
Loading summary
A
When you manage procurement for multiple facilities, every order matters. But when it's for a hospital system, they matter even more. Grainger gets it and knows there's no time for managing multiple suppliers and no room for shipping delays. That's why Grainger offers millions of products in fast, dependable delivery so you can keep your facility stocked, safe and running smoothly. Call 1-800-GRAINGER Click grainger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done.
B
I'm Tom Bilyeu. Today is Thursday, October 31st, and this is part of our special 2024 election impact theory coverage. This week we're doing something a little bit different. With the election right around the corner, we wanted to do something unique and really cut through the noise. So we're bringing in some of the sharpest minds from both sides of the aisle to answer two simple questions in addition to our normal interview. What values and beliefs drive their voting choices and why do they think you should vote the same way? Each guest will break down the reasoning and make their case. While I've got my own views, the goal here is really simple. To help you think from first principles the way that we should all be doing. No bs, just straight talk with that. Please help me in welcoming Brett Weinstein. Brett Weinstein, welcome back to the show.
A
Thanks. Great to see you.
B
You as well. We just got to see each other in the event that you held in Washington D.C. rescue the Republic. A phenomenal event. Thank you. As I think about you moving in a political direction, let me ask something that I think is really important for people to think about in themselves. What are the values and beliefs that you use to decide who you're going to vote for?
A
That's a good question. Let me say that I find the idea of politics horrifying and I take no pleasure whatsoever in having to interact with that space at all. I feel like it's beneath all of us. That said, so much rests on what happens in that space that I don't feel that I really have a choice. And at the moment, barring something like the discovery that I have a brain tumor that is distorting my perspective on the world. What is at stake in our current political environment is at an all time high and therefore I feel like it or not, we're all being forced in this direction. As to the specific answer to your question, I like the distinction between values and beliefs. That's also how I see the world. I have many beliefs that don't make me happy, but nonetheless, it would be irresponsible I think, to shed them because of that, whether they're good or bad, has no implication about whether they're true. And I guess I live by a set of guiding principles that answer that question pretty well. One of them is that we are misled by our evolutionary wiring into being focused on ourselves and our own experience for reasons that are simply practical. And that causes us to have a distorted approach to the world in which we have the power to make things better, but also vastly worse. That exceeds anything that our ancestors would have had at their disposal. And so our responsibility is much greater, but our wiring doesn't necessarily detect that. And I would say that the overarching principle that guides me is I believe that existing as a human being is a profound. It is the profound opportunity that we know of in the universe. That it's one thing to live. That's amazing. And lots of creatures live, and presumably they feel rewarded when they do well and things like that. But our ability to understand where we are and what it implies and the consequences of our actions, and for our actions to become consequential by virtue of our thinking through what they will be, that's a remarkable experience. And it creates a life like no other that we're aware of. So my sense is I'm obligated. I believe all of us, if we saw this picture, would find ourselves morally obligated to provide that opportunity in as liberating a way as possible to as many humans as we can. That is to say, we're not entitled to take what we. What we found on arrival and degrade it. Now, sometimes you have to degrade it a little bit. You don't have a choice, or you have to degrade it a little bit in the present in order to preserve it in the long term. So I'm. I'm not a. I'm not unrealistic about the need to bend the rules a little bit. But in general, the long term trajectory ought to be to make sure that the generations that follow us have at least as good an opportunity as we did, which means at least as intact a planet as we inherited. And the political dimension obviously has profound implications over how close we are to that. I believe we've been falling down on that job for generations and it's time to turn the ship around. But that's really what motivates me. And the fact is I have two children. I love them deeply. And thinking about their prospects in life makes it very easy for this to be a concrete question that tells me what direction I should go.
B
All right, so what I heard in that is, obviously thinking about future generations is incredibly important. Don't be selfish, don't gobble everything up right now. But it also feels like, and I've heard you say this before, so I think I'm correct in hearing that you worry that right now, due to, I would assume, technology, that we have, for the first time, maybe ever, the opportunity for a true existential crisis where we could end the human experience or just flat out existence as we know it. Is that overstating it, or is that actually what's driving your thinking in this moment?
A
Now that's. That's accurate, I would say we have something like a Russian doll of existential threats where there we have built a civilization that, that does remarkable things, but it is not the beneficiary of thousands of years of perturbations and breakages that would have made it wise and antifragile. It's in fact, incredibly fragile. And at this point, even the dynamics of our galaxy threaten to turn our technology into a fatal flaw for our species. So that's not entirely our fault. That's the fact that we built something under circumstances that were more hospitable than the ones we're about to face. And so, you know, I think we should be focused on that. The fragility of our system is a problem, and there is not a natural feedback that causes you to make your civilization less fragile. While times are good.
B
What is it about this particular election that has you on edge? What do you see in the system that is making this worse than, say, growing up in the 80s when I legitimately was having conversations with my neighbors about, hey, mutually assured destruction means that they're never going to drop nuclear bombs. Like, it was a super tense time. What is it about right now?
A
So I'm caught in a bind I find myself in all the time, which is there are things, if I was a political animal, there are things that I should say right now to increase the likelihood of us going in a direction that I think is beneficial, even though those things aren't exactly an overlap for what I believe, because I'm not a political animal, but I'm forced to engage the political sphere, I have to run the risk of being fully candid and hoping that people will infer the correct direction. So to put a little flesh on those bones, what makes this election profoundly different is the degree to which all of the most dangerous ideas have accumulated on one side of our artificially binary political structure. To me, what I call the blue team has Accumulated all of the dangerous stuff or all of the most dangerous stuff. Now, a political animal would look past the faults of the other side in order to fend off the hazard, to usher the blue team out of power. And I can't really do that. What we have on the other side is some sort of a complex wild card that has the potential to do a tremendous amount of good. It also has the potential to renege on its commitments to us and to do something else or to be tangled in knots by those who would have just been ushered out of office. So I'm not going to artificially pretty up what I see as taking place under the red banner, but it's simple for me, because the combination of, let's say, the deep state, the neoconstruction, the WOKE ideology, and the most dangerous corporate influences, including pharma, all of those things accumulating in one place tells you that whatever the Democratic Party was, it isn't any longer, and that there's no rescuing it. There's no incremental rescue for a party that has simply taken up every bad idea simultaneously.
B
You mentioned earlier that this is a nested Russian doll of crises, potential dangers. What are the immediate things you're worried about? Is this nuclear war? Is it a real pathogen getting loose? It just ravages people. What do we have to survive, exactly?
