Transcript
A (0:02)
This is a Global Player original podcast.
B (0:05)
Putin himself has dramatically tightened his personal security, fearing assassination. He is not doing as well as he thinks he is, as well as he likes to tell Trump that he is.
A (0:17)
The biggest threat to our world is this combination of Russian aggression and Chinese supremacy.
B (0:24)
He told his people it was going to be over in a few days. It has now lasted longer than. Than the Soviet fight against Nazi forces in World War II. I mean, isn't that something? Hi, everyone. This is the latest episode of the X Files.
A (0:41)
I'm Christiane in London and Jamie Rubin in New York.
B (0:45)
So two big questions, really. While the world has been focused on Iran, is Putin suddenly running scared of Ukraine? And as Trump prepares to visit Xi in China, will he help him to open the Strait of Hormoz? If that sounds like a Weir question, it might be, but here we are. So let's first start, Jamie, with the war that we haven't been focusing on as much, but which is still a massive war, especially for Europe, in terms of the future, in terms of security and in terms of who's backing who, and that is Russia's continued illegal invasion on Ukraine. Jamie, shall we start with the annual Russian Victory Day parade that it always holds? It's May 9 there, but it's May 8. A victory in Europe. Elsewhere, this year was very, very different. This year was very, very reduced. There was no big hardware. There was no, you know, missiles and tanks and all of that, just soldiers marching. And the general question, or the general analysis, is that Putin is running scared because of Ukraine's ability now to fire deep inside Russia and threatens something like Red Square. What do you think this for Putin's, I don't know, ability, stomach to keep waging this war?
A (2:04)
Well, Putin's stomach for the war is the threshold question. Someday, someday soon, I hope he will realize that he cannot win this war, that Ukraine has demonstrated its ability to defend itself dramatically. Europeans are helping Ukraine defend themselves and defend Europe itself, and the war is, in effect, stalemated. Putin can throw. Throw tens and hundreds of thousands of soldiers at Ukraine, but he's not really making any progress. And meanwhile, I think your phrase running scared is, Is close to, to my analysis, perhaps a bit strong, because these kind of guys don't really run scared, but they did worry about an attack on Red Square, and they apparently, some people told me that they even asked President Trump to intervene, to try to, you know, ceasefire for that day, and there may have been a prisoner swap, agreed to as well. So Vladimir Putin is not in the strengthened position he has thought he's been in. And the Russian people are clearly changing their attitude. I wouldn't say they've turned against the war because that would be a strong statement, but they've certainly tired of it, and they've begun to see how much damage it's doing to them and how much their economy and their country is weakened by this. Not only isolated, but also fundamentally weakened by it. And the fact that they cannot succeed in defeating Ukraine, who they thought they could rush through.
