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Foreign. You're listening to American Power from Find Out Media. I'm your host, Nat Town. Stand up comedian, speech writer, comedy writer, other kinds of writer, and most famously, podcast host. We are recording this at 6pm on Monday, May 4, 2026. I'm here with my panel of experts. Up first, our expert on military and policy, Chad Scott. Chat. How you doing?
B
I'm doing well. Glad to be here. Hope everyone is having a great week.
A
And of course, also joining us as always, is our Expert on energy, Mr. Global himself, Matt Randolph. Matt, how you doing?
C
Living the dream, Nat. Living the dream.
A
You really are. I want to focus on some evergreen topics, some long term strategy that we can discuss at great length, but unfortunately news keeps happening. So I was hoping we could start today's episode by talking a little bit about what has happened in the world of oil and the situation in Iran. Chad, would you kick us off?
B
Yeah. So it seems the ceasefire is effectively over, despite the fact that it's technically still in place on paper. I mean, Iran and the United States are shooting at each other. If you take a look at Trump's announcement of these escort missions through the Strait of Hormuz, that's not sitting well with Iran. And the US Began supposedly moving ships through the strait under this Project Freedom. U.S. central Command CENTCOM said two U.S. flagged merchant ships successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz with a US Navy destroyer. Interestingly, the the original construct for this was for neutral ships, but US Flagged ships are not neutral. So a bit of a misconception on what's going on there. Shortly after those ships went through, a South Korean operated cargo ship called the hmm Namu was hit by an explosion, likely came from either a drone or a missile out of Iran. There's no casualties, but Trump publicly blamed Iran and said South Korea should join the war. Now because of this, there's a new strategy coming out of Iran.
A
They're calling this claiming responsibility right there.
B
They haven't said anything specific as of right now to this. They're trying to create this air of chaos. They're trying to make it seem like they don't want to directly engage with the United States Navy, obviously, but they also want to make it so the shipping doesn't go through. And they're saying that all of these countries, regardless of where you stand, need to follow these new Iranian maritime rules. And this is kind of their new construct for how they're going to present a permanent structure within the Strait of Hormuz. And they're saying that if you don't follow that there's. That you're going to be stopped, you're going to get fired upon. I don't necessarily think they're going to be firing constantly. They just need enough to create this era of chaos. And with that chaos, they, and maybe Matt could talk about this as well. They struck the an oil facility that was supposed to be a workaround pipeline in, that's north of Dubai, I believe, but basically there's a pipeline. And so Iran is not only focusing now on the Strait of Hormuz, they're trying to punish anyone who is circumventing the Strait of Hormuz's control regime by striking pipelines and things like that that would be used to go around their, their kind of pseudo blockade.
A
And what's their goal? Just to inflict as much pain as possible.
B
They're just trying to assert control. It's this new maritime regime. They're trying to say, hey, we're in charge of the strait. The two parties here kind of sitting on opposite sides of what is common international law is the United States is saying, hey, we're going to blockade as we see fit because this is a war. It's not really a war. According to many in the, in the MAGA movement. We've already had to deal with that problem because we've passed the 60 days regardless, Iran sitting on the other side saying, no, this body of water borders us. We control it and you guys got to deal with it. So at that point, we're looking at an approach where you have two countries operating outside of international law, believing what they, they believe is right. And it's leading to, for all intents and purposes, I don't see a way out of this other than it becoming more of a kinetic fight. And that's kind of what we're seeing with these small boats being struck by Apaches in the Strait of Hormu, some six to seven, depending on who the source is, of these Iranian swift boats. These, these small fast boats that come in and try to harass the ships. They were apparently struck by Apache helicopters destroying them. Missile strikes on these countries and then obviously the missile strikes on a pipeline system. So CNN's reporting that within the next 24 hours, a coalition of the US and Israel and potentially even other countries, including the UAE, would are looking to start striking Iran again. And that's why in the beginning I said, I believe the ceasefire is just effectively over at this point and we're going to move to more kinetic operations.
A
And so we find ourselves as you mentioned we're 60 days past the original invasion or the original strike in Iran. Right. Which means. Which puts us. The War Powers act would require a declaration of war after 60 days of military activity. Is that the. The.
B
So it's either. You either have to have a. You have to have a declaration of war, which we won't get out of Congress, or an authorization for use of military for kind of the. We haven't declared war on anyone since like World War II. So it's always been an authorization for use of military forces. Basically Congress saying, hey, we give the President permission to do this, it's not an act.
A
Is that a lower threshold than a full declaration of war?
B
Yeah, basically there's. There's kind of divorces the Congress from the action if there's too many people who are opposed to it. But it's also quicker. There's a quicker me. A mechanism for an authorization for use of military force, and it allows them to the Congress to. Instead of saying, we want this war, we want to fight this war, we believe wholeheartedly in this war, they just kind of say, go do what you need, President. We're not going to get in your way. And that's kind of what happened.
A
Afghanistan and Iraq was not.
B
They were all. Yeah, they're all authorizations for use of military force. Key thing here is right now for this Iran situation, this Iran debacle, there is not a declaration of war, nor is there an authorization for use of military force. So we are in a. A new area now. We've passed the 60 days. They've. The administration is claiming that because there's been a ceasefire pause that there should be. It's no longer a war. As if when bombs.
A
To reset the counter. Because they.
B
Yeah, that's exactly what it is. Ridiculous. They're trying to reset the clock. And the thing is, is you can't
A
say in tag rules and putting.
C
Exactly.
B
That's. Yeah, it's like you can't say when the war's only happening as bombs are being dropped and then the war stops when. When bombs are done being dropped.
A
Totally. Totally new and different war. That's like.
C
Yeah, exactly.
B
So what?
A
There's Trump's previous war from March. No, no, no, that's over.
B
And that's the thing is we're carrying this over. And the. The blockade in itself is an act of war per the. The.
C
The.
B
Granted, it's an older case from civil war, but the Supreme Court has. Has reaffirmed that a blockade is a part of active warfare operations. The International law across the board shows a blockade is an act of war for all intents and purposes. This is a wartime action that the United States is, is conducting against Iran. We are just, Congress has just kind of, kind of backed away and is allowing Trump to do what he wants. And it's very concerning because it does give this almost dictatorial power to, to make and, and continue war when that power was initially intended to be an Article 1 Power of the Constitution granted to Congress specifically.
A
So, and do we have to see, is this the first time we've seen this in American history? Have we seen a President exceed the 60 day limit and continue acts of war without even an authorization for force? Authorization of force, yes.
B
In general, there's, I mean, we've seen some, like when you look at things like the Kosovo and stuff like that, there's been some buffers where they allowed for a little bit of negotiation stuff, but it's never been this egregious. There was always an understanding that as
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long as, at least until recently, some still something of a norm, like one of them.
B
Yeah, this is, this is completely new
A
to his lack of militarism in the past. Destroyed yet.
B
No.
