In this episode of Breaking News to Trading Moves, we are looking at one of the most important earnings weeks for the US stock market, with Nvidia, Walmart, Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, TJX and Ross Stores all in focus.

The biggest headline is Nvidia. The market is treating Nvidia’s upcoming earnings as a major test for the AI trade because the company sits at the centre of the AI chip, data centre and infrastructure boom. Nvidia is expected to report first-quarter results on Wednesday, while Walmart reports on Thursday, giving investors another key read on consumer spending and inflation pressure.

The key question for traders is simple: can these companies confirm that the AI boom and the US consumer are still strong enough to support current valuations?

Winners

AI chips and data centre infrastructure

Nvidia earnings are likely to set the tone for the wider AI trade. If Nvidia reports strong demand for AI chips, data centre products and future guidance, traders may look for related winners across semiconductors, networking chips, memory and infrastructure.

Names: $NVDA (Nvidia), $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices), $AVGO (Broadcom), $MU (Micron Technology)

Off-price and value retail

Consumers are still dealing with higher prices, and that often supports retailers that offer value, discounts or essential goods. TJX and Ross Stores are important because they can show whether shoppers are trading down from full-price retail to off-price retail. Walmart is also important because it gives investors a direct read on household spending, grocery demand and price sensitivity.

Names: $TJX (TJX Companies), $ROST (Ross Stores), $WMT (Walmart), $COST (Costco)

Home improvement rebound plays

Home Depot and Lowe’s earnings will give investors a fresh view of home improvement demand. These companies have faced pressure because fewer Americans are moving or renovating, but any sign of stabilisation could support the wider housing-linked trade.

Names: $HD (Home Depot), $LOW (Lowe’s), $SHW (Sherwin-Williams), $MAS (Masco)

Losers

High-expectation AI stocks

The biggest risk is not that Nvidia has bad numbers. The risk is that expectations are too high. Nvidia could report strong figures, but traders may still sell the stock if guidance, margins or demand commentary do not beat the already high expectations built into the AI trade.

Names: $NVDA (Nvidia), $SMCI (Super Micro Computer), $ARM (Arm Holdings), $PLTR (Palantir)

Full-price and discretionary retail

Target reports this week, and investors will be watching whether the company can restore growth. If consumers are choosing essentials, discount retailers or off-price stores, full-price discretionary retailers may remain under pressure.

Names: $TGT (Target), $M (Macy’s), $KSS (Kohl’s), $BBY (Best Buy)

Housing-sensitive retailers and suppliers

Home Depot and Lowe’s are expected to report in a tough housing environment. Sales have been under pressure because fewer Americans are moving or renovating. That directly affects demand for home improvement products, appliances, furniture and renovation-linked categories.

Names: $HD (Home Depot), $LOW (Lowe’s), $WHR (Whirlpool), $RH (RH)

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