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We've reached what's called a silver tsunami moment when 4.2 million people will turn 65. Top of mind for them is avoiding shortfalls in retirement income. Here's Fiona Gregg, global head of investor research and policy at Vanguard, on some important steps to take.
Caitlin McCabe
You have these small pots strewn across the earth at these different employers, Social Security, how do they all add up? A first order opportunity is consolidate and simplify.
Narrator/Host
Get more insights from Vanguard on how you can navigate an uncertain market@vanguard.com.
Caitlin McCabe
President Trump shows some openness to health care talks with Democrats as the government shutdown drags on. Plus how the government's immigration push is diverting US Agents away from drug money and sex crime cases. And America's top bankers tried to woo the administration to be part of the Fannie and Freddie mega ipo.
Ben Dummit
First and foremost, they're just trying to navigate Trump. They're tiptoeing around him and his officials because they don't want to fall out of his good graces.
Caitlin McCabe
It's Tuesday, October 7th. I'm Caitlin McCabe for the Wall Street Journal, and here is the AM edition of what's News, the top headlines and business stories moving your world today. Almost a week has passed since the US Government shutdown started, and discussions in Washington are still just plodding along. Yesterday, President Trump, speaking in the Oval Office, signaled a willingness to strike a deal.
Ben Dummit
We are speaking with the Democrats and some very good things could happen with.
Caitlin McCabe
Respect to health care before later clarifying that the government must first reopen before he will work with Democrats. In a social media post late last night, Trump again blamed Democrats for the shutdown and insisted they should reopen the government. Quote. Tonight, health care has become a central sticking point in the shutdown, with Republicans insisting the government must first reopen before discussing the expansion of Affordable Care act subsidies. Democrats, however, are wanting those discussions to come first. With both sides dug in, a deal to reopen the government remains at a standstill, as evidenced yesterday when a fresh run of votes in the Senate failed. Democratic House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said yesterday that Democrats would, quote, sit down anytime, any place with Republicans to work at a deal. But he cast doubt on the president's claims that negotiations are underway.
Democratic House Representative
Leader Schumer, I believe, has put a statement out in response indicating he's had no conversations with Donald Trump or the administration. That's certainly been the case relative to us as House Democrats. That said, we're open. We've been calling for bipartisan conversations to address the Republican health care crisis Lawmakers.
Caitlin McCabe
And White House officials expect that pressure to end the shutdown will keep building. Already, hundreds of thousands of federal workers have been furloughed, while others are working without paying. By mid October, federal workers, including members of the military, will start missing paychecks. But pressure is showing up in other ways, too. Last week, after the shutdown started, the Trump administration said it was withholding a combined $20 billion in infrastructure funds in New York City and Chicago. Here's Wall Street Journal reporter Joseph d'. Abila.
Joseph d'Abila
The Trump administration has blamed the Democrats for the shutdown, and they appear to be using this funding for transportation projects as a point of leverage over blue states and states where there are leaders that are part of the ongoing budget negotiations. Senator Chuck Schumer in New York, of course, is one of the major players in these discussions, and withholding funding from major projects in New York State is obviously a point where he's going to get involved.
Caitlin McCabe
Joseph notes that Democrats have responded by saying the Trump administration doesn't have the authority to withhold these funds that have already been appropriated by Congress. President Trump's immigration push is diverting thousands of federal agents to immigration enforcement from investigating drug smuggling, sexual exploitation and organized crime. It comes as the administration works to meet its goal of removing 3,000 migrants a day who are in the country illegally, the changes reverberating across the federal law enforcement system, with federal referrals for prosecution falling across agencies. The Drug enforcement administration referred 10% fewer cases between May and June and the U.S. marshals Service reported a nearly 13% drop. The Trump administration defends the pivot, with White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson saying the immigration enforcement is central to public safety and today marks two years since the deadly Hamas attacks that sparked conflict across the Middle east and an Israeli assault on Gaza that, according to local authorities authorities, has led to deaths of more than 67,000 Palestinians. Peace negotiations are entering their second day in Cairo, Egypt, and could pave the way for a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages. The loftier aim is achieving a longer term agreement for Israel to withdraw to agreed upon lines and for the creation of a Palestinian technocratic leadership in Gaza. In the two years since the October 7 attacks, Israel's military has won a series of victories against its regional foes, decimating Hamas and Lebanon's Hezbollah and severely damaging Iran's military leadership, missile and nuclear programs. It has also seen the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria. But the scale and ferocity of Israel's offensives have left it at risk of losing the long term Western support that has been vital to its survival. Coming up, big banks are wooing the Trump administration to be part of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac megadeal that could be the largest IPO in history. Plus, a major fire at an aluminum plant spells major for Ford. Those stories and more after the break.
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Caitlin McCabe
Wall Street's biggest banks are vying for a piece of what could be the biggest initial public offering in history, the public debut of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Fannie and Freddie, as they are known, have been under government control since the 2008 financial crisis. Now the Trump administration is preparing a stock offering. That deal, officials believe could value the combined firms at roughly $500 billion and raise roughly $30 billion. For the last few months, CEOs of the country's six largest banks have made pilgrimages to the White House to pitch how they'd pull off the deal without disrupting mortgage rates. But as Wall Street Journal finance reporter Ben Dummit says, there's still a lot to be worked out. So, Ben, what do we know about a potential IPO for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at this stage?
