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Ryan Gradusky
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Scott Pressler
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Ryan Gradusky
To A Numbers Game with Ryan Gradusky. What can I say about this week's episode? It's about a place where men were born to run, a place that gets slippery when wet. And it's not a nursing home, it's a retirement community. Yes, I'm referring to the great state of New Jersey, home of Bruce Springsteen, Jon Bon Jovi, and the Sopranos. This episode is all about New Jersey and whether or not it can become America's next swing state. But before I talk about the Garden State, I want to go back in time a little bit, all the way to the year 2000. That election obviously was important for a number of reasons. It elected George W. Bush as the 43rd president. It was the first election year that Hillary Clinton won an election on her own for the United States Senate in New York and began her political career, which obviously didn't go to the places that she dreamed. And it would be the last time that the state of Vermont would elect a Republican to the United States Senate after having consistently elected Republicans for over a century. But most Importantly, it created the modern political map. Now, There have been six elections since the year 2000, and for the most part, they've kind of more or less looked a lot the same. 35 states have voted the same exact way in all seven elections from 2000 to 2024. Now, you might say 15 states is a lot, that we've changed direction over that time. And yet that's true. Fifteen states is a lot. But if you cut out the states that have only voted one time at the last seven, so like, voted six of seven times the same exact way, like New Hampshire, for example, or North Carolina or Indiana. And if you take states have only voted twice in one in a different direction, five of the seven, six of the seven, or seven of seven states that have voted the same exact way in the last seven consecutive elections, you only have nine states left that have continuously flipped back and forth for a quarter of a century. Nine states is not that many. Especially when you consider that in the seven elections before 2000, that would be going back to the year 1972, there were only 13 states that voted the same exact way. I mean, you can throw in a few more states that only voted Republican one time, like Minnesota, which went Republican in 1972, or only went Democrat one time, which would be like Texas in 1976. The map gets a little more full. But you get my point. There were a lot more flippable swing states in the previous three decades than in the post two decades since the year 2000. Now, a number of states were swing states since 2000 have become reliably blue, like Oregon or Colorado, or reliably red like Tennessee, Missouri or Ohio. Yes, Tennessee and Missouri. Worst swing states back in the year 2000. But only one state went from being reliably red or reliably blue to becoming a state that is the other way, and that's Virginia. Virginia was a reliably red state. It is now a reliably blue state. And only a handful of states have really gone from being reliably red or blue to even being swing states like Georgia and North Carolina. It's kind of that Mid Atlantic strip right there that has seen a tremendous population growth from people all over the country and the world coming. So with the post 2000 election, we become very used to the idea that the number of swing states in America is only going to get smaller and smaller and smaller. But in 2024, it reversed because a number of states move sharply to the right. Florida, Iowa, Ohio are no longer considered swing states. Trump won them all by over 10 points. Texas, which Democrats had hoped and believed that they was in their grasp by the end of the decade. That's kind of just gone out the window now. New York moved 11 points towards Republicans. California moved nine, Massachusetts, eight, Rhode island seven and Illinois six. But even that tremendous growth to the right by those swing states, that dramatic swing towards Trump, none of them can be considered swing because they're so far left to begin with. California, for example, would have to repeat that same swing two more times to even be considered competitive. New York would have to move that entire 11 points all over again to be competitive. And then still, it wouldn't be a reliably red state. But that takes us back to New Jersey. New Jersey swung 10 points to the right with Trump winning 46% of the vote to Kamala Harris's 52%. This is the best any Republican has done in the state since 2004, when George W. Bush only lost it by 6.7% to Democratic nominee John Kerry. And it only is the third time in the last 35 years that a Republican came within single digits of flipping this very blue state. So in 2024, New Jersey was basically as blue as Arizona was red. And if Arizona is a swing state, then is New Jersey. That's the big question that I'm going to sit there and grapple with, because something else is going on. It's more than a single election. It's more than just Trump. Every month Since June of 2021, Republicans have been registering more new voters than Democrats, sometimes by a few hundred, sometimes by several thousand. But it's added up. In June 2021, New Jersey had 2.55 million Democrats and 1.46 million Republicans and another 2.43 million independents. And I'll break down the numbers like