The Best of The Dan Patrick Show

Summary

Podcast Summary: The Best of The Dan Patrick Show Release Date: December 12, 2024

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Introduction

The Dan Patrick Show, hosted by Dan Patrick under the iHeartPodcasts and Dan Patrick Podcast Network, delivers daily insights into sports and entertainment with a blend of humor and exclusive guest interviews. In the episode titled "The Best of The Dan Patrick Show," released on December 12, 2024, Dan Patrick engages in an in-depth discussion about the surprising announcement of Bill Belichick, the legendary NFL coach, being hired as the head coach for North Carolina's college football team. The episode features expert opinions from ESPN writer Dominic Foxworth and senior college football writer Mark Packer, providing listeners with a comprehensive analysis of this unprecedented move.

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Bill Belichick's Transition to College Football

At [02:33], Dan Patrick introduces the major headline: "North Carolina has hired Bill Belichick after winning six Super Bowls in the NFL." This move marks Belichick's first foray into college coaching, raising numerous questions about his suitability and the potential impact on North Carolina's football program.

Dominic Foxworth's Perspective

Dominic Foxworth, an ESPN writer and commentator, shares his reactions and insights. At [19:08], he expresses surprise:

"The first thing that it drove home was the NFL didn't really want him. And that's a shocking thing."

Foxworth delves into the implications of Belichick's departure from the NFL, noting, at [20:03]:

"The downside for Carolina, it sounds like the 400-page manifesto that about how he's going to control the whole organization. And I think the downside is the risk of giving yourself over to someone who has not proven that they can do it at this level."

He acknowledges Belichick's unparalleled coaching acumen but questions his ability to adapt to the unique challenges of college football, such as recruiting and managing younger athletes' personalities.

Mark Packer's Analysis

Mark Packer, a senior college football writer for The Athletic and co-host of the Audible Podcast, provides a critical view at [32:32]:

"Gotta be crazy, right? What's he thinking?"

Packer scrutinizes North Carolina's decision, emphasizing the high expectations placed upon Belichick and the potential misalignment with the university's existing athletic framework. He anticipates significant pressure on Belichick to deliver immediate results, citing North Carolina's historical performance and recent near-misses in ACC championship games.

Challenges and Expectations

The discussion pivots to the various challenges Belichick might face in the college environment:

1. Relatability with Players: There's skepticism about Belichick's ability to relate to the typical 18-22-year-old athletes. Dan Patrick raises this concern:

   "Is he relatable to somebody 18 through 22 years of age?"

   Foxworth concurs, highlighting the generational gap and Belichick's traditionally reserved demeanor.

2. Recruiting and Player Development: College football heavily relies on effective recruiting, a domain where Belichick has limited experience. Hoda Kotb, co-hosting the discussion, points out:

   "Recruiting is still the lifeblood of the sport."

   Both guests agree that building a successful college program requires more than just strategic game-planning; it involves cultivating relationships and motivating young athletes, skills Belichick has yet to demonstrate in this context.

3. Adaptation to College-Specific Rules: The introduction of NIL (Name, Image, Likeness) rights and the transfer portal requires a different approach compared to the NFL's salary cap and player contracts. At [41:37], Hoda Kotb notes:

   "We've yet to see a program build itself entirely off the transfer portal."

   This underscores the complexity Belichick will face in navigating college football's evolving landscape.

Potential Success Metrics

Despite the challenges, Patrick and his guests discuss optimistic scenarios where Belichick could thrive. The consensus is that Belichick's meticulous preparation and strategic mindset could lead North Carolina to achieve a commendable record, such as nine or ten wins in the upcoming season. Dom Foxworth suggests:

"He's the most prepared coach of all time."

However, the high expectations may also lead to heightened scrutiny and pressure, potentially setting Belichick up for criticism if immediate success isn't realized.

Impact on North Carolina's Football Program

Belichick's hiring has already generated buzz within the ACC, overshadowing other conference news. Mark Packer observes at [33:13]:

"Nobody cared because everybody was talking about the ACC, North Carolina and Bill Belichick."

This heightened attention could rejuvenate North Carolina's football program, attracting better recruits and increasing fan engagement. However, it also raises concerns about sustainability and long-term success beyond initial hype.

Comparisons to Other NFL Coaches in College Football

The discussion draws parallels between Belichick's move and other NFL coaches who transitioned to college football, such as Jim Harbaugh and Nick Saban. Dan Patrick notes:

"Nick Saban who didn't coach well with the Dolphins, went to Alabama."

This comparison highlights the variable outcomes of such transitions, reinforcing the uncertainty surrounding Belichick's tenure at North Carolina.

