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Hour 2 – Biggest Surprises, Albert Breer - The Dan Patrick Show | Wave AI Podcast Notes

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Hour 2 – Biggest Surprises, Albert Breer

The Dan Patrick Show

Mon Jan 05 2026

Summary

The Dan Patrick Show – Hour 2: Biggest Surprises, Albert Breer

Date: January 5, 2026
Host: Dan Patrick
Notable Guests: Albert Breer (Senior NFL Reporter, Monday Morning Quarterback)
Main Themes: NFL coaching changes and playoff surprises, upcoming head coach moves, quarterback trust, Super Bowl scenarios, and a touch of Hollywood with movie reviews.

Episode Overview

Dan Patrick and the Danettes (Todd, Seton, Paul, Marvin) ring in the New Year by dissecting football’s biggest surprises as the NFL postseason takes shape. The group debates wide-ranging NFL storylines, from coaching firings and future openings to who’s the most trusted playoff quarterback. Senior NFL Reporter Albert Breer joins for deep-dive analysis on Cleveland’s head coaching move, the Deshaun Watson conundrum, Tom Brady's role as an NFL owner, and potential seismic shifts in Baltimore and Pittsburgh. The hour closes with best/worst weekend moments and a riotous multi-Danette review of the new Timothy Chalamet ping pong movie, Marty Supreme.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Kicking Off the New Year & Playoff Picture

Opening Banter: Dan and the Danettes debate: Is it "Happy New Year" or "Happy New Year's"? (00:00–00:43)
- Seton: "I think people say Happy New Year's because it's a New Year's Eve. But it's really Happy New Year." (00:34)
- Paul: "New Year. Singular. New Year's. Plural is incorrect grammar wise." (00:43)
NFL Coaching News:
- Kevin Stefanski out as Cleveland Browns head coach announced just prior to show.
- Atlanta Falcons also moving on from their coach and general manager.
- Other "hanging in the balance" coaching situations previewed.
Playoff Seeding & Road Favorites:
- Dan notes several road playoff teams are favorites, unusual for postseason.
- College football playoff lines: Miami favored against Ole Miss; Indiana over Oregon.

2. Poll Question: Most Shocking AFC Playoff Snub

Results from Hour 1: (03:05)
- Seton: "The Chiefs have 54% of that vote, followed by the Ravens. Bengals, it's kind of sad nobody is surprised they didn't make the playoffs."
Cincinnati’s Shortfall:
- Dan: "Joe Burrow fought to get back but...there’s no defense there. If you’re letting Shador Sanders go down the field with a minute to go and get in field goal range, that's a bad defense." (03:23)
Team Regressions Mentioned:
- Discussion on Detroit and Dan Campbell's critical upcoming year.
- Consideration of the Browns’ draft strategy and Colts’ coaching consistency.

3. QB Trust Factor & Super Bowl Odds Musings

(Timestamp ~09:00+)

Dan runs through which playoff QBs he trusts in big games:
- Dan: "Matthew Stafford, yes. Bo Nix, no. Jalen Hurts, yes. Drake May, not yet. Josh Allen – I have trust in him. Trevor Lawrence, trust. C.J. Stroud, trust. Jordan Love... Those are your postseason quarterbacks." (09:50)
Super Bowl Odds:
- Top odds: Seahawks, Rams, Broncos, Eagles, Patriots.
- Noteworthy: Jaguars again overlooked, and Dan says that's just fine for them, citing Trevor Lawrence’s steadiness.

4. Dream Super Bowl Matchups

Marvin: "When we get to San Francisco, what would be the dream scenario as far as QB matchup?" (10:23)
Dan: "Sam Darnold in the Seahawks in the Super Bowl would be pretty fascinating... Rams, Bills, maybe a walk off with Stafford." (10:34)
- Paul: "I'd like to see Green Bay, Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl... Two underdogs." (11:06)

5. Fan Calls: Football Joy and the Pressure Game

James in Virginia (12:25–13:43): Celebrates "amazing" playoff field, is shocked by Ole Miss’s run, highlights the pressure mounting each week for the Bills.
- James: "The Bills, each week that they stay in it, that pressure is just going to mount and mount."
Gus in LA (13:43–14:45): A week can change everything for Steelers’ Mike Tomlin; unpredictable year but he’ll “ride it out till the wheels fall off.”

