← The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
It's a Numbers Game: Ask Me Anything: Trump Strategy, Immigration, Polling Myths & Ranked Choice Voting
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- [00:00]
Tara Davis Woodhull
This is an iHeart podcast.
- [00:02]
Sponsor/Announcer
Guaranteed Human support for the show comes from Public, the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On Public you can build a multi asset portfolio of stocks, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one of a kind index and lets you back test it against the S&P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com podcast and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com podcast paid for by Public Investing Brokerage Services by Open to the Public Investing Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC Advisory Services by Public Advisors, llc. SEC Registered Advisor. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available@public.com.
- [01:06]
Tara Davis Woodhull
Hey, this is US Olympic gold medalist Tara Davis Woodhull and.
- [01:09]
Ryan Graduski
I'm US Paralympic gold medalist Hunter Woodhull.
- [01:11]
Tara Davis Woodhull
As athletes, our lives are about having.
- [01:13]
Ryan Graduski
A clear path and a team that you can absolutely trust.
- [01:16]
Tara Davis Woodhull
So when it came to getting the best mortgage, we chose PennyMac. PennyMac is proud to be the official mortgage provider of Team USA and you.
- [01:24]
Sponsor/Announcer
Learn more at pennymac.com pennymac loan services llc/housing lender nmls id 35953 licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. Conditions and restrictions may apply.
- [01:36]
Tara Davis Woodhull
There's a fire inside you you can't ignore. Stand still. Not a chance. You're a lifelong learner who's come this far. Now we are here to help you keep going further. Capella University what can't you do? Visit capella.edu to learn more.
- [01:51]
Sponsor/Announcer
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- [02:14]
Ryan Graduski
Watch the full episode of their new.
- [02:16]
Tara Davis Woodhull
E L f novella on soyumbano.com.
- [02:23]
Ryan Graduski
Welcome back to A Numbers Game with Ryan Graduski. Thank you guys for being here. I love the Ask Me Anything segment of this podcast. It was the idea that Fox Sexton gave me and to incorporate in the podcast and it's really taken off. So many things that I do for work are just very isolated because I work basically alone in my house alone. And I'll send out emails or I have a producer who listens to me, but it's very one on one. So this is how I can connect with the tens of thousands of people who listen to every episode. And it's. I really appreciate it. I think it makes the podcast what it is and it lets me know that you guys are interested in anything I'm saying. So. And how I'm interested, by the way, in what you guys say and how I build a podcast episode around what you're talking about. Okay. So if you want part of future Ask Me Anythings, email me. Ryan numbers game podcast.com that's Ryan numbers plural numbers game podcast.com this episode is a whole Ask Me Anything episode. I'm going to go into a lot of your questions. I was very backed up. I actually started getting emails saying, why haven't you answered my question yet? So let's go through them. Let's get through this episode and give you guys everything you want to know. So first of all, this question comes from Michael. It says, you do a great job in your podcast. Why does the Trump administration not publicize the backgrounds of the illegal aliens they are deporting? There are hundreds of vicious criminals they have arrested, but they do not know their crimes. Give details of their crimes. They should highlight the suffering of the victims. Same with closing the border or stopping the trafficking of women and children. How about the stories of all those girls and women who are raped as they travel across the border? I know some are hoaxes, but some are real. ICE has been framed as a moral issue. So the GOP should fight on a moral terms. That's a great point about the moral terms, but they do actually publicize the crimes. You can go to dhs.gov wow. And you can see all the worst of the worst. You can see what they've done, their offenses. I know DHS will regularly tweet out the criminals that they've arrested the post them on social media. So they do put them out there. It's not that they don't, it's that you have to look for them because the media doesn't really pick it up. There was a video just last week in Minnesota where a man was arrested carrying 50 pounds of drugs. I think it was methamphetamines on him. Ice arrested him at the mall. And you have all these dumb liberal women with fupas and they're whistling around, sitting there and, you know, playing, pretending that they're freedom fighters. But you can see the worst of the worst. They are easily and readily available. The mainstream media does not cover it and does not pick it up. Okay, next question comes from Tommaso Ryan, my man, don't worry about the speech, dialect stuff. This is such a repeated email topic is my manner of speaking and my dialect. But he says, at least you ain't me. What you talking about? And two yachts. And as an Italian transplant to Brooklyn in the 70s, I learned a thing or two about being corrected. Once I moved to la. Remember the joke what caused the tower of peas to start leaning? It got italicized and one old Brooklyn one heaven is Italian cook, British