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Lisa Booth
Truth with Lisa Booth, where we dive into the issues shaping our nation with unfiltered insight and bold perspectives. Today we have John McLaughlin, a renowned pollster and CEO of McLaughlin & Associates joining us. He's also been a pollster for President Trump and his wise him. So we're going to break down the latest. Where is President Trump's polling stand today? Are his core voters with him? We'll also unpack that post Liberation Day dip. How real is it? And how are his tariffs polling? Plus, with the midterms looming, we'll compare President Trump's current positioning to where he was in 2018. Also, what's going to happen in the midterm elections? And beyond that, looking at 2028, can the Republican Party keep the America first coalition together? Buckle up, we've got a lot to discuss. Stay tuned for John McLaughlin. John, it's great to have you back on this show. I don't have, I don't know if I have. I had you on since Trump won. I know we had you on before the election. I don't remember.
Podcast Host
It's all a blur.
Lisa Booth
Yeah, it's a positive blur. But yeah, a lot, a lot's changed. Obviously. I guess we'll start kind of like big picture. Where does President Trump's approval, approval rating and polling stand today?
Podcast Host
By the way, my surveys, we ask it differently than a lot of these other ones. We ask it like we did in the campaign where we'll ask the approve of both his policies and personality, just his policies, but disapprove his personality or disapprove both. And we used it that way because his policies are more popular than his personality. He doesn't get a fair shake from the, you know, the left wing legacy media where, you know, no matter what he does, you know, cnn, msnbc, you know, the abc, the rest of them are attacking him. But, but his policies are very popular. So we used his policies during the campaign to raise up his favorable rating and that's how we won the popular vote, swept the battleground states. So we still ask it like that. And April 29th we had a survey where you had a 50% approval rating, 45 disapproved. Now some of the other media polls are catching up with this where if you go to the real clear Politics average, you'll see polls like insider advantage, Rasmussen Group, Rasmussen reports, Harvard Harris. They're catching up with our poll because he had a great trip to the Middle East. He's trying to end the Russia, Ukraine war. And he's moving along. What's fundamental is he's moving along the one big beautiful bill, which is the Make America Affordable act again, which the voters know that that will make their lives better, that we will be able to grow the economy, which will help them deal with inflation, reduce their concerns with inflation. They'll have real economic growth again, and they'll have no tax on tips, no tax on. Over time, they'll have, the Trump tax cuts will be made permanent. And what's important about that, by the way, related to your first question about his job approval, we just did a poll of a thousand likely voters for 2026 for the Club for Growth in 35 targeted Republican battleground congressional districts. And there Trump has a 55 approval rating, 43 disapprove. So, you know, he's going to help them. He's the path to define history and winning the midterm elections. And it's critical that we get his, his tax cuts passed because in those districts, you actually had 43% of all voters telling us they were not aware that the Trump tax cuts are going to lapse. We did that. We asked that question nationally for the Chamber of Commerce in February. And 49% of all voters were not aware that Trump tax cuts are going to lapse. And when they do become aware, they absolutely want the Trump tax cuts made permanent. In the chamber poll nationally was 6420. In this poll of the targeted battlegrounds congressional districts, when you tell them that the, that there's going to be a tax increase, because if the Trump tax cuts lapse, you will have the largest tax increase in the history of America. It'll be a $4.5 trillion tax increase, and for every American will be $2,000 or more that you're paying in taxes. And when we ask people, you know, do they support stopping those tax increase or allowing the taxes to increase in these congressional districts that the Club for growth took 76 to 12, they want to stop the tax increase because after four years of Biden, you cannot take a massive tax increase because you've been racked by inflation for four years. You know, your, your, your gas, your gas, your food, your mortgage, your rent, your utility bills all cost you more than it did four years ago. And people just, just do not need a big tax bill on top of that, I guess.
Lisa Booth
Why? Okay, so I guess one thing I'm trying to figure out is, you know, obviously, you know, you've worked in politics time we're far out from the midterms. Right. So it's, it's hard to really gauge what's going on at this point in the game. But we know President Trump won't be on the ballot. We know that the Democrats approval rating has hit rock bottom. You know, they've, they've had trouble in polling, but yet they're leading on the congressional ballot. If you look at the real Clear Politics average. So what do you make of that disconnect? And I guess if you were to read the tea leaves for the midterms today, obviously knowing that today is just a snapshot in time and a lot could change, you know, what are you seeing and kind of how do you read, read all that?
