Podcast
Breakaway - Investing & Finance
Hosted by Sean Hathaway · EN
Breakaway from the haters and mainstream thought. Learn about Investing, Finance and the Economy in a plain english and entertaining way. Understand the business environment and make money investing. Uncertainty in the markets driven by crisis, anarchy, politics and craziness is simply opportunity. Facts and truth here.
30episodes
Episodes
Newest firstAll episodes
Athletes Inspiration, SaaS-Ocalypse, Options, Robots, SpaceXaI
Feb 2100:47:37Tap to summarizeBench Press: Pete Hegeseth. Secretary of War: 315. Avalanche. 9 of 15 people that died in Tahoe avalanche hiking/skiing backcountryMikaela ShiffrinGold in SlalomFirst Alpine skier to surpass 100 World Cup winsAnthony Kim. Started 5 shots back. 9 birdies final round!Anthony Kim talking about family and GodTiger on Anthony KimLike Kim Kardashian! Secret Edge of the Rockstar skier per WSJ.I’d say Golfer too. MarketsMarkets 1% or so off ATH. Tech 5% or so whatever. The interesting story is.SaaSpocalypseiShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV)31% off high!! Options tradingWorkday: Duration 482 or 16 months. June 2027Trading at $140. Call is $36 or 26%. % is key. Indicates cost. Bid / Ask: So buy 100 at $36.00, costs you $3600.IN summary. Workday goes up 26% to $176 you make money.To make “real Money” you buy $100k you get about 2700-2800 options. Workday doubles to $280. You make ($280- $140 - $36)*2700 = $280 - $300k. AISpaceXaIXaI video on restructuring and next stepsRoboticsViral Video from China showing many robots dancing and flipping. Thank goodness we have some American Companies doing similar. Its actually INSANELY impressive. Real? https://www.unitree.com/Dog is $1600Figure in the US showing Robots doing real-world tasks.Billionaire Wealth Tax$519 Per Second: The Real-Time DestructionEconomicsRent control in Mass from WSJA group of housing advocates and labor unions want to stop landlords from raising rents by more than the state’s annual rate of inflation—but no higher than 5%—a year.RecommendationsAI for Home: Using Gemini Gems: Home electronicsMusic studioChris Hemsworth on Theo VonPlay at 17.40. Purity of life and questioning meaning and why?“Falling in love”. Not rising or winning, but falling, like a sacrifice and risk.
Transcribe →SpaceX, XaI, Tesla, Netflix, AI, California
Feb 1100:47:09Tap to summarizeApple PhoneSuperBowl. Bad BunnyJETS:Two B-1B Lancer bombers. two F-15C Eagles, two F/A-18E Super Hornets, and two F-35C Lightning Linday Vonn - Torn ACL. MarketsVOO and Tech still near all-time highs.Bitcoin down 45%. Spotify up 15% today. Still 40% off high. 98B market cap. SpaceX Acquired XAICurrent valuation. $250 and $1t. Elon on the Pivot to Moon as opposed to Mars now. Elon MuskGreat interview with 10000 Starship launches annually. Low rate compared to airplanes.Merger with TeslaSpaceX and XaI merged. Presumably Elon has super voting control. Now SpaceXaI will acquire $TLSA at a premium (~30%). They're similarly valued at ~$1.5T each. AND I think/hope Elon also offers an "allocation" of pre-IPO shares to Long-term Tesla shareholders (maybe > 3 years).TeslaNetflixTed Sarandos testimony. 80% of HBO subscribers are Netflix subscribers. YouTube is #1 viewing platform. Rights to Oscars, NFL, etc… Netflix is 9% of viewing and with Warner 10%? Wow! Chief Strategy Officer at Warner. Senator Hawley is a terrible Senator! Play Union Commitment53.28. Sexually inappropriate trans characters. What % of Netflix employees donate $’s to what party? 1.07.03 Why give Netflix the power to promote more woke shit!? Must Play. Wokest content in the world. 🤣1.29.06. Grumpy Old MenAIJensen Huang on Software and AI. AI will not replace software. Government FraudHospice Cares in CaliforniaPlay: https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/201809975894308465718% of entire US Home Healthcare funding/billing is from LA county. 1 Dr. 1900 patients and billed $120m in one year! 287 Hospice providers in 2 mile radius. 2000 hospice agencies in LA county. Strip malls, unmarked buildings and vacant lots.California Billionaire TaxLarry, Sergei, Peter Thiel, countless others. Startup founders will leave. With Zuck’s move to Florida, California’s total taxable wealth from billionaires has plummeted to well under $1T from over $2T just a few weeks ago. RecommendationsBeast within me.
