is going to have an impact.

[Tate Brown]

They couldn't even stop America from like, like, they literally could not do anything about Trump going into.

[Phil]

Again, you're not just talking about that. You're not just talking about the.

[Tate Brown]

I'm with. I agree with them saying like, they're,

[Phil]

you're not just talking about the right, though. And I think. Or at least I'm not just talking about the right. And I think you are the left. The pe, the code Pink people, the awfuls. No, they're not going to. But they're going to. They'll make enough noise where it's going to be something that's going to be on the minds of the American people. The American, the American. If the American military loses a war, like, loses a war. That's not something that's going to be.

[A lot Eliyahu]

We don't lose. We get bored.

[Tate Brown]

That's. Well, that's why I said even still,

[Phil]

it's not going to be something that's

[Tate Brown]

going to be brushed under changes in four weeks. That's the appro. His approv rating will change in four weeks because that's when it's going to become clear was a success or not.

[Phil]

Yeah. If the, if, if Iran has a civil war, I imagine, and I, I don't know for sure, but I imagine that will affect gas prices and gas prices is something that affects every American and they're going to want to know why they're spending $6 a gallon or what have you.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Did you guys want to touch upon how the embassy in Pakistan, I believe the U.S. american Embassy, Pakistan.

[Phil]

We didn't, we didn't bring up any stories about it. But I mean, look, if you try to go after a US US Embassy, if you break the, you break in, the Marines are gonna shoot you. Like, it's not, this isn't. And people were talking about Benghazi. What?

[A lot Eliyahu]

No. Yeah, they're gonna shoot.

[Seth Holehouse]

They're waiting for the opportunity.

[Phil]

Yeah.

[Seth Holehouse]

He's like, these Marines are like, they will, they're sitting there with their finger on the trigger.

[Phil]

Marines will put the crayons down just to pick up the rifle. Right. So like this, there were people that are saying, oh, this. They, they'll be like, oh, this is, is like Benghazi or they're not going to do another Benghazi. Benghazi was in the same. Yeah, but Benghazi was an outpost. An actual embassy is a different animal. Right. Like the, the outpost in Benghazi was not staffed by. By active duty Marines. There are marines armed with a lot of weapons in the embassy, particularly in a place that's, you know, not particularly friendly, like Pakistan. And the people that were going after the embassy misunderstood what they were doing, and it cost a lot of them their lives. The Marines do not play play. They. They saw them break into the. Into the compound. They got to this one last gate where if they got through the gate, they would be able to squirt out and scatter. And they made. The marines made sure that they were not going to get through that gate. And they started. They started shooting people. And the Marines are riflemen first. They can shoot.

[A lot Eliyahu]

So the Pakistanis aren't even belligerent in this war, but they still have more casualties than the Americans.

[Phil]

Yeah, that's true. We're gonna jump to this story for a little levity from the Jerusalem Post. Israel's iron beam laser, what can it do? And was it used against missiles from Lebanon? Analysis. The Jews have lasers.

[Tate Brown]

We've known about the goy beam for a while, and they've, like, rebranded a lot. Can you explain to us the rebranding idea? Because Boy Beam was a classic.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I thought that it was.

[Phil]

I thought it was

[Tate Brown]

the go.

[A lot Eliyahu]

How do they keep making such technological leaps and bounds? Maybe it's.

[Tate Brown]

This is what they do. They. They deploy the goy beam and every girl that talks.

[Phil]

From the Jerusalem Post. On Monday morning, a number of social media accounts circulated what they believed was an example of lasers intercepting Hezbollah rockets. The video showed rockets being launched from Lebanon, and many of the rockets appeared to explode soon after liftoff. The video did not show lasers intercepting rockets, but the mass interest in the new technologies could clear. Look, most of the time you can't actually see lasers, right? So we're going to play the video so you can see it. They're. They're not getting all that far into the air.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Why don't we do swaggy like this? Why is.

[Phil]

That's what the.

[A lot Eliyahu]

That's what the fun.

[Phil]

That's what the golden dome is supposed to be, dude.

[Tate Brown]

You know, I want the go. All the money we give them, they won't give us a goy beam.

[Phil]

Unreal.

[Tate Brown]

Canadians.

[Phil]

I do imagine that the United States and Israel are actually sharing this technology.

[Tate Brown]

I'm sure they're collaborating on Zap cartel members.

[Phil]

Well, I mean, that's not a rocket.

[Tate Brown]

Well, at the goy beam and just have like a guy on the.

[Phil]

Oh, so, like, so, like Spartan laser.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah, like.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, the Predator Right, yeah, three little dots.

[Phil]

There you go.

[Seth Holehouse]

But the thing is like our own DoD, I mean there's a DoD they on Twitter, they recently, they confirm it's like yeah, we have, we have dues,

[Phil]

we have direct energy weapons. Yep.

[Seth Holehouse]

So I mean you know they, and they can be from space like these things mount to the, you know, fronts of airplanes. I'm sure they can mount to satellites. Like the technology is there.

[Phil]

I mean this is stuff that was talked about when in the REAG administration for Star Wars.

[Carter Banks]

Right.

[Phil]

Putting them in on satellites or putting lasers on, on aircraft that are constantly on patrol. Well, excuse me.

[Seth Holehouse]

I mean the thing is, is that you talk about the sharing of technology between you know, Israel and the US the technology that our government has, our military has, is, is probably 50 years beyond what we're being shown. Right. And that's just one of the things that you know, you hear people talk, insiders coming out and whistleblowers and they're saying that, oh yeah, like you know, we were doing this in the 50s. So like I think that our government has technology that is beyond space. Lasers.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah, more Nick Shirley video. We're deploying TIE fighters to some friggin Minneapolis there General Grievous in there with lightsabers. Just chop the awesome.

