← Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin
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- [00:02]
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I'm Nicole Lapin, the only financial expert. You don't need a dictionary to understand. It's time for some money rehab. We are three days out from the election. How we holding up? The stock market certainly had feelings about the day. When it comes to elections there are winners and losers, candidates, yes, but also winners and losers in the stock market. First, the stock market itself was a big winner. Stocks and the dollar both jumped following the election. Here's a clip from another podcast on our network Trade Like Einstein where stockbroker Peter Tuchman reports from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Peter taped this episode Wednesday morning. Here he is.
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Everyone on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange is absolutely elated. It is wild and crazy. I have to admit that there is an electricity, irrespective of who you voted for, there is an amazing electricity around the floor. About the fact that the election is over, that the market, market loves it. It's going to be good. So far we are seeing it good for crypto, we're seeing it good for tech, we're seeing it great for Tesla, we're seeing it good for the overall markets. Everywhere you go there's plenty of green on the screen. That's a good thing.
- [01:21]
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He also taped a follow up episode Wednesday night. Here he is again.
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This market closed up 1600 points on the Dow. It closed up a hundred and change on the S P500. The Russell up significantly. A lot of stocks trading easily at 52 week highs. It's amazing. Right at the end of the day we're in this together. We need to stay strong and solid and look towards the future, right? In order for us to be the greatest that we are, in order to market, to forge higher in so many ways. For everybody to participate in this rally, look at the end of the day that's what we want. We want everybody to be participating in this, right? Getting their feet wet, getting involved in the market. It is somewhere you can go, somewhere you can access, somewhere you can make money, somewhere you can create financial income for you and your family. Change the narrative. Whatever it is, this market is there for you. All the barriers to entry are down. It's just a matter of educating yourselves, Motivating, inspire yourselves. Bing bong shotzi. Have a great night. And there's the bell, baby. Ring that bell. Boom.
- [02:28]
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And it was an electric day for the market for sure. Stock futures soared. The S&P 500 had its best day in nearly two years and climbed two and a half percent. The Dow jumped three and a half percent the NASDAQ surged three percent. So how much of this surge is this election versus just elections in general? Well, historically, election years have been good years for the market. One study from Fidelity found that markets have had returns averaging 9% in election years since the 1950s. That success is bipartisan, by the way. If history is any guide, the next few months should be good ones for the market. Also, regardless of whether it's an election year, the holiday season tends to drive a strong stock market as well. Investors actually call this the Santa Claus rally. There's also the fact that September is almost always lousy in the market, leaving stocks with nowhere to go but up. Bond yields are also up, with treasury yields hitting their peaks for the year almost across the board. What all this means long term is a little tbd, but for now, the bulls are stoked. One of the biggest winners to come out of this election, though, wasn't even on the ballot. It was Elon Musk. His months of high profile support for Trump has paid off. I don't know if it was the millions of dollars his tw, or if him jumping up and down on stage in his MAGA hat that went viral did it, but whatever it was, it worked. Not only did he get his guy elected, but Musk has guaranteed himself a seat at the table. Jeff Bezos has been trying to buy that kind of clout for years with his purchase of the Washington post and a $23 million DC area mansion to stay in while he's in town. But none of that ever translated into the kind of pull that Musk has gotten as a result of this election. Not only does this theoretically help secure Musk's contracts, because remember, companies owned by Musk were promised $3 billion in government contracts last year. It could also, in theory, help smooth things over between Musk and federal regulators. Trump has offered Musk a new position as the head of the Government Efficiency Commission, which means Musk might soon wield power over the agencies that previously tried to regulate him. The markets clearly love this for him, and Tesla stock rose 14% the day after the election. Remember, most of Musk's companies are private, so unless you have millions of dollars in special access, you can't necessarily invest in SpaceX or Neuralink. So as a result, some investors bought Tesla stock as a proxy for investing in Musk's other companies. But he's not the only proxy investment riding on this election. Donald Trump is the majority owner of Trump Media and Technology Group, with its ticker symbol djt. At the beginning of the week, the share price of DJT was $30.44. The day after the election, once he was declared the winner of the election, DJT hit a record of $44.32. On election day, it had a market cap, which is the value of all of its shares, of $7.4 billion. It also announced revenue that day, and the company had lost 19.2 million on $1 million of revenue. The $7.4 billion market cap cannot be explained by the company's fundamentals or any future earning potential. But as a way to make a proxy bet on the election, support Trump or just play with mean stocks, I guess it makes sense. Well, as much as meme stocks make sense, bitcoin was also a major winner here, reaching over $75,000 in a new high post election. The crypto community has very much gone all in on Trump, hoping that his general dislike of regulation would work in their favor. The Biden administration has not been friendly to crypto projects. Trump himself has expressed some distrust of crypto, saying, quote, it's not money, end quote. It's based on thin air. But he also literally ran a casino, so I think it's safe to say that he's fine with people gambling. So who are the losers in the market in the days following the election? Well, renewable energy is a big one, which will come as no surprise. Trump is known for his drill baby drill. Outlook on oil. So Solar stocks plummeted. First Solar, one of the largest solar companies, sank 10%. Now, in the days following the election, there's been this uneasy, uneven feeling. Some people are crushed, other people are elated. It can be hard to find quiet, calm spots of common ground. But you know what? We have to, because we still all live together. It feels like for the last eight years, about one half of the population has been really unhappy about the direction the country is going in. It flipped sides and we've gone through a pandemic, which was one of the strangest times in human history. I don't know exactly how we do this, but I sincerely hope that in the next four years we can collectively come to a place of equilibrium where most people feel okay about the overall direction of the country. I know there will be people who hate this and think it's naive, but that's okay. America is a dream, an idea, and at our best, we should be aspirational. No matter how you feel about the election results, I think we're all united in feeling like there's room for improvement. Everyone has been struggling in this economy, and no matter who the President is, we need to take care of our own little micro economies, which is what I'm here for. For today's tip, you can take straight to the bank for the so called Trump trades, the companies that people expect to rally, like Bitco and Tesla and oil companies. We may see these stocks climb again around inauguration time. But these stocks also might underperform because the market is very reactive. So if traders don't see their stocks soaring as predicted, they could quickly exit the trades and the stock will slump. Remember, if you're invested in S&P 500 index funds, you benefited from the jump in oil and in Tesla and all the major Trump stocks that rallied. But if these Trump trades go down, the other stocks in the S&P 500 well buffer your losses then. Money Rehab is a production of Money News Network. I'm your host, Nicole Lapin. Money Rehab's executive producer is Morgan Lavoy. Our researcher is Emily Holmes. Do you need some Money Rehab? And let's be honest, we all do. So email us your Money questions money rehaboneynewsnetwork.com to potentially have your questions answered on the show or even have a one on one intervention with me. And follow us on Instagram @moneynews and TikTok at MoneyNews Network for exclusive video content. And lastly, thank you. No, seriously, thank you. Thank you for listening and for investing in yourself, which is the most important investment you can make.