Transcript
William Greene (0:00)
You're listening to tip. You're listening to the Richer, Wiser, Happier Podcast, where your host, William Greene, interviews the world's greatest investors and explores how to win in markets and life. All right, folks, I'm thrilled to be back with you on the Richer, Wiser, Happier Podcast. I'm joining you on a beautiful summer day here in New York, and my plan today is to bring you something a little different. For the first time ever, I'm recording a special Ask Me Anything episode. So instead of interviewing a guest, I'm going to answer an array of questions that have been submitted to me by listeners from around the world over the last couple of weeks. I received dozens of questions over LinkedIn and X, and through email, I also got a slew of terrific questions that were sent by subscribers to the Intrinsic Value Newsletter, which is part of the investors podcast network empire. So thanks a lot to Sean and Daniel, who host the Intrinsic Value Podcast for very kindly gathering those questions from their followers. In any case, I'm going to do my best to answer a good number of questions, but I got so many that I'm almost certainly going to save some of them for a future episode of the podcast. And of course, in my dream version of this episode, I was going to prepare a lot and figure out what I would say first. But of course, I've been in a maelstrom of activity the last few weeks, and so I'm going to really just answer questions and see what comes out. And hopefully something in here will be useful for you, or at least it'll be honest. In any case, the first question is from someone called Thomas Sinclair from Fairbanks, Alaska. And Thomas wrote to me, hi, William, you write a lot about others and what has helped them in their journey. What are the three best decisions or investments that you have made in your own life? Well, the first one, without any doubt, actually, is that I got married really young, really surprisingly young. I met my wife, Lauren, when I was 22, and I had just come to New York, and I was a young aspiring journalist, and we went out, both of us, on the only ever blind date. We went on, and we met at the museum and whatnot. And I think the first date lasted about nine hours, and the second date lasted a couple of days. And really within a couple of weeks, we moved in together. And when I think. I think we were probably 24, we got engaged. We went to this beautiful restaurant in New York, one if by land, two if by sea. And after I posed the question to my wife as to whether she would Marry me. She realized she'd been letting wax from the candle fall on her hand and burn her hand. In any case, we then got married at 25, and we were sufficiently young and irresponsible and I guess sort of creative and subversive that we walked down the aisle with our dog Dizzy, who was named after Dizzy Gillespie. Yeah, so it was very young. And so in some ways you could say it was kind of reckless. So rather than this being a great decision, you could argue that it was sort of overly impulsive, overly reckless to get married at that age. But here I am, you know, 35 years almost after we met, and still, thank God, very happy. I'm very, incredibly grateful. And I actually wrote at the very end of my book, richer, Wise, Happier. At the end of the acknowledgments, I said, and then there's my wife, Lauren Cooper, the kindest and most caring of people. I met Lauren when I was only 22 years old. And everything that's best in my life stems from that one miraculous stroke of good fortune. And I think that's true, particularly our kids. But also to have a spouse who looks out for you, watches over you, is an amazing piece of good fortune in life. And so I don't take a great deal of credit for that decision, except in a couple of ways. So one is, before we got engaged, I actually called three people. I called my late father, my mother, and my brother independently. And I said, I'm thinking of proposing to Lauren. Am I getting something wrong here? Am I missing something? And all of them said, no, no, she's great and you're very fortunate. And I think I was sufficiently surprised that anyone would date me that they probably were like, yeah, yeah, just go for it. It's an amazing piece of good fortune. But then a year or two ago, when I interviewed Annie Duke on the podcast we had been talking about her book Quit, and it really struck me that she, she was advising people to, to bring in what she called, I think, outside voices to challenge any decision you're making, any important decision that you're making. And she talked about Danny Kahneman, who she had been close to, the Nobel Prize winning economist, who obviously was one of the great decision making experts. And Kahneman had apparently appointed a friend of his who was also a Nobel Prize winning economist, Richard Thaler, to point out his mistakes and his blind spots. And he asked Thaler to challenge him if he was missing something. So I think it's curious that even though I was a sort of reckless and impulsive 24 year old getting engaged, that at least I was bringing in outside voices to see if I had missed something. I think, I think that was probably a pretty good early recognition of the fact that I might be doing something really foolish. And I just wanted to check with people who cared about me and were likely to be looking out for my best interests. The other thing I would say, obviously everyone's marriage and everyone's relationships are different and you can't extrapolate too much from one person's experience. But what I've said to my kids, Henry and Madeleine, who are 24 and 27 many times