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Luke Vargas
Viking committed to exploring the world in comfort. Journey through the heart of Europe on an elegant Viking longship with thoughtful service, cultural enrichment and all inclusive fares. Discover more@viking.com Senators debate through the night in a marathon effort to pass their mega bill. Plus, President Trump threatens higher tariffs on Japan as trade negotiations stall and California dismantles a landmark environmental law to tackle its housing crisis.
Jim Carleton
This single law has really been the biggest impediment to really building of housing to match what California needs and now it's basically been gutted. It's gonna be a whole new ballgame.
Luke Vargas
It's Tuesday, July 1st. I'm Luke Vargas for the Wall Street Journal and here is the AM edition of what's news, the top headlines and business stories moving your world.
Peter Landers
Today.
Luke Vargas
The sun has risen in Washington, D.C. with members of the Senate continuing to debate amendments to President Trump's tax and spending package. Republicans like South Carolina's Lindsey Graham see the bill as necessary to prevent a damaging tax increase, while Democrats like Arizona's Mark Kelly have sought to highlight the law's tax cuts for top earners and reductions to social safety net programs.
Jim Carleton
Y' all will never do anything to make sure taxes go down, so we're going to make sure they go down forever. Current policy is good tax policy.
Luke Vargas
Stick with the bill we wrote. Giving a tax break to the richest people and most profitable corporations is a choice and paying for it by kicking 17 million Americans off their health insurance is a choice. Though voting began mid morning yesterday, the bill is still said to be in flux as GOP leaders try to win the backing of Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski, who is seeking to shield her state from Medicaid and nutrition assistance cuts and to slow the phase out of clean energy tax credits. If she can't be moved and is joined by two other GOP opponents of the legislation, Republicans may be forced to shrink or eliminate the bill's debt limit increase. While the White House has said its confident the bill is on track, it is facing increasingly vocal opposition from the President's one time ally Elon Musk, who posted on X that he would fight to unseat lawmakers who campaigned on reducing spending only to vote for a debt increase even if the Senate passes the bill in the coming hours. The Journal's Jasmine Lee says its fate in the House is uncertain, with Speaker Mike Johnson warning that any Senate changes to the law could upset his chamber's more rowdy and populist conference of members.
Jasmine Lee
The House also has its moderate Republicans who are concerned about things like Medicaid clean energy. And then there's the House Freedom Caucus. That's a group of fiscal hawks. They're very vocally opposed to spending more. So we could see a similar dynamic play out in the next few days. And if the House makes changes, they would have to send the bill back to the Senate.
Luke Vargas
Trade tensions are back in the headlines this week with President Trump threatening Japan with new tariffs just days ahead of his July 9 deadline to strike deals with a raft of countries. That's a deadline motivating trade diplomacy around the world, with the EU's chief trade negotiator heading to Washington today to try to stave off Trump's threatened 50% tariffs on the block. With more, I'm joined by Journal Asia business and economics editor Peter Landers. Peter Japan had originally been touted as one of the first trade deals that we'd see in this administration, and yet here we are with a deal seeming like it might be far away.
Peter Landers
Yet, yes, they're in trouble, Japan and the US President Trump has said he admires Japan, but he has repeatedly criticized their trade policies on social media, saying the Japanese market is not fully open to American rice, it's not open to American cars, while Japan exports hundreds of thousands of cars to the United States. So he's suggesting maybe there won't be a deal and Japan would have to put up with 25% tariffs on its cars and other tariffs on a perhaps semi permanent basis.
Luke Vargas
And what are we hearing from Japan about what's to come?
Peter Landers
Japan has a national election coming up on July 20th, and so it's politically delicate for the prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, not to make too many concessions. He has to walk a line there. Obviously, the US Is Japan's most important ally and most important trading partner alongside China, so he can't just reject out of hand some of Trump's demands. On the other hand, if he accepts, for example, long lasting tariffs on Japanese cars or a broad tariff on all Japanese goods, he might be perceived as having given in too much and not having defended Japan's interests sufficiently. So I would say more than expected. Japan is taking a hard line and demanding that the US Pull back on some of its tariffs. And Trump is holding firm. That's why we're in a stalemate.
