← The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
It's a Numbers Game: Politics, Unfiltered: Answering Your Burning Questions
00:30:35
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Ryan Gradusky
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- [03:15]
Ryan Gradusky
Welcome back to a Numbers Game Podcast with Ryan Gradusky. Welcome to the very special Ask Me Anything episode. When Bucks Sexton told me to start doing this segment of the show, I was like, okay, this sounds great, but I got so few questions. My first few weeks I was texting friends and co workers and family members like give me a question. I have no one who sent me questions and thankfully that is no longer the case. I have gotten so many questions. We have a backlog that I want to get to. It is the dead of summer and I figured why not have a special episode where I thank the listeners for being with me here and answering some of your questions. And if you want to be part of future Ask Me Anything segments of the show at the of the podcast, email me ryan numbers game podcast.com that's Ryan numbers plural numbers game podcast.com I read every email and I would love to hear from you. So let's go to some listener questions. First up is Joel from Ohio. I love your show and wish it came out before 7am Because I'm often busy and can't get to until later in the day. But today is a slow day. Anyway, my question has to do with the situation in Iran. My concern is that the Iranian regime will fall and that there will be chaos in the streets. That's no good for anyone. What I'd like to see is a government in exile be formed with the support of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates and Israel that's able to take power on day one. Here's the question. Is any polling organization asking in its current polls if the poll, if the poly would support regime change, if Iran change in Iran, if there was a government in exile waiting for power. Great question, Joel. Appreciate it. So I think the problem with the question you're asking is in the framing. The idea of regime change to the minds of Americans means boots on the ground and that is extremely unpopular. That's what people go to when they hear regime change. According to a Washington Post poll from June 23, just 22% of Americans support military intervention aimed at toppling the current government of Iran, while 48% oppose only 36% of Republicans. They support sending troops into Iran. So there's no appetite at all. And all polling surrounding the term regime change is, is directly related in the minds of people, whether correct or incorrect, to military intervention, I. E. Boots on the ground. I know that's probably not what you meant, but that's what people think. Now here's the idea of a government in exile. The problem is Iranians, according to the polls available, which is very limited. I will give you that note first. It's extremely limited, but according to the polls available, Iranians aren't exactly sure what kind of government they even want. A 2023 Gaman survey of 158 online Iranian respondents said that 81% rejected the Islamic Republic, but 22% actually favored a constitutional monarchy as the alternative. 28% wanted a presidential republic and 12% wanted a parliamentary republic. So while the Iranian people don't like the current Islamic regime, who knows what future government they want. And they have to be part of that process and they have to decide that for it to be legitimate. We can't decide that for them. And that's where it gets a little complicated. But thank you for your question. Next up, Casey, she writes, new listener to your show but loving it. My question is an issue that is being underreported is the immense pushback from Senator Mike Lee has faced for his amendment. In the second in the Senate reconciliation bill that would sell millions of acres of public land in western states, right leaning groups and voters have publicly denounced the bill with one of the loudest voices coming from hunters who lean right right. Following the pushback from other western Republican senators, Mike Lee is rethinking his approach. Is it smart for Senator Lee to add such a controversial position to an already contentious bill? Could this be an issue that splinters the Republican Party? Thanks, cc. Okay, I got this email before that the amendment in question would have sold 3.3 million acres of land that the government owns that's managed by the Bureau of land Management and U.S. forest Services. It would have sold those 3.3 million acres and to private enterprise into private businesses. But because of pressure from Republican senators like the Montana Senator Tim Sheeney, it's out of the bill. So it wasn't even voted on. They took it right out of the bill. However, I think I'm going to give Mike Lee, a little Grace. I don't agree with the approach of just selling all of our government owned land, our federal owned land. Mike Lee has got libertarian leanings, so they don't support federal owned land, which I understand. But I think that specific to the state of Utah, unlike other states, the federal land brushes right up to some of their cities. It's not just like in the middle of nowhere like it is for some states. Places like St. George, Utah, which is one of the fastest growing parts of southern Utah, has very limited space because of the federal land. I think a better solution would be to look at where specific areas of federal land are. Stopping urban planning in very specific location, not millions of acres across the country, but you know, maybe a several few thousand acres in very select places. That would be a better alternative than Mike Lee's approach. But thank you for that question. Next up is John Buckwalter from Scottsdale, Arizona. By the way guys, if I mispronounce your name, you have to understand I can barely pronounce my own name. I think I got John's name correctly, but other people's names. If I mispronounce your name, I apologize. I am from New York. I can. I am missing