Hour 3- Gottlieb and Beyer Guest Hosting

Summary

The Dan Patrick Show: Hour 3 – Gottlieb and Beyer Guest Hosting (January 1, 2025)

Hosts: Doug Gottlieb and Dan Beyer
Guests: Jared Smith (Fox Sports Radio Betting Analyst)
Release Date: January 1, 2025

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1. Technical Difficulties and New Year’s Greetings ([02:33] - [05:28])

The episode kicks off with hosts Doug Gottlieb and Dan Beyer addressing some technical issues while welcoming listeners to the New Year. Doug shares his personal experience celebrating New Year’s Eve at his father-in-law’s house, highlighting the joy of being surrounded by family after a challenging year:

Doug Gottlieb ([03:04]): "We were up till one."

Dan Beyer reminisces about past New Year’s celebrations with his son, expressing empathy for parents dealing with energetic children during the festivities:

Dan Beyer ([04:45]): "So to all parents out there who wanted to go to bed and their kid kept them up, we feel for you today."

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2. College Football Playoffs Overview ([05:28] - [17:27])

The primary focus shifts to the College Football Playoffs, with hosts analyzing the clash between Boise State and Penn State. They dissect Penn State's strengths and weaknesses, debating the likelihood of their success in the playoffs.

Key Points Discussed:

• Boise State vs. Penn State: The hosts argue whether Penn State is a deserving semifinalist, considering Boise State's strong season and historical performance.
• ACC Performance: Criticism is directed at the ACC's underwhelming performance, questioning the strength of its member schools.
• Playoff Structure Flaws: They highlight issues within the current playoff system, emphasizing the challenges non-Power 4 schools face in securing favorable seedings.

Dan Beyer ([08:26]): "It was a mismatch. It wasn't like a Sam Houston State against Georgia, first game of the year mismatch..."

Doug Gottlieb ([16:28]): "Boise State this year will, I think unfortunately because of what they did and how they played will become a victim of ... there's no benefit for Power 4 schools to play non-conference games against Mountain West schools."

The discussion underscores the systemic biases in college football playoffs, suggesting that exceptional performances by non-traditional powerhouses like Boise State are often undervalued.

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3. The Idea of a College Football Commissioner ([17:27] - [23:56])

Hosts delve into Urban Meyer’s proposal for a unified college football commissioner to address existing disparities and operational challenges within the sport.

Highlights:

• Urban Meyer’s Perspective: Meyer compares the current fragmented college football landscape to attempting to integrate a league like the USFL with the NFL, emphasizing incompatible operating guidelines.

Urban Meyer ([21:44]): "They’re not operating in the same guidelines. It’s... any type of equilibrium. And that’s not going to happen."

• Feasibility of a Commissioner: Doug Gottlieb acknowledges the complexity of appointing a commissioner, noting the need for consensus among top-level schools and conferences.

Doug Gottlieb ([22:35]): "It's not something that I've given tons of thought to."

The conversation reflects skepticism about the practicality and potential effectiveness of a central governing figure in reconciling the diverse interests of college football stakeholders.

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4. Jared Smith’s Betting Analysis ([29:49] - [42:47])

Jared Smith joins the hosts to provide expert betting insights on the ongoing College Football Playoffs. His analysis covers key matchups, player performances, and betting odds.

Focus Areas:

• Boise State vs. Penn State: Smith examines the offensive strategies, injury impacts, and defensive strengths, predicting that Penn State's ability to adapt will be crucial.

Jared Smith: "Penn State did the big takeaway for me and I think I created a chart last night... they were going to have to change things up and get aggressive in order for them to win this game."

• Sugar Bowl Preview: Analysis of Georgia's defense without Carson Beck against Notre Dame, emphasizing strategic adjustments and potential game outcomes.

Jared Smith: "Kirby Smart's defense is going to show up in this game. The volatility here is can Gunner Stockton be at least efficient enough?"

• Texas vs. Arizona State: Evaluation of Texas' defensive prowess and Arizona State's offensive vulnerabilities, forecasting a potential blowout.

Jared Smith: "This one could get out of hand. And the Sun Devils haven't faced the top 30 passing attack all year."

Smith’s comprehensive breakdown offers listeners valuable perspectives for making informed betting decisions, while also highlighting the unpredictability inherent in playoff football.

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5. Matchup Discussions and Future Implications ([38:35] - [48:55])

The hosts continue their deep dive into critical playoff games, focusing on the Ohio State vs. Oregon showdown in the Rose Bowl.

Key Discussions:

• Ohio State vs. Oregon: Analysis of coaching strategies, player matchups, and historical performance, with a focus on Ohio State’s defensive capabilities and Oregon’s offensive adaptations.

Doug Gottlieb: "The chess match in this game is the Ohio State offense against the Oregon defense."

• Playoff Structure Evaluation: Debates the effectiveness of the current playoff system versus traditional bowl arrangements, advocating for expanded selections to better represent diverse teams.

Dan Beyer ([48:00]): "We now have 11 games that matter instead of three."

• Big 12 and Other Conferences: Reflection on the Big 12’s competitiveness and financial disparities compared to other Power conferences, discussing potential future shifts in college football power dynamics.

The conversation underscores the complexities and ongoing debates surrounding college football's playoff system, its impact on various conferences, and the broader implications for the sport's future.

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6. Closing Remarks and Upcoming Topics ([48:55] - End)

As the episode nears its conclusion, hosts extend well-wishes to listeners, acknowledge recent tragedies, and tease upcoming topics. They briefly mention future discussions, including attending sporting events solo and celebrating responsibly during the holiday season.

Dan Beyer ([48:55]): "Enjoy the football. Enjoy the festivities. It will be a little bit of a throwback to how it used to be when we were kids where now the 1st of January becomes college football."

