Weekly Review With Clay and Buck H1 - Special Election Results

Summary

The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show: Weekly Review With Clay and Buck H1 - Special Election Results

Release Date: April 5, 2025

In this episode of The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show, hosts Clay Travis and Buck Sexton delve into the recent special election results, offering insightful analysis on the political landscape, voter behavior, and the future trajectories of both the Republican and Democratic parties. The discussion is rich with expert opinions, notable quotes, and a clear examination of the implications these results hold for upcoming elections.

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1. Overview of Special Election Results

The episode opens with Travis and Sexton discussing the outcomes of the recent special elections, highlighting significant victories and mixed results across key states.

Florida's Strong Performance:

• Victory in Florida's 1st and 6th Congressional Districts: Both Clay and Buck express satisfaction with the Republican wins in these traditionally red districts. Buck notes, "Big wins in the state of Florida, the first and sixth congressional districts," emphasizing the importance of these victories in solidifying Republican presence.

Wisconsin's Mixed Results:

• Failure to Secure State Supreme Court Seat: While Republicans managed to retain two congressional seats, they fell short in winning the open state Supreme Court seat.
• Voter ID Initiative Passage: Despite the loss, the approval of the voter ID initiative is viewed positively by the hosts. Clay remarks, "[...] the voter ID initiative did get approved. So, you know, it's a mixed bag."

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2. Analysis of Election Results

The hosts delve deeper into the factors influencing these outcomes, particularly focusing on voter turnout and spending disparities.

Voter Turnout and Margins:

• Marginal Gains and Turnout Concerns: Clay observes, "Winning by 15 points in the Florida 6 when you're outspent five to one is a pretty solid sign," suggesting that despite financial disadvantages, Republican candidates showcased strong voter mobilization.
• Democratic Outperformance in Special Elections: "I look Democrats outperform Republicans in special elections across the board," Clay notes, highlighting a trend where Democrats have been slightly outpacing Republicans in similar electoral contexts.

Spending Disparities:

• Republican Outspending: The discussion acknowledges that Republicans were often outspent significantly, yet still managed to secure victories, indicating effective campaign strategies and voter engagement.

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3. Implications for Republican and Democratic Parties

The conversation transitions to the broader implications these election results have for both major political parties.

Republican Fortunes:

• Strengthening GOP Base: Buck comments, "It's an off-election cycle. It's tough to get people that excited in a super red district to come out in huge numbers," suggesting that Republicans have successfully energized their base even in less favorable times.
• Future Campaigns and Strategies: The hosts speculate on how these results might influence future campaigns, with a focus on maintaining momentum and addressing voter concerns.

Democratic Challenges:

• Casual vs. Die-hard Voters: Clay posits, "There are a lot more casual, I would say busy Republican voters that show up for the big events but don't show up for the primary season," contrasting the reliability of Democratic die-hard voters with the more sporadic participation of Republican casual voters.
• Potential Seat Losses: "We lost three should win Republican Senate seats in Georgia three in one state over the course of a couple of election cycles," Clay underscores the fragile position Republicans could find themselves in if voter trends shift.

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4. Current State of the Democratic Party

A significant portion of the discussion centers on the internal struggles within the Democratic Party, including leadership disputes and declining popularity.

Declining Popularity:

• Record Low Approval Ratings: Buck emphasizes, "Democrats are about as popular as stubbing your toe," citing Quinnipiac University polling data where Democratic congressional approval plummeted to 21%, the lowest on record.
• Intra-party Discontent: Clay adds, "A lot of truth being thrown around when people who have been fighters on the right for a long time are saying the same things about the Democrat Party that honest Democrats are saying about the Democrat Party," indicating widespread dissatisfaction within the party ranks.

Leadership Challenges:

• Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer: Both leaders face criticism for lacking vision and failing to effectively counter Republican strategies. Clay states, "Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer need to be primaried and thrown out of office," reflecting the hosts' belief that new leadership is imperative for the party's resurgence.
• Infighting and Party Direction: Buck notes the ongoing struggle to find cohesive leadership, mentioning, "The Democrat Party descending into under his tenure for eight years [...] but Chuck Schumer is not going anywhere though, because of the purse strings."

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5. Influence of Former President Obama on Democratic Strategies

The episode touches upon former President Barack Obama's alleged influence on the Democratic Party's recent strategies and leadership decisions.

Alleged Meddling:

• Derailing Kamala Harris: Buck references a claim that Obama worked behind the scenes to undermine Vice President Kamala Harris's candidacy, questioning, "Do you buy this? Do you think Obama's meddling might have actually helped Trump substantially?"
• Ghostwriting Influences: Clay further speculates, "Barack Obama ghost wrote George Clooney's op ed in the New York Times," suggesting that Obama's influence extends beyond traditional political strategies into media narratives.

Strategic Missteps:

• Message Ineffectiveness: The hosts argue that the Democratic Party's messaging has failed to resonate with voters, attributing part of the blame to strategic errors possibly influenced by Obama’s legacy.

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6. Cultural and Generational Shifts

Shifting focus, Travis and Sexton discuss the broader cultural changes influencing politics, particularly the rise of platforms like TikTok and shifts in younger voters' preferences.

TikTok Acquisition by Amazon:

• Final Bid for TikTok: Clay highlights the surprising move by Amazon to attempt a last-minute acquisition of TikTok, posing significant implications for social media and political influence.
• Generational Media Consumption: "My boys love YouTube and TikTok, that's where they spend their time," Buck observes, emphasizing the importance of understanding and leveraging these platforms to engage younger demographics.

