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Michael Selig
This is an iHeart podcast.
Buck Sexton
Guaranteed Human.
Clay Travis
Welcome back in Clay. Travis Buck Sexton show. We have got President Trump still taking questions. He has been talking for at least an hour. Ish. Now. He started at the top of last hour. He is still going now. We will continue to monitor those questions. The stock market has not moved very much in any direction at all during the course of the past hour, suggesting that there has not been much in the way of news that was unexpected. Buck. So far, one bit of news that is kind of cool. Did you know? And again, it's kind of getting snowed under with all the attention with the Artemis 2 astronauts, we now have sent humans farther from Earth than ever in the history of the world. The humans are now over nearly 250,000 miles from Earth as they are preparing to go around the dark side of the moon. And that is pretty cool. Again, basically snowed under with all of the news that is taking place in the United States and around the world right now. But as we are speaking to you now, humans are farther from Earth than they have ever been in recorded history. I feel comfortable saying history, and that is pretty awesome. So on the dark side of the moon, as President Trump was beginning to speak an hour ago, we played you a cut. And actually, let me give you a positive here, Buck, you have not heard this. Let's have a super positive. It is, we just came through Easter weekend and I know many of you with your friends and family, and hopefully you all had fabulous Easter weekends. We did here. I know Buck did as well. This is Artemis 2 astronaut Victor Glover, who, unscripted, was asked what his message might be on Easter weekend for everyone back on Earth. And I thought this was so fantastically well said. The team pulled it. I shared it as well. Here is Victor Glover, astronaut in space. Listen to this. On Easter weekend, for me, one of
Victor Glover
the really important personal perspectives that I have up here is I can really see Earth as one thing. And you know, when I read the Bible and I look at all of the amazing things that were done for us who were created, it's, you have this amazing place, this spaceship. You guys are talking to us because we're in a spaceship really far from Earth, but you're on a spaceship called Earth that was created to give us a place to live in the universe, in the cosmos. Maybe the distance we are from you makes you think what we're doing is special, but we're the same distance from you. And I'm trying to tell you, just trust me, you are special in all of this emptiness. This is a whole bunch of nothing, this thing we call the universe. You have this oasis, this beautiful place that we get to exist together. I think as we go into Easter Sunday, thinking about, you know, all the cultures all around the world, whether you celebrate it or not, whether you believe in God or not, this is an opportunity for us to remember where we are, who we are, and that we are the same thing and that we got to get through this together.
Clay Travis
I thought that was really well said. Again, that video is out there. He's floating in space. Asked about what his experiences have been so far and unscripted, he uncorked what I think is pretty incredible. And again, the Artemis 2 crew has now set a record for the furthest humans have ever gone from the planet Earth. As we are speaking to you now, President Trump continuing to answer questions. But you know, you know what's interesting, Buck, you started to play this cut from CNN as we are starting to move into midterm election cycle, and I forgot what number it was. You may have it in front of you again. But we started to play it and then President Trump started to speak.
Buck Sexton
I mean, the leader of the free world decided it was time to address the whole nation. So I had to cut Harry Anton off. Sorry, Harry Potter. Poor man's Ryan Gardusky. But he's, he's going to come back now. We're going to play it. Let's do it.
Harry Anton
This lead is historically low for Democrats at this point with a Republican president. Because take a look here. I'm taking a look at the average of all the polls, Jim. Dem generic congressional ballot lead at this point in the cycle with the Republican president, on average, their leads actually slightly less. It's five points. That's less than it was back in 2018 when it was eight points and way less than it was during the 2006 cycle when it was 11 points. So, yeah, Democrats are ahead, but they're only ahead by five. With a president whose net approval rating is bordering on minus 20 to minus 30, depending on what polls you look at, you'd make the argument Democrats should be way ahead and they're just only sort of slightly ahead.