Podcast Host
Well, let me get technical on you first with the, with those polls that please. Because on our website@mclaughlinonline.com we track the congressional ballot every month. We were right in the last two congressionals because we use a likely voter model and we base it on the exit polls from the previous elections plus, you know, voter data. We call voters and we contact voters online that we know are going to vote. We screen for likely voters. So we've got a history of being right. And Donald Trump proved it in the last election that when we won the popular vote and swept the battleground states. It's all on our website, mclaughlinonline.com but with that, you go to these media polls that have us losing the congressional ballot, they don't have enough Trump voters in them. I mean, you go back to the 100 day polls when they came out and they were saying, oh, his job ratings going way down, et cetera. These are the same polls that Harris was going to be president. These are the same polls that there was a Hillary lock, that there was a Biden blue wave when he only won by 44,000 votes in three states. And let me tell you what they do in those polls, is that intentional? Yes, it's intentional.
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Podcast Host
These people are too smart because one time in 2020 election when, when the Washington Post ABC had us down 17 a week out from Wisconsin, which was out of 3 million votes decided by 20,000. They said we were down 17. President Trump called me in the morning and said, what's the matter with that policy? They scooted against you. And he said they would do that. I said, sure, they hate you. They want you to lose. It's just like the Des Moines Register poll.
Lisa Booth
It was, oh my God. I was just thinking that I was just going to mention that it was.
Podcast Host
I mean, that that poll I had to write a memo for Susie Wiles to, so she could give it to him, to tell him it was a bad poll and he was fine with that. But, but what they did is, let me tell you, these two recent ones, they were starting again. And, and when you go check the internals on the polls, like when you looked at the, the, the New York Times poll, out of the, out of the votes that they had, there was 37 Trump voters. We won 50% of the popular vote. They put in a whole bunch of, like there was 842 in the New York Times poll, there was 842 Trump voters out of 2,464 adults that they interviewed. So they interview adults they screen down for alleged registered voters. They could be polling illegal immigrants for all we know. But they only have 37% Trump voters. We won by 2 points, 50 to 48. So they have a bad bottle and they're doing it deliberately because they know for every Trump voter they take out of the poll, they're taking out a point on this job approval. And the new, by the way, ABC Washington Post was worse because they only had three 34% Trump voters in their poll. So when, so when I see these polls like Reuters, Ipsos, they're not, they're less transparent than those other two polls. They won't tell you who voted for Trump and who didn't vote for Trump. They hide a lot of the demographics party, but they're skewing the polls by diluting them with, with voter, with adults or non voters who they, who they know don't like Trump. Now, our polls are different that we did in our national poll that we did April 29, we had the Republicans ahead in the generic ballot, 4,543among 1,000 likely voters nationwide. And in this poll, the battleground state poll for the Club for Growth and battleground congressional districts, it was 4,843. That would concern me still as a Republican, because you're a year after the midterm, you're the incumbent majority in the House and the Senate, and you're under 50. You need to get it over 50. And I'll tell you what, what's interesting to me is in 2017, in December 2017, President Trump called me as he was working to pass his tax cuts. And I said to him, why did you do health care first? Health care. And he told me, he said Speaker Ryan and Senate Leader McConnell had told him they needed the savings from health care to afford the tax cuts. And I'm like, I'll tell you who can't afford taxes, natural voters. And they want tax cuts. You should have done the tax cuts first, because when they passed it in December, it didn't go into effect until after the midterm election. And we lost both the House and Senate, and he got impeached and. But then when he was running for reelection, the economy was booming back until Covid hit and he created millions of jobs as promised, because it was Tax Cut Jobs Act. That's the tax cut that's going to lapse, that help create these millions of jobs and get people to earn better pay. The difference is he's pushing for it now because we're taking a page out of the 2002 midterms after 9 11, George W. Bush had to pump the economy full of money so that we didn't go into a recession. And he also passed a tax cut that was timed to go into effect in the second quarter. Now, that fall, out of the 100 House of Delegates in Virginia, because we were polling for DRNC chairman Jim Gilmore, out of the 100 seats, we went up from 52 to 64 because the economy was growing. And then in the election year, we picked up two Senate seats in the midterm elections in 2002, and we picked up eight House seats and added higher majorities because the economy was growing. So right now, if we don't, if we don't make the Trump tax cuts permanent, you will see, my friend Steve Forbes says, you won't just see a recession, you'll see a depression, because that massive tax