Hour 2 - Trump's Tariffs

Summary

**Summary of "The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show"
Episode: Hour 2 - Trump's Tariffs
Release Date: March 4, 2025
Host/Author: Premiere Networks

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Introduction and Guest Appearance

[00:30] Clay Travis
Clay Travis introduces the second hour of the show, welcoming Bill O'Reilly, a best-selling author and commentator known for his work on "No Spin News" and his "Killing" series. O'Reilly discusses his upcoming "Three Americans Tour" in Long Island, featuring Stephen A. Smith and Chris Cuomo. He emphasizes the unique experiment of bringing together three contrasting personalities to engage a diverse audience.

Notable Quote:
Clay Travis: "We are joined by Uncle Bill... We get a big operation that does live stuff."
Timestamp: [00:30]

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Long Island Tour with Stephen A. and Chris Cuomo

[01:13] Bill O'Reilly
O'Reilly elaborates on the tour, highlighting the dynamic between himself, Stephen A. Smith, and Chris Cuomo. He mentions their differing viewpoints but underscores their mutual respect and sense of humor, aiming to create engaging and entertaining conversations.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "We all have a sense of humor and we're respectful."
Timestamp: [01:13]

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Discussion on Tariffs

[04:58] Clay Travis
Clay shifts the conversation to the pressing issue of tariffs, mentioning Justin Trudeau's strong stance against President Trump's tariff policies. He seeks O'Reilly's expertise to unpack the complexities of the tariffs imposed on Canada, Mexico, and China.

[04:58] Bill O'Reilly
O'Reilly shares his firsthand experience, stating that he attended a Cabinet meeting with President Trump on January 2, where tariffs were a central topic. He explains that tariffs are a strategic move to pressure countries economically, aiming to balance trade deficits and address issues like the fentanyl crisis.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "With Mexico, you're basically saying, you better knock it off or we're going to break your economy."
Timestamp: [04:58]

Mexico Tariffs

O'Reilly explains that the tariffs on Mexico are intended to curb illegal immigration and the flow of fentanyl into the United States. He supports this aggressive stance, viewing it as a necessary measure to protect American families and national security.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "Mexico tariffs... we're going to break your economy."
Timestamp: [04:58]

China Tariffs

He draws parallels with previous trade tensions between the U.S. and China, highlighting that the current tariffs are a continuation of efforts to address long-standing economic imbalances and unfair trade practices by China.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "This is the trade war as a retaliation."
Timestamp: [04:58]

Canada Tariffs and Trudeau’s Response

O'Reilly discusses the somewhat ambiguous rationale behind the tariffs on Canada, noting that while economic exploitation is a factor, the exact reasons remain less clear. He anticipates Trudeau's tough rhetoric but believes Trump's gamble for better deals may eventually stabilize the situation.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "There wasn't a clear definition of why Canada and certain EU countries are going to be punished by tariffs."
Timestamp: [05:00]

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Zelensky and Trump's Interaction

[07:37] Ryan Seacrest
Ryan transitions to the recent controversial interaction between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. He inquires about O'Reilly's take on the fallout and the broader implications for U.S. politics.

[07:37] Bill O'Reilly
O'Reilly recounts an instance where Trump vocally criticized him during a phone call, highlighting the President's tendency to express dissatisfaction openly. He contrasts this with Trump's willingness to seek counsel post-conflict. Regarding Zelensky, O'Reilly criticizes him as "immature" and doubtful of Ukraine's ability to defeat Russia despite substantial financial support.

Notable Quotes:
Bill O'Reilly: "Zelensky has not crossed into the personal realm... he's immature."
Timestamp: [07:37]

Bill O'Reilly: "He walks into the White House and he's all set to sign this deal... he got emotional."
Timestamp: [09:30]

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Political Polarization and Pop Culture

[24:04] Clay Travis
Clay introduces a discussion on the portrayal of Trump voters in the HBO show "White Lotus." He and Ryan analyze how the show depicts Trump supporters, noting a shift from previous stereotypes to more nuanced and diverse representations.

[24:04] Bill O'Reilly
O'Reilly reflects on how political dynamics have evolved, acknowledging that Trump voters are no longer the caricatured "unintelligible rednecks" but include wealthy, educated individuals. He underscores the importance of recognizing that a significant portion of the population supports Trump, challenging the left's perceptions.

Notable Quote:
Bill O'Reilly: "More than half the country voted for Trump... It's not about getting Trump."
Timestamp: [26:02]

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Justin Trudeau’s Speech on Tariffs

[31:41] Clay Travis
Clay plays a clip of Justin Trudeau addressing the outrage over U.S. tariffs. Trudeau criticizes the tariffs as harmful to American families and counterproductive to fostering a new golden age for the U.S., while also undermining cooperation on issues like fentanyl.

