
Loading summary
A
Welcome to Defenders, the teaching class of Dr. William Lane Craig. Today an excursus on Natural Theology, Part 12. For more resources from Dr. Craig, go to reasonablefaith.org in our lesson, we've been
B
looking at the first scientific confirmation of the second premise of the Kalam cosmological argument that the universe is began to exist, and that confirmation comes from the expansion of the universe. And we saw last time that based upon the physical evidence, space and time can be represented geometrically as a cone which shrinks as one goes back in time until one reaches an absolute beginning of the universe. So that the standard Big Bang model predicts a beginning of the universe. And although the standard model will need to be modified in various ways, especially to accommodate a quantum gravity theory to explain the earliest split second of the universe, nevertheless a prediction of the standard model of a beginning of the universe has now stood for nearly 100 years and remains the most probable account for the origin of the universe. And I concluded last time by saying in a sense, the history of 20th century cosmology can be seen as a series of failed attempts to avoid the absolute beginning of the universe predicted by the standard model. We've seen theories like the steady state model, oscillating models, vacuum fluctuation models, eternal inflationary models, and so on and so forth come and go, and any model that doesn't involve an absolute beginning of the universe has shown to be untenable in some way. So when someone like Sean Carroll in our debate on the evidence of cosmology for the existence of the universe, simply gives a list of beginningless models of the universe, that says nothing about the tenability of those models. Models are a dime a dozen. The question is, are these tenable? And the fact is that Jim Sinclair, in our article in the Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology, had already discussed most of the models in that list and shown why they were either empirically untenable or in fact did not avoid the absolute beginning of the universe. In 2012, Alexander Vilenkin, a prominent cosmologist at Tufts University, at a conference at Cambridge University held in celebration of Stephen Hawking's 70th birthday, surveyed the models of contemporary cosmology and concluded there are no models at this time that provide a satisfactory model for a universe without a beginning. Meanwhile, a series of remarkable singularity theorems has increasingly tightened the loop around empirically tenable models by showing that under more and more generalized conditions, a beginning is inevitable. For example, in 1970, Hawking and Penrose formulated the singularity theorems, which bear their name which show that any universe governed by the equations of general relativity must shrink down to an initial singularity. In 2003, three prominent cosmologists, Arvind Bord, Alan Guth and Alexander Vilenkin, were able to prove a theorem to the effect that any universe which is on average in a state of cosmic expansion over its history cannot be infinite in the past, but must have a beginning. And that goes for expanding multiverse scenarios as well. In 2012, Vilenkin showed that models which do not meet this single condition of the bored Guth Vilenkin theorem nevertheless fail for other reasons to avert the beginning of the universe. He concluded, and I quote, none of these scenarios can actually be past eternal. All the evidence we have says that the universe had a beginning. Now that's a remarkable statement. It would be important if Vilenkin said the evidence for a beginning of the universe outweighs the evidence against a beginning of the universe. But he didn't say that. He said all the evidence we have says that the universe has had a beginning. I am not aware of any evidence that the universe is past eternal. There is simply nothing on that side of the scale. So that the evidence for the beginning of the universe, while not rendering this certain, I think certainly justifies Vilenkin's conclusion that the universe probably did begin to exist. So the Bord Guth Vilenkin theorem proves that under a single very general condition, classical space time must shrink down to a boundary at some point in the past. So let this be classical space time, where you don't take into account quantum effects. Now, either there was something on the other side of that boundary or not. If not, then that boundary simply was the beginning of the universe. Now, if there was something on the other side of that boundary, that will be the quantum gravity regime described by the yet to be discovered quantum theory of gravity. And in that case, that will be the beginning of the universe. So the Bord Guelenkin theorem shows either that classical space time began with this past boundary or. Or else if there was a quantum gravity regime, that regime is the beginning of the universe. And Vilenkin's confidence in this fact, even though we don't have yet a quantum theory of gravity is based upon the fact that a quantum regime like this is radically unstable, or as scientists would say, it's metastable. That is to say, in it cannot endure for very long. And certainly it would be impossible for such a metastable condition to endure for infinite time doing nothing, and then suddenly begin to expand about 13.7 billion years ago. So even though we may not have a description of this earliest phase of the universe, we can be confident that if such a quantum regime does exist, that it was the beginning of the universe. The prominent cosmologist Charles Misner once put it this way. To me, he said, it is as though there were a tiny window shade drawn across the first split second of the universe, and we don't know what went on behind that shade. But he says, what we do know is that the universe doesn't come out on the other side. So whether the universe began in the quantum regime or with classical space time, the universe began to exist. Now, of course, scientific results are always provisional. Science doesn't deal in certainties, it deals in probabilities. And we can fully expect that new theories will be proposed