Transcribe →Markets, Apple, MSFT, Meta, Tesla, XaI, SpaceX, Government
Jan 3100:36:26Tap to summarizeOpeningReformer Machine Workout at YogaSource in Los GatosSonos nightmare. Gemini wonMarketsThe Federal Reserve held its key interest steady in a range between 3.5% and 3.75% after a recent run of interest rate cuts.1 Year: VGT/QQQ 23.3%. S&P 500 17%. 2025: 1 yr and 10 yrQQQ: 20.8% and 19.4% annualized = $100k > 620VOO 17.8% and 14.8% = $100k > 400AppleApple revenue of $143.8 billion, up 16 percent from a year agoGoogle's AI technology would provide the most capable Apple foundation modelsDictation sucks!MicrosoftMicrosoft Cloud revenue was $51.5 billion and increased 26% Slowing Cloud Growth. MetaUp 10% or so? From Zuck: Play at 3.22: https://www.youtube.com/live/1Tm7gX-WctI?si=i66btpKGlApbuyF5&t=202TeslaInvestor DeckEnding production of S and X in Q1. Earnings Call: Elon on CyberCab: Play at 26.15.Elon on TerraFab: Play here 45.40Elon on Optimus: PlaySpaceX and XaIMerger. How it would work. Tesla Shareholder Allocation. Maintaining super voting rights. Government & FraudIlhan Omar US Rep for MinnesotaIlhan Omar went from a having a -$65,000 net worth in 2019 to $30,000,000 in 2026.Financial Disclosures required for Congress Persons2023 Disclosure: $15,000 - $50,0002024: $1,000,000 - $5,000,000EstCru LLC WineryIlhan Omar Winery. Husband is Tim Mynetthttps://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2016171843992912175- The website disappeared- Listings were deleted- Archives wipedExcited that Matt Mahan is going to run.
Transcribe →Markets, Netflix, Tesla, AI, California, Fraud
Jan 2400:38:47Tap to summarizeOpeningReformer Machine Workout at YogaSource in Los Gatos. Indiana. Fernando Mendoza is a truly special. Markets1 Year: VGT/QQQ 17%. S&P 500 17%. 2025: 1 yr and 10 yrQQQ: 20.8% and 19.4% = $100k > 620VOO 17.8% and 14.8% = $100k > 400VXUS: 32% and 8.5% Gold and Silver. Great year. 77% and 200%. That’s 3x. IBIT and Etha: Down 14% and 10%. NetflixGreat earnings call. 17.6% YoY revenue growth, better than Q4 2024 of 16%. Warner Brothers Acquistion is huge overhang. It will help them: IP. Harry Potter, DC Comics, Game of Thrones, Matrix, Sopranos, Succession, Lord of the Rings. BarbieHBO!LemonadeHIMS. TeslaAutonomous. Finally pulling the driver out in Austin. No longer able to buy FSD outright. Needs to be subscriptionLemonade cutting premiums by 50% if you drive a Tesla with FSD. Important implications for all car insurers.Humanoid RobotsYes Boston Dynamics and many others particularly in China are great, but… Manufacturing, Software, Hardware, ….XAI Will have more AI compute than all others combined in < 5years! From ElonThe Colossus 2 supercomputer for @Grok is now operational. First Gigawatt training cluster in the world. Upgrades to 1.5GW in April.I’m using Gemini and Grok. Perfect combo. SpaceXSpaceX will be ~99% of all Earth payload mass to orbitI think there will be an allocation to Tesla LT shareholders. Could be $1.5T, but could go to $10T. PoliticsWealth Tax Wealth Tax. 1 time 5% on Billionairs. No limitations on quantity or $ limit. Play Ben Horowitz on wealth tax. More taxes is not the answer. Eliminate Fraud, waste and abuse!Billionaires ~$8T, everyone else $170t.The two Google founders per Gemini represented 23 percent of the aggregate billionaire wealth in CA. Throw in Peter Thiel and well over 30 percent is goneVideo here. https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2014785916083020062$23m$125k Rover seizedHome in GreeceMansion in LABalance the Budget State Audit Report hereBudget Summary.05% of Californian’s or ~8500 people making over $10m per year pay 25% of the personal income tax liability. 1% of Californian’s pay 49% of Personal Income Tax. $54 billion Uhaul Growth Index: Companies moving out of CaliforniaRecommendations:RoganBradley CooperBen Affleck and Matt DamonEthan HawkeTim Ferris and Bill Gurley
Transcribe →Markets, AI, Tesla, Netflix, Drugs