whole syllables and consonants in my Alphabet. I am struggling through the English language. Please forgive me ahead of time. Okay Ryan, I just thought I would reach out and say thank you. I listen to a fair amount of conservative podcasts. I really like yours. I value quality information on relevant topics and guests and expert analysis. You do it like no one else I have found and you don't waste my time. Thank you. I hate wasting people's time. You must work really hard to do your research and organize guests. Are you on channels other than the free podcast that I should find you on? Great content deserves my support. Keep it up. Thank you so much John. That's really, really nice of you. I have a newsletter called the National Populist Newsletter on substack. It's $50 a year for a subscription and that's basically it. I have been asked many times to start a YouTube channel for this podcast. It's something I hope to do at some point this year is to get this on YouTube because people like to listen and watch a video, see me very animated with my hands flailing and all my Italian ness. But that is something that I plan on doing hopefully sometime this year if I can get around to it. I don't to do that though, so I'm going to figure it out. Another big fantasy goal of mine for this podcast eventually, if it continues to grow. And last month was my best month ever. So I'm so appreciative to every person who spends the 30 to 45 minutes hearing my voice. I you have no idea how grateful I am. No one in my family would do that if I paid them to do it. But a big goal of mine eventually, if it continues to grow, is I would love to do a live audience taping one day with like a guest. Like I would. Maybe I can ask Ann Coulter to do it with me one day. That would be fun in a theater or something. I don't think people would pay to attend that, but that would be fun. And that's something I would love to do. But as for right now, it's just the substack. So thank you for listening and maybe subscribe now. Let's go to Russell I'm going to mispronounce your name. Klug, I think. Hello Ryan, Great work on your show. I increasingly look forward to Mondays and Thursdays. I will try to be as concise as possible with 2016 and 2024 now in the Review Mirror. What do you think about and are there any numbers on the assumption often repeated by Democratic pundits in both election years that the US Will never elect a female president? Is the assumption that a Democrat nominee is more likely to win if Vance is the Republican heir apparent? Is there any possibility of a female VP picked over, say, Marco Rubio or another male cabinet member? I've included three major observations and one prompt about a candidate that have influenced my own thinking that possibly refutes the above assumption, the 2016 gender gap, which shows there was no difference between Clinton and the Trump debates candidate quality in the 2022 elections where female candidates won. I'm concising what he sits there and says, by the way, because it's paragraphs long. Donald Trump himself, no one thought that he was a serious candidate before he ran. And Sarah Palin that she was not hurt from being a woman. Okay, I appreciate he says, by the way, I appreciate your time that you take for your response. Okay, thank you so much, Russell. It says Russell Klug. I don't think I'm spelling that, pronouncing that name correct anyway. But Russell Klug, thank you very astute observations. I think Kamala Harris and Hillary Clinton set women politicians back in this country. I really do with their losses, especially Kamala. Even more than Hillary, I think people thought Hillary would be a fluke. And Kamala losing the popular vote and losing every swing state and making some states more competitive than they should have been really hurt female candidates. And I do think it will be bit of time before Democrats nominate a woman again. As far as Republicans go, my bigger question is who would they pick? Right now I've heard through the grapevine that Elise Stefanik is planning to make a run in 2028, whether or not she wins the governorship of New York. I'm sorry, but I don't think she's got a shot in hell. Allegedly Trump said that she looks like she. This is mean, but this is what I heard through the grapevine. Allegedly Trump said she's dresses like a couch. And the sad thing is we all know which couch he's talking about. It's the couch from Roseanne. We know it. A big part of it is not Canada quality in the sense of do they have what it takes? But are they doing the correct things now to launch a presidential bid? Are they making an efficient team? Do they have the donors in mind? I'll tell you, Sarah Huckabee Sanders definitely did a lot of damage to herself in Trump world when she refused to endorse him out of the gate. Katie Britt left a lot to be desired when she gave her rebuttal to the State of the Union and poisoned the well water a lot with how grabby she was during the VP Selection. Kristi Noem. She shot her dog, right? That ends that. There's no. America's not gonna vote for the lady who shot her puppy. I mean, you can say you want a woman president, but unless you can give a specific example, it's hard for me to give you a definitive answer on whether they can be the nominee. And there's a big difference between running for governor or Senate and running for president. Namely, you are the commander in chief of the armed services. So I don't know the answer. I know, like, my buddy Megan McCain really wants there to be a woman president one day. And people have mentioned a lot of names. I don't see someone on the horizon right now. It doesn't mean there can't be. But it's like, it's like someone saying, will there ever be a gay president? Not Pete Buttigieg. That's the answer to that. Will there be one? There's no Republican on the horizon. Could there be one? Maybe. But until you give me a name, I can't give you an answer. Okay. We'll be back with more listener questions after this brief break. Stay tuned.