Dan Beyer ([49:00]): "Thoughts to everyone in New Orleans for that tragedy that occurred earlier today."

The episode wraps up with reminders to tune into their respective shows and platforms for ongoing sports coverage.

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Conclusion

In this engaging episode of The Dan Patrick Show, guest hosts Doug Gottlieb and Dan Beyer provide in-depth analysis of the College Football Playoffs, exploring the intricacies of team matchups, playoff structures, and the broader landscape of college football. With expert insights from Jared Smith and thoughtful discussions on potential governance changes, the show offers listeners a comprehensive overview of the current state and future directions of college football. Personal anecdotes and interactive banter add a relatable and entertaining dimension, making the episode both informative and enjoyable for fans of the sport.

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Notable Quotes with Timestamps:

• Dan Beyer ([04:45]):
  "So to all parents out there who wanted to go to bed and their kid kept them up, we feel for you today."

• Doug Gottlieb ([16:28]):
  "Boise State this year will, I think unfortunately because of what they did and how they played will become a victim of ... there's no benefit for Power 4 schools to play non-conference games against Mountain West schools."

• Urban Meyer ([21:44]):
  "They’re not operating in the same guidelines. It’s... any type of equilibrium. And that’s not going to happen."

• Jared Smith ([29:49]):
  "Penn State did the big takeaway for me and I think I created a chart last night... they were going to have to change things up and get aggressive in order for them to win this game."

• Dan Beyer ([48:00]):
  "We now have 11 games that matter instead of three."

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This comprehensive summary captures the essence of the episode, highlighting key discussions, expert analyses, and personal stories while omitting non-content segments such as advertisements and intros. Notable quotes are integrated with accurate timestamps to provide context and emphasize significant moments within the show.

Transcript

[Dan Patrick]

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[Doug Gottlieb]

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[Dan Beyer]

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[Dan Patrick]

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[Justin Penick]

It's Justin Penick from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast with Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We roll three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're gearing up for the NFL playoffs. I hope you can join us. Join in with us three times a week. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts and you will be glad you did.

[Dan Patrick]

Thanks for listening to the Dan Patrick show podcast. Be sure to catch us live every weekday morning, 9 until noon Eastern, 6 to 9 Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and and you can find us on the iHeartRadio app at FSR or stream us live every day at YouTube.com thedanpatrickshow.

[Dan Beyer]

You are listening to the Dan Patrick show on Fox Sports Radio.

[Doug Gottlieb]

It's the Dan Patrick show with Doug Gottlieb. I'm Dan Beyer. It is Fox Sports Radio. Having some technical difficulties, Doug. Not only myself, but also with the equipment. But yeah, we're in for Dan Patrick here on this New Year's Day. Happy New Year.

[Dan Beyer]

Happy New Year to you as well. Your son's not old enough yet, but I did hear you last hour say we took in the New Year east coast time and Central time. And then I assume after writing down some notes, getting ready for the show, you went to sleep then.

[Doug Gottlieb]

We were up till one.

[Dan Beyer]

Oh, you were?

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah. My wife loves to celebrate. We were over at my father in law, who quite honestly was a great way to celebrate because there was a point in 2024 where we didn't know if he was gonna make it to 2025. So it was really nice to celebrate. But she bought and my son got into the cookies at 9:30 and at 12:30 was still wired, just running everywhere. So, yeah, it's been quite a. Quite a new year. But when he finally zonked out at like 1am, we all were ready to call it a night.

[Dan Beyer]

That's funny, because I remember when my son, when Hayes was little, we were our first time back in California. This is 2000. We must have been. This must have been 2017 to 2018. So he was, what was he, 2008? So he was 8. And his whole thing was, I just want to watch the ball drop. Like I've never watched the ball. So we're like, all right, well, you can watch it at nine, right? Nine east coast time. Like, watch it at nine. And again, I don't know if the coverage had changed or if we're on the wrong channel, but I remember we're watching like, we're watching like Ryan Seacrest or whatever. And on west coast time, they don't show the ball drop on that show. And we're like, whoa, what the heck happened? Like, yeah, they didn't. Don't show it here. So we thought we had like the wrong channel. So we're like, all right, dude, you can stay up till 10, 10 o'clock, 10 o'clock, you know, and. And you know, he's starting to get kind of wound up whatever whatever. And 10 o'clock and he's playing video games like, hey, dude, hey. Ball's about to drop. Then we're going to bed and we flip it over to a different channel. Like it was like cnn. Like scnn. How could they. They definitely have to have it dropping in Dallas.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yes.

[Dan Beyer]

Right. Nope. Nothing. Nothing. Skipped over. Nothing. They don't show it. They don't show. It's the ultimate teaser. Like, come on, man. Ends up obviously having to stay up until midnight, and we're just all just miserable the next day. Miserable. Because it wasn't that staying up till midnight is that big a deal. But when you were planning on shutting it down at about 9:30, and then we would shut it down by like 10, 15, 10, then it becomes a bigger deal. Now you're like, dang, you know, you got to have. And I'm not a sleeping guy, and neither is he. So to all parents out there who they wanted to go to bed and their kid kept them up, we feel for you today.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah, please don't judge my parenting skills. But he just. He got into the cookies, Doug, and it was over. He grabbed the cookie, we allowed him to have one, and then he ended up getting into them. And we're like, what? And so, yes, 12, 12 30. We would love to have done the fake one just at 8:30. Just pretend to count down. But you are correct. ABC last night did not. For. For those on the west coast, we did not get to see the east coast drop live. We actually had to watch it on. We watched it on CNN as it was live happening live. But I was watching abc and they had a musical performer, and I'm like, all right, this person isn't performing 25 minutes before the ball's gonna drop. Like, no offense to their career, but I just, like, I don't know who this is. There's no way they're put within 30 minutes of us on the new year. So I knew that it was an elongated New Year's Eve with Ryan Seacrest.