over the years, is I think the single most important thing is to find someone who's kind. I think if you're with someone who's kind and who looks out for you, that makes up for a lot of problems. But I think that's also something that you probably have to nurture and it's very conscious. And so, I don't know, I'm pretty useless in so many ways around the house and I'm pretty self centered and I'm pretty obsessed with my work, which is probably illustrated by the fact that I'm recording this on the 4th of July, which is a federal holiday and everyone else is off. But one thing that I do that I think is probably pretty good and is easily clonable is even though I'm, I'm not that handy in any other way, I do make coffee every single morning for Lauren and for me because I drink ridiculous amounts of coffee and, and I take a coffee in bed every morning and it's just a small way of trying to even a little bit at the balance of someone who does so much more for me than I do for them. But also there's this moment as I'm waiting for the coffee to brew where I'm like, do I actually empty the dishwasher? And I don't like emptying the dishwasher, but Lauren just likes it more than I do and it depresses her when she gets up and the very first thing in the day is emptying the dishwasher. And so I thought about this this morning right as I'm. I was going to work all day and she was off for the day and still I'm like, nah, let me just empty the dishwasher even though it's annoying. And then I went off and I had a conversation with a couple of friends over Zoom for an hour or so, which I do every Friday. And then Lauren came in with these beautiful flowers, these wild flowers. That she'd picked in our garden and had put in a vase that she made that I had admired yesterday. And I just, I just think that's such a lovely thing to have someone who, you know, you're not. You're not counting who's ahead and who's done more, which is lucky, since the answer in this case would be pretty obvious, but somebody who is trying to make you happy. And, you know, she knew that I had particularly liked this vase that she had made. It's really beautiful. And she had just brought it yesterday from this pottery studio where she's been going a lot. And so she brings me these beautiful flowers that she's grown. And, you know, it just. It's a small thing, but it's these little acts of kindness that I think after 30 something years, keep your marriage good. So it's not one decision. In a way, there was the original decision, and there are all the ways that you subsequently try to live up to those original promises. And I fail constantly on this. I'm always falling short. But I sort of feel like eventually, hopefully I'll deserve this gift that I was given when I was ridiculously young. So that's the first decision that I made that I think was probably the single best decision of my life. Then in terms of more investment oriented decisions, the best decision in some ways was just to start to become obsessed with investing when I was about 26. So the fact that very early, or comparatively early at least, I started to invest in the stock market. And so to get a good Runway. I mean, obviously if I had been Buffett and it started at the age of 11 or something like that, it would have been much better, but it was pretty good. And one of the things that I did when I was fairly young was I invested in Guy Speer's fund, the Aquamarine Fund. We used to go have lunch together in New York City when he was living here instead of living in Switzerland. And we would chat a lot, and I liked him, and I could see that he was very, very smart and driven. And I think around 1999, when Buffett was hugely out of favor, Guy put something like 20, 25% of his fund in Berkshire. I think it was at 40,000 at the time. It was really cheap and very out of favor. There were a lot of people already predicting that Buffett was sort of finished and that he'd lost his touch. And so Guy made this very contrarian investment. And I probably, maybe a year later, maybe in 2000, possibly 2001, around then, I invested in his fund. And I didn't realize I was one of the first investors. And so again, it was a good decision where I got kind of lucky because I didn't realize, actually, I ended up helping him with his book, the Educational Value Investor, many years later. And I think I only realized then when he wrote so candidly about his experiences before setting up his fund. I only realized I really hadn't done my due diligence. And I was just sort of making a call on the fact that this guy was clearly highly intelligent and ambitious and I thought he was going to make money and I wanted to make money with him. So I think I got pretty lucky there. But again, in a similar way to maybe my good fortune with my decision to get married. And then the fact that I sort of protected that decision in some ways through trying to behave decently for the most part subsequently, the thing that made me lucky with the Aquamarine decision is I then had the patience to hold. So I've probably been in the fund for 24, 25 years, something like that. And similarly, I bought index funds very early, not that early, but certainly mid to late 20s, and kept them for 30 something years. I had another fund that I owned for about 14 years until finally I got turfed out of it because they changed the structure. I would have kept it indefinitely. Berkshire I've owned for a long time. They're not nearly long enough. I wish I'd bought it way earlier, but. So I think. I think in a way, you know, with each of these things, the original decision was decent. Like I made a decision during. During COVID