6. Albert Breer: NFL Insider Deep Dive

(Starts 18:30)

6.1 Cleveland Browns Firing Stefanski

Albert Breer: "It's just a water under the bridge type thing...the damage done by the Deshaun [Watson] trade. It kicks out your ability to draft...keeps you from fixing the quarterback position." (18:43)
Albert: "It's going to be tough to find a better one than Kevin Stefanski...the amount of interest he's going to get from other teams..." (20:10)

6.2 The Deshaun Watson Dilemma

Browns are “already paying him for next year,” so logic suggests sticking it out unless they land a top rookie QB and want a clean slate. (20:20–22:51)
- Albert: "If the plan is to bring in, you know, Kirk Cousins to compete with Shador Sanders and Dylan Gabriel...I’m not sure I see the harm in taking one more swing at it with Deshaun Watson...but if you've got a young quarterback you want to go all-in on, you might want to take him out of the equation." (22:08)

6.3 Better Head Coach Opening: Cleveland or Atlanta?

Albert: "Maybe lean Cleveland because you get to do your thing at quarterback...you have two first-round picks...but it's close." (22:56)

6.4 Vegas & Tom Brady’s Ownership Learning Curve

Albert (on Tom Brady): "Tom Brady's got to learn how to run a football team...It's not the same thing as building a team and managing a football operation." (24:51)
Reflects on John Elway’s early humility as a model for Brady; need for cohesion instead of assembling disjointed “all-star staff.”

6.5 Tom Brady: Broadcaster or Owner?

Albert: "Broadcaster now, I’d say. So many people...have been humbled moving into ownership roles.” (27:16)
Dan: Jokes about owners thinking they can buy success, but football humbles all.

6.6 Other Coaching Carousel Notes

Dolphins likely keeping Mike McDaniel, but QB Tua’s future in doubt. Albert: "I think that's likely..." (32:45)
John Harbaugh’s fate in Baltimore is a "coin flip"—massive expectations, potential for big changes tied to Lamar Jackson's contract. (33:07)
Jonathan Gannon safe in Arizona, but Kyler Murray’s future is up in the air. Albert: "Kyler Murray's future is certainly tied to all of that..." (33:59)
On Mike Tomlin’s future: "A pretty substantial reset is coming [in Pittsburgh]...Does Mike Tomlin want to go through a rebuild, or do they look elsewhere?" (34:44)
Albert on best advice for Tom Brady as a broadcaster: "Just be yourself. The more Tom doesn't try to sound like an analyst, the better.” (30:10)

7. Best & Worst of the Weekend (36:31)

Todd (Best): Seahawks defense holds Niners to 173 yards; three points is their lowest under Kyle Shanahan since 2017.
Todd (Worst): Alabama blown out 38–3.
Seton (Best): Mike Tirico’s superb game call; Mike Tomlin and Aaron Rodgers both needed those wins.
Marvin (Best): Mitch Trubisky (as a Bill): 22–29, 259 yards, 4 TDs.
Marvin (Worst): Jets finish with zero interceptions on defense across entire season.
Paul (Best): Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss’s playoff heroics; D-III River Falls wins first national title.
Paul (Worst): None cited.

