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President Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Alaska, beginning their much awaited summit about Ukraine. Plus why economists suspect inflation isn't surging despite high tariffs.
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The real effect of tariff rate is significantly lower than what they would have thought based on just the announcement of the headline tariffs and all the averages.
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And how the relaxation of fuel economy rules is making EV company Rivian face $100 million hole. It's Friday, August15. Alexis I'm Alex Osola for the Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of what's news, the top headlines and business stories that move the world today. President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are meeting in Alaska, their first face to face meeting in several years. On the agenda, what it will take to end the war in Ukraine. Both leaders arrived this morning local time at Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson in Anchorage. Trump met Putin on the tarmac to welcome him and the two shook hands. The summit, if successful, could pave the way for future talks between Putin, Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to end more than three years of fighting that has claimed tens of thousands of lives. Though it was initially supposed to be a one on one between Trump and Putin, White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt announced shortly before the meeting that it would now include two advisors for each leader. For Trump, that's Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff. For Putin, it's Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Foreign Policy Advisor Yuri Ushakov. For more, I'm joined now by WSJ west coast correspondent Jim Carlton, who is on the ground in Anchorage. Jim, what's the vibe there? What is it like?
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There's actually quite a bit of excitement. There was lucky enough to watch the leaders come in from the respective planes and even though there were people that don't like Donald Trump and there are people that don't like Putin, obviously together I think there's like goosebumps. Like, this is very historic. They met at the base, Putin and Trump, very friendly. And then the two leaders got into the presidential car, which is nicknamed the Beast, to go for a private ride. That doesn't happen every day. There's caution. Obviously this is a very difficult problem to solve, but I think that there is optimism.
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What did each leader say going into this meeting? Where did they stand?
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President Trump knows that he can't do this alone. He can't just do this unilaterally without Ukraine having some input. So he is working with Ukraine and the European Union on what they like in terms of territory. President Putin, he's not saying he's going to back off on his demands for to hold the Donbas in the territory that Russia's already seized. But at the same time, he's adding some other things like arms talks, maybe economic cooperation. And so it's hard to say what's really going to happen, though, honestly, because Trump is the consummate dealmaker. And the fact that Putin's come all the way here, 4,000 miles from Moscow, and Trump's come almost the same distance, maybe it means something.
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Is this expected to be kind of a long meeting? What is the schedule here?
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I think six to seven hours is what I'm hearing. It's going to be. I don't hear they're really going to leave the, the base. It's an interesting base. Joint base, Elmendorf, Richardson. There's a lot of wildlife there. They should be careful. There's bears. There's actually a blind bear nicknamed Blind Betty that wanders the base. And it's, it's beautiful scenery. I talked to tourists going to Denali national park, and they were saying it's too bad that Putin and Trump can't go together. You know, maybe that would help seal the deal.
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And I know the meeting started only a short time ago, now that we're speaking at this time, it's early, but is there any indication of what the outcome might be?
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Honestly, I don't think anybody who's not in that meeting really knows it's restricted access. There's going to be a joint press conference right now. I'm talking to a lot of people on the outside. Let's hope there are also people that are upset that Ukraine was not invited. I talked to some Ukrainian supporters. They said it's just terrible that Ukraine was not invited, since they're the ones with the most at stake.
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That was WSJ reporter Jim Carlton. Thanks so much, Jim.
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Thank you, Alex. I really appreciate it.
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Major US indexes were mixed today. The Dow rose 0.1% to set a new intraday high, fueled by Warren Buffett's vote of confidence in UnitedHealth, who but fell short of settling at its first record close of 2025. The S&P 500 fell about 0.3% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.4%. The Commerce Department said today that retail sales rose half a percent in July from June. That matched the increase that economists pulled by the Wall Street Journal had expected. The increase was driven in part by purchases of cars and parts, which which rose 1.6% from the prior month. Meanwhile, expectations of more inflation ahead have soured consumers mood. That's according to the latest readout from the University of Michigan's long running sentiment survey. In a preliminary August reading, the survey's headline index dropped to 58.6, down from 61.7 in July. Analysts had expected sentiment to improve. Coming up, why haven't tariffs sent inflation skyrocketing? And will they ever? That's after the break. The US has imposed some of the highest tariffs in almost a century and yet inflation hasn't surged. That's puzzling economists. One theory is one you've probably heard on the show, that companies have so far been reluctant to pass on the extra cost to their customers. But there's a new idea gaining that tariffs being paid by importers are lower than advertised. WSJ economics reporter Konrad Putsier is here now with more. Conrad, what is the evidence for this theory?
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So what economists did is basically go through the actual data from the Census Bureau in May to figure out what did importers in the US Actually pay in tariffs? And what they found was that the real effect of tariff rate is significantly lower than what they would have thought based on just the announcement of the headline tariffs and all the averages. And they have two possible explanations. One is that there's a ton of exemptions, that there's all this stuff that is not yet subject to tariffs, like semiconductors and pharmaceuticals and certain energy products and some electronics. And if foreign goods are made with at least 20% American materials, then whatever the share of American made materials is, is exempt from tariffs. Essentially, more than half of imports weren't even subject to tariffs, even though in theory the whole world was slapped with tariffs. And then the second explanation that they have, which a bunch of other economists have also pointed out, is just that companies have been pretty good at shifting their imports to other countries where tariffs are lower. So China gets incredibly high tariffs and then you switch your imports to another country which does not have high tariffs or any tariffs.