A
Yeah, this is completely generally considered the standard. Okay. Yeah.
B
So it's, it's very much in, I mean, I'm very concerned going forward with what's, what's going to happen, especially since we, we're, we're now seeing Iran circumvent the strait and start striking the pipelines outside of, and that's definitely going to have market, market implications for sure for us and the world.
A
And I want to ask about that in just a second. But just to recap if you can, if you just correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems like what you're saying to me is that Iran is doubling down on this strategy that we've talked about in recent weeks, where obviously they don't have the scale of military force that the US has, but they realize that in order to inflict harm on the US in order to maintain control, they don't necessarily need to overpower us. They need to let the US Burn out its resources and maintain the situation long enough that it becomes inconvenient and expensive for the US to continue to do this. As we've discussed before, we haven't even felt all the economic impacts that are going to come from this yet. This is essentially their new strategy and they are, they're doubling down and continuing to strengthen their power that way.
B
And of course, yeah, absolutely, of course they're doing that because it's working. They're seeing the cracks form within the administration. They're seeing the infighting amongst Trump's usually even fervent supporters are getting very frustrated. You see the discussions happening in the Midwest of how the costs and things, you're seeing, you're seeing the cracks form. And so Iran sees no reason to change their strategy. I mean, the pain has not been incrementally ramped up against them. We just said we're doing a blockade and they're surviving the blockade. It's not great for them. My biggest concern though is given Trump's kind of cowboy esque ways of doing things, at what point does Iran say no one too many times and then it becomes, okay, well, Trump did say this is going to end a civilization or something to that effect. Or I'm going to strike bridges and civilian infrastructure and power plants. At some point I'm concerned that he will start doing that and that's going to hurt the people of Iran, who we should be supporting. Not so much, obviously the regime. There's no love loss with this regime, but we need to be supporting these people and.
A
Absolutely. And. Well, let's take a moment to talk about how this is affecting, because they're talking, you know, some of this is the Iran is guarantee, you know, banking on this affecting not only Americans, but American citizens. How is this. I know a lot of Americans are paying a lot of the pump these days. Mr. Global, can you give us a little sense of how is this affecting the all the markets as a whole and how is it affecting costs for Americans at the pump and at home?
C
Bad, Matt. It's really bad.
A
Worse than. Is it worsening or is this sort of decline as usual at this point we have to talk about acceleration.
C
Honestly, I don't know which is worse. I don't know if today's events are worse with Iran hitting so much infrastructure in the UAE or if all of the tankers coming to the United States are worse because people really don't understand how bad that is. But that export terminal that Iran hit today, we don't know the extent of the damage yet. So the pipeline might still be functional. Um, in that area there's a whole storage terminal, there's a pipeline, the start of a pipeline is there. There's a lot of stuff there, a very large area. And it's not clear yet to the extent of the damage. That pipeline moves about one and a half million barrels of oil a day. But we don't know if the pipeline itself was Damaged. So it's really hard to say what that's, you know, specifically going to do, other than the fact it's going to drive up oil prices. I think oil closed at 114 today, so it was up nearly six bucks by the end of. And this stuff's been going on since like 4 o' clock this morning. Today, the whole day was like this. And when they came out and said they were going to escort ships, and then they said, well, we're not going to ex. Escort them. We're actually just going to kind of talk them through it, I was like, what are we doing? Like, I, obviously, I'm not a military strategist, but this whole thing seemed kind of odd to me.
B
Do you see it as a manipulation again? Is that something? Because when he said that it was not going to be an escort mission, it was just going to be, we'll give you the maps and stuff to get through. I'm like, okay, this is a Monday morning Trump manipulation. Are you seeing the same thing or is that your feeling too, you know, or is it more legit?
C
So when he came out and said that on Sunday night, he does this on Sunday night because international markets open on Sunday night. A lot of people thought it was a manipulation thing. But the, the thing was, it didn't work. Like, the markets dropped for a couple of minutes, but they had to immediately come out and say, no, we're not actually escorting anyone. We're not doing that. Because that's the impression apparently that Donald Trump gave. To be fair, he didn't say the word escort in his tweet or truth or whatever it was. He said, we're going to guide ships through the strait and get them all out of the strait. So everyone assumed that meant. Because he said, we're going to use naval forces. So, you know, people are like, oh, that means we're going to escort them. They immediately came out within minutes and said, no, we're not escorting anybody. We're going to give them, you know, the maps and we're going to talk them through it, lend them an ear, whatever, whatever the hell it is. We're actually talk.
A
Yeah, we're going to guide them through spiritually. We're going to ask them, like, what their goals are with the trip and, like, hope they get the most out of it.
B
Do a vision board.
A
Yeah, we're gonna do a vision board. We're gonna, we're gonna do a collage with them before they leave.
C
The whole day's been nuts. Like, Iran immediately this morning claimed they hit a destroyer or a warship or something. I'm not sure. The US Immediately came back and said they didn't hit nothing. And then the US Came back later and said, well, they actually fired on us. And then like, we're in this space and time where you can't believe anybody and it makes it almost impossible to get the right information to the people that you're trying to deliver the information. And all of this just makes the market go nuts. My big concern is, of course, this will post on Wednesday and we'll know about this by the time this podcast comes out tomorrow. The API inventory report comes out, which is going to tell us how much our diesel fuel gasoline inventories dropped. And it's going to be a lot. A lot of people think it's going
A
to be the biggest one in petroleum index.
C
No, Institute.
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Institute.
B
Oh, yeah, Close.
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I was close.
C
So you know how, you know how the job numbers come out one day? Who is it that releases the job numbers first? The payroll company, adp. Oh, yeah, ADP does their job numbers and then the Bureau of Labor Statistics does their job numbers like the next day or the day after. They do the same thing with oil inventories. So API does them first, and that gives you, like, some insight into what they might actually look like. And then the EIA comes out the next day. And that's the one that really moves the markets. But the API is always very close to the eia, so we'll know Tuesday how much that inventory dropped. You could see a parabolic move in gas prices on Wednesday when this show drops. If those inventory levels drop as much as people think they're going to drop.
A
So we'll have more of an idea of how much gas is, or, sorry, how much oil is domestically available presently.
C
Is that it's like within how much gasoline and diesel. We're talking about refined fuel.
A
Specifically refined fuel. Okay, sorry, My apologies.
C
Yeah. A lot of these tankers aren't getting oil. They're getting our gas and our diesel. Oh, okay. That is driving up our gas prices more than if they were getting oil
A
because they're getting the global of the refined oil is making it worth exporting and therefore there's less of it here.
C
Exactly.
A
Driving up prices domestically.