Future Outlook and Predictions

Looking ahead, both Foxworth and Packer speculate on the future dynamics of North Carolina's football program under Belichick's leadership. Potential outcomes range from revitalizing the team's competitiveness within the ACC to failing to meet the lofty expectations, thereby leading to possible coaching changes.

Foxworth optimistically conveys:

"I see far more positives than I do negatives."

Meanwhile, Packer emphasizes the importance of player recruitment and organizational alignment, suggesting that the team's success will largely depend on how well Belichick can integrate his strategies with North Carolina's existing infrastructure.

Conclusion

The episode concludes with a nuanced view of Belichick's hiring at North Carolina. While acknowledging his unparalleled expertise and strategic prowess, Dan Patrick and his guests underline the significant challenges he faces in the college football arena. The consensus is a blend of cautious optimism tempered by realistic expectations about the hurdles Belichick must overcome to succeed in this new venture.

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Notable Quotes

• Dan Patrick [02:33]: "North Carolina has hired Bill Belichick after winning six Super Bowls in the NFL."

• Dominic Foxworth [19:08]: "The first thing that it drove home was the NFL didn't really want him. And that's a shocking thing."

• Mark Packer [32:32]: "Gotta be crazy, right? What's he thinking?"

• Hoda Kotb [41:37]: "Recruiting is still the lifeblood of the sport."

• Dominic Foxworth [20:43]: "North Carolina already won. We're talking Carolina football. They already won."

• Mark Packer [33:02]: "The biggest winner of all this was the ACC network in the conference and hopefully Bill Belichick in North Carolina."

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Final Thoughts

The Dan Patrick Show effectively dissects the monumental decision of Bill Belichick transitioning from the NFL to college football, providing listeners with diverse perspectives and expert analysis. The episode serves as a comprehensive exploration of the potential ramifications for both Belichick and North Carolina's football program, making it a must-listen for sports enthusiasts keen on understanding the evolving dynamics of college sports.

Transcript

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[Savannah Guthrie]

