
Is Joe Biden more of a Jimmy Carter or a James Buchanan? It may be years before the outgoing president’s legacy is truly understood, but that didn’t stop the hosts from debating how Biden’s term in office will be remembered.
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Ross Douthat
I didn't need a break. I recorded episodes just for my family. Monologues punctuated by attacks on my absent co hosts. So it was a good Christmas season.
Carlos Lozada
Excellent.
Michelle Cottle
I weep for your children and suggest therapy for New York Times opinion. I'm Michelle Cottle.
Ross Douthat
I'm Ross Douthit.
Carlos Lozada
I'm Carlos Lozada.
Michelle Cottle
And this is Matter of opinion.
Carlos Lozada
We're back, baby.
Lori Leibovich
Foreign.
Michelle Cottle
Welcome back, everyone. It's officially our first Moo episode of 2025. Needed the break, but I'm thrilled to have the band back together. And we're all back in your feeds. So dear moobsters, please make it a part of your New Year's resolution.
Carlos Lozada
Are we Muskavites? Have we really? Have we agreed on moop stairs?
Michelle Cottle
Can I. Can I continue? I want em to put us on their New Year's resolution list, to tune in regularly because we have far too much to catch up on for this nonsense.
Carlos Lozada
It's already the second week of January. Everyone's given up on the resolutions already. It's over.
Ross Douthat
The key is not to make resolutions, is that then you never disappoint yourself. That's right.
Carlos Lozada
So we, in this case, we are a resolution. Right? We're someone else's resolution to listen to us. Okay, good.
Michelle Cottle
That's where we are. But, I mean, I need to know what I've missed. So, top line from our time apart, guys, anything interesting from your households?
Carlos Lozada
Like, in our lives? Well, you know, I'm not gonna divulge that. Ross wants to talk about how he's inflicting fake podcasts on his family. I don't. I don't. I don't do that.
Michelle Cottle
Carlos is spicy this morning.
Ross Douthat
It's very cold.
Michelle Cottle
This is because there's snow days in Maryland.
Ross Douthat
Cold. Cold like the snows of Greenland.
Carlos Lozada
Oh, okay, one Thing you've missed, Michelle, is that the United States is becoming a colonial power again. It's awesome.
Michelle Cottle
Ross is very excited. Look at him. I can see him smiling.
Carlos Lozada
All right, proceed, proceed, proceed.
Michelle Cottle
Okay, so we're gonna have plenty of time to discuss Trump's magnificent future. But for today, I want us to talk about President Biden's legacy. He's got just about a week in change left in office, and more than that, he's ending a five decade long run in public service. So before he goes and the Trump moving vans roll down Pennsylvania Avenue, I want us to look at the whole of Biden's legacy, including the 2024 election, but also going beyond it. How does it look now, and what might it look like down the road with more hindsight. So to kick this all off, I'm wondering if we can talk about this legacy outside of the 2024 election. Ross, you got a thought on this?
Ross Douthat
Well, I think the answer is probably no, but let's say that the answer is yes for a minute. And since you guys are probably expecting me to argue for the Biden administration as an epic disaster, no matter what angle you take on it, I think I should try and sketch out a narrative in which Biden's reputation is moderately redeemed by history. So I think if you wanted to tell a story of Biden's redemption, you would argue first that his administration had a number of serious legislative accomplishments that sought the re industrialization and rebuilding the technological production base in American life. The CHIPS act most notably, combined with big ticket efforts to basically push technological solutions to climate change. And so I think you can imagine spinning forward a story where over the next 20 or 25 years, climate change and competition with China both loom extremely large. And people interested in rehabilitating Biden's reputation argue that he put America on a good track in both of those areas, did more in terms of infrastructure spending than Donald Trump ever did in his first term, and that this is a really important part of his legacy. And then I think you could combine that with an argument that even though the withdrawal from Afghanistan in its execution was disastrous, it was actually clearly the right thing to do, something that other Presidents Obama and Trump had wanted to do and hadn't been able to do. Biden sort of yanked the band aid off, and then you would attach to that a defense of how the Biden administration has handled the war in Ukraine. Anyway, I'll stop there, but that's an attempt to sort of run through a pro Biden interpretation of what his administration accomplished, notwithstanding how it ended, and other factors that we can get into where I do have some negative views.
