//The Wire//2300Z June 11, 2026//
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//BLUF: IRAN WAR RESUMES AS AMERICAN BOMBING CONTINUES WHILE POLITICAL STATEMENTS CLAIM A HALT TO BOMBING BUT ALSO THE IMPENDING SEIZURE OF KHARG ISLAND. TARGETING OF MERCHANT VESSELS CONTINUES IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. UNREST CONTINUES IN NORTHERN IRELAND.//

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-International Events-

Middle East: The war continued overnight with renewed strikes taking place around the region. The United States has begun bombing targets within Iran, targeting locations mostly in the southern regions of the country. Mainstream sources claim that approximately 49x Tomahawk standoff munitions were used to conduct the strikes, along with various bombs and other munitions delivered by aircraft platforms. On the Iranian side, missile and drone strikes continued overnight in Jordan, Bahrain, and Kuwait. Battle damage assessment will take some time, however locals report that American bases were hit with at least some munitions in Jordan. The success of the other strikes remains unknown for now. As of this afternoon many statements have been made by President Trump, involving the US intending to seize Kharg Island at some point. Later on in the afternoon President Trump also stated that VP Vance is scheduled to sign a "deal" (likely a Memorandum of Understanding and not a full peace deal) with the Iranians this weekend in Europe. No further clarification on either topic has been conveyed.

Strait of Hormuz: The targeting of civilian vessels by both sides has also continued over the past few days. The United States struck the M/T SETTEBELLO two days ago, which resulted in the death of three Indian nationals. This follows a similar attack the day before on the M/T MARIVEX which was conducted under similar circumstances. After last night's wave of American attacks, Iran has claimed to have closed the Strait to all traffic once again.

Analyst Comment: Initial reporting indicates that all merchant vessels are holding tight wherever they are, as the new wave of attacks has reduced the chance of success in transiting the Strait. At the time the targeting took place last night, there were several ships in the Strait, some of which may have been targeted in some way. The situation is still very busy, but at least one vessel was struck off the coast of Oman last night, though which side did it remains unknown.

Northern Ireland: Riots continued throughout Belfast overnight, with most businesses staying closed or closing early throughout the city, so as to be buttoned-up before nightfall. Most of the rioting and arson attacks have been confined to migrant-run HMOs, with hundreds of facilities being targeted throughout Belfast once night falls. Most of the less-kinetic protests are scheduled to take place outside migrant hotels throughout Northern Ireland, and similar protests have also been reported throughout Great Britain as mass migration concerns remain a critical issue for much of society.

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Analyst Comments: At this point, it's hard to argue that the war in the Middle East has not resumed, despite contradictory rhetoric never being more than a few minutes away. Even since just this morning, the rhetoric has gone from: dozens of Tomahawks launched overnight, and more are on the way tonight, to the attack has been halted, to the US is going to take Kharg Island, to JD Vance will be in Europe over the weekend to sign a peace deal with the Iranians. Whether or not any of that is true remains to be seen, but it's been a rather wild day already.

In terms of missiles and bombs, the situation is much more clear. Fighting is not to the level it was during the initial two weeks of the bombing campaign, however the United States and Iran have found themselves conducting "self-defense" strikes against each other every day this week.

As of this morning, the White House has indicated that this bombing campaign is expected to continue for at least three days. However, this afternoon, President Trump stated that tonight's bombing raid was canceled due to the Iranians engaging in "discussions" with the United States. Shortly afterward, Iranian state media denied any sort of agreement being made, and several high-ranking officials have stated that while indirect diplomatic talks continue, nothing is set in stone and there's certainly nothing to sign yet. What all of this means is anyone's guess, but this rollercoaster of a week might be explained by the world of finance. This afternoon, SpaceX announced the final details of their IPO filing, taking their company public. As a result a lot of policy makers were scheduled to make a LOT of money, right around the same time bombs were supposed to drop. Publicly announcing the fact that the war has re-entered the hot-shooting phase might cause some hiccups in the markets, so it's possible that a phone call was made and today's strange saga of statements are yet another attempt to manipulate markets by downplaying the truth of what's happening on the ground. As it stands, the rhetoric of the day describes polar opposites: Either the war is over and a deal is pending signature, or the war is back on, and the bombing is ramping up. Time will tell what the truth is, but so far every single time that peace has allegedly been on the table and moments away...bombs tend to fall all the same.

Analyst: S2A1
Research: https://publish.obsidian.md/s2underground
Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report.
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