this. New Jersey had 120,000 more Democrats than independents and 1,090,000 more Democrats than Republicans. So fast forward to 2025, when the new registration numbers just came up. On March 1, March 1, 2025, Democrats had 2.448 million registered voters. Republicans had 1.61 million, and independents at 2.4 million. Now, I know it's a lot of numbers I just throw at you. I'll make it easy. I'll break it down this way. The Democrats voter advantage, voter enrollment advantage in New Jersey went from 1.09 million to 834,000. So 260,000 voter advantage collapse over the course of four years. People registering for third party, actually, if you combine, all the third parties have 40,000 more voters than Democrats do, which wasn't the case in New Jersey usually. Democrats were always the dominant party. And now remember, voter registration changes voter like people changing their voter registration. That is usually the last part of someone's political evolution. In other words, people will switch how they vote. They'll switch what podcast they listen to, what papers they read, how they vote in local elections, usually, and then national elections or vice versa, depending on which election is coming up. The last thing to change is someone's actual voter registration. That's the last thing they'll sit there and do. They will be a registered Democrat, vote Republican, or vice versa, sometimes for decades before they actually make the switch. Which is why a state like West Virginia or Kentucky or or Louisiana had huge Democrat voter advantage dating back from the 1950s, even though they had been Republican states for many, many, many years, going back to the Reagan revolution and even the Nixon revolution. But that's the case for New Jersey. We're seeing this mass swing to the right and we're seeing it with people actually re registering to vote. 2024 was not isolated. It wasn't in a bubble. 2024 was the third consecutive election that New Jersey moved to the right. In 2021, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, he was supposed to sail to an easy reelection victory. Most polls had him winning between nine and 11 points, and he ended up winning by just three against Jack Cittarelli, who was running again for governor this year. Three points was a shocker. And Jack Cittarelli did not have national support. In 2022, Republicans gained a congressional seat in the state, despite it being massively gerrymandered in favor of Democrats. In 2022, Republicans actually gained a congressional seat in the US House delegation, and the state's voting population moved five points to the Republican. That was in the midterms of 2022. They moved another three points in 2024 in the House. Now, it hasn't all been smooth sailing for the New Jersey GOP. They did lose six state assembly seats in 2023, but that was mostly due to redistricting. Republicans have actually only decreased their support in that massive landslide loss by 2 points in the popular vote from the previous year when they won six assembly seats. Yet all this proves is that there's a slow but progressive drumbeat towards the GOP in the Garden State. Who knows? Like I said, we've been here before. George W. Bush came very, very close to putting New Jersey in play in 2004. I'll bite. With a much different coalition, he had a lot more suburbanites in places like Morris county, while Trump has a lot more urban and minority voters in places like Passaic County. But he was the first Republican since George H.W. bush to get that close in 1992. So 1992, 2004 and 2024. It's almost like every decade or two we're seeing this swing. This could be the permanent one, though, if the realignment is real, if these former Democrats with heavy emphasis on the ethnic white, you know, Italians like in Ocean county, and Asians and Hispanics, it's all very possible that this will be the coalition that makes New Jersey into play, makes New Jersey the next swing state. One last set of numbers before we get to our guests in em in college poll, which is a hit or miss polling company. It's not my favorite, but I'll take it because it's not the worst. In late January, they found that President Donald Trump is more popular than Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy in New Jersey. Phil Murphy is leaving office with a 44 approval rating, which isn't terrible. But when you consider among Republicans, it's only 14% and among independents, it's 27%. You realize on just how much he needs Democrat, how much only Democrats are really supporting him and supporting him by a lot. So could this mean that we end up with a red New Jersey, a Republican governor in the state Republican legislature? Let's talk to our guest who's trying to make it all happen. You're listening to It's a Numbers Game with Ryan Graduski. We'll be right back.
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Ryan Gradusky
Scott Pressler has become iconic among Republican circles. Being over 6ft tall with long brown hair, flowing beautiful brown hair. People have taken notice because he's one been outspoken Trump supporter, but also because he's done the really hard work of registering new voters. He runs the nonprofit Early Vote Action Intender, intending to register voters and get them to get Republicans to vote early, which would be wonderful. Scott, thanks for being on the show.
Scott Pressler
Hey, thank you Ryan. Well, we delivered Pennsylvania last year and this year we are headed to the Garden State.