police, German, administrator of the government. And hell is a British cook, German at the police and Italians running the government. That's an old joke now because actually Italians have a good government, British have decent food, and the Germans can't run anything. Tommaso, thank you for that email. There wasn't a question. It was just about my accent. So I was born and raised in Queens, New York. My mother's family is completely Italian for multiple generations in America. She was raised in Brooklyn. My grandpa was raised in the Lower east side of Manhattan. I have managed to make sure my accent is manageable to people and not too irritating. I have kicked, like, terms like whatchamacallit out of my regular vocabulary. And I actually notice now when my friends from Queens, born and raised, say it very frequently, my family says it very frequently too. The funniest thing about being brought up Italian, how I was, was that my maternal grandmother, my mother's mother, her family was like on the first boat to America. Not only was she born in America and her parents born in America, but I think most of her grandparents were born in America. She knew virtually no Italian at all, like, literally at all. And she, she used to make up Italian expressions, I guess, to fit in or what things that she heard that she thought that she knew what they meant. And she would put her own little rosy licicero spin on things. So, I mean, she at times spoke Italian like the Swedish chef on the Muppets spoke Swedish like it was very that. But I thought it was real growing up. So when I finally took Italian in college, I like confronted her, was like, grandma, everything you've been telling me all this time is not real. And she would say, like, things like, who are you gonna believe me as some stranger you met? Referring to the professor. So thank you for your email. I think the dialect is manageable. It's never gonna be fully gone. And I like people who have a little bit of an accent from whatever they're from, as long as it's not over the top. Ironically, you know, it's so funny. Characters who, on old TV shows who were from a place did not carry those dialects. Like, if you think of back, like, the Golden Girls, Rose was from very much from Minnesota. Didn't sound like someone in Minnesota at all. Never even pretended to have the accent. And like, D. Berthy was from New York, but, like, didn't have the accent, but her mother, who was from Italy, had a New York accent. Anyway, I don't know. Thinking about those things is really funny. Anyway, thank you for your email. Next question comes from Robert Diaz. He says, I have three questions. Don't worry about answering all of them. I'll. I'll answer all them. First question. Polling shows that a majority of Americans feel their personal financial situation has improved, while others polls currently show economic confidence has dipped to the lowest point since COVID I understand these are two technically separate polls questions, but I feel like those should generally move in the same direction. Is it just poll wording? What am I missing? It's about anxiety. That's, like the really big thing, honestly. There are a lot of indicators in the economy that has gotten better, right? Inflation is obviously down. Certain prices are actually declined. There is a little bit of stability when it comes to layoffs. Right now, hiring is not where it should be, but there's overall anxiety. And that's really where the fever pitches. People are worried if their kid can get a job, if they can maintain a job, will I take their job? There's a lot of conversations around AI and outsourcing. And Trump's decision to do the tariffs the way that he did really affected people's ability to think of the economy as stable. People do not like uncertainty. The markets don't like uncertainty. And what does Trump, for all the good things that he does, what's one of the bad things that he does? He makes people very uncertain. And so the way that he's handling tariffs have not ruined the economy in any shape or form. The media narrative would make you think otherwise. And the way he has been less than tactical with trying to release these tariffs has definitely brought out a lot of exciting people. Second question I listened to Scott Rasmussen's podcast who said that Trump's base is just as motivated as liberals and progressives are and as traditional Republicans and right leaning independents who are might likely stay home. However, we also hear how challenge to the Trump coalition is that the GOP traded high frequency voters with low frequency voters. I feel like the observation is true but contradictory. How do you reconcile it? I don't know where Scott got that information from. I'd have to really like listen to the whole episode and listen if he's saying talking about midterms or just the specials. But I will say this and I respect Scott a lot of men and many times in agreement about Fox News when I was there. There's a lot of different Trump voters, right? There's the three three time Trump voter who goes to the rallies. There's the casual one who voted just in 2024 because they hated Biden or they had economic anxieties or, or they liked the vibes if they watch the Joe Rogan podcast. There's independents who are Trump, Biden, Trump voters. There's people like that that exist. I imagine he's talking about the three time Trump voter and they are probably highly motivated. But that's not, that is not a capture of the entire Trump base. Okay, last question Robert. He said I live in