North Carolina has hired Bill Belichick after winning six Super Bowls in the NFL. Belichick is on to his next challenge and that's coaching in college, which is something he's never done before. And I think that the surprise is, well, he was going to be the NFL's all time victory holder. He would surpass Don Shula. But over the last year and a half, the league's interest in Belichick hasn't been as robust as he probably thought and certainly we thought as well. So he turned his attention to college or maybe college turned its attention to him. But as I said for the last couple of days, I think he realized he was not going to get a job in the NFL. Plenty of other NFL head coaches have found success going to college. Jim Harbaugh with Michigan, Pete Carroll, usc. Nick Saban who didn't coach well with the Dolphins, went to Alabama, although he did well at lsu. So the transition from Belichick, NFL to college football, ACC football, a football program at a basketball school. And there are a lot of people, I think there's a surprising amount of people, maybe more people who have a negative reaction to Bill succeeding than a positive reaction because we hear the same things, his age, relatability with an 18 or 19 year old nil transfer portal. What's he know about the college game? So these are all the things that, and it's fair to question this or at least observe this and give a, you know, reasonable answer of yes or no, he's going to be able to do this. He's the most prepared coach of all time. The fact that he had a 400 page dossier, he went in there and said, hey, here, I'll give you everything about your program, what I want, what I need, assessing the acc. So he's going in prepared. It's not like he's going to go in and go, hey, what's this? Nil, that's name, image and likeness. Oh, now the transfer portal, where is that on campus? Where do, where do the kids come in from on the portal? No, no, it's just kind of a name. It's the transfer portal. Wait, they're getting paid. He's going to be prepared when he goes in. And plus, what is success for Bill Belichick in college? Nine wins, 10 wins. And you're also buying into Bill Belichick. You're buying into Carolina, you're buying into. Yes, they are a basketball school. You got the Jordan brand there as well. It's still powerful with Bill Belichick on the sidelines. He still knows how it's coaching football, whether it's high school, college, pro, you're coaching Football. Nobody is better at adapting quarter to quarter, half to half, game to game, than Bill Belichick in the history of the sport. I have to believe you're going to take this job. He'll be all in on this job, and he knows his son is going to be there with him. He's probably going to bring in a lot of his coaches he had in New England. You're getting Mike Lombardi, who's been around the NFL for decades. He'll be his gm. He's going to bring in experienced people just like Dion did. Remember when Deion got to Colorado, I said, dion will be successful if he brings in really good coaches because he'll be the CEO. And what do you have after one and a half years, two years, Deion has his team at least knocking on the door to be a playoff team next year, and they certainly were this year. Now, do I think that is what Bill's going to do? Well, he's not going to bring in his son, doesn't play quarterback. Is he going to be able to bring in a player like Travis Hunter, who everybody wanted and was going to go to Florida State? I think the key will be, does he get his quarterback just like he had in New England and they kept Tom there. You can't keep your quarterback in college. They'll stay, but maybe they'll stay for four years. Can you get a franchise type quarterback? Because if you go back and listen to what Bill Belichick said on the Pat McAfee show on Monday, he's looking at college football the way he did the NFL. It seems like college football is more like pro football. I've talked to a lot of college coaches about things like the salary cap and putting value on players and negotiating, kind of mixing all that together. So I think there are some similarities from what I've heard. I haven't experienced it firsthand. Okay, what's the downside? He fails. If you're Caroline, you took a shot. Can you imagine that conversation with Mack Brown? Hey, Mack, we're going to go with somebody younger. He's a year younger than you. So you bring in Belichick, the relatability. I don't know how much he has to relate. Oh, is he going to go on the road and recruit? No, he's not. They have something called Zoom all of a sudden. Mom and dad, hey, Coach Belichick is on the Zoom wants to talk to you. I think that's probably pretty powerful. How many other college coaches, Dion Belichick, who else would you put in There and you go, hey, stop everything. Coaches on the phone with me or on a zoom. It's still a powerful brand there. Now, is he going to want to put up with all the smaller things? I don't think he's going to be dealing with the smaller things. He doesn't deal with nil. He probably won't deal with transfer portal. Now everything is going to be run by him. There's no salary cap. You're playing in. The ACC feels like it's up for grabs. If Carolina is getting money together, they're collective. Okay, if I just say to Bill Belichick, just coach. We have everybody else who would take care of other things. Dion doesn't do everything. Deon is a CEO. That's what Bill will be. But Bill is obviously a better coach than Dion. He's not as good a CEO, but he'll be a better coach. Now, the people you put around you, who do you recruit and does this matter to these kids who are 18 or 19? Because if I'm 18 or 19, I may not really care about Bill Belichick. My dad or mom may care. My high school coach may care. I want to get ready to go to the NFL. That's what this is about. And I think Bill going there. Bill is. Bill's got a chip on his shoulder. I truly believe that, hey, Tom did this. And Tom went to Tampa. And meanwhile, I held on for four more years and we were terrible. And yeah, I did make the playoffs with Mac Jones, but it didn't end well. Tom, it feels weird though. Just like Tom had something to prove, at least he felt, hey, I can do this without Bill. Bill wants to prove that he can still be a great coach no matter where he's going. I thought he was going to stay in the NFL if he was going to coach again, but I didn't think he was going and said this. I didn't think he was coaching in the NFL again. I just didn't think he was coaching in college because I didn't know if he like, I just want to coach. And that's what it feels like. And you set your son up. He obviously wants to kind of put in place a system that his son will then inherit in, let's say three years and it'll be successful. And I'm sure Bill will stay on with the program. But I see, you know, far more positives than I do negative. But this whole out of touch thing, I don't know if Bill was ever in touch with the Patriots. You know, it's not like they were like, man, I really know him. And yeah, he's got a great sense of humor. Okay. Relatability. An 18, 19 year old. I don't know what they're going to be asking from Bill. I don't know what Bill is going to be giving them other than, hey, I want to make you a player ready to play in the NFL. That's what they want to hear. How much do I get paid and am I going to play and hopefully I get a chance to play in the NFL. Yes. I'm curious, what kind of player positionally, is most interested in going to North Carolina now? Because if I was a player like, say, like a Jaden Daniels type or something, be like, I don't know if that's the way I want to go, but if I'm a, you know, defensive lineman or offensive lineman even, you know, a linebacker or something, be like, hell, yeah, this is exactly what's going to get me to the NFL. So I'm curious how the team will take shape based on that. Yeah. And I, you know, Bill's whole thing is next guy up. Let's say you have somebody who wants $8 million. And Bill might say, no, we'll find somebody else. I don't think he'll have the patience for that. That he always was next man up with the Patriots and will probably be that way with North Carolina. But who cared about North Carolina prior to this? You know, the last time we talked about him is when they lost to a school named after a founding father. They lost. They gave up 70 points to Jimmy Madison. What do you. That's when we go, oh, my God, they could have scored 100 on North Carolina. Mack Brown's gotta go like, that's it. Nobody else cares. He put him on. He at least put him on the football map. Yes, it's a basketball school, just like Kentucky football, you know, Georgia basketball. Arkansas used to be a football school. Now it feels like it's a basketball school. It does happen. It does. But is it going to change there in North Carolina? It won't. If they win, people are still going to, you know, ask, you know, Hubert Davis, how's the team going to be now? Do you introduce Bill Belichick at a North Carolina basketball game? Right. You got to bring him out. Just don't have him do the Brian Kelly, haven't even won all my game. If he comes up with a Southern accent, I'm going to call BS on Belichick. And what he says is, and he's going to Pull a trestle. And when we play Duke on October 12, we're winning. He gets it. He gets the rivalry. He gets us. He gets us. He knows who we are and what matters. It's just when he says, you know, I saw an article, it's like, hey, he's going to win the press conference. Really? When is Bill won a press conference? I get it. Maybe Pat McAfee unlocked the personality chest that he has the cabinet there. It's like, hey, man, he. That dude is ape. He's a talking hairdo there. No, Bill will talk to football people. He doesn't want to talk to us. He doesn't want to talk to, you know, the media. But I think Bill, we're talking about North Carolina football. That's a win, dog. That's a win. Yes.

