B (28:44)
Okay, great question, Pedro. First of all, I think what people need to hear sometimes is that your plan is reasonable. And your goal is to come up with a reasonable plan, fund it adequately, and stick with it in the long term. And your plan is reasonable, Pedro. You're doing fine. You're doing great. I mean, you're gonna be financially independent at 45, right? You're totally winning this game. So don't beat yourself up about the small details. You're getting the big stuff, right? And that's what matters. Okay? Now, Simple Path to Wealth is a great book. J.L. collins wrote this book years ago. We pass it out all the time. In fact, it's one of our favorite wedding presents. What we often do is we put a check inside it and we write on it that when they read the book, they can cash the check. And it's amazing how long it takes sometimes after the wedding for that check to get cashed. But part of that is maybe we don't tell them that there's a check inside the book and so it sits on the shelf for a while before they get around to looking in there and finding the check. So we're trying to get better at telling people that we give wedding presents to, that there's actually a check in the book. At any rate, I think that philosophy is fine. If you've looked at my post, 150 portfolios better than yours, there's actually 200 portfolios. Then the gist of that post is that there's not a magic portfolio. The only way to know the perfect portfolio is to have a functional crystal ball, to have a time machine to essentially go back once you know what's done the best and only put your money in that. Well, none of us have that. And so it's a guess, right? Your asset allocation is a guess, and you're hedging your bets with that guess. Cause you're not sure exactly what's going to do the best. And so in my case, I put some money into stocks, I put some money into bonds, I put some money into real estate. And there's always something in there. I'm not happy. I own right in 2020 or 2022 or 2008, I'm not happy. I own a bunch of stocks, right? Because they went down in value in years like the last decade where US Stocks have kicked the pants off of international stocks. I'm not happy that I own international stocks. And when large growth stocks are doing great, I'm not happy that I have small value stocks. And when real estate is thumping stocks, I'm not very happy that I've only got 20% of my money in real estate. And when everything seems to tank except my bonds, I wish I had more money in bonds. And when everything's doing great except the bonds, I wish I had less money in bonds. You're always regretting something when you have a diversified portfolio. But you set your asset allocation by trying to balance two things. Your fear of missing out FOMO, right? What you feel in years like 2023 and 2024 when you don't have all your money in tech stocks versus your fear of loss, right? You gotta balance those two things. That's what your asset allocation is. It's a mix of investments that you can stick with even with FOMO and even with fear of loss. So that's the balance you're trying to get. You're trying to mix mostly your stock to bond ratio, your risky asset to your not so risky asset ratio. That's what you're trying to get, right? So you don't panic, sell in March of 2020, or, you know, when interest rates go up 4% and real estate struggling, like in 2022, or when the whole financial world's melting down, like in 2008, or when everything with.com after its name tanks in 2000, right? You're trying not to panic in those moments. And so you gotta have a balance there. So your plan is fine, Pedro. You've obviously funded it well. And obviously going all US stocks over the last decade or so has really worked out well for you, right? So I'm not surprised that you're pretty happy with that performance. And you're talking about being fi so early in your life because that ended up being a very fortuitous choice. It's not terribly diversified, right? I mean, it's more diversified than just picking a few stocks because you own all the stocks. You own 4,000 U.S. stocks. But let's be honest, whatever it is, 35 or 40% of the money in VTA, sax or the ETF version, VTI is currently invested in, like, the top 10 stocks, right? It's all these household tech growth stocks, stocks that we've all heard of over and over again for the last 10 years, that's where 40% of your money is. It's not terribly diversified. And so you gotta be okay with that. Now, obviously it worked out very well for you, and I think it's a reasonable way to invest. It's certainly a very simple way to invest. And that's the beauty of J.L. collins work, right? He gives you a simple path to wealth. If you can stick with that 100% US total stock market approach and you fund it adequately, it's going to work out. There's going to be some decades when it's not awesome. I started investing in what's been referred to as the last decade, 2000 to 2010. Basically, over that period of time, the s and P500 had a return of barely more than zero. It was very close to zero. It wasn't negative. It was just slightly more when you include the dividends. But it wasn't great. It was a pretty lousy decade. Everything else did better. International stocks did better. Bonds did better. Real estate did better. Small value stocks did better. Everything did better than US large stocks, particularly these growthy stocks. Now, for the last decade, it's been just the opposite. And those growthy stocks kick the pants off of everything else. And so you gotta recognize that you kind of benefited from having a tailwind at your back as you invested over the last 10 years. And recognize that