[Dan Beyer]

Well, that, of course, was what followed the College Football Playoff game, which had Boise State taking on Penn State. And I thought it was. Again, you and I discussed this yesterday. I thought it was the perfect setup for Boise State. It's in the stadium where they had pulled off two gigantic upsets in bowl games previous against a Big Ten team, but one in which, like, let's just be honest, James Franklin has earned the reputation of really good against everybody except the ones that really, really matter. Right. That. That's his reputation based all statistical data. Right. And. And, you know, they were rested, whereas Penn State had to play. They have a star running back, and they have history on their side. I also thought it's interesting, right? Like Dirk Cutter's Their offensive coordinator, Dirk Cutter was probably the second coach to really get it going at Boise State. Right. They used to win those when they were one AA national championships, but he was the first in the Division 1 level to really get it going. But now he's back there, that's obviously kind of quirky and interesting, but to have a week off, to be the noted underdog, to be in a place in which the program historically had pulled off upsets before, perfect setup. The difference was there was no argument from the other side of the game. Didn't really matter. Right. You can't, can't, can't get that excuse of doesn't matter when now you're playing the first ever College Football Playoff. And I think we both agreed that. Again, if I'm speaking out of turn, Dan, feel free. That was a mismatch. It wasn't like a, it wasn't like Sam Houston State against, you know, Georgia, first game of the year mismatch, but it was one in which realistically, 8, 9 times in 10 Penn State wins that game because they're just a little bit better at most every spot outside of running back. And there wasn't really that much difference in running back either.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah, I, I don't agree with you, but I look at it in a way where I think like if it, if a group of five school or how many, how many there are now, if one of those schools is going to beat someone, I just feel they need a quarterback that's going to throw it all over the yard and just rise above. Like, even if Boise State was good, like there's. They're a team that hangs their hat on the running game and I just don't think that translates in. Penn State's not a great matchup for them. Maybe if they, maybe if they played someone else, you know, it would have been a different story. But Notre Dame's got a heck of a defense. I don't know if I would have wanted to, you know, to go up against that defense as well. Penn State is pretty good, but yeah, it's just, it's a tough ask it. It is. I don't think overmatched, but a tough one to win. Yeah, eight out of nine. Yeah, eight, nine. Maybe. Maybe 10 out of 10. I, I'm not sure. I still think they should be in, but yeah, they, they weren't going to win last night.

[Dan Beyer]

Yeah, like it. I. There's no one you and I love. Watch appreciate college football. We would both say that one power non power forward school should get in you know, should definitely get in. That doesn't mean it can't be two on a given year, but should definitely get in. But in no way should they be a seed where they get a. Get a buy. Yeah, like, what are we doing? And it's just such a massive over correction and it's just, honestly, it's a loophole that somebody's like, I wait, what? How did we not figure this thing out? Like, yeah, well, there was this thing we did, the conference champions had to get to buy and we forgot that if you lost in your conference championship game, then you weren't like, what are we doing? So that obviously be remedied. It'll. It takes what there's one more year in this cycle. But that was a loophole that needs to be closed up. And if it looks like a clown show, because the, you know, the committee that put together these rules hadn't done it before, you're right, they hadn't done it before. So I don't know if it's a clown show or just one of those. Of all the possible things that could have happened. And oh yeah, by the way, nobody expected the ACC to be this bad. No one ever thought like, you got a league with Florida State, with Miami, Clemson and Virginia Tech. No one would ever think the ACC would be this bad. But here's the news flash for you. The ACC is abysmal. Why? And again, I hate to be that guy, but I would say half the schools in that league are playing a different sport because they don't have nearly the money of a Florida State. And I know Florida State was bad this year. You want to talk about difference in 23 and 24, there's Florida State football for you. Holy cow.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Well, Doug, I know one of your gripes too was that Arizona State didn't get to play in the Fiesta Ball during the college football season. It was announced that each of the power four leagues were going to be assigned to a bowl game in the quarterfinals. So the, so the Big Ten champ was going to go to the Rose Bowl. The SEC champ was going to go to the Sugar bowl, the Big 12 champ was likely to go to the Fiesta bowl, and then the ACC champ was going to go to the Peach Bowl. But what ended up happening is because of Boise State's breakthrough, because they were taking those top four, those top four buys and putting them in those games. It knocked the ACC completely out because they didn't have a first round buy. And then they moved Boise State to the Fiesta bowl because they were seated Higher. Something we talked about yesterday, and then that's why Arizona State's ending up playing in the Peach bowl today. So, yeah, it was just a complete mess. I'll even say this. I don't think we have a good sense of who Penn State is. And I know Penn State fans are like, who cares? We're in the semifinals and we're in the Orange bowl, but they were the team that I felt was got the most benefit of the power schools. Sorry. I know SMU is in a power league, but they got their conference championship game. Wasn't used against them. They didn't have any really great wins. They lost to Ohio State, and now they got. Not only did they get the six seed, they got SMU at home. And then they're in the bracket with Boise State, and so now they're in the semifinal panels. And. Yeah, I don't even know. I really don't know the winner of Georgia and Notre Dame.

[Dan Beyer]

I mean, Notre Dame. Penn State would be amazing, but I don't think Georgia. Penn State will be a particularly good game. That'd be my guess.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah. I mean, you have. You have Texas, Ohio State and Oregon all on one side of the bracket.