[31:41] Ryan Seacrest
Ryan listens to Trudeau's remarks, highlighting the Canadian perspective on the trade war initiated by U.S. tariffs.

Notable Quote:
Justin Trudeau (Clip): "They've chosen to launch a trade war that will first and foremost harm American families."
Timestamp: [31:41]

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Practical Implications and Future Outlook

[33:09] Ryan Seacrest
Ryan and Clay delve deeper into the practical impacts of tariffs, discussing national security concerns, fentanyl trafficking, and the broader economic repercussions. They question the long-term effectiveness of tariffs, pondering what success would look like in this trade war.

[33:09] Clay Travis
Clay emphasizes the need for reciprocity in trade agreements and criticizes the notion that tariffs are universally detrimental, pointing out that countries like China, Canada, and the EU have imposed tariffs on U.S. goods despite common economic arguments against them.

Notable Quote:
Clay Travis: "What does success look like on tariffs? I don't know the answer to that."
Timestamp: [33:09]

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Conclusion and Wrap-Up

The hosts summarize the discussion, reiterating the complexities of the current tariff policies and their implications for U.S.-Canada-China relations. They express anticipation for the upcoming State of the Union address, expecting President Trump to outline his vision for resolving these issues.

Notable Quote:
Clay Travis: "He's going to try to rally everybody together around the vision because once the problems are fixed, sky's the limit."
Timestamp: [43:54]

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Key Takeaways

• Bill O'Reilly's Tour: A unique collaboration with Stephen A. Smith and Chris Cuomo aimed at engaging a diverse audience.

• Tariffs as Strategic Tools: Tariffs on Mexico, China, and Canada are seen as necessary measures to address economic imbalances and national security threats, despite their potential short-term economic drawbacks.

• Zelensky Criticism: O'Reilly views Ukrainian President Zelensky as emotionally immature and skeptical of Ukraine's ability to win against Russia despite international support.

• Shift in Pop Culture Perception: The portrayal of Trump voters has evolved from stereotypes to more complex and educated demographics, reflecting a broader societal change.

• Justin Trudeau's Opposition: Trudeau condemns U.S. tariffs as harmful to American families and counterproductive to mutual goals like combating fentanyl.

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Notable Quotes with Timestamps

• Bill O'Reilly on Market Impact:
  "It's risky. Stock market's down significantly. People don't really understand what tariffs are."
  [04:58]

• Clay on Reciprocal Tariffs:
  "Why does China have all these tariffs against US Goods? Why does Canada have all these tariffs?"
  [34:43]

• O'Reilly on Political Motivation:
  "Murphy is going out saying, this is what Murphy is saying. I want to destroy Donald Trump and I'm going to use anything and everything to try to do that."
  [11:17]

• Clay on State of the Union Expectations:
  "He's going to try to rally everybody together around the vision because once the problems are fixed, sky's the limit in Trump world."
  [43:54]

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This episode of "The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show" offers an in-depth analysis of the current tariff policies under President Trump, the political maneuvering surrounding them, and their broader implications for U.S. international relations and domestic politics. Through engaging dialogue with Bill O'Reilly, listeners gain valuable insights into the strategies and potential outcomes of the ongoing trade tensions.

Transcript

[Ryan Seacrest]

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[Clay Travis]

All right, second hour of clay and Buck kicks off now. We are joined by Uncle Bill. Very exciting. Bill O'Reilly, best selling author and commentator, no Spin News. Go check out what he's got there. And also many, many bestsellers. Too many to read off on radio, but the last one was Confronting the Presidents and you all know the Killing series very well. He's also got the three Americans tour on kicking off March 30th in Long Island. So Bill, tell us, let's, let's jump into this actually, because this was news to Clay and to me it sounds like it's going to be a lot of fun. You, Stephen A. And Chris Cuomo all under one roof, all talking to the folks. What's going on?

[Bill O'Reilly]

Yeah, you guys got to get out. I got tickets for you if you want to make the trek up to Long Island. It's an experiment. It's my production company and as you may know, I produced the History Tour with Donald Trump, the Dennis Miller O'Reilly Show. So we got, we got a big operation that does live stuff. And I said, you know, I wonder if we could put three really different guys together on stage and draw a crowd that is dissimilar because today everybody's talking to the choir, you know. And so I put this tour together. It's going to be a blast. I mean the show is going to be fabulous and we'll have heavy security so brawls break out in the, in the audience. We'll be able to get that under control fast. But I'm looking forward to it. You guys may have seen Stephen A. And Cuomo and me on News Nation. We will be on tonight on the pre Trump speech. So it's a good crew. Those guys are, you know, I see it differently than they do, but we all have a sense of humor and we're respectful.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Bill, appreciate you coming on. I, I'm super intrigued to see how this conversation goes. I'm curious on this, how Would you assess Stephen A's motivations? Because for much of his career, he was a straight sports guy. And not to say that he didn't have interest elsewhere, but he didn't really step aggressively into the political arena. I would say he's been on with me. We've done some conversations last couple of years. Suddenly that has changed. Subst. Now maybe you can say, hey, 2024, it's just kind of impossible to avoid the political arena. But to a large extent, he had tried to avoid it. Why do you think he's changed?