C
So what we're seeing right now is exactly what caused gas to go to $5 in 2022, under Joe Biden, Russia attacked Ukraine. We started exporting a lot of gas and diesel to Europe. Because they cut Russia off. We brought our inventory levels way down. Gas spiked to $5. The difference is in 2022. It took us six months to send an additional 20 million barrels of gas, diesel, to Europe in 2026. We've done that in one month. So this is a much faster, more drastic thing. And there's tankers coming until mid August at least, so we could see gas prices go to places. Honestly, not even willing to predict where the gas prices could go. But this inventory report and the next one and the next one are going to be the biggest driver of gas prices. It's not actually going to be oil prices because when your inventory gets this low, oil prices can drop and your gas can still rise a lot.
A
And after smaller, like, like refining can't be sped up. Right. Like if we haven't.
C
No, we're at max.
A
We're at max. But if we are not. If we don't have oil, like, if you don't have the full amount of oil to refine at a given time, there's no catching up. You are, Matt, you are refining at. At capacity at this point.
C
Yeah, we're already at max.
A
So you're. There's no way of catching up on that scarcity other than to import refined
C
gas and diesel or stop exporting.
A
Well, okay, yes.
C
So after tomorrow's report, after tomorrow's report, there, there will. Our inventory levels will be lower than they were in 22. That's what I'm saying.
A
And that's tomorrow, after a month rather than six months.
C
Right. With more tankers coming until mid August. It's. This is bad. Is what I'm saying that this is really bad. Because even if the straight opens today, those tankers are coming until mid August. That's how long it takes to cycle the world with oil and gas.
B
Do you think that the president could use something like the Defense Production act to say, no, we're not giving you any more gas? Or is that just too problematic or. And there's just too much pushback? Because if you're saying what we're saying, I'm seeing just reports generally on the news that, like, states are now hitting new records of diesel. Some are like six bucks or something. It's getting out of control. Can the president come in and just say, all right, enough of this, Our production is for us for now. Stop shipping it, or is that going to be too much of the pushback? Is that basically political suicide from the oil companies? They'll say, no, we're not doing that, and it's lawsuit heaven there.
C
It's going to get to a point where I think he has to do it. But the problem is he's done nothing but celebrate the fact that these tankers are coming. But I fear that it's going to get to the point where he's forced to do that. There was a story out today in Reuters about how that is coming. They're going to have to do that. And I don't think you have to use the Defense Production act to do that either. I think you can just declare an emergency and you know, but yeah, that's the real concern right now is our inventories. Because once your inventory gets that low, oil can go up or down $10, it's not going to matter. Gas is still going up no matter what because you're just out of inventory. It's the supply side of supply and demand. And once you lose that supply side, you're done. Right. So we'll just have to see what happens.
A
You know, I mean, I remember some, in some choke points in the past or, or also like in times following Hurricane Irene, Hurricane Sandy, other natural disasters like that. When gas distribution was interrupted, you had like a run on gas stations in a lot of cases. Like you saw, you know, I mean it happened in New York, but I know it happened all over the place. But you know, you saw people showing up to fill up with, you know, with tank with cans and you know, buying out these local gas stations. How far are we from a run on gas? Like, like at what, at what point does the increase in prices speed up? I mean, obviously you can't predict human behavior at a mass scale, but is there anything that tends to trigger that panic?
C
So here's the thing. If we get a run on gas, we're still going to be fine. It's not that we're going to run out of gas. That's not what I'm saying. I'm saying the price of it is going to be very expensive.
A
I'm curious if that's going to happen cursorily. Like would there be a run if prices start to get to the point where people say, oh shit, I can't pay for this next week if it keeps going at this rate. A preemptive, not a supply based run, but if the cost hike increases in speed, essentially, as you said, it's acceleration at this point. So if the prices accelerate at a certain level, will people start to hoard gas? Will people, will we see a huge buy in for a moment? Like just a. Yeah.
C
This whole thing creates this vicious feedback loop where every action makes the, the last action worse. Like, you know what I mean? Like high gas prices. You get a run due to, you know, low inventories. You get a run that makes inventories worse, makes gas prices higher. It's, it's just, it's a cycle that you have to break out of. But what I want to be clear of is even if that happens, we're not going to run out of gas. We're just, it's just going to be really expensive.
A
We just can't afford the gas that we have because the lack of supply will just make it so expensive to the average consumer.
C
Yeah, and in many ways this kind of needs to happen, to be honest. Like we need a wake up call about what's happening in the Middle east. And the markets have been suppressed for so long, people act like it's no big deal. Maybe we need gas to hit seven or eight dollars a gallon so people will wake up and say, oh, this is actually serious. That's the only way the market can correct itself is through that demand destruction that will occur with those higher prices.
A
And I'm curious, am I incorrect in understanding this in other Western countries? I understand that people pay proportionately more per gallon for gasoline. Our gas has been traditionally much more subsidized. And so we're used to a artificially lower price than say like a car driver in the uk. Am I getting that right?
C
Oh yeah. Our gas is a lot cheaper than all of the other, even the Western nations, you know, we complain. You know, gas right now in Canada, on a well, if you convert it to gallons, it's over $7 a gallon. Like you can.
A
I remember being in the UK and saying, oh, it's almost the same price and then going, oh, that's pounds. Like it's almost twice what we were paying at the time. And you know, the pound was almost double the dollar at the time and it was a comparable number. And I went, oh my God. And then I realized that was like one of the first times I experienced. So we, our price has just for decades been somewhat like artificially suppressed. So Americans are under the impression that gasoline effectively is cheaper than it could be. I mean, obviously it could be, it could always be more expensive. But do you think that, do you think there's a thing that's just never going to go all the way back down that we made. This may just be what triggers, like we have to adjust a little bit to the idea that gas can't be as cheap as we think it is.
C
So this is a deep conversation because I don't think gas is expensive. I think wages are extremely low. And we don't have a cost problem in the United States with everything. We have a problem with what we pay people. If the United States paid people, you know, just a normal amount of money, gas would not be expensive. Right now, gas is expensive because people don't make enough money to live in this country.
A
But we stopped doing that in, like, the 80s.
C
So the solution has always been to make everything cheaper instead of. To pay people more.
A
Yes.
C
And who's. Who benefits from just making stuff cheaper instead of paying people more? Who benefits from that?
A
From people being able to purchase more things? I would say the people who are being purchased from. In my. In my very basic economic analysis, based on what you're saying, I would imagine that more people being able to buy things would probably benefit the people selling it.
B
And it's kind of wild because when I was so When I was in Germany, stationed in Germany, there's. The US Is so hyper focused on prices that we got what was called an Esso card. Now, I know you are in Europe, Nat, I don't know if you got this as well, but soldiers, when we go to the. Go to Europe and they're stationed there, we don't pay their gas prices. We pay American gas prices at their pumps. We use what's called an Esso card. We drive up to their pump, we pay with the Esso card, and it charges us our American per gallon rate, and they all have to pay their rate. So I'm running up. I can fill my tank at the time when I was there for like €30, but for which is like roughly 35 bucks or something like that. They. While the Europeans were paying like 60 or €50 themselves. And it's because there's this, like Matt was saying, there was this. There's this hyper focus on trying to keep everything cheap rather than making the market actually work. And it's. It was. I just kind of triggered something in
A
my mind over to Europe to find out how the rest of the world is living. We got a. Yeah, like, it was serious culture shock.
