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Greg Kilstrom
Welcome to season seven of the Agile Brand where we discuss the trends and topics marketing leaders need to know. Stay curious, stay agile and join the top enterprise brands and martech platforms as we explore marketing technology, AI, E commerce and whatever's next for the Omnichannel customer experience. Together we'll discover what it takes to create an agile brand built for today and tomorrow and built for customers, employees and continued business growth. I'm your host Greg Kilstrom, advising Fortune 1000 brands on martech, AI and marketing operations. The Agile Brand Podcast is brought to you by Tech Systems, an industry leader in full stack technology services, talent services and real world application. For more information, go to teksystems.com to make sure you always get the latest episodes, please hit subscribe on the app you listen to podcasts on and leave us a rating so others can find us as well. Now onto the show. Much is made about the creative decisions and ads for the big game. But how does all of that money, those requisite celebrity cameos and everything else that goes into these multi million dollar investments translate into return on investment? Today we're going to talk about what the numbers tell us from all those high profile ads and who the winners and losers of the advertising bowl are in 2025. Tell me discuss this topic I'd like to welcome Natalie Kelly, CMO at Zappi, who unveiled their annual Super Bowl Ad Success Report on Monday. We're here to talk about the approach, the results and what those results mean for brands that invested a lot of money and time into their Campaigns. Natalie, welcome to the show.
Natalie Kelly
Thank you, Greg. Lovely to be here.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah, Looking forward to talking about this with you. Definitely. As someone born very close to Philadelphia, I was, was happy with the results of the game itself, but you know, want to also being in the advertising and marketing world, you know, definitely want to, want to hear your thoughts here and the results of the. Before we dive in though, why don't we start with you giving a little background on yourself and what you're currently doing with Zapi.
Natalie Kelly
Sure. I'm the chief Marketing officer at Zappi. We are a tech company, agile market research platform enabling connected insights for our customers. We partner with 350 plus global brands. That includes PepsiCo, McDonald's, Heineken, Rekt, Diageo, Spicy, spanning more than 50 global markets. So a lot of our customers were actually building super bowl ads in Zappy and developing them with our software. So it's pretty, pretty fun to see them go live and see how consumers react then. And we have about 300 employees in more than 13 countries. We're surpassing 100 million in ARR in 2025 and we most recently raised 200 million, including a $170 million growth capital round from Sunero Equity Partners in 2022.
Greg Kilstrom
Great. Great. So, yeah, let's, let's dive in. So as I mentioned and we'll have a link to the, the report in the show notes, but you know, the super bowl ad success report went live on Monday right after the game. Can you talk about the approach that you take before, during and after the game to do this analysis? You know, what does it look like? And I mean, the report was available Monday, so obviously some hard work being done Sunday night, Monday morning, I assume. But you know, what does it look like and who and what technology are involved?
Natalie Kelly
Yeah, we did have a team of people both in New Orleans right before the super bowl on the ground to talk about all the ads at a bunch of different events and such. But then live during the super bowl, we were also launching the new ads that were released that night. What's interesting, Greg, is a lot of these ads are actually released before the big game now and it's becoming even more common and consumers actually say that they like that. You know, our data shows that they like to watch the ads before and even after the air. But for us, we had to basically configure all of those ads in our software platform to enable us to test with 20,000 consumers across those 65 plus ads that aired during the game. A lot of them had already Pre aired and been pre released. Sometimes they do teasers, but you can't really test the teaser because it's not the full ad. So we can get a sense of what people might think, but until you really see the whole ad, you can't really understand the impact of on sales and brand and all of those things we love to talk about.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah, yeah. And so, you know, you mentioned that a lot of the ads are being made available or at least teasers available ahead of time. So, you know, can you talk a little bit about, you know, just how the process has evolved over the last few years and including things like that. But you know, how much is the actual game itself involved and how much includes social media and other channels?