Media Influence on Politics:

• Changing Communication Channels: The hosts discuss how the adoption of new media platforms affects political communication and voter engagement, considering how traditional strategies may need to evolve.

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7. Future Outlook and Predictions

Concluding their analysis, Travis and Sexton offer predictions on the trajectory of both parties leading up to the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential elections.

Republican Prospects:

• Potential for Senate Gains: Clay predicts, "But if they take back the House, they're going to argue after 2026, hey, we're winning 2028," suggesting that Republicans could position themselves strongly for the 2028 presidential race by securing the House in 2026.
• JD Vance's Role: Buck notes, "With Trump MAGA it is a movement," indicating that emerging leaders like JD Vance, who represent the next generation under Trump’s influence, could play pivotal roles in future Republican successes.

Democratic Prospects:

• Continued Decline in Popularity: The hosts remain skeptical about the Democratic Party’s ability to regain its footing, especially given the internal divisions and leadership challenges.
• Shift to New Strategies: "They’re going to pivot big time to class warfare stuff and healthcare," Clay anticipates how Democrats might change their campaign focus to reclaim voter support.

Overall Political Climate:

• Intense Partisan Battles: Both hosts foresee continued deepening divisions between the parties, with strategic maneuvers on both sides aiming to capture and consolidate power in the upcoming election cycles.

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8. Conclusion

Clay Travis and Buck Sexton provide a comprehensive and engaging analysis of the recent special election results, underscoring the nuanced dynamics at play within American politics. Their discussion highlights the resilience and strategic prowess of the Republican Party, contrasted against the Democratic Party's internal challenges and declining popularity. With a keen eye on future elections, the hosts offer valuable insights into the potential shifts and strategies that will shape the political landscape in the coming years.

Notable Quotes:

• Clay Travis ([04:37]): "He, and he is, he's going to win. We're projecting a win for him. But Dana, it's not a 35 point win that it should be in Ruby red Panhandle Florida."
• Clay Travis ([04:48]): "Democrats outperform Republicans in special elections across the board."
• Buck Sexton ([26:15]): "Democrats are about as popular as stubbing your toe."
• Clay Travis ([26:35]): "Do you buy this? Do you think Obama's meddling might have actually helped Trump substantially?"
• Buck Sexton ([32:55]): "The problem for the House is there's only around 25 seats that are actually swingable at this point."

---

This episode serves as a critical examination of the current political climate, offering listeners a blend of analysis, predictions, and candid discussions on the factors shaping future election outcomes.

Transcript

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[Buck Sexton]

Edition of the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton show. And there's a lot going on. Victory in Florida. Just want to take a moment here with my fellow Floridians listening. And Clay is like a half Floridian. I know that Tennessee doesn't want to give up one of their favorite sons, but Clay does have property on the Gulf of America. It's true. And spends a fair amount of time in Florida. Big wins in the state of Florida, the first and six congressional districts. We thought that was going to happen. You know, Randy Fine came through. Jimmy Petronas came through. All good there. Not as awesome up in Wisconsin. Maybe a bit of a Wisconsin wake up call, but something of a, of a mixed bag. We did not win the open Supreme Court, state Supreme Court seat there, but there was a ballot initiative on id, voter id and that did get approved. So, you know, it's, it's mixed. It wasn't what we wanted. Certainly now we're going to probably drop two congressional seats from the Republican column in Wisconsin, but we'll get more into that. Trump sharing out on Truth Social. It's Liberation Day in America. He's really going all in on this. I mean, this is, is, is this going to be Trump's first new federal holiday that he tries to declare if this goes as well as he's hoping? Liberation Day is something that I had not expected to get as much attention from. And we also got cuts at hhs, nih, cdc, which we should certainly discuss and then some other stories that are going to get into the mix here. But Clay, I would, I would start with what is your feeling about the elections that occurred yesterday? I mean, they're, they're doing here, here's Jake Tapper. I said this would happen. They're saying, okay, well he's winning big, but it's not as big a win. This is over at cnn. Play cut to Petronas is a strong candidate.

[Clay Travis]

He, and he is, he's going to win. We're projecting a win for him. But Dana, it's not a 35 point win that it should be in Ruby red Panhandle Florida.

[Buck Sexton]

You're exactly right. And it is the whole question of the margins, Jake. That is what Democrats have been looking at all night, Clay. I mean this is, look, they're looking for silver linings for their audience there now they're trying to which Wisconsin is clearly get, oh, man. Over at msnbc, Wisconsin is the story of the day, no question. But everyone knew that Petronas was going to win. He won by a whole bunch. Randy Fine one by a solid margin. I think Republicans showed up. It's an off election cycle. It's tough to get people that excited in a super red district to come out in huge numbers.

[Clay Travis]

I look Democrats outperform Republicans in special elections across the board. And this is why I think Republicans need to look at the data. I think frankly this is why they pulled Stefanik. I think that's why they pulled her UN ambassadorship, because they knew that in her district in New York based on the numbers in Florida, that people were just not going to show up on the same level. And it doesn't really surprise me. I think what it means is the 25% of the Democrat Party die hards are going to vote no matter what. And that happens basically nationwide. And there are a lot more casual, I would say busy Republican voters that show up for the big events but don't show up for the primary season. And I think that that is well understood at this point. To me, winning by 15 points in the Florida 6 when you're outspent five 6 to 1. Winning in Florida 1 by 15 or 16 points even though you're outspent there to me is a, is a pretty solid sign. But I think we need to avoid special elections sometimes you can't help it but buck the kick in the teeth in 2020. The thing, the reason I think we got to 9% inflation was not because Biden got elected president. It's because Georgia in double special elections gave Joe Biden the Senate majority.

