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Welcome back to A Numbers Game with Ryan Graduski. Thank you again for being here. Another episode of uh. And I have been receiving tons of emails, text messages, tweets, and it's all about the same exact thing. What the hell happened in New York City? So for those of you who do not know, which I'm sure everyone does, but I'll recap them. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has been the favorite to win the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York City for a while now. He only announced three months ago, but he has been a de facto candidate in the race for well over a year and was assumed to be the leading contender. He lost to an upstart assemblyman named Zoran Mamdani, probably the furthest left wing candidate nominated by a major party in any major city. Yeah, he's further to the left of the mayor of Chicago, Los Angeles, Washington D.C. he's probably even to the left of the mayor of Boston, which is pretty hard because she is a flat out commie. Not an actual comic, but she's very far green energy. All the rest of it. He's to the left of her. Drew Cuomo ultimately received 362,000 votes to Mandani's 432,000. It was 43.5 to 36.5% as a seven point loss. Now, because of ranked choice voting, it's this way that New York counts their votes, which is absolutely, incredibly stupid. They do this in the primary, we won't. Mandami won't have not officially won for a couple of days, probably until Monday is my guess, or Friday. But he is the de facto candidate. Cuomo had called him to concede the election. He is a vocal supporter of defunding the police. He wants to arrest Bibi Netanyahu if he visits New York City. He wants to end the specialized schools for gifted and talented students. He wants to raise taxes, make public buildings green at the cost of $3.27 billion to tax payers. He wants to freeze rents. He wants to have government controlled grocery stores. He opposes New York City working with ICE officers to deport criminal aliens who commit crimes. This shouldn't be shocking. It is AOC with testicles. He is to the left of every other candidate in the race and the city at whole, at at large. There was one candidate, Paper Boy Love. He might have been to the left of Mandani, but I don't really, I didn't really read up too much on him anyway. One of the smartest comments I saw about this election came from Gavin Wax. He's the former president of the New York Young Republicans. He's unknown for a very long. And he said on Twitter, calling Mandani a socialist and an anti Israel on repeat didn't hurt him. It helped him with those attacking convinced no one. Politics is already incredibly radicalized locally and nationally. Either offer a radical counter or accept the defeat with a boilerplate talking point and sloganeering. I agree with what Gavin said because that's the truth. Mandani's message, as insane as it was to everyone with an IQ above, you know, room temperature, which is in New York, 100 degrees. So with anyone with an IQ above 100, it seems like it's crazy. But to people who are of the left persuasion are still in the Democratic Party, that was the dreams and possibilities realized. What he was saying was this was, was speaking to their values, that they could sit there and reach for the stars, that they can make New York this progressive state, this progressive city, which it's really more of an establishment Democrat city, always has, but not really that much of a progressive city. Um, and he really reached to wealthy voters, wealthy, high income, high college, degree holding voters who want to make believe that they are standing up for the working class, even though the policies that they advance are punishing them. Because while the right may may look at Mandani as some kind of jihadist, which was like the stupidest hot take I saw from a bunch of right wingers on. On Twitter, the truth is he's just a cultural Marxist. He just views society in the lens of identity and those who use identity as a tool to bring Marxism. This is no different than Chavez used race and economic anxiety to flip Venezuela. And once he did democratically one time, that's all he needed. Cuomo's message throughout the election was about, you owe me because I'm Andrew Cuomo. I'm the Nepo baby who moved across the political spectrum while I was governor and had to resign in disgrace. It was really about him. And he was like, I can write these ships. I can make everything calm and easy and make people want to stay New York at a slow pace. The decline I'm gonna. I'm gonna manage. The decline of New York was essentially Cuomo's message. It was his message as governor too. Mandani's message is about creating a progressive paradise in the largest city in America. It has much more appeal than managed decline. That's the difference between a lot of neoliberalists and Nationalists on the right and progressives on the left. And he wasn't the only one who lost New York City yesterday. Former congressman, former. My former congressman, the first person I ever voted for, he was running unopposed when I voted for him, but was Anthony Weiner. He lost a city council seat when he ran because he was running on this message of I'm going to come back. And New Yorker said, no, we've seen this movie before and we're kind of done with it. And Wiener was a very far left 10 years ago, 13 years ago when he had to resign in disgrace, or 14 years ago now, but he was. The left has moved so far left that Wiener is then considered a more moderate voice in the Democratic Party now. And Cuomo is a right winger, which is insane because he did the endless cash bail. People living in most parts of Manhattan, but especially the areas around the highly educated places like the people