
Loading summary
Shemitah Basu
Good morning. It's Thursday, May 8th. I'm Shemitah Basu. This is Apple News today. On today's show, the Vatican's messy financial picture, why more states are considering taking fluoride out of the public drinking water. And an AI generated video allows a dead man to confront his killer. But first, in the past few weeks, there's been a lot of talk of recession indicators. Some of it's been in the form of snarky memes online in response to the seesaw tariff policy from the Trump administration. Some of it is trying to translate the general sense of economic anxiety and figure out whether it's a temporary blip or here to stay. Economists are trying to sort out what's anecdotal vibes based if you will, from what's showing up in the data. Take McDonald's, which recently saw a drop in spending in US stores as acknowledged by their chief financial officer on a recent earnings call.
Stephen Borelli
People are choosing either to skip breakfast or they're choosing to eat at home for breakfast. And I think that's more to explain what's going on in the US Versus any kind of segment shift.
Shemitah Basu
And the Washington Post reports that a number of major airlines have withdrawn their financial forecasts for the year, uncertain about how things are going to shape up. Companies like Procter and Gamble, responsible for so many of our household brands, are raising some prices. Mattel, the makers of Barbie, have also said their prices will go up due to the administration's tariffs on China. And for smaller businesses, the effects of the tariffs will be harder to mitigate. CNN spoke to Stephen Borelli, the CEO of a California based clothing store, cuts, about his concerns.
Drew Henshaw
When the 145% tariff hit, it caused a lot of stress on our business where we had to raise prices and it caused demand to down a little bit. And I just want to reiterate, I am a Trump supporter and I believe he's going to figure out how to help us out. But I just want to say that, you know, cuts represents the small businesses and the American dream and the 145% tariff really threatens that.
Shemitah Basu
Meanwhile, if you zoom out and look at the larger economic picture, many of the key economic markers have largely remained steady. Yesterday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell kept interest rates unchanged, but said the path ahead was not clear.
Stephen Borelli
My gut tells me that uncertainty about the path of the economy is extremely elevated and that the downside risks have increased. The risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen, but they haven't materialized yet. They really have. They're not really not in the data yet.
Shemitah Basu
In other words, what he's saying is there's uncertainty, sure, but those recession indicators are not jumping out to him right now. Overall, consumer spending hasn't fallen yet. The labor market has remained strong. But some economists believe it will only be a matter of time before the tariff policy back and forth does in fact start to show up in data. The New York Times reports that for some economists, the uncertainty feels a bit like hunting for clues during the pandemic. Back then, things like a drop in restaurant reservations and screenings at TSA checkpoints were signals of potential economic damage to come. But one challenge the Fed now faces, as Powell said, is trying to decide whether to focus more on the risk of rising unemployment or inflation going up. If consumer confidence is low, then demand may fall. Just ask the McGriddle. And it is still possible that the current tariff outlook could change. In fact, this weekend, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant is scheduled to meet with Chinese officials to discuss trade, though Trump said yesterday he does not plan to change the tariffs in advance of the meeting to secure a deal. Let's turn now to a huge problem. The new pope will inherit the Vatican's extremely messy finances. The combination of deficit spending and financial mismanagement has driven the Vatican into unsustainable debt. When Pope Francis was elected in 2013, he was given a mandate to fix this problem, but it only got worse. The Vatican's deficit tripled during his tenure, though to be clear, he did try to push for reforms.
Drew Henshaw
He hires auditors. Essentially. One of them had been an executive at the accountant firm Deloitte, and these auditors are sort of shocked what they find.
Shemitah Basu
Drew Henshaw with the Wall Street Journal spoke to us from Rome.
Drew Henshaw
There's nuns who are doing calculations and keeping budget ledgers with pencil and paper. There are clergy who are moving money from Vatican accounts to bank accounts under a cardinal's name to hide money from the auditors.
Shemitah Basu
To understand the Vatican's finances, Hinshaw and other Journal reporters met with officials from the Vatican's bank, pension fund and regulatory institutions. They also spoke to cardinals attending this week's conclave. A Vatican spokesman didn't respond to a request for comment. Several interviews had to be held in secret, with their sources citing an atmosphere of suspicion and blame over the Vatican's deteriorating financial situation. The Journal learned members of the clergy resisted the rules. Francis tried to impose things like obtaining multiple sign offs for expenses. Some tried to hide funds, citing security concerns for missionaries in countries where proselytizing is a crime. Hinshaw says Trying to balance a budget for a papal state that's existed for more than a millennium was not a priority for many of them.
Drew Henshaw
You have clergy who, in their minds, they're doing God's work on earth and why an outside auditor or an accountant should tell them how to do those things. You're going to hit resistance.
Shemitah Basu
The struggle between Francis and the Vatican's bureaucracy continued to escalate. Ultimately, he decided to shift his focus to other priorities. But he kept trying to find solutions up until pneumonia put him in the hospital for weeks. This February, three days before he was hospitalized, Francis signed a papal directive to boost donations from the Catholic faithful, hoping that that would help who will inherit? The financial puzzle is still in question. Black smoke rose above the Vatican yesterday, signaling a new pope had not yet been chosen. Now to Utah, where the first domestic ban on fluoride in public drinking water went into effect yesterday. Florida will soon follow. On Tuesday, Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis signed a bill into law that will prevent local municipalities from adding fluoride to their water starting July 1st.