[Bill O'Reilly]

Yeah, Terry Bradshaw avoids it. So, you know, look, he's 57 years old. He's a very, very smart guy. He's at the top of the heap for sports. How many, you know, Cleveland Cavalier games can you call? I mean, so I think you get a little bored with it. He has an opportunity into public affairs, public policy, because he's so recognizable and articulate, and he's taking advantage of that. And this happened before. People have, you know, melded sports with news. And I think it's a smart move on his part. And he's so articulate that now the Washington Post and all these people are going, well, maybe Stephen will run for president, because Democratic Party don't have anybody, doesn't have anybody to run for president in four years, so maybe it'll be Stephen A. And I told him on the air, I said, that's because of Trump. Trump opened up the presidency for everybody. And so Stephen A. Has got a lot of traction with all this, and we'll see what he's got on March 30, you know, because he's coming up against me.

[Clay Travis]

Bill, if I could direct your attention here for a second, I'm really curious what your take is on all this tariff stuff. We haven't really dove into it yet today on the show. I mean, we mentioned at the top, but we haven't really done our full segment on it. So just by way of prepping everybody for what you're going to say, you got Justin Trudeau, who's talking tough and saying that Trump wants to take over all of Canada, destroy their economy, Mexico tariffs, China tariffs, Canada tariffs, all this stuff. What do you make of this whole thing? Because I think it's tough to. To keep up with a lot of the arguments and a lot of the specifics.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Well, I know exactly what's going on, because on January 2, I sat in a Cabinet meeting with President Trump and six advisers, and they discussed tariffs. So I know what's going on there. It's risky. Stock market's down significantly. People don't really understand what tariffs are. With Mexico, you're basically saying, you better knock it off or we're going to break your economy. And I understand that, and I support that. Canada, a little bit different. I'm not sure what the ire is. Now, in the Cabinet meeting that I attended, and that was at President Trump's invitation, there wasn't a clear definition of why Canada and certain EU countries are going to be punished by tariffs. The overarch is that all of these countries take advantage of the United States economically, which is true. So we buy a lot more gear from them than they buy from us. And their governments make it difficult for us to sell American products. In a lot of these countries, that really torques Trump off. He wants that to go away, but in the meantime, he risks higher prices, and that'll be a disaster for him if that happens. And, you know, the trade war is a retaliation. Little Justin Trudeau is out strutting around tonight today about what we're going to do. X, Y and Z. I expect this will all calm down, but there is damage being done to the economy now, and I believe President Trump knows that. He's a gambler. He wants better deals. But you got to watch this on an almost hourly basis.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Bill, I agree with you on tariffs. We'll get into that a little bit on the show. But how would you analyze what happened Friday with Zelinsky? Um, you've known Trump for a long time. I would even bet that sometimes you may have gotten a little bit heated with President Trump yourself over different perspectives that you guys may have gotten, you know, crosswise on a little bit. Um, one thing Trump always shows is the guy doesn't hold a grudge, which is so rare in politics, it almost doesn't exist. What is going on here? What was your takeaway from Friday and the subsequent reactions to that?

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay, so, again, I'm right in the middle of this, because I know exactly what's happening here, and you're correct. I mean, when I criticize President Trump, I get a call or a tech. I got a call in the middle of a football game at Tottenham Stadium in London in October, and he was actually yelling at me. And I said, do you realize 80,000 people are hearing this call? I had the phone on speaker because I'm in a stadium watching the jets play the Vikings, and he's yelling at me. Me. I don't care. You're unfair. You know, that kind of thing. But, you know, a week later, then he's seeking my counsel. And you're right, he's not a vindictive man when it's policy. When it gets personal, though, watch out. Now, Zelensky has not crossed into the personal realm. So don't be surprised if tonight some deal is announced or a few days from now, and then the big Z will be the greatest guy, because that's what Trump does. If he wins and you give him what he wants, then you are the greatest guy. And we've seen it time and time and time again. Now, Zelinsky, he's immature. That's number one. Everybody listening to Clay and Buck has got to know that he's immature. And by that I mean that he doesn't. He's not able to control his emotions. And if you're not able to control your emotions, you're immature. So he walks into the White House and he's all set to sign this deal. He had breakfast with 11 senators at the Hay Adams Hotel in D.C. i knew about that. And this was drove me crazy when it story broke and these pundits go out and said it was a setup. Remember that? Yeah, I knew that was a lie. And I knew that anybody doing any research on that would have found out what I found out that this would do as a big breakfast. Eleven senators, Republicans and Democrats. And it was, look, just go along with Donald Trump. Do not challenge him, particularly in front of the press. That was the advice. Every single senator gave him the same advice and he didn't take it because he got emotional. And I understand that his country is suffering. I believe that Zelensky wants to do well by his country. I don't believe he's a corrupt midget or whatever they call him. I don't believe that. But I don't think he's at the status right now where he understands the big picture. He's immature. And he will not accept the fact that Ukraine cannot defeat Russia, period. They cannot win. No matter how many billions of dollars we send them an EU sends them, they can't win. So you want this to go on ad infinitum, then you strut around, you want to settle it, you're going to have to give up a little bit of territory, maybe 8, 9% of your country.