Michelle Cottle
Oh, those, Those I'm sure we'll get into.
Ross Douthat
They'll come out.
Michelle Cottle
Just a few.
Carlos Lozada
Carlos, you know you asked, is it possible to consider Biden's legacy without focusing on the 2024 election? Right. And the answer to that is, is no, right. That it's not possible to assess the Biden presidency without looking at his decision making during the campaign. His decision to run for reelection, even his delay in withdrawing from the race, has had far reaching consequences for the party, for the election, for the country. But I think it is possible to assess and evaluate his presidency beyond that decision. It's our job to look at the totality of what a president has accomplished. And there was a Gallup poll published just this week asking how Biden will be judged by history, basically asking Americans this question. Right. And you could say he will be judged to be a poor, below average, average, above average or outstanding president. And 54% said that it would be either below average or poor. Right. Like the two bottom categories. And about 45 picked average, above average and outstanding. To me, that says that there were significant accomplishments overshadowed by some major failings, even apart from whatever happened in 2024. He helped the US economy recover from COVID set in motion some long term transformations, which Ross alluded to, that could set the US Economy on a firmer footing, but at the same time presided over debilitating inflation due in part to some of those policies. He helped pull NATO together in opposition to Russia's invasion of Ukraine without getting us into a direct possible nuclear war with the Russkies. And yet the world seemed to still kind of explode under his watch. His progress on the border came far too late for it to matter politically, or far too late to make a convincing case that it mattered to him more than politically. So even when you set aside 2024 in the campaign, I think of this as at best a sort of partial credit legacy.
Michelle Cottle
Yeah, I mean, that feels right. It feels like something that was deeply damaged. It started off with him pledging to do a little bipartisan work in the Senate. He liked the wheeling and dealing and the collegiality and clubbiness of it. And he felt like he had a good, good handle on how to deal with the legislative branch as the president. And sure enough, he came in and was a very productive president for the first couple of years. He may not have done everything everybody wanted him to do, but by God, he made infrastructure Week, a reality, you know, dug us out of COVID climate change policy, the CHIPS act, all of that you're talking about. But it was a little bit Shakespearean in that he had a kind of tragic fatal flaw, and that was his pride. He thought he was the only guy who could beat Trump again and keep the nation on a certain track. And that wound up basically tanking his legacy, at least temporarily. But anyway, Ross, we glanced over your negative thoughts here.
Ross Douthat
No, well, I think, again, trying to stick with the framework. When I look back over the things I myself wrote about Biden throughout his presidency, again, as someone who had plenty of fundamental disagreements with his administration, I do think that there were a bunch of moments where I found myself sort of understanding and defending moves the administration made that, in the end, look unsuccessful in hindsight. So one key example would be with the war in Ukraine. I think that, you know, the Biden administration was correct to rush arms and support to the Ukrainians once it became clear that they could, in fact, stand up to the Russians with support. They were correct to support Ukraine's counteroffensive, the initial one that went quite well. And then there was this point where things were sort of going Ukraine's way.
Michelle Cottle
And.
Ross Douthat
And I think in hindsight, that was actually clearly the moment when the administration should have made a big push for a negotiated settlement, but instead, the administration ended up supporting a further attempt at another Ukrainian counteroffensive to regain more territory. That counteroffensive stalled out, ultimately failed, gave Russia an advantage that it retains to this day that has made the prospect of negotiated settlement worse for Ukraine than it would have been. I think that mistake looms large in terms of assessing Biden's foreign policy record and how he handled the Ukraine war. But I didn't write a column at that particular moment saying, now is the time to negotiate. Right. I was saying, well, you need to negotiate, but it's probably okay to give Ukraine another season of. Of attempted counteroffensive. So that's an example where, in hindsight, there was a big missed opportunity by the Biden administration, but I'm not going to claim that I identified it. And wartime foreign policy is, in fact, extremely difficult.
