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Azhar Sukri
Investors warn that the independence of the Federal Reserve matters as the market reacts.
Alex Frangos
It's worried that a politicized Fed will not try its hardest to keep inflation down. That if Powell is fired and a new person wants to cut rates right away, that you'll reignite the kind of inflation that we saw in the aftermath of the pandemic.
Azhar Sukri
Plus, national security concerns hold up a landmark deal for the UAE to buy Nvidia's cutting edge chips, and President Trump tells Coca Cola to put real sugar back in its American recipe. It's Thursday, July 17th. I'm Azhar Sukri for the Wall Street Journal. Here is the AM edition of what's news, the top headlines and business stories. Moving your Today, the dollar rebounded this morning after President Trump said he plans to write to as many as 150 nations setting a blanket unilateral tariff rate, which he said could be 10% or 15%. Trump made the comments to reporters at the White House and said in an interview later yesterday that the administration hasn't decided on the exact rate. Goods from most countries are currently subject to a 10% baseline tariff, while last Trump floated the idea of blanket levies of 15% to 20%. The President has already sent roughly two dozen letters to individual trading partners, including the European Union, Japan and South Korea, setting out tariff rates that will kick in on August 1st. Meanwhile, investors have sent a warning that the Federal Reserve's independence matters to Wall Street. Reports that President Trump was again pondering firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell drove longer term Treas yields higher. As we reported on our PM show, Trump did say it is, quote, highly unlikely that he would remove the Fed chief unless there was fraud related to renovations at Fed properties. Trump wants interest rates lower, while the Fed is reluctant to cut rates drastically while inflationary pressures persist. Journal Finance and Economics editor Alex Frangos explains what the gyrations in the bond market say about the Fed's independence.
Alex Frangos
It's worried that a politicized Fed will not try its hardest to keep inflation down, that if Powell is fired and a new person comes in who's handpicked by Trump and wants to cut rates right away, that you'll reignite the kind of inflation that we saw in the aftermath of the pandemic. And investors say, well, they want to be compensated for that risk with higher yields on long term bonds because they see that the central bank isn't going to have control over inflation over the long term. And that's a real concern.
Azhar Sukri
So what's the importance of a president trying to influence the Fed? And how do you see the Trump Powell tussle playing out on the interest rate front?
Alex Frangos
There's actually a long history of presidents not intervening in the Fed, which goes back to the early 1980s, late 1970s, after a long period where there was a lot of intervention and a lot of inflation. And so you saw a lot of the big CEOs of banks this week coming out saying Fed independence is important because they remember the days when there wasn't Fed independence and there was a lot of inflation. And so, so it's unclear how it's going to play out. Trump from one hour to the next, we get these signals that he is going to fire Powell. Then he came out yesterday saying he's not going to fire Powell, but either way, Powell's gone next year. So investors are coming to the realization that whether it happens now or whether it happens next year, there's going to be a change.
Azhar Sukri
And what do we know about the thinking of members of the Fed's Rate setting Committee ahead of their meeting later this month?
Alex Frangos
There's a split among the Fed voting members, some who say the tariff impact is yet to come through. We're starting to see it a little bit. It more therefore keep rates where they are moderately restrictive and kind of wait and see. There are a couple members of the Fed board appointed by Trump, Bowman and Waller, who have come out and said, no, the tariff stuff is going to be temporary. We should be cutting rates now.
Azhar Sukri
We are exclusively reporting that some Trump administration officials are holding up a deal that would open the door for the United Arab Emirates to buy billions of dollars worth of Nvidia's cutting edge AI chips over national security concerns. Under the broad terms, the UAE would receive hundreds of thousands of Nvidia chips, with most going to power data centers operated by US Tech companies. But Journal reporter Elliot Brown says there is concern that China could get access to the advanced Nvidia chips.
Elliot Brown
In May, President Trump went to the Middle east and his administration had negotiated this really landmark package and it was tied to the UAE, investing well over $1 trillion in the U.S. but what's happened since is the final details of the deal have been bogged down over sort of administration infighting where basically the China hawks have been pushing back against this Idea that the UAE's main company for AI G42, which is run by a royal family member, that they don't want them to get some of the chips and that was a pretty key component of the deal.