[Phil]

Well, if I understand correctly, part of the defense of the ships nowadays actually is, is direct energy weapons right there. They're there, they're loaded up onto Aegis Cruisers or whatever and they can actually defeat. That's why I said earlier, you know, it's like it may be kind of far fetched the idea that, that a cruise missile would get through but you know, because of the fact that the US does have technology that the American people don't know about, the President has said himself, you know, he, he can't keep his mouth shut at all. He wants to boast about everything. So he's alluded to the fact that the US technologies the American people don't know about. He's, he's stated it plainly. And so these kind of weapons, if Israel has them, I have to imagine that the, the US also has them because the US is well known, the US and Israel are well known for sharing technology.

[Tate Brown]

From what I understand, they wouldn't actually give us like the Iron Dome. Like they wouldn't give us the technology for the Iron Dome. I don't remember specifically what their reasoning was, but I know this was like a big issue that people saw stingy. We often, yeah, it was often requested and it wasn't given to us. So now we're having to develop the Golden Dome and independently.

[Phil]

I had to say that when the

[Tate Brown]

loud, I mean, better get a goy beam.

[Phil]

I, I do think that, I do think that, that I think that's part of why the US wanted, you know, Greenland or wanted at least or a guarantee of, you know, military access to Greenland. Because if this particular, you know, the, this particular video shows the rockets just taking off and being shot, obviously the proximity of Israel to Lebanon is significantly closer than the US to Russia. But if you have something stationed in Greenland that's, that's significantly further away from the US it's much closer to where Russians, Russia's missiles would be coming from. So it does make sense that they would be like, hey, you know, we want to be able to position these types of technologies up there.

[Tate Brown]

Well, and when the Golden Dome agreement was or when it was like announced, they also said the Canadians are in. The Canadians want it as well. We're just going to build it for them. So we, we're literally going to build a giant force field above, right above us. It's going to be.

[Phil]

Thank goodness the Canadians are in.

[Tate Brown]

Right? Well, cuz they all live within like 20 miles of the border, so you guys won't even notice it anyway.

[Phil]

No, they, they like some moose like hitting it.

[Tate Brown]

They're some igloos around or whatever.

[Phil]

They're all real close to the US and they love the crap on us. But they live under the protection of the United States military. They barely have a military of their own.

[Tate Brown]

Yes, they won't even notice it's there.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, there's more Chinese military than Canadian military in Canada.

[Phil]

That's, it's a horrible, horrible statement, but it's actually probably true. All right, we're going to jump to this one here from the Daily Mail. A mysterious earthquake swarm hits Nevada near top secret base used for testing nuclear weapons. A series, a series of mysterious earthquakes has been recorded near one of America's most secretive bases used for nuclear testing. Over the last day, the US Geological Survey USGS has detected 16 moderate tremors, all stronger than 2.5 in magnitude, in the vicinity of Tanapoa Test Range in Nevada, better known as Area 52. Both Area 52 and its more famous neighbor Area 51 sit on a massive complex just north of Las Vegas called the Nevada Test and Training Range. For decades it has been believed the US Military has carried out experimental aircraft testing as well as nuclear weapons research in this remote area. Now scientists have monitored over 100 seismic events with within, within 50 miles of the Tunpoa test range in just the last week. These earthquake earthquakes have ranged from very small shock waves between 1 and 1.9 in magnitude to minor earthquakes stronger than 3.0 which could be felt by anyone at ground level nearby. Now this is something that Donald Trump has actually been talking about. He. We haven't had significant nuclear tests in a long time. There's definitely not been any above ground tests. I think the, I'm not sure when the, the below the subterranean tests were ended, but the United States has a responsibility to make sure that our nuclear deterrent is functional. And Donald Trump has has alluded to being interested in resuming tests. Do you guys think, Seth, do you think this is actual testing or do you think that this is something else?

[Seth Holehouse]

I don't think it's natural earthquakes conspiracy theory, that's for sure.

[Tate Brown]

Sure.

[Seth Holehouse]

I mean we also, we know that our, our, our government has massive dumbs. Right. You know, deep underground military bases. Right. This is you know, with tunnels and you know, there's a lot of information about this that's not as this conspiracy realm. So I mean. Yeah. Are they, there's something going on there. Whether it's nuclear testing. I mean it's also, I mean Anna, just to me it seems kind of strange that if you're testing nuclear weapons and maybe I'm not a nuclear expert, but why would you test them underground?

[Phil]

Like to prevent fallout? That was the, the argument. And there was a long time where they, they stopped doing tests above ground but they were continuing to do tests below.

[Seth Holehouse]

I guess the question is how, like how, how like how does it work? Right. Because I imagine if a nuke goes off under the ground, I, I would think that there'd be some sort of giant crater. Unless they're doing it so deep.

[Phil]

I mean I don't know how deep they do them, but underground testing has been a thing for, for a long time. So yeah, I mean I think that again like I said that the, if the United States is going to continue to have nuclear weapons which is, is probably not in question or not an option. I think tests are something that, that are a responsibility. You know, no matter what the international community says. No matter what what any, what any kind of international, the IAEA or whatever says says there there is a responsibility of the, the government to make sure that these weapons are functional. You know, they're the most destructive weapons that the US that the US acknowledges having. And so if they don't, I mean you don't want to say that you've got these weapons and say, and use them as a deterrent and then if you, you know, come to find out that they don't work or whatever have you so a lot. Do you think that these, these, these earthquakes are nuclear tests?