where I bought Berkshire, maybe three, or probably three, maybe four more times. Like I kept adding to my position. So I think that was smart. But I think the thing that was really smart and God knows I made a huge number of mistakes. So I'm just, just highlighting the good decisions here. This thing that was smart was the holding, it was the patience. And I think, again, that's really replicable. So that's been very fortunate. And then again, there were really good things came out of investing in Aquamarine. So my friendship with Guy, which has been an important part of my life because he's been kind to me on so many different fronts over so many years, that was very important and led to lots of good things because Guy would introduce me to people like Mohnish Pabrai or Nick Sleep and Ken Shubenstein. I mean, lots of people who became friends of mine were important sources for my book and things like that. So so many Things came out of that friendship. And also I think one of the strange things in my approach to investing that came out of this is I've ended up several times investing with friends, which is probably unconventional and often a really lousy idea. But I. I think I'm invested in four actively managed funds, and they're all managed by friends of mine, all by people I really like personally who are very smart investors, but also people I trust personally. And maybe part of investing with friends is it's a judgment call about their personality and whether they're trustworthy and the like. But part of it is that I think it helps me to be. To be patient because I don't want to disappoint them in some way and have them feel like I've betrayed them by cashing out something. So maybe it's using my own personality in a way that helps me do the right thing and be patient as an investor. The third thing I would say in terms of one of the three best decisions or investments that I made in my life was actually the decision to write my book Richer, wiser, happier, which was in some ways a foolhardy act of courage because everyone would tell you how the book publishing industry was falling apart, and it was incredibly difficult to make money off a book. And I've put lots of people off writing books myself, and I just put everything into the book. I mean, I just. I just really put heart and soul into it. I think I spent six months even on the book proposal before I got started. And I went to India with Mohnish for five days to report just so that I could write the book proposal. And so it's a tremendous investment of time and energy and emotional commitment. And as I've mentioned lots of times before, I took five years on the book and I didn't take a single vacation. I really try not to work on Saturdays, but I very frequently work on Sundays and holidays. So it was intense and I put everything into it. And it was very stressful because when you're writing a book, you have no idea if it's going to resonate. And it's a long, quite lonely, and quite painful process. And you're very exposed. And I miss my deadline by a couple of years. So I felt a tremendous amount of pressure. My editor at Scribner told me I was sitting in an office not far, about 15ft from the office where I'm recording this. Told me at one point, you realize that we can cancel your contract and get the money back. And his boss came to my Paperback book party release recently and said to me, oh, we never would have done that. And I told him that. And he's like, no, no, we would have done. I mean, I was really at risk. And so I had this feeling that I was. That I had failed before I even started, that I hadn't even turned the book in and I'd already failed. And so it was very painful, very emotionally difficult. So I think if there's any lesson from that, it's that the things that we do that are hardest tend to be the things that are most rewarding. That's not always true, of course, but there's a great principle in Kabbalah, this ancient spiritual wisdom that I've spent a lot of time studying over the last 17 or so years. They talk about restriction, this ability to go against your own nature, that in a sense there's always this kind of force of opposition that you need to overcome in order to earn great light, to put it metaphorically. And I remember a teacher using the metaphor of playing soccer and not having a goalkeeper and taking penalties, and it would just not be very rewarding. You need the struggle for it to be worthwhile. And so I'm still a little bit shell shocked, even a few years after the book came out, because it was so intense and so challenging. But at the same time, the book has done really well and it's created so many amazing opportunities for me and really changed my life in so many ways, including creating this podcast and given the opportunity to give speeches around the world and various other opportunities. It's been an amazing thing, life changing thing for me. So those three things I would say were at least off the top of my head, the three great decisions, the three great investments, I guess you could, you could call them. And it's interesting that they're a mix of personal, financial, professional. It makes me think of Charlie Munger saying everything is one damn relatedness after another. All right, the second question comes from a listener called Tyler Hart. That's H A R D T. And Tyler is his chief portfolio manager at a firm called Pelican Bay Capital Management and lives in Naples, Florida and is a concentrated value investor. And Tyler wrote to me, good morning, Mr. Green. I would highlight this question already. Anyone who treats me with respect like that is greatly to be