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Ryan Garduski
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Clay Travis
You know what your customers are doing right this second? The exact same thing.
Buck Sexton
You are listening to me. Which, let's be honest, is kind of flattering.
Clay Travis
But my point Is ads on iHeartRadio.
Buck Sexton
Actually get heard in the car, at the gym, on the couch, while people are walking their dogs. Who's a good boy?
Clay Travis
Who's a good boy?
Buck Sexton
You're a good boy.
Ryan Garduski
That's right, dude.
Clay Travis
You're a good. So why not make the next ad about you?
Buck Sexton
Get started today.
Clay Travis
Call 844-844-IHEART or go to iheartadvertising.com that's 844-844, iheart or iheart advertising.com.
Buck Sexton
Welcome in our number two, election day 2025. I am in New York City where the mayoral decision is being made across the city. Potential record high turnout there, across the river from New York City, New Jersey. And here's the truth. If Republicans show up in big numbers today in New Jersey, then Citarelli is going to win. If they do not, then he is going to lose. Because there is pretty reliable data out there, Buck, that shows that Democrats banked, as they often do, a substantial lead of around 250,000 votes, it appears headed into election day. So the question is, can Republicans in New Jersey get out to the polls and win election day and flip control of the state of New Jersey In Virginia, winsome Sears open, no incumbent there, but also lieutenant governor and attorney general, races that are all super competitive down the ballot. As I mentioned, the mayor's race in New York City, mayor's races in Minneapolis, I believe Cincinnati, I believe Detroit. Many of you across the country, the biggest Prop 50 decision on California and the headline is going to be if Democrats do well tonight, that this is a repudiation of Donald Trump, even though that is not fair because Trump lost Virginia by five and lost New Jersey by five. And these are both blue states and certainly New York City is among the deepest blue cities anywhere in the country. Uh, but this is going to be Seen in some ways as a verdict on the first 10 months or so of Trump 2.0. You and I are happy. Uh, most people out there listening to us right now are happy. And this is not the battleground states that that will decide things in 2026 or 2028 necessarily, but that is where we are. They want to try to attack Trump and they will use these results if they can, to do so.
Clay Travis
This is going to seem like a minor thing to some of you, but I'm telling you it's not. When I go to New York, when I go to visit my family, I'll be up there for Thanksgiving to see my family. The same thing I understand is true in New Jersey, Clay. I go in there and I buy some things in the store, you know, in the grocery store, and they give me a paper bag and there's no option for a plastic bag. My understanding is that Jack Cittarelli is going to reverse the New Jersey ban on plastic on plastic grocery store bags. That alone, for me, I would be a single issue voter. I'm here in Florida, they don't even charge me. They're giving out plastic bags left and right. And let me tell you, I use them for all kinds of things. And I could tell you I wrap my tennis sneakers in one of those little plastic bags.
Buck Sexton
So probably pick up dog poop in the plastic bag would be a good guess.
Clay Travis
Pick up dog poop in my pla. I am reusing to use the plastic bag all the time. The environmental data on non use of plastic bags is very clear. It's actually worse for the environment for a whole bunch of reasons. Mostly because of paper is much heavier, requires more fossil fuels to be expended in transport, cannot be reused, often breaks. People want double and triple bags. This is a point of idiocy. And at New Jerseyans I know you've got housing costs and, and tax and crime and all these other issues, but you fundamentally cannot trust a politician who is in favor of banning plastic grocery bags. I'm in the land of plastic grocery bags here in Florida. Thank you, Governor Ron DeSantis. I'm in the land of plastic bags. Paper bags are trash. They are as in they end up in the trash when they break and my milk and my other things fall all over the sidewalk because a bunch of libs want to believe they're somehow fighting climate change by using these things. They're wrong on the merits, they're wrong across the board. And I'm just saying I would be a single issue voter for Jack Ciarli, on the plastic bag thing alone, and then you add all the other stuff. It's really straightforward. The Democrat there, Mikey Sherrill, she thinks the fact that there are all these municipalities, clay New Jersey, that have to have affordable housing, they call it affordable housing creation. This. This is not the way that the market should determine. You know, developers should say, hey, here's where I'm going to make housing. And here, you know, here's the cost of land, here's the cost of labor in this area. They have screwed up housing in New Jersey so much, it's so expensive to make it because of politicians. And the Democrat just wants to do more of that. And you've got Cittarelli wants a rewrite of it to say, look, we got to get rid of these stupid mandates and all of the intrusions into the housing market. That's complicated. Grocery bags not complicated, though. Vote Cittarelli.