[A lot Eliyahu]

I do not. I read some reporting that said like it would have had to have been a small nuclear weapon that China was testing for that to be what they picked up on their Richter scale or

[Phil]

what have you talking about Nevada. Oh, so you walked away. But the mysterious earthquake swarm hits. Hits Nevada near top secret base used for testing nuclear weapons weapons. So the President has talked about wanting to resume nuclear tests. Do you think that, that they've gotten that program going or.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I don't think they would have done this test while still being a signatory to the agreement to not test more nuclear weapons. The reason for that being is that it's so easy to actually catch nuclear weapons being tested. So there's no real reason for us to do so.

[Seth Holehouse]

But how, how do you make sense of, of 100 seismic events within 50 miles of this area where they're doing this kind of work?

[A lot Eliyahu]

It would have had to been multiple nuclear weapons to produce.

[Seth Holehouse]

Oh, no, I know, but, but like what else, what else would those, those earthquakes be, right?

[A lot Eliyahu]

Seismic activity underground. I don't, I'm not a geologist. Maybe we get a geologist on it. But like I think to produce that, it would have had to be. I didn't read this article. But it would have had to be multiple nuclear weapons, not just one, to create seismic activity of that, that grand. I just don't suspect that to be the case.

[Phil]

So the piece went on to say at this. The outbreak of earthquake swarms near the nuclear testing site has also come as the US launches a massive bombing campaign against Iran. And President Donald Trump has warned the biggest wave hasn't even happened yet. At the same time, the final remaining nuclear weapons treaty between the US and Russia expired earlier in February, just weeks before the USGS started picking up concentrated swarm ground.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Biggest wave hasn't even happened yet and we already mocked the Ayatollah. Where's the next one?

[Phil]

The strongest of these recent earthquakes took place Sunday at 11:37 Eastern Time in a magnitude 4.3 shockwave rattled a report a remote point of the Nevada desert roughly 48 miles north of northeast of Ton Pa. I mean, if the, if the, if the treaty between the US and Russia expired, you know, and, and just a few weeks ago, doesn't it make, doesn't make a little more sense that maybe the US decided they were Going to.

[Tate Brown]

Don't we always test our munitions or nukes like on the Marshall Islands really far away?

[Phil]

No.

[Tate Brown]

No one ever notices.

[Phil]

No, they, they stopped doing above ground tests, I believe in the 60s.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Yeah. Purpose for testing nuclear weapons in this time period is just to flex on your enemies. I don't think they're like, we're not testing our nuclear weapons, as I understand, as a way to see if they actually work. We know that they work.

[Tate Brown]

I feel like half of them don't even work.

[Phil]

Well, that's kind of the point.

[Tate Brown]

Wrench on them a little.

[A lot Eliyahu]

That's not. I don't think we're testing them to see if they're still.

[Tate Brown]

Put them in the garage and wrench a little bit.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I think we like build new ones

[Tate Brown]

or some more radiation.

[Seth Holehouse]

It could also be they're testing some other kind of weapon.

[Carter Banks]

Right.

[Seth Holehouse]

I mean, you know, it could be Jewish space lasers being tested underground in Area 51. Right. Maybe they're firing off at alien UFOs and underground, you know. But in all honesty though, like, it could be something that we're just not familiar with. Like it could be some sort of other.

[A lot Eliyahu]

They're, you know, Epstein might be hiding down there and he gives off seismic vibrations.

[Tate Brown]

Did you hear that New York financier Jeffrey Epstein was killed in a strike in Tel Aviv? I thought that was quite sad.

[A lot Eliyahu]

The, the Iranians because they hate pedophiles.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah.

[A lot Eliyahu]

They were taking him out.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah. This is why, this is why bricks stand.

[Phil]

So we're going to go to super.

[Carter Banks]

We should go to Super Chats.

[Phil]

I think we're going to go to Super Chats now.

[Carter Banks]

Getting to time.

[Phil]

Yeah. So smash the like button, share the show with all your friends. Head on over to rumble.com so you can join us for the after show which is coming up at 10pm here. It's uncensored and we don't have to worry about any kind of YouTube censorship or anything. And then head on over to timcast.com join the Discord. Discord is where you can find like minded people you can meet, hopefully your girlfriend and have some babies because we need babies here in the United States. You can call in in, you can call into the after show, ask questions of us, ask questions of our guests. But right now we're going to go to your Super Chats. Let's see.

[Carter Banks]

And Rumble Rants.

[Phil]

Yeah, and Rumble Rants. There you go. What do you got here? Right, you want to, want to run this thing through? Yes.

[Carter Banks]

Let me get that for you.

[Phil]

Oh, here we go. Okay, J. Dave93 says Phil cast is nice, but where is the beanie man? Did you kill him? No, no. There was no assault on Tim. Tim's been sick. His voice is shot. He's been coughing a lot.

[Tate Brown]

Tim was unfortunately killed in an airstrike in Tel Aviv. He was there meeting with all high level Israeli officials so he could develop his takes for the week and unfortunately Iran got him.

[Phil]

He was. He was.

[Tate Brown]

I didn't want to hold their top

[A lot Eliyahu]

agent back to Tel Aviv now that the war started kicking off.

[Phil]

Makes sense.

[Tate Brown]

So I didn't. Obviously we wanted to release a statement, but since you asked, that's what happened.

[A lot Eliyahu]

What do you morons think he's hiding under that beanie, you idiots? Think about it. Think about it. Think about it for one second. Think, guys.