Clay Travis
So that is out there as we look at midterms. And I wanted to share this, Buck, this is from the New York Times and the Republicans. The Senate Leadership Fund has unveiled a plan to spend $342 million to hold the Senate. And Buck, this is, you know, I know the House is going to get a lot of attention, but to me, the Senate is the whole ball of wax in many ways, because we know the House is going to impeach Trump and all those things, but really we need to be able to continue to get judges number one expenditure. I don't know if any of these will surprise you, but I thought this was interesting. Ohio, $79 million. So J.D. vance has now been elevated to vice president and as a result, his seat is up for grabs and they are running the guy who just lost to Bernie Marino, 79 million to keep that overall seat. Then North Carolina, 71 million. That is where Thom Tillis is stepping down. Those are two Republican seats. Maine, 42 million. That is Susan Collins. Now, in theory, all three of those seats could be lost and you would still have J.D. vance to break the tie. So you would still have control of the Senate. Then this is what I would call buck, the sort of red wall states. Iowa, 29 million and Alaska, 15 million. So that is the five GOP held seats where Republicans are saying, okay, we're going to spend a lot of money. Democrat held seats. Michigan. We talked with Mike Rogers Friday. I think he was on the show Friday. The top, the Senate candidate in Michigan, GOP is going to spend $45 million on that open seat and then $44 million in Georgia and $17 million in New Hampshire to try to flip one of those three top target states out there, Michigan, Georgia and New Hampshire. It's not too early to start thinking about this landscape. And I thought given that Harry Ensign clip, these numbers jumped out at me. So effectively eight states that will decide who controls the United States Senate.
Buck Sexton
Look, I think that Ohio is going to be much more interesting in some ways than it should be. You know, the governor's race is close. Yes, and it shouldn't be close. But because of Trump's endorsement there for Vivek, the Ohio GOP just decided we're going to make him. They didn't run a primary.
Michael Selig
Really.
Buck Sexton
They said, we're going to make Vivek Ramaswamy the candidate. He's got some huge weaknesses, especially in a state like Ohio, because of his public statements. He's going to make things a lot tighter than they should have been, which is going to affect everything. You know, you say, oh, that's the governor's race. Well, it's going to affect the Senate race too. As you know, ballot splitting. I mean, these things are, you want it to be as solid red as it can be across the board. So I see that playing out in a way that is, it's going to, I'm not saying that the Democrats will win either of those but it's going to be a challenge when we thought of Ohio as pretty safe red territory for a few elections here and it has been so that's I think another interesting component to all of this. There's also we can play 17 as well. There's more on this from Harry Anton. I'd like to hear more of his data analysis from over he is a good data analyst I will give give credit. Where do Harry Anton this is seventeen play it.
Harry Anton
Why is that generic congressional ballot lead solo because just take a look at this net favorability party ahead at this point midterm of years with the GOP president in 2018 Dems were up by 12 and 2006 on that favorability. Which party like more Dems are ahead by 18 Republicans are actually ahead on that favorability at this point by five points. So Democrats are just simply put running behind their previous benchmarks and they need to be running well ahead of them if they want to take back the United States Senate given that map.
Buck Sexton
So look Democrats are naughty and for given the math of midterms, Democrats are not in a very good spot right now, which is unsurprising. So like I said at the very beginning of this or early on, I think that there's a lot of wishing for catastrophe in Iran and as that pertains also to the economy and gas prices and everything else. Because first of all Clay, who is the leader of the Democrat Party right now we still ask this question. Yes, that matters. There is no leader of the resistance. You know when you talk about previous, you know, previous administrations, just go back 20 years. There have always been a couple of Democrats or a Democrat who is the voice of the opposition or the voice of the regime. Right now I don't know. I don't think anybody knows. Gavin Newsom is hoping to consolidate that around him. Will see there's no other Democrat though. You know Barack Obama. It's been a long time and I don't know Obama has never one thing about Obama ism that is just clear from the numbers he has never translated into helping other Democrats very much. He was good at getting elected. He was not good at electing other Democrats. I think he was a singularly effective for his own for his own political purposes anyway. I think that it's going to be I think we're going to be fine in the Senate. It's going to be a real dogfight in the House. Much more so than it should be for a party that is in power at this stage of the game. But I feel, I feel, do you feel confident in the Senate? I have full confidence we're going to maintain the Senate.