[Clay Travis]

Bill, can I ask you, because I think this is really important. The people that you know, you've said you've articulated this well, Clay and I have talked about this. We, you, me, Clay, we all see this in the same way, which is, I think, just reality based. The Opposition to this? Is it just opposition to Trump getting a win? Is it just the emotions of supporting Ukraine and putting a little flag on your Facebook page is too exciting for people to give up? Because it seems to me, if Ukraine can't win and if we don't want to keep paying for this for years ad infinitum, as you say, what is the alternative to what Trump is trying to accomplish right now?

[Bill O'Reilly]

Look, when you see a guy like Murphy, the senator, go out and say what he said about Trump is, you know, part of the Kremlin or whatever, Ukraine has nothing to do with that. Murphy is going out saying, this is what Murphy is saying. I want to destroy Donald Trump and I'm going to use anything and everything to try to do that. Murphy doesn't know anything about Ukraine. He has no solution to it. I mean, if Murphy sat across from me, do you guys know what would happen? Remember Barney Frank?

[Clay Travis]

Oh, yeah.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay, I do. All right. I mean, I would. It would take me three minutes to reduce him to a puddle because he doesn't know anything. But he uses this and so do many others to try to destroy Trump. Not about Ukraine. It's about getting Trump.

[Clay Travis]

I mean, that is just so cynical, even for Democrats. You got people just in a meat grinder dying in huge numbers on both sides.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Call Murphy up, get him on tomorrow. And you won't.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Come on.

[Clay Travis]

You're.

[Ryan Seacrest]

You're right about this.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Come on.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Of course he won't come on. None of these guys will come on and actually answer questions. Because to your point, we would slice and dice them to such an extent that they would be done.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Have to think about it. All you have to do is ask one question. What's the alternative? How would you settle this? And it's crackers and that. Dana Cash on cnn, I used to respect her. She's the one that put him on, and she didn't even ask him that question. By the way, Bill is going down a drain. That's why nobody watches it.

[Ryan Seacrest]

No, they have totally and completely collapsed. Question for you. That has nothing to do with all the serious things. You mentioned that you were over in London watching a football game. I've done that, too. Pretty fun. Actual American football, not soccer. Where should Aaron Rodgers go? What if he called you for advice instead of President Trump? What would you tell him to do? There's talk that he's going to go to the Giants now.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Nah, he's not going to Giants. He's through in New York. If I were Mr. Rogers, who does have some skills Left, you got to go to a team that can protect you. And I probably would look at some of the west coast teams. He lives in Malibu, which is not a great place to live right now, unless you have giant fire retardants. Yes, But I would, you know, I would probably go to Vegas because Brady owns it. Part of it. That's where I probably go. You take a couple of guys with you from the jets receivers and you pray that the Raider offensive line can keep you upstanding. You know, you got four seconds to throw the ball. He can't move. You need four seconds. He gets four. He can throw it. So that's probably what I would do.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Bill, I'm actually really curious to hear how this thing goes. We'll have to get you on with. With Stephen A. And Chris Cuomo to. To hear how it all goes. When you guys. Is the tour interesting?

[Clay Travis]

Is the tour gonna. Are you gonna do some extra cities or is it just out on Long Island?

[Ryan Seacrest]

Are you gonna.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I might. I might do it. We gotta see how this works. I'm. I'm shooting it, so you. I'll send you some clips. We got a three camera shoot on it. And I got to see because we're all very busy and you know, look, I'm 95 years old. How long can I do this country business? But if it goes really well, then I'll do some other cities, but it just depends on how it shakes. So again, it's March 30, Sunday afternoon. 3. Because there'll be old people coming to see me. I don't want to keep them up too late. And I promise this will be one of the best shows that you have ever seen. Is better than Taylor Swift. Okay.

[Clay Travis]

I would be there, Bill, but I'm expecting a baby within days of the event. So I think I gotta. I gotta hug her down. But Clay has no. Clay has no excuse.