[Buck Sexton]

We lost three should win Republican Senate seats in Georgia three in one state over the course of a couple of election cycles. So yeah, that was a disaster and one that cost the country, truly cost the country trillions of dollars.

[Clay Travis]

I don't think we would have gotten above 4 or 5% inflation. I really mean this. If Georgia had had one of those two races go to the Republican Party because there was enough opposition to Biden's agenda that there would have had to be some moderation. And let me just say this too. If Joe Manchin and Kirsten Sinema, but Joe Manchin in particular hadn't put the stopgap on it. Remember, Biden wanted to spend $5 trillion. I'm not saying Manchin was perfect. I think he got it wrong with the build back better bill. I think the Inflation Adjustment Reduction act that actually increased inflation was a bad decision. But Biden would have blown inflation into the 15 or 16% category if he had been allowed to spend like he wanted to spend, but he never would have been allowed to do that if we had won the special elections in Georgia.

[Buck Sexton]

Yeah. So it's overall, overall, I think it was a, it was a good day yesterday for Republicans. Not, not a perfect day. And I do have to remind everybody, the numbers for the Democrats continue to go down. And the Democrats, Clay and I were talking about this. We actually just. Kerry was with us. We did a gym workout, south beach, you know, working on our pecs, our delts.

[Clay Travis]

This is the. I've never seen so many people in a gym. This was not us wearing less clothes to work out. I've never been in a gym. It was like we were at a bay. It was like a swim party. The girls were basically just working out in their bikinis. I've never seen anything.

[Buck Sexton]

It's like, it's like a lingerie show in the gym every day. Yes, it is. This is, I've never, I, I grew up in New York City. I went to the gym there. I've never seen anything like it in my life. And here it's, it's quite a show.

[Clay Travis]

I was not in my lingerie, in case anybody wonders.

[Buck Sexton]

Yeah. I mean, even the guys aren't wearing very much. A lot of very skimpy tank tops on the guys showing.

[Clay Travis]

Your brother, your brother walked by and.

[Buck Sexton]

I was like, he's a tank top guy.

[Clay Travis]

Top workout. I got a full T shirt on. I felt like I was dressed like I was in a burqa.

[Buck Sexton]

But, you know, we were, we were walking here, walking back and, and just talking about what we're going to get into on the show and how. I'm a little surprised. Are you a little surprised, too? I'm a little surprised that the, the tacking toward the center. It's not just that they're, they're slow to do it or I think they're unwilling to do it. I think the Democrats are. And I don't mean on everything, obviously. Look, Kamala got a lot of votes and she was a horrible candidate. We didn't win by that much. In some ways, Wisconsin might be a good wake up call for everybody that we're talking about fine margins. Yes, Trump won the, ran the table and won the election and it was awesome and fantastic. But he's not going to. Well, we don't think he's going to be the guy running the next time around. And the parties are neck and neck still with as crazy as Democrats are. So are you surprised about the lack of. I Mean moderation, lack of sanity.

[Clay Travis]

Yes. Because right after the election, we said, you have two options when you get your ass kicked. One is you can say, oh, you know, and I think it works for sports, too. You can say, hey, we had an awful game plan. We got to go back and figure out a way to win. What Democrats have gone with is not. We had an awful game plan. They've gone with. Our message wasn't heard well enough by the American voter. And I think that's completely wrong. They spent a billion and a half dollars on Kamala Harris in roughly 90 days. And everybody knew Kamala Harris's message. It was just an awful message.

[Buck Sexton]

Can I offer some additional context on this? Given the astonishing lie that the Democrats were all in on, that Joe Biden was fine, that there weren't even more defections to the Republican Party, I think goes to the strength of the hive mind and the collectivists. Keep in mind, everybody, if you were a Democrat who voted for Biden in 2020 and you were a reasonable, rational person this time around, not only should you be appalled at his performance, they should have been appalled at the fact that it was hidden by the. And all the books are coming out.

[Clay Travis]

Now, which we told you they were. Of course we told you the truth would be told as soon as the election was over. And now everybody, including Jake Tapper, who claimed that it was hilarious, got a book about how decrepit Biden was. But yeah, look, I think what you have to take in is there is a committed cadre of 25% of Americans who truly believe that Trump is Hitler and they are going to show up for every special election with the idea being that they believe they have to save the country.

[Buck Sexton]

This is like the Democrat Bolsheviks.

[Clay Travis]

Yeah.

[Buck Sexton]

I mean, these are people. Very interesting little historical note. Back in the early days of the Soviet. What was the Russian and Soviet revolution, there were the Bolsheviks and the Mensheviks, the Bolsheviks. Their name is supposed to be majoritarian. They never had popular support, even among the collectivists. They called themselves that to fool people. The hard left in this country does not have popular support, but they have been able to infiltrate and control institutions to include the DNC and the Democrat Party in recent election cycles. So their ideas don't actually have to be. Their ideas weren't popular during COVID when they were freaking everybody out and shutting everything down, but they did it anyway in a lot of places that didn't want it to happen.

[Clay Travis]

There's good. I thought your analogy yesterday is going to also. I said by 2027, they're going to be talking about how unique of a candidate Trump is and that he doesn't have coattails. And it's not Trump. Sorry, it's not the Republican Party's great message. It's just Trump is a uniquely talented candidate. Obama was the same way in that there. I would argue Trump has better coattails than Obama does. But they're going to try to argue, hey, look, Trump, we're going to, we're going to crush you guys. In 2026, I don't think they can take back the Senate. In fact, I think Republicans, just looking at the map actually have a really good chance to add one or two seats. I think that's very reasonable. But if they take back the House, they're going to argue after 2026, hey, we're winning 2028. Trump is a uniquely talented candidate. They're going to go from he's Hitler to actually, you know what, he's an incredible candidate. And they're going to argue that J.D. vance or whomever the candidate is, does not have the same cachet and appeal and won't turn out those non traditional voters. And it is true in 2020 and 2024, there were a lot of people who showed up at the polls that I think Democrats thought were not going to show up at the polls.