not necessarily in Manhattan, but off of Manhattan, those who never, I don't know, couldn't afford the $10,000 a month rent, so they settled for the $5,000 a month rents. A lot of them living off their parents, by the way, they're only passing through New York. They're going to settle here like they settle in a number of cities in their life. They're very progressive, they're very high educated, they vote often, they vote early, they vote frequently, and they vote to the left. And New York City is become a sponge for those kinds of people. New York City, if you have blue hair and 36 genders and you don't know if you like a boy or girl, you are a boy or girl. Why would you stay in Long island for? Why would you stay in most parts of Connecticut or Kentucky or Ohio? You don't have to. You can come to New York, especially to these areas of high progressive activism and find a home. And maybe they won't stay there, but they come to New York with this dream that New York is still the New York I was born and raised into. Like New york is this 24 hour city full of energetic artists, when it's not. I mean, it was for a very long time, but it's not. It's all corporate now. It's not a 24 hour city anymore. Artists aren't breaking any ground. It's not particularly edgy like it used to be, and that's just my opinion. But it's still the best city in America. But they're passing through it and changing it. And as go New York will go the rest of the country. I Heard this big thing. Let just New York burn. The entire Democratic leadership is in New York City. Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, all of these people, Jerry Nadler, all of these people are in New York and they are looking at an electorate that is mad and insane. And they have to sit there and do something in order not to get primary, in order to move to that insane left. That's where they're going to be running to. So you can't just say screw it. New Yorkers deserve what they get. San Francisco had that appeal and eventually elected this unknown woman named Nancy Pelosi who happened to be the third most powerful person in the country or third in line for the presidency and most powerful person in the House of Representatives for six years and fundamentally changed all of America. You can't just sit there and say, oh, screw them. Whatever the people who lived away from Manhattan, those who depend on the police, who work as police officers, or in the social services, who depend on social services, who were less educated and maybe don't have a college degree, really not a post doctorate, they did not vote for Mandani, but they didn't vote as much. I want to get into the numbers so you can understand this sponge effect of these highly progressive left wing voters in this very small geographic area, how it changed the entire city. So if you look at the area around Manhattan on the Brooklyn and Queenside, there's a bunch of neighborhoods. New York is broken up when they do elections by assembly district. Assembly is the State House, right? We call it a Assembly instead of State House, whatever the state assembly districts. There are 65 assembly districts in New York City. There are 10 that border Manhattan. 30 A.D. 34, 36, 37, 46, 50, 51, 52, 53, 56 and 57. If you're playing at home, those are the numbers you want to look at. Was 10 districts gave Mandani 135,624 votes out of the 432,000 he received. A third of all of his votes came from these 10 assembly districts, which represent about 15% of all the assembly seats in New York. So one in three voters came from only about 15% of the entire geographic makeup and population makeup of New York City. Cuomo, on the other hand, he received about 12% of his total vote from this exact area. He didn't underperform that much relative to the rest of the rest of the city. I mean, matching it over, he underperformed, but it wasn't like it wasn't, it wasn't he couldn't get 1%, you know what I mean? He didn't get zero, he just did underperform. But it didn't matter because he balanced it out in these other areas further away from Manhattan. And he did very well in some precincts, like in the Orthodox Jewish areas. But that didn't matter because the vote total was incredibly different of where they were voting. Astoria, Queens, which is one neighborhood, right? It's one little neighborhood in that area, in that region, it had more voters than all the other working white class or middle class white majority areas of Queens county combined. So like Middle Village, that's the area I was born and raised in at 2200 votes. Howard beach, all very prominent, tiny neighborhood, had 1600 votes. Whitestone, another it's very Asian and white mixed neighborhood, 2300 votes. Storia, this beacon of progressivism, these voters that made AOC a congresswoman, these voters that give the far left all their seats, they had 25,000 votes. That's more than the Borough Park Brooklyn area of Orthodox Jews. Everyone was excited. They were going to vote. They had 8,000 votes. This progressive area had 25, three times as many. They had more voters in that area than in the working class black neighborhood, which has tons of voters. It's not the people weren't there, they didn't vote. They just didn't show up and vote. And I think it's important to realize where now the New York Times had this whole entire chart about what races broke up with it. It's very stupid because highly educated voter white voters live in areas that might be majority black, but it's like 50% black, 25% white. But if you count the turnout, it's actually a higher percent white and lower percent black. So I don't want to do it by race when it comes to that, except if you look at the super majority areas like the Dominican part of the Bronx, which is essentially all