Clay Travis
I feel pretty good about the Senate. And I think this election is going to come down to, again, I said it earlier in the program, a lot of people are just angry, but the favorability for Democrats is actually lower than the favorability for Republicans. So I think we live in a world now where the idea that you're going to have someone who is really, really popular on the Democrat or the Republican side is unfortunately not our reality. And so it's almost the side of which one is disliked more. You know, there isn't, there isn't. Like, hey, I really like both these guys. And it's going to be tough for me to pick. It's. I dislike both parties, but I dislike the Democrat Party more than I dislike the Republican Party. So it is a, it is a, that's the cycle that we seem to have been in for some time. And look, I would say a little bit nervous when I see the dollars that are going to have to be spent in Ohio. I would not have expected that Republicans would be spending the most of their money in Ohio. One thing I will say, media tried to talk up Texas. Texas is not even on the list of states that Republicans are planning to spend.
Buck Sexton
They, they always do this. They put Beto on the COVID of Vanity Fair, for heaven's sakes. Well, I mean, not that that was going to be fair. You want, you want to appeal. The ranchers in West Texas get a Vanity Fair covered. They're like, oh, I love that Vanity Fair.
Clay Travis
I will say they did have to spend. Republicans did a ton of money against Beto. Beto is way better of a candidate than Talarico. And I think this is a tacit acknowledgment that Texas is not going to be in play. But Ohio, Ohio should be an easy win. It should be. And the fact that it's going to cost $75 million to potentially win that seat that is already in Republicans hands, I think is not ideal. All right, we come back, we'll give you more. Trump is still talking, still answering questions. There have not been very many fireworks so far, but we will continue to monitor this. Stock market hasn't moved very much one way or the other. So there has not been a ton of news to come out of this. In fact, Buck, I think President Trump basically said everything he was going to say when he was talking at the White House Easter egg roll by the way. We are going to be joined by the head of the CFTC in the bottom of this hour. He's going to be in studio here with us. But I want to tell you all about Pure Talk. If you're trying to save money right now, it can make a tremendous difference in your life. If you get hooked up and you need to save over a thousand dollars, how much difference could that make in your ability to continue to get hooked up and be able to make your bills at the end of the year about just having something reliable to rely on? This is the best cell phone service for the price anywhere. 25 bucks a month, unlimited talk text, plenty of data. Pure Talk service on the same tower, Same network, same 5G coverage, one of the big guys, but for a fraction of the price. Switch your cell phone service to Pure Talk today. You can save up to a thousand dollars. Keep your same phone number and also keep your same phone. I use it to stay in touch with my two oldest sons. We have a Pure Talk phone for them. £2 50 is how you make the switch. You can switch in as little as 10 to 15 minutes. Same phone, same phone number, save up to $1,000. That's £250. Say clay and Buck to switch to the wireless company we trust, America's wireless company. Pure Talk.
Harry Anton
News you can count on, and some laughs, too.
Clay Travis
Clay, Travis and Buck Sexton. Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
Buck Sexton
Welcome back into Clay and Buck. Thanks for being here with us, everybody. So, obviously a lot of focus on the Iran rescue operation over the weekend and now the next steps. I mean, Clay, we've heard from the President. Last hour, we heard the president addressing the nation, really the world about the Iran operation in some detail. But also he has a deadline that has been set for what is effectively certainly an unconditional surrender of the Iranian regime as it pertains to its nuclear program slash ambitions. It would be give over all the material, give us inspection rights, all kinds of stuff. Right. He says if they don't do that, and this is very clear, Trump says he's going after civilian infrastructure.
Clay Travis
Well, we have this right now. Him just saying. Buck cut 38. The deadline is 8pm Tomorrow. This was just now during the presser.
Donald Trump
Look what happened. I mean, women are being executed because they're not properly clothed. They say they're not properly clothed and they execute the women. They absolutely. They shoot him right on the street. No, you have a much different group of people now. I'm not saying we are dealing with them. Essentially they have till 8 o' clock tomorrow night, Eastern time, but we are dealing with them. I think it's going well. Mr. Witkoff is here and JD is involved in the dealing.