A
One of them is. You mentioned at the top of the podcast that mutually assured destruction is a remarkable thing to depend on. Nonetheless, it did work. It did create enough sobriety that despite the fact that we had all of these weapons and that we were pointing them at each other and that our systems for detecting, you know, missiles in flight are fallible and in fact, failed many times. Somehow we never launched them. So that system, I would argue, was more functional as a younger civilization that had the proper sobriety around the danger of nuclear weapons. We are now becoming reckless and stupid because our civilization is senile and we are playing some sort of belligerent nuclear game in Ukraine against a ferociously armed traditional nuclear enemy. I can't imagine why we would do that. It seems to me that we are gambling everything. We are gambling humanity's future on some plan that has not been shared with us and for reasons we can't understand. And my guess is they don't actually make any sense. So that's, you know, that's a senile person who has weaponry that should have been taken away from them, the way we take cars away from people who can no longer operate them safely. So that's a major threat it's an increasing threat because we don't have the wisdom and sobriety to manage that danger. As far as pathogens go, I don't think we run much risk at all of a pathogen leaping out of nature. The idea of a zoonotic pathogen that is simultaneously so contagious and so devastating to the body that it's a threat to humanity is quite preposterous. But I do believe we have a cryptic weapons program that keeps losing control of pathogens that it has engineered for reasons that have also not been shared with us, and that as we saw with COVID the remedies are far worse than the disease and that this actually does create a threat. So, you know, the MRNA gene therapy that was delivered as if it were a vaccine has created lots of negative health consequences and didn't apparently do any good that is detectable. And I believe that that's actually a defensible statement. If you look at the, at the evidence, it certainly didn't do any net good. But the idea that it did any significant good is debatable at best. And we are now moving on. For reasons that have also never been explained to new versions of this technology, we have now replica in Japan. These are self replicating vaccines being delivered for no discernible purpose, being delivered almost just because we can. Maybe somebody has a nefarious purpose, but there's certainly no positive reason to be delivering some self replicating and therefore much more difficult to control version of a gene therapy. And you know, here we have whoever decided to do that running a risk for humanity. Now, if the things behave as the brochure suggests they're supposed to, then the damage will be limited to those people who've taken it. But there is no reason to think that they're going to behave in the way that the brochure suggests they are supposed to, any more than the original MRNA vaccines did. So anyway, those kinds of threats, the threats of harm compounded by either wildly naive thinking about biology or malevolent forces that wish to deliver things into populations for their own reasons, that's a significant threat. And then lastly, I'll just say we are not paying attention to the hazard posed to us by the accelerating decrease in our electromagnetic field that is interfacing badly with the 11 year solar cycle. So the sun poses a risk to us at all times. The risk is unacceptable under normal circumstances, but the risk is growing in large measure because the electromagnetic field of the planet is weakening. And this is something, it's nobody's fault that the electromagnetic field is weakening, but it is certainly something we could be doing a lot more about. In light of the decrease in the electromagnetic field, we could be hardening our grid and creating a more robust civilization so that if the sun throws something at us that we can't handle, which it will sooner or later, that we don't go into chaos just by virtue of the fact that we were unprepared.
B
Yeah. Thank you for adding a new nightmare to my list that was not at all on my radar until this very minute. So thank you. That's good fun. Hold tight. We're going to take a quick break.
A
If you work in university maintenance, Grainger considers you an MVP because your playbook ensures your arena is always ready for tip off. And Grainger is your trusted partner, offering the products you need all in one place, from H Vac and plumbing supplies to lighting and more. And all delivered with plenty of time left on the clock. So your team always gets the win. Call 1-800-GRAINGER visit grainger.com or just stop by Granger for the ones who get it done.
B
We're back. Let's dive right in. I had sort of heard off in the background that there was something going on with the electromagnetic field and that maybe we were in that period where the North Pole could end up flipping, but did not realize that there were other issues. Okay, that's super powerful. If I had to say the thing that worries me most, and this clearly is simply perspective. I in no way shape or form know enough about some of the other things to say where this falls on a scale. But the thing that I worry most about is just tyranny. So I look at the direction that the government is heading. Forget that the government is downstream of of culture. The the direction that culture is headed. Is this just absolute clamoring for safety over any everything. Safety and simplicity. If I really had to pin it down, just tell me what to do. I don't want to think through these problems. I think there's something about the way that life is getting a lot more complicated, that people have some sort of intrinsic hunger for that safety and security. So that one worries me a lot. Okay, now that that's out on the table, do you have guesses? Obviously somebody that organizes a post political event as you've referred to it as rescue the Republic has ideas on what that positive vision. What is the way that we phoenix this knowing full well these are hypotheses probably more than theories. But I would love to hear some of what you're moving towards and not just what we're moving away from.
A
Yeah, that's a good. That's a good question. In evolutionary biology, we have a metaphor that we use to think about the transition between niches. Effectively, we call it the adaptive landscape. And we envision opportunities, that is to say, niches as peaks and obstacles to getting from a lower peak to a higher peak, as valleys. So you have to cross through an adaptive valley to get between most sets of peaks. And the problem, one of the problems that threatens civilization is that the skill set for crossing a valley is different than the skill set for ascending a peak. So if you think about startup culture, there are certain people who are great under startup conditions who are not very well adapted to the mature corporation that arises out of a successful startup. You know, they need to go do another startup. That's because the skill set's just not the same one. So the problem is that we live in a niche that has been so fantastically productive over so many generations that the hill climbers have effectively killed off the valley crossers, right? They see them as a threat. They see them as counterproductive to climbing the peaks. We now have to cross a valley, and we have lost track of how you do it. So I'm concerned about that. I do think there is something so utterly hopeful about what I'm calling the Unity coalition because it contains all of the. All of the folks who have integrity, courage, and think outside the box. So these are the valley crossers, and the hill climbers downstream of the coup that they have staged are struggling to keep people from listening. Right? We are derided as if we are fringe nutcases, and I suppose that's comforting because if we're right about the danger we're in, then this is a perilous moment. And there's nothing that says that we're going to get out of it. But of course that's true. There are no guarantees. So the question isn't, can you promise me that if we go into that valley, that we'll get out the other side and it will be better? No, nobody can promise you that. But what I think I can promise you is that if we stay on this peak as it erodes, we will perish. So it's a simple choice. It doesn't mean it's going to end well. But all of the scenarios in which this ends well involve us learning to do something that we don't yet know how to do. And I will tell you, as I think you must have experienced as well, that there is something hopeful about interacting with the ragtag fugitive fleet of quirky, insightful, idiosyncratic folks who have found each other in the Unity movement despite significant differences in our belief systems and sometimes even our values. So that's how I think it's done. Is I don't imagine. In fact, Heather and I wrote into our book the Hunter Gatherer's guide to the 21st century, that you can't blueprint your way out of a crisis like this. You have to prototype your way out or navigate your way out. That it's a process, it's not a plan. And what does that process looks like? It looks like people who have retained their capacity to think in spite of the very difficult circumstances in which we have to do it. Those people pooling their insights, holding each other's feet to the fire and proposing next steps so that we start moving in the right direction so that we are still around 100 years from now.
B
Okay. So that I can orient myself. That's a really interesting idea that you have to prototype your way out. I don't think you said blueprint, but something along those lines. You can't just architect this thing ahead of time and go out. Know that it's going to carry you across. Would you liken this moment to the founding of the nation? Or is this something completely different?