[Phil]

Gosh.

[Carter Banks]

All right, what else we got?

[Phil]

Try Jim says, in keeping with Tim Pool tradition, we are waiting with our daughter and her husband for the birth of our first grandchild, Sophia. There you go.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Awesome.

[Phil]

That's.

[Tate Brown]

Welcome to the world, Sophia. Usually they don't throw the name in. Welcome to the world, Sophia. Get to work. We need to get you over to Iran. We got some scores to see, Saddle. So once you can start walking and you can hold a goy beam, we're going to send you over there.

[Phil]

Send you in there like the Spartans.

[Tate Brown]

Let it fly.

[Phil]

Mr. Nebula says in Tim Cast community tradition, I'm announcing that my first. That my wife Eve, apologist, a regular on the Discord, is currently giving birth to our firstborn, a daughter, Tallulah. Thoughts and prayers are welcome. There you go. That's what we love to hear.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Do you think these guys are conceiving during Tim Cast too?

[Tate Brown]

I think. Can you blame them?

[Phil]

I mean, geez, only on Mondays you're

[A lot Eliyahu]

here just Tim's ra.

[Seth Holehouse]

It's all the beards.

[Tate Brown]

You blame them.

[Seth Holehouse]

It's all the testosterone, the beards.

[Tate Brown]

When you think about Tim Castaro, you think testosterone. You think like sexual energy, sexual domination. I would argue.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Listen. Turns me on too much.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah. Like, you know, what happens all across the country is, you know, girls look at their men and then they look at Tim Cast iro and they look back at their man and they just sigh.

[Phil]

Yeah.

[Tate Brown]

There's just the. The amount of just thrill and Mr.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Nebulous.

[Phil]

I hope that you. I hope that you don't.

[Tate Brown]

Welcome to the world, Tallulah.

[Phil]

Yeah, get to work. I hope that you don't like sleeping too much because that is going to be a thing of the past for the. At least the Next six months I have a four month old and yeah, me and Carter both.

[Carter Banks]

I know.

[Seth Holehouse]

I feel you.

[Phil]

And it's.

[Tate Brown]

You'll do.

[Carter Banks]

You'll do great though.

[Phil]

Yeah.

[Seth Holehouse]

So I see someone's comment a couple times saying, I thought the bearded dude was going to go live in a compound. I'm not sure where that came from, but. No, I mean, I live out in the middle of nowhere and I've got chickens and guns and you know, Tim's

[Phil]

got chickens and guns too.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Sound like Tim with hair.

[Phil]

I used to have. I used to have chickens. I no longer have chickens, but I have guns. Guns.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah.

[Tate Brown]

What do you think you're missing? Like, what's like an essential for like a, like a prepper compound that a lot. Like I said, a lot of people are missing. Yeah.

[Phil]

We can talk about prepper stuff in the.

[Seth Holehouse]

Actually if you go to readyscore.com ready score.com. i built a. It's free. It's a free preparedness assessment tool. So you go in there, there's a whole questionnaire and it'll walk you through and you can do like a short one. It's like 90 seconds or a longer one. And it basically, it's like covers every area like home defense, water, food, medicine in. And it gives you a report, kind of give a credit score. It gives you your preparedness score. Ready. Your ready score. Right. So it's ready score dot com. And that way you can see it's like, okay, your ready score is like a 60 out of a hundred. And you, it's like you're missing in these areas. So like I, I'd have to, to know that I'd have to kind of ask some questions and say, okay, here's what I think that we're missing. But in general, it's, it's, it's a long, long answer. But in general, having a compound, like what you need, the biggest thing honestly is just having people like that's, that's the probably the most overlooked thing that people think about preparedness is they're thinking like they can be a lone wolf and live in the woods and survive the apocalypse. It's like, no, you got to have a community, right? You got to have people with multiple skills. You know, you have to have for so many reasons. Not to mention the fact that, you know, if you want to have your family line continue, you can't just have your own family line interbreeding. Right. So you want to have a compound of.

[Tate Brown]

Of.

[Seth Holehouse]

But that, that's a longer discussion. But anyway, yeah, readyscore.com we built this tool that just to help people, is around the whole winter storm thing.

[Phil]

Yeah. What do you score at?

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, Ready score. What's that?

[Phil]

What do you score at?

[Seth Holehouse]

My ready score, I think, was like, around 75 or 80.

[Phil]

Whoa.

[Seth Holehouse]

Got a few, you know.

[Carter Banks]

Out of 100.

[Seth Holehouse]

Out of 100. Yeah.

[Tate Brown]

Cool.

[Phil]

It is. I mean, look, people. People might go ahead and. And poke because, oh, he made the. He made the test and he's leaving Pat. He's not even getting a 99. But it is really difficult to be truly prepared for all of the eventualities. And you're talking to a guy that, you know, I have a lot of things that people expect, you know, preppers to have. I have, you know, my place in new Hampshire is 40 acres deep in the woods, and. And there's all the accoutrements that go along with that kind of stuff. But I'm sure that I probably don't even score 50%, but I do have a well, and I have, you know. You know, those kind of things. Power is. Is something I need to work on for. For.

[Tate Brown]

I just figure, like, if there's a doomsday scenario and there's no chick fil a, you're doomed. There's no college basketball, like, I don't want to live through.

[Phil]

You can practice on Sundays. There's no chick fil a on Sunday.

[Tate Brown]

And, like, if there's a zombie apocalypse, like, why would you want to be alive for? That sounds awful. Like, you see your boy and he's a zombie now. Like, he can't even, like, hang out.

[Phil]

Is he even really still your boy, though?