[Dan Beyer]

Just as the crazy thing about it is the NCAA tournament. Right. And when they come out with these matchups. And I believe him because I've seen him go through the process. I have. Is that it doesn't. Even though we have these quirky matchups, like, oh, the committee thinks they're being clever putting this team against that team. Like, it doesn't really work that way. There's too many moving pieces, too many moving parts. You know, BYU can't play in a Sunday. Like, we got a lot of different things you got to do that, go above and beyond. And sometimes matchups were. In this one, there's only 12 teams. You knew who most of them were. And again, there was no. You made up the rules as you went. Like, had. They still screw it up. And they still screwed it up. I really screwed it up.

[Doug Gottlieb]

The one thing they got right was Indiana. Notre Dame is a fun game because of the state of Indiana.

[Dan Beyer]

Sure. And putting Indiana, if they're in, you got to put them on the road.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah.

[Dan Beyer]

You know, but they didn't really belong in. I mean, they weren't. You know, and the other thing we've seen, and this may be really the ultimate talking point, is, you know, I know now you're getting people like, why don't we just go to 16? Like, or maybe there's really just not even 12 teams that are.

[Doug Gottlieb]

That. Yes. That's probably the biggest takeaway from this.

[Dan Beyer]

Yeah, like four was actually pretty fine. It was actually kind of worked. You know, what they could have done was do the old bowl system and then pick four teams and play a little tournament. That would have been super cool. Would have dragged on later on the year, but I think it would have been better. That would probably been a better, better idea. But we all wanted. We got to have a playoff. We got to have a playoff. Everybody has a playoff except the Bull system. We got to have a playoff and this is what we've chosen. And it's, it' it's just. Now, here's the issue that unfortunately the Mountain west and every other league is going to run into is the confirmation bias of what we just saw. It doesn't even matter. Like this is a Boise State team with a near flawless resume, didn't lose a game, have a superstar, a collegiate superstar running back, a historically significant program. Boise State again, national champion at the, at a lower level. And they pulled off upsets. They have. Boise State has earned everyone's respect over the last 25 years for the product they've generally put out there. Right. And they only lost one game this year to the number one team in the country and it was by one point on that team's home field. And yet they were inadequate in comparison, by comparison to the third best team, the Big Ten, in their first college Football playoff appearance. Again, it's not fair. But how the human Brain works with 95% of people is everyone's going to hold that against any other non Power 4 team from now until proven otherwise. And they will always get the lowest seed. Always, always, always. No one. If you think no one believed in Boise last night, no one believes in any other team coming out of those because again, if you're going to win, you would think it's well coached, star player program that's won before and they've shown that they could at least compete at the, at the top level against Oregon earlier in the season.

[Doug Gottlieb]

I'll say one other thing, Doug. Boise State this year will, I think unfortunately because of what they did and how they played will become a victim of. Now we talk about strength of schedule and scheduling. I think that schools are going to want to schedule other power conference schools for non conference. There is not going to be a benefit for Oregon to continue to schedule Boise State.

[Dan Beyer]

Great.

[Doug Gottlieb]

And so that's the tough part of this is we may get better games in September because of more cross conference stuff. But there is now absolutely no benefit for schools to do that because of the gap that we've talked about. And it's really not fair to Boise and it's a shame. And any of the other schools if UNLV is trying to make that climb up as well. There's just no benefit for a Power 4 school to play a non conference game against the Mountain west sort of school.

[Dan Beyer]

That's a really, really, really, really good point. He's Dan Beyer. I'm Doug Gottliebin for Dan Danetz here on the Dan Patrick show on Fox Sports Radio. What about a college football commissioner? Would that change people's perception? Okay, would it change people's perception? I want to get into that. Rapid Radio is the official walkie talkie of the Dan Patrick Show. Our instant Push to Talk. Push to talk, offering national LTE coverage and no subscription ever. Business owners can keep in touch with up to 200 staff at one time. Go to rapidradios.com now for up to 60% off plus free shipping. Does college football need a commissioner? Who should it be? We'll discuss next.

[Dan Patrick]

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[Dan Beyer]

Good morning to you. Happy New Year. Doug Gottlieb, Dan Byarding for Dan Dan Ed's Dan Patrick Show FOX Sports Radio iHeartradio app. Welcome in. Jared Smith will join us in about six, seven minutes. He's our FOX Sports Radio betting analyst. And we'll get you ready for today's college football playoff games, as well as maybe take a sneak peek at a couple things going on this weekend. Week 17. The NFL is hard. It's difficult, right? I mean, you have a couple of games, which guys, obviously Lions and Vikings. Oh my. They'll be, they'll be playing for home field advantage. But outside of that, a lot of wait, who, who's playing and why are they playing? We don't know about Saquon Barkley playing this weekend for the Eagles. Urban Meyer was on the Herd yesterday and he offered up this as what he believes is the solution to so many of the issues surrounding college football.

[Urban Meyer]

No interest at all.

[Dan Beyer]

You know, I just, None.

[Voiceover Artist]

None.

[Urban Meyer]

When you're a commissioner of a conference that, let me put it this way. So imagine the NFL and they said, okay, Roger Goodell, we're going to now put the USFL in with the NFL. You guys are all going to be together and that's what college sport, college football right now, not everybody's not the same.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Right.

[Voiceover Artist]

Right.

[Urban Meyer]

They're not operating in the same guidelines. It's, it's, it'll never be that way. You take an Ohio State, you take the Wolverines. You take Georgia and then you, you're mixing some. I can use names, teams get mad here, but they're not the same.

[Dan Beyer]

That's right.

[Urban Meyer]

So this person has to lower their level and this person has raised to get any, twice any type of equilibrium. And that's not going to happen. Colin.

[Dan Beyer]

So the question is, can there be a college football commissioner or a college sports commissioner and can, can you actually do anything with that job? What do you think, Dan?