Dominican, or the black area of Queens is all black. If you look at economics though, if you look at finances, the wealthiest districts in the city broke for Cuomo, about 250,000 more. That's upper east side, Upper west side. Everything else aside from that, in the 1000-001501-10113,000 range, they voted for Manani. Areas that had an income, an a net average income of $117,600 a year or greater voted for Mandani by 42.5 to 29.3. Those of middle income, which was 63,000 to $117,000 income. This is from the New York Times, 63,000 to 117,000 income voted for Manani by 10 points. It was working class areas that gave Cuomo 13 point margin, 50 to 37. A reporter from the Economist said that Cuomo support was the very rich and the very poor. And it was Mandani support that were above living wage, college degree holders, people who didn't own homes, transient people, millennial people. Right. That's who gave Cuomo his support. Cuomo did very well in very white areas, very black areas, very Hispanic areas. Mandani did well in very mixed areas. Areas where transients have moved and displaced people and intergenerational people. There was a huge from the Asian community, which surprised me, given that he's opposed to specialized schools. And that's the number one issue. But you had progressive state senators and state legislators in, in New York City campaigning for Mandani. You had a huge turn among the Muslim population, which is not a huge population in New York, but it's there. It is there. And in some areas, in the Latino areas, he did very, very well. He did very, very well. Among some, some places. People were coming kind of either making this analogy that it was all rich white people or it was all imm. That's not true. It's just not true. It's kind of a little bit of both. It was a lot of affluent millennial my generation, unfortunately, white transient people who lived outside of Manhattan between borough, between Bay Ridge, Brooklyn and Astoria, Queens. But there were also huge pockets of recent immigrants that also supported Mandani. It wasn't one or the other. It was ancestral New Yorkers. People have been there, Multigenerational New Yorkers in communities like the one I grew up in that voted for Cuomo. It was completely one sided that voted for Cuomo. People have been there forever. Now I explained before about the working class issue. Here's where Cuomo had issues. Working class voters are not as monolithically Democrat in New York City as they used to be. Remember, New York City is a nine to one Democratic city, but among newly registered voters, it's close to one to one. From 2024 to 2025, New York City added 68,000 new active registered Democrats and 57,000 new active Republicans. Right. But it's not even across the city. So Staten island, which obviously is the reddest part of New York City and one of the reddest parts of the state, they added almost 6,000 new registered Republicans. From 2024 to 2025, they added 94 new Democrats in the Bronx. Republicans added 11,000. Five new Republicans, active Republicans, Democrats only had less than 1900 Democrats. 1895. That's 9,000 more new repub in the Bronx than Democrats. The bluest part of the city, the most working class part of The City, Queens. 18,643 new Republicans. 10,000 new Democrats. 8,000 more Republicans and Democrats in Queens. So where do all these Democrats come from, these new Democrats, these new progressives? Manhattan and Brooklyn, those two boroughs. 22,000 new Republicans, 55,000 new Democrats. So a party that is set in its ways or a candidate that's set in its ways of winning traditional New Yorkers, One, a lot of them have been outpriced out of the city. But two, they are not as Democrat as they used to be. And that's why Andrew Cuomo's campaign had issues. It was a larger coalition of people. But they're not all Democrats anymore. The Democratic Party had left them behind. And the ones left even in Staten island are the most progressive ones. These pockets of where Democrats are living and where these progressives are active in Astoria, in Williamsburg, in Bay Ridge, these Democratic areas that are, that are left even in the working class areas are becoming more extreme because centrists are leaving to either become Republicans or independents are not feeling compelled to go vote. Especially for Andrew Cuomo, who was not a great governor, resigned in disgrace. Whether it was accurate his accusations or not, but he was resigned in disgrace and that most of the party had turned its back on. And by the way, in 2025, as a Democrat was running as a straight white man, which does not win you points. And I want fellow Republicans to hear what I'm about to say. I know that we're going to have a very honest moment with what I want to say. We spent the last decade laughing and mocking and battling Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and Barack Obama and Joe Biden. And we are going to miss them. Compared to what is coming, they are what is coming out of the Democratic Party now. Out of the elements that are left in this Democratic Party are whack, a doodle duel. And I know a lot of older Republicans, boomer Republicans say, oh, they'll grow up when they pay taxes. These people are in their 40s, some of them, they're never growing up. This is their world and they intend to change it to make every part of the country look and act like them. They are crazy and they are coming out in full force. And then Donnie, like AOC is just the beginning of what we're going to see. I want to talk to you if there's any chance of a Republican winning this mayor's race. I want to talk to you if there's any chance for an upset, and if there's anything that we can learn ahead of the midterms coming out of this New York City mayoral election. So stay tuned.