Ben Dummit
Well, at this point, I guess Trump and his courts are working with him on this. They envision an IPO that would value the combined entities at about 500 billion and raise 30 billion. You know, that said, it's uncertain whether or not Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be IPO'd individually as separate companies or together. So that will go a long way in determining ultimately the valuation and the amount raised. If they do it as one, a combined entity, then it would probably be the largest IPO ever, eclipsing Saudi Arabia's Aramco ip, which to date is the largest ever. Aramco is the Saudi state petrol company.
Caitlin McCabe
So, Ben, I think for that reason, major banks obviously want to be a part of this ipo. They'll definitely get hefty fees from this and bragging rights from working on the deal. But what complications are they maybe facing?
Ben Dummit
First and foremost, just trying to navigate Trump. You know, they're tiptoeing around him and his officials because they don't want to fall out of his good graces. For example, the Wall Street Journal reported that one displeased the administration for suggesting that the valuation of the combined entity could be less than 500 billion. Goldman Sachs had sort of tried to lay low because their economist had previously said some negative things about the impact of tariffs. And so that's had that bank trying to stay out of the line of fire for Trump. And the other issue is just more structural. Like these are government controlled entities, and therefore that brings a host of other complications when you try to take them private through an ipo.
Caitlin McCabe
Yeah, that's one other issue that I wanted to dig into. Obviously, Fannie and Freddie are under conservatorship. Do we know if that will change the ipo?
Ben Dummit
Well, I guess that's still to be determined. I mean, the expectation is the government will still control the combined company, or if the IPOs are done separately, then control each of the companies. But shareholders or investors, that's going to be a concern for them. There's a concern that they might not be operated to generate the most profits. And so the more control the government has, the greater the potential that investors may, at least some investors may be lukewarm to the ipo.
Caitlin McCabe
And Ben, zooming out a bit, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac together back nearly half of the mortgages in America. What would an IPO like this mean for consumers and the broader economy?
Ben Dummit
First and foremost, it would be a question as to how it would impact mortgage rates. I mean, the government has made it clear, it's making clear to banks that are pitching for this IPO that the structure has to guard against an IPO leading to higher mortgage rates. And that is something that is sort of prerequisite for this ipo, but at the same time, no one really knows. Right. I mean, again, that issue just speaks to the challenges of this ipo, because depending on what impact will mortgage rates have on the operations, you know, in terms of the profitability of these companies, which is something that is the investors are going to be concerned about versus the general public who obviously don't want higher mortgage rates.
Caitlin McCabe
And Ben, lastly, do we have a sense of when this IPO could go ahead?
Ben Dummit
Well, before the shutdown, the government shut down the view that it was going to be imminently, but now that's less certain. Ideally, they were hoping to do it before the end of this year, but that's looking less probable.
Caitlin McCabe
Ben, thanks so much for joining us. Really interesting stuff here.
Ben Dummit
Thanks, Caitlin. I appreciate it.
Caitlin McCabe
We are exclusively reporting that a major fire has leveled a key part of a New York aluminum plant in just hours. Novelis plant supplies about 40% of the U.S. auto industry's aluminum, and its absence is going to disrupt business at Ford Motor and other automakers for months to come. Novella said a major portion of its Oswego plant has been knocked offline until early next year. Ford, the largest user of the plant's aluminum for its F150, may flag implications to investors. The company said it uses several aluminum suppliers in addition to Novelis. And finally, later today, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney will meet with President Trump in Washington to discuss tariff relief on key sectors such as cars and steel. And that's it for what's news for this Tuesday morning. Today's show is produced by Kate Bullivant. Our supervising producer is Pierce lynch. And I'm Caitlin McCabe for the Wall Street Journal. We'll be back tonight with a new show. Until then, thanks for listening.
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Exchanges, the Goldman Sachs podcast, featuring exchanges on navigating macro uncertainty, exchanges on the forces shaping global markets. For the sharpest analysis on finance, business and the economy, count on exchanges between leading minds at Goldman Sachs. New episodes every week. Listen now.
This episode covers the latest on the US government shutdown, President Trump's signaling of openness to healthcare talks with Democrats, the Trump administration's handling of major infrastructure funds, the impacts of shifting federal law enforcement priorities, milestones in Middle East conflict and peace negotiations, Wall Street's scramble for a landmark Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac IPO, and breaking news about a critical aluminum plant fire affecting Ford.
This episode delivers an efficient, clear-eyed rundown of fast-moving stories at the intersection of politics, business, and global affairs. The tone is focused and informative, with direct quotes and concise analysis from journalists and policymakers. Listeners walk away with an up-to-date understanding of the shutdown’s sticking points, high-stakes Wall Street moves, evolving law enforcement priorities, large-scale global conflicts, and immediate business disruptions.