[Doug Gottlieb]

I don't have a lot of deep thoughts on it, honestly. I do think that on the surface it's like, boy, it's a lot better to have just voice, be able to make decisions instead of 10, 11. But to Urban's point, what you really want is all of the top level schools and those conferences to be on the same page and then figure it out. So, so yeah, I don't know who it would, would be. I don't know how it would be done, but it's not something that I've given tons of thought to.

[Dan Beyer]

Yeah, I don't understand the logic in the idea. We need to have it like a commissioner makes everything okay. You know, it's also like the part of the, oh, well, we just need to get rid of the ncaa. Well, so you're gonna have no ruling body. You're gonna have a ruling body. The question is, do you have a ruling? And this is really what it comes down to. Are you going to have a ruling body that takes into account everybody or just the most powerful schools? And the best way to do it is probably how they do it in the House of Representatives. Right. Where it's like weighted votes. That's really the way to do it is weighted votes. But if you have the way it is now is it's a lot like the Senate, where everybody has equal representation, no matter the size of the state.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Was I the only one who was waiting for Urban to say nobody You? I, I, I hate, I thought he was gonna go down the road, I thought. But he didn't. He learned, you know, so, Doug, you walked so Urban could run. That's all right.

[Jason Stewart]

I thought nobody you. Honestly, I thought it was some kind of, what is it, a colloquialism. What's that word anyways? A word that is used in a circle but is relatively unknown. I thought nobody you was something that you, you talked among your coaches and players about, but you just came up with that term on the fly, huh?

[Dan Beyer]

Correct.

[Jason Stewart]

Wow.

[Dan Beyer]

Correct. And again, so, so for people I haven't been. I don't. We haven't talked about this in Dan Patrick show. So, I mean, I, I thought what happened to me last year, last week was awful. It really sucked. It sucked to be a part of something where it's. It was a burner account that. I don't know if it's a real person. No one's found who this real person was. A burner account took a previous press conference where I was talking about how difficult our schedule was, and then when we lost to Michigan Tech and like, look, do you think I'm happy about losing to a high quality Division 2 team with several players who are from Green Bay? I mean, no.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Which you stated on your radio show the day before the game saying, like, this is the. Yeah, they're Division 2, but they're not the Division 2 that, you know. Like, this is. They were coming off of what, a top five win.

[Dan Beyer]

So, yeah, yeah, they won, I don't know, five in a row or six in a row or something. I mean, they're, they're really good. And like, if you think Division two is somehow, like, look at Drake, like, they have four Division two kids that train. They're undefeated. They beat us. They beat us, too. They're really good. They're ranked. So anyway, the point is, I was basically describing there are some teams, low level Division two, mostly Division three, that they're kind of like traffic cones. And I specifically said, like, I don't want to play those games. Matter of fact, the weekend before, we had an opportunity to play a double header on our on campus arena, which is a 4,000 seat arena, the Kress center, with the women. And my thing was the women were playing Creighton. Like, the women are really good. They have seven returning seniors. They're picked to win their league, and they're good. And, you know, like, are we gonna go out there and play against a Division 3 team or a low level Division 2 team and ask people to stay for, you know, five and a half, six hours and watch two basketball games when no one's gonna want to stay for our game. And it can be embarrassing to have the women out, draw us. That was my thing. This is going back, way back to going into September when we're filling out the last couple games. So I have a couple friends in the Big West, Joe Pasternak's a friend who's at Santa Barbara. And I was like, all right, well, what if we got out of here and we need home games next year? What if we played a home and home. And, you know, UC Irvine wanted to Play, but they wanted to play here. Santa Barbara is going to play here and we really need the home games this year. And I just said, I will go out there and play. Well, part of it is one that should have been a game which we needed a win to kind of regain our confidence. And you kind of shuffle your deck throughout the season, but you just needed to feel good about things. And every team in our league plays two games in which they literally could show up, not, not practice for a week and win the game. And we don't have any of those. And so what I was saying was like, I actually respect that fans pay money to come see a reputable basketball game. I just again, in my office in September, didn't feel good about not having really competitive games. I'm like, yeah, Michigan Tech, that'll be competitive, be a good game. Did I think we'd win? Yeah, you know, we didn't have the nation's leading scorer. He's hurt and my point guard got hurt. When we're up 13, he dives on the floor and hurts, gets a concussion, hurts his neck, you know, like. And then we choked away a game we should have won. And they were really good. So that happens. Like that's sports. Our margins are really, really slight because we're not that much better than them and they can beat us. And so I was going on and on about how I got to learn about scheduling and not schedule teams like a Michigan Tech that. Or not schedule teams like a Santa Barbara when I'm filling in a game and they're really good. Like they're. That's a game. We were, I think we were 20 point underdogs going to that game or something crazy going down there. Right. So the point is that that's what was actually said. And then it was weaponized against me in a complete. It wasn't just mischaracterized. It was the opposite of what I was saying and how it was portrayed. And then people pick it up and reputable news organizations use it, which again, like that, that felt the opposite of good. Felt like it was super unfair. But now I'm like, okay, we. I created a term nobody you. Maybe I should trademark that thing, Dan. Can I trademark it?

[Doug Gottlieb]

Well, you should get something out of it, that's for sure.

[Dan Beyer]

It was not, it was not, not, not fun. Let's welcome in Jared Smith, Fox Sports Radio betting analyst, co host of Fox Sports Radio's Countdown to Kickoff, which airs each Saturday between 9am and noon Eastern time. You can listen live on any of Our Fox Sports rad affiliates on the iHeartRadio app presented by BetMGM. Jared, let's, let's start with last night. What was, what was your pregame analysis on the line was a 12 at kickoff. Is that what it was? And 50 was the over under?