A
You know, I've long been a fan of the idea that history doesn't repeat itself. But it rhymes. And this definitely rhymes with the founding of the nation. There are also ways in which it is profoundly different. The level of technology and more to the point, the rate of technological change is simply so staggering that we have to build in light of it. I would say we have also. There's been a process, a natural process in which humans have, as we've gotten good at certain things, become. We've forgotten how to do things that we used to know how to do very well. The level of self sufficiency of humans is at an all time low. The degree to which we are simply. I mean, even compared to when you and I were kids, the degree to which we are now dependent. Even those of us who didn't grow up dependent on a cell phone are now dependent on them because we haven't polished our skills for keeping track of where we are physically. For example, we haven't maintained a set of documents that would allow us to figure it out if the electricity went out. So anyway, we are in a state of risk that is partly natural. Technology causes you to become dependent on it as it becomes a feature of your developmental environment. And Partly unnatural. Where we've become, we've developed a kind of collective, learned helplessness. And those are not good things. You know, to the extent that people used to have jobs in which they interacted with the physical laws of the universe on the regular, that was a world in which there was an awful lot of common sense. There might not have been as much sense about remote facts of the universe, but there was a lot of wisdom amongst people, even people who we would say were uneducated, because the fact is, the world is a very educational place if you are forced to. To play in it. And how we deal with a world full of people who have become. You said at some point that people were easily manipulated. I believe we are artificially easily manipulated now because it's for people whose. You know, if you think about what comes across a modern screen, what comes across a modern screen often masquerades as a. Just a remote capacity to see something. You look at something that looks like a video of some event that happened, and sometimes it is, and often it's not. And because those two things don't look different, that screen sometimes educates you about things that can happen in the world, and sometimes it miseducates you. And that combination results in a kind of, at best, a sort of agnosticism about what's true, rather than an intuition that actually says, you know what, something's off here, and we are going to have to overcome that by some mechanism. And I would argue that really the only tool at our disposal is track record, that you don't necessarily know who understands what's going on based on how they sound. Right. Unless they're in a territory that you know very well somebody can bamboozle you. And in fact, I would argue that almost everybody, educated or not, got bamboozled by the, you know, the COVID criminals, because they didn't have any way of interpreting what they were being told about pathogens, about genomes, about cells. These things were a foreign language. And so people were easily suckered. But what you can do is you can look back and you can say, well, it doesn't matter whether I thought that sounded crazy at the time. How did this claim stand up over time? And unfortunately, the part of our system that is not just demented, but is actually actively parasitizing us is working overtime to make sure that we can't track people's track record. It is obscuring evidence. And if you wanted to fix one thing first, that might be the thing. The ability for us just to even know what happened. And what we were told that turned out to be true and what we were told that turned out to be false. That's job one from the point of view of navigating intelligently off of this rapidly eroding peak, hopefully to arrive at a better one.
B
Yeah, spoken like a true scientist, like a true entrepreneur. This is something that drives me crazy.
A
All right.
B
In this interview, having gone to Rescue the Republic and just some of the people that I know are involved in the unity coalition, I've jotted down here what I think are some of the core values that have been driving your thinking. And then with those in everybody's working memory, unless you think that I've gotten something wrong, I want to hear what you think the world is going to look like whether Trump wins or Kamala Harris wins. So here's what I've taken away the values that would be useful. Government efficiency. Talked a lot about that. Opposing the deep state. So just this connective tissue over time that basically can ignore the elected officials focus on health. This is something that I took from the Rescue the Republic event, like coming back to the individual. And, and this is tied into a data feedback loop. So we have all these policies around human health. Have they worked? Absolutely not. They've moved us in the aggressive wrong direction. And then what you were just saying about track record, I would call it data feedback loop. So when you're trying to run a company, you're saying, hey, I have this hypothesis, we're going to turn it into a test, we're going to run that test. We're going to pre say what we think the outcome is going to be so we know if our prediction engine is working or not. And, and then we're going to look at the data. Do we actually get the result that we thought if we were right on, great prediction engine is working perfectly. If we were over or under, we were off. Obviously we'd rather high perform than underperform, but we're never going to lie to ourselves. So we need to update our prediction engine so now we know what is true. And then one thing that we actually haven't talked a lot about, but it's been sort of in the background of everything you've said is liberty. You did touch on it very specifically once earlier in the talk. But that, that is a huge part certainly for me and I think a driving ethos of Rescue the Republic and what you're trying to put forward, I think at one point you even said that's how you can judge the effectiveness of a system is how Many people. Does it offer meaningful liberty? I think is the way that you refer to it. I think that's really, really smart. Okay, I see nodding. So I'll assume we're at least directionally correct. So now, with that hovering in the air as the thing that we're steering towards, what does the world look like if Trump wins? What does the world look like if Kamala Harris wins?
A
Well, I'm profoundly concerned about what happens if Kamala Harris wins, because I think the track record of the blue team, Kamala Harris's absolute failure to protect us from a clearly demented president tells us that she's not really on our team. And so I take very seriously her statements that suggest she's interested in mandatory gun buybacks, censoring people that she doesn't like what they're having to say, price controls, what she calls equity. All of these things, if you extrapolate out, are something the republic can't take. Four more years of an incremental move in these directions, much less some sort of step function where, because we're now playing in endgame dynamics, this thing is ratcheted up rapidly after the election. So I don't think the success of the Harris campaign could be really any more frightening. It's about as bad as it could be having nothing to do with Harris herself being a distinguished creature. I don't think she is. I don't think she's special. But I do think she is partnered with a parasitoid that literally embraces all of the worst ideas simultaneously. Worst from our perspective as a people. As far as what happens if Trump is elected, we can hope that Trump is wiser than he was the last time he was elected and that he realizes. So a couple things have changed. One, he's been through an awful lot in the intervening time. He's been hounded with lawfare in the courts. He's been shot at. He's been through a constant campaign to portray him as things other than he is. This may have created a wiser person. It could also cause a person to become deranged. I don't see the sign that he's deranged. So I'm hopeful. But the other thing that has changed is the Unity coalition is now an entity. We now recognize each other. And lots of people have accepted the cost of admitting that they are going to vote for Trump or thinking of voting for Trump or are open to voting for Trump. What that means is that if he wants to avail himself of it, he has this incredibly deep bench of highly skilled courageous, patriotic people that he can put into positions to figure out how we're going to prototype and navigate our way out of this cul de sac and to somewhere new. My greatest hope is that he is elected, and that's what he does. And the fact that he is partnering with Elon Musk, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. With Tulsi Gabbard suggests that he is of this mindset. My greatest fear is that once elected, the utility of that partnership may not be as obvious to him and that he could be either led in a bad direction or might have an instinct to. To jettison those obligations, and it could be terrible. So, anyway, I'm hoping that the unity movement will understand itself as something other than a support force for Trump. The unity movement should support Trump if he is doing things that are in the interest of solving the nation's long term problems, and it should function to pressure him if he starts moving in some other direction. So that's where I am. To me, it's very, very simple because the one side involves so much peril and the other side is a wild card. But the potential for greatness is there. And I'm not sure that there's anything more one needs to know in order to figure out how to, how to interact with that More to come.
B
We'll be back in a bit. All right, let's pick up where we left off. What do you say to people that say, look, January 6th is just completely disqualifying. You cannot have a president that tried an insurrection on the government. You're begging for the tyranny that Tom says he's so worried about.