Texas where new arrivals are. The don't come don't California my Texas. Same for New Yorkers moving to Florida. However, I wonder if the reason part of the partially that Texas has stayed consistently red while California has trended even bluer is the majority of people leaving California were Republican voters. I want to say I read somewhere that the 2018 Senate race Beto O' Rourke won a majority of people born in Texas but Cruz won a majority of non Texas born voters. Okay, this is, thank you so much Robert for bringing up this. This is something that triggers me on a regular basis when is brought up to me. No, and I, and I really actually do appreciate you because I do know exactly what you're talking about and this has driven me nuts since it was published, you know, six years ago or eight years ago because I'm very healthy mentally that this would bother me for eight years, but it does. This was an exit poll that was done by CNN in the 2018 election. It was actually Ms. You know, mis written up. They said Georgia instead of Texas. But what they did was they looked at the Texas del, the voting block in their exit polls and they said that a majority of people who voted in Texas was born in Texas. Had voted for Beto o'. Rourke. Remember, exit polls have a lot of flaws in them. They don't go out to the rural areas, many off almost often. They seem to sometimes over sample certain demographics. This happened also in 2018 Florida where they said one in five black women voted for Ron DeSantis. That is not true. That was never true. There were whole op EDS written about this about like this proves black people love school choice. It literally wasn't true. A lot of exit polls get it wrong quite often. So, so I One, I don't think this was actually accurate, this exit poll that CNN had. Secondly, if you look a map at the Texas election from 2018, look at places that have a higher percentage of native born Texans in them. West Texas, East Texas and you see huge numbers for te. For Ted Cruz I doubt. And where you see the highest percentage of transplants, you see them swinging towards Beto o'. Rourke. I don't believe it on its face but that the one interesting that that CNN study did was they also broke it down with have you, were you born in Texas? Which they said beta won those people 5148. I kind of don't believe it, whatever it was by 3 point margin though. Then they asked have you lived in Texas for more than 10 years? And among people who lived in Texas for more than 10 years, Cruz won them by 30 points. Which the only way then you get to the number that he actually won by is that the recent migrants from California were very liberal. So it's not that the newest flock are all Republican leaving. It's also the people who left 10 years ago were Republican. That's probably more accurate. I think that's probably the most accurate part of the study. But once again it's changed a lot because that was published after Covid. Covid really changed everything in 2024. The New York Times did a really fantastic job breaking down how people who move vote and where they end up. And obviously Republican voters, no matter what the state is, tend to Republican areas. Democratic voters tend to move to Democratic areas. They found that people who moved to Texas since COVID are much more Republican than native Texans. Texas voted R +5 in the 2020 election. The people who moved to Texas during COVID are they vote on average R +20 according to the New York Times study on this. So anyway that's, that was, that's a great. But that's great that you brought this up because it's something that lives in my head kind of rent free. Lastly you write lastly I Love your gossip segments. Whenever you're on Megan McCain show and you shout allegedly every five seconds, I die of laughter. Thank you. Yeah, I know a lot of gossip and I hear a lot of gossip and I have to one, be very prudish in not sharing everything I hear because there's a lot of fake stuff out there and I have to sit there and and be my own editor and say that sounds really like fake, whatever, but I hear a lot of stuff. So when I'm feeling it and I'm talking to Megan who's a friend of mine, she's a sweetheart, I kind of get a little loose and I'm like, you know what I'll say? I'll drop a few hints, but let me say ledgerly to protect myself. But that's true. I don't ask for the gossip, by the way. They come to me. The streets talk and they talk to me. I don't ask for them. Anyway, we'll be back with more Ask Me Anything coming up next.
- [14:49]
Sponsor/Announcer
Support for the show comes from Public, the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On public, you can build a multi asset portfolio of stocks, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index. With AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one of a kind index and lets you back test it against the S&P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public place and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com podcast paid for by Public Investing Brokerage Services by Open to the Public Investing Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC Advisory services by Public Advisors llc. SEC Registered Advisor Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available at public.com disclosures hey.
- [15:50]
Tara Davis Woodhull
This is US Olympic gold medalist Tara.
- [15:52]
Ryan Graduski
Davis Woodhull and I'm US Paralympic gold medalist Hunter Woodhull.
- [15:56]
Tara Davis Woodhull
As athletes, our lives are about having.
