Special guest Eric Crittenden returns to the show today to discuss the fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio, the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to begin tightening fiscal policy, Eric’s last appearance on the show which was at the March 2020 stock market bottom, different speeds of Trend Following, why stable returns doesn’t always equate to low risk, the difficulty in being comfortable with doing the opposite of what we’re wired to do, how managed futures can help investor’s portfolios, negative interest rates and flight out of fixed income, what could Trend Following bring to the crypto space, and changing the narrative around Trend Following.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

The misconceptions around the safety & profitability of a typical 60/40 portfolio
The recent Federal Reserve decision to tighten fiscal policy
Eric's last appearance on the show, which was at the exact bottom of the 2020 market crash
The varying speeds of Trend Following
Why low-volatility returns may not mean that a strategy isn't risky
Overcoming behavioural biases
Managed futures as a great benefit to investor's portfolios
The flight out of fixed income
Why crypto investors could benefit from Trend Following
Changing the narrative around Trend Following

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:59 - Macro recap from Niels

03:22 - Weekly review of returns

10:41 - What could Trend Following bring to the crypto space?

16:36 - How can CTAs change the narrative around investing so that they are included in the picture at all times, instead of just when investors are panicking?

24:50 - Q1; Leonie: What goals can I set as an independent Trend Following trader?

30:13 - Q2, Q3 & Q4; James: How do you size positions across different speeds of systems? How much in percentage terms should a retail investor allocate to Trend Following strategies? Can you recommend a CTA comparison website?

33:16 - Q5; Jacob & Sam: Can Bitcoin futures be traded safely even though you can’t trade them over the weekend?

36:30 - Trend Following reframed for better understanding

48:04 - Trend Following misunderstood

59:48 - Why Trend Following on only a single asset class often leads to failure

01:04:17 - Economic and social similarities between today and the 1960s

01:07:37 - The fallacies of the typical 60/40 portfolio

01:16:54 - How managed futures can help portfolios

01:23:16 - Benchmark performance update

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Disclaimer

SI143: How Decentralised Is Bitcoin? ft. Eric Crittenden