Clay Travis
A couple more here, Buck. So 8pm Eastern tomorrow. President Trump is saying is the deadline for a deal. He's also continuing to encourage the Iranian people to rise up. He's been saying this since the strikes began. Cut 37.
Harry Anton
What would be your reaction if the
Donald Trump
Iranian people rise up against their regime
Harry Anton
during a case fire, Mr. President?
Donald Trump
Well, they should do it, but again, the consequences are great. I mean, they were told you if you protest, you will be shot immediately. You saw what happened to the young wrestler. He was a great champion, by the way. He was a great wrestler, one of the top in the world. And he and his two friends were hung and all they did was say a little bit about liberty. They wanted liberty and they were violently executed. But the number is up to probably 45,000 people were killed.
Clay Travis
One more buck. This is Trump saying Obama chose Iran over Israel. How in the world can Israel continue? Jewish voters vote for Democrats. Cut 39.
Donald Trump
If I didn't terminate the Barack Hussein Obama Iran nuclear deal, they would have had a. Don't forget that was a path to a nuclear weapon. Remember this? He chose Iran over Israel, pure and simple. How and how Israel can vote for a Democrat is if you're Jewish in New York City or anyplace else in this country. And how you can vote, vote for a Democrat is unbelievable because he chose Iran, a very hostile Iran. Remember when he filled up a 757 with cash, billions of dollars of cash, and he sent it over to them, then they gave them tens of billions of dollars. He chose Iran over Israel and really the Arab world.
Buck Sexton
We'll get into more of this here, coming up in just a moment. But I didn't plan this. It's just happening. Those of you watching the YouTube, you can say, buck, you're drinking this liquid. Is that. Is that like Smurf water? What's. It's blue. It's chad mode. My friends from Chalk. That's right. Chalk makes amazing products, including stuff that I take and use every day. Clay and I are friends with the CEO and founder of this business. He is all about his own products. He takes them and he wants you to try the best supplements in the business. Now, for the guys out there, let me tell you, if you're dragging a little bit, you want something just right away that's going to give you A pick me up Chad mode pre workout is amazing. Amazing. Not just for working out but for cleaning up the garage, having the energy to push through and get it done at the office. If you have a mental task, Chad mode helps me with focus and also the male vitality stack. Worth seeing for all kinds of benefits as well. Go to chalk.comchoq.com code buck they've got a free $99 bottle of chalk lit powder that will go with your first delivery. Chalk.com when you subscribe. Chalk.com code buck welcome back in Clay and Buck.
Clay Travis
We are rolling through the Monday edition of the program. President Trump's press conference finished. He talked for around an hour and 20 minutes about the incredible success of the rescue buck of the two airmen. He reiterated the a deadline for Iran to reach an agreement of 8pm tomorrow. Multiple different speakers, Pete Hegseth, the head of the CIA, General Kane, all of those individuals talking about what a tremendous success the rescue was of this airman who was stranded for about 48 hours in Iran.
Buck Sexton
Remarkable, remarkable to see that they've all come together here and managed such an incredible operation. And look, Clay could have gone another way. I mean, we all got to kind of celebrate that he has risen for those of us who are Christian on Sunday. And we also had a news story that we could all breathe easier knowing that the second airman was returned home.
Clay Travis
No doubt. We've got another guest in studio. We've got a studio here that we're excited to break out some of the time. And we had last week we had the, the head of the sba, Kelly Leffler. In today we have Michael Selig, who is the head of the cftc, and that is the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. You and I met a little while ago, Chairman Selig. And let's just kind of dive in here for people who don't understand what it is that the CFTC does. You guys do what in the larger economic system here?
Michael Selig
Well, the US Financial markets have two big components. They've got derivatives and securities. And we've got the SEC that regulates the securities markets. And the CFTC is the federal regulator when it comes to these derivatives instruments. Derivatives are financial products that really can be traded on virtually any underlying assets. You can create a financial instrument that tracks the value of a grain of corn or a commercial event like an election. So we regulate a broad market and the CFTC has a federal regulatory framework for these derivatives instruments. We enforce and, and we set policy in that area.