applauded. Good morning, Mr. Green. I would like to submit the following question for your Ask Me Anything podcast. Given your extensive experience interviewing these super investors and observing their consistent application of principles that extend beyond finance into their personal lives, do you believe there's a common thread, perhaps a master principle that underpins their ability to cultivate both exceptional wealth and a profound sense of well being, even when facing significant market volatility or personal adversity. If so, what do you think that singular overarching principle might be? Thank you for all that you do and your contribution to making us better investors and people. Have a great day. Tyler Hart that's a wonderful question. Thank you. There's so much to this, the idea of a master principle underpinning the ability of all these great investors to cultivate both wealth and a sense of well being amid adversity. And I think one of the things that's been very striking to me, that became very clear when I was working on the epilogue of the book, when I was pulling back and trying to look at what actually makes for a happy and successful life, was I got this sense that nothing is more important than the ability to handle adversity. And in fact, there's a sentence in that epilogue where I wrote, we cannot hope to lead happy and successful lives unless we learn to cope well with adversity. And I think I've been surprised again and again by the fact that you look at these incredibly successful lives of a lot of the people that I'm writing about, and yet almost all of them have been through a great deal of pain and suffering along the way, particularly the older ones. And I tend to focus on people who've succeeded over very long periods of time. Think of someone like Charlie Munger, who died, I think, 34 days short of his 100th birthday and was more or less sainted by the time he passed. I mean, everyone, everyone admired him greatly. And he had an extraordinary last few years where I think people realize what a great role model and sage he was in so many ways. And yet Charlie lost his first child to leukemia, lost his first marriage, got off to a really bad start financially, partly because of that. Later he lost his eye, lost his second wife after, I think, if I remember rightly, she fell down the stairs, something like that. But that was after many decades of marriage. And he talked about the idea. I'll misquote this slightly, but it's a very important insight that I've quoted a lot where he talked about this idea that you should treat life as a series of adversities that give you an opportunity to behave well or badly. That's a really great filter. And I remember him saying that when you get old, this attitude is all the more important because the adversities come thick and fast. As I think he said, and I see this a lot, I mean, in some ways, if you think about the actual game of investing, Templeton's John Templeton once told me, many years ago, maybe 25, 30 years ago, said to me that he had looked back at something like half a million investment decisions he'd made and realized that he'd been wrong a third of the time. Although his term for it, he said a third of those decisions were the opposite of wisdom, which I guess Charlie would have called foolish. Jeff Gundlach said the same thing to me, that he was wrong about a third of the time. So built into the game of investing is the fact that we're wrong a lot. So we're always having to recover from mistakes and we're having to make sure that, as Gundlach said to me, you've got to ask yourself, what's the consequence if I'm wrong? So you've got to make sure your mistake stakes are non fatal, as he put it. But built into this game is the fact you're going to be dealing with these setbacks. And I saw this very, very vividly with Bill Miller, who I've interviewed an enormous amount over the last 25 years or so when he had a terrible time during the financial crisis. And I've hugely admired the way he came back from that with this sense of honor and strength and good grace and good humor in admitting his mistakes and the like. And Bill, many years ago was the guy who got me to start studying Stoic philosophy. This is really a long time ago because Bill had been a PhD Philosophy student as well as going into military intelligence. Very unusual background, very brilliant man. So Bill got me to read people like Marcus Aurelius, who wrote this amazing book, Meditations, that many of you will have read, and Epictetus, who is extraordinary, I believe, was a slave and yet gained extraordinary control over his mind, of his inner landscape. And also Bill got me to read this book by Vice Admiral Stockdale called Thoughts of a Philosophical Fighter Pilot, which I found very helpful. And so these were really all about, as Epictetus taught everything really was about how you get control over your inner landscape so that no one can really touch you. And. And Marcus Aurelius did the same thing. He, I think, referred to the greatest of all contests being the struggle not to be overwhelmed by anything that happens. And there's a beautiful line that I discussed with Samantha Macklemore, Bill Miller's successor on the podcast that had affected both of us from Meditations, where Marcus Aurelius Talked about how you should be like a rock that the waves keep crashing over. It stands unmoved and the raging of the sea falls still around it. And so I think whatever you do, both in investing and life, developing this sense of resilience, this ability to handle adversity, is really important. And so doing things like meditating, like building strong