Michelle Cottle
Yeah, that's been one of the more interesting developments of the Biden administration for me, which is that a lot of what he has been most harshly criticized about has been his handling of foreign policy. And we're talking about a guy who. This was his selling point. Right. I mean, in the Senate, he was known for being a foreign policy expert. A lot of presidents Come into the job with zero.
Ross Douthat
Foreign policy expert is a strong, I mean, there were lots of people who thought that Biden was terrible at foreign policy, Right?
Michelle Cottle
Yes.
Ross Douthat
Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said he had been wrong about most issues.
Michelle Cottle
You can disagree with him anyway, but.
Ross Douthat
But yes, he had foreign policy experience.
Michelle Cottle
But this was for the general public, supposedly one of his selling points. Not that the general public really gives a crap about foreign policy for the most part unless we've got troops on the ground. But he was more experienced in this area than the v. Vast majority of presidents.
Carlos Lozada
If we're on the, on the foreign policy digression here, let me just say one thing about Afghanistan. The administration has gotten a lot of deserved grief over the Afghan withdrawal, how chaotic the whole thing was. But I, I really think, to be fair, we have to acknowledge that the American screw up in Afghanistan has many, many fathers, has widely shared responsibility, and it is unfair for it all to fall on the shoulders of the guy who finally pulled the plug.
Michelle Cottle
Yeah, but that's what you do as president. The execution matters and you take the hit if it doesn't go well.
Carlos Lozada
Yes. And that's always the easy way for people to be like, well, I agree with the, you know, the idea, but it's really the execution. Right. It's like you can attach that to sort of like any, any policy outcome that you want to criticize, but not really criticize too harshly. The, the U.S. abandonment of Afghanistan was a decades long undertaking. Right. The US Abandoned Afghanistan after it stopped being a Cold War proxy fight against the Soviets. George W. Bush diverted resources from Afghanistan for his war of choice in Iraq. Administrations of both parties lied about the supposed progress that was being made. Right. There's a very damning book called the Afghanistan Papers by Craig Whitlock of the Washington Post. It's all there. No one wanted to end the war because they all knew what a disaster it would be when they did so. And so when Biden ripped the band aid off, as Ross said, the wound was always going to be festering and ugly. He still gets blamed for it. That's fine. That's how the world works. That's how presidents are assessed. But to suggest that the US Failings, Afghanistan are his alone is to ignore the entire war on terrorism.
Michelle Cottle
Okay, before we go down this particular rabbit hole too much, he had many other failures that the voters were more concerned about than just Afghanistan. And I think immigration was a huge one. And then of course, the economy is just complicated and we'd have to dig into that for six shows on its own, but.
Ross Douthat
Right. I mean, I think people will be litigating the inflation debate for a long time. I think the immigration debate is a bit simpler. And it's an example of something that goes back really to Biden's campaign, where one of the odd things about Biden's campaign for the presidency was that he clearly won the Democratic nomination as the more moderate alternative in a party that was otherwise swinging to the left. And then having won the nomination, he himself decided for the sake of party unity, because of the climate at the time, because there weren't a lot of Biden loyalists to staff and administration. He himself pivoted to the left in terms of personnel and policy on social issues especially. And that was a big contributor to the moves his administration made on the border. And I think if I were telling a story about Biden's failures, I would say the promise of Biden was that he would be the kind of moderate elder statesman presiding over and tempering the more progressive left wing inclinations of his party. And instead he didn't do that. He did not really ever triangulate against his own base. He never tried to be Bill Clinton or Joe Biden of the 1990s, especially on social issues, especially on immigration. And again, I don't think we can litigate why that was without getting into his age and decline. But I think that that is also a reasonable story to tell that the Joe Biden of 1997 or even 2007, I think would have done a better job of, you know, saying to his party's activists, okay, we're not doing everything you want on the border because it's going to blow up in our face. And the Joe Biden of 2020 did not do that.
Michelle Cottle
I think that could be said of the whole Democratic Party that has shifted that direction. Right. And he was kind of following the party. I mean, the Senate's approach to this, not that many years ago among the Democrats would never have flown in recent years. It's just like the whole party's moved that direction or did.