Ryan Gradusky
Yeah, the episode's all about New Jersey. So I want to know before we get started, you know people known you for going out and registering voters and writing letters. Before that. I remember when you used to write letters thanking people for voting for Trump. This is back in like 20. How did you get started in politics? And was this always your ambition to work in politics?
Scott Pressler
No, I never thought I would be doing this life. I graduated from college. I couldn't find a job despite graduating with a 3.63 in criminal justice. But this was under Obama, the economy was terrible. It was hard for millennials to find their place in society. And so as I'm walking dogs for a living, as I'm working at an elementary, which were not my passions, but I understand that those are good, integral parts of our society, I went, gosh, we can continue on this direction with President Obama, or I can be a cog in the machine and I can try to change society for the better. And so in 2014, I moved to Texas. That's why I always have cowboy boots. And my first political job ever was helping to elect now Governor Greg Abbott down in Galveston, Texas. And so for me, it's really been, over the last decade, a political evolution of going from starting with Governor Abbott to defeating Hillary Clinton in 2016 to protect the Supreme Court, to doing trash pickups in 2019. I remember those fired by President Trump. Oh, yeah. And. And now I'm really, I think, seen as one of the voter registration gurus on the right that has become a political strategists for the Republican Party.
Ryan Gradusky
Yeah. You know, Scott, you're one of the people that I can kind of relate to the most in the sense of, like, you have an idea and you put the wheels behind it and you just make it happen. There's really no fixed, you know, job. Like, I. You probably don't know what you're going to be in five years and. But if you, if your brain thinks of something worth running towards, I'm. You could probably do it. It's a very unusual, like, life, and there's not many people I know who kind of have it. So just thought of that like, so what you do is not easy. And I've seen you give a lot of seminars and speeches. You've kind of spurred this, like, voter registration grassroots effort. Right. How is that, how did that come about and what is that like now?
Scott Pressler
So going into 2018, I was working for a not for profit that I, I couldn't be political. And I want to make it clear. Early Vote Action, respectfully, is a political action committee where apac. So we can take unlimited contributions, but we are not tax deductible. And that's Early Vote action dot com. So I just want to make that clear now.
Ryan Gradusky
No, it's important. It's important.
Scott Pressler
And I knew that 2018 had the potential to be really bad for the president. You know, the Democrats kept saying over and over that Hillary won the popular vote. And you know, that was the me Too movement. And it was the year of being a woman. And I was like, Gosh, 2018 is going to be so bad. So a month before the election, I was like, okay, I need to quit my job. I'm going to do everything I can, travel to Florida, New Jersey, all over and try to keep members of Congress in those seats. Now, ultimately, we lost it. And so going into 2019 was a regrouping period for me. And I was like, Scott, you have no job. Scott, the Republican Party right now just lost big time. What are we gonna do to shake things up? And I just had this idea pop into my head, kind of like what you said just a moment ago. And I went, you're gonna travel the country and you're gonna teach people how to register to vote. Because even the Republican Party is not doing the grassroots organizing required in order to win elections. My first event, Ryan, was in Connecticut, where they have more cows than people over in that state. And my first event, and I think it was Danbury, we got protested because I think the Democrats knew, wow, this guy, if we don't stop him now, is going to become an organizer within the Republican Party. And despite the fact that they protested us, we had more than double, perhaps triple the amount of attendees. And I literally just started going across the country from Connecticut to Fuquay, Varina, North Carolina, down to Sarasota, Florida. And each event I did gathered more attendees, got bigger, my social media profile grew, and people went, wow, this guy is getting stuff done. And So I spent 2019 through 2022, all on my lonesome, organizing, traveling probably 40 plus states across the country, teaching people how to register other people to vote.
Ryan Gradusky
Yeah, it was really inspiring. First of all, I think I'm going to start talking about myself in third person when I'm having internal conversations like you. That would be really good for me. But two, no, that was. It was. I as. I mean, we started. I don't even know what year we met, but I saw the growth happen. And I saw the growth happen very quickly because it is very hard work. And it's something that is not sexy and it's not glamorous. And most people don't want to do it because there are easier, sexier, glamorous things to do. When we talked, we spoke in 2024, 2023, whatever, I mentioned to you that there were 44 million non college educated white Americans who are not registered. 2.8 million were in Pennsylvania. What did you notice? In Pennsylvania that other people didn't like. How did you even find how to like non registered people?