- [15:57]
Ryan Graduski
A clear path and a team that you can absolutely trust.
- [16:01]
Tara Davis Woodhull
So when it came to getting the best mortgage, we chose PennyMac. PennyMac is proud to be the official mortgage provider of Team USA and you.
- [16:08]
Sponsor/Announcer
Learn more at pennymac.com PennyMac Loan Services, LLC equal housing lender NMLS ID 35953 licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. Conditions and restrictions may apply.
- [16:20]
Tara Davis Woodhull
You've never been one to settle, stand down or stand still. You're a lifelong learner, energized by excellence. There's a fire inside you you can't ignore. You've got competition to outrun, momentum to build on, and your own high standards to meet. Stop now. Not a chance. At Capella University, we help you catch what you're chasing because you've always had the drive. Now go earn the degree. Capella University. What can't you do? Visit Capella. Edu to learn more.
- [16:50]
Sponsor/Advertiser
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- [17:22]
Ryan Graduski
Welcome back to the Ask Me Anything episode. This email comes from R. Shannon. She writes, can you please explain the negatives of the SAVE Act? Is it true? I think, by the way, our Shannon may be a woman. I'm just guessing. R. Shannon, whoever you are, you may not be a woman. Shannon could be a last name. Please explain the negatives of the sayback. Is it true that if you change your last name, you can't pass? Is it true that if you can't find your birth certificate, you can vote? Obviously, the DMV thing is asinine and completely racist. And honestly, if someone is too lazy to get an id, should they be able to vote? Question mark. Okay, so for those who don't know, the SAVE act is a bill that's quickly making its way through Congress that requires proof of citizenship to register to vote. It also says a driver's license no longer counts as proof of citizenship. Why? 19 states hand out driver's licenses to illegal immigrants. So among the most notable parts of the bill is the requirement to prove citizenship before registering a vote. Documents accepted include birth certificates, US Passports, and certain versions of the real ID that indicates citizenship. Detractors of the sayback this is from npr. Detractors of the sayback say that millions of people will be ineligible to vote because they either don't have a passport, naturalization papers, real id, or their birth certificate so here's what the. So here's what the law actually says. I actually pulled out the law. If it sounds a little legalese and you're like, ryan, did you have a stroke? I didn't. I'm reading from a law. So it sounds like an official government document. The law says this when it comes to people who cannot find documents or change their name because of marriage or whatever it says. The process for those without documentary proof in general, subject to any relevant guidance adopted by the Election Assistance Commission, each state shall establish a public a process under which an applicant who cannot provide documentary proof of U.S. citizenship under paragraph that's real ID in the passport under paragraph 1, May applicant signs an attestation under penalty of perjury that the applicant is a U.S. citizen and eligible to voting elections for federal office. Submit such and other evidence to the appropriate state or local office demonstrating that their applicant is a citizen of the U.S. such officials shall make a determination as to whether the applicant is sufficiently established U.S. citizenship for the purpose of registering to vote in an election for federal office in the state. In other words, a woman who has changed her name because she got married. If she has to go register to vote, the states have. And local governments have wiggle room to sit there and show that this is obviously if Mary Todd was Mary Smith and she bring her driver's license that has her old name in it or her new name in it and her and her marriage certificate and says, look, I am this person. I changed my name because I got married. The local government office would sit there and say, clearly this is the same person. She just got married. And they would allow her to register to vote. The states are in charge of creating these parameters to sit there and say, okay, this is how you can prove maybe you don't have your birth certificate. You have a bunch of other stuff. The left is saying that this is a mass disentrant disenfranchisement of voters because they got married. But I mean, they're allowing other documents. The idea that this is saying, no, you only have to have these certain documents, it's very rigid. Is not true. States and localities have a lot of wiggle room to figure out if someone's actually a citizen. Honestly, if you. Only if you don't have any form of id, if the only thing you have is a profile on TikTok, maybe you shouldn't be voted. There is a reason that they are making this is just because the states have gotten so. So they've lost control of the whole driver's license system handing out to illegal aliens the way that they have. So that's why they're going this way. But no, it does not disenfranchise people like they're saying states and localities will have the ability to figure out other methods if no one has id. Here's the thing I want you to think about from the narrative, from the media's perspective. If Republicans were so determined to disenfranchise groups from voting, why would it be married women who vote marginal majority Republican? The answer to that question is obviously that that's not the case. I think there's a lot of anxiety over nothing. Next question comes from Tristan. He writes, what do you think of the UAE and how it does immigration or how does UA does immigration? Essentially a majority of the population is foreign born. However, basically none will ever obtain citizenship so long as they live and get zero government benefits. Would you support some version of this in the US Basically that's, that's basically the whole question. So thank you for the question. I don't think that immigration system is compatible with the United States. So I don't sit there and say like, oh wouldn't it be great if we did X, Y or Z. I kind of try to