[Buck Sexton]

Well, I do believe with Trump maga, it is a movement. And because his VP does represent the next generation, JD Vance of leadership and is not. Remember, Democrats did something very weird. They had Hillary beaten by Obama, Obama for eight years. And then they tried to kind of trot out Hillary as the, you know, the plan B, the second option here. Oh, but she should be the president now. There was, I know she was Obama's Secretary of State, which didn't go so well. Go check out what happened in Benghazi, among other things. But there was no, oh, she's being, you know, prepared. Yeah, she's the success. There was no sense that she was Obama's successor within Obama ism, if you will. It wasn't like he was. She was, oh, I'm a part of the Obama movement. She's like, I'm a famous politician because my husband was a famous politician and now it's my turn. And it didn't play very well. I think with JD and also with a number of people who are just going to be powerful going forward in the Republican Party who are of the younger generation. The narrative arc is they were there with Trump and they, you know, honed their skills. You know his tutelage is what will allow them to take going forward. So I think there's a little bit of a better shot there.

[Clay Travis]

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[Buck Sexton]

I was impressed by Clay's cold plunge abilities today. I'm just going to tell you, Clay hops into that cold plunge like a champ. His name could be Sven Olafsson or something.

[Clay Travis]

I want to get a cold plunge. In fact, Laura, my wife, obviously thought it was crazy. We're, we're building a new house. And she was like, what do you want? I was like, I want a cold plunge. We did this cold plunge thing at the, at the gym. We did it out in Colorado at the, at the Strawberry Springs. It's awesome.

[Buck Sexton]

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[Buck Sexton]

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[Hannah Jewell]

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[Clay Travis]

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[Clay Travis]

Why are companies really asking workers to.

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[Clay Travis]

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We're here when the news gets personal and the headlines hit home.

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[Clay Travis]

Clay Travis Buck Sexton show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with us. Bit of news that has just popped TikTok, Buck, your favorite TikTok dance app.

[Buck Sexton]

Probably my favorite app.

[Clay Travis]

I'd still like to see the after the iHeart app.

[Buck Sexton]

Excuse me, the iHeart app number one. But I like the TikTok.

[Clay Travis]

I would still like to see the hidden burned potentially never to be found again. Buck learning Tik tock dances by himself and his Covid buried with all the.

[Buck Sexton]

Vaccine data from COVID too. They're never going to be seen. Never. But a light of day.

[Clay Travis]

This is just breaking news. New York Times reports we've been talking a lot about what the future of TikTok was going to be. Trump gave them a reprieve from what was supposed to be the shutdown soon after his election. Amazon, Amazon. Jeff Bezos is Amazon just living down the street. Bezos with his multi hundred million doll mansion, he does have more than one.

[Buck Sexton]

House from what I understand. But yes he does.

[Clay Travis]

Florida is home now.

[Buck Sexton]

I believe it is home base and.

[Clay Travis]

I think he grew up in Miami, right? Didn't he grow up?

[Buck Sexton]

A good question. I don't know.

[Clay Travis]

I think Bezos grew up in Miami and has returned to his homeland. But Amazon has made a last minute bid to acquire TikTok ahead of the upcoming April deadline. Now the talk had been that Oracle, which is obviously a high tech company, that is Larry Ellison's province, if I remember and remember Larry Ellison's son. This is all gets very incestuous, is trying right now to buy Paramount, the CBS company and all of those assets. David Ellison and then now TikTok was the expectation that Oracle was going to buy the, this is the American assets and now Amazon, which is a what, $2 trillion company suddenly parachutes in.

[Buck Sexton]

This could get, I think there's been tremendous upside from whatever day trading you're doing, you know, more than the CNBC anchors or whatever that I watch about this stuff. Like you could Be. I mean, you do this show, you a sports show. I actually do one of those shows with like the stock ticker at the bottom.

[Clay Travis]

I love. So I love media companies, businesses, everything else. I feel like I kind of know them. And this is going to be super interesting to see exactly how all of this is going to play out, because Bezos has cozied up to Trump in a pretty significant way. In fact, Trump told me when I was on Air Force One with him that he really liked Bezos, that he was a good guy. Is the play all along from Bezos. Hey, we're going to swoop in at the last minute, try to get TikTok. Does he see something that Oracle's doing? How does all of this play out? You love TikTok. I mean, if you. My boys love YouTube and TikTok, that's where they spend their time, my kids.

[Buck Sexton]

You know, I was just, I was out with a friend. Carrie and I were out with a couple that are good friends of ours and they had their, their 10 year old. And I told Clay this, and for a moment there, we're sitting, we're watching the Miami Open tennis, you know, because I love tennis, as you know. And we're watching it and the 10 year old sitting next to me on one side carries the other. And I look at him and I go, you know, hey, you know, I ask, have you seen the movies that I, when I was 10 years old, I could recite every line from Back to the Future, right? I mean, there are just some of these. He hasn't seen any of them. And then I was like, well, what do you, what TV shows do you like? And I grew up, I was watching obviously, thundercats, right? Thundercats. Amazing Thundercats. Ho. And. And Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and all this stuff.

[Clay Travis]

GI Joe.