Dec 2000:40:58Tap to summarizeOpeningHolidays! . Cats and Dogs and Family. Happy Holidays. New Cat named Timmy. Pure trouble and pure JOY! Coinbase Fraud. Called with automated message asking if I attempted to change my “email contact”. If “no” they said press #1 or otherwise hangup. So I press 1. Some dude is on the line. Says he needs my first and last name to help. I ask him, “how do I even know if you’re real…How do I know you’re Coinbase?”. He hangs up!!! OMG! Startup InvestingRule #1: Be comfortable losing all the money. Might sting, but should not cause you to lose sleep!MarketsInvestments for our kids! Brad Gerstner and Michael Dell at White House. Fed Regulation of AI. To prevent a 50 state patchwork, onerous system. Bernie Sanders and other Dems calling for a “halt” on AI and Datacenters!!Markets S&P 500AppleApple head of AI retiring. Apple could partner with Gemini. Also, tech is getting so good that Apple will offer privacy! NetflixNetflix back in pole-position. I think this is “Good”Turnkey studio and ICONIC space. IP. Harry Potter, DC Comics, Game of Thrones, Matrix, Sopranos, Succession, Lord of the Rings. BarbieHBO! TeslaTesla AI ChipsTesla AI Chip and Advanced Engineering from Elon. Elon tweeing/xing tried and trying to help legacy automakers, but they want a pilot program that starts in like 5 years!This video of Optimus jogging is insane. Should double the market cap! TSLZSpaceXWhen Starship is launching several times a day in a few years, SpaceX will be ~99% of all Earth payload mass to orbit, even if the others triple their current launch rate. https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1994518037614268565?s=51&t=YUkdoBz4yNifBaQlQUp3-gDrugsDrug TradePolitics https://open.spotify.com/episode/65oG0YARECbXnFCbv2PTZpDavid Sacks is a highly successful business person that is serving our government well and we should all be thankful.From Chamath on the Topic. Tim Waltz Fraud. String on X and And another oneCalifornia Budget Crisis - Wealth Tax200 billionaires are on Zillow right now! RecommendationsMolly’s Game (interview on All-In). Movie: The Spy Who Dumped Me. Bill Gurley on ferrisSean RYan Show with Tobi Ludke and JockoEthan Hawk
Transcribe →Markets, Bitcoin, NVIDIA, Tesla, Politics
Nov 2100:28:18Tap to summarizeGrok and AIGolfClick StickFull Swing Golf MonitorFairway ~60%, 8ft putt 50%, green in Regulation: 175-200yds = 50%. 150-175yds = 63%TrumpBig Dinner with Trump and moguls. Ronaldo. Elon. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi ArabiaTrump with Mamdani“Shared purpose of serving New Yorkers and how to help with affordability”Fascist? INSPIRINGPolitical AbsurdityMy Post on X. Politicians and Investing"They’ve got the WORST policies. But I don’t talk about them. Because if I talk about it, they might change." Larry Summers - Secretary of Treasury. Summers resigned his seat on the OpenAI board. Then Harvard announced it would take a fresh look at his and other faculty members’ ties to Epstein.The immediate cause of Summers’s undoing was the release of a passel of messages in which he asked advice from his friend Epstein on “getting horizontal” with a woman he was pursuing.“She’s already beginning to sound needy :) nice,” Epstein notedMarketsBought: Tesla Down 20% Meta Down 26% VOO Down ~5%Bitcoin$125,000 in October$87,000 todayDown $38k or 30%My Financial AcronymsFATMAANN. Up 160% (85% without Nvidia), compared to S&P 57%Facebook, Amazon, Tesla, Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Netflix, NvidiaTAMPANBorn: Nov 6, 2025Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, NvidiaNVIDIANVIDIA Earnings Q3 2025Record revenue for the third quarter ended October 26, 2025, of $57.0 billion, up 22% from the previous quarter and up 62% from a year ago.AI Build, Tesla, NvidiaUS Saudi Investment Forum. Full interview here. Elon and Jensen Huang. Play at 7.37Work will be optional. Elon Musk says if current AI and robotics trends continue "money will stop being relevant in the future." Then to Jensen. HahahaPlay at 14.50. Elon and Jenson announcing 500 mw or gw? Gazillion $’s. HaHaHa Play at 18.35. AI in Space. Netflix Per WSJ Bids for Warner Brothers. At the same time, Warner Discovery continues to move forward with plans to separate its assets into two companies: one to house its studios and streaming business, and the other comprising its cable networksStock Split. 10:1RecommendationsGet a hobbyRestrung my guitarWriting a rhythm, lead and lyrics to a song