Ross Douthat
Right. But if you have that kind of dynamic in your party, in theory, putting someone with a long record of self conscious moderation and a memory of the days when Democrats struggled because of social issues, having him in charge should have been helpful. I mean, I wrote, you know, when the Times asked people to write endorsements for Democratic candidates in the 2020 primary and I ended up writing the pro Joe Biden piece, but that was part of my think that it would be make sense for the Democrats to have as their standard bearer someone who remembered the days before the progressive base took over. But you just didn't see that from Biden in office.
Carlos Lozada
Yeah, I mean, part of what's interesting to me about both the immigration and the inflation debates is just how Biden and the Democrats spoke to the public about this. This week, USA Today had a long sort of legacy interview with Joe Biden that Susan Page conducted. And he said that his biggest regret was that he didn't effectively counter Donald Trump's misinformation. And that's part of a longstanding and I think, fine critique of the Trump presidency. Like, you know, Trump has lied compulsively, not least about the results of elections, but you can believe that and still realize that there are significant things that the Biden team and Biden himself said and promoted and argued that just did not match up with, call it the. The lived experience of American voters. And one of those was that inflation is transitory. It's not a big deal. Don't worry, you know, it's all going to be fine. The border situation, it's a challenge. It's not a crisis. It's not as bad as it seems. And it was far too late by the time they realized that a. No one was buying that because it wasn't true. And I mean, you know, you can add the Biden not being too old for the presidency, you know, Biden never going to pardon hunter, et cetera, et cetera, but just to stick to immigration and inflation, those were two things where forget what he was doing, what he was saying just didn't match up with the reality that American voters saw.
Michelle Cottle
So with all that, was his presidency a failure, a tragedy? Carlos, what's your general ruling in the long term?
Carlos Lozada
I wouldn't say this was a failed presidency or a tragedy. More than that, I think it was just kind of miscast. Biden wanted to be president for so long, and he failed at that so many times. He was always more a creature of the Senate than of the White House. He struggled to articulate why he wanted to become president. When he finally got it, it was not because the party or the country had fallen in love with him. The country was hoping that Biden could bring sort of normalcy contrasting to the pandemic era Trump administration. So he pitched himself as a transitional figure, but then wanted to become a transformative figure. And that ambition torpedoed him and the party. In 2024, Frank Foer's book on Biden called the Last Politician, he said that Biden developed a heroic self conception. He pitched both 2020 and 2024 as these battles for democracy. Right. And I think he was correct on the substance, but not on the politics. It wasn't what people were grasping for at the time. Even his campaign pollster once said, no one knows what this soul of America bullshit means. And I think that compulsion to sort of to become president at all costs, to be a transformative one, not a, not a transitional one, and then to want to hold onto it because that's what presidents want, ended up being the, the reasons that I, I sort of see him as kind of miscast for the role.
Michelle Cottle
Okay, let's pause here. And when we come back, I want to take us further back in history, see how Biden's legacy may stack up against other one term presidents. Foreign.
Lori Leibovich
Hi, this is Lori Leibovich, editor of. Well, at the New York Times, there's a lot of misinformation in the health and wellness space. But at the New York Times, no matter what the topic, we apply the same journalistic standards to everything we write about, whether it's the gut microbiome or how to get a good night's sleep, even if we're talking about something like is it bad for me to drink coffee on an empty stomach? Everything that our readers get when they dig into a well article has been vetted. Our reporters are consulting experts, calling dozens of people doing the research. It can go on for months so that you can make great decisions about your physical health and your mental health. We take our reporting extra seriously because we know New York Times subscribers are counting on us. If you already subscribe, thank you. If you'd like to subscribe, go to nytimes.com subscribe.
Michelle Cottle
And we're back. Oh, how I've missed saying that. Now, I want, I want your thoughts on how Biden compares to other one term presidents, H.W. bush or Carlos's presidential obsession, the dearly departed Jimmy Carter, who as it happens, has been lying in state this week, week here in Washington. So I guess, Carlos, why don't you start us off. Is, is there anything in particular that stands out for you in this department?