[Voiceover Artist]

Yeah, I was at 12 and a half and, and 50. I think it was 53, 54. We did get some money on the over late. I, I like Penn State in the game. I like the over over didn't get home. Penn State did the big takeaway for me and I think I created a chart last night. And on the left I put pass. On the right I put run Boise 1st and 10. Every time they ran the ball on 1st and 10 I put a check mark on the right. Every time they passed it on 1st and 10 I put a check mark on the left. And my analysis was if Dirk Cutter, the OC of Boise State does not, you know, throw curveballs here, which is essentially first and 10. Boise likes to run, run and then throw on third down. Very predictable, very vanilla offense. They're going to have to change things up and get aggressive in order for them to win this game. Well, my final count was 19 runs on first and 10, seven passes. One of the passes was the play action touchdown on that tight end leak play early in the second half, which is really well designed play. But they didn't do enough of the, you know, changing of their, of their scheme in order to make things different for Penn State because you just line up and play that game. Penn State's obviously the better football team. A lot of those first down runs were, you know, gain a two, gain of four. Genti got a little bit of smoke late in as he tends to do once the defense wears down a little bit. But the Abdul Carter injury was huge for Penn State. I thought the offense played well. Too many mistakes, penalties. They're going to have a much tougher go of it in, in the next round against Notre Dame or Georgia because they can't just out physical. One of those teams like last night, Penn State just kind of got by on, on some of their talent. I think against Notre Dame or Georgia in the Orange bowl next week they're going to have to play much cleaner football and they're going to have to do something spectacular on the offensive side because the defenses, Boise's defense was not ready for that physicality last night from the Penn State offensive line. I think it's going to be a very different game next week. But as an alarm I'm thrilled I'll be in Miami for the game. I can't wait. It's going to be an awesome experience, but I think it's going to be a very different vibe when they actually step up in class because, let's be honest, Boise just not worthy of a buy and a three seed and a gift into the quarterfinals. They've got a little bit of work to do, but a great season for the Broncos.

[Doug Gottlieb]

I think you sufficiently analyzed Penn State. Doug and I talked earlier of really still not knowing how good they are. They're a good football team, but this, this early run in the playoff, you can't tell much from SMU and Boise State, so I'm going to shift gears to the Sugar Bowl. How good is Georgia without Carson Beck as they take on Notre Dame tonight?

[Voiceover Artist]

It's a good question, Dan. I think from everything I've heard, he's a gamer and he doesn't have the talent that Carson Beck has, but he does have the moxie. And there's a story about him. You know, he's a really not a highly touted recruit coming out of high school ranks in Georgia, but very, very prolific passer. Actually had, I think he beat out Watson and the other high school quarterback at Georgia that has all the yards. Like, he did have a really prolific season but doesn't have the physical tools that a Carson Beck might have. But he went to this camp, you know, coming out and before he went to Georgia, and by the end of the camp, I heard all the quarterbacks and receivers were like gravitating around him like he's one of those magnetized personalities, and I think he's going to need it in this game. He tailed off a little bit in the SEC championship game. He started out, you know, fast. I think the element of surprise kind of caught Texas off guard there, but then their defense settled in. I think the key in this game, the matchup really in this game, though, is going to be Georgia's defense against that Notre Dame offense. I think the the game plan for Kirby Smart is very simple. When you're facing a mobile quarterback like Riley Leonard and you're trying to deal with that, you know, the running game for Jeremiah Love, you start with the extra defender in the box. You're not worried about Notre Dame beating you deep on an explosive pass play on downs, I think you're going to see less blitzing. Georgia's big win against Texas earlier this year, they blitzed a ton. You don't want to blitz a mobile quarterback because that's how you kind of activate his legs and I think you're going to see a ton of zone coverage. Because when you're playing zone coverage, instead of playing man to man where you're running with defenders, your backs to the quarterback, when you play zone, you drop back eyes on the quarterback and if he does break the pocket, then you've got, you know, 11 eye bar 11 sets of eyeballs all watching him. And, and just in general, I think you're going to see some stunts as well because if you don't blitz a lot, you got to figure out a way to get pressure. Notre Dame has struggled to block stunts this year. So I think the game plan for Kirby Smart is very simple. The priors say with extra time to prepare for a relatively one dimensional offense, Georgia's defense is going to show up in this game. The volatility here is can Gunner Stockton be at least efficient enough? Don't make the big mistake. I think they're going to lean heavily on the run with Etna. Can they get sufficient offense down to. Down to kind of keep Notre Dame's offense off the field? So I think that's kind of the game within the game here. I do expect the running games for both sides to be prominent. I think the under makes sense here. 45 and a half felt like when we saw that number move up a little bit earlier this week, it was a little bit too high. So I'm on the under 45 and a half. Georgia Notre Dame tonight.

[Dan Beyer]

All right, Georgia Notre Dame is the, is the nightcap tonight. Let's, let's before we get there. Okay, let's work to Texas taking on Arizona State. Right? That's the game that's going to take place. Kickoff in about an hour and 25 minutes or so. Sun Devils have travel all the way to Georgia. Take on the Horns. Horns have only lost to one team this year, that being Georgia. If you haven't seen Cam Scatabo play, I mean that is a, that is a hard running tough dude. And Texas for as good as they look on paper. Offense, quarterback play, you know, just been okay, especially late in the season. But a big, big number, Jared big. It's what, 13 and a half right now and the total is 52.

