Transcript
A (0:00)
Foreign.
B (0:07)
Welcome back, everybody, to a special episode of what really Matters. I'm Jeremy Stern with you in Los Angeles. I'm here, as always, with Walter Russell Mead of tablet, the Wall Street Journal, Hudson Institute, and the Hamilton School at the University of Florida. Walter, you've been in Davos all week at the World Economic Forum, which I gather Donald Trump has helped made, maybe not great, but at least relevant again in his own way. So we're going to skip the regular formatting this week and cover the thoughts, impressions, observations, reflections, et cetera you've made in three different dispatches you filed from Davos. The first was about how kind of whereas denial was the main attribute of Davos last year, fear has been the primary factor this year. The second was about Trump and his speech in which the Matter of Greenland featured heavily and really kind of about how the US As a whole at Davos this year has been both more dominant and more unpopular than it's ever been. And then the third kind of about Volodymyr Zelenskyy's speech in which he spoke about how kind of the moral gap between Europe and Trump isn't as large as the Europeans would like to think it is, and that while maybe their diplomatic behavior is preferable to America's, their actual actions and revealed preferences from the standpoint of a besieged country on the front line of defending the west are often not. So let's take each of these in turn today. Let's start with the mood changeover from last year to this year, from denial to fear. Tell us what you mean.
A (1:39)
Well, things were beginning to change last year at Davos, and maybe first of all, I should just, you know, say a little bit, because maybe not everybody listening to us is sort of Davos aficionado. You know, the World Economic Forum. It's an organization that for many years has over half a century has been having these conferences annually every year in Switzerland. Kind of started out as mostly a European business conference. Politicians began to come because there were so many business people here. Then it became global. More people from the US came, ultimately Russia and China after the end of the Cold War and so on and so forth. India's big now the Gulf, but also a lot of NGOs and so on. A lot of the climate activism. Davos used to have all these climate demonstrators, and they kind of invited them inside the tent, and it turned out that they had a lot of influence for a while in developing the agenda this year. Interestingly, as the agenda has moved away from sort of the climate change sustainability Stuff that was such a big deal in the recent past. We had actually more demonstrators again. So my first day here, we were like, you know, you couldn't get through the roads because, you know, once again, the World Economic Forum had become the enemy of the Greens. So interesting changes. And you do see, you know, you've got. For people like me who do a lot of kind of writing about international affairs, we're definitely the poor relations here at Davos. I mean, there's a lot of billionaires, a lot of CEOs, and then there's sort of us, you know, what wretched ink stained drudges who, instead of partying till all hours of the night, have to like, go back to our miserable hotels and type away at our, at our, at our columns or what have you. But it's what that also means, though, is that it's a great time to, to get together and see what other people that you, you know, who you read every day or so on what they're thinking and to get behind the headlines a little bit with them. So when I talk about things like the mood at Davos, that's, that's a very fancy way of saying what some of the people I hang out with are thinking and feeling at a given, given moment. And there definitely was a shift, I think last year there, there was, there was a lot of fear, beginnings of fear, but the predominant reaction was, we can make this, we can work with Trump. We've had Trump before. It wasn't that big of a deal. There was perhaps more of a confidence still that it would be an easy thing to, to work with, relatively easy to settle the war in Ukraine in some reasonable way. This year, with Trump's 2.0, a lot more in the news, a lot more aggressive, more internationally activist than the first time around. And also with the war in Ukraine actually going pretty badly, you know something, we were getting stories like 600,000 people have fled Kyiv. With the increasing Russian attacks on the electricity grid and so on, it's a different feel. There's more anger at the United States. This was all obviously accentuated by the Greenland issue that pops up. But fear, anger, uncertainty about what lies ahead. This was a very different Davos. And Trump, who not only came himself this year, but brought a huge delegation of senior American officials, and there was an America House close to the Congress Center. I should probably say a little bit about all that. What happens is this is a sleepy ski resort. Most of the time I'm actually staying in Cloisters, not Davos. This is Where Prince Charles, now King Charles used to hang out all the time. And I, I hear from people in the, in the town that he and his family would just kind of walk around here, you know, and nobody would say anything and, and it was very casual. What I've discovered is they treat me just like that here, just like Prince Charles, very casual. No one gets excited when they see me. But up in Davos itself, which is maybe a, you know, it's a, it's maybe a 20 minute, 25 minute drive when things are fine. But when the security which gets very tight when you have like 40 world leaders up there, you know, can be two or three hours, it can be pretty exhausting. Up in Davos you have this promenade street outside the super security zone where only people with white badges are allowed into the super secret part and then, but along this promenade people set up stands and you know that the regular stores empty out of all of their goods and they put up these facades. So you have like, you know, the big Saudi Arabia show or come see Palantir erects a building, a pre, preassembles one of these buildings that it just, you make from prefab materials. And so there's this elaborate center. There are unbelievable number. Indian states have big exhibits. You walk up. And so this was this year, the Americans put, put up a big thing in one of the churches very close to the conference center, very desirable location. So this was a much bigger deal. The American presence, the administration was clearly pushing it. And what they were doing was they were pushing, they weren't just saying, hi, we're here, we love you, we want to work with you. No, it was a huge visible presence aimed at saying, we don't like any of you people. You people have really made a mess of everything. And we are here to tell you exactly where and how you are wrong. It was really an incredible display. And at the same time that people were peering here and making videos, very stern speeches, they were contributing op eds. I think Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick had one in the, it ran in the ft. So by the time Donald, it came for Donald Trump's big speech and he had actually two very significant appearances here, the Greenland sort of panic was at its height and he was demanding, you know, full sovereignty, military occupation. And furthermore, if any Europeans oppose it or even aren't enthusiastic enough about supporting it, he's going to put tariffs on top of them, on top of what they're already paying. And people were shell shocked. So when there's a big kind of arena, you Know, the biggest conference hall in the. In the whole development is where they have the big speakers. The line to get in when Trump was going to make his speech was insane. And everybody standing in line, clawing, you know, desperately hoping they're going to get a place in there. It's like the CEO of a Fortune 500 corporation or editor in chief of a major publication, you know, people who are normally the big celebrities, and everyone bows and scrapes to them and scatters. Palm, palm fronds before their advancing feet. All right. No, they're like, you know, regular pros in this horrible scrum. And all for Donald Trump. And so the display of dominance was. Was insane. It was. I honestly don't think I've ever seen anything like it. One of the people crammed in next to me said, this isn't a political conference. This is Woodstock. But of course, it's Woodstock, where almost everybody in the audience hates the act. It really was one of the most extraordinary kind of weeks I've lived through.