Natalie Kelly
Yeah, well, you know, I like to remind folks that even though we like to analyze the ads and talk about the ads for the marketing teams involved in these, it's big campaigns. Right. So they're not just thinking about super bowl ads, television ads, they're thinking about super bowl advertising strategy. So to your point, social media plays in. There's live activations in New Orleans, which I had the fortune of seeing up close. You know, there is a parade where a lot of the brands are featuring, you know, different activations within the parade environment. There's as soon as you get to the airport in New Orleans, first thing out of the gate, you see different, you know, super bowl ads and advertisers all hitting you, even on the escalators. You know, there's Pepsi branding all the way down. And so a lot goes into it, including the tie ins with the game. And I don't know if you saw some of the tie ins that happened, but the Duracell ad with Tom Brady being rebooted, you know, heading to that commercial break. And like, if you went on Twitter when the Doritos ad was airing on X, you would see, you know, the Dorito chips flying with like, you know, kind of some cool guerrilla marketing tactics and things the teams were doing. So it's kind of exciting to see. And one of the things I learned on the ground in New Orleans, talking to a lot of these advertisers is that it's not just the super bowl for them and it's not even just super bowl advertising, but it's football advertising and sports marketing and you know, the NFL and sports specific sponsorships, brand advocates with different players of specific teams with local tie ins. So a lot goes into all of this that we don't really think about every day if we're not involved in it. On the marketing site.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah. And I mean that makes a lot of sense because I mean, it's quite a hefty investment for a one time thing. Right. So it makes a lot of sense for it to be part of a larger strategic initiative and that, you know, as you mentioned, you know, the, the pre game, whether they're teasers or rolling, rolling out the ads earlier or things like that is certainly a big component here. We're going to talk about the, the post game analysis in a little bit here, but Zappy did some analysis before the game and, and had a list of pre game winners. Could you maybe talk us through one or two of those winners and what went into those results?
Natalie Kelly
Sure. So whenever we're testing any sort of advertising, we have a tool that we call amplify. And for each of these ads we survey with 300 consumers and they have to self report that they're actually indicative of the buyers of the products being advertised. So if it's a weight loss product, they need to report that they have an interest in weight loss or have purchased such a product before. And then when we look at how they perform within those categories, we're thinking about three things. We call it the 3R framework. It's Reach, which is in context, how the ads stand out and drive brand recall. And then resonance, which is the emotional response. Does this ad actually make people feel something? And then response is how does it actually encourage an action or purchase uplift? And we look at that based on pre and post exposure questions asking about likelihood to consider the brand or purchase the product. So that's kind of the methodology behind all of this that we use when we test in Zappy.
Greg Kilstrom
Great, great. Were there any of the pregame winners that stood out from a brand perspective?
Natalie Kelly
Yes. Oh, so many. I mean, the interesting thing is a lot of these super bowl ads, you know, with the teasers and everything, we're really starting to see some of them come out that are so strong ahead of time. One of the top performing ads that we tested that was really shining from kind of the very beginning was this Budweiser ad called First Delivery. It's got the pony, one of the Clydesdales. It's a baby Clydesdale and it's deemed too small, too little to participate in the Budweiser delivery. But it gets a loose keg. It is trying to prove his worth. And it's really a sweet, heartwarming ad. It performed well across men, women, you know, Gen Z, millennial, every, every generation. And that was one of the really standout winners of the night and also in the pre release dads that we tested, it had a sales impact score of 100, which is the highest that you can get.
Greg Kilstrom
Wow.
Natalie Kelly
Yeah. So pretty impressive results for that one.
Domo Representative
Wouldn't it be great if you could ask your data anything at any time, like how are sales this quarter? How's the new marketing campaign performing? What does the overall health of the company look like? And actually get answers right away. With charts and graphics and actionable information, you can with Domo's AI and data products platform. Domo lets you channel AI and data quickly, securely and innovatively to deliver measurable insights wherever and whenever you need them. Anyone on your team can use Domo to easily prepare, analyze, visualize, automate and distribute data, all amplified by AI. Domo goes beyond productivity. It's designed to transform your process processes, helping you make smarter and faster decisions and drive real growth. All powered by Domo's trust, flexibility and years of expertise in data and AI innovation. The world's best companies rely on Domo to make smarter decisions. See how Domo can help transform yours. Learn more@AI.domo.com that's AI.domo.com.
Greg Kilstrom
So let's get to the post game report as well. And again, we'll have a link to the full report in the in the show notes. But you know, who were the winners this year? You know, if you could maybe talk us through the top two.