[Dominic Foxworth]

Marvin, the most important thing regarding this entire situation is what color sweatshirt is Belichick going to wear? Because I'm not sure if he's going.

[Savannah Guthrie]

To rock the powder blue. He can't go. That's too. That's too blue for him. I think he's got to go dark blue with maybe. Maybe some light blue on. On the sleeves. Yes, Paulie, no sleeves. You go sleeveless.

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[Dominic Foxworth]

One, I think the beginning of the year, since it's going to be 85, 90 degrees their first couple of games, he's going to have a polo on.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Navy blue polo with the North Carolina on the side. Maybe tank top. You know.

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[Savannah Guthrie]

Dominic Foxworth, the ESPN writer commentator for Endscape in Season Football podcast The Dominic Foxworth show, and that's three times a week. Also on get up and a contributor to espn. Your reaction when you heard that Bill was actually taking the Carolina job was, Yeah.

[Dominic Foxworth]

I mean, I think it. The first thing that it drove home was the NFL didn't really want him. And that's a shocking thing. I understand why people may not want to give up the power. And I read in Seth Wickersham's piece this morning about how Bill obviously said he was flexible. But the thing about that is, even if he were flexible, he's still Bill Belichick. And I feel like you drop him in any situation, it changes the alchemy in the room. And while he said he'd be willing to work with existing GMs, he's still Bill Belichick. And it's like having a tiger that you've trained. He's like, you still know at some point he's going to be breathing over your shoulder and something's going to happen. I can't imagine that anyone who listened to him say, oh yeah, I like your gm, it's fine. Oh no, the president of operations, he's good with me. No one felt fully comfortable while bringing that tiger into their building.

[Savannah Guthrie]

What's the downside for Carolina?

[Dominic Foxworth]

Yeah, the downside for Carolina, it sounds like the 400 page manifesto that about how he's going to control the whole organization. And I think the downside is the risk of giving yourself over to someone who has not proven that they can do it at this level. And I understand heard you guys coming in about how it is professional on this level. You're right. I think the biggest vote of confidence I would have for Bill Belichick is he's just really smart and really good and works really hard. And I think that most of the time we like to find all these other characteristics for why people are successful in different industries. And that's normally what it comes down to. Are you smart, are you willing to work hard and you are committed to this? I think Bill Belichick is and he'll figure out all the other stuff.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Yeah, Carolina already won. We're talking Carolina football. They already won.

[Dominic Foxworth]

Yeah, I mean, I think you're right. That makes them relevant immediately. It feels a little bit like the Deion Sanders effect in Colorado where they went from being an irrelevant franchise or irrelevant kind of program to one that top people are going to consider and that we in the general public are going to care about week one. We're going to care what the hell is going on In Carolina in a way that we haven't in a long time.

[Savannah Guthrie]

I don't know how important the personality of your head coach was when you played, because this is being brought back with Bill Belichick. Is he relatable to somebody 18 through 22 years of age? And I said, well, I don't know, is it about your personality or how you like, can you coach, can you get me ready for the pros? How much money? I mean, these are the questions that these kids are asking nowadays. So back to my original question. How important was the personality of your coach?