Clay Travis
So I am pulling up right now the, the two that people know the most would be poly market in the prediction markets which is under your purview. Now this has been a huge story. You got a big ruling in your favor from the third Circuit that just came down earlier today a little bit. You were on CNBC earlier today. You've had a busy media day and basically the, the poly markets and the cow sheets, you could have anything from who's the next governor going to be to tonight's game is going on between you've got Yukon going up against Michigan and you could have a prediction market on that. What did you think of the 3rd Circuit's ruling and how significant to it, to you was that ruling?
Michael Selig
I applaud the 3rd Circuit for reaching the decision that the CFTC has a federal regulatory framework for derivatives contracts. And it doesn't matter if the derivatives on the outcome of a sporting event or an election, a credit default swap or anything else. To the extent that it's a derivative instrument and the underlying ass is something that's subject to our statutes, then we regulate that. And many of these states have effectively tried to nullify federal law. They would prefer to substitute the gaming laws of their state for the federal regulatory framework for derivatives. And the court said that that's not how our system is set up. We have federal market regulations, federal market laws and gaming laws at the state level. Can't conflict with that right now.
Clay Travis
Buck on the top and chairman on the top of Polymarket. I'm looking at it right now. This is super. I love markets. I, I love Polymarket. You know, just checking to see we have. What will the price of crude oil hit in April of 2026? We have Bitcoin. What is the price of Bitcoin going to be? Will there be a U S Iran cease fire by a certain date? Who is going to win the NCAA tournament? We've got. Let's see. What will Trump say during his news conference that just completed? Will the Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? Who's going to win the World cup next? Prime Minister of Hungary? Who's going to win the Hungarian parliament? Peru's presidential election winner? How long will the DHS shutdown last? Ok, all of those things are out there. Why is it beneficial to the American economy and the global economy to have markets such as these?
Michael Selig
Well, I'm a free market regulator and I do believe that markets always find a way. It's important that we foster those markets, create guardrails and regulations around them here in the US because if they don't develop here in the United States, they will develop offshore. And that's really what we saw under the last administration, where there was a concerted effort to regulate by enforcement, drive these platforms offshore. And that resulted in a loss of innovation in the United States and a loss of jobs here in the country. And so what we're doing, and the reason we think these markets are important is because they create a lot of important information about, for example, elections. We saw that the prediction markets were much more accurate in 2024 than some of the polling. We also see with a lot of the hoaxes and the fake news. That media can create many types of stories, but the markets are a real check on that. The prediction markets have proven accurate in many contexts. With respect to sports and other things, we do believe that there's value in persons accessing trading markets for these products rather than going into a casino and betting against the House. There's a reason that hedge funds and financial players would prefer to trade in a market. It's because you have certain investor protections and expectations, like an order book and a clearinghouse that you just don't get when you walk into a casino.
Clay Travis
How long do you think this legal battle is going to go on? I mentioned that you won in the Third Circuit federal law over state law. Do you expect the Supreme Court's going to eventually take on, for instance, sports prediction markets? Other circuit court rulings is a big deal with Kalshee, Polymarket, FanDuel, DraftKings. Those of us who engage in sports. What do you see happening there?
Michael Selig
We've partnered with the DOJ and have now sued three states. We've sued Illinois, Connecticut and Arizona. And we may evaluate additional lawsuits. Of course, we welcome the decision today in the Third Circuit that affirms our view that the CFTC has exclusive regulatory jurisdiction when it comes to these products when they're traded on regulated platforms that are registered with the cftc. And so we'll take it as far as we need to take it. If it goes to the Supreme Court, we will be there to argue that case. We believe that the law is very clear and we welcome the states to engage with us on the policy side. But when it comes to the law, Congress was clear in setting up a federal regulatory framework for derivatives of all types. It does not matter if it's a sports contract or a grain contract. We're here to regulate that. We want to make sure that our laws are enforced across the country.