[Seth Holehouse]

Well, if you put him in a cage, you can still hang out and, like, play board games names through the

[Carter Banks]

cage until they find the cure.

[Tate Brown]

Oh, yeah, the Golden Apple and right.

[Phil]

Jay Dirt biker says just here to say we'll put a boot in your ass. It's the American way. Us, us, us.

[Tate Brown]

Well, rest in peace. That's why. It's because Toby Keith is gone. If he was still around to drop, like, a new banger for this, like, support for the ward. Go to 99.

[Phil]

You need a soundtrack if you're gonna go to war, right?

[Tate Brown]

Yeah, you need something good. Like, this is what I love is, like, when libtards every time we play Fortunate so son for like, the Venezuela edits and they're like, that was actually a wholesome Chungus anti war song. And I'm like, sit down. It's the cool dropping bombs. It's the cool helicopter song. Now we're retconning. There's nothing you can do about it. You're gay. We're cool. It's ours now. So take, take your, take your tail back to Reddit and we'll, we'll handle the edits, we'll handle the soundtracks.

[Carter Banks]

Thank.

[Tate Brown]

Thank you. It's like, it's like having genius, you know, Genius is like, oh, this is what the lyrics actually mean. I don't care. It's the cool helicopter song now. And the Macarena song is the fighter jets song.

[Phil]

The Mocarin I'm so tired song.

[Tate Brown]

I'm so tired of this. The, the, the, the. The Reddit Waffen trying to tell us what we can and cannot put in our edits. I'll put whatever I want in there. You know, I'll put a Chappelle Roan song. I don't even care anymore. I'll.

[Phil]

She looks like a foot.

[A lot Eliyahu]

How you pronounce her name?

[Tate Brown]

Chapel Ron. Oh, Chappelle.

[Carter Banks]

Is that her real name though?

[A lot Eliyahu]

She had like a nipple dress on at the. Am I thinking of the.

[Tate Brown]

That's glass houses.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Is that. Is that a different woman?

[Tate Brown]

No, it is, but.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Okay.

[Tate Brown]

You know, we probably shouldn't be throwing around.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Oh we'll save that for the after show.

[Phil]

Mallow Baby has some thoughts. I don't care what happens. I'm just tired of being lied to and propaganda pushed on my people by Zionist warm on wangering psychopaths. Like to throw that Zionist in there. Do you guys think that this is actually like we'll wrap this part up. Do you guys really think that this is all for Israel? Do you think it's about Zionists people that are. Are looking to establish Greater Israel for, for the, the Jews?

[Tate Brown]

I think two things can be true is like what Huckabee said is crazy but I don't think that reflects like Trump's philosophy where I think Michael Tracy actually hit the nail on the head as he's saying like was was his like Venezuela now he's threatening Cuba, Greenland, like he's all around the world. He has a lot of irons in the fire. And then okay, one is for Israel. What about the other ones? Like is Israel controlling every single. Like it's clearly not controlling our foreign policy. But the other thing could be true which is there are people within the Trump administration. I think there are people within the Trump administration that do feel that way. And also the number one beneficiary of this war is obviously Israel. So this is why I said earlier and this is what CERNOVICH is saying is like, look, let's just, you guys go to bat for our issue. If we're gonna go to bat for the pro Israel issue, then you go to bat for our issues. You go to bat for the SAVE act, et cetera, et cetera. I think that's, I think that's a good exchange. I think we, I think there's a deal to be, to be made here.

[A lot Eliyahu]

I think agency exists for people who aren't Jewish as well. And most of the wars that the United States has fought obviously haven't been for Israel. But there's a certain subsect of people who are Israel obsessed and that believe that whenever something happens on this earth, it's because of the Jews or the Zionists in one way or another. So I just want to tell everybody out there, you have agency in this world. You have the power to change things in your world and in your life. Jews do not control you and do not control the outcome of what you achieve in your life.

[Seth Holehouse]

Life.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Isn't that a beautiful thing though? You have the opportunity and agency to do whatever you want in this life.

[Tate Brown]

Goyem, are people too, people with agency? Yeah.

[A lot Eliyahu]

You were also made in God's image.

[Tate Brown]

Well, because it's like this whole idea that if, if it weren't for like Israel and Trump's year, that Trump would be like okay with Iran having nuclear weapons. That doesn't make any sense. Like, like there's clearly some overlapping interest. I think, I think even the most ardent and anti Israel people could admit, admit that there are some overlapping interests with the US and Israel. And when it comes to Iran, the people.

[A lot Eliyahu]

The reason why I want people to understand this too, as far as the left goes, the reason why so many people on the left hate Israel is only because Israel is right wing and white coded. Because when people on the far left think of Israel, they think of white people. That is why they hate Israel. Because they think of Israel as a so called settler, colonial, colonialist society. But guess what? We are here in America today too. We are proudly a settler colonial society and that's part of what makes us a great country. So they're using the same blueprint and framework that they use on Israel that they will eventually use on the United States. So when you hear this on the left about Israel, just think about all these themes and trends are the same thing that they will say about the United States in the future. They hate Israel because they believe they are white people in the Middle East.

[Phil]

It's not, it's not in the future. This is now.

[Tate Brown]

There is a, there is a right wing criticism to be made of Israel and it has not, not been made in the zeit guy, the right wing Zeitgeist in a long time. He just adopted it's left wing talking points. It's like Tucker Carlson did this where he was, he was like, you know I, I have more in common with my Pakistani cab driver. He was like in London. He was like I have more in common with my Pakistani cab driver than I do from like liberal living next door. I'm like what are you talking? Like what. That is just third world anti white slop. And I'm so tired of seeing like people who again have like a, an ax guard the at Israel which is totally like fair you fully within your right. I have a lot of problems with Israel but when you start allying with the third world with Muslims or they're not going to go to bat when it comes to like mass migration.