that's a little bit of an issue now. It sounds to me like you've got some other stuff in your portfolio. So that's great. And I think that's gonna work out fine for you. Just recognize that being 100% stock has risks. Right? Most of the time, having more money in stocks, if you can tolerate them and not sell them low in a market downturn pays off. Right? Cause in the long run, these riskier assets tend to have higher returns. As long as you're not just buying two or three individual stocks, you're buying them all, that usually works better and putting bonds in your portfolio, but there's no guarantee of that. Bonds can outperform stocks for a very long period of time. And the US Is a little bit of an exception when you look at all the countries across the world of stocks always beating bonds. So I think there's a good case that can be made for having some bonds in your portfolio. And it sounds like you're planning to add them in a few years, which I think is very reasonable. And this idea of having a bond tent, then decreasing your bonds later throughout your retirement to help your portfolio keep up with inflation, once you've got through those worst years per sequence of returns, risk is not crazy. Now, for those of you who've never heard of this idea of decreasing your bond exposure later in life, I think it's a reasonable philosophy, even if it's the opposite of what most people do, which is decreasing their stock to bond ratio over the decades. For an early retiree, a pretty good argument can be made for this increasing stock to bond ratio. After the initial sequence of returns, risk decreases. I think it's not crazy what you're doing now. What should you do for the next four years? Well, without a functional crystal ball, I can't tell you. If I knew that international stocks were going to crush everything else for the next four years, I'd tell you to put all your money in that, but I have no idea. So I'd keep a reasonably diversified mix. And is it okay for you to stay 100% stock until then? Probably. It probably is. But be aware, right? Be aware that stocks can fall and they can stay down for a long time. There's no guarantee that they're going to outperform bonds over your investment horizon. Even with a long horizon, there's no guarantee of that. And the only real protection you can have is to just, you know, like, like Finding Nemo, like the little blue fish and Finding Nemo. What's her name? Dory. Right. Just keep swimming, just keep swimming. Just keep pouring money into that account. And if you can continue to do that, if you can put off your retirement a year or two, and maybe you don't stop working until you're 47 or 48, you know, even if those stocks tank when you're 43, maybe that's not such a big deal. So there's a lot that goes into choosing your asset allocation, but the main thing is to pick something reasonable, fund it adequately, and stick with it in the long run. Hope that's helpful. If you need to hire somebody to tell you exactly how to invest, even though they don't know any better than you do or I do, we've got a long list of financial advisors we refer to. If you go to whitecoatinvestor.com under the recommended tab, we've got financial advisors there and they'll pretty much all help you choose an asset allocation, but they don't necessarily know any better than you what's going to perform the best over the next four years. So I think you probably know enough to be managing your own money and it should be feel very competent about doing that. Just recognize there's a lot of different philosophies. There's a lot of reasonable portfolios. All you got to do is pick a reasonable one, fund it adequately, and stick with it. Okay, let's talk about ETFs. I got an email. It says I have a topic that might be helpful for the podcast. Would you consider discussing how to buy ETFs? The order types are confusing, much to my chagrin. I've always used mutual funds, not ETFs for these transactions. Now that I am about to restart a taxable account with ETFs after liquidated it. After liquidating it for a buy in, it seems reasonable to get comfortable with ETF transactions, particularly the order type market. This is pretty straightforward versus limit, stop and stop limit. Nevertheless, I had to look each up and it would be a valuable topic to review in my opinion, if you would on the podcast to further discuss the topic. How do you recommend doing ETF transactions? You always do market as your order type. Do you typically do your ETF transactions midday when the market typically is less volatile as opposed to right when the market opens or closes? What is your strategy in purchasing and selling ETFs with respect to order type and timing of the transactions? Longtime listen to the podcast. Thanks for all that you and the folks at WCI do. Okay. It's natural when you first change over from investing in mutual funds to investing in ETFs to have these questions. I had all these questions and I tried a few different things until I settled into what I do now. And let me tell you God's honest truth about these sorts of questions. In the long run, they don't matter. They just don't matter. Okay. So don't beat yourself up too much about it. You do have to make a decision and stick with it, but they don't matter that much. Okay. So is there something to be said for buying your ETFs in the middle of the day rather than right when the market opens or closes? Yeah, maybe. Right. Does it matter that much? No, because how much does the market move during the day? Well, less than 1%. And how much does that 1% matter over the next 30 years? Well, not very much. So if the only time you've got to put your