hike, and the Democrats know it. And the most interesting part to me is the Democrats have voted against the budget framework to pass the tax cuts, to make the Trump tax cuts permanent. Every member of the House, every member of the Senate. So they voted. They're on record for the largest tax increase in the history of the United States. And the Republicans are making a huge mistake by fighting among themselves and not holding them accountable for that. And President Trump started taking it to them. He did it in Michigan when he spoke at his rally. He's been taking the Democrats to task that they want this tax increase that the Club for Growth poll says three quarters of the voters in the key districts of Congress don't want that to happen. So Trump's holding them accountable. And you saw a break among the Democrats yesterday in the Senate, where they passed a bill unanimously for no taxes on tips. And so they, they know that we know. Like, from December we had a poll, 71% of all Americans support No taxes on tips. So the Democrats are getting back the same polls and they're like, we better hop on board that no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security. If, if, if the Republicans stay united and pass their tax cuts, you may see some Democrats starting to bail out on their position of being in favor of tax increases versus tax cuts. And by the way, this is how we beat Kamala Harris last year in the battleground states when she was saying she won a middle class tax cut but she was going to let the Trump tax cuts lapse. We just hit her for supporting tax increases because it would hit small businesses, it would hit farms. Farmers would be hit with a lot more. Average taxpayers would have paid a lot more money if she was elected president. We'd be, we'd be real trouble right now if she was elected president.
Lisa Booth
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John McLaughlin
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Lisa Booth
You know, obviously we saw him build a really interesting coalition to get him past the finish line. Well, to not even get him past the finish line to win the the popular vote. Are those groups still with him? Because you know, obviously he has created a coalition that looks much different than previous Republican coalitions. Are they still with him today?
Podcast Host
His base is still with him. I mean, if you support him, you know, like as I'm looking at this, as I'm looking at the, the Battleground survey, Battleground Congressional District survey from the club for growth, 94% of the people that vote for Trump approve of the job he's doing. So it's virtually the same number. It's totally intact. So if you supported and by the way, our national number, 50% approved, that's matches his popular vote. So his base is still with him and it's rock solid. There's some voters we could be getting that we're not getting right now that approve of the job he's doing but didn't vote for him. And by the way, the key groups you're talking about that joined our coalition to get us to 50%, it wasn't the usual groups we were targeting three years out. We were targeting Hispanic voters. He got 46% of the Hispanic voter record for Republican, 2 points higher than George W. Bush got in 2004. He got 21% of the African American vote we were targeting three years out among African American men, 21%. He won higher percentage of younger voters and younger voters. He's still doing very well within the polls right now because it's better than what they have, better opportunities and a little better life and more hope than what they were dealing with, Joe Biden. Plus we, we also did well in the suburbs with suburban women because we were telling them, you know, Kamala Harris was going to tax your 401ks and your homes with that unrealized capital gains tax. So, so we would. And plus they, the other Thing too is there were cultural issues like men and girls, locker rooms and girls sports, that really drove a lot of suburban moms, what I call suburban sports moms. They were coming to us significantly because of that issue. But going back to your point about the coalition, we only rented them in the last election. We don't own those groups. We have to earn their support now. And the Republicans in Congress actually lag Trump's approval rating. And Trump, they see as somebody who's fighting for them, The Republicans in Congress, whether they're in the Senate or they're in the House, to keep their majorities without Trump being on the ballot, they need to pass the legislation like this, like this tax cut bill, make it permanent, grow the economy. They also need to, they need to do other things to make people's lives easier. And, you know, I mean, there's, there's some things there where, when you look at what's going on with, you know, when you look at what's going on with these cultural issues, whether, whether it's immigration, whether it's, you know, men and girls sports, I mean, the Republicans in Congress need to follow Trump's leads on those issues to get those groups back, because we don't have those groups right now. When you're looking at the Republican generic ballot for Congress of 45, we don't have them, and we need to go get them.
Lisa Booth
Well, and it's also, you know, obviously, historically, the party in charge loses seats in the House in the midterms. And we saw during 2018, during President Trump's first midterm, Democrats were able to gain a net of 41 seats winning back the House. I mean, I know the environment is different today than it was then, but. Does that concern you at all?