Clay Travis
I will go to break here. If you love this and look this is one of these areas of the law that I can nerd out on. You and I are going to have a little bit of a longer form conversation. It will be up on the Clay and Buck YouTube page. People will be able to check this out if you are interested in this. You know Buck and I have some nerdy, nerdy interest. This is one of mine. I love all of this. This is me putting my legal hat on. We're going to have a discussion about that. By the way, odds of a US Iran nuclear deal. The prediction markets have doubled just in the last 12 or so hours. Meaning it's looking there's at least some optimism out there that we may end up with some form of a cease fire or a deal. Chairman, we appreciate the time. You and I will have a longer deep dive. It's going to be up on the Clay and Buck YouTube channel. Go subscribe. You'll be able to see that. Buck take us away.
Buck Sexton
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Clay Travis
Making America great again isn't just one man, it's many. The Team 47 podcast Sundays at noon
Harry Anton
Eastern in the Clay and Buck podcast feed.
Clay Travis
Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcast podcasts.
Buck Sexton
Welcome back into Clay and Buck. Before we send you off, we have so many great, so many great talkbacks and things to Discuss with all of you, which I am certainly very excited about. Also want to tell you to go check out the Clay and Buck podcast network and you'll get an audio book of manufacturing dilution while you can. Those audiobooks flying off the shelves, Well, I guess that's easy because it's all digital, but it's my voice. You can listen to it there. You can go listen to manufacturing delusion, the audiobook. Go to the Clay and Buck podcast network for all the pods. And I'm trying to. Clay, I'm a little bit stallings. I'm trying to find the latest.
Clay Travis
Where is.
Buck Sexton
Where are the talkbacks on the cakes, guys? We got all.
Clay Travis
Here we go.
Buck Sexton
They all.
Clay Travis
We got a.
Buck Sexton
All right, all right. Light them up. Light them up, Linda.
Clay Travis
Let's do it. First of all, let's go to D. Jerry from Texas teeing off on me, Jerry.
Buck Sexton
Cut D. I really thought Clay was
Clay Travis
about to say, I'm gonna have steak,
Harry Anton
I'm gonna have cake, and I'm gonna have a cup of rose to go along with it.
Buck Sexton
Hey, not that there's anything wrong with that, Clay.
Clay Travis
Not that there's anything wrong with.
Buck Sexton
I'm gonna.
Clay Travis
Again, it's my birthday. My plan is watch the college basketball national championship game, have some steak, have some cake, no rose plan. And Joe from New York City, not happy with you, W o r listener.
Buck Sexton
Talk back E book, you dirty dog. Don't you ever talk about my ice
Clay Travis
cream cake like that again.
Buck Sexton
I will never wish you a happy birthday ever again. Ice cream cake is the greatest thing you could have on your birthday besides a beautiful woman. Okay, not. I mean, I agree with the beautiful woman comment from Joe, who's a great New Yorker listening on W o r. I just think that ice cream and cake separated are much better combo. I don't think you need to combine these things. I just. I'm a true believer in the cake being the cake and the ice cream being a scoop on the side.
Clay Travis
Jeff in Charleston, teeing off on us. Cut G. Okay, Clay and Beck, this is Jeff from Charleston.
Michael Selig
I just have to say you both
Clay Travis
are cake losers and should never make any decisions on cake.
Buck Sexton
All right, can I throw a flag here? Jeff on Charleston, let's say you're right. Jeff from Charleston, let's say Clay and I are cake losers. You gotta tell us why. Like, are. Are you going all in on coconut shredded on your cake or, you know, you gotta give us more to work with here than just you guys are. You can't just send us a talkback that says we're losers. And I mean, you can. And we just played it on the air. We're losers and we're wrong. There's a comma there. Why? You gotta give us the why, buddy. You gotta tell us. What about this? Cause. Cause we got nothing we can fight back with right now. You're just saying our cake takes are, in general terrible. I mean, maybe he's a big German sheet cake guy. Who knows?