Buck Sexton
It's also not complicated to say if you want to have lower cost for rent, you need to have more rentable units. I know sometimes we try to overcomplicate things, but the number one way to drive down the price of something is to have more of it. That is the basic laws of economics. And so if you had way fewer illegal immigrants, people would have to pay way less for housing in the New York City area. And so the whole concept of freezing rent actually gets the incentive structure backwards because what you need to do is encourage building and create far more rentable units and encourage the rehabilitation of some of these buildings that are otherwise not rentable right now. And when you freeze rent, you actually create an economic disincentive to increase the amount of available housing in Manhattan and the New York City area. So this is also basic that, you know, the laws of economics do apply across party and across city and across state, whether they're blue or red. And the fact that we can't even have a real argument with Mamdani where people point out this is, first of all, as Cuomo said, he doesn't even have the authority to do it. But if you truly, desperately thought that rent was too high in New York City, what you should do is figure out a way to build as many new housing units as possible, which feels like very basic common sense to me. But it runs into, oh, well, then we got climate issues or it's so hard to get building permits, and so many of you out there are just fed up with this.
Clay Travis
Well, but who is going to do this? This is a huge thing in New York as well. So New York and New Jersey. This is the same problem played out in different locales. California had that. Really embarrassing even for California. Embarrassing bureaucratic moment of the million dollar porta Potty. You all remember that. You know, how many of you live in a million dollar home right now? You know, a good amount of you, but you know, the average American home right now is like 400 grand or something. So a million dollar home is a nice home. I mean that's an expensive depends. You know, in Nebraska it's a mansion, in Manhattan it's a one bedroom apartment. But a million dollars to get you some nice real estate. Hey, they were going to build a solo porta potty, basically like a glorified public bathroom for a million bucks. I think this was in San Francisco, but it was California, state of California involved. And what that should be the signal to everybody, this state is not going to do good things when it comes to building housing or even involving itself in this housing process. This, this plays out in so many ways. And you know, even in a place like, I know a friend of mine's a landlord, like a kind of a, you know, big multifamily landlord in D.C. and he says that D.C. you know, one of the big problems is with building new construction of DC for people to live in. You know, you'll never be able to evict anyone. Yeah, basically it's going to be impossible. It'll cost you so much to evict people in Washington D.C. that you end up paying them off to leave. Who wants to go through the headache of I'm going to build a new eight unit, you know, multifamily in Northeast D.C. and I'm going to. When half your tenants can say I'm not paying you anymore and you end up paying them to leave after they've, you know, screwed you out of eight months of rent, no doubt.
Buck Sexton
And by the way, a couple of stories that are also out there. Let me build on this for a minute, Buck L. A. A lot of you listening to us right now in LA are nodding along. They still haven't gotten the ability to rebuild the areas that were burned down in Los Angeles because getting building permits in Democrat run cities even for burned down homes is virtually impossible. And you know, who knows this better than anybody? Trump, who is a builder and is building a ballroom right now because he found out there weren't zoning restrictions in D.C. speaking of D.C. buck, all flights at Reagan national have been halted following a reported bomb threat on an arriving aircraft. And so the whole air traffic yesterday we talked About Houston, there's a report that just came out that starting next week, they may have to restrict airspace because of the government shutdown, meaning whole swaths of the country, they're going to be restricting air travel. I think Democrats are going to come to the negotiating table and get this thing done. As we have told you, as soon as the election is over. They think it's beneficial to them to have the government shut down in these elections. I think that has been clearly their calculus. But I do think that this is a significant story that is building in intensity and some of you listening to us right now, and I was a part of this in Chicago on Friday because they shut down Nashville's airport for a while when I was trying to travel. A lot of people right now are getting caught up in frustrated, trying to get through tsa, trying to get on planes. This is absolutely ridiculous. So that is all underway as we are speaking to you. Let me also say this. If you go buy my book, I will love you forever. I think that is a simple way. I want this book to be in as many hands as possible. It should be in every bookstore. So wherever you are in the country right now, balls is out there. And the esteemed President Donald Trump is the only quote on the back. Buck. It says, clay Travis has a great new book. Clay is a highly talented commentator, great taste. This Trump, who is tough, smart and gifted with common sense. He has studied our historic movement from the very beginning, truly gets maga. MAGA loves him. This is the only thing on the back of the book. I thank President Trump for the endorsement. Uh, I would really appreciate to get on the New York Times list. They don't want to put me on Buck. They don't want to put you on Joe Concha. Our friend just texted me and he said, hey, I've written all my books. They finally put me on the Times list. I've been a bestseller before all the books. This is my potentially last best chance. But Concha's listening right now and he said, dude, they finally put me on the list. Maybe they aren't as communist laden as they have been in the past, so. But I need to blow through the numbers. It's like Trump winning in an election. In order to get on the list.