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A lot of the tariffs that President Trump announced in Liberation Day have either shifted or didn't really go into effect until earlier this month. And and so pulling data from May seems like it's only part of the picture. Maybe. Could this idea that we're working off of, that inflation hasn't surged actually change in the next few months?
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Oh, it almost certainly will change. There's actually a lot of reasons to think why it will change. Trump has threatened tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, which are currently exempt. And then the second big thing, of course, is that a lot of Companies, even those that have been paying tariffs, have just not been passing it on to consumers. And now companies have more certainty. And that also means that more companies are saying, all right, this is it. Now I'm going to raise prices because I can't just eat them forever. And what economists think now, with good reason, is that we haven't seen this one off dramatic spike in inflation. It's been more gradual. But on the flip side, we might see these drip by drip, bit by bit price increases for a long time. And some economists think the inflationary impact of tariffs is not actually going to peak until like early 2026, not even this year.
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That was WSJ economics reporter Konrad Putsir. Thanks, Konrad.
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Thanks for having me.
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Electric truck maker Rivian and its rivals have generated hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue selling credits tied to the nation's fuel economy rules. Now the company is saying that last month's rollback of the fuel economy rules, that the big beautiful Texan spending law brought in is holding up $100 million of revenue. And an EV trade group is asking for a court to intercede. Ryan Felton covers the auto industry for the Journal and joins me now. Ryan, I want to start with how all of this worked. Before the new law, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, or nhtsa, would send these so called compliance letters. These are certifications to show whether and how much each automaker complied with fuel economy rules so they could then finalize those credits. What has changed?
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After the bill was passed last month, they made penalties to $0 for violating the rules and then also said that separately NHTSA was going to reconsider what the fuel economy target should be. While it was doing that, NHTSA said it wasn't going to tell companies whether or not they were in compliance, which is basically the crux of all of this. So because NHTSA has pulled back on issuing these compliance notices, EV makers are saying they can't finalize some of these transactions that they had done. When talking about companies that lose tons of money at the moment because they're still getting up and running, it's not an insignificant amount. Rivian put a dollar amount on it of 100 million. That works out to about, you know, 6, 7% of their total revenue so far this year.
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And who was actually buying these credits?
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Stellantis, which makes Jeep and Ram, General Motors said they bought them previously. Ford last year entered into agreements to buy $4 billion credits. A lot of companies that sell bigger SUVs, bigger trucks that don't have large miles per gallon for those models previously would have needed credits to offset the cost of whatever fines they may end up getting down the line.
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Given the legal change that this new law has brought about, what does this mean for EV companies?
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Rivian's in a position where it's selling more cars now, but these EV companies are already bumping into a market and a regulatory environment that's not going to support additional EV sales in the way that people maybe would have imagined a few years ago. Consumers that's not as interested in buying EVs. And at the same time, at least with respect to nhtsa, the expectation is there's going to be no money really being made on these credits anymore.
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That was WSJ reporter Ryan Felton. Thank you, Ryan.
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Thanks.
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The World Economic Forum said today that an investigation into founder Klaus Schwab found minor expense irregularities but no material wrongdoing. The Davos conference organizer also said it was shuffling the leadership of its board in the wake of the probe. In a statement, the forum said the board wants to move on from a dispute with its founder that has roiled the organization. Schwab resigned as executive chair in April when the board decided to open its probe into a whistleblower's allegations of misconduct by him and his wife. He including unauthorized spending and inappropriate treatment of female staffers. Schwab had denied any wrongdoing and filed a legal complaint in Switzerland against the forum alleging reputational damage. A spokesman for Schwab said today that he intends to drop his lawsuit against the forum and a separate legal action against anonymous whistleblowers. And that's what's news for this week. Tomorrow you can look out for our weekly markets wrap up what's news in Markets. Then on Sunday we'll be discussing why we're seeing so much M and A right now, why for companies big is in and whether the tie up trend is likely to continue. That's in what's New Sunday and we'll be back with our regular show on Monday morning. Today's show is produced by Pierre Biennime with supervising producer Michael Kosmides. Michael Lavalle wrote our theme music. Aisha El Mouslim is our development producer. Scott Soloway and Chris Inslee are our deputy editors. And Falana Patterson is the Wall Street Journal's head of news Audio. I'm Alex Osola. Thanks for listening.
Below is a detailed summary of the WSJ What's News episode “Trump and Putin Summit on Ukraine Underway” (August 15, 2025) hosted by The Wall Street Journal.
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────────────────────────────── 2. Key Discussion Points and Insights ──────────────────────────────
A. Trump and Putin Summit in Alaska
• [00:03 – 00:06] The episode opens with a report on President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin meeting on the tarmac at Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska.