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Do the Republicans have a shot in hell in November of winning New York City? First of all, let me explain the race. There was a ranked choice voting in the primary. There is not ranked choice voting in the general. Whoever has the most votes wins. And it is a five way race. New York State has very confusing election laws that allow candidates to run under multiple parties. It's called a Wilson Pakula, so it allows candidates to create their own parties and Andrew Cuomo did so. Governor Cuomo is on the ballot in November despite losing the Democratic primary. He's under a party called the Fight and Deliver Party. Andani will be under the Democrat Party and likely the Working families party. Former U.S. attorney and former registered Democrat Jim Walden will be running as an independent. Current Mayor Eric Adams will also be running as an independent. And radio host and founder of the Guardian Angel Curtis Lewa will be running as a Republican and the Conservative Party candidates. Lewa ran in 202021 and received slightly less than 28% of the vote, which is actually even worse than Trump did in 30%. President Trump has substantially increased his support in New York City every time he's run for office. Now I want to talk about the Trump of it, all right? Because a lot of die hard Trump voters believe if you Just run a Trump like candidate anywhere, you'll win. Right? So 2016, Trump received 494,000 votes in New York City, about 18% total of the vote. I was one of them. In 2020, he got 691,000 votes, which is 23%. Once again, I was one of them. And in 2024, he received 786,000 votes or 30% of the vote. I was one of them again too, if anyone's wondering. But from 494,000 to 786,000 is a substantial gain over 12 years. And actually the last number, 786,000, is more than Eric Adams received in 2021 for Curtis Lewa to win, which is very unlikely and I'm not going to sugarcoat it, but a perfect storm would have to occur. Eric Adams, Andrew Cuomo and Jim Walden would have to take votes from Mandani along Democrats who don't agree with either his personality or they can't vote for a socialist, but they would also never vote for a Republican in I'm talking about voters in the Upper west and Upper east side, the heavily Dominican areas of the Bronx, the black areas of Brooklyn and Queens, areas that will never vote for a Republican unless they're Michael Bloomberg, but they will never vote for a Republican. An Emerson poll, which turned out to be correct in this primary election, found that only 35% of New Yorkers right now are committed to voting for Mandani. 21% are saying they'll vote for Adams or Walden. Cuomo was not included on this list. 16% said they're voting for SLIWA and 27% are undecided. Democrats would have to be committed to the idea that it is more important to stop their brand from being destroyed by Mandani, who will be the face of the Democratic Party then worried about Sliwa serving one term. And they have to be committed to trying to siphon off votes from Democrats. Everyone's sitting there and asking me, can Curtis drop out? Can we all endorse Eric Adams or vice versa? No. Their names will be on the ballot. You also don't want an Eric Adams to drop out because there are voters that will vote for Eric Adams but not for Curtis Lewa and vice versa. And also Curtis's name was on the ballot no matter what. No one's going to be able to drop out to get their name off of the ballot. It is on the ballot. Sleevel would have to run a competent campaign where he gets an increased percentage of the Trump vote out in 2021. He got 45% of Trump votes that came out of the 2020 election. In New York. This time you'd have to get closer to 60%, which is about 160,000 more New Yorkers that voted for Trump but had not voted for him in the last election. And Democrats, the Walden Adams Cuomo coalition would have to take about 300,000 Democrats with them in November, which is no easy task. It's not like that's, you know, baked in the cake. Is it possible? Anything is. Is it likely? No. But can it happen? Yes. Some people are asking online, like, you know, why did we pick Curtis Lewa? Why did Republicans pick a candidate that's not that strong? I mean, Curtis, I like Curtis. I've met him many times. Perfectly nice person. But why didn't they choose a stronger candidate? There was a story in the New York sun about, I mean, Cuomo was not officially running, but was all but officially running for a very long time. And he was running on the idea of being a stable force, especially for business and for police. So a lot of Republicans who were considering running didn't want to face Cuomo. The idea of Cuomo losing seemed insane. They were like, this is not going to happen. And Sliwa had spent so much time energizing the base of the Republican Party, he's been campaigning since 2021. So by the time anyone looked around, Sliwa had it in the bag. And they were in these moderate Republicans who with