Stephen Borelli
It's forced medication when they're jamming fluoride into your water supply. And they did it because you know if you have fluoride, it'll help with dental. And I'm not saying that's not true, but we have other ways where people can get access to fluoride. When you do this in the water supply, you're taking away a choice of someone who may not want to have overexposure to fluoride.
Shemitah Basu
Dentists and public health experts are sounding the alarm, saying that rolling back community fluoridation policies, which are widely considered one of the top public health success stories of the last century, could lead to a rise in avoidable dental health issues. Fluoride is a naturally occurring mineral found in the soil, air, and in some areas, the water. Too much of it can stain your teeth, but the right amount can play a vital role in preventing tooth decay. Dentists figured this out roughly 100 years ago, and starting in 1945, municipalities across the US started to add very small amounts to the public drinking supply. Fox reports the goal was to make sure everyone got some amount of protection from tooth decay, regardless of whether they had access to dental care. In Grand Rapids, Michigan, the very first city to fluoridate its water, Researchers monitored almost 30,000 school age children over the course of 15 years, and the rate of tooth decay dropped by more than 60%. In 2011, the city council in Calgary, Canada, voted to remove fluoride from its water. But A decade later, residents voted to bring it back. Calgary City Council member Giancarlo Carra spoke with NPR last year about this decision. He says they noticed when fluoride was removed, tooth to decay was on the rise.
Stephen Borelli
The rate of dental caries has increased significantly more than the rate of dental caries was increasing before. I think another meta study came out also in that 10 year period that looked at all the other studies and made it pretty clear that, yeah, there probably are meaningful benefits.
Shemitah Basu
Some people who have been outspoken opponents of adding fluoride to water, like Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Have warned that it can be dangerous and lead to adverse health effects. And there's some truth to that if too much is consumed, bruce Lamphere, a professor of health sciences who studies neurotoxins, told VOX about research in China. It compared villages with high amounts of naturally occurring fluoride in their water to villages without high levels of fluoride.
Stephen Borelli
And what they found is comparing the high versus the low populations. They saw about a 7 IQ point difference. When it's that large, it's hard to sort of just dismiss.
Shemitah Basu
But what's also worth noting, we are talking about high, high levels of fluoride exposure here in the United States. Municipalities set fluoride limits and most follow CDC guidance, which is much lower, no more than 0.7 milligrams of fluoride per liter of water. That's around five times less than the Chinese villages from the study Lamphere cited. To put it another way, the National Institutes of Health says it's virtually impossible to get a toxic dose from fluoride at the recommended levels as Utah's ban takes effect. Dentists who treat children and low income patients told the Associated Press they're bracing for an increase in tooth decay among the state's most vulnerable people. Still, other states are plowing ahead with Ohio and South Carolina considering similar measures. Before we let you go, a few other stories we're following. In other health news, Secretary Kennedy has announced a new database that will keep track of autism patients enrolled in Medicare and Medicaid. He says it'll be used to help researchers studying the causes of the condition. A petition criticizing the move has drawn more than 50,000 signatures, with people saying that they felt an effective registry would be invasive and against the wishes of many families, The Autism Science foundation raised privacy red flags. The National Institutes of Health denied that it amounted to a registry, and the health department says it would comply with all privacy laws. In other Trump administration news, the Wall Street Journal has some exclusive Reporting on Trump's efforts to take over Greenland, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard recently ordered U.S. intelligence agencies to ramp up their spying to learn more about the movement in Greenland to seek independence from Denmark. Remember, Greenland is a self governing territory of the Danish Kingdom, according to two sources familiar with the intelligence effort. Officers were told to collect information on how locals feel about the US Extracting resources from the island, which is rich in valuable minerals. In response, Gabbard said the journal's reporting was politicizing and leaking classified information. The Danish Embassy in Washington declined to comment, and the prime minister of Greenland didn't immediately respond. Now to what we think is a first for US Courtrooms. The sister of a man who died in a road raid shooting used AI to recreate his face and voice in order to play a message at his killer's sentencing. NPR reports that Stacey Wales was struggling to find the words after she lost her brother Christopher. So instead she wrote something as though it was from her brother and with the help of her husband, created a hyper realistic AI video which said this.
Stephen Borelli
To Gabriel Horquesitas, the man who shot me. It is a shame we encountered each other that day. In those circumstances, in another life, we probably could have been friends. I believe in forgiveness and in God who forgives. I always have and I still do.