Clay Travis
Though, you know, who doesn't like Joe Concha? Great guy, crazy. Crazy to not put him on the list.
Buck Sexton
But, you know, this is like the election, right? You're not going to win by a few thousand, right? You have to be way over the finish line. You have to win by thousands and thousands of vote, you have to win a landslide. And that's where I need all of you. Amazon's got it right now. Every bookstore in America. I would seriously, deeply appreciate if you guys would go buy it. As Buck said earlier, it's a lot of work to write a book. We actually write books. Finish the show, sit down in front of the computer, crank this thing out. It's fun, it's engaging. Also, if you're not a reader, I read the entire thing on audiobook. Are you scheduled to be in the audiobook chamber? I say that because it is somewhat accurate.
Ryan Garduski
Over.
Buck Sexton
Over the Christmas.
Clay Travis
Over the Christmas holiday. Bah humbug. Ebenezer Scrooge coming for my holiday.
Buck Sexton
So you come back in January because you are. I've recorded the last three of my books. You guys know I mispronounce words all the time. They have you there reading and every time you mispronounce anything or you miss a word or whatever else, they stop you. It is unbelievably challenging to just read an entire book. To say nothing of the fact that you think, oh, I should have put that paragraph there. Why am I an idiot? Why did I have that sentence here? I could have written this better. You just self criticized the whole time you're doing it, but you can hear me read the entire thing. I did the audiobook book. Buck will be doing his. So if you're like my wife and you listen to books more than you read them because you're driving kids around or you're on the road a lot, you're a trucker. You got that option too. I would seriously, deeply appreciate if you would go buy a copy of Balls today and drive me up the best seller.
Clay Travis
People are asking what charity you're going to donate the proceeds to, I might add.
Buck Sexton
Yeah, I'm gonna try to. Yeah, I'm gonna try to send to a bunch. I don't want to break news. We're talking about doing something pretty. I'm gonna break news significant at Vanderbilt Law School about commitment to free speech principles for lawyers. Because I'm troubled by what I've seen so many law schools out there doing when they're not. Basically the whole idea of being a lawyer is you have to sometimes advocate for things that you might personally disagree with. That's the job. And I see a lot of law schools now saying, well, if it's not the right woke perspective, then we don't even feel like we should teach advocacy here. And I deeply disagree with that, as does my wife so we're trying to work on something there that could be significant.
Clay Travis
So in 20 years, is Uncle Clay.
Buck Sexton
Going to be able to get little.
Clay Travis
Jimmy Speed into Vanderbilt Law School? Let's get down to brass tacks here.
Buck Sexton
I should have good pull.
Clay Travis
There we go.
Buck Sexton
Good poll.
Clay Travis
That's what I'm talking about right there. Right down to it.
Buck Sexton
But I was also on in Asheville, North Carolina. I want to do something. I know we've already done some stuff, western North Carolina. I did a tour this morning with a lot of our local affiliates. I think there's still a lot of people struggling in the Asheville area, even though it's been a year since the hurricane hit there. But a lot of people have forgotten.
Clay Travis
My in laws are still.
Buck Sexton
Still rebuilding. Still rebuilding. No, I, I think there are tons of people in that area that need help. So I'm going to do a variety of things, but I'm excited about being able to hopefully make a little bit of difference out there. And look, if you love stakes, burgers, chicken, pork kind of all sound good, I'll be honest. You want a subscription to Good Ranchers. This is the company connected to us with American ranchers doing the hard work. They raise cattle, pigs, chickens, the right way. No antibiotics or unnecessary hormones. Their farm fresh proteins much better than the supermarket alternative where the beef is often imported from other countries. They give you 100% American proteins delivered right to your door. We're subscribers. My kids love it. We love it. And right now you can get a great offer when you use Clay as the promo code. You get $100 off your first three orders, plus free meat for life, $100 off the first three orders. As we come in on the holiday season, I bet you're going to be cooking for a lot of people. Do you want good, healthy American raised meat products in your home? I do. I bet you do too right now. Goodranchers.com Ben and his wife Corley have four young kids. They made this product for their kids and your kids and your families. $100 off plus free meat for life goodranchers.com code clay for 100 bucks off good ranchers.com code clay want to be in the know when you're on The Go the Team 47 podcast Trump highlights.