Podcast Host
Oh, it does. I mean, because if, if we don't get, if we don't have a growing economy, if we don't keep America at peace and prosperous, if we, if we have, if people are feeling insecure. I mean, the greatest success President Trump has had so far is absolutely securing the border, deporting illegal, criminal, illegal immigrants. I mean, the Democrats are defending human traffickers.
Lisa Booth
I know, it's wild.
Podcast Host
Sorry, I can't. It's just, I. It's, it's, it's, it's a. It's unbelievable that they could do that, but we have them doing that. And Marco Rubio was great yesterday as Secretary of State when he was rebutting Senator Von Holland from Maryland. And, you know, so we have to. And the other part, too, is the mainstream media that doesn't like Trump. They're, they're all in on blaming Joe Biden now. They're, they've discovered that he was totally incapacitated. You know, but he left this mess. And Donald Trump was trying to dig us out of the mess of wars in the Middle east, in Ukraine and the open border where you still have millions of illegal immigrants and many of them criminal. Plus I mean in this budget deal you have the, the Republicans have made provisions that if you're an illegal immigrant you shouldn't be on Medicaid. Why should American taxpayers can't afford their own food every day. Their, their own, their own cost of living, their own health care. Why should they be asked to pay for the health care of somebody who came here illegally? So, and that's a very popular provision to have that Medicare reform. Plus the other is, is work fair. You've got able bodied adults who are getting free Medicaid at the other taxpayers expense who don't have to work, look for work, attend college or whatever. You know, we need those workfare provisions because they're very popular where we have, you know, I mean when we in that Club for Growth survey when we have 68 to 23 support a federal law that stops states from using state taxpayer money to give Medicaid benefits to illegal immigrants, that's a big number. And 79 to 16 support requiring able bodied adults to work, be looking for a job or attending school in order receive taxpayer funded benefits like Medicaid, food stamps or income assistance. So those reforms are critical. By the way, I heard in this bill from Newt Gingrich, he told me that they could get more savings because the workfare requirement doesn't go into effect until 2029 after Trump is president. Who in their minds would not want work fair to go into effect right now? But I guess inside the Potomac that makes sense to people. So a lot of Democrats, we got to put pressure on them and play offense, hold them accountable for this. That because we don't want to, you know, we don't want people who aren't working, who could be working to be receiving free benefits. And we don't want illegal immigrants to be receiving benefits that Americans can't even afford themselves.
Lisa Booth
We've got to take a quick commercial break. More with John in a moment.
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Lisa Booth
1 thing I worry about as well, because President Trump's coalition is just so unique to him. Can Republicans carry the America first mantle moving forward and pull a similar coalition together in 2028?
Podcast Host
They can, but they have to work at it with these issues. Because the key thing is you've seen it in this year's elections back on April 1st when you had a statewide election in Wisconsin for a conservative state Supreme Court judge versus a liberal. Donald Trump last November got 1.7 million votes in Wisconsin and won the state. There was a lower turnout in that election for that state Supreme Court judge, but the conservative only got a million votes and got beat. So 700,000 Trump voters stayed home and even though they carried the special elections on the same day in Florida, won the congressional district and Florida six the congressional districts. Instead of winning two to one like Donald Trump did, and the previous members of Congress did in those districts, it was closer. It was more like a 20 point lead. So you had over 100,000 Trump voters in both districts who voted the previous November to stay home. So if you don't have an issue agenda like Donald Trump that motivates people and excites people, this is not a cult of personality. It's a cult of passion. And a cult about issues. Well, it's not. I wouldn't even call it a cult. It's more a movement, as the President describes. It's a movement. But when he started running, and we've advised him since 2011, when he first started looking at running in 2012, but then he put it off till 2015. But when he, he announced in 2015, he announced on immigration and trade, has never looked back. He's been, he's been, you know, America first from the get go, and, and then during the primaries when, you know, we were talking to his office, he says, they're going to need a tax cut. I said, yes, you do. And he said, you. And I said, you're running in a Republican primary. Tax cuts among Republicans means economic growth. And he's a businessman. He understood that better than anybody. And his tax cut during his first term was probably the most important success, foundational success he had because that gave us the economic engine to grow out of the COVID pandemic. It was already working. He would have won reelection. Geez. There was a meeting we had in March 11th of 2020. I was going into the Oval Office with Jared Kushner and Brad Parscale, Tony Fabrizio and Bill Steppe and others. And we were going to go, go through the most recent polling. And the President gets up from the Resolute desk and he says, I think I have to close travel to Europe because of COVID That's too bad. These polls have you winning easily and change, I mean, change history. But by the way, there's some of us that actually think we won that election anyway. But, but we certainly won the last one decisively. And economic growth, the promise of economic growth is the foundation to, you know, to make all these other things happen. Just like with Ronald Reagan. Ronald Reagan collapsed the Soviet empire because his tax cuts grew the American economy, and America had the economic power to win the Cold War without firing a shot.