live in the world as it is, not as I would like it to be all the time. First of all, we have birthright citizenship so their kids would get citizenship. They don't have that. Secondly, they don't have a multi billion dollar apparatus of immigration lawyers and a plethora of progressive judges who will say that this is horrible, that they should get citizenship under any circumstances. And lastly, I think that American citizens expect more, I expect more of our country than to have it built on slave labor like the UAE does. It's, I know people have worked in the uae. The conditions are not great for foreign workers. They truly treat them as subhuman. I would not want that for foreigners who work in America. And lastly, you know, we are going to have robots take a lot of these jobs the next few years. We need to look into the future. What is the point? What happens when we have 25 or 30 million people in this country who will never be able to find work? Why would we import more of those people? Like we have this huge problem coming down the pipeline of American citizens not being able to find work. Why are you adding foreigners to it? It makes no sense. We need an immigration moratorium like yesterday. This is nuts. And the only reason we don't get this is because until they replace the workers or robots, the Corporations are demanding we keep the cheap labor train, and then we're just going to be dumped with all these, you know, workers we'll have to take care of one day who won't be able to find jobs. And because the Democrats are just insistent on this diversity train that all immigration is always good. This morning, Joe, today was like asphyxiating, screaming about how the benefits of immigration telling half truths and lies and narratives because, like, they, it's, it's, it's like part of their DNA, like you're draining blood from their body. If they don't have mass immigrant, mass immigration to vote for them and to change the democracy of the country, it's like they can't function. It's the only thing holding them together. It's bizarre. Interesting idea, Tristan. I, I fundamentally reject it. Next question comes from Megan, who points out that she's a fellow millennial. Megan the millennial. Megan, as a millennial like yourself, I have to ask you a question. Did they make you, when you were in school, play Oregon Trail? Because I have never met a millennial who did not play Oregon Trail in school. And I genuinely wonder why this, an entire generation of millions of American children were going to get something out of a video game about moving from St. Louis to Oregon in, like, 1850 and trying to avoid several various diseases like scurvy or dysentery that we don't deal with on a daily basis. It is something that I've thought about for years, since it came to pass, where I'm like, what was. Was the goal here? How was the generation going to. That was going to be having, you know, a computer in every room going to learn a lot from a game about dysentery. It just boggles the mind. I get why we play Carmen San Diego. I learned geography. But Oregon Trail is some kind of experiment that never. I want the, I want the Netflix show on that. Like, how did Oregon Trail get into every single school in the entire country? That's the question that sits there and boggles my mind.
- [25:36]
Sponsor/Announcer
All right.
- [25:36]
Ryan Graduski
She says, I love your show. It breaks everything down, makes you feel super knowledgeable about elections. I currently live up in Alaska. We use ranked choice voting. It is. The Alaskan voting system is so stupid. I'm wondering what the numbers say about the upcoming race between Senator Dan Sullivan and former Representative Mary Patola. It feels like ranked choice voting complicates everything. So I was wondering if you think Dan Silva maintains his seat or if enough independents and Democrats will vote for Mary. Great question. Okay, Megan, this is a very important election. This is a ranked choice voting system that was created to save Lisa Murkowski from being ousted in a primary. Basically the way it works for those who don't know is there's a jungle primary. Everybody runs. All the parties run in a primary together. The top four go to a general where then it becomes ranked choice voting. Right. If you don't get number one and the votes are sorted out as it gets closer and closer towards the finish line and whoever gets 50% wins. So as far as I have seen thus far, there are five candidates running, two Democrats, one Republican, a Green Party and an Independent. That means that most of the people who appear on the primary will be on the general election in 2020. Sullivan won the election by 13 points with 54% winning on the first ballot. Basically he didn't even need anything else. He just won the first time around. He will likely need to do that again because most of the other people running in the top four will be of the left. But Butola will pick up most of those votes as the, as the numbers wither because another a Democrat or a Green Party person is voting for the Democrat. Right. That's just kind of the dynamic. So if, if we go on election night and the first ballot comes out and Dan Sullivan has 49.88, he's very likely going to win. If he is 45, it's very unlikely he's going to win. That's my opinion. And then second opinion is the polls have come out and Petolla has been leading by two points since January. Polling in Alaska is not great. It's one of very hard state to poll especially because it's so rural in 2020. Sullivan never pulled over 48% in most every poll except for the New York Times Santa poll had him either losing or winning by three to four points. He won by 13. It was very, very off. I'm not going to trust pollsters right now, especially in that state. And my other opinion is rejected. Botola Last year like she or two years ago she ran for a House seat. She had $14 million, a lot of money and voters in Alaska pick someone else for the job. So why would they pick her again right after kicking her out? Maybe they will. It's happened obviously John Ossa but that was one small House seat. This is a statewide seat. It's possible but certainly in the race is still tilt Republican. Okay, we will be back with Ask me Anything.