[Buck Sexton]

GI Joe. GI Joe. Back when, you know, patriotism and kicking ass were considered fine for Americans. Clay, he hasn't seen any of them. And there's no shows that he watches. You know what he watches? YouTube. And Mr. Beast, I told, I was just like.

[Clay Travis]

What I told you. I played in that charity poker tournament with Ted Cruz. Mr. Beast was there. My kids were more impressed that I met Mr. Beast than anybody that I've ever met. Sports, politics, they met the President. They were more impressed that I knew Mr. Beast.

[Buck Sexton]

Even bearded Ted Cruz.

[Clay Travis]

Even bearded Ted Cruz.

[Buck Sexton]

Even bearded Ted Cruz. Wow, that's like the best version. Nearly 18 months after Hamas terrorized Israelis, the need for security essentials and support for. For first responders is still critical. The country continually prepares their defense with the resources they need, as they should. But first responders and private citizens need to be fully supported as well. That's where our partners at the International Fellowship of Christians and Jews have come through. Thanks to your generosity, IFCJ has continued to support the people of Israel, providing bomb shelters, security, armored security vehicles and ambulances along with firefighting equipment, flak jackets, life saving material as Israel continues to stare down threats in the region and terrorists that seek its destruction. We stand with the people of Israel today. We ask you to do the same. Please go to supportifcj.org to make a donation that supportifcj.org or call 888-488-IFCJ. All right. Welcome back into Clay and Buck. Let's enjoy the slow motion collapse and infighting of the Democrat Party for a second, shall we? This is, this is like the, the dessert section of this hour. This is where we just get to have a little bit of fun. I told you already, Wisconsin didn't win that Supreme Court state supreme Court seat. A little disappointing, but we knew it was going to be very tough off cycle. Democrats get their crazies out in the off cycle. We got to work more on this. Okay. We did win those Republican congressional seats in Florida, though. So that was the most. Well, maybe we'll say, we'll say it's even. Okay. It's like they get two congressional seats in Wisconsin. We probably lost, but we kept two in the Florida. Maybe Wisconsin was a little more important. Whatever. Let's talk about Democrats and how they hate each other. Well, first off, they're upset. The newest, the newest rating for Democrats in Congress. Specifically, here's CNN's version. Here's CNN's bootleg Ryan Kradusky, Harry Enten, who is telling everybody, listen to what the congressional rating is for Democrats. Now play three Holy Toledo voters views of the Democrats in Congress. Among all voters disapprove 68%. And look at the approved number, just 21%, even lower than the Democratic Party at large.

[Clay Travis]

This is the lowest on record for.

[Buck Sexton]

Democrats according to Quinnipiac University polling.

[Clay Travis]

You think these numbers are bad?

[Buck Sexton]

Let's go to this side of the screen. We'll look at Democratic voters feel. Get this, the plurality of Democratic voters disapprove of Democrats in Congress at 49% and just 40% approve.

[Clay Travis]

Horrible, horrible, horrible.

[Buck Sexton]

Oh, my goodness gracious.

[Clay Travis]

You just can't get worse than these numbers.

[Buck Sexton]

Democrats are about as popular as stubbing your toe. So the nail comes off. It's pretty rough right now yeah.

[Clay Travis]

Look. And they're going to try to take momentum from the special elections. As we started off this show talking about the fact that Trump won those districts the 1st and the 6th by 35ish points in the 2024 election. But what you really have to dive into is turnout. And turnout was and is on these special elections a fraction of how many people show up for presidential elections and how many people show up for midterms, to be frank. And the real challenge here is Democrats can be wildly unpopular. And that's what happens when you take a lot of positions that are in fact wildly unpopular. But the problem for the House is There's only around 25 seats that are actually swingable at this point. Both parties have done such a job gerrymandering the states that they control that there aren't very many toss up seats. So I think the likelihood of either party being able to win more than four or five in any direction is actually highly, highly unlikely. And again I, I said I think Democrats are going to lose Senate seats.

[Buck Sexton]

I think. Wasn't it Maureen Dowd just put out a column that the Democrat Party is in a coma? I think that was the title. Which is feels pretty apt that we've been saying something very similar here because it is and they know it and they're trying to figure out what to do because like any party that is overtaken by radicals, moderation isn't really possible for them right now because moderation would mean expelling the 20% ideologically who have been calling the shots and making demands. This is like the trans stuff. This is like the open borders, we are one world let all the illegals in stuff. I mean really unpopular nationally policies. 20% of Democrats aren't just for it. They are all in on it and would feel betrayed unless you continue to push for that. So that's one thing I think is really interesting. There's also the infighting that's going on with who's going to be in charge of the Democrat Party going forward. I just saw this Clay. I thought this was really interesting. NBC political reporter Jonathan Allen here claiming that Obama worked behind the scenes to Derail Kamala in 2024. Listen to this. President Obama absolutely did not think that Joe Biden should continue according to our sources close to President Obama. And he also didn't want Kamala Harris to be the replacement for Biden. He didn't think that she was the best choice for Democrats. And he worked really behind the scenes for a long time to try to have a mini Primary or an open convention or mini primary leading to an open convention, did not have faith in her ability to win the election. So as it turned out, she didn't win, but he was really working against her. Two things, Clay. One, do you buy this? Two, do you think Obama's meddling might have actually helped Trump substantially because of the behind the scenes shenanigans to undermine Kamala when she was supposed to ascend?

[Clay Travis]

So I have thought for a long time that basically Barack Obama ghost wrote George Clooney's op ed in the New York Times. And I think the New York Times editorial board knows it too, because just think about this. Why would they really feature George Clooney and his political opinion as some incredibly important statement? George Clooney's never been a politician. He's never been, to my knowledge, a particularly perceptive figure in Democrat politics.