Natalie Kelly
Sure. So we basically in our report ranked them by the categories because keep in mind, when you're thinking about which ones are winners, they're all competing with each other in kind of the same category. So if you're selling a beverage, you know, you might be competing whether you're a carbonated beverage or a beer brand or, you know, what are people drinking, you know, you know, that night? And also what are they drinking in general? And same thing on like snacks, you know, you might have, you know, Doritos, which we mentioned, and also like Nerds, which was one of the top performers. One of my great surprises was actually the Nerds ad. They had an ad called Unleash youh Senses. And it was so fun. They had Shabousi, the singer of a bar song, strolling down the street in New Orleans with the Nerds mascot, the giant gummy, which they introduced last year during the Super Bowl. And that was so much fun because it was really showing off the beauty of New Orleans. And it was just a very positive, positive feeling. And it scored really high on emotion. It got a 67 when the norm for that category is 56. And then on love, which was one of the emotions that we measure through emoji reactions that people give throughout while they're watching the ad, it got 40% when the norm is 28%. So it really did well on distinctiveness and the other measures. But I think the emotional part was really what struck me from that ad.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah. Were there any other surprises that come to mind?
Natalie Kelly
So my number one surprise was the ad from Hims and Hers, which has been very controversial. And a lot of people have said, oh, that was a horrible ad. And other people thought it was a great ad. And whenever you see that kind of bipolar reaction, then you kind of know, oh, they struck a nerve, or they did something special with that ad. Well, when we tested it with people most likely to purchase that product, it got incredibly high scores. I think what was happening in a lot of the commentary that we see about that ad is that the people saying, oh, I didn't get it. It seemed like a false promise. They're criticizing the same thing that they're part of, and a lot of kind of negative feedback. But what you really care about as a marketer is how did it resonate with the target segment that you're trying to reach? And so from that perspective, it scored really well and among the best performers. So I think it all depends on what your strategy is. It's easy for us to be, like armchair quarterback of the advertising super bowl and say, well, I like this, I like that. I don't actually care what I like. It's really all about what consumers who are likely to buy that product, because that's who these marketers care about.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah. Yeah, that makes sense. And to your point, like the report itself, I mean, there are many categories, and it's everything from demographic to other things. So, you know, it's. It would be tough to say that there is a specific winner, you know, per se, because we're talking about, you know, different. Different target audiences and everything like that. But were there any that seemed like, you know, they were performing really well before the game, but then, you know, didn't quite deliver, you know, after. After the game?
Natalie Kelly
Yeah, I mean, there were some that we were really hopeful for, and there were some surprises. So the one that I was most hopeful for was actually the Nike ad. I was really looking forward to that because I knew they were featuring some really strong female athletes, and I was excited for that. And I think a lot of us have seen over the years in the super bowl and the super bowl delve does a really good job with this, like, you know, girls in sports and female empowerment. And so I think we all kind of had a feeling like maybe this Nike ad will do the same thing. Well, to our surprise, the NFL ad that was the flag 50 that was encouraging women girls in flag football, but they're trying to get more states to enable it. That performs so well with women. It didn't perform very well with men, but it did perform very well with women. And the Nike ad, interestingly, did not perform as well on the scores. I think one of the reasons is their goal might have been slightly different. A lot of the best advertisers will try to get you to feel. If they do give you a little bit of outrage, then they might want to resolve it at the end. And I think the Dove ad did that really well, where they showed the little girl running and how she loves her legs, and then they say they'll be unbearable by the time she's 14. And it makes you feel like, oh, I'm so happy seeing this little girl. Oh, I'm so sad that's her future. And then it gives you hope at the end and makes you feel like you can be part of the change. Well, the Nike Ed kind of did something a little different there. It was more like rebellion and, like, complain, like, almost a little negative about complaining about the status quo, but then not giving the viewer as much hope of a positive future. It did a little bit of that toward the end, but it didn't resolve that emotion completely to where the viewer kind of left with a positive feeling. Now, that may have been their goal. Maybe they wanted people to feel uneasy about the state of things, but that's a more difficult thing because it doesn't perform as well with. With consumers. So, like, in our scores, it might not have shown to be as positive, but you just never know what the marketing team behind it, the agency really had in mind with the sentiment that they wanted to kind of evoke from the audience.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah, yeah, makes sense. And, you know, maybe along those lines as well. Are there any. You know, certainly, you know, you can look at the report and see there's. There's several that have, you know, very high scores, some high scores across the board, and. And, you know, and variants, you know, across different. Different areas as well. There are those that just kind of missed the mark. Are there. You know, could you talk a little bit about, you know, are there some. I know you mentioned a couple that were surprises, but are there some that just clearly missed the Mark, I guess, Yeah.