money were betting on Cuomo. They were saying that this is, why would I have a kamikaze fight if I can't win the primary likely and Cuomo will be the nominee, then I'll just stick with Cuomo. And I'm going to tell my audience something. I've never told anyone this. I got a call, I want to say it was warm outside. So I want to say it was, it was probably last, late last summer, probably late last summer. And I got a call from a former New York Yankee, a multi time World Series winning New York Yankee from the 90s, one of the legacy Yankees, part of the dynasty. And he was interested in running for mayor. And we had a whole conversation about what it would take, how to beat Sliwa, how to do this race, how, how he would, you know, how much money he would have to invest, the coalition he would have to build. Because it's not the Giuliani coalition, it's not the Bloomb coalition. Those coalitions don't exist anymore. It's a new coalition. How would he have to do that. And he ultimately decided against that. And I was completely honest. I told him exactly, very frankly, this is what you'd have to do in order to run an effective campaign. And he just decided against it. And I'd say something else. I've never told anyone. I was asked to run for the New York City Council this year by the by with the gop. They asked me many, many, many times to run for a New York City Council seat, a competitive one that I think if I ran, I would win. I'm not. I think I could have won this one, but I would have to give up everything. And I wasn't. I mean, I would have to give up not just the podcast, but my pack and my number. Everything would have to be given up because you can't hold any other jobs by being in the City Council besides being the city Council. And I worked so hard to build it that I wasn't willing to, at this moment in my life, give everything up to run for office. So that's why, you know, that's why I wasn't picked. That's why he wasn't picked either. But the cards were built and decked there for quite some time for Curtis Lewis, and people were so convinced about Andrew Cuomo that they didn't go along with it. So what does this mean for the general election? Now, listen, there are absolutely parts of the Democratic base that the party doesn't understand. Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and the rest of the coalition of the governing class of the Democratic Party, they don't understand the. There's a very vocal and loud and strong part of their base in major cities that reject core values of this country, that truly hate Jewish Americans, not just the state of Israel, but hate the idea of Jews that really want socialism and support for criminality and race based identity politics infused in every area of our country. And the face of that movement, Mandani, if he is, if he wins in November. If you think they were able to raise money off of aoc, you have no idea what they'll be able to raise off Mandani. Because at least AOC was good looking. And enough people felt, you know, even though she was, they felt that she was either dumb or crazy or whatnot, but there was a certain appeal to her among people that is not true of Mandani whatsoever. And he will, and he is radical and he will absolutely be a fundraising magnet for Republicans. But on its face, right on its face, what could this tell us about the general election? It says that Democrats are really in trouble. They really have to worry about this rising coalition of their party because they're going to take on establishment figure after establish figure until they knock them all out or they retire. And they're going to be the craziest people. They, you know, forget about compromise on a few issues. It will be all out war at all times. Partisan hackery to the maximum. Does it say about Republicans on its face? No. I mean, not really. It doesn't say that. This means it's going to, you know, Republicans are going to win or Democrats are going to lose or whatever. Because remember when Obama was president, Republicans won mayorships in New York. When, you know, Democrats won mayorships, Trump won. It doesn't mean one thing or the other. But there is that educational divide that we saw in this election that you should absorb for yourself. Remember I said Cuomo won a lot of a bigger portion. Cuomo actually won more assembly districts than Mandani did. He won a bigger physical region of New York. But this ultra hyper educated progressive people, they just showed up like, you know, they were going to get one of those free cars from Oprah Winfrey. They showed up in full force like you've never seen before. And they couldn't compete with that because they had the Democrats that Cuomo was counting on were lower educated. They did not vote as often. Education is tied a lot with voting habits. We are a party now that is really built on its back of the working class and the less educated. And going into this election, no matter if Trump is victorious in Iran and has all of