relationships, having some sort of spiritual resource, some sort of spiritual belief that you can draw on in difficult times, very, very helpful. But it's not just resilience in that negative sense of sort of waiting for things, for disaster to crash into you. There's also this kind of resilience that I see in just the incredible ability to keep compounding knowledge and good habits and persevering. So maybe really the underlying quality that all of these people have is this kind of indomitable perseverance. And I always loved this phrase that Peter Kaufman from Glen Eyre, who never really speaks publicly, but was a great friend of Charlie Mungers and is a sort of philosopher king within the business and investing world, he would talk about dogged incremental progress over time. I think that was the phrase he used. That's certainly the way I remember it. And I think about that a lot, that that's the quality you need, this sort of commitment to dogged incremental progress over time. And Chris Beg, who I've had on the podcast as well, and who's become a good friend, he created an acronym for this, which is Piper, which I believe stands for Persistent Incremental Progress Eternally Repeated. And Chris was sufficiently taken with this concept of the Piper mindset that when he had a child on January 1, which would have been Charlie's 101st birthday, he called the child. He and his wife Sam, called the child Piper. So I think that gives you a sense that what you need is this ability not only to deal with setbacks and recover from mistakes and handle adversity, but this indomitable commitment to forward progress. I think that's a prerequisite for success. And I've certainly seen that in my own career, not to hold myself up, as, you know, the equivalent of Charlie Munger and Marcus Aurelius and the like. But I mean, along the way, you know, if you're a writer, you deal with a lot of pain. And I mean, A, there's the pain of the blank page and not not knowing what you're going to say and having to wrestle with your thoughts, which I find hard. But B, it's been in some ways a terrible industry for you. Know, ever since I left Oxford at the age, you know, 20, and then I came to New York and went to Columbia Journalism school when I was about 22 and ever since then, so I've been writing for magazines and then later books and the like since I was 21. So this is, you know, 35 year career. It's always been hard. I mean, I had so many stories killed over the years and you know, you would spend weeks or months on a story and then it wouldn't come out. And then you'd have to, you'd have to just hold it together and be like, okay, I'm gonna, I'm gonna come back from that. And for a long time I think I was very motivated by almost a desire to. I mean, the negative word for it would be revenge. It's not really that, but it was a desire to show them. It's like, I'm gonna show those guys. I used ruder words than that in my own head. You know, they never should have killed my story. And just that attitude of indomitability, whatever it is that motivates you, I think is very, very important. I think as I've got older, there's less of a desire to show everyone and prove them wrong and all of that, although that's still part of my psyche. But there's probably more of a desire to be of service and help and in some way, hopefully to be a conduit for insights that'll help people. And that's a better place to come from, I think, than those negative emotions of anger and a desire to prove yourself and all the vulnerable ego that goes with it. But wherever you get your strength, that ability just to keep going. Indomitable perseverance, I think is the, the single most important thread. I'm probably wrong here, but I don't think you could do without it. I mean, there are plenty of other things. You need certainly to be a very successful investor. So you need a calm temperament, probably to some degree at least, to be able to make rational, unemotional decisions about money. You need to be able to think probabilistically, to calculate the odds and the like. You need to be highly intelligent. You need to be able to go against the crowd and to think for yourself. So you need a fierce independence. You need a weird mix of self confidence to go against the crowd, and yet the humility to check your decisions and to wonder if you're wrong and to be open to dissenting opinions. So in a way there's a sort of, there are conflicting characteristics. There the humility and the confidence. So there are so many things like that. You need to be fiercely competitive, fiercely driven, fiercely persistent. So in some ways I sometimes think that the greatest investors are a weird chemical experiment where so many things had to go right or just had to be in some weird balance for them to come out as they were. But I think it's helpful. Some of these qualities are not really clonable because they're probably part of your wiring and you probably can't necessarily just emulate them. But I think the awareness that you are going to fail, you're going to be wrong, you're going to make mistakes, you're going to look foolish at times, and yet you're going to have to persevere. I think just that simple awareness is quite helpful. So for me, when I look at my own career, I think indomitable perseverance, indomitable persistence has been the single most helpful quality that I've had. That would be my guess. So maybe I'm just projecting onto great investors and I'm certainly not a great investor, but maybe I'm projecting onto them that I see they have to have that capacity just to keep going. Let's take a quick break and hear from today's sponsors.