Natalie Kelly
I mean, there were a lot that didn't make it into our report at all, because they didn't. Because they did kind of miss the mark. And they didn't score above 70 was our threshold for sales impact. In other words, if they're not going to move the needle for sales impact, then we didn't include them. And, you know, frankly, they might move it a little. But we were looking for the ones that were really outstanding in terms of moving the needle. You know, I would say some of them performed really well with men, but not with women. So, like the Ray Ban meta, you know, the who Eats Art, you know, that had the three Chrises, the Chris Pratt, Chris Hemsworth and Kris Jenner that really did very well with men, but not so great with women, you know, and again, maybe that was part of their intentional strategy. I also think one that was really surprising, you know, is the Hellman's one. I think everybody was excited about this ad with Meg Ryan and Billy Crystal reenacting their scene from When Harry Met Sally. And they had Sydney Sweeney making guest appearance. That one. Interestingly, you know, it performed above all on all the metrics that we measure that we included in the report. It scored high on sales impact, distinctiveness, unaided brand recall, emotion, and laughter. It was actually very high on laughter. But, you know, some of the ones that are more outstanding would have kind of higher. Higher brand recall, higher, you know, levels of distinctiveness, and most importantly, the sales impact. So I think that one, you know, I expected it to perform better than it did, but when you consider they were trying to kind of appeal to a lot of different demographics and different generations, that's a very hard thing to do because Hellman's, obviously, anybody can buy mayo. So who do you target? Who you really want to target? Sometimes I think as an advertiser, you're making strategic choices. Like, I'm going to not include this demographic because the people. I'm not going to include a celebrity like Sydney because maybe nobody will know who she is in this demographic that's older, and maybe the younger ones will never have seen that movie. So it is tricky because you reach everyone. All demographics in America that watch the game.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah, it's tough. Yeah. Because usually you want that target. You would pick a show to advertise on to find that target. But, yeah, to your point, everybody's watching. And yet you can't be everything to everyone. Usually you can't be everyone to everyone successfully. Right. So it's, you know, it makes sense that there would be some successes with others, you know, with, with specific demographics. So, you know, just to kind of ask a direct question here, you know, are these ads worth it? You know, they cost a lot of money, they take a lot of planning, a lot of time. You know, does the ROI make them a good investment? And, you know, if the answer is like, it depends, you know, what are those dependent factors?
Natalie Kelly
Yeah, I think the answer is yes. You know, Gary Vaynerchuk was in New Orleans on some different panels where Zappy was present and talked with VaynerMedia about how this is still the best media buy in town. You know, you really do get the bang for your buck. It's $8 million this year for each ad. But when you consider how many people you're reaching, it's still very worth it. And you do see the roi. That said, it depends on the execution of the ad itself. I didn't mean to dodge your question about which ads I didn't like and which ads consumers. And I will say the squarespace one didn't really perform so well. And I personally watching that was kind of confused and wondering why they're throwing laptops at people. I'm like, it was just kind of a weird no, maybe that got people talking and maybe it did appeal to some segment that they're targeting. But as far as low performers, that one didn't perform so well, you know, So I do think it's worth it. If you plan correctly and you know which segment you're targeting and you really nail it in terms of pre testing, you know, making sure that you're involving consumer feedback all along the way to make sure you're nailing it. Because that actually is the secret sauce to making sure that an ad performs well is getting that consumer in the loop. Because a simple thing like a celebrity who's out of, you know, favor with the American public, if you've already invested in including them, do you decrease the time on screen? Do you do other things? There's lots of strategies as a marketer you can use to use that feedback and iterate and make your advertising development process much more agile.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah. Yeah. Love it. So, last question before we wrap up here. As Zappy is measuring this year over year, what are maybe some of the meta trends that you're seeing? Are these super bowl ads changing? As you know, social media provides other opportunities. I know we touched on a little bit, but what are these ads going to look like in five years at the rate they're changing now?