Luke Vargas
All right, so what is the likelihood of a deal here? Yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant said they're still working on some deals, but that other countries may end up needing to face higher tariffs if they can't get agreements in place and time.
Peter Landers
I think It's a close call. And there's obviously a lot of gamesmanship in these types of negotiations when a deadline is approaching. That's true in any type of negotiation in that sense. Nothing unusual. And it's to be expected that President Trump and Treasury Secretary Besant would warn countries of what they might face if they don't make concessions that the US Is seeking. But I think that there is an additional uncertainty is whether Trump really wants to lift the 25% tariffs in particular on cars that affect Japan, South Korea and the European Union. Sometimes the president suggests it's just a negotiating tool to get concessions. Other times he feels it seems that these tariffs are a good thing that he wants to maintain, if possible, and encourage those carmakers from places like Japan and Europe to expand their production in.
Luke Vargas
The U.S. peter, 25% tariffs on autos, a significant concern, I would imagine, for major exporting countries like Japan and South Korea. And yet we've seen some new data lately suggesting maybe things aren't quite as bad as we originally thought.
Peter Landers
That's right. South Korean exports were actually up a little bit in the most recent month. And if there is to be a trade war, I think the worst of it would come after July 9th. If President Trump reintroduces some of the tariffs that he suspended back in April, I would say the impact on the global economy has been less than feared. And there are some positive signs in China, South Korea, Japan and many other countries. However, if the tariffs are reinstituted on July, July 9, and for example, a country like Japan would be paying around 25% tariffs on all of its exports and in particular, cars, which are already paying 25%. If that became more permanent, then I think you could see a more significant impact on global economies.
Luke Vargas
Peter Landers is the Journal's Asia business, finance and economics editor. Peter, thank you so much as always.
Peter Landers
Sure thing.
Luke Vargas
Coming up, California dismantles an environmental protection law in a bid to tackle the country's worst housing shortage. And we'll find out if a chatbot can offer better career advice than a human. Those stories and more after the break.
Alexandra Samuel
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Luke Vargas
Lawmakers in California have voted to roll back one of the country's strongest environmental laws in a bid to kickstart new housing projects. Journal west coast correspondent Jim Carleton says governor Gavin Newsom blamed the previous law for blocking development and reducing affordability.
Jim Carleton
There's been the California Environmental Quality act in effect here since 1970 and it's really been the bane of development. Activists have used it really to block development for decades and it's really created a housing crisis the likes of which we haven't really seen in the United States before. California is the least affordable state in the United States. Nine of the ten most unaffordable cities in the country are in California. As a result, a lot of people are leaving California. It's hurt the state's economy and now it's going to be interesting to see they're talking about like an unprecedented wave of housing development can be coming now.
Luke Vargas
According to Newsom, abuses of the law had spread so widely that opponents had used it to block some bicycle lane expansions in San Francisco. Environmentalists have warned that developers will now go unchecked. Back in Washington, President Trump has signed a presidential memorandum restoring hardline US Policy toward Cuba, reversing efforts by President Biden to relax some restrictions on the Communist run island. The move reinforces the Trump administration's stance that Cuba is a US national security concern, bringing back a statutory ban on tourism and doubling down on a decades old economic embargo. It comes as Cuba is mired in its deepest economic crisis since the 1990s, plagued by 18 hour blackouts and acute food and fuel shortages. Meanwhile, Canada has shipped its inaugural cargo of liquefied natural gas to Asia, the country's large scale LNG export facility in British Columbia. LNG Canada is a joint venture led by Shell's Canada affiliate and includes Malaysia's Petrones, Chinese oil major PetroChina, Japan's Mitsubishi and South Korean utility Korea Gas. According to consultancy Wood mackenzie, LNG is set to be the primary gas source in Southeast Asia by 2034, amid a regional shift toward greener energy sources. And finally, could an AI chatbot provide better career advice than a human coach? That is what Journal tech contributor Alexandra Samuel set out to discover by creating her own custom AI assistant called Viv.