Clay Travis
From the week, Sundays at noon Eastern.
Buck Sexton
In the Clay and Buck podcast feed. Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Clay Travis
Welcome back in here to Clay and Buck. A lot of things hitting us at one time. Carolyn Levitt speaking of the White House West Wing, we are monitoring anything interesting for from that press conference we will bring to you as it happens. Also, we had Jay Jones outside of Virginia polling station making a kicking motion at a dog. As if he didn't kick the dog to be clear, but he kicked in the direction of a dog. It's just very weird. As if I could dislike this guy anymore. You mess with dogs. Talk about single issue voter.
Ryan Garduski
What?
Buck Sexton
What a weird dude too. I mean you're at a pole like I don't know, meaning a polling place with cameras on you and somebody's got a dog and like you just like I don't. You just kind of kick in the direction of a tiny little dog it.
Clay Travis
Was just so weird and awkward. This guy is, is, is not someone who should have any power, period. But that's where we are. Let's take some quick talk backs here. DD Kelly from Oklahoma City listens on ktok. Hit it. Sounds like Buck Sexton. The city slicker has never had to go grocery shopping in a pickup truck before. Paper bags are the goat, my man.
Ryan Garduski
What are you talking about?
Clay Travis
I have never heard anybody say they prefer paper bags for reasons of efficiency. Or can someone explain that to me? What? I'm missing this. Yeah, I am a city slicker. What is he talking about? Plastic bags are obviously superior.
Buck Sexton
I agree with you. We'll come back to this. By the way. DC Airport back open now. So we said that they had shut it down for a bit. It is now back open.
Clay Travis
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Buck Sexton
Saberradio.com Caroline Levitt as we told you currently in the midst of a White House press briefing that we will update you on if any major news comes out of that they're talking about the shutdown. We are joined now by our friend data guru Ryan Garduski. He's a part of the Clay and Buck podcast network. And I know we're about halfway through the day right now, Ryan, so I'm going to lay out some things. You tell me if you would sign on to these and or what you are seeing if Citarelli is going to win in New Jersey. Republicans have to turn out in huge numbers today because he's down around 250 or so thousand votes it appears based on early voting and the mail ballots. Absentees, Virginia Is looking bad for winsome Sears. But Jason Miarez, the attorney general, is in a tight race and has a decent chance. Lt. Governor is going to be competitive there. And it looks like mom Donnie is going to win and potentially win with more than 50% of the vote. Do you sign on to any of those takes? Am I wrong? How would you assess where we are?
Ryan Garduski
No, you're. You're pretty on the money. I mean, the. What we. New Jersey's reporting county by county, so it's very difficult for me to get a real estimate. Remember Citarelli, who only lost by 80,000 votes in 2021? He lost election day Republican versus Democrat turnout. Right. There were more Democrats turned on election day in 2021 than Republicans, but he won Independence by such a large margin, it overwhelmed whatever Democrat turnout look like. He won Election day by a little over 200,000 votes right now. It's looking like. One thing that's pretty surprising is how many people in Mikey Sherrill's district are voting for are voting right now. She has tremendous turnout out of her districts. As of noon today, not all the counties are reporting. A lot of the big Republican counties have yet to report. Some of the mild some of the other big Republican counties have reported. But definitely Mikey Sheryl's district is definitely showing up in full force. Presumably for her, it's a pretty safe Democratic district over in Virginia. What I've sat there and seen right now is, you know, there's a. Republican counties are kind of in a mix right now. There's counties like Caroline County, Greene County, Norton county, which are doing fairly well of, you know, they're coming up in pretty large numbers. But also at the same time, there's other super big Republican counties like Appomattox and Buchanan, which are having horrendous turnout. So Republicans are making up some of the best turnout counties and some of the worst at the same exact time. Places like Alexandria, Fairfax, they're about 50% of their 2024 election day. As of right now, 50, 55 to 60, New York City is going to have the largest turnout in mayoral history. We're easily going to blow past, I think, 2 million votes. I think it's pretty safe to say. Largest election ever was in 1991. For 1993, rather, for Giuliani, that was 1.8 million. This is going to be at least 2 million. Tremendously high turnout. And places like the Bronx, which had not voted at all on before election day, horrendous voting before election day had tremendously high turnout.