[Ryan Seacrest]

And he loves to be honest with you, Bill. I like you, but I think I'd rather go see Taylor Swift.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Oh, you're out of your mind. You're crazy. This is so much better. And you know, I may sing. I may. Oh, no. Warble a few tunes. And I'm glad you're having a baby because my kids. Best thing I've ever done. My son just got into Georgetown. Awesome congrats program. He's going to be president someday.

[Clay Travis]

We would not be surprised. We not. Does he. Is he also 6, 7? Because that helps in politics.

[Bill O'Reilly]

He's 6 5. He's a lacrosse player. But the most important thing. He's honest and he's kind and his personality is not at all like mine, which makes him one lucky guy.

[Clay Travis]

Bill O'Reilly, everybody. Bill, thank you so much as always. Let's have, let's talk again before the event to make sure everybody, we got a big Long island listenership. Let's make sure we get a lot of folks out there because then Clay's gonna make you go to Nashville. And, you know, we're gonna, we're gonna take this thing on the road. Thanks for sure.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Appreciate it. Bye.

[Ryan Seacrest]

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Dial pound 250, say Clay and Buck. Dial pound 250 from your phone, say Clay and Buck. All right, so welcome back to Clay and Buck. We had mentioned this. We'll just spend a couple minutes on this, then we're gonna get into the tariffs and the big news. But I just, I think it is interesting because we, we both watch this show because our wives like the show. And it's good enough that we enjoy it, too. White Lotus on. On hbo. And there was a scene where these three. You could tell there are three women of means in there. I'd say they're all about 45ish, right? Maybe. I think that's about 45. And. And they figure out while they're. And they're in this five star resort in Thailand, which is where the whole show is set, and they figure out. Wait a second. One's from la, one's from New York, one is from Austin, Texas. Now Texas, obviously, Red, but Austin, you never know. This is how the exchange goes. Play it. I didn't know you went to church. Oh, yeah, we go every Sunday. Yeah, ever since we moved to Austin. Is it like a real Texan church? Like with Bible thumpers and. Well, the people are, you know, more conservative than like LA people or like New York. Is that weird for you? Why would it be weird?

[Bill O'Reilly]

I don't know. If I was just around a bunch of Texans who voted for Trump, I guess I'd just feel a little alienated.

[Clay Travis]

They're nice people, really good families.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Cool.

[Clay Travis]

But do you ever talk politics with them? Sometimes. It doesn't get awkward. Why would it? Because. Wait, are you a Republican?

[Ryan Seacrest]

No.

[Clay Travis]

Okay, I'm an independent. But Dave is an independent.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Since when?

[Clay Travis]

You didn't vote for Trump though, did you? Are we really going to talk about Trump tonight, Clay?

[Ryan Seacrest]

I just love this whole scene, Buck.

[Clay Travis]

I have had versions of that. Like, that is exactly how it goes. The libs keep digging in, digging a little more. They're a little outraged, but they, they want that reassurance. Wait, wait, wait. I've been. I mean, I've been on first dates where it was like that, except it was. Wait, you work, you work for Glenn Beck like that? Glenn Beck. What do you do? You like guns? And I'm like, yes, that's Glenn Beck. And I love guns. And that was the end. There was no second date.

[Ryan Seacrest]

I bet there are hundreds of thousands of people out there listening to us right now, maybe even millions that have had a conversation that is very similar to that. Because 12 million more people voted for Trump in 2024 than 2016. A lot of people have come on board the Trump train and I think women in particular probably are responding to that because you got the la. And let me say this, Buck, this is why I think this is significant. This is probably the most popular show for entertainment people in LA and New York. Would you guess like everybody in the entertainment industry in those Two cities watching this show. Yes. And they aren't playing. Now, Austin, Texas, not the. I think a lot of you out there are like, Austin, it should have.

[Clay Travis]

She should have been from Dallas or, or Houston. Austin would be. That would throw you off. Yeah.

[Ryan Seacrest]

But again, the, the vibe read is not perfect. But what I thought was interesting is. And there's a later scene where the women are talking about this other woman and they're, like, gossiping about her. How in the world could she be voting Trump? They're not playing the Trump voter as the cheap laughs, stupid redneck unintelligible.

[Clay Travis]

They're not going. They're not going. Tom Hanks from snl.

[Ryan Seacrest]

That's right.

[Clay Travis]

Where he really, he really just unfunny and took cheap shots. And they're not even. It's just pathetic because the cheap shots don't even land. And it just showed that he's living in some alternate political reality. But no, that's, that's. What's so interesting is, is the Trump voter woman. If you watch this scene, you know, all three of the women are like, you know, they're very attractive, they're very well dressed. Right. So there's no.

[Ryan Seacrest]

They're wealthy, they're very successful, educated women.

[Clay Travis]

But the Trump voter is the most, at least in this exchange. Now there's more episodes to come, and for all we know, she could have, like, a pill addiction and be crazy. You know, this.

[Ryan Seacrest]

And by the way, she could end up being the killer. They could still favor, you know, the awful, deranged Trump supporter.