[A lot Eliyahu]

No, they are the mass migration.

[Tate Brown]

They are the mass migration. Bro, you are the replacement. You see all these people like oh bro you are the great replacement. And then in addition to that every pro Palestine rally, there's like antifa there and there's like LGBT people there because like to your point point, they just see Israel as like a white colonial country. What do you think we are? We're a white colonial country. What do you think Australia is? What do you think Canada is like? They view Israel the same way. Again these like third worldists, whatever, they view Israel the same way. So it's like don't adopt their talking points. Use authentically right wing critic criticisms if you are going to critique a relationship with Israel. And there are criticisms to make sure I never see them being made.

[Phil]

No, not at all. But the, the left think that they will use, use Islam as a way to, to take down the west. But really what will happen is Islam will use the left as a way to take down the West.

[Tate Brown]

Well that's what happened in Iran is literally the name of the, the. No, there was a, there was a left wing group that was, that was like at the spearhead of the revolution. I can't believe I just blanked out in their name. And then as soon as the Heights will got into power he purged all of them.

[Phil]

Yeah, well I mean that's why the phrase useful idiot exists. Like those people would are just, they're useful until they're not useful. And whether it be the communists, the, the actual tankies or you're talking about the Islamists Once those people are no longer useful, they liquidate them. And that's, historically, that's what happened. That happened in China, that happened in Iran, that happened in Russia. This is just the way that it go, the way that the, the revolution always happens. You have a, a broad, broad section of society that thinks, oh, we're gonna go ahead and, and complain about the, the existing structure and then we'll take it down and then we're going to have our utopia. But what happens is the strong man that is actually running the show once they are in power, they liquidate the useful enemies because they don't need revolutionaries, because the revolution, the first to go. They're absolutely the first to go. There was, like I said, it happened in China, it happened in Russia, it happened in Iraq, Iran. This is the way that it happened. I'm pretty sure it happened in Cuba. This is the way that it always pans out. Because when you, when you empower the people that are looking to, to have the revolution, when you empower you, you look for a leader, that person wants to stay in power.

[Tate Brown]

And it was, it's, it was the mek. So the ME spearheaded the, the Iranian revolution. Guess where their headquarters are now?

[Phil]

Where?

[Tate Brown]

Albania. So obviously it didn't go very well for them. As soon as, as they're useful, these useful idiots, as soon as they were done, the Islamists were just like, okay, thank you, get out of here.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Now, just to put a cap on this point, the people in the United States and around the world who are the most anti Israel people are Muslim extremists. And Islam is incompatible with our Western values. I think that's just something to consider. Once they finish dealing with the Jews as the way they see fit, they will not be satisfied at stopping there.

[Phil]

First the Saturday people, then the Sunday Sunday people.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Their values are incompatible with our country. And I think that's really what we should understand from a lot of their political ideology being so antagonistic.

[Tate Brown]

If you're America first, you should be only siding with like European Christian people because those are like guaranteed allies and everything else is like a little bit of a risk.

[A lot Eliyahu]

It's a little bit odd how much America first aligns with like these anti Western countries like China and Russia and Muslims, yeah, a little bit strange Muslims,

[Tate Brown]

constant proposals to like non European, non Christian groups. And I'm like, what's going on?

[Phil]

Clint Torres, Clintores says he's got two super chats. He says, howdy, people. Just wanted to give a shout out to my son who is following in a long Family tradition of soldiers, marines, airmen and sailors by honorably, honorably and bravely serving in our U. S. Navy. He had to go radio silent on his ship Saturday morning. So please keep my boy and everyone else's boys and girls who are bravely putting themselves in harm's way for their country in your prayers. There you go. There's a patriot. Amen.

[Carter Banks]

Absolutely.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Shout out to all of our service members, domestic and abroad, protecting the freedoms that we often take for granted. But it's people like your son that really allow America to be what it is today. And without people like him, we wouldn't exist. So we really give our deepest thankful gratitudes and thanks to the people who are really willing to sacrifice as opposed to us just being loudmouths behind the mic. You know, there are real people willing to lay it all down on the line for the things they believe in and I truly commend them for it. They're, they're the modern day heroes and warriors of our time.

[Tate Brown]

And like whatever your take is on, even if you're the most anti Iran, you know, intervention guy on planet earth, you have to take a step back and at least like sit in awe about our military. Like our military is unbelievable. We're the most lethal force in human history and it's because of like boys like that, like they're son like we have un. We, we honestly that's, we have the secret sauce which is Americans. Like we have the most unbelievable people. We have the blood of the greatest men in history, like gushing through our veins. So whatever the military wants to do, they're going to get it done. So it's like again, whatever your take is, the military is so sick. Like our military, you can have all

[A lot Eliyahu]

your anti war taste.

[Carter Banks]

Thank you so much, man, that's a great one and yeah, I appreciate it.

[Phil]

I'm not your buddy guy says unfortunate reality of Iran is they kept kicking the can down the road, not realizing we had had to face this threat one day. It's better they had no nukes. I mean that's there. The argument for that is, I mean it's, it's a real argument that like, look, eventually Iran was going to have to be dealt with. Like the, the idea that Iran was going to be left to their own devices and continue to sponsor terror all over the place, continue to try to develop weapons, continue to, you know, support the Houthis, continue to, you know, keep the straight of Hormuz in a, in a, you know, a stranglehold on it. Like that was not going to be something that could stand forever, Iran had to be dealt with. And whether you like it or not, even if you don't think that, that the US should be doing the dealing with them, that is, it is realistic to say, look, it's, it's gone on too long.