Clay Travis
So, Ryan, in the New York race, the thing that you hear about constantly from the Mamdani camp, it's just variations on cost of living and how Mamdani says he's going to bring those costs down. This is, as far as I'm concerned, like fairytale stuff. But put that aside for a second. Is it a similar situation in New Jersey? What are the biggest things that are at issue that are actually moving, mobilizing voters and that could make the difference here in turnout when you look at the issues between Cheryl and Citarelli?
Ryan Garduski
Well, the biggest issue, and I cover this on the Numbers Game podcast for a whole episode, one of the biggest issues in both Virginia and New Jersey are electric prices. Electric prices are through the roof. Two thirds of electric price increases, according to CNN, were because, not that that's a reliable source, but 2/3 of the increased cost was because of Dory.
Clay Travis
Every time you mentioned CNN on our show, Ryan, we play a little boo in the podcast.
Ryan Garduski
Well, I think that, I think the article was. I think the article was tremendous amount of the data centers and the data centers that are popping up everywhere and how the increased costs are coming in those in states like that. That's a big thing. What happened in New Jersey, what happened in Virginia is that Democrats try to nationalize it, right? Make the whole election about Donald Trump and say a vote for me is a vote against Trump. Even Jay Jones is doing that as attorney in the attorney general race. It was Trump all day, all night. Cittarelli has talked a lot about cost of living, how they be effective, an effective administrator that I don't know what's moving numbers right now. Democrat numbers are fairly strong in a number of places, but numbers are strong, by the way, everywhere. I'm looking at races across the country. There's an election in Miami going on right now. Democrat turnout is gigantic right now in Miami, the race, elections in Pennsylvania. There's lines around the corner in Pittsburgh to go vote. This is a very, this is probably one of the highest turnout elections and off, off non pr, non, non presidential, non midterm years, probably ever.
Buck Sexton
What's the impact, if anything, of Trump saying Cuomo should be your vote? Sliwa can't win. He waited till the night before the election. There's been arguments that it actually helps Mom. Donnie, at this point, does it have any impact and prediction from you? Do you think that Mamdani is likely to get over 50%? In which case all the talk about SLIWA vs Cuomo vs Eric Adams may not end up having mattered because if he gets over half the vote, then it doesn't matter how much split vote there was.
Ryan Garduski
Yeah, it's not helpful for Trump to weigh in because he's so disliked by 2/3 of New Yorkers. A 30%, 33% love him or like him and 2/3 can't stand him in New York. And I don't think that it's necessarily helpful to Cuomo. I think Curtis Lewa could have done not only more for himself by Team Nampo Cuomo, but also helping the Republicans running down ballot in New York City, which is going to be tremendously important. If Mandani becomes mayor, can he win by 50%? I don't know and I don't like to predict that. I don't like to make predictions I know I can't come true on. But here's what I'll sit there and say. You know who's looking at this election more than anybody is aoc because everyone kind of sat there and said, mandani has a ceiling. Mandani has a ceiling. He got so and so many votes in the primary. He can't possibly get more than a million votes in a 2 million person election in the general. If there's no ceiling on socialism, AOC is going to look at that and say, okay, it's my time to shine, I'm running for president. And it's not a joke when you say, I mean, yes, New York City is not reflective of the entire country, but there's a big chunk of that base in the Democratic primary situation says, no, there's no cap on socialism. Let's go completely full fledged on this. And then it's just a race to the left of who can get there first, especially in economic issues.
Clay Travis
Ryan, on the Virginia side of things, it's not looking good. From everything that we've seen and we talked to you about this in the, in the early voting stage a bit winsome Sears, was this just not a race she could win because of the political realities of the state of Virginia right now and the enormous weight that really the suburbs of D.C. which is what, like Fairfax county and Nova, all those different areas of it, basically. Was this not her fault or did she. I don't remember a single thing coming from her side of the campaign. Plenty of things coming from the Spam burger that I didn't like, but I was certainly hearing about. But winsome series. I didn't even hear what she was standing for.
