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Most investors are reacting to the federal budget, but most of it isn't law yet, and the real impact will come from what actually gets passed, not what's announced.

On the Property Buzz podcast, Phil Tarrant and Annie Kane from The Adviser cut through the noise around negative gearing, capital gains tax, and the wave of speculation hitting the property market after the latest budget.

The pair warn that the biggest issue right now isn't policy change, but misinformation and fatigue, with investors reacting to headlines rather than confirmed legislation.

They explore how proposed tax shifts could reshape investment structures, particularly for discretionary trusts and small businesses, while also raising questions about intergenerational fairness and long-term affordability.

The discussion also highlights how lenders are already adjusting behind the scenes, with early changes to serviceability rules hinting at how banks are preparing for possible policy outcomes.

But despite the noise, the message is consistent. The duo warned that until legislation is finalised, the smartest move is to stay informed, not reactive, and avoid making decisions based on speculation alone.