B
Well, and it's funny because, like, if you forget your asset card, you need to get gas. You just got to pay their prices. And that happens. I mean. I mean, it would happen every once in a while. And so I was like, dang, I got to pay like 80 bucks on this, on my car, on my BMW to get filled up. But yeah, it's. It's really fascinating. And I'm. You look at the kind of, the. The shortages thing. I was kind of thinking about 2008, how the United States is so insulated. We are so insulated. 2008 crisis that hit us hard, but it hit us way less than everyone else around the world. Our recovery was way faster. We were so much more insulated because one, of our financial system and two, a lot of our, a lot of the inputs come to the US and you're seeing like, we won't see gas runs here, like Matt was saying, but already you see like India and Pakistan, these are countries like there's a confirmed cooking oil shortage in India because they get a lot of their cooking oil from Iran. You look at Pakistan and they are having some fuel lines start where people are trying to get fuel. It's things we don't see. And so what ends up happening, unfortunately, politically we can look at it from a kind of ho hum like, okay, well whatever, I guess we'll keep paying a little bit more and we don't change anything politically while the rest of the world is really struggling. And it's just kind of fascinating that like Matt was saying, we're not going to see these gas runs, we're not going to feel the pain. But the rest of the world and humanity outside of the United States certainly is.
A
I think you have a point. Even thinking about 2008 as to what Matt was saying about, you know, we focus so much more on cost than wages that a lot of the recovery after that, I mean, obviously there was like little bits of stimulus here and there, but it was focused on getting inflation down and focused on. And it wasn't focused on the kind of, you know, investing in citizens that would create long term wealth. It was focused on making things affordable as quickly as possible. And you know, of course that was like the birth of Occupy and all, you know, all these movements there where people were saying, hey, I actually can't afford to live. But we are very focused on the idea that everything should be, you know, cheap, affordable, available immediately. I'm curious as we go forward, if you guys don't mind pivoting a little bit to talking about the long term of this, because I think we're realizing that, yeah, these effects are going to be pretty serious. And as often is the case, Americans are insulated in a way that people around the world are not from the effects of the American economy crashing time and time again. This is an ongoing situation with no obvious resolution in sight. So I was wondering if we could take a look at, you know, we're a sane person in charge. Given the current narrative though, given, given the way that we've moved forward, assuming anything short of impeachment or, you know, regime change on our end, what's our way out of here? Can we talk about what a possible, what possible steps forward look like both from the military situation, but also how does the American economy stabilize from this? And do we just get used to higher gas prices? But I was hoping maybe we could start talking about the situation first.
B
Yeah, sure, I can. So from, from a, from a kind of a military geopolitical, geostrategic stance here. I want to caveat this, this again, like repeating what you said. This would be if we had a competent leader in place. And I kind of, I kind of got questioned that last episode in the, in the YouTube comments. Like, Trump would never do that. Yes, of course. This is if we had someone who would do this type of stuff. This is if we had a good leader.
A
We know that.
B
So just making sure that people are aware. So first we, we have to understand that this administration is getting played by just hyper focusing on the Strait of Hormuz. That is Iran's strongest card. It is narrow focus, economically sensitive, and it lets Iran pressure the global economy without doing anything meaningful. They don't have to fight the U.S. navy. They don't have to really do anything other than scare people. So if we stay hyper focused on Hormuz, we are fighting Iran where Iran is strongest, and then you're getting into the art of war and Sun Tzu. We're fighting them in on their territory. That does not mean we should be surrendering the Strait of Hormuz. We should absolutely come to some way to make this open and free again. But it means we stop having to let, we stop letting Iran define the entire war around it. And so we take this fight from the Strait of Hormuz and we move it out into a global system. We blow it up where America is the strongest. The, the entire world, because of our soft power, because of our hard power, is our strongest arena. And that's the first thing we have to admit that this strategy of hitting, trying to hit Iran in the mouth in this small spot is not working. And we need to broaden out by rebuilding our allied front. We need, and again, this isn't going to happen. But this is what we need to do. We need to go to Europe, Japan, Australia, all of our Gulf partners and say, look, we screwed up. We tried to handle this alone. We tried to take care of this problem. We didn't do it well. We need the help on the diplomatic and economic fronts and along with that, we got to stop trashing NATO, we got to stop picking fights with our allies, we got to reaffirm our commitments to Europe, increase support in Ukraine where we can as kind of a, hey, you help us out, we'll definitely help you out in Ukraine. Because the next phase of this only works if other major Western economies are aligned with us. Without, without those, those other Western economies like China and Russia will find loopholes to help Iran survive the pressure because they love seeing this pressure on the United States. So it has to become, not the United States pressuring. It has to be a coordinated global pressure campaign instead of this unilateral American mess that we love to think that we're so star spangled awesome that we can fix ourselves and it ends up turning out, no, we can't. We need help with our allies. Second of all, we got to separate the immediate crisis from this long term Iran problem. The immediate crisis is Hormuz right now. We need to solve that now and kind of back burner everything else. And I know that sounds really bad to the Trump administration. Like we, that means we got a back burner, the nuclear program, their missiles, their drones or proxies, all of that. But now we're having actual human suffering from the Strait of Horm being closed. So that needs to be separated. And if we try to solve all of it at once, we're not going to get anything. That's kind of the premise of the jcpoa. We, we got around this, this whole thing. So before I go on, I just, I mean, because I, I can talk about this. I just, if Matt, if you want to interject, absolutely, throw out whatever you feel or, or nat.
A
But I'm, I'm listening and I'm hearing, you know, obviously you're saying number one, not obviously, but if I can recap, number one, saying essentially restore our standing among allies 100%, come back to NATO hat in hand and say, hey, we actually recognize that we need your help. Which is, does sound a very non Trumpian thing. But that is the caveat of this discussion, which is how could this be done? Not will Trump do it? And then secondarily, I'm a little questioned about this because I do feel like the administration, while they're talking about Iran's nuclear concerns and all these things have been pretty focused on the strait and have been delivering a lot of misinformation about this. Drake, are you saying that they need to be, they need to be actually solving it and that the focus has been spin?
B
Yeah, it's A.
A
It's focused on it. To me, from a. From a news perspective, it's a.