Scott Pressler
Well, I am very much a data guy and mathematical. And so here's how I approach elections. I went, gosh, Joe Biden, quote, unquote, won Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes in 2020. And I went, okay, how are we going to recoup those 80,000 voters and turn those into Republicans? And so I went, as opposed to conversion and persuasion, which are important, don't get me wrong. We need to be in the business of courting Democrat voters. But ultimately, there are so many Republicans that are not registered to vote. 80,000 truckers in Pennsylvania. I would assume, logically, the majority of those are going to be conservatives. My organization is really Vote Action. So I went, okay, a trucker is probably not voting because that person is busy serving us. And they're probably driving rigs on election day. Let's get them a meal on ballot. Let's get them to vote early and lock in those 80,000 votes. Then we have the Amish community over, especially in the hub of Lancaster, Pennsylvania. Now, this community, let's be real. Governor Shapiro, a Democrat, has been attacking, waging a war on their raw milk, their dairy, their farming. Then you have society as a whole, which is coming down on their bodily autonomy to choose not to have a vaccine put into their children and their families. And then you have the government coming down on their religious freedom and their school choice. And it just clicked. And I said, why are we not making a real concerted effort to register the Amish to vote? Knowing, Ryan, that they get married on Tuesdays in November, y'all. What happens on Tuesdays in November? Election day. Let's get the Amish. Amelia, about. Let's get.
Ryan Gradusky
They only get married on Tuesday. November.
Scott Pressler
They get married largely on Tuesdays in November. Yes.
Ryan Gradusky
I never knew that before. Okay, that's fascinating. All right.
Scott Pressler
Oh, yeah. Oh, no, no. And it was like a full circle moment because this was like a week prior to the 2024 deadline to register to vote. And we're over in Lancaster at an Amish benefit, and this Amish woman comes up to check her status because she can't do it herself online. So we did it for her. She wasn't registered. They removed her. So we got her registered. And she goes, oh, you know what? I better get myself a meal on ballot. I'm going to three weddings on election day. And it just went. It was like an aha moment that what I had been practicing in the field had been coming to fruition and we used mail in ballots to deliver President Trump, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Then we have 800,000 veterans in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is the fourth largest home to veterans in the entire nation. So we went to every vfw, we went to every American Legion. And you would be shocked by the amount of veterans that tell me, Scott, I already served our country. I already did my part. I don't have to vote because I already stopped communism overseas. And so really, that's where I come in. And we have to court them and say, listen, thank you so much for your service. We're so grateful for your sacrifice. But communism is here domestically, it's on our shores. And this is something we must be continuously vigilant by voting here in our country. And last and probably the most important, and you'll notice all of these groups, what were you talking about with the forgotten men and American people, the white working class? Well, if you look at the demographics, I would assume that a lot of truckers are of that group. The Amish are of that group. Veterans are of that group. And last hunters, 3,000 hunters in Pennsylvania, 30%. Three. Zero are not registered to vote. That's 300,000 votes. That is game over. That is the election. We went to every gun shop, every gun show. And I do believe that our work at early vote action, registering55,000 voters helped to deliver the Commonwealth and two congressional seats. Ryan McKenzie and Brad Bresnahan. Protecting Scott.
Ryan Gradusky
Seven and eight, right?
Scott Pressler
Yeah, seven and eight. And then protecting Scott Perry in 10th district, Adam Stauffen. And then last, the most important thing that we helped deliver as a family was Senator Dave McCormick.
Ryan Gradusky
Right. I mean, his vote, his election was very, very tight. So, yeah, absolutely. I completely agree. You're listening to it's the Numbers Game with Ryan Graduski. We'll be right back after this message.
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Ryan Gradusky
Going back to New Jersey, you know in 2021 the Phil Phil Murphy the governor won by 84,294 votes. That was his margin of victory over Jack Chiadrelli. The Republicans since them have 107,000 new voters and Democrats have lost 128,000 voters. There's clearly momentum for Republicans in the state in the Garden State. What is your goal then going forwards is how many you want to register to vote in the next I guess seven months or whatever it is. Six months.