[Clay Travis]

But, but they nailed the, they nailed the dynamic of Democrats for a long time. Now, think in any social situation, in any, Whether you're in the workplace, whether you're at a, you know, a friend's barbecue, a cocktail party, if they are surprised to find a Trump voter or a Republican, which, same thing now. But in the midst, they think that they're allowed to take some kind of umbrage and put you through some interrogation. Whereas on the other side, it's like, yeah, you voted for Kamala. Like, sorry, you don't have good judgment, but enjoy your burger. Like, we don't care.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Yeah, that's right. That's right. And this reminds me of Adam Carolla. And I guarantee you there's a lot of our listeners in California right now that are nodding along in a big way. What I found in Corolla mentioned this on the air with his buck is that that there are a lot of people who are working on shows, the grips, the camera guys, the set builders, who will come up and say privately, like, man, thank you for what you're saying. Like, you nailed it, right? Like, in other words, the people standing in front of the camera oftentimes are, are more outspoken politically on the left. A lot of the people that put these shows on that make them physically possible are actually Trump supporters. And the other thing about this is increasingly buck, a lot of people who stand in front of the camera are still kind of hiding, but they're also starting to take like that half step out where we mentioned this with, like, comedians. There are a lot of comedians out there that are Trump supporting comedians. A lot of the people that you watch and like, but they don't really want. And I get it, if my job was to talk to a hundred percent of people and make them laugh, I wouldn't want to come out stridently, necessarily on one political side of the equation or not, if I had everybody. This is my argument with Michael Jordan back in the day. Republicans buy sneakers too. Why were you not political? Like, I'm a great basketball player. Why would I want 50% of the population to like me less as a basketball player because of my politics? Doesn't make any sense to me. But I do think this is a super popular show and it is indicative of a major vibe shift. And I don't know how many of you watch it, but I guarantee you, if you're in New York City or LA media entertainment circles, this is probably the show that they watch more than any other. And it struck me on Sunday, it struck buck too. We wanted to play that for you. Even if you don't watch it as what the vibe shift can feel like.

[Clay Travis]

You know, you know, five years ago or maybe even two years ago, maybe even six months ago, the Trump voter in a pop culture context on an HBO show would have been, you know, yeah, like, I don't know anything, but I just love America and have my flag. You know, it would have been mockery. It would have been much more likely to be, oh, aren't they? They're right to be outraged that this woman voted for Trump or that, you know, we're led to believe she voted for Trump. Whereas now, so what it exposed a little more was these libs, these left wingers are living in this delusion where they don't realize that more than half the country voted for Trump. And they probably know a lot of people who voted for Trump.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Not only that, too. Some of you out there always say, I don't know why you watch a show like, like, I watch lots of shows where people might hate my politics because I think I can appreciate somebody's talent in something while also recognizing that they may not have the same opinion as me. I don't presume that everybody is going to think the exact same as me. Doesn't mean I can't like a movie or a television show or, or a sport for that matter. But I do think that this is emblematic of a recognition that there are a lot of people like you and me, Buck, out there. And I bet there's a ton of women who love White Lotus, too, that almost, in fact, I go into my mentions. I bet, I bet you've had a conversation almost identical to what those three women just had at some point over the last eight years. I think huge majorities of the women listening to us right now who voted Trump have had a conversation like that with their girlfriends. I think more women than men.

[Clay Travis]

Speaking of women who drink too much Chardonnay, Justin Trudeau, here he is.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Amazing transition.

[Clay Travis]

Thank you. Here he is on the tariff issue. He was in Ottawa, Canada today, and he's, he's very upset. He is not having a good one here. Very upset with the tariffs. And this is what he says is going to happen. Play one.

[Ryan Seacrest]

They've chosen to launch a trade war that will first and foremost harm American families. They've chosen to sabotage their own agenda that was supposed to usher in a.

[Clay Travis]

New golden age for the United States.

[Ryan Seacrest]

And they've chosen to undermine the incredible work we've done together to tackle the scourge that is fentanyl, a drug that must be wiped from the face of the earth. So on that point, let me be crystal clear. There is absolutely no justification or need whatsoever for these tariffs today.

[Clay Travis]

Clay, how much of what's going on? Bill O'Reilly mentioned this earlier in the hour. It was great interview. Go back and listen if you missed it on the Clay and Buck podcast, how much of this we know, Mexico, there's, there's very real national security, fentanyl, economic, a whole range of issues that the tariffs touch on there that we, you know, that's its own set of things with Canada. How much of this is just Trump wants to give Justin Trudeau a wedgie and push him into the locker in front of everybody. You know, I wonder how much of this is driven by just teaching Trudeau a lesson.