Carlos Lozada
Sure. I mean, I, I think it's probably easiest to compare. Carter and Biden both grappled with high inflation foreign crises that they kind of struggled to resolve. One irony is that Biden's been around so long that in one of his memoirs he writes about how he considered challenging Carter for the nomination in 1980, when he was a young senator. But this is actually very telling. He writes, I knew We Democrats were in trouble. Everything Carter touched seemed to turn to dust in his hands. And he concluded that Carter was, quote, a man of decency and a man of principle. But that wasn't enough. And I don't know, that doesn't sound too, too distant from what one might say about Biden himself.
Michelle Cottle
God has an ironic sense of humor.
Carlos Lozada
In any case, what's interesting to me when you start comparing presidents and legacies, and even just these one term ones, right, is that these legacies really evolve over time. Bush went from being the out of touch patrician who didn't understand grocery scanners into a model for kind of vital but prudent foreign policy. You know, Carter, the one president no Democrat ever wanted to be compared to. You know, we've seen in recent days how there are revisionist retrospectives on his record on human rights and his impact on the judiciary. Gerald Ford, who we don't think about in this context very much because didn't even serve a full term, you know, received so much criticism for his pardon of Nixon, which for many has been revised into an act of patriotism, something the country needed to move on. So right now it's hard to see the Biden legacy beyond the immediate events of 2024. Eventually we will. You know, I don't know what direction the legacy will move in, but I'm very confident that it's going to change.
Ross Douthat
Well, I think we can't assess it decisively, but I do really think the options are bad and worse for Biden, especially relative to a figure like Carter. Just because there's no, you know, there's some overlap between the two men, things Carter did that ended up having a big impact after his presidency failures or sort of perceived weakness in foreign policy. But there's no Carter equivalent of Biden's being too old for office from the beginning, having that effectively covered up and papered over by his staff, deciding through whatever process to run for reelection, despite everyone around him having to know that this was a bad idea, and then having that lead his party into a disaster, that that was a sort of unparalleled cluster bleep for the Democrats. And that that makes me, my expectation is that there are two scenarios. In scenario one, Donald Trump's presidency second term is either similar to his first term or perceived as more successful. And in that world, Biden will be regarded as this kind of semi senile embodiment of a failing liberalism that ultimately couldn't reckon with Donald Trump's transformative populism. Okay, that's not A good judgment. Scenario B, Donald Trump is an authoritarian nightmare the likes of which some people expect. In that scenario, Joe Biden is the semi senile guy who failed to stop an authoritarian nightmare from coming to America. So in scenario A, he's like a kind of last figure of a failing consensus who then shuffles off the stage. That's pretty bad. In scenario B, he's like James Buchanan or Franklin Pierce. Right? The last presidents before a total disaster for America. So if Trump succeeds in any way, Biden looks quite bad. And if Trump is a nightmare, then Biden looks even worse. I just don't.
Michelle Cottle
So you see no path for restoration. You agree, Carlos?
Carlos Lozada
No. I guess one thing, Ross, you're making me think about is that, and we should acknowledge this upfront in any of these discussions of legacy, is that legacies are largely the result of what presidents do, the events that transpire during their terms. But they also in part result from, I hate to say this, people like us, right? From journalists, also from historians and intellectuals who write about them and weigh in on them and develop narratives about them. Right. Like presidents know this, which is why they're always convening these ridiculous roundtables of historians and big thinkers to help them think about their place in history. So a lot of this discussion just feeds the kind of Meacham Beschloss, Kearns Goodwin, Douthit industrial complex.
Michelle Cottle
Right? You're part of the problem, Ross, to.
Ross Douthat
Have Doris Kearns Goodwin's book sales.