Scott Pressler
Sure. Well it's kind of. It's kind of Fortuitous that I would be heading to New Jersey, a state that was lost by approximately 80,000 votes in 2021, after helping to deliver Pennsylvania, another commonwealth that was decided by 80,000 votes. And so my feeling in this race is as you just mentioned, the numbers are already moving in our direction. Republicans have gained, Democrats have lost. And in fact, if you have been looking at the data and the month of January, Democrats lost 2,000 voters statewide. Republicans gained 10,000 in January. Then the secretary of state did a purge in the month of February. The Democrats lost 87,000 voters, Republicans lost 37,000 voters for a net loss for Democrats of 49,000 voters. So when you take that 2021 was decided by 80,000 and the Democrats are already done down approximately 59,000. That shows me listen my New Jersey people that are listening right now, if we get every single Trump voter out to vote this year, on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, you will replace Democrat Governor Murphy with a Republican governor, period.
Ryan Gradusky
Now is does you do amazing work? Is the RNC doing anything to help you?
Scott Pressler
I will say I want to give a shout out. So here is a departure. And look, I'm not here to, I'm not here to, to be antagonistic. That's not my goal. I'm a nice guy. Let's just say the previous administration did not invest in 2021 in New Jersey. However, you know what's already happened, Ryan and February. Just a week ago, Chairman Michael Whatley was at an event in New Jersey. Casey Crosby, the co chair that replaced Lara Trump, is doing an event with me on March 13th with Chairman Carlos Santos and Union County, New Jersey. And I know we're not, I know we're talking New Jersey right now. But this is important. You know what's happening on April 1st. There's a Wisconsin Supreme Court election that is going to decide which party controls the supreme court going into 2028. Casey Crosby, that beautiful co chair that we have of the rnc, she is already coming to Wisconsin, something that the RNC didn't do in 2023 when we lost the Supreme Court. So this new RNC is transformative and is finally listening, listening to the grassroots and is working with the grassroots now.
Ryan Gradusky
Union county, for those who don't know, is very Democratic. It's in the metropolitan New York City area. That's where we saw the biggest Republican growth in the last election. Huge growth in Pasaya county, up everything near that touches the New York City metro area. And Kathy Hochul's congestion tax is not popular in that area. I will tell you, as a, as a lifelong New Yorker, it's not really popular outside Manhattan. The. Have you noticed any continued push from these areas? There's a lot of Hispanics, a lot of Asians. But I mean, have you seen this kind of continued change? What have they said to you if you've met any voters who've changed their minds?
Scott Pressler
Well, part of it is seeing the change in leadership. So number one is Carlos Santos, clearly of Hispanic descent, is now the chairman of Union County. He wasn't. He earned his way into that position. And over in Kenilworth at a VFW hall just weeks ago, we had 246 attendees in February in New Jersey. And Union county shows momentum.
Ryan Gradusky
And Union county, by the way, you could not get 246. There weren't 246 Republicans, let alone, I mean, two years ago. It is, I think Union County, I'm pretty sure was the only county Chris Christie lost when he had his landslide in 2013. I'll look that up later. I might be wrong, but I'm pretty sure that I'm correct. It is the only county he lost. That's how Democratic it was, despite him winning the state by 20 points. Super Democratic. I cannot believe there were 246 Republicans in a single room in the county.
Scott Pressler
Oh. Oh. Well, what we're going to do is when this clip is up there, this audio, I'm going to reply with the video of me with the 246 people behind me because you know that I like to show the work that I do. And so there's a Scott Pressler video for every single event that I do. But I do want to give a shout out to Passaic County. There is a wonderful man, his name is Anthony and he is the owner of Gun for Hire in Passaic County, New Jersey. Now, as you mentioned, there are two very critical communities that are within this county that I think are going to be decisive to try to our Republican candidate winning the governorship this November. And those are a. The Hispanic community, but especially are Puerto Ricans and are Dominicans. They are heavy in this district. And you know what gives me hope? We did a training over at Gun for Hire. We were registering people to vote. I taught voter registration. We even registered one of the workers, the young people that was getting people's waivers to go and shoot there at the, at the establishment. And several members of Hispanic community that are running for state assembly came over to me. These were all young Hispanic men and it was just so cool. To see that the tide is really shifting and that the Republican Party is this faith, family, finance, freedom Party. And I think that is what is attracting the Hispanic community to us. But one community that we also must continue to shore up, especially after the tragedy of October 7, is the Orthodox Jewish community. There is a lot of room for growth. And so we are making a concerted effort to get the Orthodox in Passaic registered and also over in a town called Lakewood, over an ocean, super, super, super Jewish.