[Ryan Seacrest]

I think it's an interesting question. The tariff debate in general is a difficult one because I don't know where the end goal actually rests. Buck Whereas I can tell you, hey, Trump definitely wants a cease fire in Ukraine and he wants there to be peace there and he wants peace in the Middle East. What is the sweet spot on the tariff? I don't have an answer on that.

[Clay Travis]

That. Right.

[Ryan Seacrest]

I don't have a direct answer. Obviously, big picture it is we need to manufacture more goods in the United States. We need more jobs in the United States. I understand that. But in terms of practical impact, what is the sweet spot where he would say, hey, you know what? This is where we're getting the balance that we want. I don't know it. And so I think that is the more challenging aspect of this. I do think that Trump feels that, that Canada and Mexico have taken advantage of the United States and trade agreements for some time. And I do think he's accurate about that and that we have bled to a large extent a lot of our manufacturing jobs as a result. I think he's correct about that. And that Mexico is not doing enough to stop the flow of fentanyl, which is killing 1 0,000 people a year in the United States. All of those things. True. China facilitating that as well. But what does success look like there? Success in Ukraine is no more, no more people dying. Success in the Middle east is no more war. What is success on tariffs? I don't know the answer to that. Border success is nobody crossing illegally, which we got.

[Clay Travis]

I think what Trump wants ultimately is reciprocity from these countries because there are a lot of tariffs that they have against U.S. goods. And this is where people in this argument, you know, I understand we're told by the, the economic expert industrial complex that tariffs are a tax and tariffs are bad and tariffs can't, won't help us. Right. There's still, I think, a pretty broad sense of that going on. And yet why does, why does China have all these tariffs against US Goods? Why does Canada have all these tariffs? Why does the EU have all these tariffs against US Goods? If it's so manifestly not advantageous to have tariffs, why do these countries have them against us? And Clay, I think that also leads to what Trump wants is for them not to do that. And so by saying, and this is a little bit like the trade war issue with China from the first Trump administration, people kept saying, oh no, he's going to start a trade war with China. Anybody who understood the US China trade situation would tell you we were already in a trade war. It's just they were fighting it and we were getting the short end of the stick. So, you know, instead of a one way trade War. All of a sudden, it turned into both. People would were playing hardball. So I think that's just his baseline mentality on this. But it might get a little rocky here. Everyone. And I went. I went yesterday. I didn't. I couldn't find any eggs in the grocery store. Do you ever see. Have you had that yet? I gotta get.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Probably not gonna shock you, Buck, but I do not do a great deal of shopping for the Travis family when it comes to groceries.

[Clay Travis]

When was the last time. When was the last time Laura sent you solo to the grocery store for.

[Ryan Seacrest]

More than one or two things? Yeah, like 15 years ago. I mean, like, I've gone to buy diapers. I've gone to buy, like. I mean, she sends me with pictures of things that I need to buy on an individual basis, but I don't think I've been to the grocery store and, like, filled an entire grocery cart in, like, maybe in our entire marriage. I don't. But certainly in, like, 15 years.

[Clay Travis]

Oh, man, this is. This is good stuff. All right, a week from tomorrow, I'm doing something exciting with my dad, appearing online in a conversation you don't want to miss. This has far more to do with my father's expertise than mine, but you're going to find it really interesting and you could benefit big time. Look, I grew up in New York City. As you know, my dad made his living researching and predicting the stock market. He was good at it, too. In his line of work, you're a hero if your predictions don't come or if your predictions come true. If they don't. You got a fair amount of additional homework to do and some explaining. But thankfully, dad was right on the big ones. All that to say, next Wednesday, I'm hosting that video seminar with my dad where he'll make another big forecast on the markets. Write this date down. March 12th at 11:00am Eastern, 8:00am on the west Coast. It'll be online in video form and super easy for you to register free of charge online. Modesty aside, my dad created quite a name for himself on Wall street with his biggest prediction back in 87, when he called the crash in advance by 11 days. He also called the crash for his clients in 2009. These predictions are too numerous to get into in all the details right now. So go register for the upcoming conversation on March 12th on online, and you'll see it's just an hour before this program starts that day. To sign up for the free event, it's a free event. To sign up, go to disruption2025.com that's disruption2025.com paid for by Paradigm Press.

[Ryan Seacrest]

News you can count on, and some laughs too.

[Clay Travis]

Clay Travis and Buck Sexton.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you you get your podcasts what does the future hold for business? Ask nine experts, you'll get 10 answers. A bull market, A bear market. Inflation's going up, coming down. Can someone please invent a crystal ball?

[Clay Travis]

Until then, over 41,000 businesses have future proof their business with NetSuite by Oracle. The number one Cloud ERP bringing accounting, financial management, inventory, HR, all of it into one fluid platform with one unified business management suite. There's one source of truth giving you the visibility and control you need to make quick decisions.

[Ryan Seacrest]

NetSuite gives you real time insights and forecasting your peering into your business's future with actionable data.