A
Well, I don't think it was an insurrection. I think it's been painted that way at great cost. I think it was a terrible episode. But even the details of it. You had a large number of people engaged in peaceful protest. You had a small number of people engaged in something violent. You have the implication of the FBI being involved. You have lawfare being wielded against people who weren't violent in the aftermath. So, anyway, I don't think the story is the one we've been told that we must believe, but I also think we are. We have run off the normal tape of history here, right? Even if you believe some, some official variant of that story, you also have a vice president who, according to Seymour Hersh, one of the last great journalists, forced the president out of the race on the basis that the 25th Amendment would be used to remove him from office if he did not agree, but then did not Remove him from office even as we were playing belligerent nuclear games in Ukraine. So even if you believe the standard version of January 6th, what you have is people who've done completely unacceptable things as the two viable choices in the election. And the question is, which of these things is more frightening going forward? And even there, it's a slam dunk.
B
Yeah, that to me, the fact that he says Trump says that he won the election, the fact that he tried to get, I think electorates, like fake electorates to say that they were the ones that could certify or not certify that man, that looms in the air for me. And one thing that I also worry about is at least the people that I'm aware of. So many people came forward that worked with him when he was president saying that it was just a terrible experience, that he's only out for himself. And so the thing that I have deep concerns about is, are people like Elon, who are obviously very good for the campaign trail, are they going to find themselves two months in three months in just absolutely driven crazy and saying, you really can't work with this guy? That. That's the fear that I have.
A
Believe me, I have all kinds of fears. I also have a good deal of hope based on a number of people who I now know, who know the man personally and do not have this experience. So I'm hopeful that he is wiser than he was and that he sees that he has a historic opportunity. I fear what might unfold, but I think we have this incredibly powerful force in the unity movement that simply needs to figure out what happens post election and exert the right kind of pressure. If Trump is moving in the direction of rescuing us from the peril that we find ourselves in, then the unity movement is an incredible tool that he should be able to utilize to do that well, because no president understands all of the issues that are downstream of their decision making. So seating the right people is obviously the way a great president is going to function. On the other hand, if he dispenses with, you know, Elon and Bobby and Tulsi and the rest of us, then this force is the most useful check you're going to have, because frankly, we retain our ability to speak on behalf of, frankly, not just the American people, but the world has such a stake in our election, and most people do not have the privilege of being able to signal their consent or lack thereof. So the world is really depending on us to reign in the out of control forces that have taken over our ferociously powerful system. And I really see the unity movement as well positioned either way.
B
What do you make of the way that the political parties have flipped? Is there, is there a game being played? Is this just sort of a natural ebb and flow? Because it. Seeing Trump in a McDonald's is just for somebody that was, you know, growing up in the 1980s, that was not the vision of the Republicans. Republicans were Gordon Gekko, and the Democrats would have been in McDonald's. So what has happened?
A
Yeah, I actually did a pretty good job, I think, on the last Dark horse podcast of describing the dynamics that led us here. So I'll do a quick version. What I think happened is the Republicans were the corrupt corporate party. They effectively represented management. And in the world that you and I grew up in, the Democratic Party represented labor, which was not without its corruption. Labor was a corrupt force too. But roughly speaking, the red team was management. The blue team was labor. The blue team was powerful because labor always outnumbers management by a huge margin. But management has a power advantage based on the concentration of wealth. And these two things were battling in our political landscape. Clinton, whatever it is that he may have been thinking, changed the Democratic Party. He effectively cut labor loose and made the Democratic Party into a second corrupt corporate party, which was superficially coherent because the way that some corporations want the body politic corrupted is in conflict with the way other corporate entities might want it corrupted. Right. Do you want a workforce that you are entitled to make sick with bad drugs, or do you want a workforce that you're entitled to exploit by virtue of, you know, their ability to generate wealth and be frozen out of the product of it? Those are two competing corruptions. So we had two corrupt parties. Labor was completely cut adrift. Anybody who wanted to get out of the corruption racket could have embraced the now politically homeless labor force. But it never happened. And it was prevented from happening through the wielding of the idea of what I call the lesser evil paradox. Anybody who tries to walk into this too corrupt corporate party system with a party that just simply addresses the needs of average people is accused of electing the greater evil. And so nobody survives that accusation. Okay, so you've got two corrupt corporate parties, labor is unable to find a representative because the first past the post voting in our system creates a two party system. And if they've both embraced corporate greed, there's nobody to speak for the people. And then you get a hugely unusual creature like Donald Trump. And what Donald Trump did was he effectively collected a large fraction of this now politically homeless labor movement, and he brought them over to the Republican Party. So he was not a traditional Republican in any way, and he's not an obvious working class hero, but because he's politically adept in the way that he is, he was able to capture this energy that existed in these now betrayed laborers and to create MAGA and to bring them over to the Republican Party. And the Republican Party now had a choice, which was to accept this and become a powerful political force at a substantial cost to their corrupt owners. Now that of course played out, and what's happening now is that as the Republican Party now becomes a home for this homeless force of labor, it is driving all of the concentrated corruption, which is no longer just corporate. Right. This now does involve the deep state and the neocons. And these are not inherently corporate corruptions. These are other kinds of corruptions. But it's driving all of those things onto the one team. So you now have Dick Cheney embracing the Democrats, signaling that this is really a pole flip in the political landscape. And now the question is, will the Republicans embrace their new role as a populist party and, you know, jettison the last of their corporate corruptors, which would make the transition complete. I would also point out, though, the final thing here is that originally when MAGA was captured and named and brought over to the Republican Party by Donald Trump, it was largely a white movement. It is now because of various forces increasingly picking up a wide diversity of people and it's welcoming to them. So what I'm really describing is that there are game theoretic dynamics in our system which will actually, through relatively natural processes, including corruption, cause this inversion of the parties. And it's not the first time that we've seen it. I mean, don't forget the Republican Party was born under Abraham Lincoln in a fight against slavery. Right. So the party that fought slavery was dragging its heels during the civil rights movement. You know, party inversions happen, and we're watching it happen in real time by a mechanism that I think is surprising but relatively straightforward.
B
All right, great explanation. Knowing that we're about to go through this adaptive valley, what is your pithiest. I know you're apolitical, so I won't say argument, but what's your pithiest appeal for people to vote in a way that will see us through this adaptive valley?
A
Yeah, Well, I think they've done us a favor by making this simple. Dick Cheney is nature's way of telling us that that's not the Democratic Party we remember. And the diversity in every meaningful way of what's taking place under the red banner does not tell us that the Republican Party is going to become something honorable. But at least it opens the possibility of our moving forward in some way that is consistent with our open embrace of people across all sorts of demographic lines. So the concentrated evil on the one side makes the uncertainties on the other side unimportant. We should move forward in the one direction that can be defended. And then we should do everything in our power to make sure that it behaves as well as it can. We should be realistic. We can't hold it to standards that it can't meet, but we should. We should offer our help and we should pressure it to move in a direction that actually matches the values that all reasonable people actually share. Which was really part of the message of Rescue the Republic was that when you get right down to it, we're told we can't get along with each other, but the amount that we agree on so completely dwarfs the part we disagree on that it makes things simpler than we are allowed to to understand.