[Buck Sexton]

Trump. And I agree, he's not even a very good actor. Trump and I aligned on this one big time.

[Clay Travis]

You and Trump don't even think he's a movie star in any way. I think all, I think that George Clooney's op ed was 100% ghostwritten by Barack Obama.

[Buck Sexton]

But, but here's the thing. Obama is not. This, this actually lines up for me in so many ways. Obama is not a tactician of politics beyond pushing himself and, you know, thinking that he's God, basically, he, he is not a political strategist of any whatsoever. Based on what the Democrat Party, I think descended into under his tenure for eight years, remember, led to Trump, Trump. He made fun of Trump at that dinner. And Trump then became president. Like you think about the Obama story arc, he was good at getting himself elected. He was not good at leading a party. Remember, people say, oh well, Obamacare. There are a few things that happen. Obama came in after a recession that was actually decades in the making. It's a whole other story. We don't have time to get into it now. But didn't get anything done on immigration, didn't get anything done on climate change, which are the two other primary issues that he wanted to work on. But also what was his plan bringing this into this conversation about Kamala, derailing Kamala, who was the better option he wanted.

[Clay Travis]

That's the thing on the George Clooney op ed, he wanted a mini primary.

[Buck Sexton]

But, but think about who would have been in that. It would have been Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom.

[Clay Travis]

Like, think about, do you know who was mentioned that you've said could rise up as the 2028 candidate? Westmore Westmore.

[Buck Sexton]

Yeah, I keep George.

[Clay Travis]

George Clooney specifically mentioned him there, I think so. I think you're right about the crazy town perspectives that so many Democrats have adopted if they have a history. And remember, in particular, Kamala got raked over the coals, as she should have for saying I support transgender surgeries for illegal immigrants. That's why I think that they're. The Democrats are going to have to find someone like Trump who is a non traditional candidate that doesn't have crazy town opinions that are public. Remember, that can recalibrate and redefine the entire party. The first time that I took note of Trump as a candidate was when he said the Iraq war was a disaster. Basically, I'm paraphrasing him. Nobody else at that point in time was willing to criticize the decision to go to the Iraq war because so many Republican politicians supported it. Trump wasn't a Republican politician at the time.

[Buck Sexton]

It wasn't even just Republicans. It was Democrats too, which was including Hillary Clinton. I was going to say a big part of why Hillary was able to. Oh, sorry. Obama was able to outflank Hillary was. Obama was like, look, you voted for that disaster.

[Clay Travis]

That's right.

[Buck Sexton]

And Hillary was, you know, Hillary. So she wasn't exactly great at ingratiating herself.

[Clay Travis]

The party has to be blown up, I think in the Democrats.

[Buck Sexton]

Well, this is on the Breakfast Club, Very, very popular show on the mornings on iHeart. Charlemagne spoke about how he thinks. And this is a guy with a big audience. A lot of Democrats listen to him. The Democrat, you know, top candidates and Kamala and everybody, you know, they go on this show. And Mr. The God was saying that everybody needs to be primaried and thrown out of office in the Democrat leadership. Now play four.

[Clay Travis]

Who's supposed to be the leaders? Well, in Congress, you've got two people. The first one is this guy, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.

[Buck Sexton]

In America, we don't have a king, we don't have a monarch, we don't have a dictator.

[Clay Travis]

Yeah, I'm not feeling too inspired by business casual Morpheus. Okay. And Payless, Obama's counterpart in the Senate, he's somehow even less inspiring.

[Buck Sexton]

It's going to affect beer, most of it. Corona here comes from Mexico. It's going to affect your guac, because what is guacamole made of? Avocados?

[Clay Travis]

Truma is not the man with a plan to fight Trump. He ain't the man with a plan for a good Cinco de Mayo. It's not my job to say that Any particular candidates need to be primaried and thrown out of office. But Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schuman need to be primaried and thrown out of office.

[Buck Sexton]

I mean, I think he's right insofar as the party needs a total shakeup. I agree with his assessment. This is what you know, that there's some, you know, that there's a lot of truth being thrown around when people who have been fighters on the right for a long time are saying the same things about the Democrat Party that honest Democrats are saying about the Democrat Party, which is what's going on right now. They need new leadership. Chuck Schumer is not going anywhere though, because of the purse strings. He's a huge fundraising operation. Hakeem Jeffries, I don't think he's actually going to stay in Democrat leadership for very long, but I keep they there. So much of the Democrat hopes and dreams rest on AOC shoulders right now.

[Clay Travis]

I think that he's right about Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer. Neither one of them have any particular vision to be able to not only tell Democrats where they should go, but really point out where Trump is wrong.

[Buck Sexton]

Schumer is there. Mitch McConnell, he's just a fundraising purse strings institution in the Senate.

[Clay Travis]

I think he'll be gone in 2028 when his. I think he'll say, hey, I'm not going to run again. We'll have a new leadership. I think he's going to be in real trouble if I'm right and they lose seats in 2026 because then it's hard to make up as many seats as they would need to make up to take back control of the Senate. He wouldn't have any possibility of getting to the majority. But this is where I think Gavin Newsom, as much as I think he is an unabashed liar, even by political politician standards, Gavin Newsom is a real liar. Gavin Newsom, I think, recognizes that the Democrat Party is lost in the wilderness in a way that many others are not willing to admit. And he's trying to lead them out of the wilderness, including this ridiculous perspective where he's finally decided to take on the idea that men should be able to compete in women's sports. He called it completely unfair. Now, he's previously said the exact opposite of that. And I think it leaves him vulnerable. But Democrats don't care. They will nominate him. I think the question is, if he were the nominee, would he be able to be defined in a way like Kamala was? I think he's a more sophisticated, better speaker than Kamala, is better than Schumer, better than Hakeem Jeffries. I think you're right about aoc and I think that she would, unfortunately for her, get exposed because I don't know that she's got a lot of depth. But I think she does understand narrative cycle.