[Clay Travis]

Whether your company is earning millions or even hundreds of millions, NetSuite helps you respond to immediate challenges and seize your biggest opportunities. Download the CFO's Guide to AI and Machine Learning at netsuite.com clayandbuck the guide is free to you at netsuite.com Clay Ann Buck that's N E T S U I T E. You don't get on a boat when it's already sinking and you don't buy gold when the economy lands in the wrong spot. Clearly others are heeding this advice as gold hit all time highs in the first weeks of 2025. It's not too late for you too. The company I trust to help you diversify into physical gold is Birchgold. The same one I use. Birch Gold specializes in helping you convert an existing IRA or 401k into a tax sheltered IRA in physical gold for no money out of pocket. Just listen to this five star review. Knowledgeable, helpful, non pressure. That's what you get with Birch Gold. Get your free info kit on Gold by texting the name buck to the number 989-898. There is no obligation, just useful information with an A rating from the Better Business bureau and countless five star reviews. Text my name Buck to 989898 to let the experts at Birchgold help you secure your future today with Gold.

[Ryan Seacrest]

You voted big Government out and efficient government in. Well now it's time to trim the fat from big Wireless as well. If you're still on Verizon, AT&T or T Mobile, make the switch.

[Clay Travis]

Switch to PureTalk, my cell phone company. PureTalk gives you the exact same service on the exact same towers with Better customer service. That's because they're based right here in the US all for half the cost.

[Ryan Seacrest]

There's simply no need to spend 85 or $100 per person on your wireless bill. Not when you can get unlimited Talk, text and 15 gigs of data with mobile hotspot for just 35 bucks a month.

[Clay Travis]

The average size family of four saves about a thousand dollars a year with Pure Talk while enjoying America's most dependable 5G network. There's no contract, no activation fee. You can even keep your phone and your number.

[Ryan Seacrest]

Go to PureTalk.com Clay that's PureTalk.com Clay. You'll save an additional 50% off your first month. PureTalk, America's wireless company. Grand Canyon University, a private Christian university in beautiful Phoenix, Arizona, believes we're endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. GCU believes in equal opportunity and the American Dream starts with purpose. GCU equips you to serve others in ways that promote human flourishing and create a ripple effect of transformation for generations to come. By honoring your career, calling you impact your family, your friends and your community, you can change the world for good by putting others before yourself to glorify God. Whether your pursuit involves a bachelor's, master's or doctoral degree, GCU's online, on campus and hybrid learning environments are designed to help you achieve your unique academic, personal and professional goals. With over 340 academic programs as of September 2024, GCU meets you where you are and provides a path to help you fulfill your dreams. The pursuit to serve others is yours. Let it flourish. Find your purpose at Grand Canyon University. Private, Christian affordable. Visit GCU Edu. Welcome back in Clay. Travis Buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you. Buck, you are about to head to the airport. Join me up here. We got a bunch of advertiser meetings that we're going to be doing in Nashville. I hope that you have fueled up on Crockett Coffee to prepare yourself for the departure that is imminent. Crockettcoffee.com Code book for an autograph copy of the book. And are you excited to get to Nashville? The weather is not brutal, but you're leaving perfection for just okayness.

[Clay Travis]

That's kind of how I feel in general. You know, I got Miami. It's like an A in Nashville for me is like a solid B plus. No, I, I, I like, I actually like Nashville a lot. It would be if I couldn't, if I couldn't live in Miami, it would certainly be a top three choice for me going forward. So I, I always like spending time in Nashville. Tennessee is in fact, a great state, not just because you're from there, but it is, in fact, a great state.

[Ryan Seacrest]

It's a fabulous spot. Be safe on your trip, by the way. 800-282-2882. If you guys want to weigh in on a variety of the topics that we have been discussing so far, we'll dive into what to expect tonight from the president's State of the Union, not officially a State of the Union and address. And I expect it to go pretty well. Did he predictions from you, Buck, on Trump's big speech tonight, what you expect to see or how you expect it to go?

[Clay Travis]

It's going to be a Trump Tastic performance, probably amazing. I think, I think he's going to just do what he does. I think part of this is going to give an opportunity, give him an opportunity to explain what the real vision is for ending the war with Ukraine, Russia, what the vision is with the tariffs. And he might have to tell people, and I think we should be prepared for this, that, you know, change is not, it's not all gonna run smoothly. Everyone. It's not gonna all good people saying, oh, look, the stock market's down today. We might have a whole lot more of that before things get better. I mean, there might be some tough weeks, maybe even some tough months ahead. But to fix these problems is going to, it's necessary. And Clay, I think he's gonna try to rally everybody together around the vision because once the problems are fixed, sky's the limit in Trump world.

[Ryan Seacrest]

No doubt. See you tomorrow here in Nashville. And we'll be back for another hour with y'all.