[Dominic Foxworth]

Yeah, I mean, I think mine was different, but now times are very different. I think the obvious challenges of it are obvious. So I don't think we need to go to, to that. But I think if you want to look at the positive side of it is it's going to be a self selecting process. Like no one is going to be surprised by who Bill Belichick is. So the type of players that want to play for a coach like Bill Belichick, they're going to show up there at Chapel Hill. And the guys who will be put off by Bill Belichick, like, he's not going to change no matter what we think. And we are imagining him dancing in the back like Brian Kelly dancing on spinning flat platforms to recruit, recruit coaches. I mean, excuse me, to recruit kids. Hell no. That's not Bill Belichick. That's not who he's ever going to be. And I think that's a, that's a good thing because we know who he is. And the players that show up there are going to be players that want to be coached the same way Tom Brady was coached. They want to be treated the way that they're going to be treated. And I imagine he's going to have a separate staff to go out and smooch the kids and figure out money. I don't think Bill Belichick is going to have a situation where players are going to walk into this office after a good game and say, my nil needs to go up or I'm going elsewhere. Those guys aren't going to go to Chapel Hill.

[Savannah Guthrie]

The team that loses tonight between the Rams and Niners, done?

[Dominic Foxworth]

Yeah, I think so. I mean, I think the Rams are one of the scarier teams. The Niners have kind of, I think the wind. They had a good week last week, but I think the windows kind of closed on this particular run. So I think the question is, can the Rams pull off this win? Because we saw what they did last Week. They have an offense that's so impressive and the defense with Jared Verse and some young pass rushers that I think can make big plays that could give a scare to the top two teams or, excuse me, the top three. I guess if you put Green Bay in there. The top four teams in the nfc. I don't see the Rams as a real super bowl contender, but they can knock somebody off in the first or second round and really piss off some fan base.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Matthew Stafford has had this renaissance. Like, to me, there'd be no reason to want to retire if I got Sean McVeigh and I got Cooper and I got Nakua. I kind of like, you know, as long as they have a good offensive line, I kind of like it la. I mean, think it's pretty good.

[Fred Warner]

Yeah.

[Dominic Foxworth]

And Williams in the backfield, I think his body holding up is the big question. His arm is still as incredible as it's ever been. And I think that's a reminder. As much as we want to spend an eye as like an analyst who played, I want to show all my knowledge by getting deep into how important these schematic adjustments are and how important the D line is and O line and coverages and disguise. You got a good ass coach and you got a great quarterback. You're never too far away. Like we remember after they won the super bowl, we were like, ah, they're done. Maybe McVeigh should go to the media. They find a good, a good player in the draft in Nakua and they're right back near the top. With some adjustments on defense, they could be a competitor in NFC real soon.

[Savannah Guthrie]

The Eagles with the infighting that you're winning, but then you have AJ Brown speak up about we kind of have to fix the passing game here. I'm paraphrasing here, but you covered diva wide receivers. Yeah, we still kind of allow them to be divas. Why so.

[Hoda Kotb]

All right.

[Dominic Foxworth]

I think my first reaction was much like yours, and I've since tried my best to view it from a different perspective because that's not the A.J. brown I've heard about. You remember when Saquon was signed there, AJ's first comments were, we're going to make sure Saquon gets his. And if you watch the games, AJ Brown is not a typical diva wide receiver. He's blocking the hell out of people. Like, he's a big, physical guy. He's playing hard and fixing the passing game. To me, if I'm giving it the most charitable reading, is A.J. brown Understanding what we all understand is that Jalen Hertz is the limiting factor on this offense and they're not going to be able to steamroll everybody through the playoffs. There's going to come a time where they're going to have to outscore somebody. They're going to have to attack down the field. So while I do agree that the wide receiver probably thinks the answer to every problem is throw me the damn ball, I think in this case he might be right, that the real answer to the problem is their passing game is a little bit rudimentary compared to some of the other teams that they're going to have to match, match up against.

[Savannah Guthrie]

But we've said this about Jalen Hurts. He doesn't feel like he's a finished product when he's in the pocket. He's. He's a good quarterback. He makes plays. I just think if a game comes down to his passing, then Philadelphia is in trouble.

[Dominic Foxworth]

I think so. And Philip Philadelphia's offense is pretty simple in part because they're more talented than everyone else. They're going to run the ball until you compromise yourself in order to stop it. Then Jalen is going to run the ball on the edge until you compromise yourself to stop that. And then they want to attack downfield. And I think other teams that are built like that, they do it the other way. I think in some games we go into with the Lions, who are very similar to them, the Lions will attack downfield first, and I think that's what A.J. brown wants and to have a more sophisticated passing offense, because some games they're going to need it. But, yeah, you're not going to change who Jalen Hurts is. Like, this is who he is.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Dominic Foxworthy ESPN writer commentator. You know this Brett Favre, Mark Gaston, o play has resurfaced now with the 30 for 30 coming out. Would you have a problem, though? Like. Well, let me just ask you your reaction when you saw Gastineau approaching Brett Favre and saying, I want my sack, I want my sack back.