these successes, it doesn't matter unless we can get these people to show up and yes, show up early and vote, vote early. It's so important. For Mandani, this election was decided before election day because he got so many early votes out. I thought there would be a big spike for election day for Cuomo, but there wasn't. Republicans are the party of the working class, increasingly the party of blue collar people of multiple races and ethnicities. We have to do the job of getting these people to show up and vote next November or we're going to lose a lot of seats. We're going to lose a lot of seats. We should be winning. That's really the lesson to take home is the educational splintering of our country. And why Cuomo lost was because non college educated people, or those with just a bachelor's or just an associates do not vote as frequently as those with a post postgraduate. There's less of them, but they vote more frequently and if you allow that to happen, you are allowing yourself to be governed by the minority. That's my segment for that. You know, we're going to look around and we're going to say, well, how do we lose all these seats if we don't wise up to that fact now and organize now? And, you know, I hope there is some way in which the stars align and Curtis Lee what can be elected mayor over Mandani despite it being very good for Republican fundraisers. Now, I want to get to the ask me anything segment of this show. This is the part that you guys send me emails, but literally anything I will try to answer. I'll do the research for you. I love these emails. I read every one of them. And those that I don't answer on the podcast, I try to respond to individually. So you can email me. By the way, be part of this segment. Ryan numbers game, podcast.com. that's plural. Ryanumbersgame. Podcast.com. okay, this message comes from Frank Leske. He says, ryan, I am a longtime fan and assiduous follower. Have a. But much higher vocabulary than me. Frank, I remember a few months back you talked about how if Democrats lost the Muslim vote in the Midwest, the issue is real issue would cease to be a bipartisan issue. Something I think absolutely sounds correct to me. Has there been any data on this recently? Since 2024 election, leading up to the 2026 midterms. Also, a suggestion. Let us know any podcasts or shows you're going to be on. And finally, are there any podcasts that you love and would recommend? Thank you so much. Okay, thank you for this wonderful email. I don't listen to a lot of political podcasts. I listen to a lot of history podcasts and some comedy podcasts. I don't know if you're into history podcasts. Usually what happens, I get into a thing and like, I just, I am completely immersed in it, where I will listen to seven podcasts on the same exact issue to see if I can spot, you know, inaccuracies or things I didn't know. So, like, this is so weird. Last month, May 30th, was the feast day of St. Joan of Arc. I am a practicing Catholic. I listened to, you know, 14 hours of Joan of Arc podcasts. I'm not joking. I was completely obsessed and engulfed. And I can't even tell you which ones I listened to because I listened to basically anyone that had that in the title. I was trying to listen to, to absorb it. I don't have an obsession right Now I'm actually just listening to an audiobook on the life of Woody Allen by Woody Allen, which is actually really fascinating over the Mia Farrow stuff, because I never really heard his side of the story before and I kind of agree with him. Anyway, as far as what shows I'm doing, I've just did Tommy Lahren show. That was great. This past week I put them on my Instagram, which I'm not really great at because I don't, I don't share it a lot on social media outside of just my ramblings on Twitter. But you can go to Ryan Gradusky on Instagram and I post my clips there and check them out and I'll try to do a good job. If I got a big interview coming up, I'm supposed to do Megyn Kelly this week and I am supposed to do Will Cow Majority. I don't know what times or anything like that, but I'm supposed to do those two shows. Okay, now, what he was referring to about the Muslim vote, which is the really heart of the question, what I said, I think I was on CNN when I said this, that because the Muslim vote was such a strong constituency in Michigan, that if Trump won Michigan because of the Muslim vote, especially on the Dearborn area, Democrats would see it as a warning sign and say we have to move and just appeal to just give up on the Jewish vote and just appeal to Muslims as, as a voting block. That did happen. Trump did win Michigan and he won not completely just because of the Muslim vote, but he won a huge chunk of the Muslim vote. I think he might have won the majority in some parts of Michigan. So that, that, that prediction I had happened that he would do that, that did happen. Has there been any polling on it? No. I went through it and I just was scrambling looking for any polling