money in the market today is right when the market's open on the east coast or right before they close, we'll go ahead and do it. I would not invest because of that concern. The bigger problem is people don't put money into the market. Right. The bigger Problem is people don't make contributions to their retirement account. The bigger problem is people don't save enough money. They spend it. All right? So once you've won on the big issues, quit beating yourself up about the small issues. Get the money in there, get it going. Time in the market matters more than timing the market. Okay, so here's. Let's talk about these types of orders. When you go to put an order in, right? If I log into my brokerage accounts at Vanguard, I've logged into Vanguard.com and go in there, and I go, I want to buy some VTI today. I got some money I got to put to work this month. I'm gonna invest whatever it is, $10,000 or whatever, into VTI. I go in there and I put in the order, I put vti. And sometimes they let you just invest a dollar amount so you get partial shares. Some brokerages make you specify the exact number of shares. So I use a little calculator and go, well, VTI is $200 a share, and I want 10,000 of them. That's how many shares. And I put in the share number. And then what I typically do is I use a market order. Because Basically all the ETFs I use are very liquid ETFs. They transact immediately. They have a very thin bid to ask ratio, you know, spread that spreads very thin, usually like a penny. And so I'm not getting hosed on market orders. Now, if you're buying something that almost never gets traded or you're in a really volatile market, maybe it makes sense to put a limit order on it. I did that for a while when I first started buying ETFs. And what I would find is the order didn't go through. I put in a limit order. Well, it went up a little bit in price right after I put in the order. And so the transaction wasn't happening. It wasn't happening. It wasn't happening. I'd go back in 15 minutes later, and I'd change it to a higher price. And the market moved up again. And then I was chasing my tail. I found it was easier to just put in the market order, right? Vti, vxus, these sorts of things most of us tend to be buying with Most of our ETF transactions are super liquid. You put in the market order, it's done, it's done. You got a fair price. Nobody is hosing you. The market isn't taking you out back and whooping you. You're getting a fair price, and you're done, you can move on with the rest of your day. So that's what I do. Now there are stop limit orders, right. Basically, when the market falls, it sells your shares automatically. Right. I don't do that. Right. I'm a firm believer in what Warren Buffett said. My favorite holding period for an investment is forever. So when I'm buying stuff, I really don't plan to ever sell it. The only reason I really ever sell things is when I'm tax loss harvesting. Now if you think just buying an ETF with your money you're investing every month is complicated, wait till you start tax loss harvesting, right? Because when you're tax loss harvesting an etf, you gotta sell one and you gotta buy one that's an awful lot like it, but not in the words of the irs, substantially identical. And you want to do it really quickly, right? Because you don't want the market to go up in between the time you sell the loser and you buy your future investment. And so this will give you practice on buying and selling ETFs, you know, in a hurry. But if you screw it up, all of a sudden, you might lose more money than you were really gaining in picking up those tax losses. So you got to be a little bit careful when you decide to go in and start doing your tax loss harvesting. It's not that complicated. But you want to know what you're doing. So get used to putting orders in. It's not that big a deal. Practice with 100 bucks at a time until you've done it 20 times. Then you'll be like, oh, that's how orders work is no big deal. And it only cost you a few dollars in bid ask spreads. You're not paying any commissions on most of the platforms we're all investing in these days anyway. So go ahead and do a few tiny little orders until you get used to the process and then it's not a big deal. When you start out managing a four figure portfolio, it's not a big deal to manage a five figure portfolio. When you've done that for a little bit, it's not a big deal to manage a six figure portfolio. When you've done that for a while, it's not a big deal to manage a seven figure portfolio or an eight figure portfolio. And now you're putting in orders that are six figures, you're moving around $100,000 or half a million dollars at a time. And it's just not a big deal because you've been doing it for years. So it's really not hard to do. Take a deep breath. This is your first time doing ETF transactions. You too can do this. Tens of thousands of doctors before you have figured out how to buy and sell ETFs in a reasonable way. You can figure it out. For the most part, market orders are fine to use. I wouldn't beat yourself up about it, but you know what? If you read something that scared you into using limit orders, go ahead and use limit orders. I did for a few years. And then I'm like, why am I doing this? This is stupid. All it's doing is wasting my time. And you might quit using them too. Either way, it's fine, right? A limit order just says that it's only going to transact if it can transact at that price. That's all a limit order is saying. So if for some reason, heaven forbid, as soon as you put the order in, the market drops 20% because we're back in 1987 or something, well, it wouldn't transact