[Dominic Foxworth]

I imagine my reaction was like everyone else's was like, I cringed a little bit and it was uncomfortable. But I also recognize that for athletes like, you put so much into it, like, it becomes the peak of your life at such a young age. And it wasn't for me in part because I wasn't that great of an athlete. But I can't imagine if I was as great as Mark Gastineau and that was what I was known for. You feel like there's some integrity to the things that you accomplish. Like, I I get why he's upset and get why you want to hold on to that and you feel like your record, like I completely understand it. It's something that I don't think I would ever do, but I don't feel.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Let's say Jerry Rice, let's say Jerry Rice is opposite you. Jerry Rice needs six more yards to set the single season record. How would you feel?

[Dominic Foxworth]

I would. So Jerry Rice was at the Broncos my rookie year and he was one of my favorite players growing up. My brother and I looked up to Jerry Rice and Barry Sanders and he was in our camp, in training camp and my first one on one was against Jerry Rice, my idol, and I pushed his ass out of bounds like I was. I was fighting for my life and I took that 40 year old man and I put my hands on him. And so I imagine that I would have been the same way. I think there's a different understanding when you're Brett Favre, you're in a different fraternity. When you're Brett Favre and you're Jerry Rice and you're Michael Strahan. Michael Strahan, they're in a different fraternity. Guys like me.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Hell no.

[Dominic Foxworth]

You can't have nothing from what I nothing from. I'm not giving you a yard.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Good to talk to you as always, Dominic. Thank you.

[Dominic Foxworth]

Thank you, Dan.

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[Savannah Guthrie]

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[Unknown Co-Host]

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[Savannah Guthrie]

He's been covering the ACC a long time. See, these are the questions that we have. Mark, what do you think Belichick with a tie on campus today?

[Mark Packer]

I think at North Carolina he starts with the tie, but maybe by the end we go with the hoodie, right? We just do the cutoff argyle hoodie and one word answers and down the road and listen he's got to go get some players. Dan, I mean, this is a cool story, and he's the all time greatest coach, but, man, you better get some players if you expect to win. That's true, whether it's high school, college, or pro.

[Savannah Guthrie]

All right, let's go back a couple of weeks ago when you first heard this was a possibility. And you said what I said, you.

[Mark Packer]

Gotta be crazy, right? What's he thinking? I mean, is he that bored? I mean, you got a coach in college football, given everything he's accomplished, and he's that close to Don Shula's mark, and, you know, maybe somebody will wake up and say, guess what? Let's give him a gig. I'm in Charlotte, North Carolina. You think we could use a coach? We've seen bad football from the NFL perspective for God knows how long, but nobody in their right mind really thought this could happen. But it is an amazing story, and to see how this whole thing unfolds is going to be fascinating.

[Savannah Guthrie]

I feel like Carolina's already won. Is that fair to say? Yeah. I mean, the fact you're on on my show today, we're talking Carolina football in December.

[Mark Packer]

Put it in perspective. And again, we obviously cover the acc, but cover college sports. Last night, the Southeastern Conference, which is the best conference in college football, and the Big Ten, which is number two, could arguably be number one this year. They announced their 2025 college football schedules last night. Nobody cared. You know why? Because everybody was talking about the acc, North Carolina and Bill Belichick. So in some respects, after just 24 hours, you've already seen the impact he can have. Now, like I said, we'll have the press conference today. That'll be great. But at some point in time, North Carolina expects to win yesterday. And this is a program that's kind of been a sleeping giant. We've been talking about that for decades now. He's got to go prove it.

[Savannah Guthrie]

What's the downside?

[Mark Packer]

The downside is that North Carolina pushes all their chips in. There's been a misalignment from the board of trustees, the athletic director. That's got to get on the same page. The guy's 72. He sits there and says, hey, I got all the answers. I pull a Charlie Weiss who said, listen, I got all the schematic advantages. All of a sudden he goes out and realizes, you know, what team coming through the under tunnel has got better players in the matter? How many Super Bowls I can talk about. They wear my ass out. And that's the worst thing that can happen where, guess what? You expect to win ASAP and you fall flat on your face.

[Savannah Guthrie]

But if he gets nine or 10 wins, he's a savior, isn't he?