B
It's a spin. I think it's been for market. I think it's spin for votes. The midterms are coming. I think at this point, if Trump was. Was. I wouldn't say smart in this regard. I think he would just understand that the midterms are lost at this point, and he needs to do the right thing and how to get out of this. And the right thing is going to be a bit painful for the United States, and it's not going to get us our maximalist demands. And that's kind of where our maximalist demands is like, no more nukes, no more helping the proxies and Hezbollah and the Houthis, no more killing your people. Which I really wish we could do that, but that's something that we can't force without our own physical forces on ground there. And so because of that, we. We need to kind of parse this out. We need to compartmentalize and say, okay, first of all, let's solve Hormuz. And then if we solve that and the ceasefire holds, then we can move to a framework of how do we address the nukes, which is number two on the list. I think humanitarian is number two, but the American people seem to think nukes are number two. So then we compartmentalize further and deal with the humanitarian issue, deal with proxies, deal with everything else. And that's kind of the requirement there. And there's. There's multiple. There's much more steps, because it's going to require us to apply pressure external to Iran, including on Israel, including on China and Russia as well. And we can't do that without our allies.
A
So early on, it feels like a lot of the messaging, even from Democratic electives, was not necessarily muddied, but they were all doing this sort of rhetorical. Trump is going about this the wrong way, but Iran's leaders are evil. Iran is bad to their civilians. And obviously there are other countries where that's true, that we didn't suddenly invade, that we're not focusing on. So that standard seems false to me. But I would agree with you that, you know, we also can't ignore those humanitarian concerns. Like, we do need to address those humanitarian issues, in my opinion. Also higher priority than nuclear proliferation. I think that's a higher priority perhaps than Iran's nuclear program, but we don't need to be. As we discuss this, you know, there's no endorsement of Iran's regime, but I think if anything, we have really harmed our ability to have any kind of humanitarian impact on it. I mean, obviously we're bombing civilian populations. That's the opposite of it. But we're also not influencing the regime to be suddenly more of an open society. I mean, if anything, this, this makes it more complicated to encourage that. Am I, am I crazy to say that?
C
No.
B
I mean, we should be supporting. That was the whole premise initially that we all thought when Trump was like, help is coming on the way. We thought that that was going to be the premise that he was going to provide aid, provide intelligence, hell, provide weapons via the Kurds into so that they can defend themselves against this regime. And none of that happened. And so the minute that took place, the Iranian regime said help's not coming. And then they just killed thousands of them in the streets. And since this war started, they've had something like 25 or 26 executions, which is the most executions Iran has conducted in a span of this span of time since the Ayatollah came into power. So none of this humanitarian threats or efforts that we've made aimed at the, the new Ayatollah Khamenei is working. And so I think personally we have. That's why we have to expand globally and have.
A
That's exacerbating the problem. It sounds like.
B
Yeah, it's making it worse. We're focusing so hyper focused on Iran itself and the Strait of Hormuz that I think we need to apply economic pressure on things like Russia and China and potentially start hitting them where it hurts. And obviously where it hurts them is in the energy. Not both the energy coming out of Russia, but also the energy coming into China from Iran. And that's kind of where I was like, maybe Matt has his ideas on how we can impact the energy and trade with those countries so that we can go kind of end around Strait of Hormuz to. To have some sort of forcing event with Iran. And later on I can, I'll tell you that we have to give a bit to Iran as well. We can't just be here. We got to actually give a bit. They gotta actually have something. But in the meantime, there are some other avenues other than a blockade and just trying to hit him in the mouth, which clearly is not working. So, yeah, I think economics is going to play a big part into the economics of our of Iran's supporters in Iran or in Russia, China, North Korea, etc.
A
Matt, any thoughts on that?
C
I don't have a lot of faith. Look, when it comes to sanctions on Iran, they were always predicated on what our gas prices were like. They weren't, they were never serious. They were a joke. You know, when Donald Trump put sanctions on Iran is when our gas prices got cheap enough that he could afford it. So, I mean, you know what I mean? And it was the same thing with, with every administration. You know, how we treat Iran has always been predicated on how does it impact our gas prices at home? Like, oh, gas is high. Let's, let's chill out on enforcing the sanctions, you know, so, like, how we
A
can actually do it.
C
Right, sorry, that's what I mean. Like, every decision we make regarding Iran, which is supposed to be this existential threat, it's been determined by 50 cents at the gas pump. So how existential of a threat can it actually be? Like, when gas is $4, we stop enforcing sanctions against Iran and just let in Russia.
B
It's the frustrating weakness of the west
C
because, and so what's, what's the motivation
A
of, of playing this act of, of actually having. I mean, are you, are you assuming that it's in good faith when we can afford it, or is this more to, to have a perpetual boogeyman?
C
I don't know. I, honestly, I think it's a bunch of BS like, if, if you tell me that some country is an existential threat to us, then why does 50 cents at the gas pump change that? Right now half of America is, is saying that they're doing their patriotic duty by paying more for gas. Well, why can't they do their patriotic duty when we're not at war? Like, why do we have to be at war for you to do your picture? Like, if you know what I mean? Like, the whole thing is, is too political for me. It's, it's, everyone's decisions on Iran is always based on how it hurts or helps themselves politically, personally, and not what's best for the whole country. That, that has always been the case. Well, I don't want to deal with this existential threat because it might cost me an election. What, like, what does that mean? Like, if, if they're this threat, they need to be dealt with, and if they're not, go home and shut up. You know what I mean? Like, just stop.
B
This existential threat, I agree, is complete nonsense because there's only, frankly, two countries on the face of the earth that are existential threats to the United States. And by proxy, that means they're existential threats to the world. Because if that existential threat, obviously a nuclear strike comes to bear, we respond, end of the world. So this notion that small countries, whether it's Iran, North Korea, whatever, are this existential threat, it's completely bogus. And he, and it's Trump using the same playbook that Putin used, saying that Ukraine was some sort of existential threat to Russia. That's absolute nonsense. It's the narrative, the boogeyman. And it is, it's bs. So I just, I just wanted to throw that in there. That there's no country is truly an existential threat. And the only countries that are. It's, it basically becomes a globe ending event at that point. So it's, it's an, it's either all or none.
C
You know, they, they keep talking about, oh, the last 47 years. So what have they done for the last 47 years? Right. Financed or helped carry out terrorist threats when all of this is over, are they still going to be able to do that? Yep, absolutely. So, like, what the hell are we doing? Like, they're still going to be able to do the thing they've done to us for the last 47 years after all of this is over.
A
Yeah. And also, if we're talking about who funded terrorists, didn't we fund Al Qaeda? Like, we're not spotless on that record.
C
Yeah. Hey, hey, take it easy, Take it easy.
A
Hey. We didn't know what they were gonna do. Come on.
C
Yeah, Russia was, I mean, just seriously, Afghanistan.
B
Well, that's why I have concerns about US funding and arming Lebanon right now to fight Hezbollah. I get it. They're trying to fight Hezbollah. Admirable. But that was the same excuse we used when we funded and helped out the Mujahideen to fight the Soviets and then they turned around and used those weapons against us. So it's. We, we love to, we love to quote, unquote, step on our own dick when it comes to this type of stuff. Myself, I don't know. That's a military term.
A
When you, when you leave that with Washington himself at first.
B
Yeah, yeah.
C
I can't even do that when I'm sitting down, much less standing up.
A
It does sound more like Pat. I don't know.