- [28:25]
Sponsor/Announcer
Support for the show comes from public the investing platform for those who take it Seriously On Public you can build a multi asset portfolio of stocks, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index. With AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year. You can literally type any prompt and and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one of a kind index and lets you back test it against the S&P 500. Then you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com podcast and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com podcast paid for by Public Investing Brokerage Services by Open to the Public Investing Inc. Member finra NSF Advisory Services by Public Advisors llc SEC Registered Advisor Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available at public.com disclosures hey.
- [29:26]
Tara Davis Woodhull
This is US Olympic gold medalist Tara.
- [29:28]
Ryan Graduski
Davis Woodhull and I'm US Paralympic gold medalist Hunter Woodhull.
- [29:31]
Tara Davis Woodhull
As athletes, our lives are about having.
- [29:33]
Ryan Graduski
A clear path and a team that you can absolutely trust.
- [29:37]
Tara Davis Woodhull
So when it came to getting the best mortgage, we chose PennyMac. PennyMac. PennyMac is proud to be the official mortgage provider of Team USA and you.
- [29:44]
Sponsor/Announcer
Learn more at pennymac.com PennyMac Loan Services, LLC equal housing lender NMLS ID 35953 licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act. Conditions and restrictions may apply.
- [29:56]
Tara Davis Woodhull
You've never been one to settle, stand down or stand still. You're a lifelong learner, energized by excellence. There's a fire inside you you can't ignore. You've got competition to outrun, ma momentum to build on, and your own high standards to meet. Stop now. Not a chance. At Capella University, we help you catch what you're chasing because you've always had the drive. Now go earn the degree. Capella University. What can't you do? Visit capella.edu to learn more.
- [30:26]
Sponsor/Advertiser
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- [31:27]
Ryan Graduski
All right, we're back for the last segment of Ask Me Anything episode. This question comes from Jeff. He writes hi, I live in Scottsdale, Arizona. I might be called a swing voter in the Arizona Republican primary. I will vote for the Republican nominee for governor, but I'm undecided in a very interesting three way race. How it will go There's Karen Taylor Robeson, endorsed by Trump and she's a Chamber of Commerce Republican, Andy Biggs, a House Freedom Caucus member, and David Schweiker, a Libertarian leaning Congressman. So since writing this email to me, Karen Taylor Robeson has decided to draw drop out of the race, which pretty much came as a shock to me. I mean, I've met her before. She's a very nice person. She's richer than God. She had enough money to fund this race all the way to the end. But her internals must have been terrible because the public polling was awful and I guess she just didn't want to spend any more money. According to the Emerson Poll, Biggs is running away with this primary. He's at 50%, Robinson was at 17 and Schweiger was at 8. This is also, by the way, the first election in Arizona history. Will the governor Canada will also have a lieutenant governor on the ticket. I have heard from friends in Arizona that the Biggs camp has been allegedly talking about asking Erica Kirk to run with him. Now, I don't know if this means that she was actually asked or they are just internally talking about it or things were being whispered about, but it got back to me. So I've heard that this is a conversation that's happened. I don't know if there's an official offer or she's rejected. I don't think she would accept it. But I've heard that has been whispered about among the Biggs camp. Who knows if it ends up being true or not. Anyway, as far as this election goes, it looks like Biggs has got it in the bag. And then in the general election, Hobbs has a slight lead in the polling, but Republicans can still win because Arizona has trended so far to the right since moving to the left in 2020. Okay, next question comes from Holly. She writes, Ryan, I am curious to about the I'm curious what you think about the recent murder rate stats that came out. I don't want to take anything away from Trump's policies or law enforcement. And it makes sense that you remove criminals, either deporting them or using the National Guard in cities like D.C. that the murder rate will come down. But how much of the reduction is because of better medical care as opposed to fewer crimes being committed? Would a comparison of attempted murders or thefts be a better standard? That is a great, great point there. That is very, very smart, Holly. So the correct thing is that they are both going down, right? They do track shootings and attempted and assaults and actual homicides. Shootings and gun assaults are down by 22% and homicides are down by 21%. Homicides are down, though, in part