trying to avoid the universe's beginning. And these proposals are to be welcomed and tested. But nevertheless, I think it's pretty clear which way the evidence points. Today, the proponent of the Kalam cosmological argument stands comfortably within the scientific mainstream in holding that the universe began to exist. Now, on Friday, Chris Shannon, the former executive director of Reasonable Faith, sent me a link to an article by Alexander Vilenkin written just one month ago for the online scientific magazine Inference, entitled, did the Universe have a Beginning? This is from October 23, 2015. And in it, Vilenkin interacts with the Kalam cosmological argument. I want to read to you from this article. He says, Richard Dawkins, Lawrence Krauss and Victor Stenger have argued that modern science leaves no room for the existence of God. A series of science religion debates has been staged with atheists like Dawkins, Daniel Dennett and Krauss debating theists like William Lane Craig. Both sides have appealed to the Bord Gulenkin theorem. Both sides appealing to me of all people. Exclamation point for a better understanding. You see, Vilenkin is himself an agnostic. He doesn't believe in God, and so he's rather bemused that he should become the authority for these arguments. He goes on to say, the cosmological argument for the existence of God consists of two parts. The first is straightforward. One, everything that begins to exist has a cause. Two, the universe began to exist. Three, therefore, the universe has a cause. The second part affirms that the cause must be God. Vilenkin says, I would now like to take issue with the first part of the argument. So he's going to reject one of those two premises in the Kalam cosmological argument. But he doesn't reject the second premise, that the universe began to exist. Quite the contrary, he affirms this in the article. He says we have no viable models of an eternal universe. The Bordguth Vilenkin theorem gives us reason to believe that such models simply cannot be constructed. This is the strongest statement yet I have read from Vilenkin. Not only does he say we have no viable models today for a beginningless universe, he says that on the basis of this theorem we have reason to believe that such models simply cannot be constructed. So how does Vilenkin then respond? As an agnostic to the Kalam argument, he chooses to reject the first premise, that everything that begins to exist has a cause. He maintains that the universe just popped into being uncaused out of nothing. Now, what justification does he have for such a remarkable hypothesis? Well. Well, he says in a closed universe, that is one that is finite in volume in a closed universe, the positive energy and the negative energy in such a universe balance each other out so that the net energy is zero. There's the same amount of positive energy as negative energy, so the net energy is zero. And therefore, if the universe pops into being uncaused out of nothing, and the conservation laws of matter and energy are not violated, and therefore the universe can simply come into being uncaused from nothing. Now, I have to say that I find this difficult to take seriously. Vilenkin assumes that if something doesn't violate the laws of nature, then it's metaphysically possible. If something doesn't violate the laws of nature, it's metaphysically possible. But there's no reason to adopt such an assumption. Just because something wouldn't violate a natural law doesn't mean that it's metaphysically possible. Just because coming into being uncaused out of nothing wouldn't violate the conservation laws doesn't mean that it's metaphysically possible that something can come into being from nothing. It's easy to think of examples of things that are metaphysically impossible that don't violate the laws of nature. For example, moral truths of some sorts are metaphysically necessary, and therefore it's impossible that it would be good to torture a little child for fun. But doing so wouldn't violate any of nature's laws, would it? That's perfectly consistent with the laws of nature. But I think it's plausible that it's metaphysically impossible that it be good to torture a little child for fun. Well, that's an ethical truth rather than a scientific or natural truth. What might be another example? Well, how about the statement that no event precedes itself, no event comes before itself. That I think is metaphysically necessary. It's impossible that an event precede itself, but no natural law would be violated in such a thing. In fact, what this would be would be if time is circular. If time is circular, then e event e both precedes and succeeds itself. It comes after itself, it comes before itself. And there's no natural law violated in cyclical time. Indeed, scientists will often talk about closed time like loops. But given the objectivity of temporal becoming the nature of time, it seems to me that a circular time is metaphysically impossible. So to say that something doesn't violate a law of nature doesn't imply that that thing is metaphysically possible. And coming into being out of nothing would certainly seem to be something that's metaphysically impossible, regardless of the conservation laws of matter and energy. In fact, when. When you think about it, the situation that Vilenkin imagines just seems positively misguided. It's like saying that if your financial assets and your financial debits exactly balance each other out, then your net worth is zero and therefore there's no cause of your financial condition. Clearly that would be a mistake. So Christopher Isham, who is Great Britain's leading quantum cosmologist, in his article Cosmos and Creation, points out that even if the positive and negative energy balance each other out so that the net energy is zero, he says there still needs to be what he calls ontic seeding to create the positive and negative energy in the first place. So in fact, even if you have the exact balance of positive and negative energy, that wouldn't eliminate the need for a cause of the origin of the universe. Any comments or questions about that defense of the second premise of the Kalam cosmological argument?