8. Marty Supreme: Movie Review by the Danettes (39:06)

Dan, Todd, and Seton all saw the new Timothy Chalamet ping pong film, Marty Supreme.
- Todd: "Compelling and kept my interest, but a bit too odd...trying too hard to stand out...and it’s a lot of ping pong." (39:22)
- Seton: "Awesome. One of the most unique movies I've ever seen. Borderline brilliant. I think it takes Timothy Chalamet to a whole other level." (39:38)
- Dan: Praises Chalamet’s performance & the Safdie brothers’ direction; feels 20 minutes could be cut. "Shot in a way...the Safdie brothers feel like they’re the modern day Coen brothers." (39:49)
- Fun fact: Real NBA cameos (e.g., George Gervin) appear as Globetrotters.
- Seton: "Feels like you took Uncut Gems and mashed it with Forrest Gump." (40:23)
- Dan: “It’s every bit of two and a half hours…times you don’t know what’s happening, but Chalamet will be nominated [for an Oscar]."
- Paul: "Is this the greatest ping pong movie of all time?" (41:17)
- Group verdict: Thumbs up, with some caveats on its weirdness and runtime.

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

On NFL Owners’ Hubris:
- Albert Breer (27:46): "Every one of them comes in, 'We're gonna be the Microsoft of football.' And that's why you see so many of these owners, like, stock up on analytics...Well, there's an art to how this whole thing works and it's not as easy as just saying, 'I'm gonna throw money at the problem.'"
On Stefanski’s Firing:
- Albert Breer (18:43): "It's just a water under the bridge type thing...They’ve been through a lot together...the damage done by the Deshaun [Watson] trade."
On Tom Brady as Broadcaster:
- Dan Patrick (30:10): "Don’t try to be too structural. This is fun. Have fun, pick your spots, give us insight, tell us things we don’t know."
On Movie Magic:
- Seton (40:23): "Feels like you took Uncut Gems and mashed it with Forrest Gump—that’s 'Marty Supreme.'"

Timestamps for Important Segments

New Year’s Banter & NFL coaching changes: 00:00–02:30
Poll Question – AFC Playoff Misses: 03:05–05:00
Quarterback Trust/Playoff Odds: 09:00–11:00
Dream Super Bowl Matchups: 10:23–11:18
Dan & Danettes on Movie Reviews: 05:18 + 39:06–41:37
Fan Calls – James, Gus: 12:25–14:45
Albert Breer, NFL Coaching Carousel: 18:30–36:31
Best & Worst of the Weekend: 36:31–39:06
Marty Supreme Movie Review: 39:06–41:37

Tone & Language

Conversational, debate-driven, with signature Dan Patrick Show humor and pop-culture interplay.
Guest segments (Albert Breer) shift into NFL insider tone—measured, direct, candid.

Summary Takeaway

This episode threads together the NFL’s most surprising playoff outcomes, dissects the league’s looming coaching changes, and delivers insider analysis on evolving quarterback situations. Dan Patrick and his crew inject wit, self-awareness, and a touch of Hollywood into the mix—making it must-listen for sports fans looking for both depth and fun.

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Transcript

Dan Patrick (0:00)

This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. You are listening to the Dan Patrick show on Fox Sports Radio. Happy New Year. You can say it today. Then that's it. Is it Happy New Year or Happy New Year's Because I thought it was singular. Todd, let me ask you, being the highly educated Danette, I would go with Happy New year.

Todd (0:23)

I'm not 100% sure, but happy New Year. It's the New Year years. I don't know.

Dan Patrick (0:27)

Okay. Where do we get Happy New Year's?

Todd (0:29)

Because like New Year's Eve. So I guess sometimes the apostrophe s gets attached further than it should.

Seton (0:34)

Seton, I think Todd just nailed it. I think people say Happy New Year's because it's a New Year's Eve. Okay, but it's really Happy New Year.

Dan Patrick (0:41)

Okay.

Seton (0:41)

It's a new year. One of them.

Dan Patrick (0:43)

Yes.

Paul (0:43)

Paul, Double checking. Yeah. New Year. Singular. New Year's. Plural is incorrect grammar wise.