Ryan Garduski
She said one thing and one thing only. I will stop transgender bathrooms from happening in Virginia. She said it every single day. That was the only issue she ran on. Look, I'm not here to trash someone who's still. The votes are still yet to be counted, but I'll say so. Winston Sears. She's doing significantly worse than both the candidate for Lieutenant Governor and ag. And even before the scandal, she was doing worse than the ag. It's not like she's an unknown person. She's lieutenant. She's the lieutenant Governor currently. She raised a ton of money. She wasn't starving for cash. She ran on only one issue, which was transgender stuff. I'm not saying it's not great for Republicans. It is a, it's a winning issue.
Clay Travis
She needed more than that. It sounds like assuming that the polls are accurate so far, that that al is not going to propel her to the governor's mansion.
Ryan Garduski
It's just not the most important. It was the only thing she talked about. She didn't talk about anything. And then when she was asked about specifically data centers because electricity prices are increasing throughout Virginia, she sat there and said, well, they're here to stay and I'm building more of them. And it was very, very, very unpopular. She just is, she's, she ran, she, her original campaign team was, had a lot to be desired. I talked to a lot of people running down ballot. They did not like what she was doing. And she's not just losing today like the Lieutenant Governor, she's just a generic Republican. No one really knows a lot about him. He had no money. She's losing worse than him and it says a lot more about her. It's a bad year. It's a bad year. You lose, you lose. But when you're losing worse than somebody with known money, no name id and that's just a generic Republican that's pretty much on you.
Buck Sexton
Okay, to what extent do you believe there is any predictive value in these elections as we look towards next year's elections, which have far more consequential stakes?
Ryan Garduski
I think that it looks like Democrats are voting like it's a presidential election. I mean, that's just the truth of it. They're voting in early elections and presidentials. Some of these counties I'm looking at in New Jersey where it was 5 to 1 in 2020 blue counties, 5 to 1 Democrat in 2021. It's looking like 8 or 9 to 1 Democrat right now, just Democrat turnout is through the roof in some of these places, especially these white college educated areas. And they are voting like it's a presidential election. Republicans really need to wake up. If they think even with all this gerrymandering that they're doing and things that are working their favor, if they think they can win on that alone, they cannot. When it comes to this kind of turnout, the turnout is immense and Republicans need to match it in a significant way and really need to have answers on certain things in the economy, which I think are really pressing people's questions on quality of life.
Clay Travis
So any last minute thoughts for how you think New York is going to go? Specifically Ryan, as the votes are coming in right now, is is a Cuomo. This is really what I'm leaning toward. Is a last minute Cuomo miracle in the cards or have you already written this off?
Ryan Garduski
I mean, listen, I'm not writing anything off. I just sit there and say this Cuomo needed to do one major thing, give Republicans a reason to vote for him, and he never did. And that is Cuomo's biggest mistake in this general election. In the primary, he didn't do anything, right. But in the general, he needed the hundreds of thousands of Trump voters in the city of New York who could sit there and flip an election to say, I'm going to vote for Cuomo because he's going to do X, Y and Z. He's going to support the problem solver, the common sense caucus, which is Republicans and Democrats in the city council. I'm going to do this on crime. I apologize for Covid. I apologize for bail reform. I'm going to be the guy for everybody now. I'm going to rise above this. And he never did. He only stuck to, you know, Democratic politics. And it makes me think, is he.
Clay Travis
Just kind of a buffoon? I'm shocked at how inept he has been. Ryan, honestly, like for a guy who was the governor, it's, it's like he, and you know, he's like the. Who's the, who's the little blonde haired sort of idiot king in the beginning of Joffrey. Joffrey, he's like, like a little Italian.
Buck Sexton
Version of Joffrey also, by the way, version of Shafi. But also Mom, Donnie has so many vulnerabilities. Like, it's not as if he's got a, you know, like coat of armor on to Buck's point. It just feels like a super incompetent campaign.
Ryan Garduski
It's super incompetent. And you know, I had a dinner with one of, I never said this anybody. I had a dinner with one of Cuomo's advisors and we're sitting there and you know, I run the 1770s project pack, and we're doing well. We have got some money. And he said, would your pack donate 100 grand to the Cuomo campaign? I go, you're known to have a money problem. You have a candidate problem. No, the money in the world not going to fix that. I give Republicans a reason to vote for you, and they just wouldn't. And you know what? I looked at his entire electoral history. He never had a competitive primary one time in his entire life. He never had a competitive general one time in his entire life. And I think that that probably speaks.
Clay Travis
It's amazing. He's just not a good. He's just not a good politician. Is actually what has been exposed in all this. Meaning he's not even good at pretending to be good at things. So that's, that's disconcerting. But yeah. All right, Ryan Garduski, everybody.
