Transcript
Clay Travis (0:00)
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Buck Sexton (2:06)
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First of all, the fallout of what happened in the Texas primary on Tuesday has led to reports that President Trump is potentially going to endorse and that he is ready to have a nominee in the Senate in Texas. What is that telling us about the landscape in general? I think it is that President Trump is really seriously focused on preserving the majority in the Senate. The House, I think, is going to be more challenging because there are a lot of different races to focus on in the Senate. We've got a 53, 47 advantage for the Republicans right now. Given that J.D. vance breaks the ties, that means that Democrats would have to pick up four different seats. And if you look at the way the landscape of the different states are setting up, Maine is going to be tough for Susan Collins. That is a blue state that I know they break it up and that there is a red part of that blue state. But Susan Collins seems to be almost the only Republican that can win in Maine right now. You've got a really difficult race shaping up in North Carolina. Open Senate seat. Michael Watley is going to be going up against Roy Cooper. Roy Cooper is a popular former governor who has been elected statewide before. So that is going to be a, a, a tough battle. And then you've got Georgia, which is probably the best opportunity of Republicans to pick off an existing seat where Ossoff is running. But you start to run through all these different maps and it almost becomes impossible for Democrats to win control of the Senate if Texas is preserved. And so I think President Trump is making a calculated decision about what exactly he wants to do to preserve that Senate majority. And you say, okay, what's going on with that Senate majority? I think there's a decent chance, Buck, that one of the older Supreme Court justices, maybe even more than one of the older Supreme Court justices, decides to step down. Given the fact that we have basic majority, gets a Supreme Court justice, life tenure. I don't know how long it's going to be until Republicans have control of the Senate and the presidency again. Might happen this year, but you would like to have it happen for the next couple of years, given the ages that everybody is in the Senate right now. So there's going to be a lot of focus on the House and we know what they will do. They will impeach. It will become difficult to get anything through Congress at all. I would argue it's very difficult to get everything through Congress now. But Ken Paxton, who we just reached out to, to invite on the program, has just said he would drop out of the Senate race if the SAVE act were passed and they ended the filibuster in order to do so. I think this is an intriguing political situation that we're in because John Thune, now the leader of the Senate, is put on the hot seat a bit here because he knows that basically his preservation of a Senate majority is almost guaranteed if they pass the SAVE Act. But that is the, that is the challenge that we face. And again, we have an offer out to Paxton. There have been reports that Trump is going to endorse Cornyn, the sitting incumbent. One bit of update for all of you out there. There is a live press conference update in Austin, Texas on the shooter that killed multiple people in an Austin nightclub bar shooting scene. And so we were run, we are running on that and we will get you an update on that information. Although, Buck, I think, as we said on the program, when you show up in a Iranian T shirt, kind of a suggestion that maybe you're acting out as a basis of terrorism for that behavior. So we will, we will talk about all of that. Now, what's your assessment here, Buck, as you analyze this? Again, the Texas Senate, to me, it's the, the larger story here is President Trump sees that Texas Senate seat, if it's in Republican hands, the map just doesn't add up for, for Democrats very easily. Maybe you get Maine, maybe you get North Carolina, you might be favored there. But then you would have to flip Ohio, you would have to flip Texas. We just had Steve Dane step down in Montana, but Montana would be a tough flip. And that presumes that you win the toss ups in Trump states in Georgia, in Michigan, that kind of map. Iowa's out there, too, but seems difficult. I think Trump feels if he has Texas in his back pocket, that the Senate majority is confirmed. And I think that's motivating a lot of his actions.