Azhar Sukri
A spokesman for Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said they are confident the deal with the UAE will continue on time and on schedule. While the UAE's ambassador to the US always expressed optimism, saying it would deliver enormous benefits to both countries in markets News Nvidia shares were up in off hours trading after one of its suppliers, the world's largest contract chipmaker tsmc, delivered a record profit last quarter as demand held up despite tariff related uncertainty. Shares in United Airlines fell in off hours trading after the carrier said it would not hit the rosy profit target it set at the start of the year. United did post better than expected adjusted quarterly earnings with the airline saying it feels more confident in the travel rebound, anticipating less geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty in the second half of 2025, Canadian convenience store giant Alimentation Couchtard has abandoned its $47 billion bid to buy Japanese Seven Eleven operator Seven NI. It ends a years long pursuit by the Canadian operator of Circle K stores, which could have turned the company into a global convenience store powerhouse. In a joint letter to Seven NI's board, Couchtard's founder and chief executive said the Japanese company's leadership hadn't cooperated in meetings and withheld information needed to the deal. Semin and I said a special committee for the deal consistently engaged constructively and in good faith to explore the deal. It added that while it was disappointed, it was not surprised by Kushta's decision. Coming up, how policymakers are rethinking tough banking regulations established after the 2008 financial crisis. That story and more after the break. Ryan Reynolds here from Mint Mobile. With the price of just about everything going up, we thought we'd bring our prices down. So to help us we brought in a reverse auctioneer, which is apparently a thing Mint Mobile Unlimited Premium wireless everybody get 30 30. Better to get 30.
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Azhar Sukri
The US and UK are rethinking bank regulation after nearly two decades of strict rules following the 2008 financial crisis. Policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic are looking at ways to cut financial red tape and boost growth. Earlier this week, Britain's treasury chief Rachel Reeves used an annual speech to bankers to say the government would roll back various post CR crisis regulations and take other steps to encourage more risk taking in the UK's key finance industry. Joe Wallace covers banks for us from London. He says that while the era of extremely tight financial regulations might be coming to an end as memories of the crisis fade, many risks remain.
Joe Wallace
The one thing that's been happening here in the UK is that four of the big domestic banks, they have been arguing that the government should abolish a really central part of post financial crisis British regulation called the ring fence, which requires the bigger banks in the UK to separate off their retail banking operations, things like deposit taking and payment services from investment banking, the kind of cliched casino. The idea being that when those two parts of the business commingle because banks know that the government will rarely want to see a retail bank go under, there's an implicit understanding that the government would also step in to bail out an investment bank and that in turn could encourage undue risk taking in the investment bank.
Azhar Sukri
We are exclusively reporting that new details in the probe into last month's Air India crash are shifting the focus to the senior pilot in the cockpit. A black box recording of dialogue between the flight's two pilots indicates it was the captain who turned off switches that controlled fuel flowing to the plane's two engines. That's according to people familiar with US officials early assessment of evidence uncovered in the crash investigation. They added that the first officer who was flying the Boeing 787 Dreamliner asked the more experienced captain why he moved the switches to the cut off position after it climbed off the Runway. WSJ South Asia correspondent Shan Li says the first officer expressed surprise and then panicked while the captain seemed to remain calm.
Shan Li
So this is an update from what we learned in the preliminary report that was released last week because last week the report did say that the switches were turned off and they did have a brief summary of a dialogue between the two pilots, but they gave no indication of which pilot was the one that actually asked the question and which one responded. So with these new findings that we've learned this week, it gives just more clarity about what possibly went on in the cockpit in the seconds leading up to the crash, because at this point there's consensus that there wasn't a mechanical or any sort of design malfunction that led to the crash.