[Buck Sexton]

I also believe that there is a frustration again, the Democrats who know how to win elections in different districts and states, who, you know, the Democrat consultants who get paid the big bucks to swindle just enough of the voters that the Democrat who's from Wisconsin or Michigan or Pennsylvania is like, I'm a maverick Democrat. Right. Like that stuff. They can't rely on the abortion issue the way that they were planning on it. I remember there were people who were saying, if Roe v. Wade is overturned, Republicans will never win another election. Yes, if Roe v. Wade is overturned, Republicans are going to get beat. And now I knew that wasn't true. And that first election, that first midterm afterwards, you know, there was the sort of the, some of the Jan.6 hangover stuff with the insurrection and then there was in the states, I think they were able to basically just lie to people and say abortion is going to be illegal in, you know, New Mexico or, you know, abortion is going to be illegal in New York, or it's like never going to happen. They're not going to change anything. And so that issue is off the table for them as a major nationwide mobilization because anybody who's up for grabs gonna say, look, I know what the deal is in my state, I know what the law is in my state. And that's, that's where it is. Like, they're not. So what really are the Democrats gonna run on? I'm telling you, they're gonna pivot big time to class warfare stuff and healthcare. And I think that's really interesting because how does their pivot to healthcare in advance of the midterms play in with the whole conversation that's going to be happening around Luigi Mangione, the health care assassin? Allegedly. Right.

[Clay Travis]

It's a very good one because they're.

[Buck Sexton]

Going to try to be like, oh, we're the ones that care about people and everything else. And there's going to be lunatic left wing Democrats who are out there saying, we love Luigi as they have been.

[Clay Travis]

I think they're going to try to run the abortion playbook again in 26. And I think it's going to fail. This is my, my thought, because the average person, they oversold fear, I think to a lot of people out there. The reality is if you live in a left wing state, abortion is very prominent and easy to get. If you live in a right wing state, it's more difficult but you can still travel to other states. I don't think the average mom and grandma of 14 and 15 year old girls that might have bought in in 2022 and clearly did to the idea that Republicans are going to be dragging your daughters or granddaughters by their hair.

[Buck Sexton]

The fear campaign. They were able to pull it one time and now that it did not affect this presidential election, nobody was talking about abortion in a way that except for that lady who's like I'm a political analyst. Yeah, look.

[Clay Travis]

And they tried aggressively Buck. Remember the police officer dragging the woman out of the car like trying to. It didn't work and I think it's not going to work in 26 again. Look, major League Baseball season off to a fast start. Unless you are a fan of my Atlanta Braves, which have started off the season. Oh, and six not ideal. NBA headed to the playoffs and coming up this weekend, the Final Four. You got Duke, you got going up against Houston, you got Florida, you got Auburn. Awesome. All set up. And if you haven't already downloaded the Prize Picks app on your phone, do it today. It'll make watching the games much more fun. All you have to do is pick more or less for any athlete. You can deposit easily with MasterCard, Visa, Discover. You can do it in California, you can do it in Texas. You can do it in Georgia if you're feeling left out. 40 states out there, it's super easy to follow. All you have to do to get 50 bucks is go to prizepix.com my name Clay. That's C L A Y prizepix.com my Name Clay. Clay play $5, you get $50. All you have to do is just plug my name in pricepix.com code Clay want to be in the Know when you're on the go the Team 47 podcast Trump highlights from the week, Sundays at noon Eastern in the Clay and Buck podcast feed. Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Unknown Speaker]

You know how we're always talking about what's next? Well, I found it. It's called Formula E. Forget everything you think you know about racing. This isn't just cars going fast. It's like a supercomputer on wheels. The tech is insane and the drivers, they're like chess grandmasters at 200 miles per hour. You've got to see it. Trust me, you'll be hooked. Follow Formula E live on Roku Next Race Miami, April 12 okay, real talk.

[Clay Travis]

We'Re all kind of hooked on our phones. It's full of shiny apps designed to.

[Buck Sexton]

Keep your attention captive forever. But there's real life stuff to do.

[Clay Travis]

Other than scrolling and and I'm here to help.

[Buck Sexton]

I'm Christina Quinn, the host of Try this. A podcast from the Washington Post. The show explores solutions for life's common.

[Clay Travis]

Problems, and this season we're learning to tame the dopamine beast and reclaim our.

[Buck Sexton]

Attention in this noisy and distracting world.

[Clay Travis]

So let's tame the beast together. Find Try this from the Washington Post.

[Unknown Speaker]

Wherever you listen after more than a year of war, terror, pain in Israel, the need for security essentials and support for first responders, it is still very, very critical. Israel must be prepared for the next attack and Israel is surrounded by enemies, as we all know on all sides now. Thank goodness, the International Fellowship of Christians and Jews. They have been there from day one supporting and they will continue to support the people of Israel with their life saving security essentials. Your gift is critical to make this mission successful. Please, whatever you can provide that'll help them build bomb shelters, provide armored security vehicles and ambulances and firefighting equipment and flak jackets and bulletproof vests. So please give a gift to bless Israel and the people of Israel during their time of survival. Mode. Just go to supportifcj.org that's one word. Supportifcj.org or give them a call now. 888-488ifcj 888-488ifcj today.