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- [18:27]
Ryan Gradusky
Welcome back. Our next listener question comes from Andy Kirby. He writes. Hey Ryan, love the podcast and what you do for the 1776 project. I use numbers like number websites like numbers USA and liberty score to make sure that Republican politicians in my state aren't going along with libtard policies. I love that you said libtard. Is there any other, is there any other or better website like that to track how people are voting in D.C. and on state level stuff? Also, do we have a chance of winning the Governor's Mansion in Wisconsin replacing Tony Evers? Or do you have any other stories about Wisconsin other than why Tom Tiffany is the best elected representative in Wisconsin? Thanks so much. Okay Andy. No, there is not a better website. And I know this because I have told so many people like Amy Kramer and John McEntee and people I know. I'm like make this website. Make a MAGA score website for politicians. It would be a huge, huge hit. Right? Take big topics, trade, foreign policy, you know, infrastructure, whatever, immigration obviously. And rank how people vote and make sure people know how they're voting, how the representatives are voting in terms of things that you like and include amendments and stuff like this. And a lot of people have been interested but no one has done it and I don't understand why and I'm too busy to do it. But someone should do it. Someone has, should have been doing it for years as far as Wisconsin goes. My friend is Rebecca Kleefish. She does a lot of school board stuff with me like our non profits do. So I respect her a lot. I really like her. I think she'd be a great governor. I told her on the phone to run and she didn't really give me a clear answer. She was going to do it or not. Wisconsin is a very tough state and a lot of people from Illinois and Minnesota have moved there and taken their politics there. It was the closest swing state that voted for Trump in terms of the raw vote goes. You have to either get someone who has the Trump effect in the rural counties or runs decent numbers in the cities like Dane and Milwaukee, or you turn out the wild counties with huge numbers. So Wisconsin's a tough state to win. I mean, it's possible for sure. Tony Evers is going to be a prime target for a flip in Republican for the RGA in 2026, and I think they'll put a lot of money there, but I don't, I don't know. I mean, I have to see who the nominee is first. As far as Wisconsin stories go, it's tough. I've only ever done school board races. I've never actually visited the state. I have a lot of friends from Wisconsin who always tell me, come up there for the beer or the cheese and the lakes, and I have not had a chance to. It should be my bucket list, though, to go to Wisconsin. I heard it's a beautiful state, but I haven't been. Next question is from Olivia Hutchins. Okay, this is a very long question. I'm going to try to condense it. Olivia Ryan, I'm a huge fan of the podcast. I've been meaning to email you to cover some things about polling for my background, my evolution. We are around the same age. I'm 39, she's 39. I'm 38, but I'm 39. I'll be 40 next year. I canvassed for Hillary in 2007, voted for Obama in 08 and 12, Hillary in 16, cry when Trump won, then voted for Trump in 20 and 24 and couldn't be happier with how things are going. She's lived all around the country, from Philly to San Francisco to now Denver and moving back east. A couple of things. I'm pretty radical license becoming a mom and have no tolerance for bs, which is basically the entire left right now. Absolutely. Anything that puts my kids at risk is a no from me. And I'm wondering if you've seen any research, commentary or polling related to women with kids. I know married women tend to vote Republican, but I'm curious about why that is. I grew up pretty liberal, went to a private liberal arts school and then went to law school when the economy collapsed in 08, graduated with lots of debt I paid diligently for a decade plus and now considered a highly educated voter with degree. But I'm not particularly religious, so I don't think I fully fit the mold of a conservative woman voter. Interested to see if you've covered this or have any insight. She also asked about the birth rate for immigrants, about people who have self deported. Okay, so Olivia, thank you for your question. First, I will say this. I am a low education voter because I don't have a college degree. I'm a college dropout when I say low education and when people say low education, it should not be interpreted as low intelligence or low information. Those are two very separate things. And I think that that's very important because people get very tightly wound when they hear low education as if it means low information or low intelligence. It's not comparable. It's not the same thing at all when it comes to women with children under 18. I actually did this research for you. So this is according to exit polling, which is not the most accurate thing in the world, but is the only thing that actually