• The summit is historic, with both leaders arriving from great distances to potentially pave the way for future negotiations about ending the conflict in Ukraine.
• Changes to the originally planned one-on-one meeting now include two advisors for each leader (Trump’s team: Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff; Putin’s team: Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Advisor Yuri Ushakov).
• WSJ West Coast correspondent Jim Carlton, reporting from the scene, shares the lively atmosphere, noting that despite strong feelings on both sides, there was palpable excitement and optimism as the leaders met.
- Notable moment: [01:48] “There was like goosebumps... this is very historic,” remarked by Jim Carlton while describing the friendly interaction and the subsequent departure in the presidential car nicknamed ‘The Beast.’
• Carlton also pointed out concerns from Ukrainian supporters that Ukraine was not directly involved in the dialogue, even though they are most affected by the conflict.
B. Economic Update: Tariffs and Inflation
• [00:14 – 07:19] The conversation shifts to the puzzling economic observation that despite the United States imposing some of the highest tariffs in nearly a century, inflation has yet to surge dramatically.
• WSJ economics reporter Konrad Putsir explains that the effective tariff rates paid by importers are significantly lower than the headline figures due to:
- Numerous exemptions on products like semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, energy products, and electronics.
- Companies strategically shifting imports from high-tariff countries (e.g., China) to nations with lower or no tariffs.
• Putsir warns, though, that this subdued inflationary pressure might change in the coming months as companies begin passing costs on to consumers and as additional tariffs on currently exempt sectors (pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) come into play.
- Quote at [07:19]: “Some economists think the inflationary impact of tariffs is not actually going to peak until like early 2026, not even this year.”
C. Impact of Fuel Economy Rule Relaxation on EV Companies
• [00:22 – 10:19] Another key topic is the recent relaxation of fuel economy rules, which—in the wake of last month’s legislative changes—has left electric truck maker Rivian facing a reported $100 million hole.
• Reporter Ryan Felton explains that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has ceased issuing compliance certifications that companies previously used to process and finalize credits tied to fuel economy standards.
- Without these certifications, companies like Rivian can’t monetize credits that were generating significant revenue.
• Felton notes that major automotive players like Stellantis, General Motors, and Ford have purchased such credits in the past to offset penalties from non-compliance.
• The change is a signal of a broader shift in the regulatory environment, where EV companies are facing challenges in a market now less supportive of continued high EV growth.
D. Investigation into Klaus Schwab and the World Economic Forum
• [10:54 – 11:xx] The final segment briefly covers the World Economic Forum’s update regarding founder Klaus Schwab.
• An internal investigation found only minor expense irregularities, with no material wrongdoing, and the Forum is moving forward to reconfigure its board leadership as it attempts to put a contentious dispute behind it.
• This comes after Schwab’s resignation as executive chair earlier in the year and his subsequent legal actions, which he now intends to drop.
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3. Notable Quotes and Memorable Moments
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• [01:48] Jim Carlton capturing the mood in Anchorage: “There was like goosebumps. This is very historic.”
• [07:19] Konrad Putsir on inflation expectations: “Some economists think the inflationary impact of tariffs is not actually going to peak until like early 2026, not even this year.”
• [03:32] Carlton humorously mentioning “Blind Betty,” a nicknamed blind bear at the base, adding a touch of local color to the scene.
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4. Timestamps & Segment Breakdown
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• 00:03 – Introduction to the Trump–Putin summit and a preview of major economic news stories.
• 00:14 – Discussion on the lower-than-expected economic impact of tariffs.
• 00:22 – Preview of the story about fuel economy rule relaxation affecting Rivian.
• 01:48 – On-site reporting from Jim Carlton on the Trump–Putin meeting in Alaska and the atmosphere at the base.
• 02:23 – Analysis of each leader’s stance heading into the summit, with mention of advisors and negotiations over Ukraine’s fate.
• 03:06 – Expected schedule for the meeting and light-hearted remarks about the base environment.
• 04:09 – Brief update on U.S. market indexes and retail sales data.
• 05:55 – Konrad Putsir explains the nuanced effect of tariffs on inflation using Census Bureau data.
• 07:19 – Discussion on potential future inflation trends linked to tariff policy shifts.
• 08:16 – Transition to the auto industry segment discussing Rivian and fuel economy credits.
• 09:00 – Ryan Felton explains how new legislative changes have disrupted a revenue stream for EV makers.
• 10:54 – Quick update on the World Economic Forum’s investigation into Klaus Schwab.
────────────────────────────── 5. Conclusion ────────────────────────────── This episode of WSJ What's News successfully weaves together major global political events and intricate economic debates with on-the-ground insights. It offers listeners a well-rounded look at key happenings—from the high-stakes Trump–Putin summit with its potential implications for the Ukraine conflict, to deep dives into economic trends influenced by tariffs and regulatory shifts in the auto industry. The inclusion of memorable quotes and detailed timestamps makes it a valuable resource for anyone who missed the live broadcast or wishes to revisit the discussions in depth.