Carlos Lozada
We all dabble in that. And kind of what you're saying, Ross, is that the Biden legacy is going to be determined by whatever Trump does, not by what Biden did himself. And that either way, Biden was kind of wrong. Right? If Trump, you know, is an authoritarian nightmare, which is exactly what Biden had been warning about all this time, even if the public didn't buy that critique, then it's all Biden's fault because he let it happen by sort of staying too long. If democracy emerges unscathed from Trump part two, meaning that Biden was entirely wrong about the Trump threat, then paradoxically, he'll look better in the eyes of history. Like, it's a remarkable lesson in, like, the paradoxes of politics and legacy right there. When I think about the Biden legacy, for me, a big part of it is that instead of being the bridge that he said he was going to be to a new generation of Democratic leadership, he ended up being a bridge connecting two Trump presidencies. Right? He's an interregnum. He's an in between, even the Biden presidency will always be subsumed as part of the Trump era. And that's how I think about it. More than like, was it terrible or just slightly. Somewhat terrible is that Biden failed to make a lasting mark in the era when he finally got the job he always wanted.
Michelle Cottle
So I want to take it in just a slightly different direction as, as Biden is a cautionary tale for this time period we're in anyway, where America just is graying more generally. But I do think in a lot of voters minds, he came to represent a cultural moment in which you just, you can't root out some of these folks who have been around for so long and still think they should be running the joint and won't let go. So I know that is not specifically a presidential legacy, but it is one of those things that I like to throw out there periodically because we still have a lot of political leaders who are doing this. I mean, and our current president is not a spring chicken. And I see us potentially heading down that path as well.
Ross Douthat
I mean, there I'll be slightly optimistic and say that the age issue turned out to be so catastrophic for Biden that I think it does maybe set us up for a world where people in both parties feel more comfortable easing people out, pushing people out when appropriate. So I don't know. I think the shadow of what happened with Biden will loom over both parties in ways that might help us escape Gerontocracy faster than they otherwise would have.
Michelle Cottle
That would be great. That would be like a very broad.
Ross Douthat
Upside, New Year's optimism.
Michelle Cottle
So I'm thinking we'll leave it there. It's going to be a magical year. Everybody just buckle up. You know, you got to say this for the Trump administration, it's never boring. There will be much for us to talk about, but for now, we're going to take a short break, and when we come back, we're going to get hot and cold.
Carlos Lozada
I use New York Times cooking at least three to four times a week.
Lori Leibovich
I love sheet pan bibimbap.
Wealthfront Ad
It said 35 minutes, it was 35 minutes.
Carlos Lozada
The cucumber salad with soy, ginger and garlic.
Ross Douthat
Oh, my God.
Carlos Lozada
That is just to die for. This turkey chili has over 17,000 five star ratings. So easy, so delicious. The instructions are so clear, so simple, and it just works.
Ross Douthat
Hey, it's Eric Kim from New York Times Cooking. Come cook with us. Go to nytcooking.com.
Michelle Cottle
And finally, it is time for. For hot cold, which I'm sure everyone has missed, particularly Carlos. It's Carlos's favorite part of the day.
Carlos Lozada
Sigh. Insert sigh here.
Michelle Cottle
Oh, stop. You're such a. You're such a mopey puppy.
Ross Douthat
I think. I think you mean a mopy puppy, Michelle.
Michelle Cottle
Oh, my God. From our inbox, listener Rachel Schwartzbard asked us all to share something we are looking forward to this year. So, my beloved co hosts, what are you hot on for 2025 is where we're gonna go. And I'll go first.
Ross Douthat
Thank you.
Michelle Cottle
Because I am such a good host this year, I've got a very broad one. During a campaign year, my life becomes completely kind of consumed by campaign travel. Reading polls, looking at focus groups. That's all I have brain space for. And so the year after a presidential campaign cycle, it's kind of magic. You get to take a breath, think about something bigger, perhaps more restorative. It sounds really cheesy, but that's what I'm looking forward to. I'm looking forward to not completely being driven by the political horse race news cycle of a presidential campaign year. Next. Who's up?
Carlos Lozada
All right, I guess it'll be me. I thought about sticking to type and picking some books I'm looking forward to, but I'm not going to do that. Okay. I'm not going to do that.
Ross Douthat
The old bait and switch.
Carlos Lozada
I'm not even gonna casually mention the books that I would have mentioned, therefore sneaking in two things I'm hot for. I won't do that.
Ross Douthat
Wait, no, no, wait, wait. Give me one book. One book you're excited for.