examined this specific question. Women with children under 18 voted more Republican than women without children under 18 in the last election. According to CNN exit polls, which was done by the Edison foundation, white women with children under 18 voted for Trump by a margin of 18 points compared to 1 point for women without children under 18. Among Latina women, they voted double digits more for Trump than women without children did. Even though he didn't win them, he got a lot closer because of children with women. And the only group that appears to be an outlier to that trend is black women. Now remember I said this is exit polling. So Pew Research and other organizations that did this research, they didn't include that question. But their numbers for black women, how Trump performed, was actually better than the sampling in the exit polling. So maybe he did do better. But it seems obvious that the trend for Latino women and for white women especially, which there was a large sample size, is that he did significantly better. His margins were double digits better for both demographics when it came to do they have children under 18 or not. Why is that? Why do women with a, with a spouse and with children vote differently than those without? Because their priorities are different, their life experiences are different. And I think that there is something to women who don't. And this is. No, listen, everyone's their own choices in life. Don't get married, get married, have kids, don't have kids. I'm not putting you down for what I'm going to say, but I think it's worth saying there is something for women, especially liberal women who are middle aged or older, who don't have children, where politics and they tend not to be religious either, except for the nuns. Politics becomes their family, their kids, their church, their qvc. It's where they put money, it's where they put time, it's where they put energy, it's where they volunteer. I respect that immensely. You're part of the democratic process. That's great. But that is very much their world. And I have friends who fall in that bracket who are liberal and I maintain friendships with them because I think they're good people overall and I like them and. But they become exhausting about politics sometimes they really like to talk about it quite a bit more than I do. I don't like to talk about politics because I work in it. So it's not the same thing for me. But I think that's partly why on the second thing with deporting people, I read the full paragraph that I'm not going to read out loud. It's very hard for me to sit there and give you analysis on self deportation stories because there's no hard numbers. As I said in a previous question, a lot of it is just the New York Times or NPR interviewed this person or that person, they cried and they went home. There's. We just don't collect data like that. And until an organization does that, I don't have the answers. Eventually, hopefully I will. Okay, this next question comes from Ryan. Best name in the best name in the English language, Ryan. I say that, I say what you said on this podcast on Thursday all the time you want Nancy Pelosi gone, whoever replaces her will be 10 times worse. Same with Schumer, Nadler. Look at me in New Jersey. Republicans hated Menendez. Then we got Kim. Way worse. Your podcast is fantastic. Getting better and better. Keep it up. Ryan. Ryan, big fan of the name. Thank you so much. I know it wasn't a question, but thanks for the shout out. Yeah, the progressives that are coming forward like the Mandanis of the world will make Bill de Blasio look like Ronald Reagan. They are, you know, saturated in wokeness and in, in identity politics in that Marxism. It's going to not be great. It's just not going to be great. So I completely agree. Okay, last question. This one I'm reading is from Patty. I love your It's a Numbers Game podcast. I've been a Listener since you were on Clay and Buck. I really liked your New York's New Normal podcast even though I am from California. So interesting to hear you lay up what's happening in New York, which I believe is also filtering across the country and into California interest. Interesting to hear how people are voting based on race, gender, nationality and education. However, it's hard to hear the words lower education and less educated because that's me as a middle class person even though I have a college degree, just not a higher degree. I think where the people with real life experiences, forethought and common sense believe your podcast will get some New York conservatives voting in the polls. My vote is for you to do an in depth podcast on California, how they vote and who's voting. We have such a strong feeling California that it's really a purple state, but it always comes up with such strong blue states. Our representatives seem very lazy. They just vote with the Democratic Party no matter what the issue is. Would love to hear your analysis on California. I expect Kamala Harris will be our next governor because the DNC will pick her and Democrats just vote in line. Also, I