Shemitah Basu
There were no objections from the judge or defense and it wasn't used as evidence. But NPR notes some concern from experts as to other ways AI might be used in courtrooms and whether cases like this raise issues of consent for the deceased. And finally, a number of news outlets have been putting out explainers on the papal conclave in recent days. We covered this yesterday, but it seems like a lot of people, including the cardinals participating in the process, are turning to the Oscar winning movie Conclave for a primer. A cleric told Politico some of the cardinals now locked in the Sistine Chapel saw the film in theaters and found it very helpful. For many of the cardinals voting in this conclave, it's their first time navigating the politics and protocol. The majority were appointed by the late Pope Francis, and the cardinals interviewed by Politico say the film is remarkably accurate. They're not the only ones who've been tuning in. After Pope Francis passed, streaming viewership of conclave spiked 283%. You can find all these stories and more in the Apple news app. And if you're already listening in the news app right now, we've got a narrated article coming coming up next. The Los Angeles Times spoke with the creators of Girls Gone Bible. It's a podcast hosted by two Christian influencers who have no formal training in ministry, but their fan base is now larger than many of the nation's most popular preachers. If you're listening in the podcast app, follow Apple News plus Narrated to find that story and I'll be back with the news tomorrow.
Apple News Today: Episode Summary – “People are noticing ‘recession signs’ everywhere. What does the data say?”
Release Date: May 8, 2025
Host: Shemitah Basu
Description: Join Shemitah Basu every weekday morning as she guides you through some of the most fascinating stories in the news — and how the world’s best journalists are covering them.
Shemitah Basu opens the episode by addressing the rising chatter around potential recession signs. The conversation delves into whether these signs are fleeting or indicative of a more prolonged economic downturn.
Key Points:
Public Sentiment vs. Data: There has been a surge in social media memes and general economic anxiety, particularly in response to the Trump administration's fluctuating tariff policies. Economists are striving to distinguish between anecdotal fears and concrete data indicators.
Case Study – McDonald's: McDonald's CFO reported a decrease in spending at US outlets. Specifically, "People are choosing either to skip breakfast or they're choosing to eat at home for breakfast." (Basu, 01:08).
Airline Forecasts: Major airlines have retracted their financial projections for the year due to uncertainty.
Corporate Pricing Strategies:
Small Business Impact: Stephen Borelli, CEO of California-based clothing store Cuts, discusses the strains caused by a 145% tariff:
"It's forced medication when they're jamming fluoride into your water supply. [...] the 145% tariff really threatens [our business]." (Basu, 02:14)
Borelli expresses optimism in Trump's support but highlights the broader threat to small businesses and the American Dream.
Federal Reserve Insights: Fed Chair Jerome Powell maintained interest rates but admitted the economic outlook remains unclear. Borelli shares his perspective:
"The downside risks have increased, but they haven't materialized yet." (Basu, 02:29)
Economic Stability Indicators: Despite the anxiety, consumer spending and the labor market remain robust. However, some economists warn that ongoing tariff policies may eventually reflect negatively in economic data. Powell faces the dilemma of prioritizing between rising unemployment risks and inflation.
Trade Negotiations: Treasury Secretary Scott Besant is set to meet Chinese officials to discuss trade, although Trump remains firm on maintaining existing tariffs to secure a deal.
The episode shifts focus to the Vatican's escalating financial crisis, a legacy issue exacerbated during Pope Francis’s tenure.
Key Points:
Deficit and Mismanagement: The Vatican's deficit has tripled since Pope Francis was elected in 2013, driven by deficit spending and financial mismanagement.
Efforts to Reform: Despite attempts to implement reforms, including hiring auditors, the financial situation has worsened. Drew Henshaw of the Wall Street Journal reports shocking findings by auditors, including clergy hiding funds and nuns maintaining rudimentary budget ledgers.
Internal Resistance:
"There are clergy who think they're doing God's work and resist outside financial oversight." (Basu, 05:45)
Papal Directive: In February, Pope Francis signed a directive to increase donations from Catholics to alleviate the financial strain, just days before being hospitalized with pneumonia.
Current Status: The financial puzzle remains unresolved as the conclave to elect a new pope is underway, marked by uncertainty and internal conflict within the Vatican.
The discussion moves to public health policies, highlighting Utah’s new ban on fluoride in public drinking water, with Florida set to follow suit.
Key Points:
Legislative Action:
Public and Expert Reactions:
"You're taking away a choice of someone who may not want to have overexposure to fluoride." (Basu, 07:01)
"The rate of dental caries has increased significantly more than before." (Basu, 08:46)
Scientific Perspective: While excessive fluoride can have adverse effects, such as staining teeth and potential neurotoxicity at high levels, the levels used in US water supplies are regulated and considered safe by the CDC and NIH.
Case Studies:
a. Autism Patient Database Controversy:
b. Trump Administration’s Greenland Strategy:
c. AI in the Courtroom:
d. Papal Conclave Preparations:
Shemitah Basu wraps up the episode by highlighting upcoming stories and directing listeners to the Apple News app for more detailed coverage. The episode provided a comprehensive overview of current economic uncertainties, the Vatican’s financial struggles, public health policy shifts regarding fluoride, and various other noteworthy news items, all underscored by expert insights and firsthand accounts.
Notable Quotes:
For a deeper dive into these stories and more, download the Apple News app and stay informed with the latest updates each morning.