data, but there's nothing, not a lot. There's no nominees for the major parties in 2026, so there wouldn't be a lot of public polling data on it. And there's not good cross tabs on how the Muslim vote particularly feels about Trump right now, especially with the Israel war thing. So I couldn't really find anything. But I will go back to the beginning of the show. Look at Mandani. Mandani wants to arrest Bibi Netanyahu. Look at aoc. Look at all these Democrats. This is definitely a shot, a lens into the future. This is what they're going to be about. There will be no nuance. New York City has a ton of Jewish Voters. It is a ton of Jewish voters. It did not matter. The man who stands for Worldwide Infada one. I think that they have made it clear because it's not just the Muslims, it's progressives who also, who also will join in that effort. But it is, it is that. And also remember, it's not just Muslims in the Midwest. There's 321,000 Muslims in Michigan, but there's 270,000 in Virginia and 70,000 in Georgia and 100,000 in Arizona. And I think it was Pew Research put out the trajectories within the next decade, within the next 10 years, probably less than that. We will, for the very first time have more Muslims in America than we have Jews. And they will live in more important states. Jews are highly concentrated in a handful of states, the most important being Pennsylvania and then I guess Florida. But Florida is no longer a swing state. So Pennsylvania Muslim population is very high and it's concentrated in Georgia and Michigan and Minnesota. And there's a lot in Arizona, there's a lot in Virginia, there's a lot in Nevada. That's the swing states. Governor Abbott is bringing them by the boatloads to Texas. So if Texas ever becomes a swing state, yeah, they'll matter a ton. So there's no polling yet. Doesn't mean that there won't be polling. I think that the signs are very obvious that that is how the party is headed and you'll have like the people to judge of the world. Still trying to be very nuanced about the Israel issue for Democrats. But then you will have a hardcore progressive who will be like, no, FM it global, Infada all the way. Who knows if they'll win, but they'll have a very, very strong base to work with. And we just saw it in New York City. That's my podcast for this Thursday's episode. Stay tuned and check out Monday's episode. Actually, listeners gave me the idea for the episode, so I'm responding to. This is why I love getting these emails. I not only respond to them, sometimes I make whole episodes. But then we have a special guest to talk about an issue that listeners asked me enough times about that I said, but let's make a full episode. So please check us out on Monday, like, and follow us on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast. Wherever you get your podcast, throw us a five star. I check out, see how my stars are doing and I would love to get one from you. It would really, really help. So thanks again for listening. I'll See you Monday.
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Podcast Summary: The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
Episode: It's a Numbers Game: New York’s New Normal: The Rise of Socialist Power at City Hall
Release Date: June 26, 2025
In this episode of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, hosted by iHeartPodcasts, Ryan Graduski delves into the recent New York City mayoral election, analyzing the unexpected rise of socialist candidates and the shifting political landscape of one of America's most iconic cities.
Ryan Graduski opens the discussion by summarizing the key developments in the New York City mayoral race. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, long considered the frontrunner and a favorite for the Democratic nomination, faced a surprising defeat at the hands of Zoran Mandani, an upstart assemblyman identified as one of the furthest left-wing candidates among major parties in any major city.
Ryan Graduski (03:15):
"Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has been the favorite to win the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York City for a while now, lost to an upstart assemblyman named Zoran Mandani, probably the furthest left-wing candidate nominated by a major party in any major city."
Cuomo garnered 362,000 votes compared to Mandani's 432,000, marking a seven-point loss with a vote distribution of 43.5% to 36.5%. This outcome was further complicated by New York's ranked-choice voting system, delaying the official confirmation of results until several days post-election.
Andrew Cuomo:
Once a prominent Democrat, Cuomo's campaign was marred by his previous resignation amid scandal. His platform centered on managing New York's decline, emphasizing stability and support for business and police forces. However, his policies, such as defunding the police, ending specialized schools, and freezing rents, positioned him to the right of the political spectrum in the current race.