expect Gavin Newsom is running for president even though he's made it a mess of California. Love your podcast response to an email or tidbits. Keep up the good work. Thank you Patty for that. Okay, you want a whole California episode? I will bring you a whole California episode. I will ask the people, I will get people on who are experts on California. Patty, your wish will be on my command. I will get an episode this summer on California. I have some data in my head. I know California's registered a lot of new Republicans. So first and foremost with the education thing, once again we have a college degree. You're actually not a low education voter. You are actually a college educated voter. So you, if you have a degree, you do not represent a low education voter. I, I represent a low education voter. I went to Queens College and dropped out with studying art. I was really not trying in school. I am the low education voter, but I'm not a low informed voter and I'm a very high active voter. The problem with low education voters, oftentimes people without a college degree is they don't vote frequently and they have, if you're looking at overall demographic things, they have a lot of antisocial behaviors in the sense they don't attend churches or nonprofits, they don't give to charity as much, they're less likely to have many friends. All of these things are not great for them. Their health and and the health of the country. And I want non college educated voters to be more engaged like you know, like myself. And that's a lot of middle class behavior come from those kinds of things like participation in in things like church and non profits and groups and closeness to family. All that stuff really does matter. Savings and all the rest of it. All that is very tied together as far as race and education. How they vote is race, religion and gun ownership. Those are the three biggest indicators. Gun ownership still huge indicator, race less so because of the political realignment. It's becoming more education than race related. But I will give you a whole episode in California and I will talk all about it and we will go into it, I will bring experts on and that's what I will do for you Patty. We'll do that for a future episode. Okay, I have one more segment. I know I usually do an ask me anything segment for the show for the last segment, but that's kind of redundant since this whole episode has been I have a very cool story about Nancy Pelosi's daughter and me sharing a bus ride which I will share with you. You Coming up next.
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- [34:30]
Ryan Gradusky
Welcome back to our final segment of this episode. Okay, so I have a funny story that kind of crawled back in my memory a while ago and I was like I gotta share this with the podcast because I've never talked about this in real life. Just like in conversation but never on like a show. In 2013 I there's a thing in New York called the Mega Bus. And basically, if you booked a ride early enough, you could get a ride from New York to D.C. for a dollar. And that was like the enticing thing. And if you were broke like I was in 2013, I don't know how old I was, but I was definitely broke. In 2013, you can get a cheap ride for a dollar to Washington dc. So I booked my ride, I think it was like, for $5. And I'm waiting on some corner in Manhattan waiting for this bus to show up, and this woman dressed all in purple comes and stands next to me and is just chatting my ear off, asking how much I paid. I paid $5, she paid $9. Whatever it was, her bicycle was just stolen. She's heartbrok. Purple bicycle. I mean, just, you know, one of those times you're traveling and you don't want to talk to anybody and you find someone who will not stop talking to you. It was that. So the bus arrives, we get on it, and she says to me, what do you do for a living? And I said, and I hate giving the correct answer. So usually I just lie. But I didn't have the energy to make up a lie like that. I was, you know, a dermatologist or something. Because if they asked me a real question, I'm not going to know anything. I'll start singing the song like the, you know, the elbow bones connected to the arm bone. I have no idea. I literally don't know anything about science anyway. So I say, work in politics. And at this time, I am in ripped up jeans, I am in flannel, I am in a hoodie. No, I was in a cardigan. And I definitely look like a hipster. I was giving a very hipster vibes. And she said, oh, what party? And I was like, all right, here we go. I'm a Republican. And she said, oh, you don't look like a Republican. And I was like, well, my armband's in the washing machine right now, so that's why you can't recognize me. And she laughed and I said, what do you do? And she was, I'm a documentary filmmaker. And I was like, oh, I watch those Alexandra Pelosi documentaries on hbo. She goes, I'm Alexandra Pelosi. I was like, okay, now I am dying to talk to you. The conversation has just increased in interest by 7 million percent. I was like, what are you doing on a Megabus going to