B
All right. At the Rescue the Republic event you talked about the need to Phoenix out of this and you made a pretty interesting parallel to what happens to organisms as they age. They collect all this damage, which I think we would liken to the deep state, whatever is driving the neocon thinking of just wars everywhere. Same with WOKE ideology, corporate influence, all that. You can look at those as damage to the DNA structure of the organism that is the state. But the way that humans have solved it is not the way that the state is going to be able to solve it. So if you don't mind, walk us through, how does a biological organism deal with all of these assaults salts, and what can we learn from that? And what is the path out? When you're talking about a state, sure.
A
Let me just say I'm speaking for myself as I was at Rescue the Republic. Rescue the Republic is a non political entity. It serves an educational purpose and it gathers what I've called the unity movement, which are people who are essentially post political and non ideological and recognize as a hazard that is posed to civilization. So anyway, I don't want people to conflate what is clearly a political dimension to what I'm saying with Rescue the Republic. But I'm going to offer one correction which I will return to after I've answered the question you've asked me. I don't believe that the deep state and pharma corruption are a reflection of senescence. I believe they are a consequence of the senescence of our civilization. So let me outline why civilizations senesce in the same sense that a biological organism does. And then I'll make the case for what has happened that has brought in all of these factors that, what I'm saying are all the. All the worst ideas accumulated in one place. So the story of why creatures grow feeble and inefficient with age, most people would say why we age, I would say why we senesce, which is more than a fact of time simply passing. It's a question of us biologically degrading as we are all familiar with. That's a process that starts not at birth, but it starts at the usual age of first reproduction for a species. So basically, sexual maturity is the moment at which senescence begins, which is in and of itself an indicator of what is driving this process. The theory which is as close as we ever get in science to a fact, the theory that explains why creatures like us senesce and why certain other creatures either don't senesce or senesce in a different way, is something written by somebody I had the privilege of knowing, a guy named George C. Williams, who was one of the great 20th century evolutionary biologists. And his hypothesis that he offered in 1947 was something called antagonistic pleiotropy. And what it said was that it was building on an earlier piece of work by a guy named Peter Medawar, British biologist, Nobel prize winner, the guy who discovered the evolutionary and physiological reason that we reject a graft from somebody who has the same blood type. If you put somebody else's tissue into your body, your immune system rejects it because the compatibility goes well beyond blood type anyway. So Peter Medawar made an argument that natural selection sees what happens to us in early life with much greater clarity than it sees what happens in late life. And the reason for that, according to Medawar, was that lots of stuff that happens to you late in life that might be a consequence of a genetic vulnerability happens to so few individuals that there's not a mechanism for selection to see it very well. And most reproduction is done by the time selection has any opportunity to see it at all. So something that has a profound impact on your health in your 90s. Actually, most people don't live to their 90s, so it's very cheap in evolutionary terms. What George Williams added to that was he said, look, that may well explain the process that happens at the very end of life when selection becomes very weak in its ability to see these defects. It does not Explain why we have measurable senescence early in our reproductive lives. In fact, beginning at the dawn of our reproductive lives. His argument was that the human body, or any animal body, is a terrifically complex entity that is set in motion by a genome that is much less complex. In fact, you can argue that the genome at the informational level is really complicated. It's not complex. What that means is that in order for a genome that has, let's say, 20,000 active genes, each of which has an average of five different edits, so 100,000 genes that set in motion a human that as an adult will have some 30 trillion cells, that is self assembling, self repairing and maintaining that that requires that small number of genes to do multiple things. And we know this is true. Genes do multiple things. In fact, even saying that the average gene has five different edits is an indicator that genes are all doing multiple jobs. When you have something like a gene that does multiple jobs, it will often be the case that a gene will do something that's beneficial early and will have a harm late. And William's point was, anytime that happens, the tendency is for selection to view the early life benefit very positively and to look past the late life costs. So we ought to accumulate these genes that do two things. That's a pleiotropy. And we ought to then have the benefit of all of the early life features of these genes when we are young. And the cost ought to be the degradation of our capacity to maintain and protect ourselves as we grow older. So when I started studying in graduate school, it was well known that this hypothesis that Williams had offered was true. We could tell that because many of the predictions that that hypothesis made had been tested in the wild. But nobody knew of any genes that matched his description, which was a curious fact. I, in graduate school, happened on something that met all of the criteria and seemed to explain a lot. It wasn't exactly a gene, but it was good enough. It met Williams in 1947, didn't know enough about the way the genome worked, because our understanding of the genome was crude at the time. So he didn't draw his hypothesis as broadly as he might. But once you sort of fixed it for a modern understanding of the way information is stored in the genome, it became clear to me that there was a system that would explain in terms that fit Williams hypothesis exactly this pattern across tissue after tissue. So I won't delay us there. But that system is one that protects us from tumors when we're young and at the risk of getting Myself in hot water here. Tumors have traditionally been very rare in youth. They've become much more common as a result of various distortions that we have introduced into our environment. But the traditional pattern, the evolutionary pattern, is that you should have essentially no risk from tumors except in a couple of unusual tissues until your 50s or 60s, at which point the pattern starts to accelerate. But the cost of protecting ourselves from tumors is an absolute limit on the number of times that most cells can replace themselves and therefore the maintenance that we do of the body. All right, now I've dragged you into a very a fairly detailed explanation of why creatures senesce and why in the case of something like a mammal, a human, this has to do with the protection against tumors. The argument I made at Rescue the Republic was that civilizations have the identical selective defect as the one that makes creatures evolve so they grow feeble and inefficient with age. And that is a bias towards short term solution making irrespective of the delayed cost. So if you think about what a politician, what they are rewarded for doing, they are rewarded for doing things that cause people to think that their life has been enhanced. And by the time, you know, if, if we do something, if we make some expenditure and it makes people's life better, but it's unsustainable, then when the late life cost is due, A, people may not even connect it to the change that brought about that late life cost. And B, the politician is long since out of office, so they are not penalized. So politicians are rewarded for finding these short term solutions that cause people to think that they're being well governed. But the consequence is that our system has accumulated all of these hazards with a delayed effect. And my claim is civilizations will do this. Our civilization is especially prone to it because of the democratic features of our system and the market based features of our system. The market tends to reward things that are profitable in the short term. And so both of these things have caused the accumulation of all of these characteristics that have now made our civilization utterly fragile. It literally is demented. We are doing preposterous things that don't make any sense or virtually impossible to defend in any sort of logical terms. And we can't stop ourselves. Just like, you know, an old person maybe can't stop themselves from falling down the stairs.
B
All right, we all know what, what senescence looks like as somebody gets old just because we've been around it. What are the characteristics that you see right now that are these accumulated tumors or whatever word you want to use?
A
I would say two are obvious. We could probably find a dozen more if we went looking. But the two that are obvious are a complete failure of the immunities of our system. And that is what I was going to argue. All of the stuff that's accumulated over under the blue banner in our election, that looks to me like a collapse of our resistance to what most people would think of as parasites. I would be tempted to call them parasitoids. Parasitoid is a parasite that kills you. And so what we have is the concentration of all of these betrayals of our long term wellbeing under one banner. Not because those things are themselves the product of senescence, but because our vulnerability to them has allowed them, you know, to come through the door. The other thing is a kind of literal dementia. You know, one thing I'm sure you will have noticed is just that in talking to people, you know, good hearted, intelligent people, trying to think about where we are in history, everybody is confused. The systems that are supposed to allow us to process just simple information about where we are, what it implies, and what we might do differently that would increase our chances of being around 500 years from now. Those conversations have become increasingly meaningless as every system that you would use to perceive the world or to process the information is collapsing. So we're all confused. Even those of us who are spending almost every waking hour trying to understand where we are are having to contemplate a huge range of possibilities just because our, our stream of evidence is increasingly noisy.