[Voiceover Artist]

Yeah, massive. And we're actually seeing some movement on Texas this morning. I actually just saw a shop go to 14 and I think that kind of aligns with what we've seen in the cfp. Right Doug? Like it just the favorites have just been covering at a crazy rate. 5 and oh. Now Actually after, after last night's Penn State game, Scatterbo is insane. Second best run grade in the country behind Genti. And the thing about Scatterbo, and this is it kind of goes back to the Boise State thing last night. They need to be different with the way they get him the football because you can't just hand it off to them. On 1st and 10. Texas knows it's coming. Arizona State's top receiver is out. Like it just, it's too obvious now. The one thing Arizona State does well, actually they do it well and they do it in high volume. They are a screen team, very heavy screen. 24% of their passing plays are screened. And that's something that I think can be different for Scatterbo. Get him involved in the passing game. He's been very effective in that department this year. I actually like Sam Levitt's season. He's had a great year. The quarterback for Arizona State, he's top 10 in QBR since week six. He's got the tied for the most passing touchdowns in the country. But Arizona's offensive line or Arizona State's offensive line, you know, just struggles to block. So is he going to be able to stay upright? Is Scatterbell gonna be able to get anything going in the ground game? I mean this Texas defense of the four units on the field, hands down, the top four, Taffy at safety goes from walk on to all American. You got the Makuba kid from Clemson who's like a heat seeking missile in the back. And then up front, Simmons is the impact freshman off the edge. I like Collins at defensive tackle. He's going to eat up a ton of space. That's going to be an interesting matchup. Can they move Collins at all in the middle and get Scatterbo some, you know, some space? The Clemson game against Texas last week was an anomaly. They were the first team all year to gain more than 300 yards against the Texas defense club. Nick played the game of his life. It was a homecoming game. Clemson's got legit weapons on the outside. Like I just don't know if Arizona State has that kind of firepower to go down to down against this Texas defense on the other side of the ball. That's where I see the volatility. Kenny Dillingham long rest defensive mind. He's going to be aggressive in this game. But I don't know how Arizona State gets stops on paper, Texas O line. If you remove the two Georgia data points, top five in pressure rate allowed this year and Arizona State doesn't get pressure. So I think Ewers is going to be kept upright. Isaiah Bond coming back from injury. Their game breaking receiver Golden's coming off his best game. Silas Bolden, more defined role. I like helm the tight end as well. So Sark's gonna have, you know, the pick of the litter here. He always has an elite script. I think the game plan, very difficult to key in on anyone. And the Arizona State defense is very undermanned. So if that Texas run game gets rolling and then they, they go play action off of it, like, it just, it's. It feels like this one could get out of hand. And the Sun Devils haven't faced the top 30 passing attack all year. So again, if, if yours has time to throw, I think this one might be a blowout early in the day.

[Doug Gottlieb]

All right, well, we got to get to the granddaddy of them all and, and if we're going to do the Rose bowl, we got to hear from Keith Jackson.

[Jason Stewart]

Oh, Nelly.

[Doug Gottlieb]

It's my favorite Jason Stewart impression. Jared. Ohio State. Oregon. Sorry, that was only for my benefit. I just, I was awesome. Yeah, I love it.

[Voiceover Artist]

Him, Granddaddy.

[Doug Gottlieb]

All right, Buckeyes and Ducks. We've talked on this program a lot about this game. I'll be there in attendance. By myself. Yes. So by myself.

[Voiceover Artist]

A hundred thousand people there.

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yeah, yeah. A hundred thousand of my best friends. What's, what is the Oregon side of things? Because we talk so much about Ohio State and what they didn't do. What about Oregon Entering this game is kind of the, what, underdog, but still the number one seed. Take a look on the Duck side of things.

[Voiceover Artist]

Isn't it like. And I think the average college football fan that really hasn't been involved in the, you know, the discourse with the seedings and everything, and they look at this game and they're like, yeah, okay, Ohio State of 2 1/2 point Favorite of Oregon. That makes sense, right? Oregon's undefeated number one seed. Like, it just, it is a very unique number to kind of digest and that's why we haven't seen any movement, like, literally. And actually, as I, as I say this now, we're seeing a little bit just a hair of steam on Ohio State. I, I saw one shop kind of now push their two and a half to like a 2.75. Like, we're getting closer to three. I think we do close three on Ohio State. I, I think Ohio State's the right side in this game. And I, I think it's, it's more so I trust their coaching staff a little bit more to make the right adjustments. Now, the one thing that does scare me, like Chip Kelly shot his gun against Tennessee. They went very off script, they went tempo, they went pass happy early. That was their element of sur surprise. Dan Lanning still has an element of surprise. Now, I don't know what that is going to be, but I do think there is going to be a moment in this game where Oregon grabs momentum and the question is, can they finish the job? I mean, I know what they say, oh, it's tough to beat a team twice in the same season. Like, I don't necessarily buy into that kind of rhetoric because I think it's all about matchups and I think the extended rest for Oregon does matter. They haven't played a game in nearly a month. So we'll see what Dan Lenning comes up with and we'll see if Chip Kelly can figure out a way to combat it. Because I think the chess match in this game is the Ohio State offense against the Oregon defense. Now, when Oregon stepped up in class this year, Boise State, Week 2, Ohio State earlier in the year, Penn State in the Big Ten title game. Those three offenses averaged a 55% success rate. So that to me is a little unique. Now if you go back and I watched the Ohio State tape from earlier this season and Birch was down in that game, Oregon's best defender. And Ohio State had two starting offensive linemen up. So it's kind of like a plus three, minus three. You take three guys that that didn't play or, you know, one guy for Oregon that didn't play, two guys that did, and you flip that in this game, I think that obviously, you know, gives a little bit more of an edge to Oregon. And the fact that they drove it to the two in the 26 yard line in the first game and didn't score and botched an extra point, I think that also, you know, gives you belief that Oregon could win this football game. But at the end of the day, I think Ohio State's defense probably played its worst game of the year. I mean, they just played a ton of COVID one. They got burned by Tez Johnson. I think you're going to see more Cover 2. I think you're going to see a little more conservative game plan from Jim Knowles. You can't let Tez Johnson is the game breaker here. Like when, when Oregon's offense has struggled this year, it's because that Johnson hasn't been on the field. And I think that's the key matchup can condensed Albert in this secondary for for the Buckeyes, which got torch absolutely torched in the first matchup. Can they make the right adjustments and just don't give up the big play? Like make Dylan Gabriel, who's one of the most accurate quarterbacks in college football, just six turnover worthy plays all season but four of them have been in the red zone. So if you make him go down to down, slow, methodical and then you got to score all you know, you're not just going to get a big explosive play that's going to eliminate the red zone. Like I think the red zone defense is where Ohio State has the edge here because Oregon isn't as powerful with their running game, their offensive line, they're not going to move you in space. They're better at creating creases. So I do think Ohio State's the play. I bet it now though, because I'll be honest, as I talk now, more shops are going to three. So it does look like we're getting a little bit of steam on the Buckeyes this morning.