Washington D.C. and she was, I'm gonna go see the Anchorman 2 premiere at the museum with My mom. And her mom is. It's Nancy Pelosi. Like, it's like, okay, this is interesting. She's like, do you, like, hate my mom? And I was like, no, no, I don't hate anybody. Like, I mean, I don't agree with her and stuff, but whatever. So I just started talking to her, and she was a fascinating woman because she worked for NBC News for years before becoming a documentary filmmaker. And by the way, this is the good gossip she says to me. It was a couple good gossips. But one thing she said to me, she was, you know, I'm not one of my mom's zombies. Those are the exact words that she said to me. And I was like, oh, okay. And I think, I believe she said this, that one of Nancy's children who lived in Texas was actually votes Republican. I believe she said that. I don't think my memory serves me wrong. The zombies thing definitely doesn't serve me wrong because I was shocked when she said it. Anyway, so she says to me, do you. I said, I was a writer, too. She goes, would you want to read a screenplay I'm working on? And she had made a documentary called like, like, like on the Bus with George, about her time working for NBC News with George W. Bush. So she hands me her screenplay and I'm reading it, right? And it's about her relationship with her mother. And it's, it's very good. It was well written. She wanted, she was there because she wanted Will Ferrell play George Bush in this movie that I guess was never made because it was 12 years ago. And she's, she's going, I'm going through it. There's a lot of personal stories about, you know, mother, daughter relationship. And we started talking about her mom and her relationship a little bit. I actually was like, I didn't want to be like, rude and be like, you know, what's your mom think about Obamacare? But I was like. He said, was like, oh, what's your mom's, like, best Thanksgiving Day recipe that she cooks? And she said she makes amazing homemade cranberry sauce. Anyway, well, we're on the bus and she starts telling me a story with George W. Bush. And this was great. First, she said that her mother personally enjoyed working with Bush more than Obama. I mean, because this, this is pre Trump. So she said, oh, they had a. She. She really enjoyed working with Bush. She liked him a lot as a person. She didn't have the same enjoyment of working with Obama. Secondly, she tells in a story that when she was Working at NBC she was with. She was dating a guy, I want to say from abc, but it might be from cbs, but she was dating another other producer or person who worked behind the scenes. And they were both on the media bus together in for the George covering the George W. Bush campaign. And they went to a roadside stop somewhere in the Midwest or, you know, I don't know what state it was. Iowa, Pennsylvania. Pick, you know, take your pick. And they're covering it and they're at a gas station, they're all getting food and going to the bathroom. And George W. Bush, who by the way, I am no fan of, but this is a cool freaking story. George W. Bush. Bush pulled her aside and he said to her, I want you to know your boyfriend is cheating on you and every person on the bus knows besides you. And she said to me, I will always respect that man because I was so head over heels for my boyfriend and everyone was lying to me and he was the only one with guts to sit there and tell me the truth. And she said, I think it's because he's the dad of two girls, but he was such a stand up guy to her. And I was a really cool story. And we shared the bus ride for the whole four and a half, five hours. And we got off and we exchanged emails and she never emailed me back. Story of my life. I did run into her husband a couple of years later and I recounted how nice she was. She was very, very, very nice. But she was interesting and that was a cool story. A little tidbit of somebody in the political public eye. Anyway, thank you again for listening to this episode of the podcast. Tune in on Thursday. I'll be back. We'll have a regular episode more Ask me anything segments end of the podcast. But thank you. Please like and subscribe on the iHeartRadio app Apple Podcast. Wherever you get your podcast, I will see you guys on Thursday. It is Ryan Seacrest here. There was a recent social media trend which consisted of flying on a plane with no music, no movies, no entertainment. But a better trend would be going to chumbacasino.com it's like having a mini social casino in your pocket. Champa casino has over 100 online casino style games all absolutely free. It's the most fun you can have online and on a plane. So grab your free welcome bonus now@chumbacasino.com sponsored by Chumba Casino. No purchase necessary VGW group void where prohibited by law 21 + terms and conditions apply.
- [41:26]
Unknown WNBA Announcer
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Jana Kramer
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Ryan Gradusky
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- [43:54]
Ryan Gradusky
This is an iHeart podcast.