because you had that limit, thankfully. But for the most part, you don't have to do that. The markets are very efficient and maybe those days when the market's super volatile, you shouldn't be going in there anyway. The only reason to do that on those days is to try to really catch a bargain and maybe do some tax loss harvesting. And that's an area for experienced investors to be wading into the into the markets. If this is your first time to do an ETF transaction, don't do it on a day the market's down 4%, for crying out loud. Give yourself some practice on a normal day. Hope that's helpful. Okay, let's talk about another email I had. And I get all kinds of emails. It's a lot of fun, actually. I like it when you guys email me because I get to know what you're thinking. And of course, it provides all kinds of content that we can use on the podcast or on the blog or in the newsletters or whatever. So I get this call from someone I've exchanged emails with a number of times over the years. He says, I received a call from investing in an animated feature film. Are you aware of any such investments? And then he read it. Thank you for your interest in reviewing our offering on the name of the film. In the next 24 to 48 hours, you may receive a call from one of our staff to confirm your contact information before shipping the investment materials. In the meantime, we'd love for you to check out recent press releases on our films through the links below or visit any website, discover more about what we've been working on. And it includes some links. That's the whole email. He's like, what do you think, man? Should I invest in this? Well, first of all, if your due diligence process is just sending an email to the white coat investor saying what do you think? Is this legit? You probably need more due diligence and you probably ought to stick with publicly traded markets and probably just some index funds. If you're into private investments, you ought to have the ability to evaluate these investments on your own without the assistance of an accountant or an attorney or an advisor, much less some random podcaster out there. So the question I got in the email was, is this legit? Well, that's obviously not a very specific question, so it left me trying to guess at what the emailer was actually answering. So my first guess was, number one, is it possible to invest in a film? And the answer to that is yes, you can be one of the backers of a film and if it makes money, you make money. If it loses money, you lose money. You can invest in film. So question number two that he might be asking when he's saying, is this legit? Is is it possible to make money by investing in a film? And of course the answer to that is yes, it's possible. Maybe what he meant when he said, is this legit? Is do I invest in films? And the answer to that is no. I invest in stocks and bonds and real estate. That's what I invest in. It's a very boring portfolio. If you're looking for excitement from your portfolio, you're probably not going to invest the way I do. My portfolio is boring. I try to get my excitement from my recreational activities rather than how I invest. So I don't invest in films. I got a brother in law that makes films. I've never invested in any of his films. By the way, about the worst thing you can ever do is invest in anything your brother in law is doing. I got another brother in law in oil and gas. I don't invest with him either, but I don't invest in films. So maybe what he meant was, do I need to invest in films to reach my financial goals? Well, the answer to that of course is almost surely not right. This is a fun little thing on the side. You want to mess around with 5% of your portfolio picking stocks or investing in films or something like that, that becomes more reasonable place. Certainly not for serious money that you're trying to use to reach your financial goals. And then maybe what he meant was, do you have any advice for someone that would like to invest in films? Well, I've got some advice for that. It's the same advice I give to somebody that emails me up and asks what I think about NFTs, or what I think about some crypto asset, or what I think about investing in gold, or what I think about investing in some other private investment. Limit it to no more than 5% of your portfolio and do due diligence on it as best you can. That's the advice. But I'm not like film investor guy. There's lots of people out there that invest in films. I'm sure some might even be good at it. But I suspect a lot of people that have dabbled in it have lost money, like people who dabble in any type of new private investment usually do. So he suggests emails back, this might be a good podcast question. And I'm like, well, it might be, but I don't know that I can dedicate an entire episode to investing in films. Right. It's pretty out there as far as alternative investments go. And so I'm like, what do you really mean when you ask me, is it legit? And what he said was, I meant, should I consider this phone call as a spam or some fraudster calling me to get my personal information, or is it actually a legitimate entity calling me? Of course, I don't know if they're running a fraud or not. Obviously, frauds are most common in private investments, right? It's a lot harder to run a fraud when your investment is publicly traded on the markets and the SEC and FINRA and everybody's all regulated. It's much harder to run a fraud. It can be done, right? See Enron for details. You can run a fraud in a publicly traded investment. It's not even all that uncommon in hedge funds, right? See Bernie Madoff for details. But typically, most frauds