Azhar Sukri
A preliminary report from the probe by Indian authorities didn't answer whether turning off the switches may have been accidental or deliberate. An Air India representative said the airline continues to cooperate with the investigation. And finally, while President Trump is known for loving his Diet Coke, he says he's pushing Coca Cola to go back to using cane sugar in its original namesake soda. His health secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Has criticized Coke's use of sweeteners such as high fructose corn syrup. U.S. coke bottlers switched the recipe in the 1980s in a cost cutting effort. But Mexican made Coke with sugar in a glass bottle has long been popular with Americans. A Coca Cola spokes. Coleman said the company appreciated President Trump's enthusiasm for its brand, adding that the company will share more details about upcoming offerings soon. And that's it for what's news for this Thursday morning. Today's show was produced by Kate Bullivant. Our supervising producer was Daniel Bark. I'm Azhar Sucri for the Wall Street Journal. We'll be back tonight with a new show. Until then, thanks for listening. Sam.
Title: Trump Floats Blanket Tariff Rate of 10% or 15% for 150 Countries
Host: The Wall Street Journal
Release Date: July 17, 2025
The latest episode of WSJ What's News delves into significant economic and political developments, providing listeners with comprehensive insights into President Trump's recent tariff proposals, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, strategic national security deals, and various key business updates. Below is a detailed summary structured into clear sections to encapsulate all critical discussions and conclusions.
Timestamp: [00:24] – [02:37]
President Donald Trump has signaled a significant shift in U.S. trade policy by proposing a blanket unilateral tariff rate of 10% to 15% on imports from up to 150 countries. This potential move aims to renegotiate trade terms and protect American industries but has stirred substantial market concern.
Trump's Announcement: Speaking to reporters at the White House, Trump mentioned, “The administration hasn’t decided on the exact rate” yet floated the idea of imposing a 15% to 20% tariff on goods, a notable increase from the current 10% baseline.
Immediate Market Response: Following Trump's statements, the US dollar saw a rebound as investors reacted to the uncertainty surrounding global trade dynamics.
Ongoing Negotiations: To date, Trump has dispatched approximately two dozen letters to key trading partners—including the European Union, Japan, and South Korea—outlining potential tariff rates effective August 1st.
Quote:
Alex Frangos, Journal Finance and Economics Editor, highlighted the market's apprehension:
"Investors are concerned that a politicized Fed might not control inflation effectively, leading to higher long-term bond yields as compensation for this risk." [02:37]
Timestamp: [00:24] – [04:32]
Amidst Trump's tariff proposals, significant attention is focused on the Federal Reserve's independence. President Trump's occasional threats to dismiss Chairman Jerome Powell have raised alarms among investors and economists about the potential politicization of monetary policy.
Trump's Stance: While Trump recently stated, “It is highly unlikely that he would remove the Fed chief unless there was fraud related to renovations at Fed properties,” his previous remarks have kept Powell's position uncertain.
Market Impact: Such uncertainty has led to long-term Treasury yields increasing, reflecting investors' fears of a less autonomous Fed potentially reigniting inflation.
Fed Committee Dynamics: The Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee is experiencing internal divisions. Some members advocate maintaining moderately restrictive rates to counteract tariff-induced economic impacts, while others, including Trump-appointed officials like Bowman and Waller, argue for immediate rate cuts, viewing tariffs as temporary.
Quote:
Azhar Sukri posed a critical question to Alex Frangos:
"So what's the importance of a president trying to influence the Fed? And how do you see the Trump Powell tussle playing out on the interest rate front?" [03:09]
Alex Frangos responded:
"There's a long history of presidents not intervening in the Fed, which goes back to the late 1970s. However, with Trump signaling possible changes, investors are uncertain whether Powell will remain, especially with indications he might be replaced next year." [03:57]
Timestamp: [04:32] – [05:44]
In a strategic move intertwining technology and national security, the UAE is poised to acquire billions of dollars worth of Nvidia's advanced AI chips. However, the deal faces hurdles due to concerns over potential Chinese access to these cutting-edge technologies.
Deal Details: The UAE intends to receive hundreds of thousands of Nvidia chips, primarily to power data centers for U.S. tech companies. Despite the economic benefits—over $1 trillion in U.S. investments—the agreement is mired in bureaucratic infighting.
National Security Fears: Internal disagreements, especially from China hawks within the administration, question the involvement of G42, a UAE AI company run by a royal family member, fearing that advanced chips might eventually benefit Chinese technological advancements.