Dan Patrick (0:49)

New Year. The Cleveland Browns have a new head coach. Segway. Kevin Stefanski fired earlier this morning. Also, the Atlanta Falcons need a new head coach and a general manager. And Albert Brear, the Monday morning quarterback, will stop by in about 20 minutes. Any other coaches that could be hanging in the balance? Weather Futures877 3DP Show Operator Tyler sitting by. He'll take your phone calls. Good morning. If you're watching on Peacock, you get to watch this show. Download the app if you haven't done so. Stat of the day is always brought to you by Panini America. The official trading cards of the Dan Patrick show poll question from hour one. We'll give you the final results and we'll have a new one in hour two. Steve Young, a little later on. Gary Danielson, great college football analyst, will join us as well. The seating is set interesting with the matchups here and you could see where three or four teams are going to win on the road. The Rams, they are favored by nine and a half at Carolina. Packers are favored at the Bears by one and a half. The Bills on the road favored by one and a half against the Jags. The Texans favored by three and a half against the Steelers. The Niners on the road getting points, three and a half. Chargers on the road against the Patriots getting three and a half as well. And for entertainment purposes only, in case you're following the college football playoffs, Miami is a 3 1/2 point favorite against Ole Miss and Indiana a 4 point favorite against Oregon. By the way, the new Michigan head coach, Kyle Whittingham, he'll join us on the program tomorrow. Talk about that surprise move out of nowhere in Michigan. They salvaged this. I didn't think they were going to. I thought they were going to stay with an interim head coach, get through the mess that they have in the athletic department and then you're going to have a lot of people interested in that job. But they, they got lucky because Kyle Winningham is a as, as respected as any coach in America. He will join us coming up. We'll ask him how good he is at cleaning up messes here because he's got a couple of spills. Aisle five, aisle two. But we'll talk to him on the program tomorrow night. Seaton poll question results from hour one. And then what are we going with Hour two?

Albert Breer (24:54)

Difference, yeah. John Elway, I could just tell you this. John Elway, when he got back to Denver in 2011, he eventually became kind of difficult to work for, but at the beginning, like, there was a very real acknowledgment on John's part of, of, of what he didn't know, you know, like, and he really rolled his sleeves up and learned how to, how to scout and how to evaluate and like that, you know, that isn't as simple as, like, yeah, well, I, you know, I played in the league for a couple of decades, so I have an idea of what I'm looking at. Of course you do, but it's not the same thing as building a team and, and managing a football operation, you know, so, you know, is going. Going forward, what's, you know, what's his role in all of that is. Is he committed to. To learning to run the show? Because a lot of people there refer to him as. As the boss, you know, whether, you know, he's there day to day or not. And he's not there day to day. A lot of people there look at him as the boss of the football operation. So there's that piece of it. You know, how does Alex Guerrero fit into that? There's a bunch of people in that building who report Alex Guerrero. How does, you know, John Spitek, the general manager? I, you know, I expect he'll be back. You know, what's his role in picking the coach? And, and then how does the coach fit into the mosaic of all of that? You know, I think like, a huge part of the issue this year was they kind of pieced everything together, right? Like, so it was like, all right, like, let's put together an all star staff. Like, we love Pat Graham as the D.C. he's going to work with Pete Carroll, who, by the way, has run a completely different defensive system. And now, like, let's go get Chip Kelly out of Ohio State for $6 million per year and let's show our might and we can go and get these sorts of guys now as a new day for the Raiders. Well, how did all those pieces fit together? You know, I think that's the biggest piece of this is like, so now with Tom Brady, you know, you know, ostensibly like the guy who is in charge, how. What does that look like going forward? And how do all those pieces fit together? To me, that's the biggest piece of what I think will be a coaching search coming up here in the next few days and weeks is like, how does the coach fit into what you've built? Otherwise, are you reconfiguring anything, any of what you've already got there? There are big picture questions that the Raiders need to. Need to answer, and obviously a very, very big decision coming in April when it comes to what to do with.