[A lot Eliyahu]

So I agreed with a lot of your sentiment earlier, but I feel like it kind of avoided the real question, the real crux of the issue here, and that's Iran's nuclear ambition. So should the United States have done anything to try to curb those ambitions? What should the United States have done to, and how should we have reacted to Iran pursuing nuclear weapons? Because I'm sure, you know, there's a ton of shit going wrong here and there's an endless list of things that we could try to deal with. But, you know, just ignoring the problem of Iran trying to acquire nuclear weapons won't change anything. It'll only make it worse for us down the line.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, I mean, it's such a tricky situation. Right, because that was, again, that was the same reason for going into to other areas of the Middle East.

[Tate Brown]

Right.

[Seth Holehouse]

Weapons of mass destruction, there's always things.

[A lot Eliyahu]

So are they, I guess they have nuclear facility. Do you not believe that Iran truly had nuclear ambitions? Oh, no.

[Seth Holehouse]

I mean, I do believe so, yeah. Yeah. I mean, this is the hard part because while it's easy to say, oh, I'm an isolationist, right. It's like, I just want to be America. It's like, this is not the world 400 years ago where a country could just kind of stay relatively its own region. Region, Right. So there's no such thing as being in isolation. Right. Not in today's world. And so, yes, the United States, especially Post World War II, became the global police. Right. And you know, Peter Zeihan's book the End of the World is Just the Beginning, like, does a good job of detailing how the modern world that we see now, the shipping and everything, it's like on a razor's edge. A lot of it has come through the naval presence and the structure that United States has given in the world. And so, you know, while I am absolutely. What you'd say in isolation is like, okay, no, no foreign wars, just like don't meddle in that kind of stuff. I also understand that as a country, if we've got a country, like, you know, so say I live in my house and say my neighbor has a machine gun that he's always pointing at my kids in the backyard, like, I'm going to do something about It.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Right.

[Seth Holehouse]

So I, I do agree that we have to do something, but it's just, it's, it's just so nuanced and there's been so much, much. There's been so much deceit from our own government.

[Tate Brown]

Yeah.

[A lot Eliyahu]

But I guess it begs the question, what do you think that something should be like? Obviously, it's hard to say, you want to go in there militarily, or if you just don't have an answer, that's fine too. But I don't think that's satisfying to a lot of people who want to see how the world will be and how this will affect geopolitics down the line.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, I mean, it's like, okay, if you had to do something, I would do what Trump is currently doing, doing. Right. If you can be surgical and you can eliminate that threat, eliminate the potential threat in the future in a way that your, your minimal loss of life, not just for us, but also for them. You know, we're not firebombing cities over there with, with the intent of just wiping out the Iranian population. Right. So it's like, yeah, if you had to, like, if they had the intelligence that they had these active programs and that they were actively developing nuclear weapons and their intelligence was saying, saying that, yes, they're gonna use these nuclear weapons on American people, it's like he's.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Well, they had an agreement. They were negotiating with the Islamic regime and they said they were going to continue pursuing. They didn't wanna sign any agreement about any limits to it. We offered them nuclear material to have their nuclear facilities that they wanted to base energy or some sort of research based off of. They completely denied that. They said there's no conversation to be had about their ballistic missile testing. Is that to say the President has your endorsement for his attacks on Iran?

[Seth Holehouse]

On. If that was the exact scenario, and I believed it, I'd say yes. But the, the problem is, is just that these things are just, they're so complex. Right. And I've spent a lot of my time studying the inside of the military industrial complex. So you, you get into some, some of this, you know, the CIA type stuff, you get an MK Ultra, you get into, like, some really high, like, absolutely diabolical and evil things that have happened at the hands of our own military industrial complex. It's. You have to look at these things through a lens of, like, being really scrutinizing. Now, I'm also, I'm not someone that is coming out and saying, America is the evil empire. Right. Like, America, I believe is the greatest country on earth. Like the life that I have here, I have. Like when I see the flag flying or I hear the national anthem, like I'm, I'm so patriotic to that. But I also recognize that it's just the state of our world, right? It's like where we're at in human history is. And actually there's. I have a book I'll bring out really quick about this. Actually, let me pull this out real quick. But it's like if you want to understand why the whole world has gone to hell in a handbasket, there's this book called.

[A lot Eliyahu]

You have a few.

[Seth Holehouse]

Yeah, yeah, Bernays Propaganda Silent Weapons for Quiet Wars. That's a good one. Right? But this book called Political Ponderology.

[Carter Banks]

Oh dude, I've read that book.

[Seth Holehouse]

This is a heavy book. If you understand what's happening in the world right now, you will look at the Epstein stuff through this lens. It's basically the idea that over time evil accumulates in positions of power. And so I think that even before Christ we had consolidation of powerful evil and it's maintained a lot of that control. And so the world where you see it today day, it's like almost every government has massive amounts of evil in it. Right? And it's just, it's, it's the hard thing. It's like, is Israel their government, Evil? Yeah, they're doing some evil stuff there, right? Is our, is our government? Absolutely. Is the ccp, which is still running the world's largest, you know, state run organ harvesting operation of underground Christians, Falun Gong, etc, absolutely evil? So just it's, it's like we're kind of put into a situation now where it's so difficult to like you can't look at anything in a binary way of just black or white. Like it's so complex. And so that's why it's hard for me to give this answer of just like I absolutely support Donald Trump in these actions. Because I'm also trying to look at that, I'm analyzing, okay, how does this tie in to the Epstein files? How does it tie into this? How does it tie into all these other things? And so it's hard for me just to give a binary answer of like, yes, I support it or yes, I'm against it.

