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Business Day parliamentary reporter Tara Roos tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge that, while DA leader Helen Zille may secure the most votes in Johannesburg in the upcoming local government elections, she is unlikely to become mayor. Roos, whose new book Where To From Here unpacks South Africa’s political landscape in the wake of the 2024 elections, argues that Zille won’t win an outright majority and will lack the numbers needed to form a coalition. The ANC, ActionSA and the Freedom Front Plus are all expected to oppose her. Could the Patriotic Alliance step in? Unlikely, says Roos: “The DA’s only possible coalition partner is going to be the ANC.” And in Gauteng, that remains a long shot. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Africa’s populations are exploding. By 2050 one in 10 children born in the world will be Nigerian. Right now 29 of the world’s top national fertility rates are African. But Africans need to find new power and position in the world. Widely-respected South African business leader Phuthuma Nhleko has just published a book, The Invisible People, to make the case for a new Pan-Africanism and tells Peter Bruce in this Edition of Podcasts from the Edge that the continent really can find its voice again. "I know the African Union has got many, many challenges (but) the structures are there. The European Union has done the same … before 1945 Europeans were killing each other … but post 1945, the EU was built block by block, and I struggle to understand why that would be a farfetched vision for Africa in the next 20 years.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

President Cyril Ramaphosa will tell delegates at the Sixth South African Investment Conference this Tuesday morning that he plans to raise R2 trillion in news fixed investment over the next three years. Or five years, depending on which articles you read on the Presidency website. Peter Bruce argues in this Podcast from the Edge monologue that Ramaphosa deliberately sets himself soft targets ,he knows he can reach. And R2 trillion doesn’t come close the to 25% of GDP in fixed investment per year the economy needs to grow fast enough to make a real dent in unemployment. So let’s not get too excited. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The government is planning something quite audacious and it isn’t a high speed train from Tshwane to Durban. Instead it wants to create, out of the often dishevelled mass of land and property it owns through the Department of Public Works and Infrastructure, a national property company worth some R155bn … and it’ll be open to, indeed it’ll depend on, private investment. DPWI minister Dean Macpherson tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge that “We have to find a mechanism to do something to protect the underlying value (of the State’s assets). If you wanted to put it on a graph, you'd have an inclining maintenance backlog and a declining property value. And those two are going to intersect at a point where if a decision isn't made quickly the damage may become irreversible. And government may have anything between a R30bn and R50bn hole on it balance sheet due to these collapsing buildings." Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Incoming DA leader Geordin Hill Lewis says that to grow the party it is going to need the votes of people who have never voted for it before. DA members can do the math, he says. But is he comfortable that those new voters are going to have to be black? “Let me just say, specifically to all black South Africans” he tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge, “that we are deeply interested, committed and passionate about their advancement and particularly those who still live in poverty and unemployment and who still have not seen the material benefits that political and democratic freedom has brought with it. I’m perfectly comfortable saying that from every platform and intend to say it often and frequently, all around the country. Getting people out of poverty is why we are in politics.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Songezo Zibi, leader of Rise Mzansi and chair of the Standing Committee on Public Accounts in Parliament, tells Peter Bruce in this wide-ranging edition of Podcasts from the Edge that the ANC and US President Donald Trump might have been made for each other. "I never expected the kind of disruption that we see from Donald Trump,” he says, "and this is an ANC problem (because) the ANC doesn't perceive the world in the way that the rest of the normal world perceives the world. … they're stuck in the eighties and nineties, fighting an old Cold War and they found the perfect adversary in Donald Trump because in some ways he takes them back. He validates their failure to kind of move forward and, and understand the word for what it is.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Agriculture author and expert Wandile Sihlobo tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge that Agriculture mMinister John Steenhuisen has not option but to import foot and mouth vaccines through a centralised operation, despite the threats from many farmers to challenge him in court to fight for the right to do the vaccinations themselves. “We can't now produce any vaccines,” he says, but, "if you want to vaccinate about 12 million head of cattle and you're not going to do it once — you will vaccinate and then you need to boost and perhaps vaccinate two more times so that you are fully out of this as Argentina and the others have done before, then you need to have that supply in place.The problem then that Africa has is that we don't have the supply in place ... and then it has to be imported by the state. And in fact, that's what the regulations from the World Organization of Animal Health say. So when Minister Steenhuisen says it's only the government who will import, he's really following the rules.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

If the past is any guide then some middle-ranking official of officer is going to take the fall for the cock-up at sea last week when an Iranian corvette took part in exercises off of False Bay with the South African, Chinese and Russian navies after President Cyril Ramaphosa, very late in the day, issued instructions (exactly what he said and whether or not he wrote it down we still don’t know) that they should not take part. There was probably no need for the Iranian vessel to follow the others out to sea, veteran military analyst Helmut Roemer Heitman tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge, if it was merely going to observe. You can observe from the bridge of a participating ship. The result of the mess thus created, he says, is that "It'll be have a demoralizing impact on an already demoralized defense force because they'll be given the blame. And that's bad because the morale is already not good for obvious reasons. So you'll have more people leave who we'd rather keep and you'll have fewer people join who we'd like to join” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

One of the best industrial minds in South Africa, XA Global Trade Advisors MD Donald Mackay, tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge that using import tariffs to protect local industry is a losing strategy. “ We assume that the reason our manufacturing sector more broadly struggles to compete is that we assume that an import tariff will fix it whereas the reason we struggle to make things is we've got broken infrastructure. We don't have electricity... The ports are broken.The reason we're not competitive has nothing to do with what other people are doing. Many of our imports are just the importation of [other countries’] electricity that is working consistently and functioning infrastructure and a safe environment to invest in. That is what you're effectively importing.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Former DA leader Tony Leon tells Peter Bruce in this edition of Podcasts from the Edge that South Africa is taking a chance in there way it is confronting US President Donald Trump’s decisions to boycott the recent G20 Summit in Johannesburg and his subsequent announcement that he would not permit SA to participate in the G20 under his chairmanship in 2026. Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola calling Trump a “white supremacist” days before the Johannesburg summit was “the most self-harming remark” from the country’s most senior diplomat. It recalls former National Party Prime Minister John Vorster telling the world in 1968 it could “do its damndest” if it thought Apartheid would ever be dismantled. “He did very well in the next election,” remembers Leon, “but I don’t think this will help now. This idea that you can go to a powerful country and give it the middle finger might give you a moment of satisfaction but I think (for) worthwhile diplomats and meaningful diplomacy you have to think twice before you react. South African diplomacy is amateur hour, kind of … if you want a result, if you want to join the cheering gallery of the anti-trumpets in the world well that’s a very crowded saloon and no doubt it makes you feel good but I don;t think its going to meet any of the government’s apparent objectives to grow the economy, to get investment here and bulk up our trade.” Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.