[Mark Packer]

Well, I think that's been the problem, Dan. North Carolina has been able to get to that number. I know Mac Brown this year got to six. But they've been on the doorstep multiple times. They've been to two ACC championship games. Lost to Clemson in both of them. Mack's first run. He had a great team. He left North Carolina the first time as a top 10 team. The problem was there was a guy by the name of Bobby Bowden at Florida State that was just that good. So North Carolina has always produced players. You go back through history, they always put guys in the National Football League. I think their expectations are, hey, we haven't won an ACC championship since 1980 when a guy by the name of Lawrence Taylor was a linebacker. Why not now? Let's put all chips in. Got this whole name, image and likeness thing. We got the coach. Let's let it rip and see where it goes. I expect him to figure that, hey, going to a bowl is a piece of cake. Listen here in the acc, we saw SMU join the league for the first time. Tell the league to keep all their TV money. They win 11 games in the ACC championship game and now they're in College Football Playoff. Why can't that happen at North Carolina?

[Savannah Guthrie]

Okay, the over under according to Vegas is six and a half wins you.

[Mark Packer]

Over or under and I'll tell you why. And again, I just looked at their schedule last night. Next year in the acc, they don't see Miami, they don't see Louisville, they don't see smu, they don't see Virginia Tech. Say whatever you want about Florida State. They won't be too intense. They miss all those teams. They get Clemson and they go the rival NC State. They've lost four straight non conference schedule. TCU is their opener. I would again. I'm not a betting man, but I think they obliterate six and a half.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Good to talk to you, Mark. You got something to talk about? Certainly.

[Mark Packer]

Listen, the biggest winner of all this was the ACC network in the conference and hopefully Bill Belichick in North Carolina.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Thank you, Mark.

[Mark Packer]

You got it.

[Savannah Guthrie]

That's Mark Packer.

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[Savannah Guthrie]

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[Savannah Guthrie]

Mandel, senior college football writer for the Athletic co host of the Audible Podcast your your column was on fire. In fact, I'm picking it up. It's a little warm here. Stewart, from what you had to say about Bill Belichick, you start out by saying, congratulations, North Carolina, you managed to hire somebody completely unqualified to be your next football coach. You did that thing so many schools do when they try to win the press conference instead of win football games. It rarely works. All right, fill in the details of how you came to this conclusion.

[Hoda Kotb]

Well, Dan, I've been covering college football for 25 years. I have seen time and again NFL coaches come into college pledging to kind of reinvent the wheel, run an NFL program at the college level. It's never worked. The only guy that I've seen, and he was wildly successful was Pete Carroll. That was not because of anything he had done in the NFL. He was a maniacal recruiter who surrounded himself with other maniacal recruiters. Bill Belichick has never recruited a day in his life. So I think that he's right. I think he said college is more like the NFL than it ever has been. And he's right about that. In terms of the portal and nil. And these teams are hiring salary cap experts now, but recruiting is still the lifeblood of the sport. And then I think another key element, the two things Nick Saban was so good at, recruiting and motivation. And you know, in the NFL, that's not really part of it. Their motivation is their, is their livelihood. You're talking about 18 to 22 year old kids who, if you, you know, you've seen it all this season, right? Guys who just don't show up for a game sometimes. And you know, I, I think those are skills that are very unique to college. I don't know that, you know, for all the great things he's done as a football coach. He hasn't had to do those things before.

[Savannah Guthrie]

But isn't free agency transfer portal?

[Hoda Kotb]

Yeah, free agency is the transfer portal, but we've yet to see a program build itself entirely off the transfer portal. You can do it. You know, Dion did it to basically purge the roster for a year and, but now even he is, you know, building it with high school kids for the long term. So I, I don't doubt he could come come in. There's going to be a lot of buzz. There's going to be guys who absolutely want to come play for the six time super bowl champion, and that can work for a year. But how do you build a long term program? I just don't think you can build a long term program solely off. We're gonna, we're gonna do the salary cap. We're gonna get the best free agents. At the end of the day, you still have to, you know, ask a college coach what they spend a lot of time doing. It's dming high school kids with little smiley face emojis come check out our campus. Like, that's a big part of it.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Yeah, but a lot of these coaches will pass that on to their assistant coaches. So if you have your offensive coordinator, your quarterback's coach, they're going to be dming the quarterback. Bill Belichick can get on a zoom call, talk to the kid and his family. I think we're underestimating Belichick's desire to prove that he can do this, that he is as researched as any coach in the history of sports has ever. He just doesn't walk into something and go, oh, my gosh, wait a minute, I've got to do this or the collective is going to have money there. I think he's going to defer. Lombardi is going to be his gm. He'll bring in some of his other assistant coaches. It just feels like this is, you know, Belichick loves getting into the weeds and doing this stuff, or at least that's the feeling I get. I never underestimate him, even in a situation like this.