B
All right, when I try to break this down, I often will think in terms of the, the constitutional amendments, what they were trying to protect against. So in this I'm hearing, so you're, you didn't use the word sense making apparatus, but there's this thing that we normally rely on people to be able to come out, debate ideas, say, this is what I think is happening? No, you're out of your mind. This is what's happening, that that's being clamped down on. So you have a degradation of the First Amendment for sure. Do you think that the distortions that we see actually map to amendments? Is that an overly simplistic way to look at it? Can we begin like sort of going through that and saying, okay, this is how we're breaking this immune response number one, this is how we break immune response number two? Or is it more nebulous than that?
A
I tend to think of it in terms of an evolutionary novelty problem. So the founders wrote a document and they wrote their reasoning into other auxiliary documents. And I have A hard time imagining that they could have done better given what they understood about where they were in history and what they were. But these were pre Darwinian people. They did not understand evolutionary dynamics and therefore couldn't take the concept of evolution that applies to creatures and species and understand that there was an analogy to civilizations and that they needed to be mindful of evolutionary dynamics that would create challenges that they could not envision. So they were aware of technological change, obviously, but they were not aware of evolutionary dynamics. And that that means that given what they knew, they did wonderfully, I think they nailed the values as well as could be hoped. But the structures were, of course, going to run into profound challenges just based on the fact that the threats that the founders perceived are no longer recognizably like the ones that we face. So the degree to which government was the greatest threat to the free exchange of ideas is just. It's not true anymore. We now have these quasi governmental monopolistic forces that are in a position to technically allow you to speak and prevent anybody from hearing you of these things are just simply not well addressed by a First Amendment that is focused on governmental threats to speech. So I think they nailed the values. It is not surprising, it should not surprise us, that the document is, does not anticipate modern, increasingly technological threats to civil liberties. They, of course, didn't complete the job at the time. You know, they left slavery intact in order to get the, the colonies to, to confederate. So what we are left with is how do we recover their vision of a world in which we are freed from constraints to innovate, to be productive, to partner? How do we rescue that from the increasingly archaic understanding of the threats to liberty that we can now see in the present? So I'm a big fan of the Constitution, given when it was written. I'm not a huge fan of the idea, hey, let's open it up and have a constitutional convention, Because I worry that we could make things worse very easily. But I also don't believe the Constitution is up to the challenge at the moment, absent a visionary. Set of interpreters of that document, which we're not going to get in a political environment like the one we have.
B
All right, let me give you a slightly alternate take. I agree with you. I think literally up until you say government is not the biggest threat anymore, you paint a very compelling picture of what's really happening, which is the corporations are coming in, they're creating these incredible technical tools that become the public square. They themselves are now creating the inability for people to speak. But I think even that is an echo of the fundamental problem, which is that the government does become the way in which the parasite begins overtaking the organism. And if we were to actually go back and look at the founding documents, in there are all of the answers. So you have a government founded on the idea that governments tend towards the tyrannical. And so you have to put in all of these things in place of that. Now, to your point about the way that systems evolve, there's no way that they could have predicted the way in which the tyranny was going to evolve. And so what ends up happening, what I see when I look out at the world today is you have this marriage of a government that is just absolutely mind bendingly obsessed with size, power, control, as an organism will want to do. And just to keep the biological metaphors, anybody that understands how tumors work, they do all kinds of things to hide from the immune system, to make sure that get the blood supply, that the nutrients are going to them. And so they, I'll just be very blunt. I think that's where the government has gotten to. It's just drawing in all of the resources it wants to grow. It's putting out jobs reports that, hey everybody, jobs are amazing. And yet more than 50%, I think it might be more than 70% of the jobs created in the most recent job report were governmental jobs. So you have a, a what could be a thriving bit of tissue that has become cancerous in the sense it does not know when to stop replicating. And so it is just sucking in resources and trying to bamboozle people in, in the sense of, hey, vote for me, you want a bigger government, we're going to take care of more things for you and it's going to be wonderful. Okay, so that's the tumor playbook. And then what you have is corporations that go, ooh, this is actually really advantageous to me through something called regulatory capture. So I, what I want to do as the growing corporation is, yeah, go ahead and come to me back channel, tell me to silence certain people. And I will do that because. And I doubt that all of this is said out loud, but there becomes this sort of quiet quid pro quo of I'm going to do that for you. And what I need is for you to help me create this moat around me that makes it hard for incumbents to come in. Because when I look at but the ways to solve these problems, like when I see the increased rhetoric around greedy corporations are gouging you and we're going to have to deal with that in order to get the prices down at the grocery store. I will just tell you right now, if you start relieving regulations, you will get new companies that will enter the space, and the best way to innovate is price and speed. And so if you can do something cheaper or faster, or ideally both, you will absolutely clobber the incumbents. But the incumbents are using the tumorous government in order to help them protect against that sort of flourishing thing. So to me, it still all comes down to if you go back to the founding documents and you see their absolute fear of that getting too big, too tyrannical, that if you go back to that idea and say, how do we start reducing the size of government? How do we start relieving some of the regulatory burdens so that we can save the ultimate patient, which is the average person?
A
It's a great analysis. I think we have to bring these two things together because I think you're seeing something with great clarity and it might be obscuring something else. So the distinction between a tumor and a parasite, or by my argument, a parasitoid, is that a tumor in General, mind you, 20 years from now, I believe we will find that this story is less true than the way I'm going to tell it. But in general, we believe tumors are a failure of regulation. A tumor dies with the patient. Most of them do not have a way of transmitting anything to someone else. So the genes inside the tumor actually have an interest in the tumor being reined in. And sometimes that fails for reasons we could go into if we wanted. But the point is, the tumor is not doing its own bidding because there's some reason for it to do that. A parasite or a parasitoid is a parasite has reasons. It is its own evolutionary entity, and it has interests that are contrary to that of the host. In the case of most parasites, they have to walk a delicate balance because a parasite that kills the host often dies with it. So most parasites steal, but they have an interest in minimizing the harm to keep the creature that they're parasitizing profitable. A parasitoid has evolved a different life cycle where it can actually survive on its own in one way or another. And the key to seeing that. So I'm not arguing that we don't have that phenomenon that you're talking about where government starts growing of its own accord, even though it's bad for the body politic. That does happen. And in fact, it's a natural part of institutions and elon Musk demonstrated that it had happened inside of X. And anybody who's been paying attention to tech circles knows that it's happened inside of all of the tech giants. That there's a huge number of people who are not positively contributing. And it's a cryptic, you know, welfare program. At some level. There are lots of people who can go. And it doesn't damage the organism at all. In fact, it makes it more efficient. But what I've increasingly begun to focus on are the entities that are not even in principle under the control of the governmental apparatus. So I draw a distinction between out of control entities, some department that has taken on a life of its own and started governing based on internal beliefs without respect to the consent of the governed. That obviously happens. But there's no functional part of the government, as described by our founding documents, for which you cannot turn off the budget. What has happened is that many things have now innovated a mechanism to fuel themselves. They have created black budgets that are not under anyone's control. And they've done this in many different ways. We have the deep state itself, which has the ability to generate money in various different ways. It can either drain money out of the treasury through mechanisms that do not show up under the correct line item, or it can generate resources by committing crimes that are easier to commit if you're part of the intelligence apparatus than if you're outside of it, or by having superior information on historical events and using that to transfer wealth in the market. These mechanisms mean that there is no control that one could exert from inside of government to turn off the deep state. This is the thing that makes the deep state different. We have to figure out what to do about that. It's not envisioned in the Constitution, and it's just simply a new kind of challenge. Now, the last thing I'll say here is that when I first started thinking about the necessary relationship between the ability to fuel operations outside of governmental budgets and what we call the deep state, it was narrow. And then I started to realize that there were lots of governmental structures and quasi governmental structures that have parallel mechanisms operating in and around them. So, for example, discovering that the FDA is in large measure fueled by private money, where pharma is in fact delivering a huge fraction of the resource that makes the entity run. This may have the same implication, even though it functions very differently than, for example, the CIA trafficking drugs into the US because it has license to commit crimes in the course of doing business.
