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Top Traders Unplugged
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Trend Following: Market Mastery through Rules-Based Investing
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The Fourth Turning Is Here: How to Trade the Regime Shift ft. Neil Howe
Mar 4Tap to summarizeIT's TRUE – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube. Follow Cem on X. Follow Neil on X. Timestamps 01:28 – Introducing Neil Howe and why this conversation matters now03:37 – What the Fourth Turning is and how the cycle works10:26 – “The Fourth Turning Is Here” and the practical question: what do we do?16:42 – Rates, inequality, and why the last 40 years may not repeat20:17 – Inflation as a crisis tool, not a forecasting error26:43 – Options, convexity, and non-linear portfolios in regime change33:31 – The surge into “non-correlated” assets and what it signals39:39 – Market closures, devaluation, and the limits of buy-the-dip history45:28 – Commodities as a missing portfolio leg and the volatility debate48:12 – Howe’s ETF framework: themes, commodities, cash, and tail hedges52:43 – Timing the crisis, geopolitics, and the authoritarianism question The post The Fourth Turning Is Here: How to Trade the Regime Shift ft. Neil Howe appeared first on Top Traders Unplugged.
Transcribe →Playing the Players in a Narrative Market ft. Ben Hunt
Feb 4Tap to summarizeIT's TRUE – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube. Follow Cem on X. Follow Ben on X. Timestamps 00:00 – Introduction to U Got Options and the trading floor setting02:18 – Ben Hunt’s background and Epsilon Theory origins04:11 – Markets as the ultimate multiplayer game06:15 – Inference, unstructured data, and narrative analysis08:18 – Why sentiment and word counts miss the real signal11:16 – Mapping meaning and truthy stories15:00 – LLMs as operating systems, not oracles18:01 – Giving money back and when models stop working21:16 – Applying narrative tools beyond markets24:10 – Consumer weakness versus bullish expectations30:43 – Inflation, recession, and why markets do not care33:29 – Dormant stories and volatility discovery34:26 – The sell America narrative and capital flows40:05 – Common knowledge and reflexivity45:44 – Regime change, multipolarity, and narrative dominance The post Playing the Players in a Narrative Market ft. Ben Hunt appeared first on Top Traders Unplugged.
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