Ryan Garduski
Like, we're going to blow past the 20. I mean, we might hit 2024. General election numbers.
Buck Sexton
That's crazy, right? It's crazy wild.
Clay Travis
Go, go check out everybody. It's a numbers game on the Clay and Buck podcast network. Great podcast. Ryan breaks down all of the data. He knows the players, he knows the numbers. You'll learn a lot. You'll impress all your lib friends, all your mom Donnie, voters next door be like, well, only 30% of 20% think that Mamdani is a 100% of the time. Thanks for being with us, Ryan.
Ryan Garduski
Thank you.
Clay Travis
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Buck Sexton
Be the difference news you can count on.
Clay Travis
And some laughs too. Clay Travis at Buck Sexton Find them.
Buck Sexton
On the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Clay Travis
Welcome back into Clay and Buck Rocket Coffee, friends. Busy, busy times in this world of ours. But never too busy for a delicious cup of coffee. Especially one that is going to be donating 10% of its profits at the end of the year to tone the Towers foundation, especially one that celebrates American history and Clay Travis's Balls, the new book that is out today. Balls is the title and you can get some special deals if you subscribe to Crockett. Down the line they're gonna be coming your way. And my book too. So Crockett Coffee.com get your copy of Balls. Get signed up and subscribed. All the good things all the good things are happening at Crockett Coffee. Now we have some calls, which I'm excited about, Jack, in Syracuse, New York, which is getting a little bit brisk this time of year. What's going on, Jack? Hey, I gotta agree with Clay there.
Ryan Garduski
On that plastic bag.
Clay Travis
That was me. I'm Buck. I was the one that was freaking out about the bags, but, you know, close enough. I'm sorry. That's okay.
Ryan Garduski
He's on vacation. Right?
Buck Sexton
I mean.
Clay Travis
Anyway.
Buck Sexton
I'm here, but thanks. Thanks for listening.
Clay Travis
Thank God you guys are there after rush because, I'll tell you, we needed.
Ryan Garduski
You guys, but, you know, Cuomo saved the world, too. You know, we can.
Clay Travis
We can buy our milk and Cool Whip and hell of a good dip or whatever, but we can. We can put them in a plant.
Ryan Garduski
We can't put them in a plastic bag.
Clay Travis
Now, what the heck?
Ryan Garduski
He saved the world, didn't he?
Clay Travis
I. I hate. Thank you for calling in. He agrees with the plastic bag thing. It is idiocy, Clay. It makes no sense. It just makes everyone's life a little more annoying. So that libs can feel good about themselves for no reason. So that lives can feel good about themselves for doing something bad, because it's actually not good for the environment.
Buck Sexton
I also think the whole climate change thing seems like it's collapsing pretty fast. Even we talked about it a little bit. But when Bill Gates comes out and says, actually, sorry, the whole world's not going to end because of climate change, I just think the whole climate catastrophism is going to unravel rapidly in the years ahead, because according to aoc, we should all be underwater right now. And it's clearly not manifesting itself as they claimed it would. And they're going to have to find something else new to be concerned about, even post Trump. What is going to be the catastrophe? Lots of people weighing in. We'll get too many of your comments. Final hour of the program before the election results start to come in. Obviously, we'll tell you all the significance of those election results tomorrow. But, Buck, when we come back, let's kind of go on the record, say where we think we're headed, what we expect to see as all of the votes are coming in. And we encourage you, as always, go vote, go vote. Please go vote across the country, wherever you are. So many important elections, just because we're not talking about every single election that's out there. So many of them, as many of us have learned, are super important. School board, by the way, a lot of elections that matter tremendously to your life.
Clay Travis
Got a lot more coming. Stick around. Election day. Clay and Buck, you know what your customers are doing right this second? The exact same thing.
Buck Sexton
You are listening to me. Which, let's be honest, is kind of flattering.
Clay Travis
But my point Is, ads on iHeartRadio.
Buck Sexton
Actually get heard in the car, at the gym, on the couch, while people are walking their dogs. Who's a good boy?
Clay Travis
Who's a good boy?
Buck Sexton
You're a good boy.
Ryan Garduski
That's right, dude.
Clay Travis
You're good. So why not make the next ad about you?
Buck Sexton
Get started today. Call 844-844-IHEART or go to iheartadvertising.com that's 844-844-iheart or iheartadvertising.com this is an iheart podcast.