Transcribe →Golf, Tesla, Robotics, Markets
Nov 1400:41:33Tap to summarizeAgenda: GolfTesla & RobotsPolitical statement absurdity. Iphone. Apple at $273Shutdown. Politicians should forgo paychecks.Nelly Korda vs Grant Horvat. He is a +3 and gave her a 5 shot lead to start. She still won. Kai Trump set to play in first LPGA event.Paige Spirinac cheating by stomping grass. You must not take deliberate actions to improve the position or lie of your ball, or the area of your intended stance or swing, by altering physical conditions. Blue Origin Landed BoosterEncyclopedia GalacticaMarketsS&P500 Up 16%, ~2% off highTech: Up 20%, ~5% off highTeslaPlay at 58.18. RobotsPlay at 1:14.50. Manufacturing Robots. Robotics: Prediction of how USA vs China in Humanoid robotics will go over the next few years This is analogous to SpaceX. 86% of Global cargoTesla is our only hope for Robots General Intelligence Era (Robots work and encompass AGI).More Robots than humans by 2045. TAM = $200 trillionGlass Lewis and ISS facing antitrust probe. White House looking at rules to curb their influence. Bill Gurley: I’ll say it again - boards that don’t move could be sued in Delaware for staying - and exposing shareholders to uncapped securities claims. Tesla outsold in Revenue the top 20 companiesSeptember Sales #1 and #2 in the World. Ford on TeslaRemember Ford $13 billion loss on EVs since 20231.6km of wires more!Politician’s AbsurdityPlayThis video is great. Government kills affordability of everything it touches! This video by Roland Gutierrez is a perfect summary of why socialism is pretty much evil.Economic impact of Elon Musk. Last 4 years.Salaries: $110 BillionTaxes: $46 billionVendors: $173 BCalifornia working on 5% tax “1-time” tax on wealth over $1Billion. Irony and Paradox of people saying: Company over-valued and comp package is too highRecommendationsBilly Bob Thorton on Joe RoganMiles Teller on TheoRussel Crowe on Joe Rogan.
Transcribe →Tesla $1trillion Comp Package, Palantir, Netflix, NY Mayor
Nov 600:47:08Tap to summarizeMarketsTAMPAN: Tesla, Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Apple, NvidiaTeslaCompetition with xPeng?Compensation PlanLive streaming Shareholder meeting. “1 Trillion pay package!!” Proxy hereRules:12 Tranches. 12 Market Cap + 12 Operational Term: 10 years! Award: 1% of shares in form of RSU. Vest on (a) the Market Capitalization Milestone for such tranche and (b) a previously unmet Operational Milestone. 12 Market Capitalization Milestones:1: $2 trillion2-10: $500 billion (to $6.5 trillion)11-12: $1 trillion (to $7.5 and $8.5 trillion12 Operational MilestonesProduct Goals20 Million Tesla Vehicles Delivered10 Million Active FSD Subscriptions1 Million Bots Delivered1 Million Robotaxis in Commercial OperationAdjusted EBITDA Milestones. 1-8 $50 to $400b.ETF ownership and voting rights FordFord executives might scrap the electric version of its F-150 pickupFord has $13 billion in EV losses% of Global EV Sales25.7m BEV sales since 20197.3m is TeslaLucid ranks #3 most cash burning EV maker globally with total reported cash burn of $14.4B behind Rivian $23.2 billion and Ford's EV segment $15.5 billion.PalantirEarnings PagePlay Alex’s opening remarks!“114% Rule of 40 score! What Is the Rule of 40?Core Formula: Rev Growth + operating MarginAlex Letter to Shareholders Some of our detractors have been left in a kind of deranged and self-destructive befuddlement.🤣Orson Welles, “The enemy of art is the absence of limitations.”NetflixKPop Demon Hunters325 million views$10b kpop industryBlack Pink Tour. Highest grossing tour by female groupWarner BrothersLicensing Video podcasts from SiriusNew York City Mayor is Responsible ForPublic Safety: Fire and 30,000 police officers.EducationPublic Services and InfrastructureHousing and Economic DevelopmentHealth and Social ServicesCultural and Community ServicesCity Planning and RegulationAppointments and BudgetThe New York City budget $115.9 billionReal Property Taxes: ~$34.97 billionPersonal Income Taxes $17.28 billionBusiness Income Taxes: ~$11.95 billion Sales Taxes: ~$9.5 billionState Categorical Grants: ~$7 billionFederal Categorical Grants: ~$6.5 billionTop 1-5% contribute ~$1.7-$3.5 billion in FY 2025, equating to ~1.5-3% of the total budget. Closing1929 book on Audio. The DiplomatElon on Joe Rogan"The enemy of art is the absence of limitations"