Lisa Booth
You know, before we go, are the tariffs a trouble spot or, you know, how do they pull? Are they being messaged correctly?
Podcast Host
Tariffs are a more complex message because.
Lisa Booth
I know that's what I worry about.
Podcast Host
It's it's, it's, you know, right now the President's base is solid. They think they understand what he's doing. He's trying to save American jobs, keep manufacturing here, make us less dependent on foreign, you know, foreign products that we can't rely on because we saw that during COVID with the supply chain. So they understand what he's doing and the majority do vote of voters do support him for those reasons. However, it's more complex because every country is a different deal. And you know, in a way, I kind of wish he'd done the tax cuts first and then the tariffs. But, you know, it is what it is. He's doing what he thinks is right. And he's also, it's unbelievable, the energy and the amount of focus from President Trump. I mean, he's, he's a workaholic. He's just, it's, it's such a contrast from Joe Biden and the Biden corruption that we saw over the last four years. But it's, but the tariffs, by the way, as you've seen the markets come back and you've seen, you know, America's finances come back and the trillions of jobs that he's bringing back to the country and investments, which will take time because you got to build the plants, hire the workers, etc. It takes time. There's long term growth there, plus there's also growth for the regulatory relief. But the foundation is really making the Trump tax cuts permanent again.
Lisa Booth
Before we go, anything else I've missed that you want to get across, when.
Podcast Host
You think about it, since last November, since our conversations last year with the election, I mean, so much has happened when, you know, you just look at the potential for success. There's really a strong foundation here for President Trump to be a, he was, it was a historic election that we went through. I mean, he's the only person in history ever to beat the Republican establishment, win the nomination. And I mean, he won the nomination last time in historic fashion. Nobody else has done that before. Ronald Reagan didn't do it. He just swept through those states. And then for him to beat the D.C. establishment and the, maybe the international establishment where he was able to win the popular vote, sweep the battleground states. Nobody's ever done this. And now you're, now you're seeing a historic presidency where, you know, he's only been in office since January and he's, he's, he's trying to, you know, literally bring the world back to, you know, peace and prosperity single handedly it's just, it's just an amazing feat. So we'll see. We'll see. Hopefully, hopefully he can add to his legacy and make the country stronger and better. So yeah, we'll see.
Lisa Booth
I hope so too. All right, John, we'll love to have you back on as we get closer to the midterms. Always appreciate your insight and appreciate you making the time.
Podcast Host
Thank you very much. I appreciate the opportunity and keep up the good work.
Lisa Booth
That was John McLaughlin. I appreciate him for making the time to join the show. Appreciate you guys at home for listening every Tuesday and Thursday. But of course you can listen throughout the week. Until next time.
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We've all done it. You see a headline but don't have time to read the whole story. Or there's so much news you're not sure what is worth your time. Colby I'm Colby Ekowitz, co host of Post Reports, the weekday afternoon podcast from the Washington Post. Post Reports brings you what's relevant and revealing breaking stories, politics, wellness, culture. Each episode goes beyond a headline for the context you need. Find Post Reports now wherever you're listening.
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Episode: Can Trump’s Polling Power Propel Republicans in the Midterms with John McLaughlin
Release Date: May 22, 2025
Host: Lisa Booth
Guest: John McLaughlin, Renowned Pollster and CEO of McLaughlin & Associates
In this episode of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, Lisa Booth engages in an insightful conversation with John McLaughlin, a prominent pollster known for his work with former President Donald Trump. The discussion centers around President Trump's current polling strength and its potential influence on the Republican Party's performance in the upcoming midterm elections.
John McLaughlin begins by addressing the latest polling data regarding President Trump's approval ratings. He emphasizes that his polling methods differ from mainstream media by focusing separately on policy approval and personality approval.
According to McLaughlin, a recent survey conducted on April 29th revealed that Trump has a 50% approval rating with 45% disapproval. Additionally, a targeted poll in 35 Republican battleground congressional districts showed Trump enjoying a 55% approval among 1,000 likely voters.