Date: November 4, 2025
Host: Clay Travis & Buck Sexton
Guest/Data Guru: Ryan Garduski
Topic: Election Day coverage, political analysis, turnout trends, campaign issues, and humor
In this energetic and fast-paced episode, Clay Travis and Buck Sexton deliver real-time Election Day analysis with particular focus on high-stakes contests in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City. The duo, joined midway by election data analyst Ryan Garduski, tackles voter turnout trends, dissect campaign messages, and use plenty of humor (and an ongoing plastic bag debate) to keep listeners entertained. With Clay’s new book launch ("Balls") in the background, the conversation explores the political climate, key election narratives, and how today's results might forecast future battles in national politics.
"The headline is going to be if Democrats do well tonight, that this is a repudiation of Donald Trump, even though that is not fair because Trump lost Virginia by five and lost New Jersey by five." – Clay Travis [01:53]
"They have screwed up housing in New Jersey so much, it's so expensive to make it because of politicians. And the Democrat just wants to do more of that. ... Grocery bags not complicated, though. Vote Cittarelli." – Buck Sexton [05:32]
“I'm just saying I would be a single issue voter for Jack Ciarli, on the plastic bag thing alone...” – Buck Sexton [05:07]
"The number one way to drive down the price of something is to have more of it. That is the basic laws of economics." – Buck Sexton [06:07]
“Who wants to go through the headache of...half your tenants can say I'm not paying you anymore and you end up paying them to leave after they've, you know, screwed you out of eight months of rent, no doubt.” – Clay Travis [08:42]
“Democrat turnout is gigantic right now...This is probably one of the highest turnout elections and off, off non-pr, non, non presidential, non midterm years, probably ever.” – Ryan Garduski [26:21]
“If there's no ceiling on socialism, AOC is going to look at that and say, okay, it's my time to shine, I'm running for president.” – Ryan Garduski [28:55]
"She ran on only one issue, which was transgender stuff...She needed more than that." – Ryan Garduski [30:37]
“Democrats are voting like it’s a presidential election....Republicans really need to wake up.” – Ryan Garduski [31:47]
“You have a candidate problem. No, the money in the world not going to fix that.” – Ryan Garduski [34:21]
“I just think the whole climate catastrophism is going to unravel rapidly in the years ahead...they're going to have to find something else new to be concerned about.” – Buck Sexton [40:35]
“…It’s like Trump winning in an election. In order to get on the list, you have to be way over the finish line. You have to win by thousands and thousands of votes; you have to win a landslide.” – Buck Sexton [12:47, discussing book sales]
On the election narrative:
“This is going to be seen in some ways as a verdict on the first 10 months or so of Trump 2.0.” – Buck Sexton [01:55]
On plastic bags:
“Paper bags are trash. They are as in they end up in the trash when they break and my milk and my other things fall all over the sidewalk...” – Buck Sexton [05:15]
“I would be a single issue voter for Jack Cittarelli, on the plastic bag thing alone.” – Buck Sexton [05:07]
On campaign choices:
“She ran on only one issue, which was transgender stuff. ... She needed more than that.” – Ryan Garduski re: Winsome Sears [30:37]
On Cuomo’s skills:
“He's just not a good politician...not even good at pretending to be good at things.” – Clay Travis [34:52]
On the potential for a socialist wave:
“If there's no ceiling on socialism, AOC is going to look at that and say, okay, it's my time to shine, I'm running for president.” – Ryan Garduski [28:55]
On climate change narrative collapsing:
“Even we talked about it a little bit. But when Bill Gates comes out and says, actually, sorry, the whole world's not going to end because of climate change, I just think the whole climate catastrophism is going to unravel rapidly...” – Buck Sexton [40:35]
Throughout, Clay and Buck mix serious election analysis with self-deprecating humor, cultural riffs, and occasional sarcasm. They maintain a conversational, lively tone and freely riff on middle America topics (like grocery bags and airport chaos) to humanize political issues. Guest Ryan Garduski brings data-driven gravitas but also joins in the banter and skepticism about elite political skills.
This hour delivers an engaging, punchy mixture of election-night energy, sharp policy critique (especially on regulations and housing), campaign inside baseball, and campaign trail personality dissections. The running joke on plastic bags showcases the show's ability to make even the mundane seem like high-stakes Americana.
Podcast fans: If you’re following election trends, want a data-driven yet irreverent view of today’s politics, or just want to hear memorable rants about grocery bags and government overreach, this episode is for you!