Alex
I started by spending quite a bit of time with AI, thinking about different kinds of coaching processes that I've participated in in the past, when I shared all of that with an AI, I was able to kind of come up with a set of principles for how I like to work with a coach. And I was able to create essentially an instruction for the AI. And I was able to use that as the basis for a description of hey, coach, here's who you are, Here are the methodologies you draw on, here are the strategists who you're inspired by, and here's how you're going to work with Alex.
Luke Vargas
Based on her many hours interacting with Viv, Alex says that the best part of using an AI coach is that it holds her accountable without the judgment you might expect from a coach in real life.
Alex
I spent a few sessions with the AI, coming up with a list of 17 questions we would role play in a different tone every week. The AI assumed the Persona of a venture capitalist that was considering whether to invest in me. And in another, it was like a time traveler from 25 years in the future asking me to explain the business environment of the current moment and what I found when I took on those questions in a particular imaginary context and just had to answer them. And there was nothing at stake because nobody's listening. I actually had a lot more answers than I realized. And my answers were, in a lot of ways, more ambitious than anything I had ever admitted to another person and maybe even in some cases, to myself.
Luke Vargas
And you can read much more about Alex's experience via the link in our show notes. And that's it for what's news for this Tuesday morning. Today's show was produced by Daniel Bach. Our supervising producer was Sandra Kilhoff. And I'm Luke Vargas for the Wall Street Journal. We will be back tonight with a new show. Until then, thanks for listening.
Release Date: July 1, 2025
Host: The Wall Street Journal
The U.S. Senate is deeply engaged in revising President Trump’s expansive tax and spending bill. The central contention revolves around preventing tax increases versus maintaining significant tax cuts for the wealthy and large corporations.
Republican Perspective: Senators like South Carolina’s Lindsey Graham advocate for the bill, emphasizing its role in averting detrimental tax hikes. Jim Carleton, a West Coast correspondent, highlighted Republican commitment by quoting a key senator:
“Y' all will never do anything to make sure taxes go down, so we're going to make sure they go down forever. Current policy is good tax policy.”
(00:45)
Democratic Concerns: Democrats, including Arizona’s Mark Kelly, criticize the bill for favoring high earners and undermining social safety nets. The bill's potential to strip 17 million Americans of health insurance has been a focal point of opposition.
Internal GOP Challenges: The bill faces hurdles within the Republican ranks, particularly from Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski. Murkowski is pushing back against Medicaid and nutrition assistance cuts and seeks to delay the elimination of clean energy tax credits. Jasmine Lee from The Wall Street Journal notes:
“The House also has its moderate Republicans who are concerned about things like Medicaid clean energy. And then there's the House Freedom Caucus. That's a group of fiscal hawks.”
(02:51)
Potential Outcomes: If Murkowski and two other GOP members remain opposed, the Senate may need to reduce or remove the bill's debt limit increase. Additionally, Elon Musk has publicly threatened to challenge lawmakers who supported the bill, adding pressure on the administration.
Trade disputes have resurfaced as President Trump has threatened to impose new tariffs on Japanese goods, reigniting concerns over the stability of U.S.-Japan trade relations.
Trump’s Stance: President Trump criticized Japan’s trade practices, stating that the Japanese market is not fully open to American products like rice and cars.
“Japan exports hundreds of thousands of cars to the United States. So he's suggesting maybe there won't be a deal and Japan would have to put up with 25% tariffs on its cars and other tariffs on a perhaps semi-permanent basis.”