Transcribe →Meta, Amazon, NFLX, Tesla, Nvidia, Palantir, Apple
Oct 3000:36:05Tap to summarizeWealth Management can be a scam. Spoke to a 35-year old paying XX 1.5% a year to manage his $5.5M. If he keeps going until retirement, he'll end up paying $6M in fees and end with ~$14M less than using a Vanguard ETFAI: I was completely honest. I said I just typed it into AI. if you're not using AI now you're stupid. Gambling:Chauncey Billips arrested!! MarketsFed Rate CutThe latest quarter-point cut will reduce the Fed’s benchmark short-term interest rate to between 3.75% and 4%Effects Money Market almost immediately. VMFXX's 7-day yield 4.05% and SPAXX.Juices economy. Less expensive to borrow, so can invest, build etc.. AppleSlow to AI. But will figure it out. iPhone 17 awesome. Meta Earning ResultsRevenue $50b. Record! UCAN 43% (Side note…S&P 500 is international).CapEx $50b YTD vs $24b last year. Double!!!Stock down 11%AmazonUp 10% plus in after-hours. $180b in the quarterI’ll never sell: Package everyday. Andy Jasse Memo cultureTeslaTesla Earnings. Record Revenue. $28b.Energy up 44% !!!!Revenue $3.4b and $2.3 cost. $1b in profitUS grid is only 50% productive. Can double with batteries. Other Services up 25%.Elon Remarks. Play at 11.00 Play thur 15.00Leader in Realworld AI. ShockwaveDan Ives:No Drivers in Austin prior to year end. Taking a VERY conservative strategy!Nvidia & PalantirPLAY Jensen Huang on the importance of of Palantir and their ontology stackAlex and Jensen speaking together. Autonomous DrivingNVIDIA Drive SoftwareNEWS: Nvidia today announced it is partnering with Uber to help build the "world’s largest Level 4 autonomous fleet, targeting 100,000 Robotaxis starting in 2027.NetflixEarnings LetterEarnings CallHighlights:Talked about personalized ad targeting. THIS IS HUGE!KPop Demon Hunters, which is now our most popular film ever (325M views)Top 10 movies here. Sharing view % growingWhy Netflix?Grown organically. WB and other mergers/acquisitions are a mess: Cultural and bureaucratic. Same core execs: Ted, Greg and David! Perfect mix of creative and Tech. No-one even close in tech. This helps ad money! Revenue and YoY % growth by Region:UCAN: $5.1b17%EMEA:$3.7b18%LatAm: $1.4b10%APAC $1.4b21%~43-45% of Revenue is US
Transcribe →Crypto, Leverage, Commodities, Markets, Tesla
Oct 1600:33:11Tap to summarizeOpenGov of Illinois Pritzker. $1.4m in gamblingSen Jon Fetterman making “based” comments. Up NextPalmer Lucky on Joe RoganBreaking 50 with Steph and SecurityUS Bank Sharing:CoinbaseCartaIntuitMarketsYes there could be a crash. But remember economy is not same as Stock MarketGold/Silver/BitcoinDebasement of Fiat?Sign of mania!? Foreign governments buying. NvidiaJensen Huang 50 direct Reports. From 2023Every employee should have AI agents. Multiplying productivity by 10 to 100 X.CryptoLeverage in Crypto. Last Friday: Bitcoin dropped ~$121k - 110. So 10%. Crypto Bets$19b wiped out. 2 Accounts made $160m placing bets minutes before Trump News of China. Leverage in Crypto ExchangeReports: Specifically, around 1.6 million traders across major exchanges (including Binance) got wiped out on their leveraged positions, with over $19 billion in total liquidations in just hoursTeslaFrom TeslaBoomerMom on the Court proceeding on Wed Oct 15. $345m in legal fees! EV Adoption GloballyFrom the WSJChina EV SalesGeneral Motors issues profit warning - $1.6 billion hit from EV overcapacity. @GM GM just filed a form 8-K informing that it "approved charges of $1.6 billion in GM North America in the three months ended September 30, 2025". Tesla FSDMadMax mode. OMG60 minutes to do a hit piece. Recommendations:Joe Rogan: John Kiriakou is a former CIA counter-terrorism officer and the first U.S. official to confirm the agency's torture of detainees. Punished for being a whistleblower, he served nearly 2 years in a federal prison.1929 book
Transcribe →