B
Yeah, you have your finger on very real things. But when I Step back and go. Okay, we. There are multiple problems happening inside the body, just to keep with one metaphor here. And I think now it becomes a question of what. What is going to end up killing you. So I've heard you make a really compelling argument that part of the reason that the MRNA protocol, technology, whatever you want to refer to it as, is so dangerous is there are parts of the body that it can get into, namely the heart, where it's now going to take you down. But if it got into the liver or the deltoid tissue, it's less of a. And so I want to focus in on the liver and the heart for a second because this gets to, I think, the difference. Even though you and I both think the patient is very sick, I'm going to make the case that you're focused on the liver and I'm focused on the heart. So what I think is happening, if you just want to sum up the derangement and what you would have to do to unwind all of this, it is very simply speaking to this idea of a black budget. I'm not saying that's not a problem, but I am saying it is absolutely dwarfed by the thing that they do in plain sight, which is they print money. So they rack up all this extraordinary debt, which is why the agencies can just keep getting larger and larger. To your point about there's no way to turn off that spigot, the reason is they've actually convinced the public that you can print money forever. And the thing that I'm watching is, yes, the heart can absorb some damage, but it's not the liver which will actually regenerate itself. The heart is very different. And when you start messing with the currency, this is what happens. The reason they print money is because they don't have to get the govern's consent. It is a way around that whole idea of the consent of the governed. So they can spend money on anything and they don't have to ask you for it because they're just going to print additional money. And people do not understand that as they print money, it's robbing you of your buying power. So they are quite literally stealing from you, even though you have the same amount of money in the bank. So if I'm the government and I have this impulse to grow and get bigger and. And I have a mechanism by which I can steal in two ways. And this is another thing that people do not fully understand. Way number one is I just print the money we talked about that. Way number two is Technology is a deflationary thing. So as things are deflating in cost, I, as the person printing the money, know there won't be a one to one relationship between the amount that I inflate the currency and inflation. So, hey, you're. If you were really able to run the math between how much has technology lowered the cost so that my costs compared to 1965 should be lower, not higher. And in reality, they're obscenely higher. That delta is what the government has been able to capture through money printing. And so I look at that and I go, there's no way back from that. This is a one way thing. Now, the part that I can't wrap my head around and coming back to what you were saying at Rescue the Republic is this idea of how do we re Phoenix out of this? Because history tells us that the way that you re Phoenix out of this is you go to war, a whole bunch of people die. It is so painful for everyone involved that typically you lose your status as a reserve currency. So you don't even have to have this hyper inflate away. You just lose your status as a reserve currency. You're so tired of fighting, you just upend everybody's debts. You do a debt jubilee. Now, the people that were owed money are no longer owed anything, which is devastating in its own right. And the people that owed people money, that goes away, which is, hey, it's a big win, but everybody's just too tired, too depleted to fight it. But that is such a gnarly way where you literally. It's like the, the old version of the country dies. And usually something lesser than steps out of that and sort of transmits the power. And you could say at this point that the parasite moves from that host, which it was perfectly happy to let die. And then because it's an idea pathogen, it moves over to a new country that looks like we did in the 1940s, and the cycle begins again. But it's always a cycle of debt. And that's the part that people just. Other than Ray Dalio, who's screaming at the top of his lungs, people just do not seem to cue in on.
A
Okay, but you get it.
B
I get it now. Slowly. Took me a lot of years to get here.
A
All right, but you're. You're one guy working on presumably not privileged information. So you're able to get there. I'm able to get there. I know lots of people who've gotten there. Do you think the people who are running this system don't see this
B
I think it is a mixture of truly sinister people who understand it and do it, and people that they really don't understand it. They actually don't have the intellectual capability to wrap their head around it.
A
Yeah, I agree. I agree actually that both of those things are true. But all I need for my point is that there is a collection of people in a position to effectively make policy who do understand that this is a fatal trajectory. So my point is that's the parasitoid, not the cancer. And maybe the way to think about this is there are cancers that are contagious. The thing I alluded to earlier is that my guess is we're going to discover there are more of them than we knew. But we do have examples of these things. For example, the cancer that is killing Tasmanian devils in Australia is a contagious cancer that they get from each other when they battle. So what you've got is a decent model for something governmental and inept in which many of the people who are participating in it do not understand that they are actually killing the goose that lays the golden eggs. But there's also an element that does understand very well what it's doing, right, that it is acting in a strategic way and that it will escape the dying body. That's where I believe we are. So I'm not disagreeing about the existence of tumor like processes in this story. I'm saying there's another element which is something that does not care that it is killing the thing on which you and I and our families and friends are all depending. And so that's why I'm focused there. I both problems are potentially fatal in their own right. The argument I made at Rescue the Republic was that nature, for creatures like us that do have this profound pattern of senescence, has come up with a beautifully elegant solution that we do not understand intuitively, but nonetheless it is essentially a perfect solution and that we do not have access to it with civilizations that we would have had to build a different mechanism in, so that at the point that a civilization becomes decrepit, that there is a mechanism for it to give birth to a civilization that profits from the wisdom that has accumulated and jettisons that which is no longer relevant or turned out not to be true and creates a civilization, you know, effectively a process of the creation of new civilizations that become better over time, the way selection makes creatures better adapted to their environments over time. So the solution for creatures is let's do it for humans. The solution is kids. And the thing about kids, and you don't need to have kids of your own for this solution to work. But we humans are unique in the degree to which what is adaptive about us is not housed in our genomes. We have genomes full of adaptations, but the genome has offloaded the heavy lifting of evolution to our cognitive layer and our cultural layer. And so much of what it is to be a human is actually passed outside of the genome, from parent to offspring, sometimes passed horizontally across civilization. Those elements are much more evolutionarily capable than the underlying genome because they evolve faster. And so this is what accounts for human beings having evolved to do so many different things on Earth over our history and across space. And the way it works is you produce a child. That child is not a blank slate, but they're the blankest slate that nature has ever created. And they pick up that fraction of what you know that is still apparently highly relevant, and they jettison that fraction that is not. And so they become a version of you that is updated, either because they live in different circumstances than you did or because time has progressed. So what we have is a creature that can keep up with a rapidly changing environment. Because we don't have that process in civilizations, we are facing senescence without having produced any offspring that might do what we're doing better than we're doing it in light of modern technology. And so the argument that I was making was that we have to figure out an alternative to civilizations giving birth to each other in some sort of regular way. And my claim was that very often wisdom about subtle phenomena is captured and transmitted culturally in the form of myths. And the myth that I invoked was the phoenix, which is a bird that, instead of reproducing, rises from the ashes of its own nest. And that we have to do something like this for our civilization to survive, for it to be effectively reborn, not as a child, but as a. A new bird. So that. That, I think, is where we are. How you do that is a difficult question. I think we have to survive the immediate peril in order to create a process that does this. But nonetheless, that was my argument.