B
He said.
A
But I used to get into the lotus position to do that personally.
B
But it basically is like you, we, we have it, we, we think we have such a great idea that we're going to go do this thing and then we end up, it ends up being a great idea briefly, and then we'd have to deal with several decades, if not a generation of consequences and that's kind of what, what we're seeing here. And now we're doing it again in Iran and we potentially could be doing it again with Lebanon. And so we just aren't learning from this stuff. And it's. Yeah. So that's why I don't think we need to be focusing so closely and why we need the brain power of the collective, of our allies who know more than us in some things and we know more in other things. That's why when we work together with them, it works out and it's a better situation. Like, the lenses are different. We should be asking our Gulf allies, hey, how do we do this better? We should be asking Europe, from your experience, what do you see? And we just, we just aren't. Because Trump seems to think that he knows best all the time, always. And it's, it's becoming more and more of a, a burden and more of a detriment to the United States that thinking. So we need to expand outward.
A
I mean, if Donald Trump reversing course publicly is what it's going to take, we're in not a great situation. But I am curious. You were right now. Yeah, Matt, we were talking about, I mean, a lot of this does feel like every week we go, I can't believe this comes down to three men or one man's ego. But, yeah, publicly changing the narrative. I mean, that's a whole other discussion as to, like, how do you create a, you know, I've joked in the past about sending him the fake New York Post headline like Mom Donnie did. But, like, literally, how do you create a path for Donald Trump to psychologically de escalate, which is a whole other conversation. But I wanted to ask you, Matt, we're talking a little bit about, you know, in order for us to actually sanction Iran in a way that's effective, we have to be willing to do so. You know, you've expressed your, your skepticism. This is actually an existential threat. But if we want to make changes there, we want to do so via sanctions. You're saying we're only willing to do so at times when gas is cheap because it won't, it won't threaten the politicians in charge because the prices are a little lower. You're also talking a little bit about, like, the, this might reset our understanding, this crisis might have to reset our understanding of gas prices. We might have to get used to the idea that even if the supply is there, that, that the prices will be different from what we, what we've been used to. In the past, is there any world in which, as things settle, Americans get used to paying 50 cents more anyway and we have the ability to sanction Iran without causing immediate political pressure or give some kind of buffer to oil prices there? Or are we just going to get back to making gas prices? Sorry, not oil prices, gasoline prices. Are we going to get back to making it as cheap as possible at the pump as quick as possible?
C
I've. Look, and this isn't just Iran. This is. Historically, I've never been a fan of any kind of sanctions. I think they're stupid and I think they don't work. But that's just me. What do I know? You know, are you just going to leave sanctions on Iran for 20 years? And then what? Like, what exactly is going to come of that? Like, what is the end game? And I feel like we do so much stuff without having an end game. Like, why can't we, I don't know, maybe write up some kind of agreement on a piece of paper? Maybe at the top you could write like J, C, P. I saw you going there. You could write.
A
I'm sorry, what would that stand for? Hypothetically? Hypothetically, what would that be? Initials for Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Oh, that's interesting. Yeah, that's a good idea.
C
Joint meaning two people, right? Two countries.
A
Yeah.
C
Or more.
A
Two or more.
C
The point is combined, confused, twist, intertwined and look, people can disagree with me on sanctions all they work or all they want, that's. That's fine. I totally understand the pros and the cons. I've just always thought they were really stupid and is probably the largest thing that's driving countries wanting to get away from the US Dollar. By the way, using your currency as a weapon is just not cool in my book. But I. This is something that needs to settle as far as gas prices are concerned. Like I said before, this has always been a wage thing for me, not a gas price thing. And there's ways, there's a lot of ways we can lower gas prices in the United States, and it's mostly by controlling our exports. But we live in a country, you know, we cater to corporations and we want them to send, you know, you, you can pay $0.50 more a gallon so we can have leverage over Europe by sending them fuel. Like, that's okay. You know that. And that's what people don't understand. Like, a lot of what they pay for gas is because we use our natural resources geopolitically to get leverage over other countries. And, you know, they blame it on oil companies or whatever. But you know, if we weren't exporting all the diesel we export around the world so we can have some control over someone else in the world, diesel would be a lot cheaper in the United States and so would everything. So.
A
But we're using chip by like underselling other exporters or to use it to put pressure on them for other purposes.
C
Yeah. And look, I'm not opposed to exporting anything, but I am opposed to unlimited, relentless. Just export as much. You know, just total. Give it to the corporations. They'll, they always think about the American people first. Oh yeah, let them do everything. You know what I mean? Like we ain't trickling down yet. Yeah.
A
Like it's just like almost down to us guys. It's so close.
C
Yeah. Our whole LNG strategy is to make countries reliant on us instead of Russia.
B
Well, I think there's a, there's a great point there because you, we, we keep focusing in this administration on the punishment. Punish them, punish them, punish them. And one thing that the Obama administration flipped the script on with the JCPOA was kind of was coming to a common understanding so that we don't. So Iran doesn't feel like they are surrendering, that they're at the losing end of this because that's what they feel like right now. They're feeling like they have to surrender everything they're losing, they're getting killed, they're being destroyed, they're being blockaded. So they're just leveraging anything they can. And I want to make this, this clear to everyone. I don't think that this maximalist punishment campaign is going to work at all. I think at some point we have to negotiate with them. And I think that the negotiations that are about to happen, Iran is so angry and I don't say about to happen like in the near like next few days that eventually it has to be negotiated out. You don't a war stop on diplomacy. And so what's going to happen is Iran is probably going to get a better deal than they had in the jcpoa. They probably are going to get a more money back. I mean Trump is talking about $20 billion going back to them potentially. And I think Obama's JCPOA was like 6 billion of that and then there was gateways to get more as long as you maintain the necessary steps. At the very least. I think the Trump administration has backed off of their maximalist no nuke talk to maybe in 20 years or you can have that 3.67% enrichment, which is what the JCPOA had. So what we're seeing now is we are going to, if we don't find a way to, to work this out with Iran, they're going to continue to hold the straight at risk. And even in the best case scenario, we probably are going to get a worse deal than the JCPOA that Trump pulled out of. And we ended up spending. What is it? What did they say, $25 billion on this war so far and 13 lives just to get something that's slightly worse than the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. So we do have to come to the table in good faith, which Trump has not done. We've attacked him twice now. When we went to the like during negotiations, we started to fight a fight with them. And that's why I just, I, I'm concerned. I don't think we have the administration capable of doing what is necessary, at least until after the midterms. Maybe after the midterms, Trump can be neutered enough that more sane players can come into to play, but I, I don't see that happening.