[Dan Beyer]

By the way. You said it's all about matchups and then you pointed out all the adjustments that have to be made, which is why it's so hard to beat a team twice in the same season. Jared Jared Smith, Fox Sports Radio Betting Analyst, co host of Fox Sports Radio's Countdown to Kickoff, which you can hear every Saturday 9am to noon Eastern Time live on Fox Sports Radio or on our iHeartRadio app presented by BetMGM. Jared, good luck today. We'll talk soon.

[Voiceover Artist]

Appreciate it.

[Dan Beyer]

Doug I'm Doug Gottlieb. He's Dan Beyer in for Dan and the Danettes. Coming up next to the Dan Patrick Show. Going to a sporting event or a concert by yourself. How do we feel about that? We'll discuss next.

[Dan Patrick]

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[Dan Beyer]

Good morning to you. Happy New year. It is 2025. You're like oh yeah. With Dan Byer. I'm Doug Gottlieb. This is the Dan Patrick Show, Fox Sports Radio. By the way, the Doug Gottlieb show airs every day 3 to 5 Eastern on Fox Sports Radio and foxsportsradio.com you can also download it in podcast form and we have a special podcast only hour of the show. So three hours of content. Just type in Doug Gottlieb Download, subscribe, rate, review and I think you'll like it. It's me, Dan J. Stu and actually usually Iowa Sam, who's here today as well. So this is basically our crew that you can hear every afternoon or just download it and listen to it in your app. Put it in your queue and I think you'll enjoy it. I think you'll enjoy it. Do we get chaos today, Dan?

[Doug Gottlieb]

I don't know. The only way that we could is if I think Arizona State wins just because of the matchups the other two. I don't think anybody would be shocked if Ohio State, the favorite goes and beats top seated Oregon or if Notre Dame goes in and beats Georgia with a backup quarterback. I don't think that those things are shocking. A lot of nobody's really saying a lot of great things about Arizona State, so I'd love to see if they could do something. Texas isn't perfect and maybe there's a chance again in the quarter that we saw them. They look great in Stillwater.

[Dan Beyer]

They did. But if you saw it, saw them in person, yes, if you saw anybody who went against Oklahoma State looked pretty good this year. Defense was was a bit of a struggle after the Arkansas game when they lost the three best defensive players and weren't weren't particularly good. So it is hard to tell obviously most of the Big 12. And look, it's always fun to root against Texas. Texas in many ways became the new age Notre Dam right. But now Texas is legit good and they're back. So the Big 12 will still the one thing I will say, and this is from the, from a Big 12 alum. I love what Arizona State's done. I've learned what BYU's done there are good. I mean, Kansas's turnaround, obviously they were disappointing to start the year, finished up a little bit better. Iowa State, okay. But the fact that Iowa State and Arizona State and BYU are able to be. And like, look at Colorado, like, Colorado was one of the worst teams in the Pac12 last year. They changed some things and improved some offensive line stuff, but they became one of the elite teams in the Big 12 this year. It tells you the level of competition. That's just the only thing you can say about it. I just. The Big 12 does not have the money of the SEC of the Big 10 and does not have the, the schools in the reach. And I mean, I think, you know, the one school that, that I think could get there, you know, is probably Texas Tech. They have a lot of that oil money. Arizona State has the number of alums that you should be able to get there. And maybe this, this will energize people or watching today will energize people. But Texas has a couple years head start on and their budget is at least 2x that of Arizona State. I'd be surprised if, if this, this one was, this one was close. And then I guess you answered, ask the question, are we actually better off with this playoff than any of the, the traditional bowl system, the BCS championship game or the 14 playoff? Right. Like, and I know this is the infancy and I think it will get better, but are we really better off with this?

[Doug Gottlieb]

Yes, we are. We are. May have gone too much, but it is better than the 14. We now have 11 games that matter instead of three.

[Dan Beyer]

We're also showing that there's a clear delineation between like 8 or 6 and everybody else.

[Doug Gottlieb]

I thought it always should have been six, but I'd rather have 12 than four, to be honest.

[Dan Beyer]

I think six makes a ton of sense now. Four leagues and then you get two at larges. But we're not going back. No, there's no, there's no contraction. There's no contraction. Well, for Dan Beyer for Iowa. Sam. And of course for Jason Stewart, we appreciate you joining us here on New Year's Day. Enjoy the football. Enjoy the festivities. I mean, it will be a little bit of a throwback to how it used to be when we were kids where now the 1st of January becomes college football.

[Doug Gottlieb]

And Doug, our thoughts to everyone in New Orleans for that tragedy that occurred earlier today.

[Dan Beyer]

So it's great to get excited about sports, but that really just takes away from it. Happy New Year. Be safe, enjoy the football. This is the Dan Patrick show, always on Fox Sports Radio.

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[Justin Penick]

What's up, everyone? It's Justin Penick from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast with Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We roll three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays. Breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're gearing up for the NFL playoffs. I hope you can join us. Join in with us three times a week. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts and you will be glad you did.