Today, Cem Karsan joins us to reflect on a week with heavy Fed action and some of the myths surrounding the Fed. We discuss how the behaviour of the Fed impacts inflation and the importance of understanding seasonality, why the discussion between recession and no recession makes little sense and the what direction the markets are heading. We also discuss Cem’s approach to trading the current volatility compression and why 44% of the S&P options volume is in 0 DTE, the key takeaways from the year that has passed and the most surprising events of the year, how the world has changed over the years and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:57 - What happened this week?

11:34 - An interesting period for equities

22:33 - Industry performance update

24:39 - Does recession or no-recession even matter?

33:44 - How and when to short the S&P

39:10 - The Oil Put...

45:08 - Why has Gold disappointed?

47:47 - The rise of the 0DTE options

53:00 - Takeaways from 2022

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Disclaimer

SI223: 2022 an unusual year for Volatility ft. Cem Karsan