[Hoda Kotb]

I definitely got the sense he has spent the year preparing for this. We've heard about this 300 page Bible that he sent his Pat McAfee interview. He was. Came off very prepared. There's no question about it. And I'll be curious to see who he, who he hires. I mean, you mentioned Lombardi, also not a college guy. If he brings in some really good, you know, experienced college recruiters, that will definitely help. But if the idea is we're going to just move the New England NFL franchise to Chapel Hill. Yeah, I. I don't. I don't know that. You definitely need to have some guys who have a lot of experience at the college level.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Well, this is what Dion needed to do. I said Dion's not a great coach. Deion is a great CEO. He's a great brand he brought in and a pretty impressive staff. And I think that was important because, and this may be, you know, Belichick is going to just coach. He goes into every game having an advantage of being a better coach than the guy across from the field. The question is, what kind of talent level can you bring in? And that will be the big challenge. I mean, the over under six and a half wins next season.

[Hoda Kotb]

And that doesn't look like Dion's biggest thing. Well, not his biggest thing, but one of the biggest things is he got to bring in his son.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Yes.

[Hoda Kotb]

Who might be the first quarterback drafted and Travis Hunter, who might be the number one pick.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Well, if I gave you Belichick with Shador Sanders and Travis Hunter, that would.

[Hoda Kotb]

Be a great start.

[Savannah Guthrie]

He would have. That would be 10 wins or it'd be a disappointment. Is Dion staying at Colorado no matter what happened? If Shador is the number one pick, the Raiders have the number one pick. Is Deion going to stay at Colorado?

[Hoda Kotb]

I get the sense he's committed to stay Colorado next year. He loves it there. He feels like he's building something. But college football now is year to year. You know, is he. Nobody could predict. Is he going to be there for five years? I think he'll be their coach in 2025, and we'll see beyond that.

[Savannah Guthrie]

You look at this format here, Stuart, and it's 12 teams now. I didn't like where Arizona State and Boise State were automatically placed in with these first round buys. What is your solution? If you think there should be a solution to the 12 team playoff next.

[Hoda Kotb]

Year, I think it's a good format in general. And I'm fine with rewarding conference champions with an automatic berth. But to your point, I don't think you should be manipulating the seedings so that the Arizona State's the number 12 team in the country and they're getting the number four seed and Texas is the number three team in the country and they're got the five seed. I mean, I think just, you know, Arizona State would not have gotten in without winning its conference championship. To me, that's reward enough now. Well, I don't think anything will Change for next season. But the year after that is a tirely new contract where the Big Ten and SEC can basically dictate the terms. And I'm sure we will see, at the very least, the end of the buys for everybody.

[Savannah Guthrie]

I would love to see. The rankings are going to determine that. It's just like March Madness. You, you get in. That doesn't mean you get a first round buy. So this would be the top 12 teams. You get in, you win your conference, you're in. Now we look at the top 12 with rankings and imagine that reveal show on the mothership that we're looking at the rankings. We're, you know, it's not, hey, that team's in, but where is Boise State playing or Arizona State playing? The first four teams get, you know, first round buys. Then it could be a lot more interesting here and more of a TV show. So I think that's where we're headed. I don't know if it'll be next year, maybe, you know, a year after that. If Ryan Day loses to Tennessee. Finish that sentence.

[Hoda Kotb]

He might, he might not make it back to his house that night. I mean, that, that's the one scenario everybody. Oh, they're going to fire him. Not only. The only time, the only way that becomes into play in my mind is if he loses that first round game. Because think about that. His last two games, home game games, will have been an inexcusable loss to Michigan. Any first round loss with a team that was expected to at least play for the national championship, that's, you know, that's going to be a very, if that's the case, a very miserable off season. I don't, you know, whether they fire him or not, I just can't imagine Ryan Day would want to come back into that environment.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Before I let you go, we just had a member of the audience ask about Pete Carroll. Has anybody reached out to Pete Carroll? If they're reaching out to Bill Belichick, is Pete, does he have any interest in coaching?

[Hoda Kotb]

Again, they should reach out to him because he was an amazing college football coach. Right. And frankly, I don't think gets enough appreciation for the fact that he's really the only guy I've seen to win at a high level in both, at both college and the NFL. Is he interested in coming back to college? I've not heard anything to indicate that. There's also not really jobs open right now that I would think would interest him. We're going to see probably next cycle, next year, bunch of SEC jobs open possibly Big Ten. You know, it's amazing to me that Belichick is going to of all places, North Carolina. You know, you would think it would have had to be one of the blue bloods that would get him. And that's really what I think intrigues everybody so much about this that of all places Unc Unc Football.

[Savannah Guthrie]

Good to talk to you again. Thank you Stuart.

[Hoda Kotb]

Thanks Dan.

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