Ryan Gradusky
They actually elected, they voted for Trump by huge margins and they elected a Democrat for the state House who was a rabbi. I don't think that that guy can hold on though because Orthodox users have huge turnouts in off year elections. But when everyone's voting, the numbers aren't that high. So hopefully we'll win back that C2.
Scott Pressler
And Republicans were also smart, Ryan, because what we did is, look, we understand the different needs of the state. The June 10 primary, New Jersey, June 10 primary. So everybody register with a party so you can vote in your closed primary. They actually moved it back a week because of the religious recognization of one of the spiritual holidays that they're having. So that shows me that the Republican Party is listening and they're going, wow, we can get more people to vote if we choose a date that's not on a religious holiday.
Ryan Gradusky
Well, Scott, I gotta tell you, in Pasea county, usually the only reason Dominicans and Puerto Ricans would be getting together at a gun show was to shoot each other. But they're getting together for you because you are bringing love, bringing everyone together. To quote the great Moira Rose from Schitt's Creek, you have all the vigor of a wartime operator. Thank you so much for being on this show. Where can people go to get involved, get active and join your organization?
Scott Pressler
Thank you. Well, I want to be clear. In addition to our work helping to flip the New Jersey governorship from blue to red, on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, we are continuing our work in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. We are going to be expanding to Nevada and in 2026, we're going to help President Trump keep the House of Representatives. If you want to support our work financially, then I encourage you today, help me hire more staff in Pennsylvania and New Jersey and Nevada. Please go to early voteaction.com that's early vote action.com Again, we can receive unlimited financial contributions. We also accept crypto Ethereum Solana. So if you would like to give us some satoshis today, we welcome you at early vote Action.
Ryan Gradusky
Scott, you are so great. Thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you for doing this. I know you're such a busy man. We'll hopefully speak soon and I'll keep everyone updated. All your great thanks Ryan. Thank you again for listening to a numbers game with Ryan Graduski. Appreciate you being here. Please like and subscribe. It really, really matters to our podcast. Like and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcast. We'll see you next week.
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Podcast Summary: The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
Episode Title: It's a Numbers Game: Will New Jersey Turn Into the Next Swing State with Scott Presler
Release Date: March 10, 2025
Host/Author: Premiere Networks
In this riveting episode of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, host Ryan Gradusky delves into the evolving political landscape of New Jersey, exploring the state's potential transformation into America's next swing state. Joining him is Scott Pressler, a prominent Republican strategist known for his grassroots voter registration initiatives. Together, they dissect recent electoral shifts, voter registration trends, and the strategic efforts aiming to reshape New Jersey's political dynamics.
Ryan Gradusky begins by setting the historical context of New Jersey's political alignment. Referencing the 2000 election, he highlights significant milestones such as George W. Bush's presidency and Hillary Clinton's Senate win in New York. Gradusky emphasizes how, over the past two decades, the political map has largely stabilized, with 35 states maintaining consistent voting patterns from 2000 to 2024. However, he notes a recent reversal in 2024, where states like Florida, Iowa, and Ohio no longer qualify as swing states due to significant shifts towards the right.
Notable Quote:
"In 2024, it reversed because a number of states move sharply to the right. Florida, Iowa, Ohio are no longer considered swing states."
— Ryan Gradusky [06:45]
Gradusky presents a comprehensive analysis of voter registration data, illustrating a narrowing gap between Democrats and Republicans in New Jersey. From June 2021 to March 2025, the Democratic registration advantage decreased from 1.09 million to 834,000, a decline of 260,000 voters. Additionally, third-party registrations surged, surpassing Democrats by 40,000—a significant departure from historical patterns where Democrats dominated.
He underscores the strategic importance of these numbers, asserting that active voter registration can reshape election outcomes. The episode underscores how ongoing efforts since 2024 have not been isolated incidents but part of a sustained trend towards increasing Republican registration and diminishing Democratic dominance.