Natalie Kelly
Yeah, I mean, we are starting to See, and I think this is in part due to better testing and better software that's helping marketers and advertisers develop better ads. We're starting to see better tie ins to the brand and the product. So I think in the past, we saw a lot more ads that were maybe like, oh, just a celebrity and you wouldn't remember which company was advertising the product so people would talk about, oh, that Ben Affleck ad or, oh, that David Beckham ad. But this year, a lot of these advertisers actually nailed it because there was high brand recall on a lot of the ads, I will say, and tying it back to the product and kind of the value prop of the entire, you know, what you're selling and what you're marketing. You know, Weathertech did a great job at this. The, the ad that had the elderly women kind of the golden girls going on a road trip and spilling things all over the car.
Greg Kilstrom
Right.
Natalie Kelly
They made it very clear what the product was and how it helped, and they did it in a fun and entertaining way. I think another company that did a great job at this was the brand Michelob Ultra with the pickleball ad. They did such a great job of, like, making that product desirable and making it like something that you're going to want to do a smackdown challenge for. So that ad was great. And I think also certain brands now have become perennial favorites like Dove. They deliver something that we can kind of expect, but then also surprise us a little every year. And that tension between doing something that your audience really expects of you and in terms of alignment to your brand values, but still having an element of surprise to keep people interested is really difficult to pull off. And I think that's important because all the research shows that younger generations, Gen Z and millennials really care that brands live by their values and that they don't shy away from them. And so showing up repeatedly every year as a perennial super bowl advertiser and like staying the course, you know, sticking with your commitment, but also having something novel, something new, something distinctive, I think that's really where the tension is. And I think brands are getting better and better at that. And I think with the power of data, they'll only continue to get better at that.
Greg Kilstrom
Yeah. Yeah. Love it. Well, Natalie, thanks so much for joining today. One last question before we wrap up. I'd like to ask everybody here. What do you do to stay agile in your role, and how do you find a way to do it consistently?
Natalie Kelly
Well, I luckily am constantly getting feedback from consumers that are looking at these ads and these stimuli every day and reacting to them. And so my number one thing to stay agile is to talk to my customers. Same thing. Getting feedback and iterating and incorporating their feedback. Because I believe that's how the best brands are built and that's how the best products are built.
Greg Kilstrom
Love it. Well, again I'd like to thank Natalie Kelly, CMO at Zappi for joining the show. You can learn more about Natalie and Zappi by following the links in the show notes. We'll also have a link to the Zappi Super Bowl Ad Success Report. Thanks again for listening to the Agile Brand brought to you by Tech Systems. If you enjoyed the show, please take a minute to subscribe and leave us a rating so that others can find the show as well. You can access more episodes of the show@theagile brand.com that's theagile brand.com and contact me. If you're interested in consulting or advisory services or are looking for a speaker for your next event, go to www.gregkillstrom.com that's G R E G K I H L S t r o m.com the Agile brand is produced by Missing Link, a Latina owned, strategy driven, creatively fueled production co op. From ideation to creation, they craft human connections through intelligent, engaging and informative content. Until next time, stay curious and stay agile.
Natalie Kelly
The Agile Brand.
The Agile Brand with Greg Kihlström® - Episode 638: "What's the ROI on those Big Game Ads?" Featuring Nataly Kelly, CMO at Zappi
Release Date: February 14, 2025
In Episode 638 of The Agile Brand with Greg Kihlström®, host Greg Kihlström delves into the intricate world of Super Bowl advertising ROI alongside Nataly Kelly, Chief Marketing Officer at Zappi. The discussion revolves around Zappi's annual Super Bowl Ad Success Report, unveiled shortly after the game, providing a comprehensive analysis of high-profile ads' performance, the strategies behind them, and the evolving landscape of Super Bowl marketing.
Nataly Kelly brings a wealth of experience to the conversation as Zappi's CMO. She oversees an agile market research platform that collaborates with over 350 global brands, including giants like PepsiCo, McDonald's, and Heineken. Under her leadership, Zappi has grown to 300 employees across 13 countries, surpassing $100 million in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) in 2025 and securing a substantial $200 million growth capital round in 2022.