C
Yes, forgive me. Can I ask for a very basic definition of metaphysical in the world?
B
Good question, because the metaphysical section in Barnes and Noble is typically going to be your New Age books and other kook things. Metaphysics is that branch of philosophy which investigates questions concerning ultimate reality. What is real? For example, is materialism true? Is everything that exists material? Or are there minds or spirits in addition to material things? What is the nature of time and space? Questions about mathematical objects. Are there abstract objects like numbers and sets and functions and propositions? Those are metaphysical questions. Meta is a Greek prefix meaning above or beyond. So metaphysics is that which is beyond physics. Physics describes the physical world in which we live, governed by the laws of nature. Metaphysics would be philosophical reflection upon the nature of reality. That goes beyond just physics. Is that helpful?
C
Yes. And to take that one step further, that metaphysical is not necessarily theological, right?
B
No. Oh, by no means. For example, a metaphysician who is a materialist would say all that exists is space, time and its contents, and there are no spiritual entities. So this is a neutral term. It's just a field of philosophy that investigates the nature of reality. Good question. Thank you, Michelle. Yes, Here's a question down front.
D
I was wondering, do you ever meet people who hold to the. Who say the universe never began to exist, but then say you shouldn't hold to dogmas, you should just believe whatever the evidence supports?
B
Well, certainly that's true, Drew. And what I say is, why don't you follow the evidence where it leads with regard to this second premise, the universe began to exist. Notice that this premise is theologically neutral. It says nothing about God. It is a scientific statement that can be found in any textbook on astronomy and astrophysics. And if Vilenkin is right, we have very powerful evidence for the truth of that premise. So my question is, why won't you follow the evidence where it leads? And the answer, I think, to that question in some cases is they see the theologically significant conclusion that this is going to lead to once you couple the second premise with the first premise. But I want them to follow the evidence where it leads in this regard. Yes, in the back of Francisco. This was touched upon on the conference this weekend. But how does this relate to the no boundary model? Okay, the no boundary model is an attempt to peek behind the shade and see what lies back there. And so on. The Hartle Hawking model, the idea is that if you peek behind the shade, you find that the universe or space time does not go back to a sharp point or singularity at which it begins, but rather the beginning of space. And time is rounded off, rather like badminton birdie instead of a cone. And this then would say that the beginning point of the universe, the South Pole here in this hemisphere, is like any other point on the surface. If you go to the North Pole or the South Pole, you wouldn't notice anything different. You would just go right through it. It's like any other point. So if successful, the Hartl Hawking model removes the shade and allows us to describe the universe all the way back to its beginning. And that is a beginning that occurs in the finite past. So it is supportive of the second premise of the cosmological argument. Yes.
E
Over here, as a cpa, I like your analogy of balance sheet. And a balance sheet is a Picture of two points in time, but it also contains the equity section, which contains the profit and loss, which explains how you got from one point in time to another.
B
In this case, the there isn't a separation in time. The positive and negative energy both exist right now. But it's like someone whose assets and debits balance each other out. So he has a net worth of zero, but it would be, as you know, foolish to say. Therefore there's no cause of his financial situation. Any other comments or questions on this discussion of the second premise? Yes, Bruce.
F
Well, if you say that there's no boundary on the one end, it seemed to me like you also have to explain the boundary on a leading edge. You'd have a boundary at the edge of the expansion too. And I think you would have to explain that as well.