Ryan Gradusky introduces Scott Pressler, highlighting his reputation within Republican circles for his dedicated voter registration work. Pressler shares his unlikely journey into politics, initially struggling to find employment post-college and eventually transitioning from dog walking and elementary school work to political activism.
Notable Quote:
"I can try to change society for the better."
— Scott Pressler [15:42]
Pressler elaborates on his grassroots approach, focusing on key demographics such as truckers, the Amish community, veterans, and hunters—collectively referred to as the "forgotten men and American people" or the white working class. He discusses targeted strategies like providing meals for truckers to facilitate early voting and engaging with the Amish community through events and benefits to encourage voter registration.
Notable Quote:
"If we get every single Trump voter out to vote this year, on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, you will replace Democrat Governor Murphy with a Republican governor."
— Scott Pressler [30:02]
Pressler highlights the significance of continuous voter registration, noting that New Jersey has seen a consistent shift towards the GOP over the past three elections. He points out specific areas like Union County and Passaic County, where strategic efforts in engaging Hispanic and Orthodox Jewish communities have begun to show promising results.
Notable Quote:
"Early Vote Action, registering 55,000 voters helped to deliver the Commonwealth and two congressional seats."
— Scott Pressler [25:59]
Discussing the role of the Republican National Committee (RNC), Pressler commends recent leadership changes and increased support for grassroots initiatives. He mentions collaborations with key RNC figures like Casey Crosby and outlines future plans to expand efforts to Nevada and support President Trump's objectives in maintaining control of the House of Representatives.
Notable Quote:
"This new RNC is transformative and is finally listening, listening to the grassroots and is working with the grassroots now."
— Scott Pressler [31:35]
The episode concludes with Gradusky and Pressler reflecting on the substantial progress made in New Jersey's voter registration and the potential implications for upcoming elections. Pressler emphasizes the importance of continued grassroots efforts and the critical role of strategic voter registration in transforming New Jersey into a competitive swing state.
Final Notable Quote:
"We are continuing our work in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. We are going to be expanding to Nevada and in 2026, we're going to help President Trump keep the House of Representatives."
— Scott Pressler [37:46]
Gradusky commends Pressler's dedication and strategic vision, underscoring the significance of the numbers game in altering political landscapes.
Political Shift: New Jersey is exhibiting signs of shifting towards a Republican-leaning electorate, challenging its long-standing status as a reliably blue state.
Voter Registration: A significant decline in Democratic voter registration and a rise in Republican and third-party registrations are pivotal to this shift.
Grassroots Strategy: Targeted voter registration efforts focusing on specific demographics are driving this change, with notable success in counties like Union and Passaic.
RNC Involvement: Enhanced support from the RNC is bolstering grassroots initiatives, contributing to the strategic reshaping of New Jersey's political landscape.
Future Plans: Pressler outlines ambitious plans to expand successful strategies to other states, aiming to influence national political outcomes by 2026.
Ryan Gradusky [06:45]:
"In 2024, it reversed because a number of states move sharply to the right. Florida, Iowa, Ohio are no longer considered swing states."
Scott Pressler [15:42]:
"I can try to change society for the better."
Scott Pressler [25:59]:
"Early Vote Action, registering 55,000 voters helped to deliver the Commonwealth and two congressional seats."
Scott Pressler [30:02]:
"If we get every single Trump voter out to vote this year, on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, you will replace Democrat Governor Murphy with a Republican governor."
Scott Pressler [31:35]:
"This new RNC is transformative and is finally listening, listening to the grassroots and is working with the grassroots now."
Scott Pressler [37:46]:
"We are continuing our work in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. We are going to be expanding to Nevada and in 2026, we're going to help President Trump keep the House of Representatives."
This episode provides an insightful analysis of the shifting political tides in New Jersey, driven by strategic voter registration and grassroots mobilization. Scott Pressler's firsthand experiences and data-driven approach offer listeners a comprehensive understanding of the mechanics behind transforming a traditionally blue state into a potential battleground for future elections. As the political landscape continues to evolve, the efforts discussed in this episode underscore the critical importance of voter engagement and strategic planning in shaping electoral outcomes.