Clay Travis
Very careful there. Boston tees off. Unidentified Boston listener. Cut.
Buck Sexton
H. How can Buck be from New York and not be familiar with ice cream cake? That's where Carvel ice cream originated. Ice cream cake is the best. Not sure how Buck is missing that. My familiarity with ice cream cake is what breeds my contempt for it. That's the point. And some of you are like, well, you, producer Greg.
Clay Travis
Buck is not even in studio, I don't think today. But he had a talk back. I mean, the guy who took time off for vacation to go watch the eclipse, probably not going to surprise anybody out there that he's a huge coconut on cake fan.
Buck Sexton
Cut F. Hi, guys, it's producer Greg. I have coconut on my cake for my birthday every year. You guys can't figure out that the little bit of coconut on your cake brings the islands closer to you. I can't help you.
Clay Travis
Was that a cat in the background, too? I mean, just definitely.
Buck Sexton
It definitely was a cat in the background.
Clay Travis
Are we sure producer Greg is actually on our team? It's got cats in the background. Coconut. He takes time off for eclipses. I don't know.
Buck Sexton
You know, we got two. We got two hockey super fans, producer Greg and producer Mark. And they.
Clay Travis
They.
Buck Sexton
They go to the mat for all you hockey fans who listen to us and don't let us get away with any shenanigans making, you know, talking smack about hockey. But I just feel like people that like shredded coconut on their cake also probably like hockey. That's. That's where I'm coming down on this.
Clay Travis
I think that that's actually. Those are. Producer Greg might be the only guy who likes cocky hockey and also is gonna go with. With shredded coconuts.
Buck Sexton
Awful.
Clay Travis
I don't. So it's basically telling everybody at your birthday party, I hate you, but I like this. And so everybody else has to do it. Oh, we got it.
Buck Sexton
Alienates Talk Back Listener J. A podcast listener, rather. Luke from Colorado on Jay, Hit it. Hey, Clay. My name is Luke from Colorado and as old as you are. I'm wondering if the high school mascot
Donald Trump
was your T. Rex.
Buck Sexton
All right.
Harry Anton
Whoa.
Clay Travis
47. Hey, T. Rex. No high school mascots. And what was your high school mascot? Actually? Curious. That's not, not really great. The Royals.
Buck Sexton
That's kind of.
Clay Travis
Yeah.
Buck Sexton
Mine was not great. A little better. The Raiders. We. The Raiders, which.
Clay Travis
I was a very common, very common high school. We, we had the Royals, which basically had become like a lion. Right. Like the Royals. But, you know, it's not, I'm not gonna lie.
Buck Sexton
Lions. Then why go Royals?
Clay Travis
You know, I don't know. It's a fantastic question. It's a great question.
Buck Sexton
All right.
Clay Travis
Hey, we love all of you. Thank you for spending Monday with us. Big news to follow tomorrow. Thanks to President Trump went all the. Throughout the whole show.
Date: April 6, 2026
Podcast: The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
Host: iHeartPodcasts
In this dynamic hour, Clay and Buck juggle breaking news—including President Trump’s ongoing press conference on the Iran rescue mission and the looming deadline for a nuclear deal—while reflecting on human achievement with the Artemis 2 astronauts’ lunar mission. The hosts move fluidly between geopolitical current events, political analysis of the upcoming midterms, and lighter, audience-engaging conversations. The hour also features an interview with CFTC Chair Michael Selig about prediction markets and legal battles over their regulation. The tone remains energetic, humorous, and informative, blending sharp political insight with lighter personal banter.
[00:41] Clay Travis celebrates the Artemis 2 astronauts going farther from Earth than any humans in history, nearly 250,000 miles away.
[02:24] Victor Glover (Artemis 2 astronaut) delivers an inspiring, unscripted Easter message from space. He reflects on Earth’s uniqueness and calls for unity and perspective:
"You guys are talking to us because we're in a spaceship really far from Earth, but you're on a spaceship called Earth... you are special in all of this emptiness... we are the same thing and that we got to get through this together."