because there's medical better medical care. That has been true, by the way, for decades. Improvement in medical care has reduced homicide deaths, even while gun shootings were very, very high. And in some places they're still high. I mean, they're down. But there's no reason why a city like St. Louis or New Orleans should be the way that it is. I mean, it is is it is comically corrupt and how it's done its policing anyway, the numbers actually fell below 2014 numbers, which is considered the safest year on record in modern history. Since the rise of blm, there are only two categories of crime that the government tracks as serious crimes. That actually went up nationwide in 2025. Those were drug crimes and sexual assaults. But aside from that, crime nationwide has gone down and pretty substantially. Okay, last question of the podcast. On the Ask Me Anything episode, Chris from Cincinnati, he said, I listened to your Friday podcast on the TED on the Texas Special election on my morning drive. Well done. Thank you. I really enjoy that you weave your Catholic faith journey into the podcast as it helps listeners engage with your values and how it frames your interpretation of data. One issue that's been weighing on me heavily as a practicing Catholic is immigration policy. I don't want to put you in an awkward spot. My whole life is an awkward spot. That's actually going to be either my autobiography or what you put on the coffin on the on the tombstone Lived in an awkward spot. So you're not putting me in an awkward spot. I don't want to put you in an awkward spot by criticizing the Pope. So I will ask you, instead of looking at the stunning amount of money that Catholic Charities has taken as the US Government's refugee resettlement program for the past few years. I live in suburban Cincinnati. In 2020, the Department of HHS contributed 750,000 and the State Department 100,000. But by 2024, that number dropped to 2.5 million 900,000. At what point does the institution take on so much money it becomes intellectually captured and DEP upon Washington, D.C. bureaucrats rather than parishioners and local diocese? I don't mean to sound cynical, but we are criticizing ICE because we are called to be compassionate criticism. Sorry, Christians. Or are we criticizing ICE because it's bad for business? Wow, That's a great question. So there are multiple things. One, Catholic Charities. A majority of Catholic Charities. Money from. From the latest numbers I've seen, which was during the Biden administration, a majority comes from the government. So if. If you never gave another dollar to Catholic Charities, if not just you, but if anybody, it doesn't matter. And it didn't matter under the Biden administration because they were making money hand over foot in refugee resettlement. I went to the border, and Catholic Charities was there. And I mean, I saw migrants in from Indonesia, from India, from, you know, Europe. And every time I'd ask the Catholic Charities person, where are they coming from? He says, oh, they're fleeing the cartel. I'm like, this guy's Ukrainian. What cartel? He's like. And he would always say, the cartel. The cartels in, you know, in Bangladesh, the cartels in Japan. Like, everything was always a lie. Like, it was clearly a lie, but this man wasn't. It was a lay person. It wasn't a priest. I understand the Pope and the Catholic teaching from the bishops, especially around why they support open borders in general. It's something that I understand, but I do not agree with. And I will say this, and this is. And I don't really care if I offend anybody as a Catholic, as a practicing Catholic, who goes to church on Sunday and puts money in the. In. In my church basket every single Sunday, and very much believes in the institution and the fabric of Catholic education, the Catholic Church, and what Catholics have done to help this country. The bishops are spineless. The bishops are 100% spineless. The pope, especially the last Pope, absolutely spineless. They love to sit there and play footsie with the media and get nice coverage. Listen, we can understand how. Why the Catholic Church has gotten a ton of bad press over the last two decades. I don't want to spell it out, we don't have to go into it. You know what I'm talking about. However, there are things that Catholics do that are very popular, that are very, you know, the Catholic schools educated the best and the brightest in this country country. Catholic Charities like, you know, have done so much. Not the institution, but the Catholic Charities Small C Charities has done so much to feed the poor and clothe them and during the AIDS crisis and what they did for, for AIDS patients, I mean the Catholic hospitals have done so much. I don't have to read the whole list of things that we have done as an institution. Not me necessarily, but every, every Catholic who sat there and made sure that the Church had money to do those things did for them. They, they are struggling with decades of bad publicity. And so they do anything to be popular to a liberal consensus. And