Transcript
A (0:00)
Welcome back to the hurdle rate episode 49 for the week of March 2, 2026. I'm Tim Kotsman. I'm joined by Ben Workman, Jeff Walton and Matt Cole in the True North. This past week was the second annual conference within a conference within a conference, also known as the True North World event. Inside the Bitcoin for Corporations conference, Inside Strategy World 2026, which was live in Las Vegas, you had TD bank on stage talking about Canada's increase of digital asset capital limits from 1 to 5% of tier 1 capital. That's a mouthful. You had Morgan Stanley confirming on stage that the bank plans to offer bitcoin trading, lending yield and custody. And you had Michael Saylor's keynote focused on digital credit and the opportunity to create digital money and digital yield, backed by strc. And Bloomberg reported that Morgan Stanley has applied for a National Trust bank charter to allow it to custody bitcoin and crypto assets. Within the past week, Block announced it acquired 340 Bitcoin in Q4 of 2025 for about $22 million. And DDC announced their seventh consecutive week of stacking with an additional 50 Bitcoin purchase. I'm curious to hear everybody's takeaways from the conference because obviously you have what's on stage, but then you have all the private conversations and networking and dinners, I guess. A quick note, it's been known but eight out of 10 major banks have flipped their stance on Bitcoin in the past six months. That was a good reminder for me as I was flipping through social media over the past few days. And my biggest takeaway was during the Q and A session, the last session of the conference, SEO. We're talking about teams going from teams of five to teams of two, plus an AI. So I don't know. Matt, Jeff, Ben, where should we start?
B (2:03)
A lot to unpack here. You also got what's going on in Iran with taking out the Supreme Leader there. And I think since the last hurdle rate, you also had the head of the cartel being taken out. It wasn't long ago that we took out the head of the Venezuelan government. And I just kind of come back to a lot of the reasons why a lot of people invested in bitcoin as digital freedom money and opt out from the system. A belief in the fourth turning kind of playing out a belief in the debasement trade. And I just think that we're seeing things move so quickly that it's really hard to even get a grasp of everything that's going on I mean you had block by Bitcoin and they also laid off about 40% of their staff as well. Right. And so Bitcoin holdings up, employees down. Fascinating. Right. And I think that, you know, kind of unpacking the totality of everything is simpler than zooming into any one thing. Like what's going to happen in Iran? We don't know. I mean we're recording this on Sunday. Looks like another attack happened, A few service members have been killed. But I tend to think, and this is something that may be less discussed, that it all actually like all these regime change wars might actually tie back to AI itself, that if you think about all these dictators around the globe, a fourth turning moment. And what does AI do? It gives power back to the individual. Well, AI will also give power to all these dictatorships around the world. And so whether you agree with it or not, if you think about the United States, it seems like we are in attack mode, that we are going to take out perceived threats. And my belief is it's probably because we view these perceived threats to become bigger threats in the future. Just you put AI in the hands of anyone and it's going to be a force multiplier, it's going to be force multipliers for individuals, for creating, you know, one person billion dollar companies to be able to lay off 40% of your staff. But that, that, that power, that increase of intelligence is going to circulate around the globe exponentially quick. And I think we're going to see chaos continue. And it may not be one, one way chaos. We, we don't know, I can't, we can't predict that. But all of these things, this, this compression of time into very short times where it feels like every time we record this, this has felt like this since we started the hurdle rate, that every week we're basically like covering a year's worth of topics that, that's not going to slow down. And so things are not becoming scarce that's going to go throughout the world. Bitcoin is the one thing that's scarce, that continues, I think, to benefit from all this global chaos. And I think it's interesting that amidst the global chaos you saw, bitcoin actually is up right now. Gold is up, silver's up. Historically in war times, war times have actually been good for risk assets. But generally speaking, you get a down move first before you get the up move. Here we've just seen an up move. So I think that's interesting and I kind of wanted to start there, but do want to cover the conference, the non bitcoin conference that we went to as well, because there's a lot to unpack. But just, you know, I think with what's going on in the world, I couldn't get my mind off of that first. So curious other people's perspectives on what we're witnessing right now and implications to bitcoin, Bitcoin, treasury companies, digital credit, all, all of that.