Ryan Graduski (07:45):
"Cuomo's message throughout the election was about, you owe me because I'm Andrew Cuomo. I'm the Nepo baby who moved across the political spectrum while I was governor and had to resign in disgrace."
Zoran Mandani:
Mandani emerged as a socialist candidate advocating for progressive reforms, including arresting Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu if he visits the city, ending specialized education for gifted students, and implementing government-controlled grocery stores. His platform resonated strongly with highly educated, affluent millennials and progressive activists within key New York neighborhoods.
Ryan Graduski (08:50):
"Mandani's message is about creating a progressive paradise in the largest city in America. It has much more appeal than managed decline."
The election outcomes revealed significant insights into voter behavior and demographic shifts:
Mandani's Strongholds:
Cuomo's Support Base:
Ryan Graduski (12:30):
"Mandani did well in areas with an average income of $117,600 a year or greater by 42.5 to 29.3%, and middle-income areas by 10 points. Working-class areas, however, leaned towards Cuomo by a 13-point margin."
A critical factor in Mandani's victory was the high turnout among highly educated and progressive voters, contrasted by lower participation rates among the non-college-educated populace. This divergence highlighted an educational divide influencing electoral outcomes.
Turnout Statistics:
Party Dynamics:
The Democratic Party's shift towards more extreme progressive policies has alienated centrist and traditional voters, contributing to the rise of candidates like Mandani. Additionally, the influx of new Republicans in traditionally Democratic strongholds like Staten Island and parts of Queens indicates a realignment of political affiliations based on evolving socio-economic factors.
Ryan Graduski (18:00):
"We're allowing ourselves to be governed by the minority... Educational splintering of our country is why Cuomo lost."
Graduski extrapolates the New York City election results to broader national trends, suggesting that the Democratic Party may face challenges as progressive factions gain prominence. The potential for increased polarization and the emergence of more extreme candidates could reshape the political landscape in upcoming elections.
Republican Prospects:
Despite a significant surge in Republican support in New York City over recent elections, securing a mayoral victory for Republicans appears unlikely without unprecedented shifts in voter coalitions.
Democratic Concerns:
The rising influence of progressive ideologies within the party may lead to further fragmentation and internal conflicts, potentially weakening the party's overall cohesion and electoral prospects.
Ryan Graduski (20:45):
"This means it's going to, you know, Republicans are going to win or Democrats are going to lose or whatever. But there is that educational divide that we saw in this election that you should absorb for yourself."
In response to listener inquiries, Graduski addresses questions about the Muslim vote's impact on elections and the future trajectory of the Democratic Party.
Ryan Graduski (25:00):
"We will, for the very first time, have more Muslims in America than we have Jews... They are concentrated in Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Arizona, Virginia, Nevada—those swing states."
Ryan Graduski (25:45):
"Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and the rest of the governing class of the Democratic Party, they don't understand the... there's a very vocal and loud and strong part of their base in major cities that reject core values of this country."
Ryan Graduski concludes the episode by emphasizing the need for political parties to adapt to changing voter demographics and educational divides. He underscores the importance of voter turnout, especially among working-class and less-educated populations, to prevent minority groups from disproportionately influencing election outcomes.
Ryan Graduski (26:30):
"The lesson to take home is the educational splintering of our country... We have to do the job of getting these people to show up and vote next November or we're going to lose a lot of seats."
Graduski also teases future episodes and encourages listeners to engage with the show through emails and social media, fostering an interactive community around these critical political discussions.
On Mandani's Appeal:
"Mandani's message is about creating a progressive paradise in the largest city in America."
— Ryan Graduski (08:50)
On Voter Turnout:
"Educational splintering of our country is why Cuomo lost."
— Ryan Graduski (18:00)
On the Future of the Democratic Party:
"There is a very vocal and loud and strong part of their base in major cities that reject core values of this country."
— Ryan Graduski (25:45)
This episode provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolving political dynamics in New York City, highlighting the rise of socialist candidates and the implications for future elections. Ryan Graduski offers insightful perspectives on voter behavior, party strategies, and the broader national political climate, making it a must-listen for anyone interested in understanding the shifting contours of American politics.
For more detailed discussions and future episodes, follow The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show on your preferred podcast platform.