B
Appreciate you joining us today for this powerful conversation with Brad Weinstein. If it's challenging your thinking, you're right where you need to be. We're here all week with more in depth discussions, so be sure to follow and stay locked in. Thank you in advance for listening. Stay curious, my friends, and as always, be legendary.
Episode: Election Special: Bret Weinstein on Will Trump Save or Sink America?
Date: October 31, 2024
Host: Tom Bilyeu
Guest: Bret Weinstein
In this special episode of Impact Theory, Tom Bilyeu hosts evolutionary biologist and public intellectual Bret Weinstein for an unflinching conversation on the existential stakes of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The discussion goes far beyond horse-race politics, probing the values, dangers, and philosophical challenges facing America as the world stands on the brink of an “adaptive valley.” Weinstein breaks down why he believes the present moment is uniquely perilous, explains what he sees as a catastrophic accumulation of risks on one political side, and speculates on how Trump or Harris might shape America's future. The conversation blends evolutionary theory, political analysis, and cultural critique to provide a vivid—and often dire—assessment of where America stands and what voting means in this extraordinary context.
“I’m obligated... morally obligated to provide [the human experience] in as liberating a way as possible to as many humans as we can... the long term trajectory ought to be to make sure the generations that follow us have at least as good an opportunity as we did, which means at least as intact a planet as we inherited.” (04:05)
“We have built a civilization that does remarkable things, but... it is not the beneficiary of thousands of years of perturbations and breakages that would have made it wise and antifragile. It's incredibly fragile.” (07:22)
“All of the most dangerous ideas have accumulated on one side... the deep state, the neoconstruction, the WOKE ideology, and corporate influences... whatever the Democratic party was, it isn’t any longer, and there’s no rescuing it.” (10:18)
“It also has the potential to renege on its commitments... but the combination [on the blue side] is not survivable.” (10:58)
“We’re playing some sort of belligerent nuclear game in Ukraine against a ferociously armed traditional nuclear enemy... that’s a senile person who has weaponry that should have been taken away from them.” (12:27)
“The mRNA gene therapy... has created lots of negative health consequences and didn’t apparently do any good that is detectable.” (14:28)
“…the risk is growing in large measure because the electromagnetic field of the planet is weakening.” (16:56)
“People have some sort of intrinsic hunger for that safety and security... I think there's something about the way that life is getting a lot more complicated.” (18:35)
“The skill set for crossing a valley is different than the skill set for ascending a peak... We now have to cross a valley, and we have lost track of how you do it.” (19:48)
“All of the scenarios in which this ends well involve us learning to do something that we don't yet know how to do.” (22:54) "You can't blueprint your way out of a crisis like this. You have to prototype your way out or navigate your way out." (23:45)
"I don't think the success of the Harris campaign could be really any more frightening. It's about as bad as it could be..." (31:48)
“He has this incredibly deep bench of highly skilled, courageous, patriotic people... My greatest hope is that he is elected, and that's what he does." (33:34)
“I don't think it was an insurrection. I think it's been painted that way at great cost." (36:27)
“…Dick Cheney embracing the Democrats, signaling that this is really a pole flip in the political landscape.” (45:43)
“Politicians are rewarded for finding these short-term solutions... But the consequence is that our system has accumulated all of these hazards with a delayed effect.” (53:46)
“We are facing senescence without having produced any offspring that might do what we’re doing better... we have to figure out an alternative to civilizations giving birth to each other... [the] myth I invoked was the phoenix.” (87:26)
“…there is a collection of people in a position to effectively make policy who do understand that this is a fatal trajectory. So my point is that’s the parasitoid, not the cancer.” (82:12)
“They rack up all this extraordinary debt, which is why the agencies can just keep getting larger and larger... they’ve actually convinced the public that you can print money forever. And as they print money, it’s robbing you of your buying power...” (77:47 - 80:36)
"The structures were, of course, going to run into profound challenges...the threats that the founders perceived are no longer recognizably like the ones that we face." (64:17)
Guiding Principle:
“We’re not entitled to take what we found on arrival and degrade it.”
(04:57, Bret Weinstein)
Existential Threats:
“We have, for the first time, maybe ever, the opportunity for a true existential crisis where we could end the human experience...”
(06:50, Tom Bilyeu summarizes Bret’s view)
On the Political Landscape:
“Whatever the Democratic party was, it isn’t any longer, and there’s no rescuing it... there’s no incremental rescue for a party that has simply taken up every bad idea simultaneously.”
(10:38, Bret Weinstein)
Nuclear Recklessness:
“We’re gambling everything. We are gambling humanity’s future on some plan that has not been shared with us and for reasons we can’t understand. And my guess is they don’t actually make any sense.”
(13:23, Bret Weinstein)
On Prototyping America’s Future:
“You can’t blueprint your way out of a crisis like this. You have to prototype your way out or navigate your way out. That it’s a process, it’s not a plan.”
(23:45, Bret Weinstein)
Election Simplified:
“Dick Cheney is nature’s way of telling us that that's not the Democratic Party we remember.”
(47:48, Bret Weinstein)
Phoenix Metaphor:
“[Phoenix]... is a bird that, instead of reproducing, rises from the ashes of its own nest. And that we have to do something like this for our civilization to survive, for it to be effectively reborn, not as a child, but as a...new bird.”
(87:26, Bret Weinstein)
The episode is unflinching, urgent, and intellectually rigorous, with Weinstein offering deep evolutionary and systemic analogies. While sober and alarmed, both host and guest periodically voice hope—not for easy fixes, but for the power of honesty, community, and bold, adaptive experimentation. Political language is pointed, especially regarding the failures Weinstein attributes to the “blue team,” but the analysis remains focused on ideas and long-range civic health over partisan scorekeeping.
Weinstein and Bilyeu’s conversation is a clarion call for listeners to think for themselves, look beyond simplistic headlines, and confront uncomfortable truths. The episode offers both a warning and an invitation: America, facing its most complex adaptive valley yet, must rediscover a culture of honest debate, mutual obligation, and evolutionary adaptation—or risk slipping into irreversible decline.
For those seeking a clear, high-stakes summation of election 2024 and America's civilizational prospects from two of today’s sharpest minds, this episode is essential listening.