Current Status: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's spokesperson assured that negotiations are proceeding on schedule, while the UAE ambassador remains optimistic about mutual benefits.
Quote:
Elliot Brown, exclusive reporter, explained:
"There's significant pushback from administration officials concerned that the UAE's G42 could allow China access to Nvidia's advanced chips, which is a critical component of the deal." [05:06]
Timestamp: [05:44] – [08:05]
The episode covers several important business stories, including stock movements, corporate acquisitions, and market strategies:
Nvidia's Performance: Shares surged in after-hours trading following a record profit report from TSMC, Nvidia's largest contract chipmaker, despite ongoing tariff uncertainties.
United Airlines: Despite posting better-than-expected adjusted quarterly earnings, United Airlines' stock fell in after-hours trading as the company adjusted its profit forecasts.
Alimentation Couchtard’s Abandoned Acquisition: The Canadian convenience store conglomerate Alimentation Couchtard has terminated its $47 billion bid to acquire Japan's Seven Nei, citing uncooperative behavior and lack of information from Seven NI's leadership.
Quote:
Couchtard’s CEO stated in a joint letter:
"While disappointed, we were not surprised by Couchtard's decision due to the lack of cooperation and withheld information from Seven NI’s side." [06:30]
Timestamp: [08:17] – [09:03]
As economies seek to foster growth post the 2008 financial crisis, both the US and UK are contemplating revisions to stringent banking regulations established two decades ago.
UK’s Approach: Britain's Treasury Chief Rachel Reeves announced intentions to roll back post-crisis regulations, specifically targeting the ring-fencing rules that separate retail and investment banking sectors. This move aims to reduce financial red tape and encourage risk-taking within the UK’s finance industry.
Industry Perspective: Joe Wallace from London reported that while the reluctance to maintain tight regulations is growing, underlying risks from deregulation continue to pose challenges.
Quote:
Joe Wallace commented:
"The push to abolish the ring fence is driven by big domestic banks desiring to integrate their operations fully, which could reintroduce the risk-taking behavior that post-crisis regulations aimed to curb." [09:03]
Timestamp: [09:48] – [10:36]
New developments have emerged in the investigation of the recent Air India crash, shifting the focus onto the senior pilot's actions.
Black Box Findings: Dialogue recordings reveal that the captain was responsible for disabling the switches controlling fuel flow to both engines. The first officer expressed surprise and panic upon witnessing this, contrasting with the captain's calm demeanor.
Investigation Status: Initial reports by Indian authorities did not clarify whether the switch-offs were accidental or deliberate. However, this new evidence positions the captain’s actions under closer scrutiny.
Quote:
Shan Li, WSJ South Asia correspondent, elaborated:
"With these new findings, we gain more clarity on the cockpit dynamics moments before the crash, especially since mechanical failure is now ruled out as a cause." [10:36]
Timestamp: [10:36] – [11:15]
In a lighter yet notable economic commentary, President Trump has publicly encouraged Coca-Cola to revert to using cane sugar instead of high fructose corn syrup in its flagship beverages.
Health Arguments: Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has criticized Coca-Cola's use of sweeteners like high fructose corn syrup, advocating for a return to more natural ingredients.
Company’s Response: Coca-Cola acknowledged Trump's preference, stating, “We appreciate President Trump’s enthusiasm for our brand and will share more details about upcoming product offerings soon.”
Quote:
Azhar Sukri reported:
"President Trump, known for his preference for Diet Coke, is now pushing Coca-Cola to use cane sugar in its original recipe, echoing sentiments from health advocates against artificial sweeteners." [11:15]
The episode of WSJ What's News provides a thorough overview of pressing economic policies, market sensitivities, and corporate maneuvers shaping both the national and global landscapes. From President Trump's ambitious tariff strategies and the ensuing debates over Federal Reserve autonomy to strategic technology deals influenced by national security, listeners are equipped with nuanced understandings of complex issues. Additionally, updates on significant business transactions, regulatory reforms, and even consumer product preferences underscore the podcast's commitment to delivering multifaceted news content.
For those who missed the episode, this summary serves as a comprehensive guide to the key discussions and developments covered on July 17, 2025.