McLaughlin critiques mainstream media polls, suggesting they underrepresent Trump’s support by diluting his voter base with non-voters or those unfavorable to him.
He argues that his firm's likely voter model, which includes exit polls and voter data, provides a more accurate reflection of Trump's true support.
The conversation delves into how certain media outlets may intentionally skew polls against Trump. McLaughlin cites examples from the 2020 election where polls underestimated Trump’s support.
He suggests that biased polling contributes to misleading narratives about Trump's popularity and the Republican Party's prospects.
McLaughlin outlines the unique coalition Trump has built, which includes diverse demographic groups:
Hispanic Voters: Trump secured 46% of the Hispanic voter record for Republicans, surpassing George W. Bush's 44% in 2004.
African American Voters: Achieved 21% support among African American men.
Younger Voters: Increased support among younger demographics.
Suburban Women: Gained traction by addressing cultural issues, such as opposition to Kamala Harris’s proposed taxes on 401ks and homes.
John McLaughlin [21:24]: "He's still doing very well within the polls right now because it's better than what they have, better opportunities and a little better life and more hope than what they were dealing with, Joe Biden."
Discussing the potential outcomes of the midterms, McLaughlin remains optimistic but cautious. He acknowledges historical trends where the incumbent party typically loses seats in the House during midterms but believes Trump's strong base can counteract this.
He points to specific policy successes, such as border security and economic measures, that could bolster Republican performance.
McLaughlin draws parallels between Trump's strategies and historical Republican successes:
Ronald Reagan: Highlighting Reagan’s tax cuts and economic growth.
George W. Bush Post-9/11: Emphasizing economic stimulus and timely tax cuts.
John McLaughlin [36:27]: "Ronald Reagan collapsed the Soviet empire because his tax cuts grew the American economy."
A significant portion of the discussion revolves around the importance of making Trump's tax cuts permanent:
He argues that these tax cuts are crucial for sustained economic growth, job creation, and combating inflation.
McLaughlin highlights voter awareness issues, noting that a substantial percentage are unaware of the impending lapse of these tax cuts but support their permanence once informed.
The conversation also covers Trump's tariff policies, acknowledging their complexity but reaffirming their role in protecting American jobs and industries.
He compares the current tariff strategy to previous successful economic policies, emphasizing long-term benefits despite short-term complexities.
Looking ahead to 2028, McLaughlin discusses the sustainability of the America First coalition. He believes Republicans can maintain and even expand this coalition by continuing to address key issues:
He stresses the importance of Republicans remaining united on core issues like tax policy, border security, and economic growth to retain and grow their diverse supporter base.
The episode concludes with McLaughlin expressing confidence in Trump's ability to influence the midterms positively for the Republican Party. He underscores the historic nature of Trump's support and the solid foundation built through strategic policy initiatives.
Lisa Booth thanks McLaughlin for his insights, highlighting the importance of his expertise as the midterms approach.
John McLaughlin [03:54]:
"His policies are more popular than his personality. He doesn't get a fair shake from the, you know, the left wing legacy media."
John McLaughlin [07:56]:
"If we don't make the Trump tax cuts permanent, you will see, my friend Steve Forbes says, you won't just see a recession, you'll see a depression."
John McLaughlin [21:24]:
"He's still doing very well within the polls right now because it's better than what they have, better opportunities and a little better life and more hope than what they were dealing with, Joe Biden."
John McLaughlin [36:27]:
"Ronald Reagan collapsed the Soviet empire because his tax cuts grew the American economy."
Trump's Enduring Support: Despite media narratives, Trump's approval ratings remain robust, particularly among Republican core voters.
Polling Accuracy: McLaughlin criticizes mainstream polls for underrepresenting Trump’s support, advocating for more accurate polling methodologies based on likely voters.
Strategic Policy Focus: Emphasizing tax cuts and economic growth as pivotal policies to drive Republican success in the midterms.
Diverse Coalition: Trump has successfully built a diverse supporter base across various demographics, crucial for broad electoral appeal.
Midterm Implications: While historical trends predict losses for the incumbent party, Trump's strong base and strategic policies could mitigate these effects for Republicans.
Future Prospects: Sustaining the America First movement and addressing key economic and cultural issues are essential for long-term Republican success.
This comprehensive summary captures the essence of the episode, providing listeners with a clear understanding of the discussions surrounding Trump's polling power and its potential impact on the Republican Party's performance in the midterm elections.