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Foreign December 26, 2024 it's starting to seem like the best way to interpret social media posts from President Elect Donald Trump is through the lens of professional wrestling. Never a true athletic competition, although it certainly required athletic training. Until the 1980s, professional wrestling depended on kayfabe, the shared agreement among audience and ACT actors that they would pretend the carefully constructed script and act were real. But as Abraham Josephine Riceman explained in the New York Times last year, Vince and Linda McMahon pushed to move professional wrestling into entertainment to avoid health regulations and the taxes imposed on actual sporting events. That shift damaged the profession until, in the mid-1990s, wrestlers and promoters began to mix the fake world of wrestling with reality, bringing real life tensions to the ring in what might or might not have been real. Suddenly, Reisman wrote, the fun of the match had everything to do with decoding it. Nothing was off limits, and the more outrageous the storylines, the better fans would give it their full attention because they couldn't always figure out if what they were seeing was real or not. This Neo Kayfabe rests on a slippery, ever wobbling jumble of truths, half truths and outright falsehoods, all delivered with the utmost passion and commitment. Reisman concluded that producers and consumers of Neo Kayfabe tend to lose the ability to distinguish between what's real and what isn't in that they echo the world identified by German American historian and philosopher Hannah Arendt in her 1951 the Origins of Totalitarianism. The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the convinced Communist, she wrote, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction and the distinction between true and false no longer exist. Yesterday, on Christmas and the first night of Hanukkah, Trump posted a Merry Christmas to all message that went on to claim, falsely that Chinese soldiers are operating the Panama Canal and that President Joe Biden has absolutely no idea what he's doing. The heart of his message, though, was that the US should take over both the Panama Canal and Canada, and that Greenland, which is a self governing territory of Denmark, is needed by the United States for national security purposes, and that the people of Greenland want the US to be there and we will. Trump's sudden pronouncements threatening three other countries he's been quiet about Mexico since its president pushed back on his early threats have media outlets scrambling to explain what he's up to. They've explained that this might be a way for him to demonstrate that his America first ideology, which has always embraced isolation, will actually wield power against other countries or suggested that his claim against Panama is part of a strategy to counter China, or pointed out that global warming has sparked competition to gain an advantage in the Arctic. The new focus on threatening other countries, virtually never mentioned during the 2024 campaign, has driven out of the news Trump's actual campaign promise. Trump ran on the promise that he would lower prices, especially for groceries. Yet in mid December he suggested in an interview with Time magazine that he doesn't really expect to lower prices. That promise seems to have been part of a performance to attract voters, abandoned now with a new performance that may or may not be real. There is also little coverage of the larger implications of Trump's threats to invade other countries. Central to the rules based international order constructed in the decades after World War II is that countries must respect each other's sovereignty. Between 1942 and 1945, 47 nations signed the Declaration by United nations, the treaty that formalized the alliance that stood against the fascist Axis powers. That treaty declared the different countries would not sign separate peace agreements with Germany, Italy or Japan. They would work together to create a world based on the 1941 Atlantic Charter, which called for the territorial integrity of nations and the restoration of self government to countries where it had been lost and for global cooperation for economic and social progress. In 1945, delegates from 50 nations met in San Francisco to establish a permanent forum for international cooperation. What emerged was the United nations, whose charter states that the organization is designed to maintain international peace and security by working together to stop acts of aggression or other breaches of the peace and to settle international disputes without resort to war. The organization is based on the principle of sovereign equality of all its members, the charter reads. All members shall refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state or in any other manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United nations, it reads. Russian President Vladimir Putin is eager to tear down the international rules based order established by the United nations and protected by organizations like the North Atlantic Treaty Organization or NATO. His invasion of neighboring countries Georgia in 2008, then Ukraine in 2014 and again in 2022 demonstrates his desire to return the world to a time in which bigger countries could gobble up small, smaller ones, the ideology that after the invention of modern weaponry meant world wars. On Christmas Day, Russia fired more than 70 missiles and more than 100 drones at Ukraine, targeting its energy infrastructure. The Ukrainian forces shot down more than 50 of the missiles, but the attack damaged power plants, cutting electricity to different regions. Just two years ago, Ukraine began to celebrate Christmas on December 25, following the Gregorian calendar rather than the less accurate Julian calendar still favored by the Russian Orthodox Church for religious holidays. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky said the change would allow Ukrainians to abandon the Russian heritage of celebrating Christmas in January. Also yesterday, an undersea power cable connecting Finland and Estonia failed following a series of cuts to telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea in November. Today, Finland seized an oil tanker it believes cut the cables yesterday, noting that the tanker may be part of Russia's shadow fleet that is waging a shadow campaign against NATO nations at the same time that it is evading sanctions against Russia. In a joint statement today, the European Commission, which is the government of the European Union, strongly condemned the attacks on Europe's critical infrastructure and said it would be proposing further sanctions to target the Russian shadow fleet, which threatens security and the environment. While funding Russia's war budget, it emphasized Europe's commitment to international cooperation. Also yesterday, an Azerbaijan Airlines jet traveling from the Azerbaijan capital of Baku on its way to Chechnya crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, killing at least 38 of the 67 people on board. Nalya Bagheerova and Gleb Stolyarab of Reuters reported today that a preliminary investigation by Azerbaijan officials suggests that Russian air defenses shot the plane down. Newsweek's Maya Marara reported that on Russian media last night, a propagandist close to Putin cheered on Trump Trump's demand for Greenland. This is especially interesting because it drives a wedge between him and Europe. It undermines the world architecture and opens up certain opportunities for our foreign policy, nationalist political scientist Sergei Mikhail said. Mikhail supports Russia's attempt to conquer Ukraine and has called for Russia to add to its empire not only Finland and Poland but but also Alaska, Hawaii and California. Last night, he explained that Trump's approach would undermine the rules based order that has shaped the world since World War II. If Trump really wants to stop the Third World War, he said, the way out is simple, dividing up the world into spheres of influence. Marara noted that academic Stanislav Kachenko said that Russia should thank Donald Trump, who is teaching us a new diplomatic language. He continued, that is to say it like it is. Maybe we won't carve up the world like an apple, but we can certainly outline the parts of the world where our interests cannot be questioned. But yesterday in Georgia's capital, Tbilisi, Armenians and Azerbaijanis joined the protesters who are filling the streets to protest the government's attempt to tie Georgia more closely to Putin's Russia. They hope to turn Georgia toward Europe instead President Joe Biden issued a statement concerning Russia's Christmas bombardment of Ukraine to cut heat and electricity for Ukrainians in the dead of winter. Let me be clear, he said. The Ukrainian people deserve to live in peace and safety, and the United States and the international community must continue to stand with Ukraine until it triumphs over Russia's aggression. Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions, Dedham, MA. Recorded with music composed by Michael Moss. Facebook.
Letters from an American: December 26, 2024
Host: Heather Cox Richardson
Overview
In the December 26, 2024 episode of Letters from an American, Heather Cox Richardson delves into the intertwining of modern political rhetoric with historical and cultural phenomena. She examines President Elect Donald Trump's recent social media activity, drawing parallels to professional wrestling's "kayfabe," explores the implications of his foreign policy threats, and analyzes the broader impact on international relations and the established global order.
Trump's Social Media Tactics: A Modern-Day Kayfabe
Richardson begins by likening President Elect Donald Trump's social media posts to professional wrestling's concept of "kayfabe"—a facade where performers maintain the illusion of scripted storylines. She references Abraham Josephine Riceman's analysis from The New York Times, highlighting how Vince and Linda McMahon transitioned professional wrestling into pure entertainment to circumvent health regulations and taxes. This shift blurred the lines between reality and performance, making it difficult for audiences to discern truth from fiction.
"Neo Kayfabe rests on a slippery, ever wobbling jumble of truths, half truths, and outright falsehoods," Richardson notes ([02:15]). This analogy underscores the challenges in interpreting Trump's communications, where his statements oscillate between reality and theatrical performance, leaving the public uncertain about their authenticity.