[Buck Sexton]

Stay connected with your parents anytime, anywhere. When you need to reach your parents, rely on Rapid Radio's Walkie Talkies. Rapid Radios make it simple to stay in touch with aging parents. At the push of a button.

[Clay Travis]

Just take them out of the box, press a button, start talking. Instant communication anywhere, anytime with nationwide LTE coverage. These walkie talkies are 100% private. No contracts, no monthly fees, just pure reliable connection.

[Buck Sexton]

Your parents can stay in touch whether they're at home or traveling, giving you peace of mind knowing they're always reachable. Ready to use right out of the box. Rapid Radios offers modern convenience with the ease of a classic walkie talkie.

[Clay Travis]

For a limited time, visit rapidradios.com and save up to 60% plus enjoy free UPS shipping from Michigan. Use code RADIO25 for an extra 25 off and a free EMP protection bag. Order today at rapidradios.com and stay connected.

[Hannah Jewell]

For some of us, personal finances aren't just personal. They include a lot more people than ourselves. Loved ones, neighbors, the communities we call home, and the causes we hold in our hearts. At Thrivent, we help plan your financial picture with the bigger picture in mind. Because even though our business is helping guide your finances, our ambition is to make it mean so much more. Thrivent, where money means more. Connect with [e-mail] welcome back in Clay.

[Clay Travis]

Travis Buck Sexton show Quick turn, couple of stories again that we will discuss. Tariffs being announced in detail later today by President Trump and also Nashville school shooter Covenant Manifesto writings out final report. We'll hit some of that. Couple of great emails. Allison, love what you do, but you're both slacking on Elon and Tesla. You both need to go out, buy at least two cybertrucks, post videos. It's the least all wealthy conservatives can do, especially if you make a living talking about politics. P.S. clay is blinded by boobs. Sydney Sweeney does not have the face for Snow White Alice.

[Buck Sexton]

Taken multiple shots here.

[Clay Travis]

Alison, you're totally wrong. I don't love the cyber truck, the suv I'm. I'm very intrigued by. I just don't really like the look of the cybertruck, personally. Like the look of Sydney Sweeney. I think she would have made a billion dollars. Buck, according to Holly. Your new picture's awesome. Proud of you for getting in shape. Prayers for you and Carrie for a safe delivery of the baby. Thanks to you and Clay for being my daytime dose of sanity, humor, crazy times one week from today. Yeah, you theoretically could come sooner, but you will be a dad.

[Buck Sexton]

Yeah, it's very exciting stuff. Carrie and I, we got the strollers and bassinets and I don't even know what these things are called. All kinds of baby paraphernalia all over the house, which we're very excited about. And the good news is it'll be easier for me to move up and down the stairs with it because, yeah, I've trimmed down quite a bit. Thanks to Dane Anderson, my trainer, for getting that going. And yeah, it's been fantastic. So we're going to come back in here. We got more stories for you and more VIP emails and talkbacks. Oh, my. Oh, let's talk about Val Kilmer, too. Rest in peace. Next hour, we'll talk about it.

[Hannah Jewell]

For some of us, personal finances aren't just personal. They include a lot more people than ourselves. Loved ones, neighbors, the communities we call home, and the causes we hold in our hearts. At Thrivent, we help plan your financial picture with the bigger picture in mind. Because even though our business is helping guide your finances, our ambition is to make it mean so much more Thrivent, where money means more. Connect with [e-mail] you know how we're.

[Unknown Speaker]

Always talking about what's next. Well, I found it. It's called Formula E. Forget everything you think you know about racing. This isn't just cars going fast. It's like a supercomputer on wheels. The tech is insane and the drivers, they're like chess grandmasters at 200 miles per hour. You've got to see it. Trust me, you'll be hooked. Follow Formula E live on Roku Next Race Miami, April 12th We've all done it.

[Hannah Jewell]

You see a headline but don't have time to read the whole story. Or there's so much news you're not sure what is worth your time.

[Buck Sexton]

Colby I'm Colby Ekowitz, co host of.

[Hannah Jewell]

Post Reports, the weekday afternoon podcast from the Washington Post. Post Reports brings you what's relevant and revealing breaking stories, politics, wellness, culture. Each episode goes beyond a headline for.

[Buck Sexton]

The context you need.

[Hannah Jewell]

Find Post Reports now wherever you're listening.

[Buck Sexton]

We live in the greatest nation in the history of mankind, a nation of opportunity. A nation built upon our personal freedoms. Our country's founders were inspired in the creation of our Constitution, which defines and guarantees our freedom.

[Clay Travis]

Understanding the history and words within our Constitution is something you should be interested in. It's one of the reasons why Hillsdale College offers a free online video course, Constitution 101. You can watch it on demand at your own convenience. I've seen firsthand the passion for learning that Hillsdale's faculty and administration has. It's infectious, and you'll see it in this online course as well as the others, too.

[Buck Sexton]

Watch Hillsdale College's Constitution 101 series and relearn all about this document. It's just one of 40 free online courses available from Hillsdale. Inspire yourself to learn and learn for free. From Hillsdale College.

[Clay Travis]

Go online to clayandbuckforhillsdale.com there's no cost and it's easy to get started. That's clayandbuck4hillsdale.com to register one more time. Clayandbuckforhillsdale.com stay connected and stay productive with Rapid Radios. Business owners trust Rapid Radios for instant, reliable team communication with nationwide LTE coverage. Push to talk convenience and room for up to 200 units on one feed. Keeping connected's never been easier. 100 private no subscriptions, no hassle.

[Buck Sexton]

Visit rapidradios.com to save up to 60% and get free UPS shipping from Michigan. Use code RADIO25 for an extra 25 off and a free EMP protection bag. Order [e-mail].