[Phil]

All right. D. Rimmel says this is not a new war. We've been fighting this war in one form or another for almost 50 years. Also, the targets of late have strong connection to China and Russia. I think that that's something that we covered at length today. This is not a situation where it's just one dimension. Right. And not, not that I'm a 5D chess guy, but, you know, it is worth saying, look, don't look at this as just an isolated incident. This is something that, that actually, if you read the National Security Strategy, this is something that plays right into what the Trump administration has been talking about doing. Excuse me. Good.

[Seth Holehouse]

Oh, no, I think that also really gets in the question that you had asked me is that it's like, okay, I don't think it's just the issue of just this isolated country that has these ill intentions towards the United States. Right. Like, we also know that a lot of the terrorist activity across the Middle east was actually the KGB was heavily involved in setting all that stuff up. Like, why is it that the main weapon they use is a Russian weapon? Right. The, the AK47. Right. So the, the Middle east for a long time has just been a proxy for this kind of these larger nation states using this to foment hatred for America. There's been so much going on over there, but I think that it's like I'm looking at, not as much as looking at it from the lens of, of just this isolated country, but if I look at Trump and I think, okay, he's doing this as a part of a bigger war, it's like when Venezuela happened, you had a lot of people that were like, this is so wrong. Like, okay, Trump's now doing regime changes and I'm looking at. And saying, well, yeah, but he may just took a really key resource away from the CCP who wants us dead. So same when looking at, with Iran, it's like, okay, if this is something that's going to actually really help. Help the bigger picture of the war with, with the ccp, which we, we are at war with the ccp. Whether we acknowledge it, they acknowledge it. You read their doctrines, you read unrestricted warfare. You go back to. I'm not sure if you ever come across the, the leaked speech of General Chen. Right. He was the. Have you read it before? Mind blowing. Maybe in the after hours we'll get to it. But it was this leaked speech in the early 2000s of one of the. He was the Defense Minister in China when he literally was talking about how they needed to use biological weapons to wipe out between 1 and 200 million Americans. Americans so they could seize our land. Right. This is, this is their Minister of defense. So that's why it's like, it's not as easy as me answering and saying, yes, they shouldn't have nukes, so we should kill their leaders. Right. Does that make sense?

[A lot Eliyahu]

Simple to me. But I understand why people could have more qualms. I guess I'm up by some isolationists just criticizing the people making decisions when they don't have to. And again, you didn't have to make a decision and you didn't even really have to give an answer. It's really easy to criticize. It is not have a solution solution. And that's what I think we see from so many isolationist types. And that's why I try to press you on it. They want a nuclear weapon. What are we going to do about it? And it's just like, oh, well, I'm not sure. And we may have to make a

[Phil]

bunch of all right decisions. All right, we're gonna go to the Rumble after show right now. So smash the like button. Share the show with your friends. Join [e-mail] so you can watch the after show and join [e-mail] so that way you can call in, join our discord. You can call in and talk to us, talk to our guests and stuff. Stuff. So, Seth, thank you very much for joining us tonight. Where can people find you?

[Seth Holehouse]

So for people that are on YouTube, they can still find my. I have a channel on YouTube to search for man in America. Less than half my content goes up there though, because I get strikes because I question the medical industrial complex a little too much. But the main place is really any place that they're watching or listening to. Tim Cast Rumble's the biggest place. That's where my largest audience is, is over on Rumble. Just search for man in America. Beyond that, any of the podcast apps search for man in America. And also just a reminder of the ReadyScore.com is another place that they can not find my information but something else they can do that will help them Allad.

[A lot Eliyahu]

Thanks for tuning in, everybody. My name is a lot Eliahu. I'm the White House correspondent, I guess, and Pentagon reporter here at Tim Cast. I wanted to give a special shout out to all of our service members and their families in this very difficult time. They're doing, doing their patriotic duties and they're extremely heroic in doing so and we are keeping them in our minds and the president is going to try to keep them safe to the best of his ability. And we're extremely proud of what they are doing out there and we're praying for their safety.

[Tate Brown]

Absolutely. Yeah. I mean, I look, I think I disseminated a lot of concerns regarding the war. But I do have to say I still have full faith in President Trump. I do think despite the walls closing in on the president. Right. Like it seems like this is the end of magic, I think he's gonna be vindicated in the end. I think we'll make it out. Old Donnie will rig a lot of this jam. You can follow me on X and Instagram at Realtape Brown. I will see you guys over there.

[Carter Banks]

Seth, thanks so much for coming out. It's been a great conversation. I can't wait to get to the after show with you. You can follow me everywhere at Carter Banks and follow our label Trash house Records on YouTube.

[Phil]

Phil, you can check me out on X. I am at Phil that Remains. You can check out my Patreon where I write up pieces of of things that I'm thinking about and stuff. That's patreon.comains. the band is all that remains. You can check us out on at all that Remains online dot com. We're going on tour this spring with Dead Eyes and Born of Osiris. You can get tickets at all that Remains online dot com. You can check out the music at Apple Music, Amazon Music, Pandora, Spotify, YouTube and Deer. Don't forget the left lane is for crime. We will see you all tomorrow.

[Carter Banks]

Oh, and also on the after show in a little bit we.

[Seth Holehouse]

Sa.