
I want to say something that few conservatives will admit right now: Donald Trump has lost the country. The coalition he assembled to defeat Kamala Harris has evaporated, and his aggressive agenda — never mind his legacy — won’t survive if Republicans can’t win the next election.
Loading summary
Ross Douthat
From New York Times opinion, I'm Ross Douthit. This is interesting times, and today I'm gonna tell you something that too few conservatives are willing to admit. A year into his second presidency, Donald Trump has lost the country.
Conservative Voter
The majority of voters believe the country's worse off today. President Trump's approval rating at 37%, the lowest of his second term, and the.
Ross Douthat
Grand coalition that he assembled to defeat Kamala Harris has evaporated. And all of this was predictable. From the first days of Doge through the debacle in Minneapolis, the Trump administration has consistently governed as though swing voters and moderates aren't important to its coalition. And now, sure enough, they aren't. So I work on my family's farm and we've lost our best hands because of Trump's deportations.
Conservative Voter
I regret voting for Donald Trump.
Ross Douthat
But here's the thing. It's not moderates and swing voters who lose out when a right wing administration loses popularity. It's people on the right, people like me, certainly people further to my right, who support some of the big things the administration has tried to do, who like having a secure border, who like seeing universities pressured to become more ideologically diverse, who want to see DEI reset and rolled back. All of that, all of that agenda will just disappear if the Republican Party can't win elections.
Conservative Voter
Something that Republicans might actually need to worry about are, of course, the midterm elections. Texas Republicans faced a major loss over the weekend.
Political Analyst
This was a district that Donald Trump won by 17 points in 2024. That's an over 30 point shift to the left.
Ross Douthat
You just can't have a transformative agenda if you don't keep moderates and the general public on your side. Now, that may seem like an obvious truism of politics, but in fact, both right and left treat it like this great secret. Throughout the Biden era, I had to listen to liberals tell me that actually Joe Biden was a very popular president. He was doing a great job.
Political Analyst
And I'm telling you, this guy's tough, he's smart, he's on his game.
Ross Douthat
And if there were any problems, it was just the fruits of right wing misinformation, when the reality was that Joe Biden governed from, well, to the left of the country. Things went badly and then his coalition cracked up. Simple as that. Now the same thing is happening on the right. If you listen to the influencers who sit at the heart of right wing politics right now, you'll hear some of them say that Trump is doing a great job, he is legitimately the best in the business and you'll hear others saying that Trump is failing but only because he's not aggressive or revolutionary enough. Escalate the fight against illegal migrants, treat them like any foreign invasion force and there's no one there to point out the bleeding obvious that the Trump administration is losing ground because millions of Americans look at its behavior and get freaked out and the conservatives who are willing to point that out tend to be the kind who are easily dismissed New York Times conservatives weak kneed squishes Trump skeptics rather than true believers. But damn it I'm right. Liberals in the Biden era should have listened to me when I told them they were losing the country and letting Trumpism return and Trump supporters should listen to me now when I tell them the truth. That you won't hear in much of right wing media that unless the administration can act a little bit more moderate and a little bit more normal there won't be any Trump legacy at all.
Podcast: Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Host: Ross Douthat (New York Times Opinion)
Release Date: February 4, 2026
In this episode, Ross Douthat delivers a sobering analysis: a year into his second term, Donald Trump has “lost the country.” Through direct monologue, conversation with voters, and political analysis, Douthat explores the reasons Trump’s coalition has unraveled, the consequences for the right, and what history (and the left’s experience under Biden) can teach the Republican Party about the dangers of ignoring moderates and swing voters.
Ross Douthat (00:04–00:26):
Quote:
“A year into his second presidency, Donald Trump has lost the country.”
—Ross Douthat (00:07)
Predictable Downfall:
Conservative Voter (00:26–00:50):
Quote:
“I regret voting for Donald Trump.”
—Conservative Voter (00:50)
Ross Douthat (00:54–01:30):
Quote:
“It’s not moderates and swing voters who lose out when a right wing administration loses popularity. It’s people on the right, people like me... who like seeing universities pressured... who want to see DEI reset and rolled back. All of that... will just disappear if the Republican Party can’t win elections.”
—Ross Douthat (00:54–01:23)
Conservative Voter & Political Analyst (01:30–01:46):
Quote:
“This was a district that Donald Trump won by 17 points in 2024. That’s an over 30 point shift to the left.”
—Political Analyst (01:37)
Ross Douthat (01:46–02:17):
Quote:
“You just can’t have a transformative agenda if you don’t keep moderates and the general public on your side. Now, that may seem like an obvious truism of politics, but in fact, both right and left treat it like this great secret.”
—Ross Douthat (01:46)
Ross Douthat (02:17–End):
Quote:
“There’s no one there to point out the bleeding obvious: that the Trump administration is losing ground because millions of Americans look at its behavior and get freaked out...”
—Ross Douthat (02:09)
Offers tough-love advice: being more moderate and less extreme is essential for the survival of Trump’s policies and legacy.
Closing Quote:
“Unless the administration can act a little bit more moderate and a little bit more normal, there won’t be any Trump legacy at all.”
—Ross Douthat (02:41)
Ross Douthat presents a candid, critical assessment of Trump’s faltering second-term coalition. Drawing on recent electoral setbacks, voter testimony, and political analysis, he argues that both the left and right ignore the basic axiom that alienating moderates is a path to losing power—and ultimately, the policy victories they seek. His urgent message to conservatives: only by acknowledging and addressing this truth can the right hope to preserve its legacy.