also the Church is broke. The Church is bankrupt, functionally. So the Pope is very much understanding and Rome is very much understanding. There are a lot of Catholics of Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi's age range who are very liberal and are preparing their wills and so they want to be part of it. Like they're not playing dumb. They understand that the, the 70s and 19, the people who are 70 and 80 and 90 plus are more liberal if they are church going than 20 year olds who are church going, who are much more conservatives. The priests are much more conservative. They, they understand it. When it comes to immigration, I take cues from, and I understand what, what the background of the Church is that, you know, we are a global, we are a global church. We're a global, you know, nation and we should embrace whatever, okay, that's all good, great and fine. That is not the world we living. There is a man. If you're not Catholic or you don't even, or you may be, but you're not, you're, you're definitely in a different level of Catholicism than, than maybe I am as far as participation goes. There's a cardinal named Cardinal Sarah. He's from Africa. Wonderful. Very, very, very smart man who has beautiful writings on a lot of things including immigration. And in 2019 and 2020, Cardinal Sarah wrote, he wrote this during the entire mass wave of refugees moving to Europe. He said this. If the west continues in this fatal way that there, there is a great risk that due to a lack of birth, it will disappear. Disappear. Invaded by foreigners, just as Rome was invaded by barbarians. It's better to help people flourish in their culture than to encourage them to come to Europe in full Decadence. It is a false use of the word of God to promote migration. If Europe disappears and with it the priceless value of the old continent, Islam will invade the world and we will completely change our culture and moral vision. The ideology liberal individualism promotes a mixing that is designed to erode the natural borders of homelands and cultures and leads to a post national and one dimensional world where the only thing that matters is consumption and production. I fully believe that that is a lot of my moral compass as to why to reject immigration. There's a lot of economic things, there's a lot of, you know, identity issues, there's a lot of electoral issues. At the end of the day, day, if we are a nation that has no identity, if Europe is a continent with no identity, if we are just as, as the last immigrant who walked through our doors, we cease as a people and they are robbed of their national identity and culture. That doesn't mean we can't have any immigrants. That means people can never move. But the culture and the identity that a nation is built around is unique and is special. And as much as we as Americans embrace the idea of rugged individualism, we are extremely unique as a people, as a block. There is no one else like an American. There is no one else. And actually it's very funny. I was took part in a poll in the uk, a panel in the UK of Americans feelings towards Brits and they went down the list and they asked every American where would you move if you could move anywhere? And when they came to me, I said I, I would always live in America. There is no place like this on the planet, nowhere even close. I would vacation in Italy, I would go on a cruise somewhere. I would, you know, I would do that. That's great. Where would I live? No, I would, I would have them all back in Argentina. But where would I live? I would only live in America. This is my people and this is my place. And we are unique and we are special. And I don't want to want to be some other people in some other place. And maybe I am bigoted or whatever or nativist for saying that, but it is how I feel. And I am a voter and I elect a government to reflect my interests and so do you. And I believe in. And when it comes to faith, I believe in the words of Carl Sara, that this is very important because we are robbing in the name of rugged individualism and endless capitalism where the only thing that matters is growth for the sake of growth. It's the ideology of libertarians cancer cells that we are robbing culture and identity and that it becoming a very, very valued thing. That is my point. Thank you for that question. Thank you for all these questions. We'll be back on Wednesday with another episode where I'll talk about an issue. We won't do all ask me any things but I love this part of the show. So thank you everyone for emailed. I still have more emails to go. I will get to them all. I promise you. If I skipped your email it's just because either I don't have the research for it yet or the data isn't in for it yet. But I will get to you. I promise. Thank you all for listening. If you like this podcast, please like and subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast YouTube. Please subscribe to my YouTube channel and I will see you guys on Wednesday. Thank you.
- [43:58]
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