A
And all this because he thought he could sort of claw machine comedy out of the country like we did in South America and be done with it. Just essentially, we get involved in these Middle east conflicts with no understanding of. And again, we, various administrations, get involved in these Middle east conflicts with no understanding of the local culture or economic systems. And our only way forward is, you know, like you're saying Trump's never going to admit is wrong. Right. So they do. What all Trump can do is, is claim that he won. And so, effectively, I think if any of these paths are going to happen, what's going to happen is they're going to have to create some kind of narrative or someone, as you said, if the pressure after the midterms is high enough, as much as he'll never admit it, he does recognize waning popularity. He does also take crazy swings when his popularity is waning, but he is. That means he's aware of it. So it is possible that someone creates a narrative that he can latch onto and, you know, if he knows he's losing, save some amount of faith and still call it a victory. And again, you know, we could do an entire episode with a psychologist on what it would take to get Donald Trump's ego to, you know, to be placated enough to pretend that he was okay with what it's going to take. But effectively, it sounds like it's going to take a little eating hat, eating crow Hat in hand, eating crow. Excuse me. And we can eat a hat, too. But effectively, a crow in hand is worth two in the George Bush administration. And I'm on a long one now. But effectively, we're going to need to trust our allies. Do you have reasonable negotiations, effectively accept a worse deal than we had in the first place? And even that seems like an unrealistic course of action at the moment because ego's still driving the ship, like every episode. I'd like to end this episode with a segment we call the least worst part of My Week where we take a look at a silver lining or something that's on the rise or less declining than the rest of the world. On that note, Chad, do you have a story you'd like to share with us?
B
Yeah, I mean, kind of looking at the broader geopolitical space for the Ukrainians and their gaining influence around the world, one cool thing that took place recently was Ukraine met with Armenia. And that's a much bigger deal because Armenia is a relatively small country. But it's a much bigger deal than you think because Armenia is very much in Russia's sphere of influence. In fact, they are in the Collective Security Treaty Organization, which is the wish version of NATO. It's like Russia's version of NATO. It's like all the, the Kazakhstan, the Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Armenia is in it and such. And the fact that we have Armenia meeting with Ukraine now, there wasn't any kind of military agreements. It was just kind of, they wanted to create a framework for future partnerships, economic cooperation, etc. But the fact that Armenia basically looked at Putin and said, we're done with you for now. We're going to go work with Ukraine and talk to them. Even when Putin was saying don't do it, that's a huge win because that means Russia's losing influence on the global stage. They are struggling to keep their allies. And this, this goes back to a bit of the the Russians were unwilling to help Armenia during the conflict they had with Azerbaijan. That's a whole nother story. So Armenia is quite angry with Russia at this point and they are seeking partners with Western nations including they've met with the United States. And now kind of unheard of, is them meeting with Ukraine, the clear geopolitical enemy of Russia right now. And it looks like Russia's grip on their allies and global affairs continues to slip.
A
Well, I'm glad that Russia's sphere of insulin is shrinking. I affirm your story. I'm glad that no one happens to be throwing a huge wrench into the spokes of global order right now. So I'm sure everything will work out fine. Matt, do you have any silver lining? Best, worst, least worst part of your week that you'd like to share with us?
C
I do. Now I don't know about you Nat, but I'm one of these people that genuinely despise tourists, that don't respect the wildlife in whatever area they are visiting on their ten thousand dollar family vacation that they can't paid for that they put on a capital one card. So the monkeys now right at me,
B
the capital one card.
C
I got a capital one card. Capital One, if you're listening, I love your card.
A
They're not paying for this. Stop it. We, let's, let's ask for money first.
C
I love to travel to, to like beautiful places. Like I go to like Yellowstone and like I, that's my gig. I love that kind of stuff and I hate seeing tourists that just disrupt or, or just do anything to the wildlife. Anyway, the monkeys. I know I talked about a monkey last week, but this is two weeks in a row of monkeys. I'll never do this again, I promise. The monkeys in Gibraltar have figured out. Yeah, because next week how to self medicate. Yeah, they figured out how to self medicate from all of the junk food that the tourists that go to Gibraltar feed them. Chocolate, candy, cookies, potato chips. They're literally getting fed all of this junk by the irresponsible Americans that come down there and spend their hard earned money to feed monkeys chocolate. And they noticed, scientists in Gibraltar noticed that the monkeys were eating an extraordinary amount of dirt. There's something in the soil in Gibraltar that gives a very calming effect to the monkeys. It helps with their gastrointestinal systems. It relieves the symptoms that they suffer from eating all of this ultra processed American junk food that we're taking and giving to them. So they're literally medicating themselves from American tourists by eating an enormous amount of dirt. And I just think it's really cool. And they have discovered that these monkeys are communicating with other like herds or tribes of monkeys and like spreading the word about how you need to eat the dirt. And monkeys eating dirt is spreading across Gibraltar. Like I, I cultural like, like 98 degrees back in 1996. I don't know.
A
Like it's, it's just our editors update that put a, insert a current reference there later.
C
Like I don't know of it today because I'm, I'm in my 50s.
A
Yeah, that's, that's.
C
But yeah, I thought that was A great story.
A
You're very lucky.
C
They have figured out how to self medicate. I thought that was the coolest thing ever. It's like no matter what people do to them, they will figure it out.
A
I also like the angle of, oh, man, I've been eating all that processed American food. You know, it would really clear me out. Is some just straight dirt, you know, something healthy. I can't imagine McDonald's. I got to eat some soil from the ground.
B
Where you joke. We're like, well, we're, we're like, I don't know, a month away from having Gwyneth Paltrow sell dirt and It'll be like 80 bucks for like a bag of dirt and soothe your stomach. A pile of dirt. I'm a. I'm going to pass this on to my wife.
C
Why can't we sell the.
B
My tea making wife? I'm going to be like, hey, have you heard of this dirt? Maybe we can add some dirt to our tea. So monkey dirt.
A
But drinking activated charcoal at this point, we're not. Yeah, you know, come on. Madagascar. And so soil from, from different places around the world. We could, we could market this. This is really. If find out ever wants to pivot to the like brain supplements and pseudoscience homeopathic cures angle, we could start selling like American Power homeopathic bags of dirt.
C
Yeah, dude, go to Gibraltar, get some dirt, bring it back here, say it's from Gibraltar and everyone will buy it.
B
They'll spend a lot special dirt from
A
Gibraltar and use our promo code, American Power at checkout at American Express and Capital One. Edit that out, please. I shouldn't keep saying this.
B
Come on. We're a discover level podcast right now. We haven't hit that.