Carlos Lozada
You know, I never know. Like, people say, like, the most anticipated books of whatever, and I don't know what means anticipated. Right. Like, I know there's authors who I like. I read a lot of nonfiction. So one novel that I'm actually excited about, it's called Audition. It's by Katy Kitamura, who's a writer who I really appreciate both her fiction and her and her nonfiction. She had a novel called Intimacies a couple of years ago that I thought was fantastic. So I'm looking forward to audition. I haven't read an early copy. I have no idea if it's any good, but I like her. But no, here I'm gonna pick something that may already be moot, even by the time this podcast airs. About a year ago on this show, in fact, an early January episode of Matter of Opinion, I did Hot, Cold, and I said I was hot. On the new college football playoff system to determine a national champion, which would be a 12 team playoff rather than the Final Four picked by a committee. And I joked that I liked it in part because my school, Notre Dame, had a better chance of making the 12 team playoff. Well, fast forward one year and we're in the middle of the College Football Playoff. Not only did Notre Dame make the field, but it has won its first two playoff games against Indiana and against Georgia, and is playing in the semifinal against Penn State. It has been a joy for me and for every fan of the Fighting Irish to watch this team over the course of the playoffs. But now I should say we're recording this on Wednesday. The semifinal game is on Thursday. So by the time you hear this, Notre Dame may already be eliminated or may have advanced to the national championship game against the winner of Ohio State Texas. And since we never talk about sports on matter of opinion, to my great lament and sadness, I thought I would sneak it in. Now I'm hot on the playoff and hot on the Irish.
Michelle Cottle
That's beautiful. I'll be over for game day. Ross.
Ross Douthat
Um, so, you know, there was a time when I sort of organized my weekend evenings around prestige television shows. We sort of. We lived through a golden age of television and then a kind of silver age of television where the shows weren't quite as good, but there were a ton of them. And now, in the aftermath of the streaming bubble bursting and various other changes, I feel like television is in danger of slowly becoming a wasteland again. Which is why I am looking forward to the current great exception, which is White Lotus Season 3. And for those who don't know, this is a sort of dramedy of manners, I guess you could call it. Set in a fictional luxury hotel called the White Lotus, created and written by Mike White. It's not the greatest show on earth, but the first two seasons have been extremely entertaining.
Michelle Cottle
It works as kind of escapism.
Ross Douthat
No, I think it's better than. I mean, again, it's not the Soprano.
Michelle Cottle
It's rich people behaving ridiculously.
Ross Douthat
It's rich people behaving badly. Yes, it's not the Sopranos, and it's not Breaking Bad, but I just think it just is a cut above a lot of what is being offered in serial TV right now. And I'm, I'm glad it's coming back.
Michelle Cottle
Fair enough.
Carlos Lozada
I really enjoyed the first two seasons. I'm looking forward to that, too. Yeah, it's. It's drama. Also, violent crime is always part of this. So that's, that's, that's also.
Michelle Cottle
There's a death, so you get it all kind of fun. You get all the goodies.
Ross Douthat
Nobody said they're looking forward to the great achievements of the second Trump administration. Nobody brought up Greenland.
Carlos Lozada
I I'm looking forward to America once again becoming a colonial power.
Michelle Cottle
We're looking forward to colonizing Mars in.
Carlos Lozada
So.
Ross Douthat
I'm concerned that Elon has been distracted from Mars by the federal budget, and that, I think would be unfortunate. But we can talk about that in the future.
Michelle Cottle
There's a Shakespearean tragedy. I'm so happy to be back. All right, all right.
Carlos Lozada
Good to be back.
Ross Douthat
Happy New Year.
Michelle Cottle
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Summary of "The Pride and Tragedy of Joe Biden"
Podcast Title: Matter of Opinion
Host/Authors: Michelle Cottle, Ross Douthat, Carlos Lozada
Episode Title: The Pride and Tragedy of Joe Biden
Release Date: January 10, 2025
In the inaugural episode of 2025, the hosts Michelle Cottle, Ross Douthat, and Carlos Lozada delve into the complex legacy of President Joe Biden as his administration nears its end. With Biden set to leave office after five decades in public service, the trio examines his accomplishments, shortcomings, and the broader implications of his presidency on future American politics.