tend to be in the private world. Maybe it's a film investment, maybe it's an NFT or some sort of crypto asset or some sort of real estate deal. I had somebody commit fraud on one of the real estate deals I invested in. Basically, the manager borrowed more money against the property that was against the LLC operating agreement. So fraud's just a lot more common in the private market. So it's entirely possible. So the emailer goes on to say, I was just surprised that a company making movies called me for investment. My assumption is that the movie's budget is several million dollars. And I can't invest a lot of money in this type of business. So why are they even wasting their time calling me? Well, guess what, when you need money, you gotta go find investors. That doesn't mean you should invest in what they're selling, but it does mean they need some capital. They obviously don't have the money to pay for it themselves, so they gotta go to investors and they can offer you some sort of return if the movie's successful, maybe make a killing. But it's pretty hard if you don't know anything about movies to know which movies are going to make money and which ones aren't. I mean, my best guess from what I see in the theaters is if it's not a sequel for something that made a lot of money, it's probably not going to make a lot of money. So keep that in mind as you choose from the films you want to invest in. Was it possible this one's a scam? Sure. I don't know if it's a scam or not. I don't have any magic due diligence wand that allows me to find out if a film investment is is a scam or whether it's going to make any money or not by you emailing it to me. I don't have any insight or connections in the industry that allow me to know whether your chosen private film or oil and gas or real estate investment is actually going to make money or whether it's being run by a fraudster or not. I do diligence, same due diligence, the same way all of us do. You try to do background checks on the principal. You look into their track record. You start out with small amounts of money and watch it for a few years, see how it does before putting large amounts of money into that sort of an investment. And a lot of people just go out and want to deal with it and they just stick with the publicly traded markets. And you can do that. You can invest all of your money into boring old index stock, bond, real estate funds and never go into the private markets at all and be perfectly successful and reach all of your financial goals. You do not have to invest in private investments to be financially successful. Whether they are real estate or they are film or they are oil and gas, whatever they might be. You do not have to invest in those things to be successful. Now it's possible that that'll be more interesting to you. It's possible that you'll get to financial independence a little bit faster. It's possible that you'll get some diversification benefits by having some of that stuff in your portfolio, but you shouldn't feel like you have to, right? There's no called strikes in investing. And if people are sending you emails about an investment from people you've never even heard of, chances of it possibly being a scam are probably a little bit higher than if you go out seeking the investment in the first place. Hope that's helpful to you. This podcast is brought to you by Laurel Road for Doctors. They're committed to helping residents and physicians take control of their finances. They've designed a personal loan for doctors, special repayment terms during training. Get help consolidating your high interest credit card debt, or fund the unexpected with one low monthly payment. Check your rate in minutes plus bytecode. Investors get an additional rate discount when they apply through LaurelRoad.com WCI for terms and conditions, visit www.latelroad.com WCI that's www.l LaurelRoad.com WCI Laurel Road is a brand KeyBank NA member FDIC all right, don't forget about our Champions program. If you're a first year medical or dental student, please volunteer to pass some books out to your class. That's it? That's the whole program? There's no other commitment you have to do. You just gotta pass the book out to your class. You can put it in their boxes. I don't care. Whatever. Sign up whitecoatinvestor.com champion and change their lives. This information is probably worth a couple million dollars to doctors. Multiply that by the hundred docs in your class and you've added a lot of value to a lot of people's lives in the future. Thanks for leaving us five star reviews. Thanks for telling your friends about the podcast. We got a recent one in from Dr. Surfer. Got to meet Dr. Surfer. That sounds like a lot of fun, said Millionaire. With his help, I'm a millionaire because of this podcast. I developed a plan and stuck to it. Easy and straightforward advice. Evergreen, yet still love hearing it. Five stars. Yep. Good advice is evergreen. Good advice doesn't change over the years. Good advice doesn't try to predict the future. Good advice doesn't require a functional crystal ball. None of us have it. So maybe the financial services industry should quit trying to pretend they have it and the rest of us can get on to being successful and reaching our goals and being able to focus on those things that really matter in our lives. Whether that's our family or our practice or our own wellness. Let's spend our time and our effort on what really matters in life and quit worrying about our finances. Keep your head up, your shoulders back. You've got this. The whole White Coat Investor community is behind you to help. We'll see you next time on the podcast.