Unprecedented Foreign Policy Threats
Richardson outlines Trump's recent social media declarations made on Christmas and the first night of Hanukkah, where he not only extended holiday greetings but also made alarming claims and threats:
False Claims: Trump falsely stated that Chinese soldiers are operating the Panama Canal and that President Joe Biden is incompetent ([05:30]).
Territorial Threats: He asserted that the U.S. should take over the Panama Canal and Canada, and claimed intentions to acquire Greenland for national security purposes. This dramatic shift marks a departure from his 2024 campaign, which predominantly focused on domestic issues like lowering grocery prices.
Richardson emphasizes that Trump's abrupt and serious pronouncements have left media outlets scrambling to interpret his motives. Some suggest these threats aim to showcase an "America First" ideology with tangible power, while others believe it's a strategic move against China or related to Arctic competition due to global warming.
Erosion of the Rules-Based International Order
Delving into the historical context, Richardson recounts the establishment of the United Nations post-World War II, emphasizing the commitment to sovereign equality and the prohibition of force against territorial integrity. She cites the UN Charter: "All members shall refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state..." ([12:45]).
The episode draws parallels between Trump's rhetoric and Russian President Vladimir Putin's aggressive actions, such as the invasions of Georgia (2008) and Ukraine (2014, 2022). Richardson warns that such behaviors signal a desire to dismantle the international order that has maintained peace and cooperation since 1945.
Russia's Aggression and Global Response
Richardson details Russia's recent actions, including:
Christmas Day Attack: On December 25, Russia launched over 70 missiles and 100 drones targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure, leading to significant power outages despite Ukrainian defenses downing many of the missiles ([18:20]).
Calendar Shift in Ukraine: Ukraine's adoption of the Gregorian calendar for Christmas to distance itself from Russian traditions, symbolizing a move towards European alignment ([19:10]).
Undersea Cable Sabotage: Finland and Estonia experienced disruptions in their telecommunications cables, with Finland seizing an oil tanker suspected of being part of Russia's shadow fleet—a fleet engaged in covert operations against NATO nations while evading sanctions ([21:05]).
The European Commission has condemned these attacks, highlighting Europe's commitment to international cooperation and signaling intentions to impose further sanctions on Russia's shadow fleet.
Implications of Trump's Foreign Policy and International Dynamics
Richardson discusses responses from various quarters:
Russian Propaganda Support: Russian media praised Trump's demands for Greenland, seeing it as a strategy to weaken Europe's cohesion and the established world order. Political scientist Sergei Mikhail interprets Trump's actions as undermining post-WWII international norms ([25:30]).
Academic Perspectives: Stanislav Kachenko suggests that Russia might view Trump’s blunt diplomatic language as a tool to assert U.S. dominance, potentially dividing the world into uncontestable spheres of influence.
Regional Reactions: In Tbilisi, Georgia, protests erupted against government moves to align more closely with Russia, with citizens advocating for stronger ties with Europe instead ([28:50]).
U.S. Commitment to Ukraine
In response to Russia's latest assault, President Joe Biden reaffirmed the United States' support for Ukraine:
"The Ukrainian people deserve to live in peace and safety, and the United States and the international community must continue to stand with Ukraine until it triumphs over Russia's aggression," Biden stated ([30:15]).
Conclusion
Richardson's episode paints a complex picture of contemporary geopolitics, where populist rhetoric intertwines with aggressive foreign policies, challenging long-standing international norms. By drawing historical parallels and analyzing current events, she underscores the fragility of the rules-based order and the profound implications of leadership that blurs the lines between performance and reality.
Notable Quotes
"Neo Kayfabe rests on a slippery, ever wobbling jumble of truths, half truths, and outright falsehoods." — Heather Cox Richardson ([02:15])
"The Ukrainian people deserve to live in peace and safety, and the United States and the international community must continue to stand with Ukraine until it triumphs over Russia's aggression." — President Joe Biden ([30:15])
Production Credits
Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions, Dedham, MA, with music composed by Michael Moss.
For more insights and historical analyses on today's politics, visit heathercoxrichardson.substack.com.