— Victor Glover, [02:24]
Clay and Buck praise Glover’s message for its humility and sense of awe.
[04:24] Clay and Buck analyze polling data, noting that Democrats are ahead in the generic congressional ballot by only five points—lower than previous cycles despite President Trump’s low approval.
Harry Anton (CNN analyst):
"Democrats should be way ahead and they're just only sort of slightly ahead."
— Harry Anton, [04:24]
[05:04] Clay details Republican Senate spending plans:
[07:35] Buck raises concerns about Ohio’s competitiveness, linking it to the GOP’s choice of Vivek Ramaswamy as candidate, potentially making the race tighter.
"You want it to be as solid red as it can be across the board... But it's going to be a challenge when we thought of Ohio as pretty safe red territory..."
— Buck Sexton, [07:53]
[08:50] More polling analysis by Harry Anton, highlighting that Democrats’ favorability is currently worse than in previous GOP administrations.
[09:19] Buck discusses the lack of a clear Democratic leader, and how Barack Obama’s political influence never translated beyond himself. He predicts a Senate “dogfight” but expresses confidence in the GOP holding control.
"I think we're going to be fine in the Senate. It's going to be a real dogfight in the House..."
— Buck Sexton, [09:19]
[10:58] Clay: The 2026 cycle is defined more by party dislike than enthusiasm—voters dislike Democrats more than Republicans, which may tip the scales.
[15:30] Clay shares Trump’s ultimatum to Iran: 8pm ET the next day is the deadline for a nuclear deal surrender; otherwise, he threatens strikes on civilian infrastructure.
"Essentially they have till 8 o' clock tomorrow night, Eastern time, but we are dealing with them."
— Donald Trump, [15:39]
Trump urges the Iranian people to rise up, citing brutal repression by their regime ([16:28]).
"They were violently executed... the number is up to probably 45,000 people were killed."
— Donald Trump, [16:28]
Trump criticizes Obama for prioritizing Iran over Israel, recounting the 2015 nuclear deal and controversial cash shipments ([17:10]).
[20:01] Michael Selig joins to discuss his agency, the CFTC, as the main regulator of financial derivatives, including prediction markets.
"Markets always find a way. It's important that we foster those markets, create guardrails and regulations around them here in the US because if they don't develop here... they will develop offshore."
— Michael Selig, [23:35]
[21:57] Selig lauds a new Third Circuit ruling affirming CFTC’s authority, pushing back against states wishing to regulate (or ban) prediction markets as gambling.
[25:13] Selig says the CFTC, now in legal battles with several states, is ready to take the issue to the Supreme Court if necessary.
Clay expresses excitement about prediction markets’ accuracy, citing their value for policy insights and economic planning.
[29:09] Clay and Buck engage in playful banter over birthday cake preferences (ice cream cake vs. classic, coconut on cake, etc.), reading out listener “talkbacks” and emails.
[33:13] One listener jokes about Clay’s age and mascot; Clay and Buck reminisce about their high school mascots.
Victor Glover's message from space:
"...you are special in all of this emptiness... we are the same thing and we got to get through this together."
([02:24])
Buck’s skepticism of polling and party leadership:
"Who is the leader of the Democrat Party right now? ... I don't think anybody knows."
([09:19])
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran:
"Essentially they have till 8 o' clock tomorrow night, Eastern time, but we are dealing with them."
([15:39])
Michael Selig on market regulation:
"Markets always find a way. It's important that we foster those markets, create guardrails and regulations around them here in the US because if they don't develop here in the United States, they will develop offshore."
([23:35])
This episode seamlessly mixes urgent developments (Iran, Artemis 2’s new human frontier) with grounded political analysis and regulatory insight. The Artemis 2 accomplishment and Victor Glover’s heartfelt message offer rare cosmic perspective, while the Trump administration’s Iran strategy and the coming midterms prompt sharp but often humorous debate. Special guest Michael Selig explains the future of prediction markets, highlighting both the legal battles and their societal potential. The hosts round out the hour with enthusiastic listener engagement and their signature mix of politics and playful pop culture.