A
Or a Diners Club podcast right now. If you can find someone who accepts us on credit, great. We're so happy to be included. But I've got a good story for this week. This is more of a general recap for how my past week went. But as many of you may know, perhaps listeners to an energy podcast are aware of the fact that it was Earth Week this past week. The week that contains Earth Day. Guess what? We've expanded it. It's a crisis. We got to spend a whole week working on it. Also Climate Week, we got that one in September. We need, at least, we need Climate Year at this point. But it was Earth Week this past week. And as a result, I had the privilege of. Of doing some shows and workshops with students at schools across America in different places. I actually Went up to Massasoit in Brockton, Massachusetts and did a show and workshop with some of the students there. I worked on a show and also worked for several months with students at CU Boulder for their Inside the Greenhouse Climate Science program, where they put on a big show for Earth Day. And most recently actually had a chance to speak to some students at Stuyvesant High School in New York in a really cool class called Writing to Make Change that works with the students on how to shape your writing for activism. And I got to talk to them about how to write speeches and write comedy. And I would say that there's a lot of doom going on right now. And culturally, if the only way that you interact with people between the ages of 15 and 25 is on the Internet, you might believe that everyone is completely black pilled and hopeless. And I do think that we're dealing with a lot of phone addiction and a lot of doomerism. It's a very real thing. But I can't say my experiences were representative of all of America. But I found that almost exclusively the people that I talked to in high school and college to be really interested people, really curious with way more aware, way more awareness of how fucked everything is than I had as a teenager by a long shot. And I was a real contrarian. But I think in general, to be that kind of person when I was, to be anti Bush wasn't even popular when I was in college and generally all liberals were against him, but it was considered unpopular to be political in many ways. And I'm finding that a lot of young people I work with, a lot of people I teach, are way more engaged and way more aware of power structures and class structure in a way that was not popular or not common when I was that age. And so, you know, I wish this were a funnier story that had a monkey involved, but unfortunately, almost a great story. Well, it is. I feel really, I was really invigorated by talking to all these people because they were really interested and like that, interested in fighting climate change. And I thought of it because some of them were telling me that they had to clean up the vapes in the creek down in Boulder, Colorado, because animals were vaping. So they tried dirt. That was my connection to Matt's story. They are, they're doing a lot of cleanup and pickup by hand to stop the animals from sucking on vapes and Zins or whatever the hell else people are throwing away on college campuses. It's bleak, but I was really excited to see every, every Group of young people I talked to, I say, get off your phone, get off the Internet. It seems hopeless. Go stick your fingers in the dirt, Go meet people. And I'm really excited to say that I see a lot of people doing it, a lot of people who are actually interested in it. So I'm not going to be, you know, Pollyanna ish and say the kids are all right. Probably most of them are still racist, I don't know. But I'm meeting a lot of young people who are interested in making a change. And I think that's really exciting right now. I think a lot of people are really becoming aware of what's going on in the world. And that's the least worst part of my week.
B
No, that's very cool. I'm always hopeful for kids. They're always, they always seem to be better than us. That's what I hope.
A
Oh, I'm not hopeful for them. That's why this is exciting for me.
B
Never mind. So very cool.
A
You little idiots don't know what's going. No, no, I, I try to. I try to be. I think people like to paint entire generations with a single brush and it's ridiculous. But, you know, we all want to believe that Gen Z is hopeless or Gen Alpha is gonna just live with an iPad four inches from their face for their whole lives. But I actually think that to some extent, finally, people, the proliferation of information and the crisis have gotten to the point where people are really starting to get a good sense of what's going on in the world. And I think that's really cool.
B
Yeah, very cool.
A
We'll talk to you all next week. This has been the American Power podcast from Find Out Media. I'm Nat Town for Chad Scott and Matt Randolph. Before we go, we just want to make sure you can follow us on social media. Chad, where can people find you on social media?
B
TikTok. Cpscott15 YouTube @cpscot16. I know it's confusing. And then I'm on Facebook also. CPScott15. Just fine. Chad Scott in the NATO global warfare space. Not the NFL coach, so.
A
Or both. And Matt, where can we find you?
C
YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, Blue Sky, Instagram, Threads, substack, News Nation to name a few. Sometimes on News Nation. Yeah.
A
And I am nattousand on whatever social media I choose to pay attention to at any given time, usually Instagram. But I also want to tell you folks about a brand new app that I'm on which is Find Out Social. It is the first of its kind. It's a social network associated with our media organization, Podcast Network. You can interact with other listeners and hosts of your favorite podcasts. And there's a news feed and it's not owned by evil billionaires who will sell your data. So you can find us all there. I believe that is launching today for early adopters on the wait list and in a few days for everyone else. So find us on Find Out Social. I'm at Nat Town. And once again, this has been American Power from Find Out Media for chad Scott and Mr. Global. Matt Randolph, I'm Nat Town. We'll talk to you next week. And remember, power corrupts, but American power corrupts Americanly.
Date: May 6, 2026
Hosts: Nat Towsen (comedian/writer), Chad Scott (military strategist), Mr. Global / Matt Randolph (energy markets expert)
This episode dissects the unraveling of the U.S.–Iran ceasefire in 2026. The hosts explore the resurgence of hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz, examine the breakdown of U.S. war powers norms, the strategic calculus on both sides, and track the historical, economic, and global ripple effects – with a special focus on oil markets, energy shortages, and the realities (and rhetoric) of American power.
(Timestamps in MM:SS format)
On the “end” of ceasefire:
"Iran and the United States are shooting at each other... CNN's reporting that within the next 24 hours... the ceasefire is just effectively over..."
—Chad Scott [01:11, 03:38]
On U.S. military legality:
"We are in a new area now... no declaration of war, nor... authorization for use of military force... They're trying to reset the clock. And the thing is, you can't."
—Chad Scott [06:26, 06:56]
Oil price spike explained:
"Oil closed at 114 today, so it was up nearly six bucks... The whole day was like this."
—Mr. Global [12:35]
On U.S.-centrism and market manipulation:
"They're doing a vision board... we're gonna do a collage with them before they leave."
—Nat Towsen (mocking government messaging) [14:24]
Comparing U.S. and European gas prices:
"Our gas is a lot cheaper than all the other, even the Western nations... Canadians pay over $7 a gallon."
—Mr. Global [22:51]
The real reason for cheap gas:
"We don't have a cost problem... we have a problem with what we pay people."
—Mr. Global [24:10]
On failed occupation lessons:
"We love to quote-unquote, step on our own dick when it comes to this stuff... ends up being a great idea briefly, and then we have to deal with a generation of consequences."
—Chad Scott [41:26]
On the futility of U.S. sanctions:
"I've never been a fan of any kind of sanctions. I think they're stupid and I think they don't work... What is the end game?"
—Mr. Global [44:57]
On the likely endgame:
"We are going to... get a worse deal than the JCPOA that Trump pulled out of. And we ended up spending... $25 billion on this war so far and 13 lives just to get something slightly worse."
—Chad Scott [48:01]
Wide-ranging, irreverent, and deeply critical of current U.S. political leadership, with barbed wit, asides about American exceptionalism, and digressions on the absurdity of U.S. self-perception versus the constraints of energy and economic realities. The tone is skeptical, at times darkly comic, but grounded in expertise and systemic analysis.
A tradition where each host finds a glimmer of hope:
For those who missed the episode, this summary captures the episode’s blend of insight, cynicism, and gallows humor, offering both a systems-level view and on-the-ground specifics of the unraveling U.S.–Iran standoff and its global reverberations.