Nataly Kelly [03:23]: "We are a tech company, agile market research platform enabling connected insights for our customers."
Zappi employs a robust methodology to assess Super Bowl ads, encapsulated in the 3R Framework: Reach, Resonance, and Response.
Zappi surveys 20,000 consumers across more than 65 ads, ensuring that feedback is both extensive and targeted to relevant buyer segments.
Nataly Kelly [08:26]: "We look at Reach, Resonance, and Response based on pre and post exposure questions asking about likelihood to consider the brand or purchase the product."
Before the game, Zappi identified standout ads through pre-release testing. Notably:
Budweiser's "First Delivery": Featuring a baby Clydesdale striving to prove its worth, this heartwarming ad achieved the highest sales impact score of 100.
Nataly Kelly [09:34]: "It scored a sales impact score of 100, which is the highest that you can get."
Nerds' "Unleash Your Senses": Showcasing the beauty of New Orleans with a fun narrative, this ad excelled in emotional engagement and love metrics.
Nataly Kelly [12:00]: "It really did well on distinctiveness and the other measures. But I think the emotional part was really what struck me from that ad."
After the event, Zappi's report highlighted several winners and unexpected high performers:
Dove's Empowerment Narrative: The ad featuring a young girl empowered to embrace her future resonated deeply, balancing expected brand messaging with fresh storytelling elements.
Hims and Hers' Controversial Success: Despite mixed public opinions, this ad performed exceptionally well within its target demographic, demonstrating the importance of aligning with the right audience.
Nataly Kelly [13:25]: "It scored high on sales impact, distinctiveness, unaided brand recall, emotion, and laughter."
Conversely, some ads underperformed despite high expectations:
Nike's Flag 50 Ad: Intended to promote female participation in flag football, it excelled with women but failed to resonate with men, highlighting the challenges of targeting multiple demographics simultaneously.
Nataly Kelly [16:00]: "The Nike ad [...] didn't resolve that emotion completely to where the viewer kind of left with a positive feeling."
Squarespace's Laptop Throwing Ad: Confusing visuals led to low performance, emphasizing the critical need for clear messaging even in high-budget campaigns.
The conversation shifts to the hefty investments required for Super Bowl ads, typically around $8 million per spot. Nataly argues that despite the costs, the ROI remains favorable due to the unparalleled reach and brand visibility the event offers.
Nataly Kelly [20:46]: "It's still very worth it. And you do see the ROI."
She emphasizes that the key to maximizing ROI lies in meticulous planning, targeted execution, and continuous consumer feedback integration.
Looking ahead, Nataly identifies several meta-trends shaping the future of Super Bowl ads:
Enhanced Brand Tie-Ins: Ads are becoming more seamlessly integrated with brand values and product offerings, ensuring higher brand recall and relevance.
Nataly Kelly [22:49]: "We're starting to see better tie-ins to the brand and the product."
Emotional Resonance and Authenticity: Younger audiences, particularly Gen Z and millennials, demand that brands authentically embody their values, leading to more emotionally charged and meaningful narratives.
Agile Marketing Practices: Leveraging data and consumer feedback allows brands to iterate rapidly, ensuring that ads remain relevant and impactful.
Diverse and Inclusive Storytelling: Reflecting a broader range of experiences and identities to connect with a more diverse audience base.
Nataly underscores the importance of agility in marketing roles, advocating for continuous consumer engagement and feedback loops.
Nataly Kelly [25:19]: "My number one thing to stay agile is to talk to my customers... Getting feedback and iterating and incorporating their feedback."
By maintaining open channels of communication with consumers, marketers can adapt swiftly to changing preferences and market dynamics, ensuring sustained brand relevance and growth.
Episode 638 of The Agile Brand with Greg Kihlström® offers a deep dive into the complexities of Super Bowl advertising ROI. Through Nataly Kelly's insights, listeners gain a nuanced understanding of the strategic approaches, successes, and challenges inherent in crafting and evaluating high-stakes marketing campaigns. As Super Bowl ads continue to evolve, the importance of data-driven strategies, emotional resonance, and agile marketing practices remains paramount for brands aiming to achieve meaningful and measurable impact.
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