B
No, I mean, not in the technical sense in which boundary is being used here, Bruce. The South Pole is not a boundary point in the sense that in a cone you have this boundary point. And neither should you think of these edges here as boundaries. It isn't as though you would go to the edge of space and then fall off and that there would be an edge there. On these models, if they're finite, if they're closed, as I mentioned before, then three dimensional space would be the analog to the two dimensional surface of a sphere like the Earth. The Earth has no boundary. If you start in one place and keep going, you never come and fall off the edge anywhere. You're going to come back to where you started off again. So there is no edge or boundary in that sense to the surface of the Earth, and yet its volume is finite, it has a finite area. So don't think of these models as representing boundaries in the relevant sense.
F
I wasn't thinking of boundary on, let's say the sphere in the expansion. I was thinking projecting out from the, from the singularity outward boundary beyond the edge. If you're thinking about the blown balloon.
B
Okay, well now again, I'm going to kind of repeat myself. Imagine that this sphere is shrinking as you go back in the past and as you go forward in the future, it's getting bigger. There still isn't any boundary to the sphere. It is at all times finite, but either growing or shrinking. But you shouldn't think that this sphere is embedded in some higher dimension. That's the key. It's not as though there's something outside of it here. This is the analog to three dimensional space. And so even though we can't visualize something like that, nevertheless mathematically it's perfectly consistent to describe it. It's not embedded in a higher dimension. Yes, Jim Hilton.
G
Dr. Craig, one thing I don't understand about the expansion is particles and universes, all these have space within them as well. And why is it that these, for instance, a galaxy, why are the galaxies receding from each other? I mean, they too, in a sense it seems, should be expanding. All our measurement devices, it seems that they should be expanding too. So I'm not quite getting that part.
B
There are forces in nature like gravitation, that hold things together. So that even though space is expanding, it doesn't mean this table is expanding or your body is expanding. There are electromagnetic and gravitational forces that keep these things together. And as a result, as space expands, they become increasingly isolated from each other and therefore recede from each other, even though they're at rest in space. The galaxies are at rest, but they hold together because of gravity. And as space expands, they recede from each other even though they're at rest, because this sphere itself is getting bigger and bigger.
G
Okay, thank you. I'll go think about that.
B
Okay. Any other discussion? Yes, over here on this side of
D
the room, what's the cause of this space expansion?
B
That is a question that is unknown in the standard model. But the attempt to have an inflationary model of the universe that I briefly mentioned would be an attempt to explain that if there was very early on in the early history of the universe, this period of super rapid or inflationary expansion, what you have there is what's called a false vacuum. And in it gravity becomes a repulsive force rather than an attractive force. And it would be this repulsive gravity, in a sense, that would cause the universe to. To expand. Yes, down here.
H
So if I'm understanding correctly, even though it has the badminton shaped bottom on the cone, as long as that's not open, as long as that's a closed surface, then that means that time had to have started at a certain point.
B
Well, now, let's be careful. You probably weren't here last week, but. Well, no. Was it last week? Maybe. I'm thinking my talk Thursday night. What I point out in the talk is that Hawking makes the unjustified assumption that having a beginning entails having a beginning point. And that's not true. And I gave the example of something that is at rest and has a last instant at which it is at rest and then it begins to move. There is no first instant of motion in such a case, because any instant of motion that you pick is preceded by another instant at which it's already in motion. So even though there would be a last instant of rest, there would be no first instant of motion, no beginning point at which it starts to move. But nevertheless, it's clear that that motion had a beginning and was finite. So the model doesn't need to have a beginning point point in order to have a beginning. Time has a beginning, just in case. For any interval of time that you pick, a second, an hour, a year, for any interval of time you pick, if there are only a finite number of prior such equal intervals, then time has a beginning, whether or not there's a beginning point. Now, as I said Thursday night in his most recent book, the Grand Design, co authored with Leonard Mladinov, Hawking does call the South Pole in this model the beginning point of time and the universe. So he himself authorizes or validates the interpretation that that would be the beginning point of time in the universe, but it wouldn't be a singularity. It wouldn't be a singular point as in the Standard Model, that is to say, a point at which quantities become infinite, like infinite temperature, infinite density, infinite pressure. This would be an ordinary point like any other point on that hemisphere. And yet it would be the earliest point Hawking says in the Grand Design. Is that clear?
E
Yes.
B
Okay, good. Yes.
E
So if we were looking at a pool table and the balls were run by something to break the balls apart.