(03:51)
Japan’s Position: Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba faces political pressure with an upcoming election on July 20. Balancing strong trade relations with the need to protect national interests, Japan is advocating for the U.S. to retract some tariff demands.
“Japan is taking a hard line and demanding that the US Pull back on some of its tariffs. And Trump is holding firm. That's why we're in a stalemate.”
(04:22)
Economic Implications: Treasury Secretary Scott Besant acknowledged ongoing negotiations but warned that failure to reach agreements could lead to increased tariffs. Peter Landers, WSJ’s Asia business editor, noted:
“If President Trump reintroduces some of the tariffs that he suspended back in April, I would say the impact on the global economy has been less than feared.”
(05:22)
However, he cautioned that permanent tariffs, especially the 25% on autos, could significantly impact global economies.
In a bold move to alleviate California’s severe housing shortage, lawmakers have voted to repeal parts of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), a regulation that has long impeded development projects.
Governor Newsom’s Justification: Governor Gavin Newsom attributes the housing crisis to CEQA, asserting that the law has been a major barrier to building sufficient housing. Jim Carleton reported:
“There's been the California Environmental Quality act in effect here since 1970 and it's really been the bane of development... it's really created a housing crisis the likes of which we haven't really seen in the United States before.”
(08:24)
Economic and Social Impact: California remains the least affordable state in the U.S., with nine of the ten most unaffordable cities located there. The repeal aims to spur an unprecedented wave of housing development, potentially reversing the exodus of residents and boosting the state’s economy.
Environmental Concerns: While the move is expected to unlock new housing projects, environmentalists warn that reduced oversight could lead to unchecked development, potentially harming local ecosystems and urban environments.
Marking a significant policy shift, President Trump has signed a memorandum reinstating stringent measures against Cuba, countering the previous administration’s efforts to relax restrictions.
Policy Reversal: The memorandum restores the economic embargo and reintroduces a ban on tourism, underscoring the administration’s view of Cuba as a national security threat. This decision comes amid Cuba’s severe economic struggles, including prolonged blackouts and shortages of essential goods.
Context: The move signifies a return to traditional U.S. hardline policies, aiming to exert greater economic pressure on the Communist-led island nation in hopes of provoking political or economic reforms.
Canada has made a significant stride in the global energy market by dispatching its first cargo of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Asia from British Columbia’s LNG Canada facility.
Joint Venture Details: The project is a collaboration between Shell’s Canadian affiliate, Malaysia’s Petrones, PetroChina, Mitsubishi of Japan, and Korea Gas of South Korea. This partnership underscores the strategic importance of LNG in meeting Southeast Asia’s growing energy demands.
Future Projections: According to consultancy Wood Mackenzie, LNG is projected to become the primary gas source in Southeast Asia by 2034, aligning with the region’s shift towards greener energy solutions.
Exploring the capabilities of artificial intelligence in personal development, tech contributor Alexandra Samuel tested whether an AI chatbot could rival a human coach in providing career advice.
Creation of Viv: Alexandra developed a custom AI assistant named Viv, designed to emulate coaching methodologies she values.
“I was able to create essentially an instruction for the AI... and here's how you're going to work with Alex.”
(10:44)
User Experience: Through extensive interaction, Alexandra found that Viv provided non-judgmental accountability, allowing her to explore more ambitious ideas without the pressure typically associated with human coaching. She shared:
“There was nothing at stake because nobody's listening. I actually had a lot more answers than I realized... more ambitious than anything I had ever admitted to another person.”
(11:30)
Conclusion: While AI coaches like Viv show promise in supporting personal growth and career planning, the experiment highlights unique advantages such as anonymity and the absence of judgment, which could complement traditional human coaching methods.
Produced by: Daniel Bach
Supervising Producer: Sandra Kilhoff
For a more in-depth exploration of these topics, visit viking.com and refer to the show notes linked in the podcast episode.