Michelle Cottle opens the discussion by highlighting Biden's significant legislative achievements, particularly the CHIPS Act and infrastructure spending, which aimed to rejuvenate America's technological and industrial base.
Notable Quote:
"He put America on a good track in both [climate change and technological competition with China], did more in terms of infrastructure spending than Donald Trump ever did in his first term, and that is a really important part of his legacy."
— Ross Douthat [03:13]
The conversation shifts to Biden's foreign policy, a central aspect of his presidency. While acknowledging successes like rallying NATO against Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the hosts critique the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan and the administration's handling of the subsequent geopolitical fallout.
Notable Quotes:
"The Biden administration was correct to rush arms and support to the Ukrainians once it became clear that they could, in fact, stand up to the Russians with support."
— Ross Douthat [09:27]
"The US abandonment of Afghanistan was a decades-long undertaking...when Biden ripped the band aid off, as Ross said, the wound was always going to be festering and ugly. He still gets blamed for it."
— Carlos Lozada [12:02]
Carlos Lozada emphasizes that assessing Biden's presidency inevitably ties into his decision to seek reelection in 2024. This move had profound consequences for the Democratic Party and the nation's political climate.
Notable Quote:
"His decision to run for reelection...has had far-reaching consequences for the party, for the election, for the country."
— Carlos Lozada [05:27]
The hosts discuss Biden's economic policies, particularly the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic juxtaposed with the challenges of inflation. While acknowledging measures that set the economy on a firmer footing, they also critique the administration's inability to curb inflation effectively.
Notable Quote:
"He helped the US economy recover from COVID, set in motion some long-term transformations...but at the same time presided over debilitating inflation due in part to some of those policies."
— Carlos Lozada [06:14]
Immigration emerges as a significant failure in Biden's presidency. The hosts argue that Biden failed to balance moderating influence within the Democratic Party, leading to policies that were politically driven rather than effective.
Notable Quote:
"The promise of Biden was that he would be the kind of moderate elder statesman presiding over and tempering the more progressive left-wing inclinations of his party. And instead, he didn’t do that."
— Ross Douthat [15:18]
Carlos Lozada compares Biden's presidency with that of Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush, noting similarities in grappling with high inflation and foreign crises. However, he underscores Biden's unique challenges, such as age-related issues and the unprecedented political polarization.
Notable Quote:
"Eventually we will. I know what direction the legacy will move in, but I'm very confident that it's going to change."
— Carlos Lozada [22:57]
A critical aspect of Biden's legacy discussed is his age and its impact on his effectiveness as president. The hosts speculate that Biden's challenges may prompt both major parties to reconsider the age of their candidates in the future.
Notable Quote:
"The Biden legacy is going to be determined by whatever Trump does, not by what Biden did himself. And that either way, Biden was kind of wrong."
— Carlos Lozada [26:08]
Carlos Lozada concludes that Biden's presidency was a miscast, driven by his long desire to be president but marred by a failure to adapt to the evolving political landscape. Instead of being a bridge to new Democratic leadership, Biden became an interregnum between two Trump presidencies.
Notable Quote:
"More than like, was it terrible or just slightly somewhat terrible is that Biden failed to make a lasting mark in the era when he finally got the job he always wanted."
— Carlos Lozada [27:29]
As the conversation wraps up, the hosts acknowledge the enduring impact of Biden's presidency on American politics and the potential lessons it holds for future leaders. They also touch upon the cultural shift towards addressing the age of political leaders, hoping Biden's tenure may accelerate the move away from gerontocracy.
Notable Quote:
"I'm looking forward to the current great exception, which is White Lotus Season 3."
— Ross Douthat [34:54]
(Note: This quote refers to upcoming content but was included to showcase the show's transition beyond political discussion.)
This episode provides a comprehensive analysis of Joe Biden's presidency, balancing his legislative successes with significant policy failures. The discussion underscores the complexity of assessing presidential legacies, especially in highly polarized political climates.