B
Yes. Right. The cue ball, when struck, would have obviously a cause, and it wouldn't have an infinite path to take, would it? And yet there need not be a first instant of motion of the cue ball. It could just go back to that limit. 0 would be like a limit at which it's at rest, and then it would begin to move. But it doesn't have to have a beginning point. These are ancient paradoxes that Greek philosophers like Zeno talked about in the ancient world as to whether or not there are paradoxes of starting and stopping, and some of them argued on the same assumption as Hawking, that because beginning requires a beginning point and there isn't any beginning point, that therefore motion is impossible, that motion is an illusion, Zeno thought. And that conclusion is obviously absurd.
E
So instead of the poo ball being shot by somebody, it explodes from where it's at rest and sends all the others out.
B
Well, I think we would say that its beginning obviously requires a cause, and therefore there was some pool player that struck the cue ball and caused it to move. My only point that I'm making here is that beginning to move doesn't mean, it has a beginning point or instant of its motion. Now, I'm going to finish early today because the conferences are still going on downtown and Jan and I need to get away to get back down to the hotels where the AAR and SBL are meeting. And so we'll end early today. But I think you can see why I was so excited about this article from Vilenkin that appeared last month and his interaction with this argument. So let's close with a benediction now. May he who is able to keep you from falling and present you faultless before his throne, fill you with His Holy Spirit so, so that you may be guided in paths of righteousness and empowered to do his will during the coming week.
E
Amen.
A
The copyright for the content of this recording is held by Dr. William Lane Craig. For more go to reasonablefaith.org.
Podcast: Defenders Podcast
Episode: Excursus on Natural Theology (Part 12): Scientific Confirmation of the Beginning of the Universe Part 2
Host: Dr. William Lane Craig
Date: June 29, 2022
This episode continues Dr. Craig’s examination of the scientific evidence supporting the proposition, "the universe began to exist"—the second premise of the Kalam Cosmological Argument. Dr. Craig assesses the strength of scientific findings, especially cosmological models and the implications of modern singularity theorems. The discussion includes influential voices in cosmology, like Alexander Vilenkin, addresses objections from atheists, explores the metaphysical implications of cosmic origins, and explains sophisticated cosmological models in accessible terms to class participants.
Standard Big Bang Model
20th Century Attempts to Avoid a Beginning
Notable quote:
"Any model that doesn't involve an absolute beginning of the universe has shown to be untenable in some way." – Dr. Craig, [00:19]
Theorem and Its Implications
Further Support from Vilenkin
“None of these scenarios can actually be past eternal. All the evidence we have says that the universe had a beginning. I am not aware of any evidence that the universe is past eternal." – Alexander Vilenkin, quoted by Dr. Craig, [00:19–00:30]
Quantum Gravity and Metastability
Structure of the Kalam Argument
Vilenkin’s Scientific Affirmation
Vilenkin’s Reasoning
Notable exchange:
“He maintains that the universe just popped into being uncaused out of nothing... I have to say I find this difficult to take seriously.” – Dr. Craig, [00:19]
Metaphysical vs. Physical Possibility
Christopher Isham’s “Ontic Seeding”
Metaphysics Defined
Dr. Craig quoting Vilenkin ([00:19]):
"All the evidence we have says that the universe had a beginning... I am not aware of any evidence that the universe is past eternal. There is simply nothing on that side of the scale."
Craig’s summary of the philosophical dispute ([00:19]):
"To say that something doesn't violate a law of nature doesn't imply that that thing is metaphysically possible. And coming into being out of nothing would certainly seem to be something that's metaphysically impossible, regardless of the conservation laws of matter and energy."
On cosmological models ([00:19]):
"Models are a dime a dozen. The question is, are these tenable?"
On metaphysics ([17:00]):
"Metaphysics is that branch of philosophy which investigates questions concerning ultimate reality. ... It is a neutral term."
Dr. Craig concludes that current scientific evidence robustly supports the premise that the universe began to exist. He notes the consensus among leading (even non-religious) cosmologists and reinforces the philosophical necessity for a cause, despite competing attempts to deny causality at the universe's inception. Throughout, Craig emphasizes following evidence over ideology and integrates audience questions to clarify metaphysical and scientific subtleties regarding cosmic origins.
Listen to the episode for a deep dive into the intersection of physics, philosophy, and faith in the context of contemporary cosmology.